Abstract
Objectives
Evidence regarding the association between tea consumption and bladder cancer (BC) risk is inconsistent. This study aimed to increase our knowledge of the association by using international data from the Bladder Cancer Epidemiology and Nutritional Determinants Consortium.
Methods
Individual data on 2,347 cases and 6,871 controls from 15 case-control studies with information on black, green, herbal, or general tea was pooled. The association was estimated using multilevel multivariable logistic regression analysis adjusted for multiple (non-)dietary factors.
Results
Association between tea consumption and BC risk was observed (odds ratio, OR = 0.72, 95% confidence interval, 95% CI = 0.65-0.80) compared to non-tea drinkers. Stratified analyses based on gender and smoking status yielded similar results. Stratified analysis showed no significant association between black or green tea consumption and BC risk across models, while herbal tea consumption was linked to a reduced BC risk (OR = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.36-0.96). As daily tea consumption increased within a suitable range (<5.67 cups/day), BC risk decreased.
Conclusions
Camellia sinensis tea showed no association with BC risk, while herbal tea was inversely linked to BC incidence. Despite some significant findings in the selected strata, further studies are required to clarify the underlying mechanisms.
Keywords: Bladder cancer, Tea consumption, BLEND consortium, Case-control studies, Dose-response relationship
Introduction
Worldwide, there are 165,000 annual deaths of bladder cancer (BC) and around 430,000 new cases per year, making this neoplasm the 9th most common cancer type 1,2. Owing to its high rate of recurrence, BC is reported to be the most expensive of all cancers in terms of lifetime treatment 3. In Europe, 3% of all cancer-related costs are caused by BC 4. The most well-established risk factors for BC are smoking, occupational exposure to carcinogens, and Schistosoma haematobium infection 5–8. For patients presenting with hematuria symptoms, urine cytology, urine tumor marker tests, and imaging tests (e.g., ultrasound, CT urography) are performed first. If the result of any one of these tests is positive or abnormal, further cystoscopy and biopsy (if necessary) are required to clarify the diagnosis. Studies have shown that cessation of smoking and the presence of cardiovascular disease are independent protective factors for bladder cancer (BC)9. Due to the use of antiplatelet/antithrombotic medications, patients with cardiovascular disease typically have a higher risk of hematuria. Consequently, they often require additional diagnostic evaluations such as ultrasound, cystoscopy, or CT, which may increase the detection rate of benign pseudocancerous lesions.
Since the bladder is an excretion organ, and thereby the bladder is exposed to carcinogens in fluid via the urine, the role of fluid consumption could also be important in the occurrence of BC 8. Tea is the second most common beverage worldwide (after water). Among teas, black and green tea are the most favored types 10 and originate from the same plant (Camellia sinensis). Black tea leaves are completely fermented, and green tea leaves are unfermented 11,12. Anticancer properties are associated with the polyphenol compounds of black tea, especially theaflavins and thearubigins 12–14 and green tea, mainly epigallocatechin-3-gallate (EGCG) 12,14–17. Polyphenols inhibit apoptosis and cancer cell proliferation and exhibit antioxidant characteristics. The amount of anticancer polyphenols was higher in green tea than in black tea 12. In addition, herbal tea, which is rich in phytochemicals and has antimicrobial potential, may be beneficial for soothing moods and preventing colds and other chronic diseases 18.
Consistent evidence posits that green tea consumption has a favorable effect on various cancer types in humans 19, such as gastric 20 and breast cancer 21. In vitro and in vivo studies have also demonstrated an inverse relationship between green tea consumption and the risk of BC 15, whereas research on the relationship between black or herbal tea and BC is lacking. The exact molecular processes of tea polyphenols are still being investigated. However, epidemiological evidence regarding tea consumption and BC, is unclear. While three meta-analyses concluded that there was no significant association between general tea consumption and black or green tea consumption individually and BC 22–24, one meta-analysis showed a significant inverse association between BC risk and both black and green tea 25. These conflicting or inconsistent results might be due to the lack of detailed information on tea consumption and adjustment for influential or important confounding factors 15. We hypothesized that the inverse association between tea consumption and BC risk could be clarified by addressing the limitations of previous research.
The current study aimed to increase our knowledge of the effects of black, green, herbal, and general tea consumption in general and BC risk by bringing together world data on this topic.
