Skip to main content

This is a preprint.

It has not yet been peer reviewed by a journal.

The National Library of Medicine is running a pilot to include preprints that result from research funded by NIH in PMC and PubMed.

bioRxiv logoLink to bioRxiv
[Preprint]. 2026 Feb 12:2026.02.12.705519. [Version 1] doi: 10.64898/2026.02.12.705519

Complete definition of how mutations affect antibodies used to prevent RSV

Cassandra AL Simonich 1,2,3, Teagan E McMahon 1, Lucas Kampman 1, Helen Y Chu 4, Jesse D Bloom 1,5,*
PMCID: PMC12918976  PMID: 41727151

Abstract

New antibodies targeting the F protein of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) have substantially reduced infant hospitalizations. However, viral resistance is a concern: one antibody failed clinical trials due to emergence of a resistant strain, and sporadic resistance mutations to the most widely used antibody (nirsevimab) have been identified in breakthrough infections. Here we define how RSV F mutations affect antibody neutralization. We first provide a biophysical model of how the buffering effect of bivalent IgG binding combines with differences in monovalent Fab potency to explain why nirsevimab resistance mutations are more common in subtype B than subtype A RSV strains. We then perform pseudovirus deep mutational scanning to safely measure how nearly all mutations to F affect its cell entry function and neutralization by the IgG and Fab forms of nirsevimab, clesrovimab, and several other key antibodies. We use these measurements to enable real-time surveillance of RSV sequences for antibody resistance, and identify rare strains with sporadic resistance mutations. Overall, our work improves understanding of the mechanisms by which viral mutations impact antibody neutralization, enables monitoring for natural RSV strains resistant to antibodies of public-health importance, and can help guide development of future antibodies with resilience to viral escape.

Introduction

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of infant hospitalization in the United States and second-leading cause of infant mortality globally14. Two highly potent, extended half-life monoclonal antibodies, nirsevimab and clesrovimab, are now licensed and recommended for the prevention of severe RSV disease in young infants510. Nirsevimab has demonstrated ~75–80% effectiveness against RSV-associated hospitalizations of infants1114 and (along with maternal vaccination) has appreciably reduced the number of infants hospitalized in countries where it is widely used15. Additional antibodies are under development including for low- and middle-income countries where RSV is a major cause of infant mortality1619.

Nirsevimab and clesrovimab target the prefusion conformation of the RSV fusion protein (F)2022. While F is less variable than the surface proteins of influenza and SARS-CoV-2, it still evolves sufficiently fast to pose challenges for monoclonal antibodies2325. Regeneron’s anti-F antibody suptavumab failed a Phase 3 clinical trial because it was escaped by mutations in circulating RSV-B strains26. While nirsevimab has now been in use in the United States for two years and retained high effectiveness through the second season, sporadic strains with resistance mutations have been identified, particularly in breakthrough infections of individuals who had received the antibody25,2734. It is unknown whether more resistant variants will emerge with broader use of monoclonal antibodies, which makes surveillance of RSV sequences for potential escape mutations an important public health priority28,32,3446. However, surveillance is hindered by incomplete knowledge of how F mutations affect key antibodies, as prior studies have identified only a limited set of resistance mutations by passaging lab-adapted RSV in the presence of antibody22,30,47 or looking for mutations in antibody binding footprints28,3032,34.

Here we provide a complete quantitative understanding of how RSV mutations affect antibodies by combining a biophysical model of bivalent IgG neutralization with deep mutational scanning measurements of how all possible amino-acid mutations affect F’s cell entry function and neutralization by the IgG and Fab forms of key antibodies. Our work explains why nirsevimab resistance mutations are more common in one of the two RSV subtypes, defines the potential for escape from existing and candidate future clinical antibodies, and provides an experimentally-informed sequence surveillance platform to rapidly identify antibody-resistant natural RSV strains.

Results

Known nirsevimab resistance mutations differentially impact RSV subtypes A and B due to buffering by bivalent antibody binding

Clinical surveillance of individuals who received prophylaxis and experimental studies performed for resistance analysis for FDA licensure have found that viral mutations that escape nirsevimab are more common and impactful in subtype B than subtype A RSV strains25,2734. This difference has been puzzling, since nirsevimab has a near-identical binding footprint on the F proteins of subtypes A and B21, which have similar structures20,48 and ~90% protein sequence identity49.

We hypothesized that the greater prevalence and impact of escape mutations in RSV B is because nirsevimab binds with lower affinity to the F from subtype B versus subtype A33,50. IgG antibodies, which are produced by the human body and are also the form in which nirsevimab is administered, have two arms that can bind to the viral antigen, but antibodies can also be artificially produced in a Fab form with just one binding arm. We built a biophysical model of how mutations that reduce the monovalent Fab affinity of an antibody for a viral antigen impact neutralization by both Fab and bivalent IgG (Supplementary Appendix). The key insight of this model is that when an antibody’s Fab affinity is sufficiently high, viral mutations that decrease Fab affinity do not measurably decrease IgG neutralization because bivalent binding keeps nearly all the IgG bound to even the mutant virus5153 (Figure 1A). We used the model to predict how the IgG and Fab forms of an antibody would neutralize a virus to which the Fab had high or moderate affinities, using parameter estimates that roughly reflect nirsevimab against RSV subtypes A and B (Figure 1B).

Figure 1. RSV F mutations cause more nirsevimab escape in subtype B versus subtype A because the ability of bivalent IgG binding to buffer mutations depends on Fab affinity.

Figure 1.

