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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2025 Sep 12.
Published in final edited form as: Aggress Violent Behav. 2024 Jan 4;75:101909. doi: 10.1016/j.avb.2023.101909

The relationship between cash-based interventions and violence: A systematic review and evidence map

Daiane Borges Machado a,b,*, Noemia Teixeira de Siqueira Filha a,c, Fanny Cortes a, Luís FS Castro-de-Araujo a,d, Flavia Jôse Oliveira Alves a,e, Dandara Ramos a,e, Erika Fialho Xavier a, Fernando Zanghelini f, William Rudgard g, David K Humphreys g, Maurício L Barreto a,e
PMCID: PMC12425482  NIHMSID: NIHMS2109110  PMID: 40949695

Abstract

Violence of all types is a global public health problem. Cash-based incentives can potentially reduce violence outcomes by reducing economic hardership. We aim to deliver a comprehensive systematic review of the relationship between cash-based incentives with a variety of violence outcomes.

We searched studies assessing the relationship between cash-based incentives with violence outcomes at PubMed, EMBASE, Global Health and LILACS from the database’s creation until July 12th, 2023. We evaluated the relationship of cash-based incentives on five types of violence outcome: intimate partner violence (IPV), child maltreatment, suicide, youth violence, and general violence. Cash-based incentives were grouped into Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT), Unconditional Cash Transfer (CCT), cash in combination with interventions other than cash(cash+), tax credits, cash for work and start-up grants. We classified the strength of evidence according to the study design and quality. An evidence map was developed to indicate gaps in the literature and impact (reduction, null and mixed). This systematic review is registered on PROSPERO, number CRD42020167049. The strength of evidence was mainly classified as moderate, or limited. The evidence map indicated research gaps on the effect of cash+ and cash for work on suicide and general violence, tax credit on general violence and start-up grants on child maltreatment, suicide, and general violence.

Despite the important number of mixed evidence, we found strong and very strong evidence that cash-based interventions reduced transactional and age-disparate sex among girls, suicide, IPV victimisation, physical, emotional and sexual IPV, and physical child maltreatment. Future studies should focus on the gaps found in this review.

Keywords: Systematic review, Cash-based interventions, Cash transfer, Violence, IPV, Child maltreatment, Homicide, And suicide

1. Introduction

Violence is a global public health problem with lifelong consequences on health and well-being. It affects mental, physical, sexual, and reproductive health, leading to chronic health problems and alterations in behaviour, such as social isolation and hypervigilance (World Health Organization, 2014). Women, children, and old people are the most common victims of violence and human rights violations (World Health Organization, n.d., 2020). In 2017, deaths resulting from violence – including homicide, intimate partner violence (IPV) and violence against children – resulted in higher mortality than deaths from all armed conflicts worldwide (United Nations, 2020). Besides the severe social impact, the high economic burden is another consequence of violence, with some estimates showing that gender-based violence could cost USD 1.5 trillion to the global economy, or 2 % of the global Gross Domestic Product (UN Women, 2016). Studies have found a strong association between violence and socioeconomic determinants, such as unemployment, limited educational opportunities, income, and gender inequalities (Chioda et al., 2016; Machado et al., 2018; Meloni, 2014; Stickley et al., 2012). Therefore, the implementation of social protection programmes could play an important role in reducing these inequalities, and potentially reduce violence outcomes (World Bank, 2018).

Social protection is defined as a set of policies and programmes designed to reduce and prevent poverty and vulnerability. According to the World Social Protection report published in 2021, 46.9 % of the world population was covered by at least one social protection benefit in 2020. Eighty-four percent (84 %) of Europe and Central Asia had their populations covered by this benefit, followed by the Americas 68 %, Asia and the Pacific 39 %, and Africa 18 % (International Labour Organization, 2021). Over the past 20 years, governments have been increasing investments in large-scale social protection programmes, particularly those based on cash transfers (Department for International Development, 2015). As a result, cash-based incentives have spread quickly during the last decade, particularly in developing countries. These programmes can have conditionalities (conditional cash transfer - CCT), or not (unconditional cash transfer - UCT). Conditionalities may require attendance at prenatal appointments and health promotion activities, school attendance for children and adolescents, and mandatory vaccinations for children (Barrientos & DeJong, 2006; Fiszbein & Schady, 2009).

The association between cash interventions and crimes may occur since socioeconomic hardship can increase the chances of people becoming involved in violent crimes (Hsieh & Pugh, 1993). Individuals who face high levels of economic frustration, when comparing themselves with individuals living in better situations, may be at a greater risk of committing an act of aggression against others, or themselves. An increase in income in a family with minimal resources reduces socioeconomic hardship, increases access to consumer goods, and reduces stress, family disruption, and alcohol consumption (Hidrobo et al., 2016).

Social and economic factors have been shown to be associated with suicide (Ahmed et al., 2001; Baird et al., 2013; Haushofer & Shapiro, 2016; Kilburn et al., 2016). There is some evidence of the existence of a cyclical association between poverty and poor mental health in low- and middle-income countries (Lund et al., 2011). Stress associated with economic circumstances and greater exposure to violence and traumatic situations may increase the risk of mental illness among people living in poverty (Lund et al., 2011). On the other hand, poor mental health can increase poverty by reducing the chances of employment, productivity at work, as well as a greater risk of job loss and, therefore, income, while also increasing expenses with medication and the cost of treatment (Krumpal, 2013; Lund et al., 2011; Van De Mortel, 2008).

Recent systematic reviews have explored the effect of cash-based incentives on different types of violence, mainly IPV, and focused on Low and Middle-Income countries (LMICs). Leite et al. (2019) included eight studies addressing cash transfers and evaluated the impact of this intervention on IPV. The review showed mixed results, with randomised trials likely to show a protective effect, and observational surveys likely to show a null impact of cash transfers on this type of violence (Leite et al., 2019). Buller et al. (2018) identified 14 quantitative studies analysing the impact of cash transfers on IPV. The authors suggested that cash transfers impacted violence, through the pathways of economic security, well-being, reduced household conflicts, and women’s empowerment. Again, these pathways could have ambiguous effects, and the impact on violence depends on the programme design and behavioural responses (Buller et al., 2018). Gibbs et al. (2017) included 13 studies analysing cash transfer interventions, also finding a mixed effect. The review indicated that unconditional cash transfers reduced, or had a null effect on both IPV and HIV risk behaviours, such as transactional and age-disparate sex (Gibbs et al., 2017). An evidence map by Cross et al. (2018), including 28 studies, demonstrated that multipurpose grants reduced gender-based violence (Cross et al., 2018). A review by Peterman et al. (2017) included 14 studies from LMICs, and indicated: (1) that one in five represent the protective effects of social safety nets on childhood violence, (2) promising evidence on young child measures, including violent discipline, and (3) sexual violence among female adolescents in Africa (less clear evidence of significant impacts in other parts of the developing world) (Peterman et al., 2017). A meta-analysis of 14 studies on IPV from LMICs found that cash transfers reduced physical violence by 4 percentage points, emotional violence by 2 percentage points, and controlling behaviours by 4 percentage points (Baranov et al., 2021). Additional meta-analysis of three studies from LMICs suggested that cash+ child protection programmes had the same effect as CCT/UCT in reducing the violent parental discipline of children (Little et al., 2021). A third meta-analysis of 19 randomised controlled trials found an association between women’s economic empowerment and a reduction in emotional, sexual, and physical IPV (Eggers & Steinert, 2020). Table S2 in the Supplementary material provides an overview of these and other reviews which have been recently published (Arango & Ellsberg, 2014; Bourey et al., 2015; Ellsberg et al., 2015; Tankard & Iyengar, 2018; Tappis et al., 2018; Vyas & Watts, 2009; Yount et al., 2017; Zurcher, 2017).

Despite the literature available, most of these reviews focused on LMICs, and addressed limited types of cash transfer interventions, and specific forms of interpersonal violence, such as IPV, or violence against children. However, the impact of cash-based incentives may apply to a broader range of interpersonal violence outcomes, such as community and gang violence, and so forth. Additionally, the effect of cash-based incentives is still mixed, with studies indicating both positive and negative relationships of these programmes on violence outcomes. None of the literature reviews available evaluated the strength of the evidence, concluding the direction of the relationship which had been provided until this time. Therefore, our objective was to deliver a comprehensive review of the relationship of cash-based incentives on IPV, child maltreatment, youth violence, general violence and suicide. We also aim to provide the strength and direction of the evidence and research gaps by using an evidence map.

2. Methods

2.1. Search strategy

In this systematic review, we searched for peer-reviewed articles on PubMed, EMBASE, Lilacs and Global Health, from the establishment of the database until July 12th, 2023. We applied a combination of Mesh terms and keywords related to cash-based incentives and violence outcomes. PubMed was queried using the following search string one, while search string two was applied to the remaining datasets.

  1. “cash transfer*” OR “direct transfer*” OR “funds transfer*” OR “monetary transfer*” OR “social transfer*” OR “income transfer*” OR “Food Assistance”[Mesh] OR “social protection” OR “social program*” OR “safety net*” OR “cash voucher*” OR “cash allowance” OR “social transfer*” OR “financial transfer*” OR “social grant*” OR “basic grant*” OR “minimum income” OR “social assistance” OR “income support” OR ((money[TIAB] OR monetary[TIAB] OR cash) AND (intervention[TIAB] OR support[TIAB] OR payment [TIAB])) AND (Crime[MESH] OR crime[TIAB] OR robbery[TIAB] OR assault[TIAB] OR theft[TIAB] OR “drug trafficking” OR fraud [TIAB] OR rape[TIAB] OR “sex offence”[TIAB] OR torture[TIAB] OR “physical abuse” OR violence[TIAB] OR Aggression[Mesh] OR aggression[TIAB] OR homicide[TIAB] OR Suicide[MESH] OR suicide[TIAB] OR self-harm[TIAB] OR abuse[TIAB] OR injur*[MESH] OR injur*[TIAB] OR maltreat*[TIAB] OR mistreat*[TIAB] OR neglect[TIAB])

  2. (“cash transfer*” OR “direct transfer*” OR “funds transfer*” OR “monetary transfer*” OR “social transfer*” OR “income transfer*” OR “Food Assistance” OR “social protection” OR “social program*” OR “safety net*” OR “cash voucher*” OR “cash allowance” OR “social transfer*” OR “financial transfer*” OR “social grant*” OR “basic grant*” OR “minimum income” OR “social assistance” OR “income support” OR ((money OR monetary OR cash) AND (intervention OR support OR payment))) AND (crime OR robbery OR assault OR theft OR “drug trafficking” OR fraud OR rape OR “sex offence” OR torture OR “physical abuse” OR violence OR aggression OR homicide OR suicide OR self-harm OR abuse OR injur* OR maltreat* OR mistreat* OR neglect)

We also screened the reference list of relevant studies and previous systematic reviews on the theme and contacted experts in the field to recommend peer-review articles not captured by our search strategy. This systematic review is registered on PROSPERO, number CRD42020167049.

2.2. Study selection and inclusion criteria

We included intervention and observational peer-review articles at the global level, published in English, Spanish, French, and Portuguese. The outcome of interest was the relationship between cash-based incentives and violence outcomes (CaLP, 2018). Thus, a range of programmes has been covered in this review, such as conditional and unconditional cash transfers, cash for work, tax credits, and cash-based labour market programmes, such as start-up grants.

Cash transfers were implemented in programs either without conditionalities monitoring and in conjunction with them or alternatively as an addition with other interventions (Cash+), such as early childhood development coaching programmes, community activities, skills training, and others. Studies assessing Microcredit and other financial schemes, as well as housing voucher interventions without a mention of a cash component, were excluded from the analysis.

Violence outcomes included IPV (physical, sexual, and psychological), youth violence, child maltreatment, suicide, and general violence (see definitions in Table 1).

Table 1.

Operational definitions of violence outcomes.

Violence outcomes Operational definitions
IPV/gender-based violence Sexual abuse, physical and/or psychological violence committed by an intimate partner. IPV includes harmful and potentially harmful acts, sexual coercion or assaults, threats to kill or harm, restraint of normal activities, or freedom and denial of access to resources. IPV may also be continuous exposure to behaviours designed to control and dominate.
Youth violence (among 10–29 years old) Adolescent violence perpetration and violence against adolescents. It includes robbery, vandalism, and carrying a knife or gun, physical violence, rape, transactional sexual exploitation sex in exchange for food, shelter, school fees, transport, or money, age-disparate sex (sexual partner more than five years older than the adolescent).
Child maltreatment Abuse that occurs to children under the age of 18. It includes all types of physical violence, such as insults, being shouted or screamed at, shaken, slapped, or beaten, as a form of punishment.
Suicide Intentional self-inflicted injury and attempted.
General violence Robbery, theft, violent crime, vandalism, drug crime, property crime, larceny, robbery, aggravated assault, and homicide

2.3. Screening, data extraction and quality assessment

Screening by title and abstract and full-text review was conducted independently by two reviewers (NTSF and FC), and conflicts were resolved via discussion with a third reviewer (DBM). Data extraction was performed independently by two reviewers (NTSF and FC) by using a predesigned extraction form in the format of Excel spreadsheet. The form included information about the study design, methods, outcomes and estimates. Any disagreements were resolved via discussion with a third reviewer (DBM). For quality and bias assessments of intervention studies, we used the Cochrane tool for trials (The Cochrane Collaboration, 2011). For observational studies (e.g. cross-sectional, case-control, and cohort), we used an adaptation of the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute (NIH) tool (NIH, n.d.) (see adaptations in the Supporting information). In all of these tools, we included the “other bias” item, describing limitations reported by the study authors. Intervention and observational studies were classified into three categories: high (score > 4), moderate (score: 3–4), and low quality (score < 3). For ecological studies, we described the study limitations and source of bias.

2.4. Data analysis

We synthesised our findings as narrative summaries and tables. We also developed an evidence map (Miake-Lye et al., 2016), to report the type and strength of evidence, research gaps and future research needs, by grouping the body of evidence according to the type of intervention (conditional and unconditional cash transfers, cash+, cash for work, tax credits, and start-up grants) (Table 2), violence outcome (IPV, general violence, violent punishment, sexual violence, adolescent violence perpetration and suicide) and outcome (null effect, reduction, and increase in violence). We then ranked the body of evidence according to the quality and hierarchy of the studies (Table 3). We adapted this classification from Thachil et al., 2007 (Thachil et al., 2007).

Table 2.

Types of cash-based incentives.

Types of cash-based incentives Description
Conditional cash transfer (CCT) Prerequisite activities or obligations that the recipient needs to fulfil, to continue receiving the transfer (CaLP, 2018; Pellerano et al., 2016)
Unconditional cash transfer (UCT) Transfers provided without the recipient having to fulfil any requirements, in order to receive assistance (CaLP, 2018; Pellerano et al., 2016)
Cash+ Cash interventions (CCT or UCT) combined with interventions other than cash
Cash for work Cash payments provided on the condition of undertaking designated work (The United Nations Refugee Agency, 2012)
Start-up grant Offer of cash to encourage families to start a business (Green et al., 2015)
Tax credit Refers to credit taxpayers can subtract from their tax obligations, based on the family composition, e.g. if they are married and have children, etc. (Sykes et al., 2015).

Table 3.

Evidence quality grading system.