Methods
Study design
Data were obtained from the bladder cancer, epidemiology and nutritional determinants study (BLEND), an international nutritional consortium currently involving 19 case-control studies and 16 cohort studies, aimed to investigate the association between diet and BC26. In the present study, case-control studies from BLEND were included if they provided data on tea consumption and covariates of interest. Out of the 19 case-control studies in BLEND, 15 studies met the inclusion criteria. Fifteen case-control studies with a total of 2,347 BC cases and 6,871 controls, originated from seven countries on three continents: Belgium 27, Canada 28, China 29,30, Germany 31, Italy 32–34, Sweden 35, and the USA 36–41 (Supplementary Table 1). Each study was approved by their local ethic committee 26.
Data collection and coding
Details of the methodology of the BLEND consortium have been described elsewhere 26. All the studies collected dietary data by (food frequency) questionnaires or interviews. Except for three studies 41–43, data on dietary intake were collected at least one year before enrolment. For harmonization purposes, the BLEND consortium used the Eurocode 2 food coding system developed by the European Union 44. The weekly, monthly, or yearly intake was converted to daily milliliters (ml) or grams (g). This resulted in an aggregated dataset with a unified tea consumption across the included studies. In the present study, tea consumption includes tea derived from the leaves of the plant Camellia sinensis, such as black tea and green tea, as well as herbal tea, a common drink widely consumed in many countries. Additionally, the BLEND consortium collected data on study characteristics (design, method of dietary assessment, geographical region), participant demographics (age, gender, and ethnicity), and smoking status (current, former, never). Smoking was defined as 0 (never smokers), 1 [current light smokers (i.e., smoking less than 20 pack-years)], 2 [current heavy smokers (i.e., smoking more than 20 pack-years)], 3 [current smokers (no information on pack-years)], 4 [former light smokers (i.e., smoking less than 20 pack-years)]; 5 [former heavy smokers (i.e., smoking more than 20 pack-years)]; and 6 [former smokers (no information on pack-years)].
All studies identified BC cases through cancer (surveillance) registries or hospital records, including data on BC subtypes: non-muscle-invasive BC (NMIBC) and muscle-invasive BC (MIBC).
NMIBC consists of carcinoma in situ (CIS), non-invasive papillary carcinoma (Ta), and invasive carcinoma in different layers of the bladder (T1). MIBC involves tumors in the muscle (T2), tumors that spread in and around the kidney or ureter (T3), and tumors that grow into the surrounding organs (T4).
Statistical Analysis
Black, green, herbal, and (combined) tea (i.e., black, green, herbal and unspecified tea) consumption was divided into three groups defined by tertiles based on the distribution of the pooled data from 15 case-control studies. To estimate the effect of tea consumption on BC risk, multilevel multivariable adjusted logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Multicollinearity between the covariates was checked when needed, using a variance inflation factor 45. No consumption was used as the reference group and associations were assessed using three models: model (A) adjusted for study center, model (B) adjusted for study center, age (years), gender (male and female), and smoking, model (C) additionally adjusted for alcohol (ml/day, continuous), fruit juice (ml/day, continuous), soft drink (ml/day, continuous), milk (ml/day, continuous), vegetable (g/day, continuous), and fruit intake (g/day, continuous).
The interaction was tested for smoking status (if applicable, smoking pack-years) and gender using the Wald chi-squared test. P-interaction <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Regarding the different etiologies of BC subtypes (i.e., NMIBC and MIBC), stratification was performed on BC subtypes. Tests for trends were assessed by assigning medians to each consumption category as a continuous variable. Only subjects with complete data on the outcome, gender, age, smoking, and tea intake were included in the analysis. The main covariates with missing data were coffee, alcohol, and fruits. Multiple imputation by chained equations (MICE) was used for the imputation of missing values 46,47 and was checked by visual trace plots 47. Missing values were imputed for each study individually and subsequently combined into one data set.
A restricted cubic spline (RCS) with five knots at the 5th, 35th, 50th, 65th, and 95th percentiles was used to flexibly model and visualize the association of BC risk between tea consumption. One dose was 150 ml/day (i.e., the average European teacup size). The RCS model used the logarithm of the OR and the CI of each corresponding dose/teacup(s), ranging from one (150 ml) to ten (1,500 ml) daily consumption, adjusted for model (C). No consumption was used as the reference category for each dose. Accordingly, the increment BC risk of 1 cup/day and the non-linearity of the curve were analyzed.
Analyses were performed using R (version 4.3.0) utilizing the RStudio IDE tool (version 2023.03.01). A two-sided p-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.
