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. 2025 Sep 9;20(9):e0330069. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0330069

Kidney stone disease increases the risk of cardiovascular events

Yuxuan Chen 1, XueWen Liao 2,*
Editor: Ricardas Radisauskas3
PMCID: PMC12419663  PMID: 40924705

Abstract

Introduction

Kidney stone disease is associated with numerous cardiovascular risk factors. However, the findings across studies are non-uniformly consistent, and the control of confounding variables remains suboptimal. This study aimed to investigate the association between kidney stone and cardiovascular disease.

Methods

We conducted an observational study using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey conducted between 2007 and 2010. Weighted multivariable-adjusted logistic regression was used to evaluate the association between kidney stones and cardiovascular event risk. Moreover, in observational studies, Mendelian randomization (MR) was applied to avoid reverse causality and reduce the influence of potential confounding factors. Inverse-variance weighted (IVW) was the main analytical method.

Results

After controlling for cardiovascular and kidney stone risk factors among 7210 US adults, along with other potential confounding variables, patients with kidney stones exhibited a significantly elevated risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) (odds ratio [OR], 1.88 [95% confidence interval [CI], 1.09–3.26], P < 0.05). However, a non-significant association was observed with heart failure, hypertension, or stroke. MR analyses further indicated that genetically predicted kidney stones were causally associated with an increased risk of coronary heart disease (OR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.04–1.53], P = 0.028), myocardial infarction (OR, 1.08 [95% CI,1.02–1.15], P = 0.015), hypertension (OR 1.01 [95% CI, 1.00–1.02], P = 0.042) and ischemic stroke (OR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.75–0.98], P= 0.022) in IVW models, with non-significant associations detected for heart failure.

Conclusions

The occurrence of kidney stones has been associated with an elevated risk of myocardial infarction within the context of cardiovascular events. However, cross-sectional analyses yield results that are inconsistent with those obtained from Mendelian randomization analyses regarding outcomes such as heart failure, hypertension, and stroke.

1 Introduction

Kidney stones represent a prevalent medical condition characterized by the crystallization of urinary solutes into aggregates within the urinary system [1], with their incidence showing an upward trend [2]. The current worldwide prevalence of nephrolithiasis is estimated to range between 7.2% and 7.7% [3]. The incidence of kidney stones seems to be gender specific. A recent estimate from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), a comprehensive dataset representing the US population, indicated that approximately one in ten adult males in the United States suffers from kidney stones. Conversely, this condition was less common among females, affecting around 7% of them [4]. Studies have demonstrated that the development of nephrolithiasis is affected by genetic predispositions, environmental conditions, dietary habits, physical activity levels, and various other determinants [5]. Kidney stones are linked to systemic conditions, including hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia, which are recognized as risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) [2,68]. Consequently, it is imperative to elucidate the relationship between kidney stones and cardiovascular disease. Several studies suggested that patients with kidney stones are at an increased risk of developing adverse health outcomes, such as chronic kidney disease and CVD. However, epidemiological research has yielded inconsistent findings regarding the association between kidney stones and cardiovascular risk. Some studies have indicated a positive correlation [6], while others have not been able to establish a substantial connection [9]. Published studies often fail to consider various potential confounding variables [2,4,10,11]. The observed association between kidney stones and cardiovascular events might be attributed to the indirect influences of shared risk factors [6].

Given the rising incidence of kidney stones over the years, a precise evaluation of their associated cardiovascular risks is essential for alerting patients and facilitating effective health interventions. Patients with kidney stones should focus on modifying cardiovascular risk factors to mitigate the comorbidity risk of both conditions. Furthermore, elucidating the relationship between KSD and cardiovascular events is of substantial importance for advancing our understanding of the etiology of these diseases.

We conducted a cross-sectional study based on NHANES to determine the relationship between kidney stones and cardiovascular events. Following this, a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was applied to further explore the causal relationship between these two conditions, employing genetic markers associated with kidney stones as instrumental variables to infer causal relationships with specific cardiovascular disease outcomes. This approach is more resistant to biases associated with confounding variables and the issue of reverse causality that can plague traditional observational research [12].

2 Methods

2.1 Study population in NHANES

The NHANES, an ongoing two-year cycle nationally representative survey, is an essential research initiative focused on assessing the health and nutritional conditions of the U.S. population, including adults and children. The NHANES protocols were approved by the Research Ethics Review Board of the National Center for Health Statistics, and written informed consent was obtained from all participants. In this study, we downloaded the NHANES data from 2007 to 2010, as these two cycles included information on kidney stones and CVD.

This study selected two NHANES cycles from 2007 to 2010 to assess the association between kidney stones and cardiovascular events. A total of 20,688 participants were initially enrolled. After excluding participants aged < 18 years (n = 7933), those with incomplete data on KSD (n = 645) or cardiovascular events (n = 61), those with incomplete data on other covariates (n = 4767), and those with recorded estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values under 15 ml/min/1.73 m2, as well as those who had undergone dialysis or kidney transplantation (n = 72). 7210 participants were included in our final analysis (Fig 1).

Fig 1. Flowchart of study participants from NHANES 2007–2010.

Fig 1

2.2 Variables included in NHANES

During individual interviews, the diagnosis of kidney stones was ascertained using the Kidney Conditions-Urology survey within the questionnaire data. This survey was administered by trained interviewers in participants’ homes, employing a computer-assisted personal interview (CAPI) system. Participants were queried with the question, “Have you ever had a kidney stone?” An affirmative response was used to classify the participant as having a history of kidney stones.

The outcome variables of this study are cardiovascular events, including myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, hypertension, and stroke. These varibles were also obtained from the standardized healthcare status questionnaire in NHANES 2007–2010. The participants were also asked, “ Has a doctor or other health expert ever informed you that you have myocardial infarction (MI)/congestive heart failure(CHF)/high blood pressure(HBP)/stroke?” An affirmative response to any of these questions qualified an individual as having CVD. Myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, hypertension, and stroke are also defined according to the problems of the corresponding diseases mentioned above.