Type of evidence Quality assessment tool Quality score Strength of evidence grade
The body of evidence includes at least one well-designed, randomised, controlled trial. Cochrane tool One intervention study ranked = 5 Type I evidence, very strong
The body of evidence includes at least one randomised controlled trial with minor limitations, or one well-designed observational study (cohort or case-control). Cochrane and NIH tools One intervention study ranked = 4, or one observational study ranked = 5 Type II evidence, strong
The body of evidence only includes observational studies (cohort, case-control, cross-sectional, or longitudinal surveys), or intervention studies with minor limitations. Cochrane and NIH tools Intervention studies ranked = 3, or observational studies ranked = 4 Type III evidence, moderate
The body of evidence only includes studies with major limitations. Cochrane and NIH tools Only intervention studies ranked<3, or observational studies ranked<4 Type IV evidence, limited

3. Results

Of 5238 unique records identified, plus the reference list and expert consultancy, a total of 48 were included in our review (Fig. 1). Most studies were from the Americas (24; 50 %), followed by Africa (17; 35.4 %), Western Pacific Region (3; 6.2 %), the Eastern Mediterranean (2; 4.2 %) and South-East Asia (2; 4.2 %). Twelve studies were from high-income settings: the United States and Uruguay; 16 from upper-middle income countries (Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador, Mexico, and South Africa); 11 from lower-middle income countries (Bangladesh, Gaza, Indonesia, Kenya, Pakistan, Philippines, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe), and nine from low-income countries (Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Liberia, Mali, Papua New Guinea, Rwanda, Togo and Uganda). The cash-based incentives included in this review were: the Bolsa Familia programme in Brazil, Prospera and Oportunidades in Mexico, Bono de Desarrollo Humano and the World Food Programme in Ecuador, the Unemployed Heads of Household Programme in Argentina, Ingreso Cuidadano and Plan de Equidad in Uruguay, the Minnesota Family Investment Program (MFIP), EITC, Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) and Child Tax Credit in the USA, Rwanda’s cash-for-work, the Vision Umurenge Programme in Rwanda, the Government of Zimbabwe’s Harmonized Social Cash Transfer, the Empowerment of Girls in Liberia, Trickle Up in Burkina Faso, the Women’s Income Generating Support programme in Uganda, Programme de Filets Sociaux in Mali, Transfer Modality Research Initiative in Bangladesh, Program Keluarga Harapan in Indonesia, Palestinian National Cash Transfer Programme in the Gaza Strip, and the Benazir Income Support Programme in Pakistan, Productive Social Safety Net in Tanzania, Women of Worth in South Africa, Pantawid Pamilya Pilipino Programme and MaPa teens in the Philippines and Papua New Guinea. Seventeen studies (35.4 %) reported the effect of cash-based incentives on IPV, 11 on youth violence (22.9 %), eight (16.7 %) child maltreatment, five (10.4 %) assessed mixed outcomes, four (8.3 %) addressed suicide and three (6.2 %) focused on general violence. Our analysis found studies examining the impact of six types of cash-based incentives (CCT, UCT, cash+, start-up grants, cash for work, and tax credits) on different forms of violence. Most studies focused on CCT/UCT interventions with seventeen studies (35 %), followed by cash+ interventions with 16 studies (33.3 %), eight on tax credit (16.7 %), four on cash for work (8.3 %), three on startup grants (6.3 %). The main study characteristics are described in Table 4. A summary of the key-results by cash-based incentives and violence outcome is provided below, and in Table 5.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1.

Study selection.

* Wrong publication type: case report; protocol; news article; editorial; thesis; conference abstract; comment; law; bulletin; book chapter; working paper; brief report * Wrong outcome: not addressing violence; civil conflict; armed conflicts; wars; terrorism; social segregation * Wrong population: animal and plants studies Foreign language: studies not published in English, Portuguese, Spanish or French.

Table 4.

Study characteristics.

Reference Country Study design, violence, tool/data source Sample size Intervention Recipient Transfer characteristics
CCT or UCT
Machado 2022 Brazil Quasi-experimental Observational, cohort 100 Million Brazilian Cohort Suicide 114,008,317 individuals BFP
CCT
Conditionalities: minimum of 85 % school attendance (children); attending health care appointments (prenatal care-women; vaccination-children)
Monthly per capita income of <BRL 70, or < BRL 140 if child, adolescent, or pregnant woman in the family Amount: BRL 70 in 2014
Size: 9 % of the Brazilian minimum wage
Frequency: monthly
Iqbal 2021 Pakistan Observational, cross-sectional
Women’s empowerment in impact evaluation survey IPV
9975 households Benazir Income Support Programme (BISP)
Unconditional cash transfer (UCT)
Poor women Amount (2020): Rs. 6000
Frequency: quarterly
Carvalho 2021 Brazil Observational, cross-sectional
The Parent-Child Conflict Tactics Scales (CTSPC) Child maltreatment
274 patients attending a psychosocial care unit BFP CCT Low-income families NR
Borraz 2020 Uruguay Ecological
Banco de Previsión Social, Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Ministry of the Interior
IPV, general violence
24 policy jurisdictions Ingreso Cuidadano (in 2002)
Plan de Equidad (in 2008)
Conditional cash transfer (CCT)
Conditionalities: school attendance records and regular health status control for each child in the household
Women (~95 %) Amount: Ingreso Cuidadano programme - USD67 (2014 US dollars)
Plan de Equidad programme - increasing the cash payment from around USD67 to USD131, and a 15 % increase in the number of beneficiaries.
Frequency: monthly
Leite 2020 Brazil Observational, cross-sectional
Structured questionnaire IPV
807 women BFP
CCT
Conditionalities: educational and health actions aimed at children and adolescents
Poor and extremely poor families (monthly p.c. income of up to USD 80) Frequency: monthly
Litwin 2019 Brazil Ecological
Sistema de Informações de Mortalidade (National mortality data base – SIM)
IPV
2199 municipalities BFP
CCT
Conditionalities: health and education conditions
Poor and extremely poor families Amount: USD5 per child, and maximum of USD19 in 2006
Size: 30 % of the p.c. poverty line
Frequency: monthly
Roy 2019 a Bangladesh Cluster randomised controlled trial
IPV modules in the WHO Violence against Women instrument, Early Childhood Development Child maltreatment, IPV
2749 mother-child pairs Transfer Modality Research Initiative (TMRI)
Cash transfer (CT)
* TMRI was evaluated alone and with a behaviourial change in communication (BCC)
Mothers with a child aged between 0 and 24 months Amount: 1500 taka (approximately USD19) per household
Frequency: monthly
Christian 2019 Indonesia Ecological and Cluster-randomised controlled trial
Censuses of all Indonesian villages (PODES)
Suicide
3138 subdistricts (ecological)
310 subdistricts (RCT)
Program Keluarga Harapan CCT
Conditionalities: participation in health and education services
Poor households Amount: between $39 and $220
Size: about 10 % of pre-PKH yearly household expenditure
Frequency: annual
Kilburn 2018 South Africa Randomised controlled trial Audio Computer-Assisted SelfInterview (ACASI)
IPV
2448 young women CCT
Conditionalities: school attendance
Young women and their parent/guardian Amount: 100 Rand (~USD 10) for young women; 200 Rand (~USD 20) for the parent/guardian (2012 conversion rates)
Size: 34–68 % (“At the baseline, monthly per capita household expenditure was 295 Rand”)
Frequency: monthly
Machado 2018 Brazil Ecological
Brazilian Ministry of Health’s Mortality Information System, Hospitalisation Information System
General violence
5507 municipalities BFP
CCT (municipal coverage)
Conditionalities: children’s school attendance, women and children’s health care appointments
Family with monthly p.c. income <USD 22, or < USD 44 if the family includes a child, adolescent, or pregnant woman NR
Alves 2018 Brazil Ecological
Health Informatics
Department of the Brazilian Ministry of Health Suicide
5507 municipalities BFP
CCT
Conditionalities: monitoring of vaccinations and nutritional surveillance of children, pre-natal care for pregnant and postpartum women, and school attendance for children and adolescents
Mothers from extremely poor families (monthly family income of up to BRL 70) Amount: BRL 70 in 2012; variable benefit of BRL 32 (when p.c. household income < BRL 140)
Frequency: monthly
Chioda 2016 Brazil Ecological
INFOCRIM database: COMPSTAT-like crime tracking system from the Secretariat of Public Security of the State of São Paulo
General violence
2324 students BFP and Sao Paulo’s Renda Minima
CCT
Conditionalities BFP: school enrolment, participation in vaccination programmes, growth and development calendar, prenatal care for pregnant women, and health monitoring for lactating women.
Conditionalities - Renda Minima: school enrolment and minimum attendance, and fulfilment of a vaccination calendar
Families with a monthly per capita (p.c.) income <BRL70, or adolescents of families with a monthly p.c. income <BRL140. Amount BFP (2009): BRL68 for families with a monthly p.c. income <BRL70. For families with a monthly p.c. income <BRL140: variable benefit of BRL22 per child under the age of 15 (max 3 children) and variable youth benefit of BRL33 per adolescent aged 16–17 (max 2 adolescents). Maximum BFP benefit amount: BRL200 per family, for families with a monthly p.c. income <BRL70, 3 children under the age of 15, and 2 adolescents aged 16–17. Total amount = BFP + Renda Minima: BRL140 for families with one child, BRL170 for families with two children, and BRL200 for families with three or more children
Size: Bolsa Familia transfers would amount to between 14 % and 32 % of the aggregate household income
Frequency: monthly
Meloni 2014 Argentina Ecological
Bureau of Criminal Statistics (Dirección Nacional de Política Criminal, Ministerio de Justicia y Derechos Humanos)
General violence
23 provinces Unemployed Heads of Household Program (UHHP) - Programa Jefes y Jefas de Hogar Desocupados CCT
Conditionalities: 20 h of community service, training activities, school attendance, or up to six months’ work with a private company
Unemployed household with pregnant women or children aged under 18 living at home Amount: 150 pesos
Size: 14.6 % of the average public sector salary, and approximately 75 % of the minimum wage
Abu-Hamad 2014 Gaza/Palestine Observational, cohort
Strength and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ); Self-Esteem, Self-Efficacy and Hope Scales Child maltreatment
44,363 households Palestinian National Cash Transfer Programme
CT
Extremely, or severely poor household NR
Rosenberg 2014 Kenya Cluster-randomised controlled trial Household survey Youth violence 443 individuals Cash Transfers for Orphans and Vulnerable Children UCT Households caring for an orphan or vulnerable child Amount: Kenya Shillings (KES) 1500 (USD22)
Frequency: monthly
Size: ~15 % of the median monthly per capita expenditures of recipient households
Hidrobo 2013 Ecuador Cluster-randomised controlled trial Household survey
IPV
2354 mothers Bono de Desarrollo Humano (BDH)
UCT
Mothers in households who were in the bottom two poverty quintiles, according to the Sistema de Seleccion de Beneficiarios (SELBEN) index Amount: 100,000 sucres (~USD15) in 2005
Size: ~6–10 % of an average household’s pre-transfer expenditure
Frequency: monthly
Cluver 2013 South Africa Observational, case-control
Alabama Parenting
Questionnaire
Youth violence
3515 adolescents Child support grant
UCT
Foster child grant
CCT
Conditionalities: court hearings with assessments by social workers, proof of medical care, school attendance, and biannual reassessment
Child support grant: primary caregivers of children who earn less than a means-tested benchmark
Foster child grant: primary caregivers of a child legally in their care, as a result of being orphaned, abandoned, at risk, abused, or neglected
Amount: ZAR250 in 2010, ZAR280 in 2012; USD35 for child support grant; ZAR710 in 2010, ZAR770 in 2012; USD96 for foster child grant
Frequency: monthly
Cash+
Jocson 2023 Philippines Pre-post pilot experimental study
International Society for Prevention of Child Abuse and Neglect Child Abuse screening tool trial version (ICAST-T), ICAST parent version, ICAST child version
IPV, child maltreatment, youth violence
60 (30 primary caregivers and 30 target adolescent child aged 10 to 17) CCT + MaPa Teens
Conditionalities: regular health checks and vaccination, enrollment of the child in school with at least 85 % attendance rate per month, and attendance in monthly family development sessions
Low-income families with children ages 0–18 NR
Ranganathan 2022a Tanzania Cluster-randomised controlled trial Questionnaire with additive transactional sex index
Youth violence
130 villages Productive Social Safety Net (PSSN) programme:
(1) bi-monthly cash transfer; (2) public works programme during the lean season; (3) livelihood enhancement component
UCT and CCT Ujana Salama “plus”:
(1) livelihood and sexual and reproductive health (SRH) life skills training; (2) mentoring and asset transfer; (3) supply-side strengthening of adolescent-friendly HIV and SRH services and linkages to existing SRH and HIV services for adolescents
Conditionalities (PSSN): health seeking (young children and elderly), children’s school enrolment
Adolescents aged 14–19 years living in PSSN households Amount (Ujana Salama): USD 80 (asset transfer)
Naledi 2022 South Africa Quasi-experimental
Randomised controlled trial
Sexual reproductive health SRH/HIV risk assessment questionnaire
IPV
5116 participants Women of Worth (WoW) + CCT
Conditionalities: attending skills building intervention
19–24-year-old women Amount: ZAR300; $22 + ZAR50 ($3,44) reimbursement on a first-come, first-served basis to a maximum of 1000 participants
Frequency: after attendance at each session
Palermo 2021 Tanzania Cluster-randomised controlled trial Adapted version of questionnaire items used in WHO Multi-country Study on Women’s Health and Domestic Violence, Conflict Tactics Scale Youth violence 130 communities 904 adolescents PSSN + “Ujana Salama”
CCT, livelihoods enhancement and public works + productive grant
Conditionalities (PSSN): school enrolment and health-related co-responsibilities
Conditionalities (Ujana Salama): attending trainings and developing an approved educational or business plan
Adolescents aged 14–19 years living in PSSN households Amount:
PSSN: USD7.10 per month, variable (depending on school enrolment and health-related co-responsibilities; max USD21.70 per month) Ujana Salama productive grant: USD 80
Size: 16 % of household consumption
Frequency:
PSSN: bi-monthly Ujana Salama productive grant: up to 2 payments
Lachman 2021 Philippines Randomised controlled trial ISPCAN Child Abuse Screening Tool - Trial Caregiver; Parenting Scale; ICAST-TC-Attitudes Subscale; UNICEF Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS); Revised Conflict Tactics Scale Short Form Child maltreatment, IPV 120 families Pantawid Pamilya Pilipino Pro- gramme (4Ps)
CCT
Masayang Pamilya Para Sa Batang Pilipino Parenting Programme (MaPa): group-based parenting programme
Conditionalities: health and education conditions, attending monthly Family Development Sessions (FDS)
Low-income families with children aged 2–6 years Amount: ~USD10 to USD30
Frequency: monthly
Austrian 2021 Kenya Individual and cluster randomised trials Household survey Youth violence 2390 girls in Kibera and 2147 girls in Wajir Packages: Violence prevention (V), Education (E), Health (H) and Wealth creation (WC)
Interventions: V only, V + E, V + E + H, V + E + H + WC, CCT
Conditionalities: girl’s school attendance
Household head and schools Education component
Amount:
Household head: USD11 in Kibera, USD15 in Wajir School, partial fees: USD7 for primary and USD60 for secondary
School, per girl: USD5
Frequency:
Household head: Two transfers (enrolment and upon verified continued attendance)
Schools: Upon enrolment per term
Briaux 2020 Togo Cluster-randomised controlled trial WHO’s Violence Against Women instrument (VAWI)
IPV
2031 mother-child pairs UCT + package of community activities (BCC + integrated community case management of childhood illnesses and acute malnutrition) Mothers NR
Chakrabarti 2020 Zimbabwe Observational, cohort
Youth and household surveys
Youth violence
3063 households UCT + complementary services (child protection/welfare) Labour constrained and food-poor households Amount: USD10, USD15, USD20 and USD25 for households with one, two, three, and four or more members, respectively
Size: ~20 % of pre-programme monthly household expenditure
Frequency: monthly
Heath 2020 Mali Cluster- randomised controlled trial
WHO Violence Against Women instrument
IPV, child maltreatment
1550 women under 50 years old who were in the baseline data and married at the baseline Programme de Filets Sociaux (Jigisémèjiri)
CT + accompanying measures (two training sessions per month)
Heads of household, mostly men Amount: 10,000 FCFA per month (~USD18.02)
Size: 9 % of beneficiary household’s monthly consumption
Frequency: every quarter over a 2-year period
Canedo 2019 Mexico Observational, cross-sectional
Mexican National Survey on the Dynamics of Household Relationships (Encuesta Nacional sobre la Dinámica de las Relaciones en los Hogares or ENDIREH)
IPV
66,943 partnered women Prospera programme (previously Oportunidades)
CCT was evaluated in isolation and combined with working
Conditionalities: health and education-related responsibilities
Women in households whose per capita income does not cover the basic food basket, or whose members are at risk in terms of nutrition, health, and education NR
Hsu 2017 USA Ecological
National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS)
IPV
21 states Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF)
CT + child care, education, job training and other services
Needy families with at least one dependent child. Amount: average payment of USD383 in 2008
Frequency: monthly
Hidrobo 2016 Ecuador Cluster-randomised controlled trial
WHO Violence Against Women Instrument
IPV
1226 women World Food Programme (WFP)
CCT
Conditionalities: attendance of monthly nutrition training
Colombian refugees and poor Ecuadorian households Amount: USD40 per household (total of USD240 over a six-month study period)
Size: 11 % of a household’s monthly pre-transfer consumption
Frequency: monthly
Cluver 2016 South Africa Observational, cross-sectional
National Survey of HIV and Sexual Behaviour among Young South Africans
Youth violence
3515 adolescents Child-focused cash transfer (Child Support or Foster Child grant)
CT was evaluated, grouped with access to ‘caring’ social protection (sustained receipt of positive parenting, or good parental monitoring and social support from educators)
Conditionalities: evidence that families use the cash primarily for food and school expenses
Low-income families with a resident adolescent (12–18 years-old) NR
Bobonis 2013 Mexico Observational, cross-sectional
National Survey on Relationships within the Household
IPV
2867 women Oportunidades
CCT + education, health and nutrition components
Conditionalities: school attendance, school performance, and preventive health care visits
Mothers from marginal, rural communities Amount (1998): education component 70 to 625 pesos; health and nutrition components: 12 pesos
Size: 10 % of average expenditure of beneficiary families
Frequency: monthly
Cancian 2013 USA Cluster randomised controlled trial Child Support Demonstration Evaluation Child maltreatment 13,062 mothers Child support + Wisconsin’s TANF programme
Conditionalities: community service jobs
Low-income, unmarried mothers Amount: average of USD101 additional child support in the first year of the experiment, and an additional USD102 in the second year; among those with a child support order at assignment, the amounts were USD180 and USD174
Frequency: monthly
Gennetian 2003 USA Randomised controlled trial University of Michigan’s Research on the Study of Domestic Violence, Questionnaire No. 3
IPV
1929 families Minnesota Family Investment Program (MFIP): CCT + food assistance
Conditionalities: Single parents who had received public assistance for 24 of the past 36 months were required to work at least 30 h per week, or participate in employment and training activities to continue receiving their full grants
Low-income single mothers NR
Cash for work
Ranganathan 2022b Ethiopia Randomised controlled trial
Household survey
IPV
196 villages and 13 districts
2604 households
Productive Safety Net Programme (PSNP):
Food or cash transfers for seasonal labour UCT to households whose main income earners are elderly or disabled.
+ Strengthen PSNP4 Institutions and Resilience (SPIR) Development Food Security Activity: complementary livelihood (L), nutrition (N), gender and natural resource management activities.
4 treatment arms:
• T1 (L* + N*)
• T2 (L* + N)
• T3 (L + N*)
• T4 control (PSNP only)
*L or N activities, plus
Poor, rural households Amount (PSNP): daily wage rate (2019/2020) 41 Birr (exchange rate March 2020: $1.26) in Oromia; 42 Birr ($1.29) in Amhara, or 15 kgs of cereal/month
Frequency: monthly
Betancourt 2020 Rwanda Cluster-randomised controlled trial Observation of Mother-Child Interaction (OMCI); Home Observation for Measurement of the Environment (HOME); Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) Family Care Indicators (FCI)
IPV, child maltreatment
1049 households Rwanda’s cash-for-work Vision Umurenge Programme (VUP): classic public works (cPW) or expanded public work (ePW) VUP (cPW or ePW) + Sugira Muryango (home-visiting early childhood development coaching programme) Families living in extreme poverty, with at least one child aged between 6 and 36 months NR
Barnhart 2020 Rwanda Cluster-randomised controlled trial
MICS Child Development and Child Disciplinary Modules
Child maltreatment
41 children VUP + Sugira Muryango (home-visiting early childhood development coaching programme) Children and caregivers NR
Ivaschenko 2017 Papua New Guinea Randomised controlled trial Eligibility Baseline Survey (EBS), Eligibility Screening Survey (ESS), and follow-up Survey (FUS)
Youth violence
743 individuals Short-term (40 days) employment in public work Urban Youth Employment Project
Conditionalities: 40 h of basic life skills training at the start of the programme
Urban unemployed, out-of-school young people (aged 16 to 35) NR
Tax credit
Bullinger 2023 USA Observational, cross-sectional
Patient medical record reviews from the Children’s Healthcare of Atlanta (referred to hereafter as Children’s) system Child maltreatment
343,178 children Child Tax Credit (CTC) Families who filed a 2019 or 2020 tax return and claimed the CTC on the return or provided information to the Internal Revenue Service to get stimulus payments during the COVID-19 pandemic. Additionally, families must have lived in the US for more than half the year, have a child younger than 18 years at the end of 2021, and documented incomes below USD150,000 Size: up to 45 % of a family’s annual earnings Frequency: 1 lump sum payment
Xu 2022 USA Observational, cross-sectional
5-item subscale of Conflict Tactics Scales Parent-Child (CTS-PC)
Child maltreatment
362 grandparent-headed kinship families Foster care payments, kinship guardianship assistance payments, TANF Kinship families Amount (Foster care payments): From USD555 to USD655
Kinship guardianship assistance payments: less than or equal to foster care payments
Frequency (Foster care payments): monthly
Kovski 2022 USA Quasi-experimental State-level counts of child protective services (CPS) reports
Child maltreatment
48 states and the District of Columbia EITC and CTC Tax filers claiming the EITC or the refundable portion of the CTC Amount: Average state-level per-child EITC and CTC refund: USD 1467 per child
Moe 2022 USA Observational, cohort Youth respondent’s survey Youth violence 5492 adolescents Cumulative simulated EITC Families Amount: simulated amount of EITC received by each child’s household between ages 0 and 14 years (2016 USD) 10,550 (SD 5008; range: 697–28,394)
Dalve 2022 USA Observational, cross-sectional
Youth Risk Behaviour Surveillance System (YRBSS)
Youth violence
43 States Refundable EITC Taxpayers NR
Morgan 2021 USA Observational, cross-sectional
Adult depression module in
NSDUH
Suicide
51 States Refundable state-level EITC Working adults with children Amount: variable, based on pretax earnings, marital status, and number of children in the household
Spencer 2020 USA Cohort study
Mother’s self-report of coercive control and emotional abuse
IPV
3545 women Earned d Income Tax Credit (EITC), Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) Families (for TANF), low-to moderate-income workers (for EITC) NR
Klevens 2017 USA Observational, cross-sectional
State Inpatient Databases (SIDs) from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP)
Child maltreatment
100,000 children Refundable EITC Low-income workers, especially those with children Amount: In states with refundable EITCs, tax refunds ranged from USD108 to USD1,014 for a single parent working full-time at the minimum wage with 1 child, and between USD165 and USD1648 for a single parent working full-time at the minimum wage with 2 children.
In states with non-refundable EITCs, tax savings ranged from <USD2 to USD189 for a single parent working full-time at the minimum wage with 1 child, and between $0 and $250 for a single parent working full-time at the minimum wage with 2 children.
Start-up grant
Ozler 2020 Liberia Cluster-randomised controlled trial Survey collecting data on sexual violence, schooling, SRH, psychosocial wellbeing, gender attitudes, life skills, and protective factors
Youth violence
2348 individuals Empowerment of Girls (GE) GE: individual savings start-up, GE+: incentive payment to caregivers tied to girls + mentoring programme
* GE was evaluated in isolation and combined with cash
Caregivers and adolescent girls Amount: girls (individual savings start-up): $2/month, $16 total; caregivers (participation incentive payment): $1.25 for each of the 32 regular sessions that the girl attended (max $40)
Size: >10 % of p.c. consumption in Liberia
Frequency: Individual savings start-up - monthly; Participation incentive payment - per session
Ismayilova 2017 Burkina
Faso
Cluster-randomised controlled trial Demographic Health Survey (DHS), Women’s Status Module and Domestic Violence Module
IPV
360 participants Trickle Up (economic empowerment intervention) Trickle Up Plus (economic empowerment intervention + family coaching component) Ultra-poor female caregivers of children aged between 10- and 15 Amount: non-refundable seed grant of $100 (50,000 West African CFA Francs at the time of distribution)
Frequency: one instalment
Green 2015 Uganda Cluster-randomised controlled trial
Subset of the 2006 Uganda
Demographic and Health Survey
IPV
1800 individuals Women’s Income Generating Support (WINGS) programme: Start-up grant plus skills training, follow-up support for women Women Plus (W+): partner included Ultra-poor women (aged between 14 and 30) with little formal education Amount: USD150 (start-up grant)
Frequency: 2 instalments