Results
Baseline characteristics
This study included 2,347 cases and 6,871 controls, of which 3,524 (38.2%) were female and 5,694 (61.8%) were male. The mean age was 61.4 years for cases and 58.4 years for controls. Most participants were Caucasian (42.4%). The mean tea consumption was higher among the cases (323.0 ml/day) than among the controls (209.7 ml/day). Compared to the controls, patients were less likely to be never smokers (40.5% vs 22.2%). A more detailed overview of the baseline characteristics is provided in Table 1.
Table 1.
Baseline characteristic: cases and controls with information on tea consumption and bladder cancer
| Cases | Controls | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
||||||
| Both genders | Females | Males | Both genders | Females | Males | |
| Total (%) | 2347(25.46) | 545(23.22) | 1802(76.78) | 6871(74.54) | 2979(43.36) | 3892(56.64) |
| Black tea, ml/day mean (SD) | 267.63(417.10) | 236.83(373.24) | 274.31(427.47) | 262.18(419.32) | 114.88(249.83) | 302.46(446.69) |
| No (%) | 222(49.22) | 37(41.11) | 185(51.25) | 232(50.33) | 62(62.63) | 170(46.96) |
| Low (%) <129 ml/day | 85(18.85) | 23(25.56) | 62(17.17) | 90(19.52) | 22(22.22) | 68(18.78) |
| Medium (%) >160 - <900 ml/day | 112(24.83) | 25(27.78) | 87(24.10) | 101(21.91) | 14(14.14) | 87(24.03) |
| High (%) >1125 ml/day | 32(7.1) | 5(5.56) | 27(7.48) | 38(8.24) | 1(1.01) | 37(10.22) |
| Green tea, ml/day mean (SD) | 337.62(474.25) | 204.56(354.22) | 369.55(493.86) | 338.31(490.77) | 241.57(461.79) | 364.77(495.73) |
| No (%) | 134(28.82) | 32(35.56) | 102(27.20) | 132(28.63) | 41(41.41) | 91(25.14) |
| Low <129 ml/day (%) | 133(28.60) | 30(33.33) | 103(27.47) | 138(29.93) | 29(29.29) | 109(30.11) |
| Medium >150 - <600 ml/day (%) | 96(20.65) | 16(17.78) | 80(21.33) | 84(18.22) | 15(15.15) | 69(19.06) |
| High >675 ml/day (%) | 102(21.94) | 12(13.33) | 90(24.00) | 107(23.21) | 14(14.14) | 93(25.69) |
| Herbal tea, ml/day mean (SD) | 28.62(61.69) | 26.36(58.64) | 29.02(62.36) | 38.89(70.72) | 49.3(78.54) | 31.93(64.18) |
| No (%) | 165(73.99) | 24(70.59) | 141(74.60) | 259(57.68) | 88(48.89) | 171(63.57) |
| Low <113 ml/day (%) | 28(12.56) | 7(20.59) | 21(11.11) | 109(24.28) | 49(27.22) | 60(22.30) |
| Medium >118 - <300 ml/day (%) | 8(3.59) | 0(0.00) | 8(4.23) | 24(5.35) | 14(7.78) | 10(3.72) |
| High >310 ml/day (%) | 22(9.87) | 3(8.82) | 19(10.05) | 57(12.69) | 29(16.11) | 28(10.41) |
| Tea, ml/day mean (SD) | 322.99(684.02) | 255.11(503.65) | 343.52(728.71) | 209.70(443.41) | 172.85(284.25) | 237.91(532.42) |
| No (%) | 1104(47.04) | 214(39.27) | 890(49.39) | 2451(35.67) | 860(28.87) | 1591(40.88) |
| Low <120 ml/day (%) | 448(19.09) | 142(26.06) | 306(16.98) | 2162(31.47) | 1083(36.35) | 1079(27.72) |
| Medium >120 - <300 ml/day (%) | 328(13.98) | 92(16.88) | 236(13.10) | 1342(19.53) | 697(23.40) | 645(16.57) |
| High >305 ml/day (%) | 467(19.90) | 97(17.80) | 370(20.53) | 916(13.33) | 339(11.38) | 577(14.83) |
| Coffee ml/day mean (SD) | 447.09(599.94) | 453.02(495.81) | 445.19(629.75) | 450.83(491.43) | 456.08(464.35) | 446.46(512.93) |
| Juice ml/day mean (SD) | 57.91(105.29) | 65.99(98.73) | 54.89(107.52) | 73.01(118.99) | 81.39(129.14) | 65.62(108.73) |
| Soft drink ml/day mean (SD) | 23.65(110.10) | 17.14(71.27) | 24.95(116.32) | 29.40(124.20) | 23.21(91.78) | 31.95(135.26) |
| Milk ml/day mean (SD) | 301.47(431.17) | 361.42(456.66) | 283.20(421.53) | 428.74(568.25) | 459.25(590.41) | 405.39(549.63) |