Information on different demographic and health-related factors was obtained from the NHANES household interviews, including age, sex, race/ethnicity, education level, C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, smoking status, disease conditions (diabetes, hyperlipidemia, and gout), and dietary intake (total calorie intake, calcium consumption, sodium intake, and total water intake). The body mass index (BMI) was determined by dividing an individual’s weight (in kilograms) by the square of their height (in meters). BMI was categorized as underweight (< 18.5), normal weight (18.5–24.9), overweight (25.0–29.9), or obese (≥ 30.0). Race/ethnicity was categorized as Mexican American, other Hispanic, non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, or other races, including multi-racial, while education level was classified as less than 9th grade, 9–11th grade, high school graduate/GED, some college or AA degree, or college graduate or above. Smoking status was recorded as having smoked 100 cigarettes or more in one’s lifetime. CRP status was divided into ≤ 1.0 or > 1.0. The eGFR was calculated utilizing the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation. The eGFR values were stratified into the following categories: ≥ 60, 45–59.9, 30–44.9, and 15–29.9 mL/min/1.73 m2.

2.3 Genetic instruments for KSD in MR

We identified genetic variations associated with KSD in the European population from the FinnGen Biobank. Researchers used ICD-10 codes to identify individuals with a history of kidney stones (S1 Table). Our genome-wide association study involved 218,792 individuals of European ancestry, including 5,347 cases and 213,445 controls. With a significance threshold of P < 5 × 10–8, we discovered nine single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that correlated with KSD. The robustness of these SNPs was assessed by calculating the F-statistics, which were found to be ≥ 10 for all identified KSD variants. The latest research suggests that sample overlap may lead to bias in causal estimation in MR analysis [13,14]. To minimize bias caused by sample overlap, MR analysis of outcomes from the FinnGen cohort should be avoided as much as possible when the exposure is concerned. When the outcomes are obtained from different cohorts, a meta-analysis should be performed to evaluate the overall effect. The study design of two-sample MR analysis was exhibited in Fig 2.

Fig 2. The study design of two-sample MR analysis.

Fig 2

2.4 Genetic summary data for cardiovascular events

For CVDs, we detected five phenotypes, including coronary heart disease, MI, heart failure, hypertension, and stroke. Coronary heart disease (n = 184,305) and MI (n = 171,875) data were obtained from the CARDIoGRAMplusC4D Consortium. Hypertension (n = 463,010) and heart failure (n = 361,194) data were obtained from the UK Biobank Consortium. Ischemic stroke (n = 977,323) data were obtained from the International Stroke Genomics Consortium.

2.5 Statistical analysis

To analyze the NHANES data, which necessitates a complex sampling design, we incorporated sample weights, clustering, and stratification in our analyses. Utilizing R software (version 4.2.1), available from the R Project for Statistical Computing (https://www.r-project.org), we employed the NHANES-recommended sample weights to amalgamate data from 2007 to 2008 and 2009–2010 two-year survey periods. This was achieved using a unique respondent sequence number.

Participants were categorized into two groups based on whether they had KSD or not. For continuous variables, we calculated the mean and standard deviation (SD), while categorical variables are presented as frequency and percentage. We then compared the baseline characteristics of the participants using a one-way analysis of variance for continuous variables and Pearson’s chi-square test for categorical variables. To assess the association between depression and the risk of kidney stones, we performed multivariate-adjusted logistic regression. This analysis was stratified based on various factors, including age, gender, race, education level, BMI category, smoked 100 cigarettes, eGFR, diabetes, gout, and hyperlipidemia. The adjusted odds ratios (ORs), along with their 95% confidence intervals (CIs), were determined. Statistical significance was set at a P-value threshold of less than 0.05. All outcomes were evaluated using a two-tailed test.

An inverse-variance weighted (IVW) meta-analysis under a random-effects model was regarded as the primary analysis. The following two methods, weighted median and MR-Egger, were used for sensitivity analyses. MR-Egger method can be used to assess the horizontal pleiotropy of selected instrumental variables (IVs) [15]. Cochrane’s Q statistic was used to assess the variability among the chosen IVs. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis excluding one variable at a time was performed to evaluate whether the aggregate estimates were significantly influenced by any single SNP.

3 Results

3.1 Observational results between KSD and cardiovascular events in NHANES

3.1.1 Characteristics of study participants.

In our observational study, we selected 7,210 individuals. Table 1 presents the baseline characteristics of the participants according to KSD status. We compared the demographic differences between participants with and without kidney stones (Table 1). Participants with kidney stones were significantly more likely to be older (55.7 versus 50.6 years), have a higher incidence of diabetes mellitus (17.5% versus 9.3%), a higher risk of gout (9.8% versus 4.1%), and a higher risk of hypercholesterolemia (51.3% versus 41.1%) (all P < 0.001).