CT: Cash Transfer; CCT: Conditional Cash Transfer; UCT: Unconditional Cash Transfer; NR: Not Reported; NA: Not Available; p.c.: per capita; MW: minimum wage; ePW expanded public work.

a

Evaluated CCT/UCT and cash+ interventions.

Table 5.

Critical findings.

Reference Violence outcome Analysis method Baseline of violence outcome Results
CCT or UCT
Machado 2022 Suicide Average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) estimator, fitted Poisson models, incidence rate ratios (IRRs), inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) NA BFP beneficiaries had a lower suicide rate than nonbeneficiaries in all models. Three fewer suicide cases per 100,000 individuals among BFP beneficiaries, which is approximately a 50 % decrease in the overall suicide rate. BFP beneficiaries had a 56 % lower risk of suicide than non beneficiaries.
Suicide rates, per 100,000 individuals (95 % CI)
• Original cohort
Beneficiaries 5.4 (5.32–5.47), p < 0.001 Non beneficiaries 10.7 (10.51–10.87), p < 0.001
• Matched cohort
Beneficiaries 5.5 (5.44–5.61), p < 0.001 Non beneficiaries 11.1 (10.41–11.81), p < 0.001
Estimated IRR (95 % CI)
• Unadjusted: 0.50 (0.49–0.52)
• Unadjusted with IPTW: 0.43 (0.41–0.44)
• Adjusted: 0.44 (0.43–0.45)
• Adjusted model with ITPW: 0.44 (0.42–0.45)
All p < 0.001
ATT: −0.00003 (95 % CI: −0.00004, −0.00001); p < 0.001
Iqbal 2021 IPV: Emotional and physical Regression discontinuity design NA The intervention had no impact on reducing violence against women.
• Physical violence in the last year: −0.00 (SE 0.04)
• Emotional violence in the last year: −0.00 (SE 0.05)
• Physical or emotional violence: −0.00 (SE 0.05)
All non-significant
Carvalho 2021 Childhood violence: physical violence Logistic regression (bivariate analysis) and stepwise backward NA Cash transfer programs demonstrated protection of children and adolescents from violence
OR 0.5 (95 % CI: 0.3–0.9); p = 0.015
Borraz 2020 IPV: Physical, sexual, emotional, economic, or psychological, in action and in threat
General crime: assault and robbery
Poisson model, empirical model using a panel fixed effect regression NA The programme reduces domestic violence by 1.6 %.
There is no relationship between programme beneficiaries and assault in the panel data fixed-effect regression model without controls and the model including controls.
There is a positive relationship between programme beneficiaries and robberies in the panel data fixed-effect regression model without controls and in the model including controls.
• Domestic violence, beneficiaries: Model 4: −0.534 (SE 0.395), non-significant
• Robbery beneficiaries:
Model 4: −1.716 (SE 0.997) significant at 5 %
Leite 2020 IPV: Psychological and physical Multigroup path analysis, modification Indices, Tucker–Lewis index NA Participation in Bolsa Familia had no association with physical violence and was only associated with psychological violence in families with a p.c. income above the poverty line. Psychological violence: coefficient (SE): 0.287 (0.087),
p = 0.001
Litwin 2019 Female homicide Difference-in-differences analysis Mean (SD)
Female homicide count ages 15–49: 0.5 (2.0)
Female homicide rate 15–49, per 100,000: mean 3.4 (9.5)
Null associations between Bolsa Familia and female homicide.
Rate: 0.0015 (SE 0.0020; Adj R2 0.278) 0.0012 (SE 0.0023; Adj R2 0.277)
−0.0004 (SE 0.0017; Adj R2 0.155)
Roy 2019 a IPV: Emotional and physical Child abuse Intent-to-treat analysis using single-difference estimation NA Transfers only have no significant impact on emotional or physical IPV six to ten months after the programme had ended. Transfers+BCC cause a statistically significant reduction in physical violence, 26 % decrease.
Transfers+BCC cause a statistically significant reduction in “Harsh physical punishment last week” (12 % decrease) in “Hit child back when child hits parent” (8 % decrease). Transfers only have no significant impact.
Transfer only
• Emotional or physical: 0.02 (SE 0.04)
• Emotional: 0.03 (SE 0.04)
• Physical: 0.00 (SE 0.02)
All non-significant Transfer + BCC
• Emotional or physical: −0.04 (SE 0.04), non-significant
• Emotional: −0.02 (SE 0.04), non-significant
• Physical: −0.07 (SE 0.03), p < 0.05
Christian 2019 Suicide Difference-in-differences
approach
Subdistricts in districts with a 10 % larger share of the households below the poverty line have, on average, a 0.142 higher suicide rate per 100,000 people. Rollout: receiving the cash transfer programme at an average of $22.45 per year reduces the number of suicides per 100,000 inhabitants by 0.36.
Rollout:
Model 1: −0.358 (SE: 0.101); p < 0.01 Randomised experiment: mean suicide rates between treatment and control subdistricts in 2011 yields an insignificant average decrease of 0.258 suicides per 100,000.
Randomised experiment:
Model 3 (baseline difference-in-differences specification using data from 2005 and 2011): −0.665 (SE: 0.318); p < 0.05
Model 4 (clustering standard errors at the district level): −0.665 (SE: 0.266); p < 0.05
Model 5 (including data from the 2003 and 2000 census waves): −0.466 (SE: 0.334); non-significant
Model 6 (including subdistrict-specific time trends on top of subdistrict and time fixed effects): −1.064 (SE: 0.593); p < 0.10
Model 7 (ANCOVA specification from model 1 without population weights): −0.474 (SE: 0.325); non-significant
Kilburn 2018 IPV: Sexual and physical Intention-to-treat analysis, generalised estimating equation models, risk ratios Ever physical IPV: treatment group 18 %, control group 16 %
Ever forced sex: treatment group 2.7 %, control group 3.3 %
Any physical IPV in past 12 months: treatment group 11 %, control group 10 %
Significant reduction in physical IPV.
Young women in the treatment group have a 34 % lower risk of IPV.
Any physical IPV: treatment 18.5 %, control 27.8 %, RR 0.66 (95 % CI: 0.59–0.74), p < 0.001
No effect on forced sex (treatment 2.5 %, control 2.2 %, RR 1.13 [95 % CI: 0.75–1.70])
Machado 2018 General violence: Homicide (male and female) Multivariable negative binomial regression models, difference-in-difference models Homicide rate in 2004, mean (SD) 14.45 (0.25) Increases in Bolsa Familia coverage in the target population associated with homicide rates decreased by 0.3 %.
Rate Ratio: 0.997; 95 % CI: 0.996–0.997
Alves 2018 Suicide Negative binomial regression models with fixed effects NA Suicide rates significantly lower in municipalities with 30–70 % coverage (RR crude: 0.966; 95 % CI: 0.960–0.972) and > 70 % (RR crude: 0.942; 95 % CI: 0.936–0.947), compared with low coverage municipalities (<30 %).
Chioda 2016 General violence: Robberies, thefts, violent crimes, vandalism, and drug crimes OLS, instrumental variable analysis, log−log regressions, Poisson and negative binomial models Mean (SD)
All crimes: 634.2 (761.5)
Robberies 433.5 (530.1)
Thefts 55.6 (SD 139.4)
Violent Crimes 126.2 (104.8)
Vandalism 11.4 (15.5)
Drug crimes 2.5 (9.6)
Expansion of Bolsa Familia to 16 and 17 year-olds after 2008 caused a 6.5 % reduction in crime in school neighbourhoods (41 fewer crimes per school per year, SD 5.4 %), or 2.1 fewer crimes per year per additional student covered per year.
Estimates, effect of Bolsa Familia on crime. Model 1: OLS without controls or fixed effect; model 2: OLS with controls; model 3: OLS with controls and fixed effect; model 4: reduced-form; model 5: instrumental variable with controls and fixed effect
• All crimes, robberies and violent crimes: significant reduction in all models
• Thefts: significant reduction in models 1, 2 and 3; non-significant effect in models 4 and 5
• Vandalism: significant reduction in models 1 and 2; non-significant effect on models 3, 4 and 5
• Drug crimes: significant reduction in models 1, 2, 4 and 5; non-significant effect on model 3
Meloni 2014 General violence: Property crimes, larceny, robbery, aggravated assault, and murder Panel data, robustness check by OLS NA A 10 % increase in the number of UHHP recipients decreases the total crime rate by 2.1 %, and property crimes by 2.7 %. Robbery and larceny showed the highest response to welfare spending, at 3.14 % and 3.09 %, respectively.
Elasticity of each type of crime with respect to relief spending:
• Total crime −0.206
• Property crime −0.267
• Robbery −0.314
• Larceny −0.309
• Aggravated assault −0.247
Abu-Hamad 2014 Child abuse: Physical violence against children at home Univariate and bivariate statistics NA Intervention has no effect on physical
violence against children.
Caregivers reporting disciplining child by:
• Not allowing him/her to leave the house: intervention 43.5 %, control 46 %
• Shocking: intervention 47.6 %, control 52.0 %
• Yelling/shouting: intervention 60.6 %, control 65.8 %
• Slapping him/her with a bare hand or object: intervention 41 %, control 48.9 %
• Calling him/her dumb/lazy: intervention 33.4 %, control 38.8 %
All non-significant
Rosenberg 2014 Violence against adolescents: Transactional sex Logistic regression models Control group, transactional sex Women: 25.4 %
Men: 5.5 %
Intervention has no effect on transactional sex.
Women: OR 0.65 (95 % CI: 0.30–1.42) Wald χ2 statistic: 1.18; p = 0.28 Men: OR 0.96 (95 % CI: 0.27–3.40) Wald χ2 statistic: <0.01; p = 0.95
Hidrobo 2013 IPV: Physical and emotional z-scores, intent-to-treat analysis, differential effect, linear probability models Means
Physical violence
control 0.30, treatment 0.27, p = 0.52
Emotional violence
control 0.56, treatment 0.52, p = 0.42
Controlling behaviours
control 0.57, treatment 0.55, p = 0.71
Being in the treatment group does not affect emotional and physical violence, and there is a significant, negative impact on controlling behaviours. Average effect of the BDH on domestic violence (SE) (treatment effect added controls variables)
• Emotional: −0.02 (0.03), non-significant
• Controlling: −0.06 (0.03), p < 0.05
• Physical: −0.02 (0.03), non-significant BDH leads to a significant decrease in the probability that a partner does not allow his wife or partner to see her friends or family; and a marginally significant decrease in the probability that a partner does not allow his wife or partner to study or work.
Average effect of the BDH on psychological violence (SE):
• Does not allow you to see friends or family −0.006 (0.02), p < 0.01;
• Does not allow you to study or work −0.05 (0.03), p < 0.10
• Ignores you −0.04 (0.03), non-significant
• Yells at you −0.03 (0.03), non-significant
• Tells you that you are worthless 0.03 (0.03), non-significant
• Threatens to leave 0.03 (0.03), non-significant
• Threatens to take the children 0.03 (0.02), non-significant
Cluver 2013 Violence against adolescents: Physical violence against children at home Univariate and bivariate statistics NA For adolescent girls, receipt of a cash transfer was associated with reduced incidence of transactional sex (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.49, 95 % CI 0.26–0.93; p = 0.028), and age-disparate sex (AOR 0.29, 95 % CI 0.13–0.67; p = 0.004).
For boys (n = 1475), no consistent effects were shown for any of the behaviours.
Cash+
Jocson 2023 Child maltreatment: overall, physical and emotional abuse
IPV and coercion
Wilcoxon signed-rank tests Mean (SD)
Caregiver-report outcomes
• Overall child maltreatment: 14.53 (15.27)
• Physical abuse: 6.13 (7.75)
• Emotional abuse: 8.40 (9.98)
• Neglect: 0.77 (1.36)
• IPV: 1.55 (2.70)
• Coercion: 9.70 (12.31)
Adolescent-report outcomes
• Overall child maltreatment: 12.40 (12.74)
• Physical abuse: 5.17 (7.17)
• Emotional abuse: 7.23 (7.53)
• Neglect: 4.73 (6.14)
• Exposure to community violence: 5.83 (4.80)
Caregiver and adolescent reports of child maltreatment and physical abuse significantly decreased.
Caregiver-report outcomes Mean (SD), z score, p-value, d
• Overall child maltreatment: 10.17 (12.79), −2.29, 0.022, −0.46
• Physical abuse: 3.80 (6.82), −2.43, 0.015, −0.39
• Emotional abuse: 6.37 (7.11), −1.91, 0.057, −0.36, non-significant
• Neglect: 0.67 (1.63), −0.42, 0.677, 0.11, non-significant
• IPV: 1.72 (2.93), −0.26, 0.798, 0.12, non-significant
• Coercion: 8.67 (13.38), −1.30, 0.195, −0.17, non-significant
Adolescent-report outcomes
• Overall child maltreatment: 6.07 (7.31), −2.86, 0.004, −0.45
• Physical abuse: 2.03 (2.95), −2.64, 0.008, −0.48
• Emotional abuse: 4.03 (5.30), −2.44, −0.015, −0.38
• Neglect: 2.60 (4.97), −L2.35, 0.019, −0.28
• Exposure to community violence: 4.77 (4.44), 0.99, 0.325, 0.17, non-significant
Ranganathan 2022a Transactional sex among adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) Linear regression model (covariance-ANCOVA) Baseline transactional sex experience: coefficient 0.38 (SE 8.30); p < 0.01 The cash plus intervention showed no impacts on reducing transactional sex. Treatment (cash plus village): coefficient β 0.003 (SE 0.07); p = 0.905
Naledi 2022 IPV Logistic regression models All phases, all arms Gender-based threats or violence (GBV): 1038 (20.3 %); p < 0.001 Forced sex ever: 675 (13.2 %); p < 0.001
Transactional sex ever: 760 (14.9 %); p < 0.002
IPV indicators reduced immediately after WoW, but this was not durable.
At the end of WoW, OR (95 % CI)
• GBV threat: 0.53 (0.41–0.69)
• Forced sex: 0.37 (0.27–0.52)
• Transactional sex: 0.50 (0.37–0.66) All p < 0.001
At follow up, OR (95 % CI)
• GBV threat: 0.99 (0.76–1.30); p = 0.964
• Forced sex: 0.75 (0.50–1.11); p = 0.152
• Transactional sex: 0.83 (0.63–1.10); p = 0.200
Palermo 2021 Violence experiences (emotional, physical, sexual), and perpetration among adolescents Ordinary least squares, linear probability models, average-treatment-on-the-treated estimates Experiences of violence Emotional: full sample 35 %; cash plus 31 %; CCT/UCT 39 %
Physical: full sample 27 %; cash plus 25 %; CCT/UCT 30 %
Sexual: full sample 1 %; cash plus 1 %; CCT/UCT 1 %
The plus intervention reduced female participants’ experiences of sexual violence by 5 percentage points and male participants’ perpetration of physical violence by 6 percentage points. There were no intervention impacts on emotional violence or physical violence. Intervention Effects (Intent-to-Treat), experiences of violence (95 % CI):
• Emotional violence: b − 0.05 (−0.11, 0.02)
• Physical violence: b − 0.01 (−0.06, 0.03)
• Sexual violence: b − 0.03 (−0.06, 0.00)
• Emotional, physical, or sexual violence: b − 0.05 (−0.12, 0.02)
• Perpetrated emotional violence: b − 0.02 (−0.05, 0.02)
