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. 2025 Oct 10;25:3465. doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-24223-9

Cumulative handgrip strength and trajectories of depressive symptoms in older adults: evidence from two cohort studies

Qingping Xue 1,✉, Kuifang Guo 2, Xue Yang 3, Jieru Peng 4, Mei Xiong 5, Yachao Li 1, Yang Gao 6
PMCID: PMC12512439  PMID: 41074023

Abstract

Objective

Our study prospectively assessed the relationship between cumulative handgrip strength and temporal changes in depressive symptoms among adults aged 50 years and over.

Methods

This study was conducted based on two longitudinal cohort studies: the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) and the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE). Cumulative handgrip strength was derived from three repeated measurements taken over eight years (ELSA) or six years (SHARE). The mixed linear regression models and Cox regression models were employed to assess the associations between cumulative handgrip strength and temporal changes in depressive symptoms, as well as incident depression risk.

Results

Participants in the lowest quartile of cumulative handgrip strength had higher depressive symptom scores compared to those in the highest quartile in ELSA (β: 0.191; 95% CI: 0.035, 0.348) and SHARE (β: 0.391; 95% CI: 0.267, 0.514), and experienced an accelerated increase in depressive symptoms of 0.040 point/y (95% CI: 0.009, 0.070) in ELSA, and 0.067 point/y (95% CI: 0.045, 0.089) in SHARE during follow-up. Regarding incident depression, the lowest quartile group faced a 55% (HR: 1.55; 95% CI: 1.13, 2.12) and 62% (HR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.38, 1.90) increased risk of developing depression in ELSA and SHARE, relative to the highest quartile.

Conclusions

Reduced cumulative handgrip strength correlated with accelerated depressive symptom progression and increased depression incidence. Future interventional studies should further investigate if strength/muscular fitness can improve mental health, particularly in older adults.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-025-24223-9.

Keywords: Cumulative handgrip strength, Depressive symptoms, SHARE, ELSA, Cohort study

Introduction

Depression, a major mental disorder affecting 350 million people worldwide, is the leading cause of disability [1], and will become the second leading cause of disease burden by 2030 across the world [2]. Accumulated evidence links depression to an elevated risk of several chronic comorbidities such as diabetes [3], cardiovascular disease [4], and arthritis [5], as well as decreased cognitive function and quality of life [6, 7]. Therefore, identifying the individuals at great risk for depressive symptoms is essential for further prevention.

Existing evidence demonstrates that physical activity is an essential modifiable factor in reducing depression [8], and skeletal muscle-derived pathways may play a role in this physical activity-depression link [9, 10]. Thus, low muscle strength might be associated with an elevated risk of depression. Handgrip strength is the most commonly used proxy for overall muscle strength due to its simplicity, low cost, and non-invasive nature, and has been widely utilized in previous studies [11, 12]. Furthermore, previous studies have revealed that handgrip strength can be an effective tool for measuring muscular strength [11] and also be recommended as a vital biomarker for several health outcomes, such as depression, cognition, and premature mortality, in older adults [13]. Emerging studies explored the association between handgrip strength and depressive symptoms/depression. For example, a recent Chinese cohort study involving 8470 participants suggested that higher handgrip strength was associated with a reduced risk of depressive symptoms (HR, 0.74; 95% CI: 0.62, 0.89) [14]. Similar results were found in an Irish study with 4104 adults [15]. Mendelian randomization further supported that increased left-handgrip strength reduced the risk of major depressive disorder [16]. Nevertheless, most prior studies relied on single-time-point handgrip assessments, failing to capture its longitudinal variations and cumulative burdens of handgrip strength, which are subject to change over time due to aging [17] and physical activity [18]. The cumulative exposure effects of handgrip strength on temporal changes in depressive symptoms or depression incidence remained unexplored.

To this end, this study used data from two population-based prospective cohort studies (including ELSA and SHARE) to assess the longitudinal associations of cumulative handgrip strength with changes in depressive symptoms and subsequent depression risk among older adults aged ≥ 50 years.

Methods

Study design and population

Data originated from ELSA and SHARE, prospective cohort studies involving adults ≥ 50 years across 11 countries. The sampling strategies, study designs, and survey methods details are published elsewhere [19, 20]. Data collection occurred biennially via trained researchers. This involved questionnaires via face-to-face interviews, conducting physical examinations, and collecting biological specimens. The London Multicenter Research Ethics Committee approved ELSA (MREC/01/2/91). For SHARE, approval was obtained from both the Ethics Council of the Max Planck Society and the Ethics Committee of the University of Mannheim. All participants provided written consent forms.

Cumulative handgrip strength was calculated using data spanning eight years (ELSA: wave 2 [2004] to wave 6 [2014]) and six years (SHARE: wave 1 [2004] to wave 4 [2010]). Wave 6 of ELSA and wave 4 of SHARE served as the baseline. The primary outcome was changes in depressive symptoms, and the secondary outcome was incident depression. For ELSA, long-term changes in depressive symptoms and incident depression were assessed over six years, from wave 6 (2014) to wave 9 (2020). For SHARE, long-term changes in depressive symptoms and incident depression were assessed over eight years, from wave 4 (2010) to wave 8 (2018). The study design is represented in Fig. 1.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

The study designs. Abbreviations: ELSA English Longitudinal Study of Aging, SHARE Survey of Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe

Initial cohorts from ELSA and SHARE comprised 17,143 participants, and 7342 and 7588 participants were excluded due to 1) missing handgrip strength data across follow-up waves (ELSA: waves 2, 4, 6; SHARE: waves 1, 2, 4); 2) missing depressive symptoms at baseline; 3) history of psychiatric disease or depression; 4) history of dementia or Alzheimer’ disease; 5) missing necessary covariates at baseline; 6) loss to follow-up (applied only for depressive symptoms trajectories analyses). After exclusion, 9801 participants (2971 from ELSA and 6830 from SHARE) were included for depressive symptom trajectory analyses, and 9555 participants (3178 from ELSA and 6377 from SHARE) were included for incident depression analyses (Supplementary Fig. 1).

