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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America logoLink to Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
. 2026 Feb 6;123(6):e2520040123. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2520040123

Theoretical limits for sensing through phase separation

Henry Alston a, Mason Rouches b, Arvind Murugan b,1,2, Aleksandra M Walczak a,b,1,2, Thierry Mora a,b,1,2
PMCID: PMC12891021  PMID: 41650233

Significance

Cells are constantly tasked with making accurate measurements of their surroundings. A paradigmatic example is the sensing of signaling molecule concentrations: The seminal work of Berg and Purcell derived limits for the precision and speed of this sensing through ligand–receptor binding. However, recent experimental work has identified the formation of condensates (liquid droplets coexisting with the cell cytoplasm through phase separation) as a potential mechanism for selectively initiating downstream processes by effectively amplifying small concentration differences between competing signaling molecules. Using a minimal model for droplet nucleation and growth in a fluid mixture, we observe that phase separation can distinguish concentration differences of 1% in minutes, a significant improvement upon well-established pathways for precise concentration sensing.

Keywords: liquid–liquid phase transition, cellular decision-making, droplet, biological concentration sensing

Abstract

Biomolecular condensates form on timescales of seconds in cells upon environmental or compositional changes. Condensate formation is thus argued to act as a mechanism for sensing such changes and quickly initiating downstream processes, such as forming stress granules in response to heat stress and amplifying cyclic GMP-AMP synthase enzymatic activity upon detection of cytosolic DNA. Here, we study a dynamical model of droplet nucleation and growth to demonstrate how phase separation allows cells to discriminate small concentration differences on finite, biologically relevant timescales. We propose optimal sensing protocols, which use the sharp onset of phase separation. We show how, given experimentally measured rates, cells can achieve rapid and robust sensing of concentration differences of 1% on a timescale of minutes, offering an alternative to classical biochemical mechanisms.


Biomolecular condensates formed through liquid–liquid phase separation provide membraneless compartmentalization in the cell (1, 2). While the physical principles governing these condensates (3–5) and the role of nonequilibrium processes (6–8) remain under much scrutiny, their different functionalities are well understood, allowing for the localization of biochemical processes finding broad functionality (9–13) including ribosome production in the nucleolus (14) and establishing polarity in asymmetric cell division (15, 16).

Unlike membrane-bound organelles, condensates can form and dissolve rapidly, potentially allowing for fast responses to changing conditions. This makes phase separation particularly well suited for formulating stress responses in the cell (17), such as forming stress granules under heat shock (18), terminating translation during starvation (19) or creating foci in response to DNA damage (20). Its reversible nature provides cells with a mechanism to sense and respond to small fluctuations in internal and environmental signals (21). Changes in composition can also trigger phase separation, endowing cells with an ability to sense whether the concentrations of signaling molecules are above a threshold set by the transition point to a phase-separated state. Cytoplasmic sensors are argued to exploit this mechanism to regulate the amount of cytosolic DNA in the cell (22).

In these examples, the formation of droplets signifies both the sensing of a change in signal and the initiation of the physical response, potentially without the need for a separate downstream process. Understanding the limits of phase separation as a sensor would clarify its role across this broad range of processes. Perhaps the simplest task asked of a sensing mechanism is to measure the abundance or concentration of signaling molecules. Fundamental limits for the case of ligand–receptor binding systems were derived in the seminal work of Berg and Purcell (23, 24) but similar problems find much recent interest in chemotaxis and development (25–30). In this work, we ask under what circumstances can the process of phase separation most effectively sense or discriminate concentrations in simple multicomponent fluid mixtures. By phase separating (or not), droplets implicitly reflect some measurement of concentration relative to a predetermined value: We quantify here how fast and robust this measurement is and thus how reliable condensate formation is as a trigger for downstream processes.

In practice, cells use a variety of sensing mechanisms. Structural cooperativity such as allosteric regulation (31) is well understood to provide sensitive responses to molecular signals. Goldbeter–Koshland kinetics describe how small differences in the activity of antagonistic enzymes can drive large fluctuations in the relative abundance of two substrate forms (32, 33). The phosphorylation of Cdk1 functions as a regulatory switch that enables ultrasensitive responses in Cdc25C activation, occurring on timescales as short as 30 min (34). A phase transition to a phase-separated state naturally offers a sharp, threshold-like response: An arbitrarily small change in e.g. concentrations leads to very different equilibrium (long-time) states (35). Phase transitions for liquid (36, 37) and solid or crystalline (38–40) phases have been proposed as sensors of concentrations in multicomponent molecular mixtures. However, achieving sharp transitions in these mechanisms takes time. Employing phase separation as a finite-time sensing mechanism would actually rely on the nonequilibrium dynamics, begging the question as to how it performs against these other sensing mechanisms on realistic biological timescales.

Building on classical theory for phase separation in fluid mixtures (41–44), which is now well analyzed in the context of biomolecular condensates (6, 7, 45, 46), we derive a dynamical description for the nucleation and growth of droplets in a ternary fluid. Properties of ternary phase separating mixtures have received much attention, including spatial Cahn–Hilliard models derived from explicit lattice models (47), extensions of classical nucleation theory to describe nucleation near the spinodal concentrations (48), characterizations of the critical nucleation seed (49–51) and coarsening dynamics in the presence of off-diagonal terms in the diffusion tensor (52). Our work unifies droplet nucleation and growth into a functional model of ternary phase separation to probe the timescales involved with forming droplets. Our choice of a ternary mixture will allow us to have different subsystems interact with each other through common molecules. We distinguish functional molecules A, confined to individual subsystems, from scaffold molecules S that are required in both systems for forming droplets. Implicitly, we assume that these molecules are at moderate concentrations, a necessity for phase separation to be realized.

Using this most general model, we first consider the problem of sensing whether a concentration of molecules A is above or below the phase transition. We identify fundamental limits to how accurately this can be inferred from droplet formation in finite time. We also compare these limits to other classical sensing mechanisms such as ligand–receptor binding. The role of a second phase separating system with a fixed concentration of functional molecules (effectively acting as a measuring stick) is then discussed. We show how competition for limiting shared resources between the mixtures enhances sensitivity before identifying a minimal set-up which optimally employs phase separation for distinguishing concentrations. Under such conditions, we demonstrate that concentration differences of ±1% can be distinguished with close to perfect accuracy on finite timescales. Based on estimates of nucleation rates for protein condensates in the experiments of refs. 15 and 22, we argue that this timescale can be on the order of a few minutes.