| Alcohol ml/day mean (SD) | 124.86(284.00) | 52.42(144.46) | 151.54(316.33) | 127.81(270.65) | 66.58(174.45) | 180.54(322.70) |
| Vegetable g/day mean (SD) | 145.09(121.46) | 119.41(104.42) | 153.34(125.37) | 119.42(112.24) | 110.37(109.50) | 127.06(113.96) |
| Subtypes BC | ||||||
| NMIBC (%) | 178(7.58) | 31(5.69) | 147(8.16) | - | - | - |
| MIBC (%) | 174(7.41) | 35(6.42) | 139(7.71) | - | - | - |
| Neither (%) | 1995(85.00) | 479(87.89) | 1516(84.13) | - | - | - |
| Smoking status | ||||||
| Current (%) | 897(38.21) | 161(29.54) | 736(40.84) | 1519(22.11) | 506(16.99) | 1013(26.03) |
| Former (%) | 930(39.63) | 116(21.28) | 814(45.17) | 2568(37.37) | 784(26.32) | 1784(45.84) |
| Never (%) | 520(22.16) | 268(49.17) | 252(13.98) | 2784(40.52) | 1689(56.70) | 1095(28.13) |
| Age; mean (SD) | 63.40(10.19) | 62.06(11.17) | 63.80(9.84) | 58.40(13.13) | 57.08(12.39) | 59.41(13.58) |
| Ethnic groups | ||||||
| Black (%) | 16(0.68) | 1(0.18) | 15(0.83) | 98(1.43) | 47(1.58) | 51(1.31) |
| Caucasian (%) | 996(42.44) | 304(55.78) | 692(38.40) | 4433(64.51) | 2200(73.85) | 2233(57.37) |
| Chinese (%) | 470(20.03) | 91(16.70) | 379(21.03) | 585(8.51) | 148(4.97) | 437(11.23) |
| Any other ethnic group(%) | 45(1.91) | 10(1.83) | 35(1.94) | 162(2.36) | 37(1.24) | 125(3.21) |
SD, standard deviation; ml, milliliter; g, gram
Association between tea and BC risk
A statistically significant association between tea consumption and BC risk was observed in the total population (OR = 0.72, 95% CI = 0.65-0.80) and those stratified by gender and smoking status. (Table 2). Additionally, the results showed that the OR of BC was lower in the low (OR = 0.61, 95% CI = 0.53-0.70) and medium (OR = 0.64, 95% CI = 0.55-0.74) tea intake groups. The association between black or green tea consumption and BC risk in the overall population was statistically non-significant in each adjusted model (Supplementary Table 2). However, herbal tea consumption was associated with a low BC risk (OR = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.36-0.96).
Table 2.
Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the association between bladder cancer and tea consumption by gender and smoking status
| Population | Adjustments | Cases/controls | Never | Ever | Low (OR, 95%CIs) | Medium (OR, 95%CIs) | High (OR, 95%CIs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | Model C | 2347/6871 | Reference | 0.72(0.65 to 0.80) | 0.61(0.53 to 0.70) | 0.64(0.55 to 0.74) | 0.99(0.86 to 1.15) |
| Females | Model C | 545/2979 | Reference | 0.65(0.53 to 0.80) | 0.58(0.46 to 0.75) | 0.54(0.41 to 0.71) | 0.99(0.74 to 1.31) |
| Males | Model C | 1802/3892 | Reference | 0.76(0.67 to 0.86) | 0.63(0.53 to 0.74) | 0.69(0.58 to 0.83) | 1.01(0.85 to 1.20) |
| Current smokers | Model C | 897/1519 | Reference | 0.90(0.75 to 1.09) | 0.70(0.54 to 0.91) | 0.71(0.53 to 0.94) | 1.36(1.06 to 1.75) |
| Former smokers | Model C | 930/2568 | Reference | 0.68(0.57 to 0.80) | 0.66(0.53 to 0.81) | 0.69(0.55 to 0.86) | 0.70(0.54 to 0.90) |
| Never smokers | Model C | 520/2784 | Reference | 0.66(0.54 to 0.82) | 0.51(0.39 to 0.66) | 0.52(0.38 to 0.69) | 1.17(0.89 to 1.53) |
Model C: adjusted for study center, age, gender, smoking, alcohol, coffee, juice, soft drink, milk, fruit.
Tertiles tea: low (≤120 ml/day), medium (>120 - ≤300 ml/day), high (>305ml/day).