Table 1. Baseline characteristics of participants categorized by kidney stone disease status in the NHANES 2007–2010 study.
Variable Overall No Stone Stone P-value
Sex, n (%) <0.001
 Male 3366 (45.5) 2893 (44.0) 473 (57.4)
 Female 3844 (54.5) 3529 (56.0) 315 (42.6)
Age (years) 51.2 (15.5) 50.6 (15.6) 55.7 (14.4) <0.001
Race, n (%) <0.001
 Mexican American 1047 (5.9) 960 (6.1) 87 (4.2)
 Other Hispanic 722 (4.1) 641 (4.0) 81 (4.1)
 Non-Hispanic White 3807 (75.0) 3301 (74.1) 506 (82.4)
 Non-Hispanic Black 1336 (10.0) 1245 (10.6) 91 (5.4)
 Others 298 (5.0) 275 (5.2) 23 (3.9)
Education attainment, n (%) 0.017
 Less Than 9th Grade 793 (5.0) 695 (4.9) 98 (6.3)
 9-11th Grade 1042 (10.9) 923 (10.8) 119 (11.1)
 High School Grad/GED 1599 (22.0) 1402 (21.6) 197 (25.3)
 Some College or AA degree 2043 (30.6) 1822 (30.4) 221 (32.6)
 College Graduate or above 1733 (31.5) 1580 (32.3) 153 (24.7)
BMI category, n (%) 0.011
 Underweight 78 (1.2) 74 (1.3) 4 (0.9)
 Normal weight 1705 (26.1) 1568 (27.0) 137 (17.8)
 Overweight 2483 (34.2) 2211 (34.0) 272 (35.7)
 Obesity 2944 (38.5) 2569 (37.7) 375 (45.6)
Smoked 100 cigarettes, n (%) 0.14
 Yes 3325 (45.0) 2929 (44.6) 396 (48.2)
 No 3885 (55.0) 3493 (55.4) 392 (51.8)
Intake
 Total calories, kcal 2056.2(803.0) 2,047.5(798.4) 2,128.8(837.2) 0.2
 Calcium, mg 967.0(505.2) 971.4(512.9) 929.9(434.7) 0.4
 Sodium, mg 3,455.1(1,514.8) 3,439.6(1,492.5) 3,584.4(1,684.7) 0.2
 Total plain water drank, g 993.9(937.3) 1,001.1(936.8) 933.7(940.2) 0.047
CRP status, n (%) 0.6
 Low 6463 (91.0) 5759 (91.1) 704 (90.5)
 High 747 (9.0) 663 (8.9) 84 (9.5)
eGFR, n (%) 0.4
 15–29.9 mL/min/1.73m2 44 (0.4) 39 (0.4) 5 (0.7)
 30–44.9 mL/min/1.73m2 154 (1.2) 130 (1.2) 24 (1.6)
 45–59.9 mL/min/1.73m2 373 (3.0) 319 (3.0) 54 (3.5)
 ≥60 mL/min/1.73m2 6639 (95.2) 5934 (95.4) 705 (94.2)
Diabetes, n (%) <0.001
 Yes 1081 (10.2) 897 (9.3) 184 (17.5)
 No 6129 (89.8) 5525 (90.7) 604 (82.5)
Myocardial infarction, n (%) <0.001
 Yes 394 (3.9) 310 (3.3) 84 (8.7)
 No 6816 (96.1) 6112 (96.7) 704 (91.3)
Heart failure, n (%) <0.001
 Yes 270 (2.6) 222 (2.4) 48 (4.7)
 No 6940 (97.4) 6200 (97.6) 740 (95.3)
Hypertension, n (%) <0.001
 Yes 3149 (37.1) 2709 (35.5) 440 (51.0)
 No 4061 (62.9) 3713 (64.5) 348 (49.0)
Stroke, n (%) <0.001
 Yes 334 (3.4) 271 (3.1) 63 (5.8)
 No 6876 (96.6) 6151 (96.9) 725 (94.2)
Gout, n (%) <0.001
 Yes 420 (4.7) 329 (4.1) 91 (9.8)
 No 6790 (95.3) 6093 (95.9) 697 (90.2)
Hypercholesterolemia, n (%) 0.001
 Yes 3229 (42.2) 2810 (41.1) 419 (51.3)
 No 3981 (57.8) 3612 (58.9) 369 (48.7)

For continuous variables, the p-value was determined using a weighted one-way analysis of variance, while for categorical variables, it was calculated using a weighted chi-square test.

3.1.2 Association between KSD and cardiovascular events.

We investigated the association between KSD and cardiovascular risks using logistic regression models (Table 2). In model 1, the risk of cardiovascular events among patients with a kidney stone history was higher compared to those without a kidney stone history. Compared with non-kidney stone individuals, ORs (95% CI) for risks of MI, heart failure, hypertension, and stroke among patients with kidney stones were 2.75 [95% CI, 1.93–3.93], 2.05 [95% CI, 1.48–2.83], 1.89 [95% CI, 1.50–2.38], and 1.92 [95% CI, 1.33–2.75], respectively. In model 2, the association between kidney stones and cardiovascular events risk remained significant. In models 3 and 4, kidney stone was only associated with an increased risk of AMI, but not heart failure, hypertension, or stroke. In model 4, significant associations were also observed between the development of kidney stones and the composite outcome of the individual events (OR, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.10–1.63]). The corresponding results are additionally provided in S1 Fig.

Table 2. The association between kidney stone disease and cardiovascular events.
Models Cardiovascular Events
Myocardial infarction Heart failure Hypertension Stroke All CV events
OR (95%CI) OR (95%CI) OR (95%CI) OR (95%CI) OR (95%CI)
Model1 2.75 (1.93, 3.93) *** 2.05 (1.48, 2.83) *** 1.89 (1.50, 2.38) *** 1.92 (1.33, 2.75) *** 2.07(1.77,2.41) ***
Model2 1.97 (1.34, 2.90) ** 1.51 (1.04, 2.19) * 1.57 (1.23, 2.02) *** 1.57 (1.08, 2.29) * 1.62(1.38,1.91) ***
Model3 1.83 (1.15, 2.94) * 1.36 (0.90, 2.06) 1.30 (0.99, 1.70) 1.47 (0.99, 2.19) 1.42(1.18,1.70) ***
Model4 1.88(1.09, 3.26) * 1.15 (0.72,1.85) 1.27 (0.95, 1.69) 1.39 (0.91, 2.13) 1.34(1.10,1.63) ***

OR: odds ratio. 95% CI: 95% confidence interval.

* p < 0.05.

** p < 0.01.

*** p < 0.001.

Model 1: crude model. Model 2: adjusted for demographic characteristics including age, gender, race and education attainment. Model 3: adjusted for age, gender, race, education attainment, BMI category, smoked 100 cigarettes, total calories, calcium intake, CRP status, eGFR, diabetes, gout and hypercholesterolemia. Model 4: adjusted for age, gender, race, education attainment, BMI category, smoked 100 cigarettes, total calories, calcium intake, CRP status, eGFR, diabetes, gout, hypercholesterolemia and other CVDs.