1. Results

1.1. Nucleation and Growth Dynamics for Ternary Fluid.

We consider an incompressible ternary mixture of fluids A, S and a solvent in the canonical ensemble with volume fractions ϕA, ϕS and ϕH=1−ϕA−ϕS, respectively. We consider the scenario where A can condense and form a dense phase only in conjunction with S. Here, we consider the simplest model for the formation of biomolecular condensates consisting of A and S. In response to heat stress, for example, A represents RNA while S models poly(A)-binding proteins in the formation of stress granules (Pab1 in yeast, PABPC1 in humans) (17, 21).

We determine the coexisting phase densities through the Flory–Huggins theory of mixtures, in which the free energy per unit volume for ϕ=(ϕA,ϕS) is given by ref. 45:

FFH(ϕ)=RTc0∑i=A,Sϕiln(ϕi)+ϕHvsln(ϕH)+χϕAϕS, [1]

where c0 is the total concentration of solutes, and vs is the (dimensionless) volume ratio between solvent and soluble molecules and χ<0 sets the strength of the attractive interaction present between A and S molecules. We set vs=1 below. The first two terms describe the mixing entropy and the last term describes the interaction energy between the two types of molecules. In what follows, we nondimensionalize the free energy by rescaling with the characteristic energy density RTc0, where R is the gas constant and T is temperature, thus setting RTc0=1 in our equations and establishing a natural thermal energy scale (per unit volume).

For sufficiently negative χ (we set χ=−12 for the simulation results discussed below), the system phase separates into coexisting dense and dilute phases, the dense phase being rich in A and S, while the dilute phase is rich in solvent: The instability of the homogeneous mixture corresponds to a negative determinant for the Hessian of the free energy. We denote the coexisting phase densities by ϕ0=(ϕA0,ϕS0) and ϕ1=(ϕA1,ϕS1) for the dilute and dense phases, respectively (Fig. 1A). To determine ϕ0 and ϕ1, we write the free energy density of the two-phase system (for now ignoring interfacial energies) as FPS=ηFFH(ϕ1)+(1−η)FFH(ϕ0), where we have defined η as the dense phase volume fraction. Minimizing this with respect to η, ϕ0 and ϕ1 gives us the phase equilibria. The resulting equations defining this optimization problem are classically interpreted in the following way: the chemical potentials of each component, defined through μi=δFFH/δϕi (where i=A,S), and the pressure, defined as P=FFH(ϕ)−ϕ·μ (where we recall the scalar product ϕ·μ=∑iϕiμi), must equate between the two phases.

Fig. 1.

A three-panel figure shows phase diagram and droplet nucleation in a ternary mixture. Graphs show free energy, concentrations, and nucleation rate.

Phase diagram and droplet nucleation in a ternary mixture. (A) Schematic of a double-well free energy from which one can extract the phase equilibria (dark blue is dilute phase, yellow is dense) through the classical common-tangent construction (dashed line). Systems between the green lines will exhibit phase separation, either through spinodal decomposition (light blue region) or nucleation and growth of droplets (between light blue and green line, e.g. the white point). The double-well picture can be understood as a cross-section of the full phase diagram in (B), presented as a function of the concentrations of the two fluids ϕA and ϕS. We assume we are in a solvent dominated regime and ϕA and ϕS are small. We can map the dynamics of the full ternary mixture to that of (a) through defining the dense composition α and dense phase fraction η, both of which are determined from the point in phase space. An isolated ternary mixture evolves along the tie-line (blue lines) fixed by the initial value for α. (A) shows the case of α=1/2 denoted by a red tie-line in the (B). (C) Nucleation rate defined in Eq. 6 plotted as a function of supersaturation ε=ϕA−ϕA0=ϕS−ϕS0 expressed as a percentage of ϕA0=ϕS0 (e.g. in case of equal A and S concentrations, α=1/2). When concentrations ϕ are close to the dilute phase equilibria ϕ0, ε is close to zero and nucleation of droplets becomes very rare.

Equating μA,μS and P provides three equations, but there are 4 unknown quantities in ϕ0 and ϕ1. Crucially, the convex hull of the free energy surface is in fact a plane that must be parameterized by a family of chords (Fig. 1B): This parameterization is done through the relative fractions of A and S in the dense phase:

α=ϕA1ϕA1+ϕS1. [2]

This will give the desired families of pairs of points, ϕ0(α) and ϕ1(α). Finally, we identify another equation satisfied by the phase equilibria and η due to the conservation of mass:

ϕ=(1−η)ϕ0(α)+ηϕ1(α), [3]

where ϕ is the supersaturated concentrations of A and S (i.e. before a droplet forms). In total, this gives us now six equations which can be solved to determine the six unknown quantities: α, η and the four coexisting densities. In the limit of strong interactions, the dense phase becomes very dense and the dilute phase very dilute. In this limit it is possible to derive analytic forms for the coexisting densities (see details in SI Appendix).

Fig. 1A illustrates a schematic phase diagram for a classical binary mixture and represents a cross-section of the full picture for our ternary mixture given in Fig. 1B: In each case, we highlight the coexisting densities in green. We denote the phase equilibria by dark blue (dilute, ϕ0) and yellow (dense, ϕ1) dots. For a well-mixed system initialized at concentrations ϕ in the region outside of the green lines (e.g. at the purple dot) no phase separation will occur. The light blue region denotes when the homogeneous mixture is unstable to fluctuations: Here, phase separation occurs spontaneously through so-called spinodal decomposition. Between the light blue region and the green lines (e.g. white point), droplet formation requires the system to overcome an energy barrier due to surface tension when nucleating droplets (that barrier disappears in the light blue region). Following nucleation droplets grow deterministically. This phase separation mechanism is referred to as nucleation-and-growth.