Bold numbers indicate statistically significant results.
Stratification by gender and smoking status
Tea consumption was a protective factor for BC in both male and female subgroups. The OR based on overall tea intake was slightly lower for females (OR = 0.65, 95% CI = 0.53-0.80) than for males (OR = 0.76, 95% CI = 0.67-0.86). Among the types of tea consumed by women, herbal teas were significantly associated with a lower risk of BC (OR = 0.24, 95% CI = 0.06-0.70). (Supplementary Table 2).
When stratified by smoking status, a similar association for tea consumption was noted among former smokers (OR = 0.68, 95% CI = 0.57-0.80) and never-smokers (OR = 0.66, 95% CI = 0.54-0.82). For people with a history of smoking, low and medium tea consumption was associated with a lower risk of BC.
Stratification by BC subtypes
Stratified results for BC stage groups (i.e., NMIBC and MIBC) showed that tea consumption was positively associated with overall NMIBC risk (OR = 2.36, 95% CI = 1.63-3.42) and MIBC risk (OR = 2.19, 95% CI = 1.39-3.47). While medium tea consumption was inversely associated with lower NMIBC risk (OR = 0.66, 95% CI = 0.52-0.85) and lower MIBC risk (OR = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.70-0.80), high tea consumption was associated with higher NMIBC risk (OR = 5.34, 95% CI = 3.90-7.31) and higher MIBC risk (OR = 5.27, 95% CI = 3.87-7.17).
Based on these results, it appears to be a contrary to the previous conclusion that higher tea consumption is associated with a lower BC risk. Therefore, we performed a stratified analysis of patients without information on NMIBC or MIBC, and the results showed that tea consumption may lower the risk for all other cases (OR = 0.60, 95%CI = 0.54-0.67) (Table 3).
Table 3.
Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the association between bladder cancer and tea consumption by bladder cancer subtypes
| Population | Adjustments | Cases/controls | Never | Ever | Low (OR, 95%CIs) | Medium (OR, 95%CIs) | High (OR, 95%CIs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIMBC | |||||||
| Overall | Model C | 178/6871 | Reference | 2.36(1.63 to 3.42) | 0.88(0.57 to 1.36) | 0.66(0.52 to 0.85) | 5.34(3.90 to 7.31) |
| Females | Model C | 31/2979 | Reference | 1.38(0.63 to 3.01) | 0.86(0.36 to 2.08) | 0.41(0.28 to 0.61) | 3.85(1.82 to 8.12) |
| Males | Model C | 147/3892 | Reference | 2.63(1.73 to 4.01) | 0.88(0.53 to 1.45) | 0.79(0.58 to 1.09) | 5.39(3.81 to 7.63) |
| Current smokers | Model C | 77/1519 | Reference | 4.28(2.28 to 8.05) | 1.56(0.88 to 2.76) | 2.15(1.30 to 3.57) | 9.18(5.92 to 14.22) |
| Former smokers | Model C | 38/2568 | Reference | 1.60(0.73 to 3.54) | 0.02(0.02 to 0.02) | 0.15(0.14 to 0.16) | 4.73(2.20 to 10.16) |
| Never smokers | Model C | 63/2784 | Reference | 1.44(0.82 to 2.52) | 0.75(0.36 to 1.60) | 0.21(0.18 to 0.25) | 3.84(2.18 to 6.77) |
| MIBC | |||||||
| Overall | Model C | 174/6871 | Reference | 2.19(1.39 to 3.47) | 0.93(0.80 to 1.09) | 0.75(0.70 to 0.80) | 5.27(3.87 to 7.17) |
| Females | Model C | 35/2979 | Reference | 1.84(0.73 to 4.67) | 0.74(0.54 to 1.01) | 0.23(0.22 to 0.25) | 3.38(1.72 to 6.64) |
| Males | Model C | 139/3892 | Reference | 2.89(1.69 to 4.97) | 1.25(0.78 to 2.01) | 1.16(0.77 to 1.77) | 6.53(4.54 to 9.41) |
| Current smokers | Model C | 73/1519 | Reference | 3.71(1.66 to 8.31) | 2.10(1.52 to 2.88) | 0.40(0.39 to 0.41) | 9.15(5.76 to 14.53) |
| Former smokers | Model C | 30/2568 | Reference | - | - | - | - |
| Never smokers | Model C | 71/2784 | Reference | 1.30(0.72 to 2.36) | 0.49(0.20 to 1.18) | 0.37(0.12 to 1.15) | 3.45(1.82 to 6.53) |
| NEITHER NIMBC NOR MIBC | |||||||
| Overall | Model C | 1995/6871 | Reference | 0.60(0.54 to 0.67) | 0.60(0.52 to 0.69) | 0.64(0.55 to 0.74) | 0.56(0.47 to 0.66) |
| Females | Model C | 479/2979 | Reference | 0.59(0.48 to 0.73) | 0.58(0.45 to 0.75) | 0.56(0.42 to 0.74) | 0.67(0.48 to 0.93) |
| Males | Model C | 1516/3892 | Reference | 0.62(0.54 to 0.70) | 0.62(0.52 to 0.74) | 0.68(0.56 to 0.82) | 0.54(0.44 to 0.66) |
| Current smokers | Model C | 747/1519 | Reference | 0.66(0.54 to 0.81) | 0.60(0.46 to 0.79) | 0.65(0.48 to 0.87) | 0.75(0.56 to 0.99) |
| Former smokers | Model C | 862/2568 | Reference | 0.55(0.47 to 0.65) | 0.58(0.47 to 0.71) | 0.61(0.49 to 0.77) | 0.42(0.32 to 0.56) |