Assessments of cumulative handgrip strength

Handgrip strength was measured using the Smedley handheld dynamometer. ELSA (waves 2, 4, 6): measurements were taken three times per hand (dominant hand first) with participants seated, elbows flexed at 90°, and forearms supported [21]. SHARE (waves 1, 2, 4): measurements were taken twice per hand (dominant hand first) with participants seated or standing, elbows flexed at 90°, upper arms against the trunk, and wrists neutral [22]. According to previous studies [23, 24], the average of three (ELSA) or two (SHARE) dominant-hand measurements was used to assess handgrip strength.

Cumulative handgrip strength was measured over three visits. For ELSA, there were waves 2, 4, and 6 (spanning eight years); For SHARE, there were three waves 1, 2, and 4 (spanning six years). To be specific, handgrip strength assessed at the three visits was denoted X1, X2, and X3 for both studies; T1 and T2 represented the time intervals between consecutive visits (ELSA: waves 2→4 and 4→6; SHARE: waves 1→2 and 2→4). Cumulative handgrip strength was calculated as the area under the curve for three measurements using the trapezoid rule [25]:

graphic file with name d33e438.gif

Given the fixed time intervals in each study, we assigned T1= T2 = “4 years” in ELSA, T1 = "2 years" and T2 = “4 years” in SHARE. To facilitate comparability, the continuous measures of cumulative handgrip strength were categorized into sex-specific quintiles in analyses.

Assessment of depressive symptoms

Depressive symptoms were assessed using validated scales: the self-reported 8-item version of the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D 8) in ELSA and the European depression (EURO-D) scale in SHARE. CES-D 8 scale covers eight symptoms, including felt depressed, happy, lonely, sad, enjoyed life, everything was an effort, restless sleep, and could not get going. EURO-D scale covers 12 emotional states, including depressed mood, pessimism, suicidal tendencies, guilt, sleep, interest, irritability, appetite, fatigue, concentration, enjoyment, and tearfulness. Both the CES-D 8 (ELSA) and EURO-D (SHARE) use binary scoring (yes=1/no=0), with total scores ranging 0–12 and 0–8, respectively; higher scores indicate greater depressive severity. They have been assessed as valid and reliable instruments for depression measurement in older adults [26–29]. The primary outcome was long-term changes in depressive symptoms. The secondary outcome was incident depression, defined as CES-D 8 ≥ 4 or EURO-D ≥ 4, consistent with prior studies [30, 31].

Assessment of covariates

At baseline, data were collected on key participant characteristics. Sociodemographic information included age, sex (male or female), marital status (married, single, or unknown), and education level (low, high, or unknown). Health-related lifestyle and behaviors assessed were cigarette smoking (never smoking, former smoking, or current smoking), alcohol drinking (no drinking/light drinking or heavy drinking), and physical activity (with sedentary behavior defined as mild activity less than once per week, moderate as moderate activity more than once per week, or vigorous as vigorous activity more than once per week). Body Mass Index (BMI) was calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared (kg/m²), and participants were classified as normal weight (< 25 kg/m²), overweight (25 to < 30 kg/m²), obesity (≥30 kg/m²), or unknown. History of physician-diagnosed diseases was collected for hypertension (defined as self-reported doctor diagnosis, current anti-hypertensive medication use, SBP ≥ 140 mm Hg, or DBP ≥ 90 mm Hg), diabetes (defined as self-reported doctor diagnosis diabetes, current anti-diabetes medication use, or HbA1c ≥ 47.5 mmol/mol [6.5%]), stroke (defined as self-reported doctor diagnosis), heart disease (defined as self-reported doctor diagnosis, including angina, congestive heart failure, and myocardial infarction), cancer (defined as self-reported doctor diagnosis), arthritis (defined as self-reported doctor diagnosis; Supplementary Table 1).

Statistical analyses

Baseline characteristics were summarized as mean (standard deviation, SD) for continuous variable and frequency (percentage) for categorical variables. Comparisons across sex-specific quartiles of cumulative handgrip strength employed ANOVA (for continuous variables) and Chi-square tests (for categorical variables).

Primary analysis employed mixed linear models to evaluate the longitudinal associations between cumulative handgrip strength (modeled as sex-specific quartiles; the highest quartile as reference) and trajectories of depressive symptoms. These models incorporated the participant-level intercept and slope of time as random effects to account for the within-participant correlation. Secondary analysis utilized Cox regression models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for associations between cumulative handgrip strength and incident depression risk. Cumulative handgrip strength was modeled as sex-specific quartiles, with the highest quartile regarded as the reference group. Covariates were adjusted sequentially: Model 1 adjusted for age and sex; Model 2 additionally adjusted for marital status, education level, physical activity, alcohol drinking, and cigarette smoking; Model 3 further adjusted for obesity, hypertension, diabetes, stroke, heart disease, cancer, and arthritis. Linear trends (dose-response relationship) were tested by modeling the median cumulative handgrip strength value within each quartile as a continuous variable in both analyses.