• Perpetrated physical violence: b − 0.03 (−0.06, 0.00)
Male and females participants, experiences of violence (95 % CI):
• Emotional violence: b − 0.07 (−0.16, 0.01) and b − 0.01 (−0.11, 0.09)
• Physical violence: b − 0.01 (−0.07, 0.05) and b 0.00 (−0.06, 0.06)
• Sexual violence: b − 0.03 (−0.07, 0.01) and b − 0.05 (−0.10, 0.00)
• Perpetrated emotional violence: b − 0.01 (−0.05, 0.03) and b − 0.02 (−0.08, 0.03)
• Perpetrated physical violence: b − 0.06 (−0.10, −0.02) and b 0.01 (−0.03, 0.06)
Lachman 2021 Child maltreatment, IPV Intention-to-treat, linear regression analyses, negative binomial models, incident risk ratios (IRRs) Child maltreatment, FDA vs MaPa: Total maltreatment-frequency, M (SD): 13.26 (13.80) vs 14.07 (15.5) Physical abuse-incidence, n (%): 89 (74.2) vs 43 (71.7)
Emotional abuse-incidence, n (%): 112 (93.3) vs 57 (95.0)
Neglect-incidence, n (%): 56 (46.7) vs 21 (35.0)
All non-significant
Adults receiving the MaPa programme reported less overall maltreatment, emotional abuse, and neglect effects, sustained at one-year follow-up.
Parents allocated to the MaPa programme reported a 63 % reduced risk of IPV victimhood at one-month post-intervention (IRR = 0.37, 95%CI [0.06,0.68]) with 49 % reduced risk at one-year follow-up (IRR = 0.51, 95%CI [0.01,1.00]).
Primary outcomes, controlling for baseline scores, child age, and child sex, at 6 months post-baseline (post-intervention) and 18 months post-baseline (follow-up, 12 months post-intervention):
• Overall maltreatment (Log) Post-intervention: intervention 0.73 (SD 0.34); control 0.96 (SD 0.44); beta −0.24; unstandardized b −0.20 (95%CI: −0.31, −0.09); p = 0.000; effect size d: −0.50 (95%CI: −0.86, −0.13)
Follow-up: intervention 0.77 (SD 0.37); control 0.93 (SD 0.39); beta −0.19; unstandardized b −0.14 (95%CI: −0.35, −0.03); p = 0.026; effect size d: −0.39 (95%CI: −0.75, −0.03)
• Emotional abuse (Log)
Post-intervention: intervention 0.55 (SD 0.32); control 0.76 (SD 0.36); beta −0.28; unstandardized b −0.20 (95 % CI: −0.31, −0.09); p < 0.001; effect size d: −0.59 (95 % CI: −0.95, −0.22)
Follow-up: intervention 0.56 (SD 0.34); control 0.69 (SD 0.36); beta −0.18; unstandardized b −0.13 (95 % CI: −0.24, −0.02); p = 0. 026; effect size d: −0.37 (95 % CI: −0.73, −0.01)
• Physical abuse
Post-intervention: intervention 1.36 (SD 2.07); control 3.64 (SD 5.49); beta −0.42; unstandardized b −0.68 (95 % CI: −1.17, −0.20); p = 0. 005; effect size
IRR: 0.51 (95 % CI: 0.26, 0.75)
Follow-up: intervention 1.98 (SD 3.16); control 3.30 (SD 4.57); beta −0.32; unstandardized b −0.30 (95 % CI: −0.81, 0.21); p = 0.245; effect size
IRR: 0.74 (95 % CI: 0.36, 1.12)
• Neglect
Post-intervention: intervention 1.22 (SD 2.41); control 2.79 (SD 4.87); beta −0.58; unstandardized b −0.66 (95 % CI: −1.30, −0.01); p = 0.046; effect size
IRR: 0.52 (95 % CI: 0.18, 0.85)
Follow-up: intervention 1.39 (SD 2.69); control 2.37 (SD 4.05); beta −0.38; unstandardized b −0.53 (95 % CI: −1.15, 0.09); p = 0.093; effect size
IRR: 0.59 (95 % CI: 0.23, 0.95)
Austrian 2021 Violence against adolescents: Experienced violence by a male Analysis of covariance, intent-to-treat using longitudinal data, OLS and linear probability models for binary outcomes Experienced violence by a male in the past year (%)
Kibera and Wajir study sites:
Violence (V only): 29 and 4.1
V+ Education (E): 29.8 and 3.9
V + E + Health (H): 30.6 and 3.1
V + E + H + Wealth creation (W): 32.2 and 2.2
The educational (E) component that includes a conditional cash transfer significantly reduced violence when compared with the V only arms in Kibera. Experienced violence by a male in the past year (95%CI), ITT estimates:
Kibera
• VE vs V only: −0.088 (-0.14, −0.03), significant at 1 %
• VEH vs V only: −0.059 (−0.12, 0.00), significant at 5 %
• VEHW vs V only: −0.042 (−0.10, 0.02), non-significant
Wajir
• VE vs V only: −0.006 (−0.04, 0.03), non-significant
• VEH vs V only: 0.015 (−0.02, 0.05), non-significant
• VEHW vs V only: −0.022(−0.05, 0.01), non-significant
Briaux 2020 IPV: Controlling behaviour, and emotional or physical violence Difference-in differences, linear regression models, logistic regression; percentage points; relative odds ratio; and intention-to-treat Control vs intervention: Emotional IPV (%): 55.1 vs 51.4; Physical IPV (%): 26.9 vs 28.1; Controlling behaviour (%) 72.5 vs 69.1 Women receiving CTs had lower odds of having experienced physical violence than non-beneficiaries.
• Physical IPV (DD = −7.9 pp., ROR: 0.60, 95 % CI: 0.36–0.99, p = 0.048)
• Controlling behaviour (DD = −2.3 pp., ROR: 0.93, 95 % CI: 0.64–1.35, p = 0.686)
• Emotional violence (DD = −3.6 pp., ROR: 0.8.3, 95 % CI: 0.56–1.25, p = 0.374)
• Proportion of women humiliated by their partner (DD = −6.4 pp., ROR: 0.61, 95 % CI: 0.39–0.96, p = 0.031)
Chakrabarti 2020 Youth violence: Physical violence (parent/adult relative, boyfriend/girlfriend/intimate partner), authoritative figure (teacher/religious leader/community leader), peer/classmate, or other actor (for example, stranger) Non-experimental impact evaluation, difference-in-differences, linear probability models, single difference model, and multinomial logit models Physical violence: control 44 %; intervention 49 %
Severe physical violence: control 23 %; intervention 25 %
Slapped/pushed: control 37 %; intervention 41 %
Hit with fist/kicked/beaten with object: control 21 %; intervention 23 %
Attacked or threatened with knife/other weapon: control 3 %; intervention 5 %
Results demonstrate a 19 % decline in the incidence of physical violence among young people, four years into the programme.
• Physical violence:
12-month treatment impact 0.041 (0.061), non-significant
48-month treatment impact −0.189 (0.062), p < 0.01
• Severe physical violence:
12-month treatment impact: 0.006 (0.056)
48-month treatment impact: −0.109 (0.067)
All non-significant
• Slapped/pushed:
12-month treatment 0.075 (0.062), non-significant
48-month treatment impact −0.141 (0.049), p < 0.01
• Hit with a fist/kicked/beaten with an object:
12-month treatment impact 0.007 (0.052)
48-month treatment impact −0.102 (0.068)
All non-significant
• Attacked/threatened with a knife/other weapon:
12-month treatment impact −0.005 (0.021), non-significant 48-month treatment impact −0.042 (0.022), p < 0.1
• Young person has seen parent being subjected to IPV at some point in time:
48-month treatment impact −0.038 (0.014), p < 0.01
Heath 2020 IPV: emotional, physical, and controlling behaviours Child abuse Intent-to-treat analysis using single difference estimation with midline data IPV
Monogamous households Any physical violence on index mother, last 12 months: mean control group: 0.22; mean intervention group: 0.24; p-value: 0.68 Any emotional violence on index mother, last 12 months: mean control group: 0.29; mean intervention group: 0.36; p-value: 0.18 Any controlling behaviour on index mother, last 12 months: mean control group: 0.67; mean intervention group: 0.58; p-value: 0.10 Polygamous households Any physical violence on index mother, last 12 months: mean control group: 0.18; mean intervention group: 0.27; p-value: 0.18 Any emotional violence on index mother, last 12 months: mean control group: 0.28; mean intervention group: 0.44; p-value: 0.02 Any controlling behaviour on index mother, last 12 months: mean control group: 0.56; mean intervention group: 0.68; p-value: 0.04 Child maltreatment: NR
IPV
The Jigisémèjiri programme produces significant decreases in IPV in polygamous households, where physical violence decreases by 7.2 %, emotional violence by 12.6 %, and controlling behaviours by 16.1 %, but has limited effects in monogamous households. Overall effect on IPV
• Any physical violence: −0.029 (SE 0.027); non-significant
• Any emotional violence: −0.061 (SE 0.035); p < 0.1
• Any controlling behaviour: −0.060 (SE 0.032); p < 0.1
Effect on monogamous households
• Any physical violence: −0.006 (SE 0.029)
• Any emotional violence: −0.027 (SE 0.036)
• Any controlling behaviour: −0.007 (SE 0.048)
All non-significant
Effect on polygamous households
• Any physical violence: −0.072 (SE 0.036); p < 0.05
• Any emotional violence: −0.126 (SE 0.048); p < 0.05
• Any controlling behaviour: −0.161 (SE 0.045); p < 0.01
Difference between monogamous vs. polygamous
• Any physical violence: −0.067 (SE 0.035); p < 0.1
• Any emotional violence: −0.099 (SE 0.047); p < 0.05
• Any controlling behaviour: −0.153 (SE 0.067); p < 0.05
Child maltreatment
Overall effect
• Any psychological aggression: −0.044 (SE 0.035); non-significant
• Any physical punishment: −0.066 (SE 0.036); p < 0.1
• Number of psychological and physical violent acts (0–8): −0.334 (SE 0.134); p < 0.05
Effect on monogamous households
• Any psychological aggression: 0.006 (SE 0.042)
• Any physical punishment: 0.005 (SE 0.050)
• Number of psychological and physical violent acts (0–8): −0.144 (SE 0.170)
All non-significant
Effect on polygamous households
• Any psychological aggression: −0.114 (SE 0.060); p < 0.1
• Any physical punishment: −0.167 (SE 0.048); p < 0.01
• Number of psychological and physical violent acts (0–8): −0.596 (SE 0.241); p < 0.05
Difference between monogamous vs. polygamous
• Any psychological aggression: −0.121 (SE 0.074); non-significant
• Any physical punishment: −0.172 (SE 0.068); p < 0.05
Number of psychological and physical violent acts (0–8): −0.452 (SE 0.303); non-significant
Canedo 2019 IPV: physical and/or sexual Propensity Score Matching and Inverse-Probability-Weighted Regression Adjustment Prevalence of IPV, over 15 years of age: 43.9 % Unemployed plus cash transfer women experienced a statistically significant increase in physical and/or sexual IPV in urban settings. In both urban and rural settings, statistically significant increase in the prevalence of IPV for the employed plus cash transfer women category (7 % and 8 %, respectively).
Propensity scores matching estimates
• Sexual or physical, urban areas: Worked during the last year: 0.036 (0.005); p < 0.001
Received CCT: 0.029 (0.011); p < 0.01 Worked and received CCT: 0.089 (0.017); p < 0.001
• Sexual or physical, rural areas: Worked during the last year: 0.064 (0.013); p < 0.001
Received CCT: 0.008 (0.012); non-significant
Worked and received CCT: 0.106 (0.022); p < 0.001
Hsu 2017 IPV: intimidation and assault Negative binomial regression models with fixed effects Daily Number of Offences/100,000 People
Male on female, mean (SD)
Intimidation: 0.05 (0.00)
Assault: 0.47 (1.04)
More females report IPV within 4 days of receiving welfare transfers.
Incidence Rate Ratio (SE)
Within 4 days of receiving welfare transfers
• Intimidation: 1.046 (0.011); p < 0.01
• Assault: 1.007 (0.004); p < 0.1
Receiving days 30, 31, 1
• Intimidation: 1.139 (0.032); p < 0.01
• Assault: 1.004 (0.007); non-significant
Receiving days 14–16
● Intimidation: 1.021 (0.015); non-significant
● Assault: 0.996 (0.006); non-significant
Hidrobo 2016 IPV: emotional violence, controlling behaviour, physical and sexual violence Intent-to-treat analysis, probit models Means
Lifetime physical and/or sexual violence: All 0.35, control 0.33, treatment 0.35, p = 0.64
Controlling behaviours: All 0.17, control 0.17, treatment 0.17, p = 0.87
Emotional violence: All 0.26, control 0.24, treatment 0.27, p = 0.36
Physical and/or sexual violence: All 0.16, control 0.12, treatment 0.18, p = 0.05
Significant impact leading to controlling behaviours and physical and/or sexual violence.
Intent to treat estimates, with a full set of extended control variables.
• Controlling behaviours −0.08 (SE 0.04)
• Emotional violence −0.05 (SE 0.04)
• Physical and/or sexual violence −0.05 (SE 0.03)
Cluver 2016 Violence against adolescents: Sexual violence and exploitation of girls (sexual abuse, rape, transactional sexual exploitation, age-disparate sex and adolescent violence perpetration) Multivariate logistic regression, testing for interactions between social protection and socio-demographic covariates, and marginal effects models Violent perpetration
Girls: 9.3 %
Boys: 13.9 %
Past-year sexual violence
Girls: 10.1 %
Boys: 5.9 %
Self-reported violent perpetration
Girls 9.3 %
Boys: 13.9 %
Among girls
Cash social protection was significantly associated with reduced sexual exploitation: OR 0.67 (95 % CI: 0.48–0.93)
Caring social protection was significantly associated with reduced sexual exploitation: OR 0.71 (95 % CI: 0.52–0.98)
Among boys
Cash social protection was significantly associated with reduced violent perpetration (OR 0.67; 95 % CI: 0.48–0.93)
Caring social protection was significantly associated with reduced violent perpetration (OR 0.59; 95 % CI: 0.43–0.81)
Bobonis 2013 IPV: physical, sexual, and emotional abuse OLS estimates of the average treatment effect NA Beneficiary women were 40 % less likely to be victims of physical abuse, and were more likely to receive violent threats with no associated abuse.
Physical or sexual violence: reduction in incidence by 8.2 percentage points (significant at the 90 % confidence level). Physical abuse: reduction of 5.5 percentage points, or 43 percentage points (significant at the 90 % confidence).
Sexual abuse: reduction of 5.0 percentage points (51 %), non-significant Threats of abuse: increase of 1.8 percentage points (23 %), non-significant Emotional abuse: increase of 2.7 percentage points (32 %), non-significant
Cancian 2013 Child abuse Multivariate logistic regressions NA A full child support pass-through, compared to a partial pass-through, reduces the risk of the child maltreatment
Model 1: OR 0.892 (SE 0.048)
Model 2: OR 0.879 (SE 0.048)
Model 3: OR 0.881 (SE 0.050)
All significant at 5 %
Gennetian 2003 IPV: psychological, physical and sexual Regressing, using ordinary least squares MFIP impact on domestic abuse in the past year
Long-term recipients:
Any abuse: −3.3
Any nonphysical IPV: −3.3
Physical IPV: −2.4
Sexual IPV: 0.2
All non-significant
Recent applicants:
Any IPV: 2.3
Any nonphysical IPV: 2.9
Physical IPV: −2.4
Sexual IPV: −1.7
All non-significant
MFIP had no statistically significant effect on any of the domestic abuse outcomes for single-mother recipients.
MFIP impact on domestic abuse over a 3-year follow-up period
Long-term recipients:
Any abuse: −4.9; non-significant
Recent applicants:
Any abuse: −1.0; non-significant
Cash for work