3.1.3 Stratified analyses.

We conducted a subgroup analysis stratified by age, sex, race, educational attainment, BMI, smoked 100 cigarettes, eGFR, diabetes, gout and hypercholesterolemia to further explore the relationship between kidney stones and MI outcomes in different populations. The effect of kidney stones on the main outcome was consistent across the preassigned subgroups of gender, age, race, educational attainment, BMI, smoked 100 cigarettes, eGFR, diabetes, gout and hypercholesterolemia. Interaction tests indicated that the association between KSD and MI did not exhibit statistically significant differences across the various strata (Fig 3).

Fig 3. Forest plots of AMI events in NHANES 2007–2010, by strata.

Fig 3

The plots exhibit the odd adjusted ratios (with corresponding 95% CIs) of AMI associated with kidney stone presentation during the study. P for interaction are a measure of the interaction between each characteristic and the risk of AMI associated with the KSD. Odds ratios were adjusted for age, sex, race, education attainment, BMI category, smoking 100 cigarettes, total calories, calcium intake, CRP status, diabetes, gout, hypertension and hypercholesterolemia.

3.2 Causal association between KSD and cardiovascular events in MR

After selection, nine SNPs were used in the MR analysis. Detailed information on these SNPs is presented in S1 Table. Results revealed that genetically predicted KSD was causally correlated with an elevated risk of coronary heart disease (OR 1.07 [95% CI, 1.04–1.53], P = 0.028), MI (OR, 1.08 [95% CI, 1.02–1.15], P = 0.015), and hypertention (OR 1.01 [95% CI, 1.00–1.02], P = 0.042) in IVW. Surprisingly, the occurrence of kidney stones reduced the risk of ischemic stroke (OR 0.86 [95% CI, 0.75–0.98], P = 0.022). However, a non-significant correlation was found in heart failure (OR 1.00 [95% CI, 0.99–1.00], P = 0.904) (Table 3), and a non-significant correlation was found in the MR-Egger. There was no pleiotropy in any of the cardiovascular event analyses, and some outcomes exhibited heterogeneity. Scatter plot and forest plot illustrating the association between KSD and cardiovascular events are presented in S2 and S3 Figs, respectively, where similar results can be observed.

Table 3. Mendelian randomization estimates for the association between kidney stone disease and cardiovascular events.

Outcome Inverse variance weighted MR-Egger Pleiotropy Heterogeneity
OR (95% CI) p-value OR (95% CI) p-value Intercept p-value Q p-value
Coronary heart disease 1.07 (1.04, 1.53) 0.028 1.23 (0.80, 1.89) 0.381 −0.0198 0.554 11.56 0.172
Myocardial infarction 1.08 (1.02, 1.15) 0.015 1.58 (1.07, 2.35) 0.062 −0.0551 0.104 7.10 0.418
Heart failure 1.00 (0.99, 1.00) 0.904 1.00 (0.99, 1.01) 0.405 −0.0001 0.392 15.98 0.030
Hypertension 1.01 (1.00, 1.02) 0.042 1.01 (0.96, 1.07) 0.715 −0.0009 0.834 31.47 <0.001
Stroke 0.86 (0.75, 0.98) 0.022 0.46 (0.21, 1.01) 0.101 0.09031 0.166 8.77 0.269
All CV events 1.01 (0.99, 1.02) 0.307 1.02 (0.95, 1.09) 0.640

OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; IVW, inverse variance weighted; MRPRESSO, Mendelian randomization-pleiotropy residual sum and outlier.

4 Discussion

Our ongoing research has identified a correlation between the occurrence of kidney stones and specific CVD. The consistency between the outcomes of observational studies and MR analyses reinforces the reliability of this discovery.

In a seminal study conducted by Elmfeldt [16] in 1976, a correlation between kidney stones and CVD was first established. However, the study population was limited to males and only adjusted for age, and there were no other studies available at the time to confirm these results.

Recently, Ferraro and Taylor [2] published the results of three large prospective cohort studies, including the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS), Nurses’ Health Study I (NHS I), and Nurses’ Health Study II (NHS II). The findings of this study align with those of our research. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, the hazard ratio (HR) for developing coronary heart disease in patients with stones in the NHS I cohort was 1.18 [95% CI, 1.08–1.28], and in the NHS II cohort, it was 1.48 [95% CI, 1.23–1.78]; however, this correlation disappeared in the HPFS cohort. This study found a gender difference between a history of kidney stones and the risk of coronary heart disease, although many studies have reported this phenomenon. This may be because women are more likely than men to be exposed to potential factors that increase the risk of cardiovascular and kidney stones. Although the authors investigated the composite outcomes of coronary heart disease, they were limited to MI. Our cardiovascular events included MI, heart failure, hypertension, and stroke. The article also lacks laboratory data, such as serum creatinine information, to exclude the potential impact of renal function on CVD.

Chien Yi Hsu [17] also published a longitudinal study on the association between urinary tract stones and the risk of MI and stroke in a population-based cohort database in Taiwan Province, China. After 10 years of follow-up, patients with urinary tract stones had an increased risk of future MI (HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.09–1.56]), stroke (HR, 1.39 [95% CI, 1.24–1.55], and total cardiovascular events (HR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.25–1.51]) than those in the control group. The study additionally incorporated variables such as the location of stones and the types of stone surgery, which was unavailable in previous studies.

The potential explanation of the relationship between kidney stones and cardiovascular events mostly focuses on the mediating effect, one of which is that kidney stones increase the incidence rate of certain cardiovascular risk factors (such as diabetes [18], hypertension [19,20], metabolic syndrome [21,22], and other diseases) and indirectly increase the risk of CVD. Alternatively, due to certain dietary or medication factors, kidney stones are associated with cardiovascular disease. For example, calcium intake (including dietary sources and supplements) may affect the risk of kidney stones and hypertension [23,24]. Thiazide drugs reduce the risk of kidney stones and hypertension and coronary heart disease [25,26]. However, the latest research exhibits that there is a non-significant difference in recurrence rate between patients with recurrent kidney stones who receive any dose of hydrochlorothiazide treatment and those who receive a placebo [27]. Moreover, kidney stones can contribute to the development of chronic kidney disease (CKD) by impairing renal function [28], and there is no doubt that CKD leads to an increase in the incidence rates and mortality of CVD [29,30].