We want to use the sharp transition at ϕ0 to distinguish concentrations. Near this boundary, nucleation-and-growth is the only mechanism for phase separation, thus it constitutes the primary focus of our model below. In the current work, we do not consider the case where two systems are at very different concentrations (e.g. one system is exhibiting spinodal decomposition and the other nucleation-and-growth) as these are much simpler cases to distinguish (the time- and length-scales associated with phase separation are very different). More broadly, our choice to focus solely on nucleation-and-growth dynamics may actually apply to a wide range of natural systems: It has also been argued recently that the nucleation-and-growth regime in parameter space expands with the complexity of a fluid mixture (53) thus making it the dominant mechanism driving phase separation in multicomponent systems (3–5).

The rate at which droplets nucleate is set by the height of the nucleation energy barrier. From the free energy density FFH, supplemented by a surface energy term, we can calculate the energetic difference between a system with and without a droplet of radius R at composition α, ΔF(R)=v(P(ϕ1(α))−P(ϕ))+γs, where v=(4/3)πR3 is the droplet volume, s=4πR2 its surface area, γ the surface tension, and P(ϕ) the pressure (SI Appendix). Crucially, our assumption is that the critical droplet has the same composition α of the phase equilibria: In principle, the saddle-point in the energy landscape describing the minimal energy barrier between the two states may appear at a different composition, but we do not consider this here. The energy difference ΔF(R) is nonmonotonic in R and is maximized at a critical radius of Rc. Droplets that form with a radius smaller than Rc will dissolve: The system will relax back to a homogeneous state. Larger droplets will survive, so we only consider the rate at which droplets of radius R=Rc form as these are the only ones that will persist in the system beyond short times.

We find two equivalent expressions for the critical radius that maximizes ΔF(R) (derived in full in SI Appendix). Defining ΔϕA=ϕA1−ϕA0 and εA(t)=ϕA(t)−ϕA0 (and similarly for S), we derive

Rc(α)=ℓ0(ϕA0+ϕS0)ΔϕAεA=ℓ0(ϕA0+ϕS0)ΔϕSεS, [4]

where ℓ0 is the capillary length (see mathematical definition in SI Appendix), the characteristic length scale at which curvature-dependent shifts in chemical potential, as given by the Gibbs–Thomson relation, become significant. Note Rc is implicitly time-dependent when concentrations ϕA or ϕS are depleted upon forming droplets (which enforces that εA and εS decrease in time). Under the assumption that the interactions between A and S molecules are very strong, one can assume that the dense phase is very dense (and the dilute phase very dilute) in which case this capillary length is simply ℓ0=2γ. At first, it appears that the last equality in Eq. 4 is not necessarily satisfied, but it can be seen through Eq. 3, which enforces that the dense volume fraction η satisfies η=ΔϕA/εA=ΔϕS/εS. The maximum of the energy barrier reads:

ΔF(Rc)=v(Rc)2γRc+γs(Rc)=4πγRc23. [5]

Following the standard approach from classical nucleation theory (44), we use this energy barrier to define an approximate nucleation rate via Arrhenius’ law in the form

knuc=k0Vexp−ΔF(Rc)=k0Vexp−4πγRc2/3, [6]

where k0 is assumed to be a constant prefactor, independent of the compositions or concentrations in the system and V is the volume of the system. The idea here is that the exponential term dominates the rate, so ignoring microscopic details in the prefactor has a negligible effect on the precise value of the nucleation rate.

We omit in our nucleation model here the transient phase of fast initial droplet growth predicted theoretically by Wagner (54): The assumption amounts to modeling that the nucleation is dominated precisely by the crossing of the energy barrier modeled in our rate Eq. 6. In binary fluids at small supersaturation ε, this nucleation timescale scales like exp(ε−2), whereas the transient timescale for the Wagner regime is set by diffusion through the droplet, thus scales like 1/ε3, thus is negligible in comparison.

Once a droplet (indexed by j) nucleates, diffusive fluxes drive material into the droplet. We thus require a dynamical description for the growth of a droplet of size Rj and composition αj. Following a now standard approach (see full details in SI Appendix and e.g. refs. 6 and 7), we arrive at our growth equation for a spherical droplet of radius Rj and composition αj:

dRjdt=Dℓ0(ϕA0+ϕS0)Rj1Rc(αj)−1Rj, [7]

where D is the diffusion coefficient for an isolated molecule in the dilute phase and Rc(αj) is given by Eq. 4. Note that αj defines the composition of a specific droplet: It may differ between droplets and from the composition α defined above for the supersaturated phase. Similarly, the critical radius here varies between droplets due to the dependence on the droplet composition αj. Droplets with composition αj need to have a radius greater than Rc(αj) to grow in the system; smaller droplets will shrink and dissolve. While we do not model direct interactions (e.g. coalescence) between droplets, the critical droplet size for all droplets will increase as the growth of droplets leads to the depletion of ϕA(t) and ϕS(t). This leads to antagonistic effective interactions between droplets, modeling the effect of Ostwald ripening.

The change in the composition of each droplet can be derived in a similar manner to Eq. 7 and takes the form (SI Appendix)

dαjdt=3DRj2ΔϕSεA−ΔϕAεSΔϕA+ΔϕS, [8]

where crucially the ϕ0 and ϕ1 that appear here in the terms ΔϕA=ϕA1−ϕA0 and εA=ϕA−ϕA0 are evaluated from the droplet’s composition αj, not that of the phase equilibria for ϕA and ϕS (namely α), so the right-hand side can be nonzero when α≠αj.

We now have a complete description of droplet nucleation and growth in a ternary mixture. The dynamics for droplet nucleation and growth at time t are set by the (nonequilibrated) concentrations ϕ(t) outside the droplets. We study the dynamics of the ternary mixture through numerical simulations of our dynamical model, the details of which are given in SI Appendix.

To compare the results of the simulations to typical biomolecular condensates, we set the parameters of our model: We fix the system volume V=1,000μm3, comparable to that of a one cell embryo of Caenorhabditis elegans (15), and D=1μm2/s, a typical diffusion coefficient for small molecules in the cell (55). We are then left to set the surface tension γ and the prefactor to the nucleation rate k0. Experimental work measuring the surface tension of biomolecular condensates estimate it between 10−4 to 10−7 of that of the surface tension between air and water (15). We set γ=103kBT/μm2≈10−4γair–water. Finally, we look to set k0. Microscopic formulations of the nucleation rate prefactor have received much attention (44, 56), but an exact treatment remains beyond the scope of this work. Instead, we set k0 by taking as a typical system one where there is a supersaturation of 10% for both A and S. We choose k0 such that this level of supersaturation drives the formation of ∼10 to 100 droplets on a timescale of minutes, with the coarsening to a single droplet on the timescale of hours (22). The number of droplets is set by the ratio of D and k0: If growth is much faster than nucleation, we can expect only a few droplets to form. Conversely, slow growth allows for many droplets. In this way, we choose k0V=50s−1 such that k0=0.05s−1μm−3. Finally, we set the maximal decision time to Tf=10 min. Different decision-making times Tf are explored in SI Appendix, Fig. S2: We observe quantitatively comparable results for other Tf on the order of minutes.