Ranganathan 2022b IPV: emotional, physical, sexual Controlling behaviours Ordinary Least Squares regression Experienced violence in the past 13 months, mean (SD):
Emotional: T1 0.109 (0.312), p = 0.351; T2 0.131 (0.338), p = 0.802; T3 0.146 (0.354), p = 0.847; control 0.139 (0.347)
Physical: T1 0.071 (0.258), p = 0.768; T2 0.082 (0.275), p = 0.425; T3 0.067 (0.250), p = 0.934; control 0.065 (0.247)
Sexual: T1 0.046 (0.210), p = 0.629; T2 0.041 (0.199), p = 0.843; T3 0.030 (0.172), p = 0.643; control 0.038 (0.192)
p-value for T vs control
No impacts of the complementary programming on IPV in the full sample, but some impacts among the poorest sample.
Estimates from the SPIR midline survey sample, experience of past year IPV:
• Emotional violence (SE): T1–0.005 (0.024); T2–0.006 (0.024); T3–0.009 (0.025); T4 (control), mean: 0.122
• Physical violence (SE): T1–0.001 (0.019); T2–0.017 (0.019); T3–0.017 (0.018); T4 (control), mean: 0.092
• Sexual violence (SE): T1–0.016 (0.014); T2–0.018 (0.014); T3–0.005 (0.014); T4 (control), mean: 0.054
All non-significant
Estimates from the SPIR midline survey sample, extremely poor households, L* sample, receiving cash or poultry grant, experience of past year IPV:
• Emotional violence (SE): T1 x Poultry −0.016 (0.045); T1 x Cash 0.030 (0.043); T2 x Poultry 0.009 (0.053); T2 x Cash −0.047 (0.039); T3–0.016 (0.034); linear combination, effect of T1 0.005 (0.013); linear combination, effect of T2–0.022 (0.038); linear combination, effect of poultry −0.004 (0.039); linear combination, effect of cash −0.013 (0.033); T4 (control), mean 0.125
All non-significant
• Physical violence (SE): T1 x Poultry −0.053* (0.031); T1 x Cash 0.031 (0.036); T2 x Poultry −0.016 (0.042); T2 x Cash −0.059** (0.027); T3–0.027 (0.027); linear combination, effect of T1–0.013 (0.026); linear combination, effect of T2–0.041 (0.030); linear combination, effect of poultry −0.035 (0.030); linear combination, effect of cash −0.019 (0.026); T4 (control), mean 0.106
*p < 0.1; **p < 0.05
• Sexual violence (SE): T1 x Poultry −0.027 (0.023); T1 x Cash −0.015 (0.024); T2 x Poultry −0.057*** (0.021); T2 x Cash −0.034 (0.021); T3–0.013 (0.022); linear combination, effect of T1 0.020 (0.019); linear combination, effect of T2–0.047** (0.020); linear combination, effect of poultry −0.042** (0.019); linear combination, effect of cash −0.026 (0.019); T4 (control), mean 0.072
**p < 0.05; ***p < 0.01
Estimates from the SPIR midline survey sample, controlling behaviours by husband (SE): T1 0.026 (0.043); T2–0.004 (0.035); T3–0.026 (0.039); T4 (control), mean 0.500
All non-significant
Betancourt 2020 IPV: emotional, physical, and sexual abuse
Child abuse: Parental behaviour towards the child/family violence
Difference-in differences, intent to treat, linear mixed models, and generalised linear mixed models with a logit link Children, Any violent punishment Sugira Muryango + cPW: 47.7 %, cPW only 47.0 %, Sugira Muryango + ePW 48.0 %, ePW only 41.8 %. Caregivers:
Maternal victimisation violence, last 3 months: Sugira Muryango + cPW 39.8 %, cPW only 35.3 %, Sugira Muryango + ePW 29.4 %, ePW only 36.6 %
Paternal perpetration violence, last 3 months: Sugira Muryango + cPW 21.2 %, cPW only 22.3 %, Sugira Muryango + ePW 23.3 %, ePW only 12.5 %
Sugira Muryango associated with 51 % decrease in the odds of females reporting victimisation to IPV (coefficient = −0.72, 95 % CI: −1.43, −0.01; OR = 0.49, 95 % CI: 0.24, 1.00).
No intervention related differences in changes in fathers reporting IPV perpetration.
Odds of exposure to harsh discipline decreased 70 % more in families receiving Sugira Muryango, compared to UC children (coefficient = −1.22, 95 % CI: −1.67, −0.76; OR = 0.30, 95 % CI: 0.19, 0.47).
Odds of being exclusively exposed to non-violent forms of discipline increased 2.5 more for children in Sugira Muryango families, compared to UC (coefficient = 0.92, 95 % CI: 0.16, 1.68; OR = 2.50, 95 % CI: 1.17, 5.34).
Barnhart 2020 Child abuse: Children’s exposure to violent disciplinary practices Linear mixed-effect models; generalised linear mixed models with a logit link and binomial distribution; discrete indicators and Wald tests Violent disciplinary practices: intervention 63 % (95 % CI: 33–86); control: 78 % (95 % CI: 49–93) Sugira Muryango children experienced marginally significant reductions in exposure to violent disciplinary methods. Violent disciplinary practices Intervention: end line 32 % (95 % CI: 11–64); follow-up 40 % (95 % CI: 16–70) Control: end line: 93 % (95 % CI: 69–99); follow up: 60 % (95 % CI: 32–83) p = 0.1 marginally significant
Ivaschenko 2017 Adolescent violence perpetration: Youth violent crimes Difference-in-differences (DD) estimates NA The programme reduced participants’ frequency of threatening to use force by 13 percentage points, and of fighting back in response to an attack by 11 percentage points, which correspond to reductions of 65 and 25 %, respectively, relative to the baseline.
Impacts on aggressive behaviour and violence, DD (mean/SE):
• Used threats or force with somebody: −0.127 (0.039); p < 0.01
• Have been attacked and fought back: −0.148 (0.057); p < 0.01
• Damaged somebody’s property for fun/joke: −0.060 (0.030); p < 0.05
• Involved in an assault (physical or verbal) in the last 6 months: 0.003 (0.054); non-significant
• Involved in trespassing in the last 6 months: 0.040 (0.036); non-significant
Tax credit
Bullinger 2023 Child abuse and neglect Fixed-effects Number of child abuse neglected-related emergency department (ED) visits per day 12 days before each month’s child tax credit payment date, mean (SD):
• 2021: 7.19 (2.66)
• 2018 and 2019: 5.89 (2.54).
There was a decrease in these ED visits in the 4 days following the advance CTC payments, although the reduction was not significant. There were significant reductions in ED visits among male children: point estimate and non-Hispanic White children point estimate. These reductions did not persist. Point estimate (95 % CI)
• General: −0.22 (−0.45 to −0.01); p = 0.06, non-significant
• Male children, −0.40 (−0.75 to −0.06); p = 0.02
• Non-Hispanic white children: −0.69 (−1.22 to −0.17); p = 0.01
Xu 2022 Child maltreatment: child neglect Negative binomial regression NA Receiving financial assistance was associated with a decreased risk of child neglect in the full sample and a subsample with household income > USD30,000
Combination of financial assistance
• Full sample b = −0.88, p < 0.05
• Household income ≤ USD30,000 b = −1.07; non-significant
• Household income > USD30,000: b = −1.31; p < 0.05
Kovski 2022 Child maltreatment Fixed-effects, difference-in differences analysis Average weekly rate reported child maltreatment: 67 per 100,000 children EITC and CTC payments were associated with lower state-level rates of child maltreatment reports. For each additional $1000 in per-child EITC and CTC tax refunds, state level rates of reported child maltreatment declined in the week of and 4 weeks following refund payments by an overall estimated 5 %. The largest impact of EITC and CTC refunds occurred 3 weeks after refund issuance, with child maltreatment reports decreasing by 7.1 per 100,000 children.
Number of Child Maltreatment Reports Per 100,000 Children (95 % CI)
• EITC and CTC, week of issuance: −3.6 (6.0, 1.2), significant at 1 %
• EITC and CTC, issued 1 week before: −3.8 (−6.9, −0.8), significant at 5 %
• EITC and CTC, issued 2 weeks before: −2.4 (−5.1, −0.3), non-significant
• EITC and CTC, issued 3 weeks before: −7.1 (−10.2, −3.9), significant at 1 %
• EITC and CTC, issued 4 weeks before: −0.1 (−4.2, 4.3), non-significant
• Cumulative effect: −16.8 (−26.0, −7.7), significant at 1 %
Moe 2022 Youth violence:
assault, fight at school or work, take something worth $50 or more, hit or seriously threaten to hit someone
Logistic regression models NA EITC was associated with reduced risk of fighting at school and of hitting or seriously threatening to hit someone. No association between EITC and stealing something worth more than USD 50. Odds Ratios (OR) and Risk Differences (RD, per 1000 people) in probability of additional youth outcomes associated with each additional USD 1000 of cumulative EITC
• Conviction for assault:
crude OR 0.74 (95 % CI: 0.70, 0.78); RD −12.9 (95 % CI: −15.4, −10.4) adjusted 0.86 (95 % CI: 0.74, 1.00); RD −5.8 (95 % CI: −11.8, 0.10)
• Fought at school or work:
crude OR 0.78 (95 % CI: 0.76, 0.80); RD −37.1 (95 % CI: −40.7, −33.6) adjusted OR 0.85 (95 % CI: 0.78, 0.93); RD −22.4 (95 % CI:-34.9, −9.9)
• Stole something worth more than USD 50:
crude OR 0.82 (95 % CI: 0.78, 0.86); RD −9.2 (95 % CI:−11.7, −6.8) adjusted OR 0.90 (95 % CI: 0.76, 1.06); RD −4.8 (95 % CI: −12.4, 2.8)
• Hit or seriously threatened to hit someone
crude OR 0.87 (95 % CI: 0.85, 0.88); RD −27.9 (95 % CI:−31.2, −24.7) adjusted OR 0.92 (95 % CI: 0.86, 0.98); RD −16.0 (95 % CI:−28.8, −3.2)
Dalve 2022 Youth violence: physical fighting, threaten or injuries Modified Poisson regression models 2005–2019:
State-level prevalence, range, %
• Physical fighting: 15.0 37.3 %
• Physical fighting on school property: 4.6 to 16.9
• Threatened or injured with a weapon on school property: 4.3 to 12.8 %
A 10-percentage point greater state EITC was significantly associated with 3.8 % lower prevalence of physical fighting among youth.
Prevalence ratio per 10,000 (95%CI), overall
• Physical fight: 0.96 (0.94–0.99), significant
• Physical fight on school property: 1.01 (0.95–1.07), non-significant
• Threatened or injured with a weapon on school property: 0.97 (0.92–1.02), non-significant
Sub-groups, physical fight
• Male: 0.96 (0.93, 0.98), 149 fewer, p = 0.04
• Female 0.97 (0.94, 1.01), p = 0.04
• White: 0.95 (0.92, 0.98), 118 fewer, p < 0.001
• Black 0.98 (0.95, 1.01), 75 fewer, p < 0.001
• Hispanic/Latino 1.00 (0.97, 1.02), 14 fewer, p < 0.001
• Other race and ethnicity: 0.89 (0.86, 0.91), 313 fewer, p < 0.001
Morgan 2021 Suicide Difference-in-differences, Poisson regressions, prevalence ratios (PRs) Mean rate of suicide deaths at baseline, per 10,000 (SD):
No EITC during study period: 1.69 (0.37); EITC for full study period 1.26 (0.34); introduction of EITC during study period 1.53 (0.46)
A 10 percentage-point increase in the generosity of state EITC was associated with lower frequency of suicide deaths. Negative relationship between EITC and suicide death were robust to model selection.
Impact of 10 percentage point increase in state EITC on suicide deaths, prevalence ratio PR (95 % CI):
• Unadjusted PR 0.99 (0.99, 1.00); non-significant
• Adjusted PR 0.99 (0.99, 1.00); non-significant
Impact of 10 percentage point increase in state EITC on deaths per 10,000 population, prevalence difference PD (95 % CI):
• Unadjusted PD −0.024 (-0.036, −0.011); p ≤ 0.05
• Adjusted PD −0.023 (-0.037, −0.010); p ≤ 0.05
Spencer 2020 IPV: coercive control and emotional abuse Difference-in-difference NA Only refundable EITC had a positive impact on any coercion.
Odds Ratio (95 % CI)
Any Coercion:
EITC non-refundable 0.88 (0.37, 2.09), non-significant
EITC refundable 0.71 (0.48, 1.04), p < 0.10
TANF 1.01 (1.00, 1.01), non-significant
Klevens 2017 Child abuse: abusive head trauma Difference-in-difference analyses NA Refundable EITC was associated with a 3.1 decrease (13 % reduction) in abusive head trauma admissions per 100,000 children (adjusted, 95 % CI: 6.5, 0.3; p = 0.08)
Non-refundable EITC was not associated with a decrease (adjusted, 2.1 [95 % CI: −4.1, 8.3]; p = 0.49)
Start-up grant
Ozler 2020 Violence against adolescents: Sexual violence Intent-to-treat analysis using linear regression Sexual violence in general: 37.3 % Physically forced to have sex: 7.8 % Non-physically pressured (coerced/persuaded): 8.4 % someone unsuccessfully attempt to have sex with them: 24.7 % Touched in a sexual way: 28.9 % Effects of both GE and GE+ on sexual violence, and protective factors were low and not statistically significant at the 95 % level of confidence.
Sexual violence, GE: −0.069 (0.069); GE+: −0.031 (0.060), non-significant Non-consensual touching, GE: 0.038 (0.024); GE+: 0.046 (0.021), p < 0.05 Attempted rape, GE: −0.031 (0.035); GE+: −0.002 (0.032), non-significant Pressured sex, GE: 0.011 (0.039); GE+: 0.002 (0.033), non-significant Rape, GE: 0.045 (0.041); GE+: −0.028 (0.034), non-significant Physical violence, GE: −0.019 (0.017); GE+: 0.016 (0.013), non-significant
Ismayilova 2017 IPV: physical and emotional Repeated-measures logistic, linear mixed effects regression models and moderation analysis Lifetime domestic violence (ever experienced):
Emotional violence % (CI):
Control group: 23.33 (14.48, 35.37)
Trickle up: 39.17 (29.5, 49.77)
Trickle up +: 30.83 (23.2, 39.68)
Non-significant Physical violence % (CI):
Control group: 10 (4.77, 19.77)
Trickle up: 20.83 (17.83, 24.19)
Trickle up+: 10.83 (4.33, 24.58)
Non-significant
Current domestic violence (in past year)
Emotional violence % (CI):
Control group: 20 (13.08, 29.35)
Trickle up: 35 (26.8, 44.2)
Trickle up+: 30 (21.21, 40.56) p < 0.05
Physical violence % (CI):
Control group: 9.17 (4.86, 16.62)
Trickle up: 15.83 (14.24, 17.56)
Trickle up+: 7.5 (2.73, 18.97)
Non-significant
Women in both intervention arms reported a significant reduction in emotional spousal violence in the past year, with the effect higher for the combined intervention.
• Physical violence (at 12-month follow-up):
Trickle Up+ vs control: OR 0.29 (0.02, 3.53), non-significant
Trickle Up+ vs Trickle Up: 0.38 (0.04, 4.21), non-significant
Trickle Up vs control: OR 0.75, 95 % CI (0.14, 3.92), non-significant
• Emotional violence:
Trickle Up+ vs control: OR 0.19, 95 % CI (0.06, 0.64), p < 0.001
Trickle Up+ vs Trickle Up: OR 0.69, 95 % CI (0.21, 2.24), non-significant
Trickle Up vs control: OR 0.28, 95 % CI (0.10, 0.82), p < 0.001
Green 2015 IPV: physical, emotional, and sexual abuse, and abusive or controlling behaviours Intention-to-treat via OLS regression The prevalence of any abuse within the past 8 months among women assigned to the control group was 19.7 % The programme’s effect on a self-reported index of physical, emotional, and sexual abuse among women is essentially zero.
ITT estimates, physical/emotional abuse in the past 8 months:
Phase 1, women only: 0.02 (SE: 0.06; 95 % CI: −0.1–0.14)
Phase 2, control: 0.03 (SD 1.17)
Women only: 0.01 (SE: 0.08; 95 % CI:
−0.14–0.16)
Women and partners: 0.08 (SE: 0.06; 95 % CI: −0.2–0.04)
All non-significant