Besides clinical research, basic experimental studies have also provided possible mechanisms for the potential pathways from stone formation to CVD. Chronic low systemic inflammation and oxidative stress may lead to kidney stone formation and cardiovascular events [31]. Oxidative stress and inflammatory state jointly promote the occurrence of endothelial dysfunction (ED), which can cause the imbalance of oxidative and antioxidant balance reactions in cells, leading to a cascade reaction of signaling pathways and an increase in inflammatory markers such as NADPH oxidase, adhesion molecules, COX-2, tumor necrosis factor α, interleukin-6, CRP, 8-hydroxydeoxyguanosine, 3-nitrotyrosine, and monocyte chemoattractant proteins [3234]. This leads to inflammation and fibrosis, which damages kidney function. Our study found that individuals without a baseline history of hypertension tended to have an increased risk of AMI associated with kidney stones. Perhaps due to the lack of competitive factors for cardiovascular events, such as hypertension, the impact of hypertension is relatively small, and the risk of AMI is relatively increased. This amplifies the risk of cardiovascular events; however, this explanation is speculative. Moreover, other traditional CVD-related factors, such as hyperlipidemia, smoking, or hypertension, are mechanistically associated with ED and oxidative stress [35]. This may be another possible reason why the risk of kidney stone-related AMI still exists, even after adjusting for relevant CVD risk factors.

Our findings indicate a significant association between kidney stones and an elevated risk of MI. After controlling for multiple variables, a non-significant association was found between kidney stones and other cardiovascular outcomes. One plausible explanation for this discrepancy is that individuals with kidney stones often undergo medical or surgical interventions, which may mitigate the severity and associated risks of other cardiovascular events.

In our study, we observed a non-significant gender-stratified association between a history of kidney stones and the risk of coronary heart disease. This finding contrasts with numerous previous meta-analyses [36,37] that have consistently reported gender disparities in the relationship between kidney stones and cardiovascular events. Recent research has highlighted gender-specific differences in microbial diversity as potential contributors to the varying risks of kidney stones that can precipitate coronary heart disease [38]. Furthermore, several studies have implicated racial disparities in this context. A study by Glover demonstrated that kidney stones are linked to a heightened 10-year risk of future atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events in non-Hispanic Black populations [39]. These differences may be due to the influence of unique and unknown factors in ethnic groups, increasing the risk of CVD and kidney stones.

In light of the observed correlation, it is advisable to implement screening protocols for cardiac dysfunction in patients with kidney stones. Patients diagnosed with urolithiasis may have an additional risk factor for CVD. This finding introduces novel perspectives for incorporating kidney stones into the risk stratification management of cardiovascular diseases. Evidence indicates that implementing lifestyle modifications may contribute to the prevention of both conditions [40,41]. By initiating early lifestyle interventions, such as DASH diet and exercise for weight reduction, alongside established risk factor prevention and control strategies, namely, the management of blood pressure, blood glucose, and lipid levels, this comprehensive approach may contribute to a reduction in the incidence of cardiovascular events among patients with urolithiasis [42]. Future prospective studies should be structured to determine whether interventions targeting kidney stones might mitigate the healthcare costs associated with CVDs, thereby potentially decreasing the need for unnecessary diagnostic procedures and pharmacological treatments in patients over the long term.

The advantage of this study lies in its comprehensive analysis of nationally representative samples and careful consideration of multiple confounding factors. Our study has several limitations that warrant consideration. The reliance on self-reported kidney stone history in the NHANES introduces potential biases, as such data are subject to underreporting and inaccuracies. Furthermore, the absence of detailed stone composition data in the NHANES and Finnish Biobank precludes the formulation of a comprehensive etiological hypothesis. Our analysis was further constrained by the exclusion of participants with incomplete data, which may have introduced a selection bias. However, we endeavored to mitigate this by employing sampling weights designed to adjust for non-response and ensure nationally representative estimates. The omission of sensitivity analysis in this study limits our ability to assess the robustness of the findings to different analytical assumptions. Finally, our results, derived from European and American populations, may not be generalizable to all ethnic groups, highlighting the need for further research in diverse populations.

5 Conclusion

In our study, which integrated NHANES data with MR analysis, we observed an elevated risk of certain CVD in individuals with a history of kidney stones. This association warrants further validation through rigorous studies. The underlying mechanisms linking kidney stones to CVD remain to be elucidated and necessitate more in-depth investigations.

Supporting information

S1 Table. Genetic instruments used in this MR study.

(DOCX)

pone.0330069.s001.docx (16.4KB, docx)
S1 Fig. Multi -state results: ORs and 95% CIs of cardiovascular events.

Model 1 adjusted for none. Model 2 adjusted for age, gender, race and education attainment. Model 3 further adjusted for BMI category, smoked 100 cigarettes, total calories, calcium intake, CRP status, eGFR, diabetes, gout and hypercholesterolemia. Model 4 further adjusted for other CVDs beyond the primary outcome. Abbreviations: OR, Odds Ratio; CI, confidence interval; CVDs, cardiovascular diseases.

(TIF)

pone.0330069.s002.tif (98.7KB, tif)
S2 Fig. Scatter plots for MR analyses of the causal effect of kidney stone disease on cardiovascular events.

(A) Coronary heart disease. (B) Myocardial infarction. (C) Heart failure. (D) Hypertension. (E) Stroke.

(TIF)

pone.0330069.s003.tif (508.7KB, tif)
S3 Fig. Forest plot to visualize causal effect of each single SNP of kidney stone disease and cardiovascular events.