Subgroup analyses stratified participants by age (< 70 vs. ≥ 70 years), sex (male vs. female), physical activity (sedentary behavior, moderate physical activity, vigorous physical activity), and BMI (normal weight, overweight, obesity). Effect modification by these stratifying variables was evaluated by adding interaction terms (stratifying variable*cumulative handgrip strength) to fully adjusted models, with significance assessed using Wald tests.

Sensitivity analyses included: (1) Treating cumulative handgrip strength as a continuous variable in all analyses; (2) Repeating analyses using alternative handgrip strength measures (maximum handgrip strength value from three [the ELSA] or two (the SHARE) dominant hand measurements); (3) Analyzing depressive symptom trajectories only among participants with complete follow-up data; (4) Excluding participants with baseline depression (CES-D 8 ≥ 4 or EURO-D ≥ 4) from depressive symptom trajectory analyses.

Results

The association between cumulative handgrip strength and trajectories of depressive symptoms

A total of 9801 participants (ELSA: n = 2971; SHARE: n = 6830) were included. Baseline characteristics (mean age: 69.65 [SD: 8.17] years; 46.61% men, 30.26% high education level, 12.61% current smokers, 59.22% heavy drinkers, and 43.92% vigorous physical activity) are shown in Table 1. Compared with individuals who were exposed to higher levels of cumulative handgrip strength, those with lower levels of cumulative handgrip strength tended to be old, single, low education level, former-smokers, light drinkers, have sedentary behavior, have normal weight, have a history of hypertension, diabetes, stroke, heart disease, cancer, arthritis (All P < 0.001; Supplementary Table 2). The details for the ELSA and SHARE are shown in Supplementary Tables 3–4.

Table 1.

The basic characteristics for the association between cumulative handgrip strength and trajectories of depressive symptoms

Characteristic Total (n = 9801) ELSA (n = 2971) SHARE (n = 6830)
Age, years, mean (SD) 69.65 (8.17) 71.07 (7.28) 69.03 (8.46)
Sex, male, n (%) 4568 (46.61) 1355 (45.61) 3213 (47.04)
Marital status, n (%)
 Married 6888 (70.28) 2019 (67.96) 4869 (71.29)
 Single 2772 (28.28) 952 (32.04) 1820 (26.65)
 Unknown 141 (1.44) - 141 (2.06)
Education levels, n (%)
 Low 6393 (65.23) 1378 (46.38) 5015 (73.43)
 High 2966 (30.26) 1198 (40.32) 1768 (25.89)
 Unknown 442 (4.51) 395 (13.30) 47 (0.69)
Cigarette Smoking, n (%)
 Never smoking 4555 (46.47) 1102 (37.09) 3453 (50.56)
 Former smoking 4010 (40.91) 1635 (55.03) 2375 (34.77)
 Current smoking 1236 (12.61) 234 (7.88) 1002 (14.67)
Alcohol drinking, n (%)
 No or light drinking 3807 (38.84) 1002 (33.73) 2805 (41.07)
 Heavy drinking 5804 (59.22) 1779 (59.88) 4025 (58.93)
 Unknown 190 (1.94) 190 (6.40) -
Physical activity, n (%)
 Sedentary behavior 1381 (14.09) 625 (21.04) 756 (11.07)
 Moderate physical activity 4115 (41.99) 1461 (49.18) 2654 (38.86)
 Vigorous physical activity 4305 (43.92) 885 (29.79) 3420 (50.07)
BMI, n (%)
 Normal weight 3347 (34.15) 751 (25.28) 2596 (38.01)
 Overweight 4125 (42.09) 1242 (41.80) 2883 (42.21)
 Obesity 2130 (21.73) 877 (29.52) 1253 (18.35)
 Unknown 199 (2.03) 101 (3.40) 98 (1.43)
Hypertension, n (%) 1724 (58.03) 2579 (37.76)
 Diabetes, n (%) 1234 (12.59) 445 (14.98) 789 (11.55)
 Stroke, n (%) 313 (3.19) 149 (5.02) 164 (2.40)
 Heart disease, n (%) 1079 (11.01) 323 (10.87) 756 (11.07)
 Cancer, n (%) 363 (3.70) 154 (5.18) 209 (3.06)
 Arthritis, n (%) 2820 (28.77) 1288 (43.35) 1532 (22.43)

BMI Body mass index, ELSA English Longitudinal Study of Aging, SD standard deviation, SHARE Survey of Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe

The average handgrip strength declined from 31.51 kg in wave 2 to 27.79 kg in wave 6 in ELSA and 34.59 kg in wave 1 to 32.35 kg in wave 4 in SHARE, respectively. We found some differences in handgrip strength across age and sex, and the older and female groups tended to have lower handgrip strength in both cohorts (all P < 0.001). The mean cumulative handgrip strength was 237.39 kg·years (SD: 48.19) in ELSA (eight years) and 201.02 kg·years (SD: 66.24) in SHARE (six years). Significant differences in cumulative handgrip strength across age and sex were found (Supplementary Tables 5–6).

Depressive symptoms increased longitudinally (ELSA: 1.05 to 1.26; SHARE: 1.94 to 2.20) and showed an inverse gradient across cumulative handgrip quartiles. Participants in the lowest quartile exhibited greater symptom increases over time compared to the highest quartile (0.14 vs. 0.23 in ELSA; 0.18 vs. 0.52 in SHARE; Supplementary 7–8).