1.2. Rare Nucleation Hinders Sensing Near Phase Transition.

Suppose that a cell wants to determine whether the concentrations of A and S molecules are above or below a threshold set by the transition point to a phase-separated state (dark blue point in Fig. 1 A and B). We say that a cell decides they are above or below if a droplet nucleates or not before a fixed decision time. Here and below, we will refer to this as first-nucleation sensing.

From Eq. 4, we see that the critical droplet radius is large for concentrations ϕ close to ϕ0. This results in a very low nucleation rate through Eq. 6. Physically, this is due to increased energy barriers to escape what is initially a metastable state. These barriers pose a challenge to systems using droplet formation to sense concentrations near the transition point.

To illustrate this mathematically, we consider the singular case of equal initial concentrations for A and S, in which the equations simplify: in this case, the phase equilibria are the same and ϕA0=ϕS0≈0.025. We define a single variable ε=εA/S=ϕA/S−ϕA/S0 capturing the initial supersaturations of both A and S. From Eqs. 4 and 6, the timescale for the first nucleation event scales like τ1=knuc−1∼expε−2, as is demonstrated in Fig. 1C. This timescale diverges faster than exponentially in the limit of small supersaturation ε→0. (A similar scaling relation can be argued for the general case of ϕA≠ϕS.)

Phase separation alone cannot accurately discriminate concentrations close to the transition point in finite time due to rare nucleation events. We can quantify this for our ternary mixture: For a decision time of Tf=10 min and equal A and S concentrations, we see from Fig. 1C that we would require a supersaturation of at least ∼5% in A and S for a nucleation rate knuc such that knucTf≫1.

Another illustrative case is when ϕA=ϕA0=ϕS=ϕS0 initially and we ask how much ϕA would need to increase to escape the nucleation-limiting regime. We deduce that it is a larger increase than 5% of ϕA: From Fig. 1B, we see that increasing ϕA alone would lead to a decrease in ϕS0 and an increase in ϕA0. Taking these changes to be linear, we argue that ϕA would need to increase by ≈10% to realize 5% supersaturations in A and S and escape the nucleation-limiting regime for Tf=10 min.

For smaller supersaturation, this sensing mechanism suffers from false negative results: no nucleation before a finite decision time despite being in the phase-separating regime. This suggests upper bounds on the precision with which phase separation alone can discriminate concentrations. The bound is comparable to that derived for hunchback promoters performing a read-out of the bicoid morphogen gradient, where cell sense concentration differences in signaling molecules on the order of 10% in minutes (30, 57), despite the two sensing mechanisms being very different.

One route to circumvent this would be to fix a decision time Tf and then find the supersaturation ε(Tf) at which we could expect to see a droplet form (i.e. with probability ≈1/2). We could then use phase separation to signal whether ϕA>ϕA0+εA(Tf) (and similarly for ϕS) effectively shifting the reference concentration. However, there are several difficulties with implementing this approach: This new effective critical concentration changes with decision time Tf, so accurate decisions now require a strict measure of time for the sensing process, an added layer of computation. Also, the shifted critical concentration can generate false positives: seeing phase separation when ϕA0<ϕA<ϕA0+εA(Tf).

1.3. Using a Second Subsystem as a Measuring Stick: Overcoming Rare Nucleation.

We have demonstrated that sensing concentrations near the transition point can be inaccurate due to rare nucleation. Now, we move beyond using the formation of droplets alone as a sensor for inferring concentrations: We consider a second subsystem, which itself is also a ternary mixture. We assume the second subsystem is identical to the original one, apart from the initial concentration of A, which we label as A′ for the second subsystem. For now, we will assume that the two subsystems evolve independently, then consider interactions between subsystems in Sections 1.4 and 1.5 below. For consistency, we denote the scaffolds by S and S′ across the two systems (Fig. 2). We will keep the initial concentration of A′ constant at ϕA′=0.025, while varying that of A in the first subsystem. This puts us in the parameter regime where the composition of droplets is roughly equal in A and S.

Fig. 2.

Schematic shows dynamics of two ternary mixtures with initial concentrations of A and A prime at time equals zero and time equals T sub f.

Using a second system as a measuring stick. Schematic for dynamics of two ternary mixtures, identical except for initial concentrations of A (red) and A′ (blue). The amount of S determines the relative volumes of condensates. Too little S prevents formation of droplets before the decision time Tf, whereas too much S renders initial differences between A and A′ insignificant.

The idea is to now measure the concentration of A relative to A′, such that A′ represents a measuring stick for A. (In reality, the picture could be far more sophisticated, say A′ triggers a process with the opposite functionality to the one triggered by A and thus the two concentrations serve as measuring sticks for each other.) Measuring sticks can be implemented through simple binding, where a sensor molecule binds to its target and changes its properties, or through competition, where two molecules compete for the same binding site and the balance shifts with concentration. Such mechanisms resemble chemical titrations, where binding equilibria determine the proportion of sensor molecules in each state. Here, we apply this idea in the context of droplets: We propose that the volume of droplets (which play the role of the measurable signal here) can be used to infer relative concentrations.

We also update our decision-making mechanism: A cell samples a molecule at random from the droplets and determines whether A or A′ is more abundant from whether it samples an A or A′ molecule. The probability of this is simply the ratio of the droplet volumes weighted by the probability that a nucleation event occurs. We refer to this mechanism as droplet-proportion sensing and argue that it represents the simplest mechanism to investigate how phase separation may amplify concentration differences. More sophisticated sensing might incorporate spatial and temporal information, for example, leading to more accurate sensing, but this is beyond the scope of the current work.