(A) Coronary heart disease. (B) Myocardial infarction. (C) Heart failure. (D) Hypertension. (E) Stroke.

(TIF)

pone.0330069.s004.tif (635.4KB, tif)

Acknowledgments

The authors sincerely thank the authors who shared the original dataset in this study.

Data Availability

The data of this study are publicly available for free from the NHANES database (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes/).

Funding Statement

The author(s) received no specific funding for this work.

References

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Decision Letter 0

Ricardas Radisauskas

8 Apr 2025

Dear Dr. Liao,

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Thank you for your submitted manuscript.

The manuscript still has some essential shortcomings, which the authors must correct based on the reviewers' comments.

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

Reviewer #1: Partly

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

**********

2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? -->?>

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: I Don't Know

Reviewer #3: Yes

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Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

Reviewer #3: Yes

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Reviewer #1: Its an interesting article showing association of Kidney stone and cardiovascular risk. I recommend below improvements -

- Prevalence - provide a number in your introduction

- diagnosis of kidney stone ? was it made by Imaging or for someone who required intervention - lithotripsy? please clarify

- biggest limitation is no known renal function - no creatinine values? which would be the biggest confounder. This is well established that renal stone will cause CKD and CKD is a major risk for cardiovascular disease. is it possible to obtain lab values ?

Reviewer #2: Given the topic of kidney stone data and evaluating associations, the data is presented in an extremely complex way. For an average reader of this article, it has dense amount of statistical analysis without clarity.

Table 1 also needs better explanation. Text states that 7377 individuals selected but N was 7282 (including the Forest plot). Secondly, what is the "N" in No or Yes? That has no explanation and these multiple "N" categories are confusing.

In section 3.1.2 authors state heart failure was not significant but In Table 2, Heart Failure appears to be statistically significant. There seems to be discrepancy.

Reviewer #3: The manuscript explores a relevant topic with valuable implications and is based on a sound methodological framework. However, improvements are needed in clarity, organization, data presentation, and language to strengthen its overall quality and impact.

Major comments

- The objectives of the study need to be stated more clearly in the introduction. Currently, the aims are somewhat vague and scattered.

- More details should be provided regarding the study design and participant selection. For instance, information about sample size calculation, inclusion/exclusion criteria,

- Tables and figures need to be formatted more clearly, with consistent use of labels, units, and statistical indicators (e.g., p-values, confidence intervals).Some of the figures are difficult to interpret due to lack of descriptive legends and clarity.

- The discussion would benefit from a deeper integration of the study’s findings with existing literature, as there is little critical comparison with prior research. The implications of the results and potential directions for future studies are also underdeveloped. Additionally, language issues—such as “did not explained” instead of “did not explain” and phrases like “consent of participation”—negatively impact readability. A comprehensive proofreading or professional language review is strongly recommended.

**********

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Reviewer #2: No

Reviewer #3: No

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PLoS One. 2025 Sep 9;20(9):e0330069. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0330069.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 1


6 Jun 2025

Dear Editors and Reviewers:

Thank you for your letter and for the reviewers’ comments concerning our manuscript entitled “Kidney stone disease increases the risk of cardiovascular events” (ID: PONE-D-25-10263). Those comments are all valuable and very helpful for revising and improving our paper, as well as the important guiding significance to our researches. We have studied comments carefully and have made correction which we hope meet with approval.

To easily distinguish my answers from reviews’ comments, we highlight all of our answers in blue while keeping your letter and reviews’ comments in black in the Response letter.

Thank you again for your time and consideration.

Looking forward to hearing from you.

Referee Comments to Author

Reviewer #1:

Comments to the Author

1.Prevalence - provide a number in your introduction.

Reply: We gratefully appreciate for your valuable suggestion.

According to your comments, we have added a detailed description of the prevalence of kidney stones in the introduction section, and the revised sentence is presented as follows: “The worldwide prevalence of nephrolithiasis is estimated to range between 7.2% and 7.7%[1]” (pages 1-2).

2. Diagnosis of kidney stone? was it made by Imaging or for someone who required intervention - lithotripsy? please clarify.

Reply: We extend our sincere appreciation for the reviewer's insightful suggestions.

In the NHANES database, the diagnosis of kidney stones was ascertained using the Kidney Conditions-Urology survey within the questionnaire data. This survey was administered by trained interviewers in participants' homes, employing a computer-assisted personal interview (CAPI) system. Participants were queried with the question, "Have you ever had a kidney stone?" An affirmative response was used to classify the participant as having a history of kidney stones. We have added the relevant content to the methodology section of the manuscript.

In the context of Mendelian randomization, the cohort of individuals with urolithiasis was derived from the Finnish database, with genetic instrumental variables established based on samples exhibiting urolithiasis phenotypes. In the FinnGen consortium, 5347 cases of kidney stones were diagnosed based on N20 in the International Classification of Diseases Tenth Edition (ICD-10) and self-reported surgical codes. The accuracy of these codes for defining a kidney stone has been previously validated[2].

3. Biggest limitation is no known renal function - no creatinine values? which would be the biggest confounder. This is well established that renal stone will cause CKD and CKD is a major risk for cardiovascular disease. is it possible to obtain lab values?

Reply: We express our gratitude for the reviewer's insightful suggestions.

In response, we have incorporated the creatinine values of the patients and employed the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation to calculate the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on serum creatinine (Scr) levels. We excluded participants with baseline eGFR values below 15 ml/min/1.73 m², as well as those who were undergoing dialysis or had received a kidney transplant at baseline. For subsequent analyses, we included participants with eGFR values categorized as ≥60, 45-59.9, 30-44.9, and 15-29.9 ml/min/1.73m². After accounting for the confounding variable of renal creatinine levels, our analysis reveals a persistent significant association between kidney stone disease and myocardial infarction, as detailed in the results section.

Reviewer #2:

Comments to the Author

1.Given the topic of kidney stone data and evaluating associations, the data is presented in an extremely complex way. For an average reader of this article, it has dense amount of statistical analysis without clarity.