Participants in the lowest quartile of cumulative handgrip strength had higher depressive symptom scores than those in the highest quartile in both studies (β: 0.191; 95% CI: 0.035, 0.348 in ELSA; β: 0.391; 95% CI: 0.267, 0.514 in SHARE). They also showed an accelerated annual increase in depressive symptoms of 0.040 point/y (95% CI: 0.009, 0.070) in ELSA, and 0.067 point/y (95% CI: 0.045, 0.089; Table 2) in SHARE after controlling for all covariates. Sensitivity analyses adjusting only for sociodemographic/lifestyle covariates yielded similar results (Supplementary Table 9). Significant linear trends across quartiles were observed for depressive symptom acceleration in both cohorts (P for trend ≤ 0.01). Modeling cumulative handgrip strength continuously, each unit decline was associated with an increase in depressive symptoms (β: 0.136; 95% CI: 0.056, 0.216 in ELSA; 0.328; 95% CI: 0.265, 0.391 in SHARE) and accelerated worsening over time (β: 0.012; 95% CI: 0.002, 0.023 in ELSA; 0.010; 95% CI: 0.002, 0.018 in SHARE; Table 2). In the subgroup analyses, we found slight disparitis across age, sex, physical activity, and BMI in the association between cumulative handgrip strength decline and trajectories of depressive symptoms (Table 3).

Table 2.

The association between cumulative handgrip strength and trajectories of depressive symptoms (point/year)

Countries Cumulative handgrip strength, kg Cumulative handgrip strength·years, kg·y
Coef (95% CI) P value Coef (95% CI) P value
ELSA (UK)
Categorical variable
 Quartile 4 Ref. Ref.
 Quartile 3 −0.003 (−0.147, 0.141) 0.97 0.018 (−0.011, 0.048) 0.22
 Quartile 2 −0.032 (−0.179, 0.116) 0.68 0.046 (0.016, 0.075) 0.01
 Quartile 1 0.191 (0.035, 0.348) 0.02 0.040 (0.009, 0.070) 0.01
 Pfor trenda 0.09 0.01
Continuous variable
 Per SD declineb 0.136 (0.056, 0.216) < 0.001 0.012 (0.002, 0.023) 0.02
SHARE (All countries)
Categorical variable
 Quartile 4 Ref. Ref.
 Quartile 3 0.057 (−0.054, 0.168) 0.31 0.013 (−0.008, 0.034) 0.24
 Quartile 2 0.112 (−0.002, 0.226) 0.06 0.034 (0.013, 0.055) 0.01
 Quartile 1 0.391 (0.267, 0.514) < 0.001 0.067 (0.045, 0.089) < 0.001
 Pfor trenda < 0.001 < 0.001
Continuous variable
 Per SD declineb 0.328 (0.265, 0.391) < 0.001 0.010 (0.002, 0.018) 0.01

Beta coefficients were estimated using a linear mixed model. All models were adjusted for age (continuous, years), sex (male and female), marital status (single, married, and unknown), education level (low, high, and unknown), physical activity (sedentary behavior, moderate physical activity, vigorous physical activity, and unknown), alcohol drinking (no or light drinking, heavy drinking, and unknown), and cigarette smoking (never, former, and current), BMI (normal weight, overweight, obesity, and unknown), hypertension (yes or no), diabetes (yes or no), stroke (yes or no), heart disease (yes or no), cancer (yes or no), and arthritis (yes or no)

CI Confidence interval, Coef Coefficient, ELSA English Longitudinal Study of Aging, SD standard deviation, SHARE Survey of Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe

a P values for trend were estimated by assigning the median cumulative handgrip strength value for each cumulative handgrip strength quartile and modeling it as a continuous variable

bEstimated as the beta coefficient for standardized cumulative handgrip strength using the z-score

Table 3.

The association between cumulative handgrip strength and trajectories of depressive symptoms (point/year) across subgroups

Countries Number Cumulative handgrip strength, kg Cumulative handgrip strength·years, kg·y
Coef (95% CI) P for
interactiona
Coef (95% CI) P for
interactiona
ELSA (UK)
Age, years 0.01 0.24
 50–70 1,537 0.122 (0.023, 0.221) 0.001 (−0.013, 0.013)
 ≥ 70 1,434 0.191 (0.058, 0.325) 0.013 (−0.005, 0.032)
Sex 0.01 0.80
 Male 1,355 0.064 (−0.031, 0.159) 0.020 (0.002, 0.038)
 Female 1,616 0.216 (0.056, 0.375) 0.027 (−0.003, 0.057)
Physical activity 0.17 0.02
 Sedentary behavior 625 −0.037 (−0.251, 0.177) 0.043 (0.013, 0.073)
 Moderate physical activity 1,461 0.208 (0.093, 0.324) 0.001 (−0.015, 0.017)
 Vigorous physical activity 885 0.140 (0.019, 0.260) 0.007 (−0.009, 0.023)
BMI 0.68 0.65
 Normal weight 751 0.073 (−0.100, 0.247) 0.009 (−0.014, 0.031)
 Overweight 1,242 0.058 (−0.057, 0.173) 0.019 (0.003, 0.034)
 Obesity 877 0.245 (0.091, 0.398) 0.009 (−0.011, 0.029)
SHARE (all countries)
 Age, years 0.06 0.78
 50–70 4,053 0.295 (0.217, 0.373) 0.005 (−0.004, 0.014)
 ≥ 70 2,777 0.401 (0.294, 0.509) 0.003 (−0.011, 0.017)
Sex 0.01 0.61
 Male 3,213 0.189 (0.112, 0.265) 0.035 (0.021, 0.049)
 Female 3,617 0.395 (0.274, 0.517) 0.041 (0.020, 0.062)
Physical activity < 0.001 0.70
 Sedentary behavior 756 0.740 (0.528, 0.953) 0.001 (−0.027, 0.029)
 Moderate physical activity 2,654 0.383 (0.276, 0.489) 0.007 (−0.008, 0.021)
 Vigorous physical activity 3,420 0.179 (0.098, 0.261) 0.011 (0.001, 0.020)
BMI 0.01 0.15
 Normal weight 2,596 0.261 (0.153, 0.369) 0.002 (−0.011, 0.015)
 Overweight 2,883 0.287 (0.194, 0.380) 0.021 (0.009, 0.032)
 Obesity 1,253 0.492 (0.351, 0.632) 0.009 (−0.008, 0.026)