NA: Not Available.

a

Evaluated CCT/UCT and cash+ interventions.

3.1. Evidence map and strength of evidence

Overall, most evidence showed that interventions decreased (n = 30), or had a null impact (n = 26) on violence. Seventeen studies found mixed impact which varied according to the population characteristics (e.g., race, gender, income), study setting (e.g., urban vs rural), study outcome (e.g., prevalence difference vs prevalence ratio) and type of cash transfer (e.g., refundable vs non-refundable EITC). Most evidence was classified as type III (moderate) or IV (limited). However, we found very strong evidence (type I) that cash plus reduced IPV victimisation and child maltreatment (Lachman et al., 2021); and that cash for work reduced physical, emotional and sexual IPV, and physical child maltreatment (Betancourt et al., 2020). We found strong evidence (type II) that CCT or UCT interventions reduced suicide (Machado et al., 2022); transactional and age-disparate sex on girls (Cluver et al., 2013) and start-up grants reduced emotional IPV (Ismayilova et al., 2018). We found moderate evidence (type III) that cash only reduced physical IPV; cash plus reduced physical child maltreatment and suicide (Carvalho et al., 2021; Christian et al., 2019; Kilburn et al., 2018); physical IPV (Briaux et al., 2020), physical and overall child maltreatment (Cancian et al., 2013; Jocson et al., 2023), sexual and youth violence perpetration (Palermo et al., 2021); tax credit reduced fight and threat (Moe et al., 2022). We found limited evidence (type IV) that cash only reduced domestic IPV, controlling behaviour (Borraz & Munyo, 2020; Hidrobo & Fernald, 2013) and suicide (Alves et al., 2019). Limited evidence was also found for cash plus incentives in reducing controlling behaviour, physical and/or sexual IPV (Bobonis et al., 2013; Hidrobo et al., 2016; Roy et al., 2019); for cash plus and cash for work in reducing physical child maltreatment (Barnhart et al., 2020; Heath et al., 2020; Roy et al., 2019) and youth violence (Cluver et al., 2016; Ivaschenko et al., 2017); also for start-up grants in reducing youth violence (Özler et al., 2020).

The evidence map indicated research gaps on the effect of cash+ and cash for work on suicide and general violence, tax credit on general violence and start-up grants on child maltreatment, suicide and general violence (Table S5).

3.2. Conditional and unconditional cash transfers (CCT and UCT)

3.2.1. IPV

3.2.1.1. Reduction.

In Uruguay, Borraz and Munyo (2020) found that the Plan de Equidad reduced domestic violence by 1.6 % (Borraz & Munyo, 2020). In South Africa, Kilburn et al. (2018), found that a CCT programme significantly reduced physical IPV among young girls aged between 13 and 20 (intent to treat estimates, RR [95%CI] = 0.66 [0.59, 0.74], p > 0.001) (Kilburn et al., 2018). In Ecuador, Bono de Desarrolo Humano significantly reduced controlling behaviours (intent to treat estimates [SE] = −0.06 [0.03], significant at 5 %) (Hidrobo & Fernald, 2013).

3.2.1.2. Null effect.

In Pakistan, the Benazir Income Support Programme had no significant impact on prevalence of emotional or physical IPV (Iqbal et al., 2021). In Brazil, Litwin et al. (2019) found null associations between Bolsa Familia and female homicide (Litwin et al., 2019). In Bangladesh, the UCT component of the Transfer Modality Research Initiative had no impact on emotional or physical IPV six to ten months after the programme had ended (Roy et al., 2019). In South Africa, Kilburn et al. (2018), found no effect on forced sex among young girls (Kilburn et al., 2018). In Ecuador, Bono de Desarrolo Humano had no effect on emotional and physical IPV (Hidrobo & Fernald, 2013).