| Never smokers | Model C | 386/2784 | Reference | 0.53(0.42 to 0.67) | 0.49(0.36 to 0.65) | 0.54(0.40 to 0.74) | 0.61(0.43 to 0.86) |
NMIBC: non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer; MIBC: muscle-invasive bladder cancer; NEITHER NIMBC NOR MIBC:bladder cancer patients with missing bladder cancer staging information
Model C: adjusted for study center, age, gender, smoking, alcohol, coffee, fruit juice, soft drink, milk, fruit
Tertiles tea: low (≤120 ml/day), medium (>120 - ≤300 ml/day), high (>300ml/day)
Bold numbers indicate statistically significant results.
Dose-response analysis
The dose-response analysis revealed a significantly lower risk of BC with low and medium tea consumption in the overall population, females, males, current smokers, and never smokers (Figure 1.A–D, F).
Figure 1. Association of tea consumption and bladder cancer risk.

Odds ratios are indicated by solid lines and 95% CIs by shaded areas. Reference point is 0 for tea consumption, with knots placed at 5th, 27.5th, 50th, 72.5th, and 95th centiles of tea consumption. All models were adjusted for model C with adjustments of study center, age, gender, smoking, alcohol, coffee, juice, soft drink, milk and fruit.
In the overall population, a significantly lower risk of BC with increased tea consumption was observed until around 1.56 cups of tea. However, the trend showed a slight increase afterward, with a significantly increased risk over around 5.67 cups/day. This nonlinear trend is also reflected in females, males, current smokers, and never smokers.
Discussion
This study showed a significant association between tea consumption within the appropriate limits and a reduced risk of BC. Additionally, a statistically significantly lower BC risk was found among females, males, former smokers, and never-smokers through stratification by gender and smoking status. Green and black tea consumption was not associated with BC risk. However, females and former smokers also showed an association between herbal tea consumption and BC risk.
In the present study, green tea consumption was unrelated to BC risk. This is in line with three previously conducted observational studies, which also, showed no association between green tea consumption and BC risk 48,49. In contrast, another study found a higher BC risk for females who consumed five to nine cups of green tea daily 50. Moreover, one study identified an inverse association between green tea consumption and BC risk, if participants consumed 14 cups daily or more 51. Wang et al 51also identified distinct genetic variants of UDP-glucuronosyltransferases (metabolic enzymes) that are associated with BC risk. It has been suggested that these genetic variants may modulate the activation and degradation of nutrients differently, including tea. Therefore, the inconsistent effects of green tea consumption on BC risk could be a consequence of specific genes. Other reasons that could explain the discrepancies between the different studies are as follows: i) In vitro studies suggest that a high concentration of the green tea polyphenol EGCG is needed to affect the correct disease-related cellular processes. Owing to the low bioavailability (i.e., the amount of EGCG appearing in the blood and tissue or systemic circulation after drinking green tea) and low pharmacokinetic properties of EGCG (i.e., the activity of EGCG in the body over a period of time) a high or moderate concentration is mostly not achieved in animals or humans. However, the most appropriate dose is not known yet 52,53. Nonetheless, very high doses of green tea (e.g., >10 cups per day) might have a protective effect on BC, since very high green tea consumption decreased the risk of other cancer types in previous studies 54–57. ii) Different pH conditions in the stomach and intestinal tract, digestive enzymes, administration conditions or nutritional environment can influence the bioavailability of EGCG and cause inconsistent results between studies 52,53. The exact processes involved are still under investigation. iii) The amount of green tea leaves in the cup can differ between subjects as well as the frequency of renewing the same tea in a pot 58, the type of green tea or its environmental factors 12.