The usefulness of a second phase-separating system can be illustrated through the following argument: One immediate consequence of comparing two droplet-forming systems is that concentration differences are amplified in the dense phases. Randomly sampling an A or A′ molecule from the whole system when both subsystems are well mixed would mean a probability of ϕA/(ϕA+ϕA′) of picking an A molecule (vs. A′). As a sensing mechanism, this probability describes a Hill curve (or Monod equation) with a maximum slope equal to 1/(4ϕA′) when ϕA=ϕA′ which defines an effective measure of sensitivity. Droplet-proportion sensing is much more precise. Through a lever rule argument, we expect a system initialized with concentrations ϕ to nucleate droplets, growing until the concentration in the dilute phase is close to ϕ0. Ignoring interfacial effects, the total volume of the dense phase would be approximately set by the supersaturations as (εA+εS)V≈2εAV for comparable concentrations of A and S. Droplet-proportion sensing would then imply a probability εA/(εA+εA′) of picking A corresponding to an effective sensitivity of 1/4εA′, much greater than that of sampling the initial mixture (provided εA′<ϕA′ which must hold because ϕA′0>0). Clearly this (equilibrium) sensitivity can be made large through reducing the supersaturation, as opposed to reducing the overall concentration of A in the absence of droplets, enabling accurate sensing at moderate concentrations. While this lever rule argument predicts the sensitivity expected at equilibrium, we demonstrate that one can achieve higher sensitivity in nucleation-limited regimes on relevant sensing timescales.

Fig. 3B displays the results of our numerical simulations for two independent ternary mixtures, where the results are strongly controlled by the concentration ϕS (parameterizing the different curves). More specifically, we recall that ϕS′0 is the concentration of S′ required for the A′-subsystem to nucleate droplets given the concentration ϕA′. In Fig. 3B, we vary the initial concentrations of S and S′ through εS′ as ϕS(t=0)=ϕS′(t=0)=ϕS′0+εS′ (where the choice of S′ label in εS′ denotes the distance to ϕS′0). We expect that at small εS′, neither system nucleates before the finite decision time due to the rare nucleation discussed in the previous section, whereas at large εS′, both system nucleate many droplets (see again the schematic in Fig. 2).

Fig. 3.

Figure shows dynamics of two ternary mixtures with and without exchange of S, proportion of red droplets, phase space trajectories, and accuracy.

Competition for S increases sensitivity. (A) We compare the dynamics of two ternary mixtures without (orange) and with (yellow) exchange of S. (B) For the two independent mixtures, the proportion of red droplets at time Tf as a function of the initial difference in A and A′ concentrations is plotted. Each curve is a different supersaturation of S, denoted εS′ and measured as a percentage of ϕS′0: The curves shift to the left and flatten (light blue → blue → dark blue) as the initial supersaturation of S increases from 0% to 25% of ϕS0 (colored lines from 5%→7%→20%, respectively). A comparison is made in the rightmost panels to the case with exchange of S between subsystems (in yellow): The two scenarios are similar at small εS′ (light blue) but different at large εS′ (dark blue). (C) We explain this through phase space trajectories for the (nonequilibrated) dilute phase concentrations, ϕ(t) in red and ϕ′(t) in blue. For the independent systems, these evolve along their respective tie-lines. In the case of S exchange, initial growth is faster in the ϕ subsystem, driving a flux of S from the ϕ′ to the ϕ system due to depletion. Eventually, the ϕ′ system grows droplets until there is no flux of S between the systems and they share the same dilute phase concentrations. The difference between the final state is highlighted between the two scenarios. The uptake of A to the dense phase is proportional to the difference in the x-direction between the start (in green) and end (black) points. Competition enforces larger uptake of A in the red system, thus a larger dense phase, explaining the steeper curve in (B). (D) When employing droplet-proportion sensing, an optimal supersaturation of εS′≈7 to 9% is found to maximize the accuracy at 80% for the independent systems and 90% when exchanging S. The line at εS′=7% denotes the point above which the exchange of S makes a difference.

This is confirmed in the simulations (Fig. 3B): At low εS′, the ϕ′ system never nucleates because it is too close to the transition line, and only when ϕA is substantially larger than ϕA′ does the ϕ system nucleate: See light blue curve Fig. 2B, when εS′=5% of ϕS′0. As εS′ increases, the response curve in Fig. 3B shifts to the left (blue curve, 7%). This is due to ϕ systems with ϕA>ϕA′ being able to nucleate droplets as S becomes more abundant. For larger εS′, the ϕ′ system also nucleates droplets, so droplet-proportion sensing becomes less precise — see the flattening of the response function as the supersaturation in S above ϕS′0 further increases 20% (dark blue curve in panel Fig. 3B). While at small εS′, the dynamics are nucleation-limited, systems with large εS′ deplete resources quickly by nucleating and growing droplets. This is illustrated in Fig. 3C, which we will be further discussed below. The large εS′ curves in Fig. 3B, such as the dark blue curve, provide results comparable to the lever rule argument given above. Our full dynamical model allows us to explore beyond this limit and to compare to finite decision timescales.

These results point to an optimal εS′ for this sensing set-up. To quantify the accuracy of droplet-proportion sensing in this scenario, we need to devise a metric. The perfect scenario for this sensing mechanism is one where only droplets of A are present if ϕA>ϕA′ (and only droplets of A′ if ϕA<ϕA′). We define an accuracy score by taking the difference between a step function centered at ϕA=ϕA′ and the A-fraction droplet volumes in Fig. 3B, and integrating this error score with a Gaussian function centered at ϕA=ϕA′ with SD of 2% of ϕA′. The total accuracy is then 1 minus the integral. This accuracy quantifies with what probability does phase separation and droplet-proportion sensing correctly conclude whether ϕA is larger or smaller than ϕA′ when the two concentrations are very similar to each other. An accuracy of 1 indicates perfect ability to sense concentrations relative to ϕA′, whereas an accuracy of 0.5 implies the sensing mechanism is as useful as flipping a coin. The accuracy is plotted in Fig. 3D: We observe a peak accuracy of around 80% for a supersaturation εS′≈7 to 8%.