3.2.1.3. Mixed effect.

In Brazil, Leite et al. (2019) found that Bolsa Familia was associated with psychological IPV (coefficient [SE]: 0.287 [0.087], p = 0.001) in wealthier families, but the study found no association between the programme and psychological or physical IPV among families living below the poverty line (Leite et al., 2019).

3.2.2. General violence

3.2.2.1. Reduction.

In Uruguay, the Plan de Equidad programme significantly reduced robberies (−1.798 [SE 0.725], significant at 5 %) (Borraz & Munyo, 2020). In Brazil, one ecological study found that Bolsa Familia programme significantly reduced homicide rates (rate ratio: 0.997; 95%CI: 0.996–0.997), and hospitalisation from violence (RR: 0.996; 95 % CI: 0.995, 0.996) (Machado et al., 2018). Another ecological study conducted in Brazil found that the Bolsa Familia programme significantly reduced all crimes, robberies and violent crimes (Chioda et al., 2016). In Argentina, the Unemployed Heads of Household Programme also had a significant negative impact on property crimes (OLS [SE] = −0.0026 [0.0011], significant at 5 %), and its main categories: larceny (OLS [SE] = −0.0024 [0.0012], significant at 10 %) and robbery (OLS [SE] = −0.0016 [0.0007], significant at 5 %) (Meloni, 2014).

3.2.2.2. Mixed effect.

Despite the reduction on some types of general violence due to the Bolsa Familia programme, Chioda et al. (2016) found mixed results on thefts, vandalism and drug crimes, which varied according to the empirical model adopted (Chioda et al., 2016).

3.2.3. Child maltreatment

3.2.3.1. Reduction.

In Brazil, cash transfer programme had a protective association against severe physical violence (adjusted OR: 0,5; p = 0,026) (Carvalho et al., 2021).

3.2.3.2. Null effect.

Two studies evaluated the effect of CCT/UCT on child maltreatment. In Bangladesh, the UCT component of the Transfer Modality Research Initiative had no impact on child maltreatment (Roy et al., 2019). The Palestinian study did not find any association between cash transfers and child maltreatment (Abu-Hamad et al., 2014).

3.2.4. Youth violence

3.2.4.1. Null effect.

The Cash Transfer for Orphans and Vulnerable Children programme administered by the Government of Kenya had no effect on transactional sex among adolescents (Rosenberg & Pettifor, 2014).

3.2.4.2. Mixed effect.

One study in South Africa reported the effect of UCT interventions on the sexual abuse of adolescents aged between 10 and 18. The case-control study compared beneficiaries and non-beneficiaries of cash transfers and found that the intervention reduced the incidence of transactional sex (adjusted OR [95 % CI] 0.49 [0.26, 0.93], p = 0.028) and age-disparate sex among girls (adjusted OR [95 % CI] 0.29 [0.13, 0.67], p = 0.004). For boys, no consistent effects were shown for any of the behaviours (Cluver et al., 2013).

3.2.5. Suicide

3.2.5.1. Reduction.

In Brazil, Machado et al. (2022) analysed a cohort of >110 million individuals including beneficiaries and non-beneficiaries from the Bolsa Familia programme during the period 2004–2015. The authors found a reduction of approximately 50 % in the overall suicide rate among the beneficiaries of the programme (unadjusted IRR: 0.50; 95 % CI: 0.49–0.52; p < 0.001) (Machado et al., 2022). Christian et al. (2019) observed a decrease in annual suicide rates in an Indonesian study. The nationwide cash transfer programme rollout reduced suicides by approximately 0.36 per 100,000 people per year (difference-in difference estimates [SE]: −0.358 [0.101], p < 0.01). The authors also used the results of a randomised controlled trial for the same programme to validate the rollout results, and found a decrease in the annual suicide rate (ANCOVA specification [SE]: −0.337 [0.226], non-significant) (Christian et al., 2019). Alves et al. (2019) applied an ecological approach covering 5507 Brazilian municipalities, to identify the impact of the Bolsa Familia programme on suicide rates between 2004 and 2012. The authors found that increased coverage of Bolsa Familia can lead to a decrease in suicide rates. Compared with municipalities with low BFP coverage (<30 %), suicide rates were significantly lower in municipalities with coverage between 30 %–70 % (RR crude 0.966; 95 % CI: 0.960, 0.972) and coverage >70 % (RR crude 0.942; 95 % CI: 0.936, 0.947) (Alves et al., 2019).

3.3. Conditional or unconditional cash incentive implemented in conjunction with other programs (Cash+)

3.3.1. IPV

3.3.1.1. Reduction.

In the Philippines, parents from low income families receiving CCT plus a parenting intervention (MaPa) reported a 63 % reduced risk of IPV victimisation at one-month post-intervention (IRR = 0.37, 95%CI [0.06, 0.68]) with 49 % reduced risk at one-year follow-up (IRR = 0.51, 95%CI [0.01, 1.00]) (Lachman et al., 2021). In Togo, an UCT associated with community activities led to lower odds of physical IPV among beneficiaries (difference-in-difference estimates [95 % CI] = −7.9 [0.36, 0.99], p = 0.048) (Briaux et al., 2020). In Bangladesh, Roy et al. (2019) assessed the post-programme impact of cash plus nutrition behaviour change communication (BCC), and found a statistically significant reduction in physical IPV (intent to treat estimates [SE]: −0.07 [0.03] significant at 5 %) (Roy et al., 2019). In Ecuador, the World Food Programme, which provides conditional cash transfer and an accompanying training programme, significantly reduced controlling behaviours (intent to treat estimates [SE] = −0.08 [0.04]) and physical and/or sexual violence (intent to treat estimates [SE] = −0.05 [0.03]) (Hidrobo et al., 2016). In Mexico, the cash transfer programme Oportunidades had a significant impact on the reduction of physical IPV (OLS estimates [SE] = −0.052 [0.030], significant at 10 % level) (Bobonis et al., 2013).

3.3.1.2. Null effects.

In the Philippines, a CCT in addition to a community based programme targeting parents and teens support to prevent violence against adolescents found no effect on IPV in general and coercion (Jocson et al., 2023). In Togo, the UCT programme associated with community activities had no impact on controlling behaviour or emotional violence (Briaux et al., 2020). In Bangladesh, cash plus nutrition behaviour change communication (BCC) had no significant effect on emotional or physical and emotional IPV (Roy et al., 2019). In Ecuador, the World Food Programme had no effect on emotional violence (Hidrobo et al., 2016). In Mexico, the CCT Oportunidades had no significant results on reducing emotional and sexual IPV (Bobonis et al., 2013). A randomised controlled trial in the USA found non-significant results of the Minnesota Family Investment Programme on reducing domestic abuse (Gennetian, 2003).

3.3.1.3. Mixed effects.

In South Africa, a CCT on attending a skill building intervention (Women of Worth- WoW) showed significant reduction in IPV indicators immediately after WoW (OR [95 % CI], gender-based violence threat: 0.53 [0.41–0.69]; forced sex: 0.37 [0.27–0.52]; transactional sex: 0.50 [0.37–0.66]). But this reduction was not durable at follow-up (OR [95 % CI], gender-based violence threat: 0.99 [0.76–1.30], p = 0.964; forced sex: 0.75 [0.50–1.11], p = 0.152; transactional sex: 0.83 [0.63–1.10], p = 0.200) (Naledi et al., 2022). In Mali, the Programme de Filets Sociaux found a significant reduction in physical, emotional and controlling behaviour IPV only in polygamous households (intent-to-treat estimates: physical −0.072; p < 0.05; emotional −0.126; p < 0.05; and controlling behaviour −0.161; p < 0.01), with no effect in other marriage arrangements (Heath et al., 2020). In Mexico, Canedo and Morse (2019) found that a cash+ intervention, Prospero, significantly increased the prevalence of IPV (sexual and/or physical) among unemployed and employed women in urban settings and employed women in rural settings. However, no significant effect was found among unemployed women in rural settings (Canedo & Morse, 2019). In the USA, more females reported IPV within 4 days of receiving welfare transfers (incidence rate ratio [SE] intimidation: 1.046 [0.011], p < 0.01; and assault: 1.007 [0.004], p < 0.1). However, no significant effect was found when receiving days 14–16 and days 30, 31 and 1st (Hsu et al., 2017).

3.3.2. Child maltreatment

3.3.2.1. Reduction.

In the Philippines, MaPa programme targeting violence prevention among adolescent child had mixed effects on child maltreatment. Physical abuse and overall child maltreatment reported by caregivers reduced significantly (mean 3.80 [SD 6.82], p = 0.015, d – 0.39; and mean 10.17 [SD 2.79], p = 0.022, d – 0.46, respectivelly) (Jocson et al., 2023). Also in the Philippines, one randomised controlled trial evaluated the impact of a CCT associated with parenting interventions (MaPa) on child maltreatment for 120 low-income families with children aged 2–6 years. Adults reported reduced overall child maltreatment (d = −0.50 [95%CI: −0.86, −0.13]), emotional abuse (d = −0.59 [95%CI: −0.95, −0.22]), physical abuse (IRR = 0.51 [95%CI: 0.27, 0.74]), and neglect (IRR = 0.52 [95%CI: 0.18, 0.85]), at post-intervention and one-year follow-up (Lachman et al., 2021). In Mali, Heath and colleagues also evaluated the impact of the Programme de Filets Sociaux on the child maltreatment, and found a statistically significant reduction of any physical punishment (intent-to-treat estimates: −0.066; p < 0.1) (Heath et al., 2020). In Bangladesh, Transfers+BCC programme reduced significantly at the post-endline by 12 and 8 percentage points “Harsh physical punishment last week”, and “Hit child back when child hits parent”, respectively (Roy et al., 2019). In the USA, a full child support pass reduced the risk of child maltreatment (OR 0.881 [SE 0.050], at 5 % significance) (Cancian et al., 2013).

3.3.2.2. Null effect.

In the Philippines, MaPa programme had no significant impact on emotional abuse and neglected reported by caregivers (Jocson et al., 2023). In Mali, Programme de Filets Sociaux found a null effect on psychological aggression of children [63] (Heath et al., 2020). In Bangladesh, Transfers+BCC programme had no effect on emotional violence (Roy et al., 2019).

3.3.3. Youth violence

3.3.3.1. Reduction.

A study conducted in Tanzania evaluated the impact of a conditional cash plus intervention on violence experiences among adolescents aged 14–19 years in 130 communities. Adolescents in the intervention had a reduction of 3-percentage-point on experiencing sexual violence (b = −0.03; 95 % CI: −0.06, 0.00). Females had a 5-percentage-point reduction in sexual violence (b = −0.05; 95 % CI: −0.10, −0.00). Males reported less physical violence perpetration as a result of the intervention (b = −0.06; 95 % CI: −0.10, −0.02) (Palermo et al., 2021). In South Africa, a longitudinal survey evaluated the impact of UCT grouped with ‘caring’ social protection. The intervention reduced adolescent violence perpetration among boys aged between 10 and 18 (OR 0.67 [95 % CI: 0.48–0.93]). Among girls, caring social protection significantly reduced sexual exploitation (OR 0.71 CI 0.52–0.98) (Cluver et al., 2016).

3.3.3.2. Null effect.

Cash transfer plus the community based MaPa programme had no significant effect in adolescent exposure to community violence in the Philippines (Jocson et al., 2023). In Tanzania, Ranganathan, Pichon, et al. (2022) performed a cluster randomised controlled trial in 130 villages. Adolescent girls and young women (14–19 years old), belonging to households receiving the Productive Social Safety Net programme, received the Ujana Salama “plus” intervention. The cash plus intervention showed no impact on reducing transactional sex (coefficient β 0.003 [SE 0.07]; p = 0.905) (Ranganathan, Quinones, et al., 2022). Another study in Tanzania, the conditional cash plus intervention had no impacts on emotional violence or physical violence (Palermo et al., 2021).

3.3.3.3. Mixed effect.

In Kenya, a study evaluated the impact of two-year multisectoral cash plus programmes on young adolescent girls’ violence outcome in two slum settlements (Kibera and Wajir). The study arm including a conditional cash transfer linked to an education component led to reductions in the experience of male-perpetrated violence in Kibera between 4 and 9 percentage points compared with an average of 42 % in the control arm (violence component only vs violence + education components: OLS estimated [95 % CI] −0.088, [−0.14, −0.03], p < 0.01; violence component only vs violence + education + health components: OLS estimated [95 % CI]: −0.059, [−0.10, 0.02], p < 0.05). The inclusion of a CCT in the intervention components had no impact on reducing violence in Wajir (Austrian et al., 2021). In Zimbabwe, Chakrabarti et al. (2020), found that the Government of Zimbabwe’s Harmonized Social Cash Transfer programme had a mixed effect, depending on the time of outcome assessment (12 and 48 months). Youth report of exposure to slapped and pushed, attacked with a knife or other weapon and physical violence reduced significantly only at 48 months impact. No significant effect was found for severe physical violence and being hit with a fist/kicked/beaten with an object at 12 or 48 months (Chakrabarti et al., 2020).

3.4. Cash for work

3.4.1. IPV

3.4.1.1. Reduction.

In Rwanda, the Vision Umurenge Programme in addition to an early childhood development coaching programme, Sugira Muryango, led to a 51 % decrease in the odds of females reporting victimisation due to physical, emotional and sexual IPV (difference-in-difference estimates [95 % CI] = −0.72 [−1.43, −0.01]) (Betancourt et al., 2020).

3.4.1.2. Null effect.

The same study related no differences in fathers reporting IPV perpetration (Betancourt et al., 2020).

3.4.1.3. Mixed effect.

In Ethiopia, a randomised controlled trial allocated participants in four treatment arms to measure the impact of public works and complementary programmes on IPV. Authors found no impacts of the complementary programming on IPV in the full sample, but some impacts among the poorest sample. This sample received either cash or poultry grants, nutrition intervention and livelihood complementary activities (T2 arm). Authors reported decrease in reports of physical and sexual violence from the T2 cash and poultry interventions when compared to the control arm (physical T2 x Cash −0.059 [SE 0.027], p < 0.05; sexual T2 x Poultry −0.057 [0.021], p < 0.01), and decrease in sexual violence in the past year of T2 (linear combination: effect of T2–0.047 [0.020], p < 0.05) and the poultry package (linear combination: effect of poultry −0.042 [0.019], p < 0.05) (Ranganathan, Pichon, et al., 2022).

3.4.2. Child maltreatment

3.4.2.1. Reduction.

In Rwanda, two cluster randomised trials evaluated the effect of the Vision Umurenge Programme on reducing child maltreatment rates. The programme was evaluated in combination with Sugira Muryango. Betancourt et al. (2020) analysed the effect of cash transfers preventing violent punishment in 1049 families living in extreme poverty in Rwanda. Two categories of the Vision Umurenge Programme were analysed in combination with Sugira Muryango, (i) classic public works, which provide cash for manual labour, and (ii) expanded public works, which provide cash for labour and access to livestock. The study found that exposure to harsh discipline decreased 70 % in families receiving Sugira Muryango plus cash, compared to those receiving CCT/UCT (difference-in-difference estimates, coefficient [95 % CI] = −1.22 [−1.67, −0.76]; OR [95 % CI] = −0.30 [0.19, 0.47]) (Betancourt et al., 2020). Barnhart et al. (2020) found a significant reduction in violent punishment in families receiving both cash and Sugira Muryango (cash+) Sugira Muryango vs CCT/CCT, 6-months after the intervention: 40 % (95 % CI: 16, 70) vs 60 % (95 % CI: 32, 83), p = 0.1 [72] (Barnhart et al., 2020).