Estimated as the beta coefficient for standardized cumulative handgrip strength using the z-score

Beta coefficients were estimated using a linear mixed model. All models were adjusted for age (continuous, years), sex (male and female), marital status (single, married, and unknown), education level (low, high, and unknown), physical activity (sedentary behavior, moderate physical activity, vigorous physical activity, and unknown), alcohol drinking (no or light drinking, heavy drinking, and unknown), and cigarette smoking (never, former, and current), BMI (normal weight, overweight, obesity, and unknown), hypertension (yes or no), diabetes (yes or no), stroke (yes or no), heart disease (yes or no), cancer (yes or no), and arthritis (yes or no)

CI Confidence interval, Coef Coefficient, ELSA English Longitudinal Study of Aging, SD standard deviation, SHARE Survey of Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe

a P for interaction was estimated by adding a product term of the stratifying variable and cumulative handgrip strength to the main models and used Wald tests to assess these modification effects

Sensitivity analyses showed some disparities in associations between cumulative handgrip strength and trajectories of depressive symptoms across ten countries in SHARE. Positive associations between cumulative handgrip strength decline and depressive symptoms were found in Belgium, Denmark, France, Italy, Spain, and Sweden, and positive associations between cumulative handgrip strength decline and an accelerated increase in depressive symptoms were found in Spain and Switzerland (Supplementary Table 10). Results remained consistent when we calculated cumulative handgrip strength using the dominant hand's maximun measurement (Supplementary Table 11), when we restricted our analyses to participants with complete follow-up data (Supplementary Table 12), or when we deleted participants with depression (CES-D 8 ≥ 4 or EURO-D ≥ 4) at baseline (Supplementary Table 13).

The association between cumulative handgrip strength and risk of incident depression

A total of 9555 participants (ELSA: n = 3178; SHARE: n = 6377) were included. Baseline characteristics (mean age: 69.70 [SD, 8.20] years; 50.55% men, 31.72% high education level, 12.62% current smokers, 60.18% heavy drinkers, and 44.96% vigorous physical activity) are shown in Table 4. Compared with individuals with higher levels of cumulative handgrip strength, those with lower levels of cumulative handgrip strength tended to be old, single, low education level, non-smokers, light drinkers, have sedentary behavior, have normal weight, have a history of hypertension, diabetes, stroke, heart disease, cancer, and arthritis (All P ≤ 0.01; Supplementary Table 14). The details for each cohort are shown in Supplementary Tables 15–16.

Table 4.

The basic characteristics for the association between cumulative handgrip strength and risk of incident depression

Characteristic Total (n = 9555) ELSA (n = 3178) SHARE (n = 6377)
Age, years, mean (SD) 69.70 (8.20) 71.08 (7.37) 69.02 (8.50)
Sex, male, n (%) 4830 (50.55) 1468 (46.19) 3257 (51.07)
Marital status, n (%)
 Married 6772 (70.87) 2173 (68.38) 4599 (72.12)
 Single 2648 (27.71) 1005 (31.62) 1643 (25.76)
 Unknown 135 (1.41) - 135 (2.12)
Education levels, n (%)
 Low 6052 (63.34) 1462 (46.00) 4590 (71.98)
 High 3031 (31.72) 1288 (40.53) 1743 (27.33)
 Unknown 472 (4.94) 428 (13.47) 44 (0.69)
Cigarette Smoking, n (%)
 Never smoking 4275 (44.74) 1172 (36.88) 3103 (48.66)
 Former smoking 4074 (42.64) 1759 (55.35) 2315 (36.30)
 Current smoking 1206 (12.62) 247 (7.77) 959 (15.04)
Alcohol drinking, n (%)
 No or light drinking 3590 (37.57) 1076 (33.86) 2514 (39.42)
 Heavy drinking 5750 (60.18) 1887 (59.38) 3863 (60.58)
 Unknown 215 (2.25) 215 (6.77) -
Physical activity, n (%)
 Sedentary behavior 1236 (12.94) 634 (19.95) 602 (9.44)
 Moderate physical activity 4023 (42.10) 1584 (49.84) 2439 (38.25)
 Vigorous physical activity 4296 (44.96) 960 (30.21) 3336 (52.31)
BMI, n (%)
 Normal weight 3256 (34.08) 805 (25.33) 2451 (38.44)
 Overweight 4063 (42.52) 1332 (41.91) 2731 (42.83)
 Obesity 2058 (21.54) 931 (29.30) 1127 (17.67)
 Unknown 178 (1.86) 110 (3.46) 68 (1.07)
Hypertension, n (%) 4206 (44.02) 1831 (57.61) 2375 (37.24)
Diabetes, n (%) 1193 (12.49) 476 (14.98) 717 (11.24)
Stroke, n (%) 285 (2.98) 151 (4.75) 134 (2.10)
Heart disease, n (%) 1000 (10.47) 337 (10.60) 663 (10.40)
Cancer, n (%) 386 (4.04) 170 (5.35) 216 (3.39)
Arthritis, n (%) 2592 (27.13) 1356 (42.67) 1236 (19.38)

BMI Body mass index, ELSA English Longitudinal Study of Aging, SD standard deviation, SHARE Survey of Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe

The average handgrip strength declined from 31.61 kg in wave 2 to 27.88 kg in wave 6 in the ELSA and 35.58 kg in wave 1 to 33.17 kg in wave 4 in the SHARE, respectively. The older group and females tended to have lower handgrip strength in both cohorts (all P < 0.001). The mean cumulative handgrip strength was 238.21 kg·years (SD: 82.94) in ELSA (eight years) and 206.71 kg·years (SD: 65.52) in SHARE (six years). The older and female groups had lower levels of cumulative handgrip strength (Supplementary Tables 17–18).