The optimal value for εS′ can be reasoned as follows. As for a single ternary mixture, the finite decision time Tf imposes an effective (nonzero) boundary for the supersaturation below which we expect to not see droplets (recall the nucleation-limiting regime in Fig. 1C). The optimal εS′ sits just below this boundary for the ϕ′ system, such that whenever ϕA>ϕA′, we would expect the ϕ subsystem to nucleate droplets, but not the ϕ′ subsystem. For smaller εS′, neither subsystem reliably nucleates droplets, whereas large εS′ ensures both nucleate and the ratio of droplet volumes is comparable to the lever rule argument given above. For our decision time Tf=10 min, we argued above for a supersaturation εS′≥10% of ϕS′0 for the ϕ′ subsystem to nucleate. This agrees with our observation of an optimal supersaturation in Fig. 3D of around 7 to 8% for the orange points.

1.4. Interactions Between Subsystems: Competition for Building Blocks S Strengthens Sensitivity.

So far the two subsystems have been assumed to evolve independently of one another. We now let S be exchanged between the two subsystems (see schematic in Fig. 3A). We assume that any difference in the instantaneous concentration of S in the supersaturated dilute phase ϕS(t) quickly relaxes by exchanging S, ensuring ϕS(t) is equal across the two systems at all times. We choose not to fix a finite timescale for this exchange of S: This assumes that the two subsystems draw upon the same pool of S molecules. Our model of two ternary mixtures thus approximates a quaternary mixture (A, A′, S, and solvent) where A and A′ have a strong negative interaction. While a thermodynamic description for this mixture would be interesting, there is added complication due to the coexistence of A-rich and A′-rich dense phases. We thus employ the ternary mixtures (augmented with fast exchanges of S) as a proxy for this more complex mixture.

Numerical simulations conclude that competition for S results in a stronger sensitivity compared to the independent systems at larger supersaturation of S, as illustrated by the increased slope of the sensitivity curve in Fig. 3B at ϕA=ϕA′ for εS′=20% of ϕS′0. The two perform equally well at small supersaturation as they are both limited by rare nucleation (see Fig. 3B panel with εS′=5%). This enhanced sensitivity is explained graphically through the phase portraits in Fig. 3C. In the absence of S exchange, the dilute concentrations converge toward the equilibrium dilute phase concentrations (albeit not exactly due to system finite size effects) leading to a ratio of droplet volumes comparable to the one predicted by a lever rule argument. The slope of these trajectories is set by α (which is constant when the two systems evolve independently).

Exchanging S between subsystems results in the two trajectories converging to the same point. If both subsystems nucleate droplets, the dilute concentrations will converge toward the black curve Fig. 3C of dilute phase equilibria. However, the subsystem with a larger excess of A and S will nucleate droplets more quickly, thus demanding excess S from the other subsystem. The subsystem with larger supersaturation will deplete its resources for forming droplets more quickly, at which point the slower subsystem will demand any excess S, until the dilute concentrations of A and S are equal across the two systems. Both systems stop forming droplets when their trajectories reach the black transition curve. Since their S concentration is the same, so must be ϕA and ϕA′ (black dot). It follows, upon comparison to the case without competition, that the more supersaturated system (red curve in Fig. 3C) is able to form a larger volume of droplets. We see this from the increased reduction of A in the dilute phase. The blue system loses out, and competition for S produces a steeper slope in Fig. 3B at large εS′, strengthening sensitivity. We expect that a revised application of the lever rule, now accounting for the exchange of S, could predict the ratio of droplet volumes in this limit of large εS′.

The convergence of ϕ and ϕ′ at long times has another physical significance: Given that the phase equilibria in a subsystem are determined by the supersaturated concentrations ϕ alone, this implies equality in the phase equilibria across subsystems. It follows that this convergence in ϕ and ϕ′ permits the sustaining of dense droplets at steady-state across the two subsystems. Coarsening through classical Ostwald ripening will eventually result in 2 droplets, one in each subsystem, at long times. We stress that this is only possible as A/A′ is not exchanged between subsystems. If this was the case, the same Ostwald ripening mechanism would enforce only a single droplet (comprised of A, A′, and S) survives at steady-state.

1.5. Replenishing of A Optimizes Sensing.

We have seen that a necessary condition for both systems to support droplets when S is exchanged is the convergence of the dilute concentrations ϕ=ϕ′. This suggests a simpler mechanism for increasing sensitivity: maintaining the concentrations ϕA and ϕA′ in the dilute phases (see a schematic in Fig. 4A). By doing so, the phase space trajectories will never meet, as they are confined to two different vertical lines (Fig. 4C). As such, the long-time state of the system does not support the coexistence of droplets. This suggests that replenishing of A and A′ upon forming droplets allows for a definitive binary decision through phase separation.

Fig. 4.

A four panel figure. A shows a schematic. B, C, and D are multi-line graphs showing the effects of replenishing A on sensing accuracy.

Replenishing of A drives optimal sensing. (A) Schematic for two systems exchanging S and replenishing A and A′ (i.e. keeping the dilute phase concentration of A and A′ constant). (B) Replenishing of A leads to an equilibrium (long-time) state with a homogeneous make-up of condensates. For finite decision-making times, we still see a strong improvement compared to previous scenarios. (C) Replenishing of A confines the phase-space trajectories to vertical lines: Nucleation and growth of droplets in the red system will eventually push ϕS below the phase equilibria for the blue system, ensuring blue droplets are only present transiently. (D) A quantification of how accurately each scenario can sense relative concentrations through forming droplets. When there is enough S for the A′ subsystem to nucleate droplets before the decision time, competition for S and replenishing of A is optimal and largely insensitive to supersaturation ϵS.

Numerical simulations confirm our intuition. We observe that phase separation augmented with competition for S and replenishing of A and A′ is able to produce very accurate readings of whether ϕA>ϕA′ in Fig. 4B. At equilibrium, we necessarily require ϕS→ϕS0(ϕA) (black dot at the end of the red line in Fig. 4C). In doing so, we drive ϕS(t) in the ϕ′ subsystem below the dilute phase equilibria, forcing this subsystem out of the phase separating regime (black dot at the end of the blue line). While droplets may form initially in the ϕ′ system, they are purely transient as eventually they will dissolve due to this competition for ϕS.