3.4.3. Youth violence

3.4.3.1. Reduction.

In Papua New Guinea, the cash for work programme reduced participants’ frequency of threatening to use force by 13 percentage points, and of fighting back in response to an attack by 11 percentage points, which correspond to 65 and 25 % reductions, respectively, relative to the baseline (Ivaschenko et al., 2017).

3.4.3.2. Null effect.

The same study found no significant impact on adolescents involved in assaults and trespassing (Ivaschenko et al., 2017).

3.5. Tax credit

3.5.1. IPV

3.5.1.1. Mixed effect.

One study, conducted in the USA, assessed the effect of tax credit on IPV. Spencer et al. (2020) indicated that refundable EITC decreased the level of emotional IPV (difference-in-difference estimates [95%CI] = 0.71 [0.48, 1.04], at 10 % significance). Refundable EITC and TANF had no significant effect on coercion (Spencer et al., 2020).

3.5.2. Child maltreatment

3.5.2.1. Mixed effects.

In the USA, a study evaluating the impact of Child Tax Credit on reducing emergency department visits due to child abuse and neglected found significant decrease in these visits in the four days following advance payment disbursement among male children (point estimate, −0.40; 95 % CI, −0.75 to −0.06; p = 0.02) and non-Hispanic white children (point estimate, −0.69; 95 % CI, −1.22 to −0.17; p = 0.01). However, the general number of visits did not have statistically significant reduction (Bullinger & Boy, 2023). Also in the USA, a cross-sectional study found a significant reduction of the risk of child neglect in kinship families that received a combination of financial assistance in the full sample (b = −0.88, p < 0.05) and in a subsample with household income >USD30,000 (b = −1.31; p < 0.05). There was no significant decrease in a subsample with household income ≤USD30,000 (b = −1.07; non-significant) (Xu et al., 2021). A third study addressing the effect of EITC e child tax credit found mixed effect on reducing child abuse according to the week of issuance. The tax credit had no effect when issued two and four weeks before, but the cumulative effect significantly reduced child maltreatment (number of child maltreatment reports per 100,000 children −16.8 [95 % CI: −26.0, −7.7], significant at 1 %) (Kovski et al., 2022). Another study evaluated the effect of EITC, a tax credit designed programme to provide relief for low-to-moderate-income working people, on hospital admissions attributed to abusive head trauma in children. The authors found that refundable EITC was associated with a 13 % decrease in abusive head trauma admissions per 100,000 children (difference-in-difference, adjusted estimate [95 % CI] = −3.1; [−6.5, 0.3], p = 0.08), but non refundable EITC was not associated (Klevens et al., 2017).

3.5.3. Youth violence

3.5.3.1. Reduction.

In the USA, Moe et al. (2022) analysed in a cohort the effect of cumulative simulated EITC with general violence. EITC was associated with reduced risk of fighting at school or work (adjusted OR 0.85 [95 % CI: 0.78, 0.93]; adjusted RD −22.4 [95 % CI: −34.9, −9.9]) and of hitting or seriously threatening to hit someone (adjusted OR 0.92 [95 % CI: 0.86, 0.98]; adjusted RD −16.0 [95 % CI: −28.8, −3.2]) (Moe et al., 2022).

3.5.3.2. Null effect.

The same study found no association between cumulative EITC and stealing something worth more than USD 50 (adjusted OR 0.90 (95 % CI: 0.76, 1.06); adjusted RD −4.8 [95 % CI: −12.4, 2.8]) (Moe et al., 2022).

3.5.3.3. Mixed effect.

In the USA, Dalve et al. (2022) found significant lower prevalence of physical fighting with a 10-percentage point greater state EITC overall (PR: 0.96; 95 % CI 0.94–0.99), among male students (PR: 0.96; 95 % CI: −243, −55), white students (PR: 0.92; 95 % CI: −184, −52), and other race and ethnicity students (PR: 0.89 (0.86, 0.91)). No significant effect was found on physical fight and threatened or injured with a weapon on school property (Dalve et al., 2022).

3.5.4. Suicide

3.5.4.1. Mixed effect.

In the USA, Morgan et al. (2021) evaluated the impact of a refundable state-level EITC on suicide using repeated cross-sectional data. Authors found that a 10 percentage-point increase in the generosity of state EITC was associated with lower frequency of suicide deaths (adjusted prevalence difference −0.023 [95 % CI: −0.037, −0.010]; p ≤ 0.05). However, no significant impact was found when reporting prevalence ratio (Morgan et al., 2021).

3.6. Start-up grants

3.6.1. IPV

3.6.1.1. Reduction.

In Burkina Faso, a cluster-randomised controlled trial found a significant reduction in emotional IPV (Trickle Up+ vs no intervention: OR 0.19, 95 % CI [0.06, 0.64], p < 0.001) (Ismayilova et al., 2018).

3.6.1.2. Null effect.

The same study found no significant results in physical IPV (Ismayilova et al., 2018). Green and colleagues evaluated the impact of a start-up grant programme plus business skill training in reducing physical and emotional IPV in Uganda, and findings were not statistically significant (Green et al., 2015).

3.6.2. Youth violence

3.6.2.1. Reduction.

In Liberia, Özler et al., 2020, conducted a cluster-randomised controlled trial to evaluate the GE+ programme, which delivered mentoring programmes to adolescents, and cash incentive payments to their caregivers. The study evaluated several types of sexual violence (e.g. non-consensual touching, attempted rape, and pressurized sex), and only found a statistically significant reduction in non-consensual touching (OLS regressions at the 24-month follow-up [SE]: 0.046 [0.021], significant at 10 %) (Özler et al., 2020).

3.6.2.2. Null effect.

The same study found no effect on sexual violence, attempted rape and physical violence (Özler et al., 2020).

3.7. Quality assessment, Cochrane, and NIH tools

Most intervention studies were classified as being of a low or moderate quality, and two studies achieved a high-quality ranking of five or more. The main bias reported was the lack of information on the blinding methods for both participants and outcome assessment. One case-control study ranked with a high quality score. Among cross-sectional and cohort studies, two were classified as high quality, twelve as moderate quality, and three as low quality. The most recurrent biases identified across observational studies were social desirability, differential, selection, and survival bias (Table S4).

4. Discussion

Our review showed compelling evidence indicating that cash-based incentives can provide a protective factor against some types of violence, such as suicide and physical intimate partner violence (IPV) against women. Additionally, these incentives appear to play a role in safeguarding children and adolescents from instances of physical and sexual violence. However, regardless of the type of cash-based incentive, the results display mixed trends, indicating varied effects of such incentives on different violence outcomes.

IPV was the outcome with more peer-review publications on the impact of cash-based incentives on violence. On the other hand, there is a lack of evidence investigating the impact of these interventions on suicide (four studies) and general violence (four studies). A further gap is the lack of evidence from developed countries. These countries have a tradition of implementing social protection programmes, such as basic income security, covering a large proportion of the population. We identified evidence from two high-income countries: the USA and Uruguay.

In terms of the types of cash-based interventions, most studies evaluating CCT or UCT mainly addressed IPV. The implementation of cash transfer programs (UCT and CCT) in conjunction with other interventions, such as community activities and skills training, had a mixed effect on IPV and youth violence, with studies indicating a reduction in these outcomes presenting very strong evidence (type I). Integrating cash transfer initiatives with violence prevention strategies can contribute to a multifaceted approach in addressing the underlying causes of violence and mitigating its effects (Bobonis et al., 2013; Lachman et al., 2021).

In relation to other types of cash-based incentives, such as cash for work, tax credits, and start-up grants, our review also uncovered mixed results. There is very strong evidence (Type I) supporting the efficacy of cash-for-work programs in reducing physical, emotional, and sexual IPV, as well as physical child maltreatment (Betancourt et al., 2020). Additionally, there is strong evidence (Type II) indicating the effectiveness of start-up grants in reducing emotional IPV. However, the impact of tax credits varied depending on intervention design (e.g., refundable or non-refundable EITC), study demographics (e.g., ethnicity and gender), and chosen data indicators (e.g., prevalence difference or prevalence ratio).

Despite the mixed findings, our review pointed a relationship between cash-based incentives and the mitigation of certain types of violence, including physical intimate partner violence (IPV) and violence against children. The mechanisms connecting cash-based incentives and violence, as elucidated by the scientific literature, revolve around economic empowerment and enhanced social well-being (Machado et al., 2018; Machado et al., 2022; Alves et al., 2019, Bobonis et al., 2013, Hidrobo & Fernald, 2013). The provision of monetary support through cash transfers can empower individuals and households economically, leading to improved living conditions, reduced stressors, and increased access to resources (Machado et al., 2018; Machado et al., 2022; Alves et al., 2019; Bobonis et al., 2013; Hidrobo & Fernald, 2013). Additionally, cash-based incentives might indirectly influence violence by promoting increased access to education, healthcare, and social services, fostering a sense of social inclusion and reducing vulnerabilities (Machado et al., 2018; Machado et al., 2022; Alves et al., 2019; Bobonis et al., 2013; Hidrobo & Fernald, 2013). Overall, the scientific literature highlights how cash-based incentives can address underlying socio-economic factors, subsequently contributing to the prevention and reduction of violence (Machado et al., 2018; Machado et al., 2022; Alves et al., 2019; Bobonis et al., 2013; Hidrobo & Fernald, 2013).

The mixed results found in both ours, and in other reviews, may be linked to the occurrence of bias and methods applied to collect, measure, and classify the violence outcome. Besides underreporting, issues of precision can also be involved when collecting violence data through self-reporting, mostly because recall bias can interfere with the ability to accurately report the occurrence of violence. As discussed by Blair and Burton (1987), three main factors affect the accuracy of the self-reported frequency of past events, (1) the actual frequency of the event; (2) question wording (e.g. the use of “how many times”); and (3) the reference timeframe (longer timeframes increasing the chance of error) (Blair & Burton, 1987).

García-moreno (2004) also reflected on measurement issues, pointing out that emotional IPV is less frequently addressed in studies, and there is higher variability. The authors highlighted that definitions of emotional abuse can vary across cultures and, therefore, are more difficult to define (García-moreno, 2004; Heise et al., 2019). Our review found conflicts in classification of emotional IPV. We found two studies showing a reduction and null effect of CCT/UCT interventions on this type of violence, which measured emotional abuse and controlling behaviour (Hidrobo et al., 2016; Hidrobo & Fernald, 2013). A third study measured different categories of coercion and emotional abuse (Spencer et al., 2020). In our review, we classified psychological abuse and coercion into emotional IPV, which led to conflicting results.

Our review has strengths and limitations. Firstly, this is a comprehensive review including six violence outcomes: violence against women; violence against children, including sexual abuse and violent punishment; adolescent violence perpetration; suicide; and general violence, including homicide. Secondly, we evaluated the strength and type of evidence available, by using an evidence map. This provided a summary of the impact of different cash-based incentives on violence. Thirdly, the review indicated important gaps in research, in both cash-based incentive models and violence outcomes which should be considered in further studies. One limitation of this review is the exclusion of grey literature and working papers, which reduced the number of studies retrieved. However, limiting to recently published papers strengthen the quality of evidence reviewed. We wished to assemble the best evidence on this topic and to report an accurate, quantitative impact of these interventions on violence. We did not locate papers on non-partner sexual violence against women and violence against old people. The exclusion of articles published in German, Italian, Swedish, and Danish could have led to the exclusion of evidence from developed countries. Another limitation is the heterogeneity of the measures and outcomes analysed in the selected studies, which made it impossible to perform meta-analysis. The indicators used to measure violence were sometimes by proxy, or other police data which may have also resulted in underreporting.

The lack of reliability of outcome data was a problem for some of the studies reviewed. For those focusing on individual-level outcomes, results based entirely on self-reported events may potentially introduce a number of limitations, such as social desirability, recall, and measurement and systematic errors (Krumpal, 2013; Stone et al., 2009; Van De Mortel, 2008) especially for violent events (Heise et al., 2019; Piquero et al., 2014). While service-related data is affected by the overreporting of more severe cases, missing information, and representativeness issues. Therefore, information from diverse forms of data acquisition may help better compose patterns of violence in the community.

All the studies evaluating the association of cash interventions with violence that ends in death were ecological and therefore could not answer the question as to whether being a beneficiary would be associated with decreased chances of being a homicide or suicide victim. However, it must be considered that the intervention (poverty alleviating programmes) is focused on the population group that accounts for a large proportion of violence-related outcomes, demonstrating that poverty acts as a strong social determinant of violence (Hsieh & Pugh, 1993; Morris et al., 2017; Pereira et al., 2017). Therefore, the plausibility that the variations of interest observed in the outcomes arise from the group of people not exposed to the intervention (i.e., ecological fallacies) is greatly reduced.

Finally, it is important to highlight that safety net programmes are primarily focused on reducing poverty, and reducing violence can be considered an extended benefit of these programmes. Peterman and colleagues reflect on the importance of integrated systems, such as social and child protection, to reduce certain types of violence (Peterman et al., 2017). Similarly, despite the mixed type of evidence, our results showed that cash+ interventions are more likely to reduce violence, when compared with cash− only programmes.

5. Conclusion

Cash-based incentives are a powerful tool to reduce poverty and inequalities, particularly in developing countries. Our review revealed the effect of these programmes on reducing certain types of violence. We found evidence indicating that cash-based incentives are likely to protect women from IPV, and children and young people from physical and sexual violence. Further research should focus on the evidence gaps found in our review, i.e. cash+ and other forms of cash-based incentives, and certain types of violence, such as suicide and adolescent perpetration. Lastly, further studies should address the research gaps identified in this review, the cost-effectiveness of these interventions, and how the population is affected by these programmes.

Supplementary Material

Appendix 1

Appendix A. Supplementary data

Supplementary data to this article can be found online at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.avb.2023.101909.

Funding

The protocol reported in this publication was supported by the National Institute of Mental Health of the National Institutes of Health under Award Number R01MH128911. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.

Footnotes

CRediT authorship contribution statement

Daiane Borges Machado: Conceptualization, Data curation, Funding acquisition, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. Noemia Teixeira de Siqueira Filha: Formal analysis, Investigation, Validation, Writing – review & editing. Fanny Cortes: Formal analysis, Investigation, Validation, Writing – review & editing. Luís F.S. Castro-de-Araujo: Writing – review & editing. Flavia Jôse Oliveira Alves: Writing – review & editing, Validation. Dandara Ramos: Writing – review & editing. Erika Fialho Xavier: Methodology, Writing – review & editing; Fernando Zanghelini: Writing – review & editing. William Rudgard: Writing – review & editing. David K. Humphreys: Writing – review & editing. Maurício L. Barreto: Writing – review & editing.

Declaration of competing interest

The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare. All co-authors have seen and agree with the contents of the manuscript and there is no financial interest to report. We certify that the submission is original work and is not under review at any other publication.

Data availability

No data was used for the research described in the article.

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