Overall, black tea consumption was not associated with BC risk. Seven observational studies reached the same conclusion and showed no association between black tea consumption and the risk of BC 48–50,59–62, whereas one study found that black tea lowered the BC risk 51. Although the anticancer properties of black tea are known, green tea (polyphenols) has been more extensively studied than black tea (polyphenols). The reason might be the higher amounts of anticancer polyphenols and especially the antioxidant properties of green tea compared to black tea 12. Besides the lesser anticancer characteristics of black tea 12, its low bioavailability 63 could be an additional factor that explains the null effect between black tea consumption and BC in most of the studies. Additionally, our subgroup analysis indicated a higher risk for females who consumed a medium amount of black tea. These findings are not related to previous studies or the literature. More research on this topic is needed.
Herbal tea consumption was associated with a lower risk of BC in our analyses. Herbal tea is made by infusing water from various plants other than the caffeine-containing tea plant (Camellia sinensis)64. These herbal teas are typically made from plant parts such as rhizomes (licorice), stems (cinnamon), leaves (peppermint), and inflorescences (chamomile) through infusion or decoction. Unlike the Camellia sinensis containing methylxanthines like caffeine, these plant-based preparations exhibit unique phytochemical profiles rich in secondary metabolites, including polyphenols, terpenoids, and volatile aromatic compounds18. Herbal infusions provided a better medium for water-soluble phytochemicals and probably became more efficient 65. As a form of traditional medicines, herbal medicines are beneficial in some areas of clinical and preventative health 18. Current research on the most commonly mentioned herbal teas is related to phytochemistry, pharmacology, food science, and nutrition. For example, honeysuckle tea has traditionally been used to treat certain infectious diseases, and its crude aqueous extract has been shown to have anti-inflammatory effects on A549 cells66. In addition, some studies have suggested that due to the presence of different phenolics in the aqueous tea extracts, these herbs may have the potential to act as natural anticancer agents and have high antioxidant activity64,67. While this study provides novel observational evidence for the association between herbal tea consumption and BC risk, several important limitations warrant caution in interpretation. The heterogeneous nature of herbal tea compositions precludes drawing definitive conclusions about specific bioactive components. Our analysis treated herbal tea as a unified exposure category, which inherently obscures the pharmacological contributions of individual herbs, such as chrysanthemum, that may differentially influence BC. We explicitly clarify that the observed associations do not establish causality and remain susceptible to residual confounding from unmeasured lifestyle factors. The current findings should thus be interpreted as hypothesis-generating evidence, which requires mechanistic validation. Particular emphasis should be placed on isolating individual herbal constituents through experimental models that permit causal inference. Therefore, future studies should specify herbal tea types more precisely in dietary questionnaires. This will enable deeper investigations into their biological mechanisms and clarify their potential for clinical therapy and health prevention.
Our results overall showed that tea derived from Camellia sinensis had no significant association with BC risk, whereas herbal tea consumption was inversely associated with BC incidence. The findings of nine studies concur with our study, which demonstrate no statistically significant association between Camellia sinensis-derived tea consumption and BC risk59,68–75.Furthermore, one study suggested that herbal tea consumption may have protective effects against BC51.
Stratification by smoking status and gender showed similar findings to the total population in which tea consumption was associated with lower BC risk. This result is not in line with previous studies that have shown different associations between different smoking statuses. Contrary results were demonstrated by Woolcott et al. 73, who observed no association between either never smokers or smokers and the risk of BC, and by Clavel and Cordier et al. 76, who found a lower BC risk with higher tea consumption in current smoking females, but not in males. However, an additional study reported a lower BC risk among current smoking males who drink 3-4 cups of green tea per day. No association was found between tea consumption, BC risk, and never or former smokers 77. The most recent study described variation in BC recurrence based on green tea consumption and smoking status. More than five cups per day significantly lowered the risk of BC recurrence in never smokers, but not in ever smokers. In addition, the study observed significantly lower human antigen R (RNA-binding protein) expression in never smokers than in ever smokers. It is hypothesized that high green tea consumption down-regulates human antigen R in never smokers, which regulates various cancer-related molecules. The exact underlying mechanisms cannot be explained yet 78.