The picture at equilibrium is thus optimal: a homogeneous dense phase consisting entirely A or A’ droplets perfectly reflecting the more abundant of the two. Our simulations of nucleation and growth show that this optimal performance is maintained down to low εS′∼8%, below which nucleation limitation reduces accuracy. However, as Fig. 4D shows, the reduced performance of this model due to nucleation is never worse than the nucleation-enhanced performance of prior models without replenishment.

To highlight another advantage of this model with replenishment, the abundance of S plays only a minor role, as confirmed in Fig. 4D. Provided εS′ is large enough for both subsystems to nucleate droplets (more than 7% of ϕS′0 for the considered decision time), we see little consequence of having an abundance of S in the system. This is in stark contrast to the previous scenarios where A and A′ were not replenished. There, a fine control was required on the choice for the initial concentration of S to maximize the accuracy of the process. The scenario considered in this section, where the two phase separating systems compete for a common pool of S and replenish A upon forming droplets, can in principle be employed by cells to distinguish concentration differences of 1% in minutes.

1.6. Winner-Takes-It-All: Sensing Through First Nucleation Event.

We have explored how the competition for S and replenishing of A and A′ allows for accurate sensing of relative concentrations through the nucleation and growth of droplets. We conclude with results from a simpler physical picture. Instead of waiting for droplets to form and resources to deplete, a cell may instead wait only for a single droplet to form. This first nucleation event could trigger downstream processes on timescales much quicker than that of the nucleation and growth process, effectively making a decision before nucleating another droplet. The first nucleation event is stochastic in nature, so the system will never truly be able to perfectly determine which concentration is larger from the first droplet. Regardless, we explore how this first-nucleation sensing mechanism performs when comparing multiple systems as schematized in Fig. 5A.

Fig. 5.

A multi-part figure shows: A) schematics, B) probability curves, C) accuracy curves for first nucleation event sensing mechanism.

Sensing from first nucleation event. (A) Schematic of inferring higher concentrations from the first nucleation event. (B) Probability of the ϕ system nucleating before ϕ′ and before decision time Tf as a function of concentration differences between A and A’ (x-axis) and supersaturation of S for different values of εS′. (C) Sensing accuracy compared to other scenarios. First nucleation event sensing, plotted in black, is just as accurate as methods including growth of droplets in the nucleation-limited regime (color scheme same as in Fig. 4B). The accuracy peaks at ≈85% accuracy but requires close control on the supersaturation ϵS to reach this optimum.

The probability that one subsystem nucleates before the other and before a fixed, finite decision time Tf is given by a ratio of the nucleation rates in the model. Eq. 6 gives us the nucleation rate of each system, knuc(ϕ) and knuc(ϕ′), as a function of the critical radius Rc(α), where the composition α itself depends on the concentrations in each system ϕ and ϕ′. The probability PA that the subsystem ϕ nucleates before ϕ′ before time Tf is then given by

PA=knuc(ϕ)knuc(ϕ)+knuc(ϕ′)1−e−(knuc(ϕ)+knuc(ϕ′))Tf, [9]

where the term in the square brackets accounts for the fact that no droplets may nucleate before Tf.

The accuracy of this first-nucleation sensing mechanism described in Eq. 9 is illustrated in Fig. 5B, where we see a similar shifting and flattening of the signal-response-like curves as the supersaturation of S (defined through εS′) increases. In Fig. 5C, we compare the resulting accuracy with the other sensing mechanisms. As expected, all mechanisms perform equally in the nucleation-limited regime, where the ability of each sensing mechanism is limited by the rare nucleation of A droplets. Surprisingly, when S is more abundant, the first nucleation event does as well, if not better, than droplet-proportion sensing in the absence of A replenishment (orange and yellow curves). This is striking because first-nucleation sensing is happening on a much shorter timescale: in seconds rather than minutes. However, the maximum accuracy is less than that of the optimal method with competition and replenishment described in the previous section, and requires careful tuning of the supersaturation of S.

2. Discussion

We have outlined generic constraints and optimality considerations for sensing relative concentration differences through phase separation. Building on classical approaches (7, 41–43), we first derived a mathematical model for nucleation and growth dynamics in a ternary mixture of fluids A, S, and a solvent, where fluids A and S phase separate through attractive interactions with one another. We then demonstrated that phase separation alone has limited accuracy when sensing concentrations near the phase transition due to rare nucleation events within the framework of classical nucleation theory. The energy barrier which the system must overcome to form droplets diverges as the concentrations approach those at the transition. Our results indicate a clear accuracy–time trade-off for precise sensing through the formation of droplets in a fluid mixture. From nucleation rate estimates for protein condensates in the experiments of refs. 15 and 22, εA and εS that are less than 5 to 10% of the transition concentrations will not reliably nucleate droplets within a decision time of 10 min.

We then proposed a solution to overcome this: the introduction of a second subsystem as a measuring stick. In the current work, we assumed that the two subsystems were physically separated, but a more general model might consider a quaternary mixture of A, A′, and S in a single system. For this case, some repulsive interaction between A and A′ would be needed to drive distinct A- and A′-droplets along the lines of the current work and this extra interaction could affect the stability of the homogeneous phase. We believe that such a quaternary mixture will resemble the dynamics of the two subsystems exchanging S of the current work, but further analysis of how concentration discrimination can occur through phase separation in multicomponent fluid mixtures would be of great interest.

We first considered the dynamics of two independent subsystems, each ternary mixtures described by the same free energy, but at different concentrations of A in the mixture. We asked how accurately a system can sense the difference in concentration in A in each subsystem from sampling a molecule from a random droplet across the two systems. We found concentrations could be discriminated with a higher accuracy than at equilibrium if phase separation is in a nearly-nucleation-limited regime. This kinetic regime of high accuracy is defined by an optimal amount of S that results in 80% accuracy for concentration fluctuations of 2%.

A further improvement was found by allowing the exchange of S molecules between subsystems (homogenizing the volume fraction of S outside of droplets in each system) which generated a positive feedback mechanism that amplified concentration differences. The exchange of S ensures convergence of the phase equilibria across the two subsystems, ensuring a larger dense phase in the system with more A as demonstrated in Fig. 4C. These antagonistic interactions between subsystems resemble mRNA competition during p granule segregation (16, 58), stress granule formation (59), and competition for signaling molecules during growth-factor signaling at the plasma membrane (60). We highlight how these interactions drive higher sensitivity when distinguishing signals.