The rates of depression increased with the years in ELSA (from 0.00 to 8.23%) and SHARE (from 0.00 to 18.24%). Participants in the lowest quartile of cumulative handgrip strength had higher rates of depression at the end of follow-up than those in the highest quartile (11.28% vs. 5.52% in the ELSA; 28.49% vs. 12.67% in the SHARE; Supplementary 19–20).

A total of 433 and 1611 participants developed incident depression during follow-up in ELSA and SHARE, respectively. The rates of incident depression were 28.41 and 50.85 per 1,000 person-years in participants in ELSA and SHARE. As shown in Table 5, individuals in the lowest quartile of cumulative handgrip strength had 55% (HR, 1.55; 95% CI: 1.13, 2.12 for ELSA) and 62% (HR, 1.62; 95% CI: 1.38, 1.90 for SHARE) higher risk of depression than those in the highest quartile. Significant linear trends existed for the risk of depression across quartiles of cumulative handgrip strength in both cohorts (P for trend ≤ 0.01). We observed no big changes in the sensitivity analyses when we only controlled for sociodemographic/lifestyle covariates (Supplementary Table 21). A 1-SD decline in cumulative handgrip strength was linked with increased HRs of depression in both ELSA (HR, 1.22; 95% CI: 1.02, 1.44) and SHARE (HR: 1.38; 95% CI: 1.27, 1.51). Subgroup analyses ahowed no essential heterogeneities across age, sex, physical activity, and BMI (All P for interaction ≥ 0.06; Table 6).

Table 5.

The association between cumulative handgrip strength and risk of incident depression

Countries Case/person years Cumulative handgrip strength·years, kg·y
HR (95% CI) P value
ELSA (UK)
Categorical variable
 Quartile 4 74/4153 Ref.
 Quartile 3 99/3882 1.36 (1.01, 1.85) 0.04
 Quartile 2 119/3853 1.44 (1.06, 1.94) 0.02
 Quartile 1 141/3352 1.55 (1.13, 2.12) 0.01
 P for trenda 0.01
Continuous variable
 Per SD declineb 433/15,240 1.22 (1.02, 1.44) 0.02
SHARE (All countries)
Categorical variable
 Quartile 4 317/8709 Ref. -
 Quartile 3 340/8204 1.10 (0.94, 1.28) 0.24
 Quartile 2 432/8064 1.32 (1.13, 1.53) < 0.001
 Quartile 1 522/6703 1.62 (1.38, 1.90) < 0.001
 P for trenda - < 0.001 -
Continuous variable
 Per SD declineb 1611/31,680 1.38 (1.27, 1.51) < 0.001

HRs were estimated using a Cox regression model. All models were adjusted for age (continuous, years), sex (male and female), marital status (single, married, and unknown), education level (low, high, and unknown), physical activity (sedentary behavior, moderate physical activity, vigorous physical activity, and unknown), alcohol drinking (no or light drinking, heavy drinking, and unknown), and cigarette smoking (never, former, and current), BMI (normal weight, overweight, obesity, and unknown), hypertension (yes or no), diabetes (yes or no), stroke (yes or no), heart disease (yes or no), cancer (yes or no), and arthritis (yes or no)

CI Confidence interval, ELSA English Longitudinal Study of Aging, HR Hazard ratio, SD Standard deviation; SHARE Survey of Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe

aP values for trend were estimated by assigning the median cumulative handgrip strength value for each cumulative handgrip strength quartile and modeling it as a continuous variable

bEstimated as the HRs for standardized cumulative handgrip strength using the z-score

Table 6.

The association between cumulative handgrip strength and risk of incident depression across subgroups

Countries Case/person years Cumulative handgrip strength·year, kg·y
HR (95% CI) P for interactiona
ELSA (UK)
Age, years 0.64
 50–70 185/8508 1.26 (0.99, 1.61)
 ≥ 70 248/6732 1.19 (0.94, 1.50)
Sex 0.99
 Male 129/7233 1.23 (0.95, 1.59)
 Female 304/8007 1.24 (0.98, 1.57)
Physical activity 0.22
 Sedentary behavior 125/2635 1.18 (0.87, 1.59)
 Moderate physical activity 221/7674 1.25 (0.97, 1.61)
 Vigorous physical activity 87/4931 1.36 (0.92, 2.00)
BMI 0.72
 < 25 kg/m2 91/3834 1.06 (0.70, 1.59)
 25–30 kg/m2 168/6553 1.18 (0.91, 1.53)
 >30 kg/m2 156/4441 1.34 (1.00, 1.79)
SHARE (All countries)
Age, years 0.06
50–70 877/20,258 1.40 (1.25, 1.58)
 ≥ 70 734/11,422 1.31 (1.14, 1.50)
Sex 0.92
 Male 657/16,648 1.31 (1.17, 1.48)
 Female 954/15,032 1.42 (1.23, 1.63)
Physical activity 0.89
 Sedentary behavior 205/2405 1.36 (1.08, 1.71)
 Moderate physical activity 685/11,546 1.50 (1.31, 1.73)
 Vigorous physical activity 721/17,729 1.29 (1.12, 1.47)
BMI 0.98
 Normal weight 578/12,030 1.29 (1.10, 1.51)
 Overweight 688/13,765 1.41 (1.24, 1.61)
 Obesity 322/5552 1.41 (1.17, 1.70)