Our dose-response analysis also observed that tea consumption within the appropriate range lowered the risk of BC. This aligns with a meta-analysis that identified a lower BC risk in Western countries. Since the majority of our population was derived from Western countries as well, these findings support ours 23. In contrast, another meta-analysis reported no association between tea consumption and the risk of BC 79. However, the explanation for these results remains unclear. Hence, further studies on the dose-response relationships between tea consumption and BC risk are warranted.
Among the strengths of the BLEND study is its large sample size, allowing it to perform detailed analyses with sufficient statistical power to detect smaller effects, the study also has some limitations. First, this study analyzed three common and well-documented tea types in the BLEND database, including black tea, green tea, and herbal tea. However, data on tea consumption were available for only 14.5% of cases and 11.7% of controls which may introduce selection bias. The limited data on specific tea types prevented a more detailed analysis. Further research with larger sample sizes and more comprehensive information on tea types is required. Second, it is often suggested that case-control studies are limited in showing causal relation owing to the potential recall bias of case-control studies. This might have led to the lower reliability of the results compared to those of the cohort studies. These biases decrease the internal validity of the investigation and should be carefully addressed and reduced in the study design. However, although this issue has been addressed and analyzed for its consequences in many epidemiological and methodological papers 80–83, no clear answer on the magnitude of the effect of this specific type of bias could be drawn. Thirdly, information on other potential risk factors was limited, such as socioeconomic status, physical activity, body mass index, (work-related) exposure to carcinogens and sources of arsenic (e.g., drinking water or pesticides). Fourthly, although the status of smoking was taken into account in our analysis, the adjustment for smoking might still be imperfect due to differences in smoking practices (e.g., depth of inhalation or amount of inhalation), or differences in types of smoke exposure. The intensity and duration of smoking exhibit distinct pathogenic effects on BC. Notably, emerging evidence demonstrates that under equivalent cumulative pack-year exposure, prolonged low-intensity smoking confers a greater oncogenic risk than transient high-intensity consumption84. This observation critically undermines the validity of using pack-years as a standalone risk quantification metric. To address this methodological limitation, future research protocols must incorporate more granular smoking exposure data to account for potential confounding factors. In addition, since smoking is perceived as a socially undesirable behavior, the use of self-reported questionnaires for smoking status, duration, and intensity might have led to the underreporting of the actual smoking habits. Finally, the present study sample consisted mostly of Caucasians, which may limit the generalizability of our results to other racial/ethnic populations or geographic regions.
Furthermore, with the current rapid development and widespread application of artificial intelligence (AI) in the medical field, AI subsets represented by machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) technologies have been extensively studied in areas such as risk factors, diagnosis, prognosis assessment, and outcome prediction for BC85–87. Future studies are expected to leverage AI to automatically gather extensive global datasets and advanced algorithms, thereby facilitating a deeper understanding of the association between tea intake levels and bladder cancer risk88.
Conclusion
This study showed a significantly lower risk of BC with tea consumption. Stratified analyses based on gender and smoking status yielded similar results. Further stratified analyses of tea types revealed that tea consumption derived from Camellia sinensis had no significant association with BC risk, whereas herbal tea consumption was inversely associated with BC incidence. Further studies are required to clarify the mechanisms underlying for these findings.
Supplementary Material
Acknowledgments
We gratefully acknowledge all principal investigators for their willingness to participate in this jointed project.
Funding
MPAZ was supported by the World Cancer Research Fund International (WCRF 2012/590), and European Commission (FP7-PEOPLE-618308). EYWY was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (82204033), Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (BK20220826), The Scientific Research Project for Health Commission of Anhui Province (AHWJ2023A20172; AHWJ2023BAa20055), Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China (2242022R10062/3225002202A1), Medical Foundation of Southeast University (4060692202/021), and Zhishan Young Scholar Award at the Southeast University (2242023R40031), JP was partially supported by Italian Ministry of Health-Ricerca corrente (no grant number provided), the Italian Association for Cancer Research (AIRC) Foundation for supporting data collection of Italian studies. The funder had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the article; and decision to submit the article for publication.
Authors’ Disclosures
Z.-F. Zhang reports grants from NIH during the conduct of the study. No disclosures were reported by the other authors.
Footnotes
Conflict of interest
All the authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
The authors declare no potential conflicts of interest
Ethical Approval
Each participating study has been approved by the local ethic committee.
Data Availability
The data that support the findings of this study are available on reasonable request pending approval from the corresponding author. The data are not publicly available owing to their containing information that could compromise the privacy of research participants.
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Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
Data Availability Statement
The data that support the findings of this study are available on reasonable request pending approval from the corresponding author. The data are not publicly available owing to their containing information that could compromise the privacy of research participants.