We then proposed a minimal mechanism for optimal sensing of relative concentration through phase separation between two subsystems: competition for S augmented by the replenishing of A upon droplet formation. This replenishing may be realized with a semipermeable membrane (allowing A and A′, but not S, to be exchanged with a bath to maintain concentrations) or through different diffusivities in solution (A and A′ diffusing faster than S). Another potential source of this replenishment comes in the form of active chemical reactions, the role of which are currently under much scrutiny in the formation of biomolecular condensates (7). The production of A and A′ molecules through reactions can counteract the depletion due to droplet formation: active reactions would in principle allow for kinetics unrestricted by equilibrium thermodynamics. These reactions are also capable of preferentially suppressing or enhancing nucleation rates (61, 62); these capabilities could be further leveraged to enhance sensing. At long times, only one subsystem (the one with more A) will sustain droplets in this scenario, as these interactions drive one system out of the phase separating regime, as demonstrated in Fig. 4C.

We confirmed through simulations that this set-up works well also for finite decision times, distinguishing concentration differences of ±1% with close to perfect accuracy within 10 min for our proposed nucleation kinetics (15, 22). This timescale is shorter than those reported for other mechanisms: the ultrasensitive response in Cdc25C activation regulated by the phosphorylation of Cdk1, a classic example of Koshland-Goldbeter kinetics (32, 33), function on timescales of at least 30 min (34). We propose that condensate formation provides an alternative mechanism that works in a fraction of the time, though precise measures of timescales will naturally vary between specific sensing systems.

Finally, we took a step back and asked how well the statistics of the first nucleation event across the subsystems captured the ability to discriminate concentrations: This event can happen on timescales of seconds and offers a route to very fast sensing through phase separation. We observed a high accuracy for fine-tuned supersaturation of S, but it was always outperformed by the optimal scenario which exploits the growth of droplets. These findings suggest that nucleation alone can serve as a rapid sensing mechanism, an idea explored in experimental work where the nucleation of large molecular assemblies or phases was used to amplify sensitivity to molecular inputs (63, 64). Related designs based on nucleation in multicomponent systems have been proposed as molecular neural networks capable of distinguishing patterns in the relative concentrations of dozens of molecules (39, 40). Together, these results point at the potential for engineered condensate-based systems to perform fast and accurate decision-making in synthetic or cellular contexts.

While our model was chosen as a most general picture for biomolecular condensates, an illustrative biological example of our results arises in the context of transcriptional condensates (11). Phase separation is argued to form droplets mediating interactions between distant genes enabling correlated transcriptional behavior. Above, we concluded that competition for S among subsystems enhances the selectivity of droplet formation. This behavior closely parallels the phenomenon of transcriptional squelching (65, 66), in which the overexpression of a transcription factor leads to excessive recruitment of RNA polymerase, mediator and other transcriptional proteins, thereby indirectly suppressing the expression of nontargeted genes. This agrees with our model, where we see that when A is more abundant than A′, we see an amplification in the volume for A droplets (transcriptional hubs for pathway A) that form compared to A′ due to competition for S (e.g. RNA polymerase). Transcriptional condensates also compete for binding sites along the DNA. Additionally, constraining our phase separation model by fixing a finite substrate for forming droplets changes the physics described in this paper (67–69) and may further help to distinguish concentrations in transcriptional regulation by introducing more competition to the system.

Our key idea of introducing a second system that competes for a shared molecular resource can be tested in in vitro systems. Competitive, winner-take-all mechanisms have previously been studied both theoretically (70, 71) and experimentally (40, 72, 73) as a means of sharpening responses in molecular systems. For example, the experiments of ref. 40 involved competing crystalline phases (rather than liquid phases in our system), they showed a higher sensitivity to input concentrations due to the depletion of a shared component (analogous to S in our system). While these prior studies exploit competition for a shared molecular resource through various mechanisms, this work focuses on competition in the context of phase separating droplets and thus guidances for similar in vitro experiments with competing liquid phases.

Another interesting extension of our work is to explore how phase separation might support bistable switching. In transcriptional regulation, this type of switch may provide dynamic control over activator-repressor behavior, reminiscent of genetic toggle switches as engineered in synthetic biology (74). Physically, what sets the timescale for a system initialized with all A-droplets to transition to a state dominated by A′-droplets through passive phase separation dynamics? In Fig. 4C, a system that has equilibrated (so supersaturated concentrations are at the black dots) could then receive an influx of A, pushing the dot of the blue curve to the right of the dot of the red curve. After some timescale, droplet nucleation will drive composition of all droplets from one type to the other, where the bistability arises in the sense that there is a nucleation energy barrier to start making the new droplets. Quantifying how these timescales relate to those of the current work and other bistable mechanisms remains an open problem but could further establish phase separation as a fast, robust, and reliable sensing mechanism.

Supplementary Material

Appendix 01 (PDF)

pnas.2520040123.sapp.pdf (916.2KB, pdf)

Acknowledgments

The study was supported by Agence Nationale de la Recherche grant no ANR-22-CE95-0005-01 “DISTANT” (H.A., A.M.W., and T.M.) and by the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative Theory Initiative. A.M. acknowledges support from national institute of general medical sciences of the NIH under award no. R35GM151211, NSF through the Center for Living Systems (grant no. 2317138). We thank Erik Winfree, Eric Dufresne, David Zwicker for discussions.

Author contributions

A.M., A.M.W., and T.M. designed research; H.A. performed research; H.A., M.R., A.M., A.M.W., and T.M. contributed new reagents/analytic tools; H.A., M.R., A.M., A.M.W., and T.M. analyzed data; and H.A., A.M., A.M.W., and T.M. wrote the paper.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interest.

Footnotes

This article is a PNAS Direct Submission.

Contributor Information

Arvind Murugan, Email: amurugan@uchicago.edu.

Aleksandra M. Walczak, Email: aleksandra.walczak@phys.ens.fr.

Thierry Mora, Email: tmora@phys.ens.fr.

Data, Materials, and Software Availability

All study data are included in the article and/or SI Appendix.

Supporting Information

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Appendix 01 (PDF)

pnas.2520040123.sapp.pdf (916.2KB, pdf)

Data Availability Statement

All study data are included in the article and/or SI Appendix.


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