Estimated as the HRs for standardized cumulative handgrip strength using the z-score

HRs were estimated using a Cox regression model. All models were adjusted for age (continuous, years), sex (male and female), marital status (single, married, and unknown), education level (low, high, and unknown), physical activity (sedentary behavior, moderate physical activity, vigorous physical activity, and unknown), alcohol drinking (no or light drinking, heavy drinking, and unknown), and cigarette smoking (never, former, and current), BMI (normal weight, overweight, obesity, and unknown), hypertension (yes or no), diabetes (yes or no), stroke (yes or no), heart disease (yes or no), cancer (yes or no), and arthritis (yes or no)

CI Confidence interval, ELSA English Longitudinal Study of Aging, HR Hazard ratio, SD Standard deviation, SHARE Survey of Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe

aP for interaction was estimated by adding a product term of the stratifying variable and cumulative handgrip strength to the main models and used Wald tests to assess these modification effects

Sensitivity analyses identified heterogeneity in associations between cumulative handgrip strength decline and risk of incident depression across ten countries in SHARE, with positive associations observed in France, Italy, Spain, and Switzerland (Supplementary Table 22). Results were robust when using the maximum dominant handgrip strength (Supplementary Table 23).

Discussion

Using repeated measurements of handgrip strength and depressive symptoms from two prospective cohorts, we extended evidence on handgrip strength-depression relationship by accounting for cumulative exposure effects of handgrip strength. Lower cumulative handgrip strength was associated with an accelerated increase in depressive symptoms and higher incident depression risk in adults aged ≥ 50 years.

Similar to previous findings from other Western populations [32], the mean handgrip strength in our study was higher than that of the evidence from Asian populations [33, 34]. Differences in anthropometry, participants’ age, and dynamometers might explain these disparities. We found significant differences in handgrip strength across age and sex. Consistently, a Korean study (n = 2378, adults aged ≥ 65 years) reported the mean handgrip strength was 19.2 kg (females) and 30.7 kg (males) [35]. Another study recruited 5877 American adults and found that handgrip strength of males was stronger and that handgrip strength decreased with age [32].

To our knowledge, this is the first study linking cumulative handgrip strength to incident depression risk. Our study found that individuals in the lowest quartile of cumulative handgrip strength had higher rates of depression during follow-up than those in the highest quartile in both ELSA and SHARE. Results from regression models further confirmed that exposure to lower cumulative handgrip strength was associated with elevated incident depression risk. Prior studies mainly focused on the predictive value of baseline handgrip strength on incident elevated depressive symptoms/or depression [36]. For example, a recent meta-analysis included eight cohort studies involving 30,727 individuals from eight countries and suggested that higher handgrip strength was related to a decreased risk of incident elevated depressive symptoms (RR: 0.74; 95% CI: 0.65, 0.85) [37]. Similar results have also been reported in another meta-analysis [38]. A recent cohort study recruited 17,713 aging Americans from the Health and Retirement Study and revealed that a 5 kg decrease in handgrip strength was associated with a 6% (95% CI: 3%, 9%) increased risk of depression [39]. Consistently, a Mendelian study demonstrated that increased left-handgrip strength correlated with reduced risk of major depressive disorder [16]. However, handgrip strength is a time-varying variable. Our study suggested that handgrip strength declined over the years, but the decline might be different across individuals. Thus, single handgrip strength measurement cannot reflect the long-term cumulative effects of muscle functionality. Our study prospectively collected repeated measurements of handgrip strength from 11 countries, including the United Kingdom and ten European countries, and robustly demonstrated a positive association between long-term cumulative handgrip strength decline and risk of incident depression. Handgrip strength, as a simple, low-cost, and invasive tool, has been suggested as a predictor of overall muscular strength [11] and has been widely used in previous studies to assess overall muscular strength [13, 37]. However, other measurements, such as knee extension strength, should be used to warrant the positive association between muscular strength decline and depression in the near future.

Given the time-varying nature of depressive symptoms, our study also explored the effect of cumulative handgrip strength on long-term changes in depressive symptoms. We observed that lower cumulative handgrip strength was related to an accelerated increase in depressive symptoms over time. This might partially explain the prospective positive link between cumulative handgrip strength decline and incident depression. Consistently, a recent study conducted on 6783 Korean individuals from the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging found a 2-year handgrip strength decline was linked with an increase in depressive symptoms (β:−0.017 for men; −0.020 for women) [40]. However, this study had some limitations, including a relatively short time (two years) for measuring changes in handgrip strength and limited generalizability of results (only Korean populations). Our study assessed the cumulative handgrip strength over six or eight years and expanded to individuals from Europe and the United Kingdom.

The evidence of the associations between handgrip strength and depressive symptoms across sex gained increased attention, and the results were controversial. Our results suggested the association between cumulative handgrip strength and long-term changes in depressive symptoms was slightly stronger in females than in males in two cohorts, while no heterogeneities were found across sex in terms of the association between cumulative handgrip strength and risk of incident depression. These disparities have been widely reported in previous studies. A study conducted on 24,109 Chinese adults found that the inverse association between baseline handgrip strength and depressive symptoms was stronger in females than in males [41]. All results suggested that strength/muscular fitness should be enhanced in females as they can benefit more from improving handgrip strength. However, another study from China demonstrated this association is stronger in males [36]. The results of the associations between handgrip strength and depressive symptoms across age were disparities in two cohort studies. The association between cumulative handgrip strength and long-term changes in depressive symptoms was slightly stronger in individuals aged ≥ 70 than in those aged 50–70 years old in ELSA, but not in SHARE. The reasons for these disparities across sex and age were unknown; more epidemiological and animal experiments should be explored in the future.