Reply: We express our gratitude for the insightful feedback offered by the reviewers. In response, we have conducted a thorough reanalysis of the manuscript's statistical components, ensuring that the presentation is as clear and comprehensible as possible. Additionally, we have incorporated several images and tables into the revised manuscript to enhance its clarity and accessibility.

2. Table 1 also needs better explanation. Text states that 7377 individuals selected but N was 7282 (including the Forest plot).

Reply: We gratefully appreciate for your valuable suggestion.

Firstly, the description of 7377 individuals in the text is incorrect and the original text should be revised to “In our observational research, we selected 7,282 individuals”. Table 1 illustrates the baseline characteristics of participants by kidney stone disease status. Following the re-conduct of the statistical analysis, the sample size (n) should be modified to 7210. We have conducted a reanalysis and detailed corrections in the manuscript.

3. Secondly, what is the "N" in No or Yes? That has no explanation and these multiple "N" categories are confusing.

Reply: We extend our sincere appreciation for the reviewer's insightful suggestions.

The NHANES database employs a complex, multi-stage probability sampling design, resulting in unequal probabilities of individual selection. Consequently, it is necessary to adjust for these unequal probabilities in subsequent analyses to ensure that the individual random sampling aligns with the overall distribution of sample characteristics.

In Table 1 of the original text, the "N" associated with the "No" or "Yes" responses denote the weighted population size, which differs from the actual sample size, n, that is unweighted. Typically, N=weight * n, and the proportions derived from N more accurately reflect the distribution of the actual population in the United States. In Table 1, n represents the number of unweighted observed samples, while the percentage (%) reflects the weighted proportion. To mitigate potential confusion arising from varied terminologies, we have opted to eliminate the weighted sample size N and consistently represent the population size using the unweighted sample size n. But subsequent analysis is based on the situation that can reflect the actual population distribution.

4. In section 3.1.2 authors state heart failure was not significant but In Table 2, Heart Failure appears to be statistically significant. There seems to be discrepancy.

Reply: Thank you for the valuable feedback provided by the reviewer. It may be that I did not clearly state the OR meaning of each variable.

Table 2 in the original manuscript is a multivariate model controlling for age, sex, race, education attainment, BMI category, CRP status, diabetes, hypertension, heart failure, gout, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, smoked 100 cigarettes, total calories, calcium intake. Therefore, the meaning of heart failure OR here should be that patients with heart failure have a higher adjusted OR for AMI (OR, 9.15 [95% CI, 5.81-15.5]).

To address potential misunderstandings associated with the original Table 2, we have revised it and presented an updated version. In this new Table 2, we have adjusted four models. Model 1 includes no variable adjustments, whereas Model 2 accounts for demographic characteristics such as age, gender, race, and educational attainment. Model 3 incorporates additional adjustments for BMI category, history of smoking (defined as having smoked 100 cigarettes), CRP status, eGFR, diabetes, gout, hypercholesterolemia, total caloric intake and calcium intake. Furthermore, Model 4 includes adjustments for other cardiovascular diseases beyond the primary outcome. The results indicate that the association between kidney stones and myocardial infarction remains statistically significant across all four models. For a detailed result, please refer to Section 3.1.2 of the article, which addresses the relationship between kidney stone disease (KSD) and cardiovascular events.

Reviewer #3:

Comments to the Author

1. The manuscript explores a relevant topic with valuable implications and is based on a sound methodological framework. However, improvements are needed in clarity, organization, data presentation, and language to strengthen its overall quality and impact.

Reply: We express our sincere gratitude to the reviewers for their constructive feedback aimed at improving the clarity, organization, data presentation, and linguistic quality of our manuscript. These invaluable suggestions will undoubtedly enhance the rigor and accessibility of our research.

In terms of clarity, we have removed seemingly plausible conclusions, made further modifications to the results section, and redrawn unclear charts. For details, please refer to the results section of the manuscript.

In terms of organization, the introduction and discussion sections have been restructured, and the logic and causal inference sections have been further revised and integrated. For specific details, please consult the manuscript.

In terms of data presentation, we have added a process analysis on Mendelian randomization. This will facilitate a clearer comprehension of the Mendelian randomization process and its associated implications for readers (Fig 1, Fig 2 in the revised manuscript). We have revised the forest plot illustrating the interactions within the subgroup analysis to enhance the clarity and immediate comprehensibility of the data (Fig 2, S1 Fig in the revised manuscript). Besides, to enhance the rigor of the Mendelian randomization process, we have incorporated pertinent scatter plots and forest plots into the supplementary materials (Fig 3, S2 Fig in the revised manuscript and Fig 4, S3 Fig in the revised manuscript)).

In terms of language, we apologize for the poor language of our manuscript. We worked on the manuscript for a long time and the repeated addition and removal of sentences and sections obviously led to poor readability. We have now worked on both language and readability and have also involved native English speakers for language corrections. We really hope that the flow and language level have been substantially improved. we have polished our manuscript carefully and corrected the grammatical, styling, and typos found in our manuscript.

Major comments

1. The objectives of the study need to be stated more clearly in the introduction. Currently, the aims are somewhat vague and scattered.

Reply: We express our gratitude for the reviewer's insightful suggestions. In response, we have restructured the introduction and incorporated a distinct paragraph to elucidate the purpose of our research. The details are as follows: “… Studies have demonstrated that the development of nephrolithiasis is affected by genetic predispositions, environmental conditions, dietary habits, physical activity levels, and various other determinants. Kidney stones are linked to systemic conditions, including hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia, which are recognized as risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Consequently, it is imperative to elucidate the relationship between kidney stones and cardiovascular disease. … Given the rising incidence of kidney stones over the years, a precise evaluation of their associated cardiovascular risks is essential for alerting patients and facilitating effective health interventions. Patients with kidney stones should focus on modifying cardiovascular risk factors to mitigate the comorbidity risk of both conditions. Furthermore, elucidating the relationship between KSD and cardiovascular events is of substantial importance for advancing our understanding of the etiology of these diseases. We conducted a cross-sectional study based on NHANES to determine the relationship between kidney stones and cardiovascular events. Following this, a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was applied to further explore the causal relationship between these two conditions, employing genetic markers associated with kidney stones as instrumental variables to infer causal relationships with specific cardiovascular disease outcomes. This approach is more resistant to biases associated with confounding variables and the issue of reverse causality that can plague traditional observational research” (Page 9-10 in the revised manuscript).

2. More details should be provided regarding the study design and participant selection. For instance, information about sample size calculation, inclusion/exclusion criteria,

Reply: Thank you very much indeed for your comments.

Owing to the cross-sectional design of the study and accompanying literature review, the global prevalence of kidney stones is estimated to be approximately 7.2-7.7%. The sample size for a cross-sectional study is calculated using the formula: n=(Zσ2×pq)/d2, where Zσ represents the significance test statistic. For a significance level α of 0.05, Zσ is 1.96. Here, p is the estimated prevalence of kidney stones, set at 8%, q=1-p, and d is the allowable error, specified as 0.02. Using these parameters, the minimum required sample size n is calculated to be 707. Accounting for a potential data and quality loss of 10%, the adjusted minimum sample size required is 785. Based on the established inclusion and exclusion criteria, a total of 7210 participants were included in the study, thereby exceeding the minimum sample size requirement. In my study, logistic regression analysis was used with 16 variables. According to previous research, the sample size should be 5, 10, or 20 times the number of variables[3]. A sample size of 320 would comply with the strictest empirical rule. The inclusion of 7210 research subjects also meets the sample size requirements for multivariate regression analysis.

Due to the lack of relevant content on sample size calculation in the methodology section of most literature, our description of sample size is as follows: “This study selected two NHANES cycles from 2007 to 2010 to assess the association between kidney stones and cardiovascular events. A total of 20,688 participants were initially enrolled. After excluding participants aged < 18 years (n = 7933), those with incomplete data on KSD (n = 645) or cardiovascular events (n = 61), those with incomplete data on other covariates (n = 4767), and those with recorded estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values under 15 ml/min/1.73 m², as well as those who had undergone dialysis or kidney transplantation (n = 72). 7210 participants were included in our final analysis”.

In a word, our inclusion criteria include: This study selected two NHANES cycles from 2007 to 2010 to assess the association between kidney stones and cardiovascular events. A total of 20688 participants were initially enrolled. Exclusion criteria include: (A) participants aged <18 years(n = 7933), (B) participants with incomplete data on kidney stone disease (n = 645) or cardiovascular events (n = 61), (C) participants with incomplete data on other covariates (n = 4767), and participants with recorded estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values under 15 ml/min/1.73 m², as well as those who had undergone dialysis or kidney transplantation (n = 72).

3. Tables and figures need to be formatted more clearly, with consistent use of labels, units, and statistical indicators (e.g., p-values, confidence intervals). Some of the figures are difficult to interpret due to lack of descriptive legends and clarity.

Reply: We agree with this comment and have updated Table 1. We have implemented the relevant modifications to the description in the revised manuscript: “In our observational study, we selected 7,210 individuals. Table 1 presents the baseline characteristics of the participants according to KSD status. We compared the demographic differences between participants with and without kidney stones (Table 1). Participants with kidney stones were significantly more likely to be older (55.7 versus 50.6 years), have a higher incidence of diabetes mellitus (17.5% versus 9.3%), a higher risk of gout (9.8% versus 4.1%), and a higher risk of hypercholesterolemia (51.3% versus 41.1%) (all P < 0.001).”

Table 2 will be revised and updated for presentation purposes, ensuring the use of consistent labels, units, and statistical indicators. Additionally, descriptive explanations for each model will be incorporated. The details are as follows: “We investigated the ass

Attachment

Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

pone.0330069.s006.docx (750.4KB, docx)

Decision Letter 1

Ricardas Radisauskas

28 Jul 2025

<p>Kidney stone disease increases the risk of cardiovascular events

PONE-D-25-10263R1

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Reviewer #3: The manuscript presents original and well-validated findings that make a meaningful contribution to the understanding of kidney stone disease and its cardiovascular implications. With minor clarifications and edits, especially in the presentation of results and discussion of mendelian randomization interpretations, it is suitable for publication in PLOS ONE.

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Acceptance letter

Ricardas Radisauskas

PONE-D-25-10263R1

PLOS ONE

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Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Table. Genetic instruments used in this MR study.

    (DOCX)

    pone.0330069.s001.docx (16.4KB, docx)
    S1 Fig. Multi -state results: ORs and 95% CIs of cardiovascular events.

    Model 1 adjusted for none. Model 2 adjusted for age, gender, race and education attainment. Model 3 further adjusted for BMI category, smoked 100 cigarettes, total calories, calcium intake, CRP status, eGFR, diabetes, gout and hypercholesterolemia. Model 4 further adjusted for other CVDs beyond the primary outcome. Abbreviations: OR, Odds Ratio; CI, confidence interval; CVDs, cardiovascular diseases.

    (TIF)

    pone.0330069.s002.tif (98.7KB, tif)
    S2 Fig. Scatter plots for MR analyses of the causal effect of kidney stone disease on cardiovascular events.

    (A) Coronary heart disease. (B) Myocardial infarction. (C) Heart failure. (D) Hypertension. (E) Stroke.

    (TIF)

    pone.0330069.s003.tif (508.7KB, tif)
    S3 Fig. Forest plot to visualize causal effect of each single SNP of kidney stone disease and cardiovascular events.

    (A) Coronary heart disease. (B) Myocardial infarction. (C) Heart failure. (D) Hypertension. (E) Stroke.

    (TIF)

    pone.0330069.s004.tif (635.4KB, tif)
    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

    pone.0330069.s006.docx (750.4KB, docx)

    Data Availability Statement

    The data of this study are publicly available for free from the NHANES database (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes/).


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