The mechanisms underlying the association between cumulative handgrip strength and elevated depressive symptoms are evolving, and some possible explanations have been suggested. Previous studies suggested a common genetic basis between grip strength and depression. A recent study suggested that rs117744620, located in the LRR1 gene on chromosome 14, was a shared gene [42]. LRR1 regulates 4-1BB-mediated signaling cascades, which lead to NF-кB activation, and increases the risk of developing depression. In addition, LRR1 could affect actin and have an impact on muscle strength [43]. Second, chronic low-grade inflammation (i.e., interleukin [IL]−6, IL-1, tumor necrosis factor-α, or C-reactive protein) and oxidative stress contribute to both depression pathophysiology [44], and reduced grip strength [45]. Third, skeletal muscle works as an endocrine organ, which can produce myokines, such as brain-derived neurotrophic factor and nerve growth factor, in response to exercise [46]. Previous evidence demonstrated these myokines played an important role in the pathophysiology of depression [47]. Fourth, engaging in physical activity could promote self-esteem, social support, and self-efficacy, which could reduce depressive symptoms [48]. Individuals who had greater handgrip strength usually had higher PA levels, resulting in decreased depressive symptoms.

Clinical and public health implications

Combined with previous evidence, the positive association between lower cumulative handgrip strength/or baseline handgrip strength and depressive symptoms could provide a simple, low-cost, and non-invasive method to identify populations at great risk for depression. Our findings propose incorporating dynamic handgrip strength assessments into mental health screening protocols. This recommendation aligns with previous evidence demonstrating that muscle-strengthening physical activity constitutes an effective measure against later-life depression, as muscle-strengthening exercise can promote muscle strength and further reduce depression [49–51]. Meanwhile, a meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials further demonstrated that concurrent use of resistance training was essential for protein supplementation to improve muscle strength [52]. Thus, public health campaigns and policies targeting mental health promotion should emphasize the importance of sustainable muscular fitness development through integrated programs incorporating both exercise regimens and nutritional support.

Strengths and limitations

A key strength of this study lies in two large population-based prospective cohort studies spanning 11 countries, provide robust evidence on the relationship between cumulative handgrip strength and depressive symptoms. Our longitudinal design—featuring repeated measurements—represents the first examination of cumulative handgrip strength to depressive symptoms trajectories. Furthermore, we adjusted various potential confounding factors, including socio-demographic characteristics, lifestyle factors, and chronic diseases. Despite this, several limitations of our study warrant mention. First, despite adjusting for several key covariates, certain unmeasured confounding factors—notably nutrition status—that could influence the relationships, could not be incorporated due to data limitations. Second, while handgrip strength provides a validated measure of upper body muscular strength, further investigations should incorporate complementary metrics such as chair-rising time to assess lower limb muscle strength. Third, the reliance on self-reported depressive symptom questionnaires rather than clinician-administered diagnostic interviews introduces potential measurement bias. Fourth, given that the participants with dementia or Alzheimer’s disease may have difficulty reporting depressive symptoms, thus, our study excluded individuals with dementia or Alzheimer’s disease. This limited the generalizability of our results to individuals with dementia or Alzheimer’s disease.

Conclusions

This study first showed that exposure to low levels of cumulative handgrip strength was associated with an accelerated increase in depressive symptoms and a higher risk of incident depression. Future interventional studies should further investigate if strength/muscular fitness can improve mental health, especially among older adults.

Supplementary Information

Supplementary Material 1 (437.5KB, docx)

Acknowledgements

The authors thank the original data creators, depositors, copyright holders, the funders of the Data Collections for using data from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing and the Survey of Health, Aging and Retirement in Europe.

Abbreviations

CES-D

Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale

ELSA

The English Longitudinal Study of Ageing

EURO-D

The European-depression

HR

Hazard ratio

RR

Relative risk ratio

SHARE

The Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe

Authors’ contributions

Qingping Xue conceived and designed the study, supervised the statistical analyses, wrote the first draft of the manuscript, contributed to the interpretation of the results and critically revised the manuscript.Kuifang Guo contributed to the study concept and designed the study, supervised the statistical analyses, contributed to the interpretation of the results and critically revised the manuscript.Xue Yang, Jieru Peng, Mei Xiong, Yachao Li, and Yang Gao conceived and designed the study, contributed to the interpretation of the data and critically revised the manuscript.All authors read and approved the final version, and no other person contributed substantially to the paper.

Funding

This work was supported by supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 72204031), Sichuan Applied Psychology Research Center (No. CSXL-24212), and Chengdu Medical College School Fund (No. CYS18-02).

Data availability

The database used and analyzed during the current study cannot be publicly available due to the application restrictions imposed by the ELSA and SHARE data.

Declarations

Ethics approval and consent to participate

ELSA was approved by the London Multicenter Research Ethics Committee (MREC/01/2/91). The Ethics Committee of the University of Mannheim obtained ethical approval of SHARE from the first to fourth waves. In 2018, the Ethics Council of the Max Planck Society reviewed and approved the fourth and subsequent waves of the SHARE project.

Consent for publication

Not applicable.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Footnotes

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Supplementary Material 1 (437.5KB, docx)

Data Availability Statement

The database used and analyzed during the current study cannot be publicly available due to the application restrictions imposed by the ELSA and SHARE data.


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