(A) Bivalent IgG binding buffers the effects of mutations that reduce monovalent Fab affinity when the Fab has sufficiently high affinity for the viral antigen, but how this buffering vanishes if the Fab affinity is more modest. (B) Predictions of a quantitative biophysical model (see Supplementary Appendix) of how a viral mutation that reduces Fab affinity affects both IgG and Fab neutralization of a viral strain to which the Fab has high or low affinity. When the Fab has high affinity, mutations that reduce affinity do not appreciably reduce IgG neutralization. (C) Experimental data showing how two known RSV subtype B nirsevimab escape mutations, K68Q and (K/N)201S, affect neutralization by nirsevimab IgG and Fab of pseudoviruses expressing RSV F from subtype A (Long strain) or subtype B (B1 strain). Nirsevimab has a higher affinity for subtype A than subtype B33,50. Consistent with the biophysical model, the mutations reduce Fab neutralization for both subtypes, but only reduce IgG neutralization for subtype B. Points represent the mean and standard error of replicate measurements.

We then experimentally measured nirsevimab’s neutralization of pseudovirus expressing RSV F from subtype A or B with two previously described nirsevimab escape mutations K68Q and (K/N)201S28 (Figure 1C). The F-protein mutations reduced Fab neutralization of both subtypes A and B but only reduced IgG neutralization for subtype B, and the experimental data were consistent with the biophysical model (Figure 1B,C). These results suggest that nirsevimab escape mutations are more prevalent and impactful in subtype B than A because bivalent IgG binding buffers viral mutations in subtype A due to nirsevimab’s higher affinity for that subtype33,50. A corollary, which we build on in this paper, is that it can be more generalizable across viral strains to measure how mutations affect Fab as well as IgG neutralization, since the buffering effect of bivalent binding manifests for IgG but not Fab.

Experimental measurements of functional constraint on all F mutations

To quantify the constraint on RSV F, we measured how nearly all amino-acid mutations to F’s ectodomain affect its ability to mediate virion cell entry. To do this, we used pseudovirus deep mutational scanning54 to quantify the ability of each mutant to enable F-pseudotyped lentiviral particles to infect 293T cells expressing the TIM1 attachment factor55 (see Methods and Supplemental Figures 1 and 2). These pseudoviruses encode no viral proteins other than F and so can only undergo a single round of cell entry, making them a safe tool to study mutations to F without the use of actual pathogenic virus. We performed the deep mutational scanning using F from the lab-adapted subtype A strain of RSV termed “Long” after the name of the patient from whom it was isolated in the 1950s56. We created two independent F-expressing pseudovirus libraries, each of which contained nearly all possible amino-acid mutations to F’s ectodomain (Supplemental Figure 1). Most F mutants contained just a single amino-acid mutation, although some contained no or multiple mutations (Supplemental Figure 1). We quantified the effects of mutations as the log2 cell entry of each mutant relative to the unmutated F, using global epistasis models57,58 to jointly analyze the single and multi-mutant data. Negative values indicate a mutation impairs cell entry, while positive values indicate it improves cell entry.

Measurements of how all mutations affect F’s cell entry function are shown in Figure 2A and the interactive plots at https://dms-vep.org/RSV_Long_F_DMS/cell_entry.html. As expected, variants with only synonymous mutations had wildtype-like cell entry scores of zero, variants with stop codon mutations had highly negative scores, and variants with amino-acid mutations had scores ranging from wildtype-like to highly negative (Supplemental Figure 2B). We performed three experimental replicates with each of the two independent libraries, and the measured cell entry effects were highly correlated across replicates and libraries (Supplemental Figure 2C-D); we report the average across all replicates for both libraries. We validated that the deep mutational scanning measurements were highly correlated with the infectious titer of pseudoviruses expressing individual F mutations spanning a range of effects (r = 0.92; Figure 2B).

Figure 2. Effects of mutations to RSV F on its cell entry function.

Figure 2.

(A) Effects of single amino acid mutations on pseudovirus entry in 293T-TIM1 cells as measured by deep mutational scanning. Each box represents the effect of a specific mutation, with colors indicating decreased (red), unchanged (white), or slightly increased (blue) cell entry relative to the unmutated F. Mutations not reliably measured in our experiments are indicated by gray boxes, and the wildtype amino acid in the parental subtype A Long strain at each site is indicated with an ‘x’. See https://dms-vep.org/RSV_Long_F_DMS/cell_entry.html for an interactive version of this heatmap. (B) Correlation between mutation effects on cell entry measured by deep mutational scanning and pseudovirus titer in a validation assay using F single-mutant pseudoviruses. Each point represents the mean of two replicate measurements. (C) Average effect of mutations at each site mapped onto the prefusion F trimer structure (PDB 5UDC21), viewed from the top and side. Each protomer is colored with a separate color with darker shading indicating more deleterious effects on cell entry. The nirsevimab and clesrovimab binding footprints are outlined on one monomer of the trimer. (D) Distribution of mutation effects on cell entry at sites that comprise the epitopes of nirsevimab and clesrovimab (defined as residues that bury ≥5 Å2 of surface area upon Fab binding). Each point represents the effect of an individual mutation (negative values indicate worse cell entry), and the thick black lines indicate the median. (E) Distribution of mutation effects on cell entry for mutations at sites that comprise broadly defined antigenic regions59.

Many regions of the F protein including the fusion peptide are highly constrained with most mutations deleterious for cell entry (Figure 2A). The p27 fragment is cleaved from the mature protein to yield the active form of F; the basic residues comprising the cleavage motifs at each end of p27 are intolerant to mutations whereas the cleaved p27 fragment itself is tolerant to mutations (Figure 2A). The epitope targeted by nirsevimab at the apex of the trimer is more mutationally tolerant than the epitope targeted by clesrovimab on the lateral face of the trimer (Figure 2C-D). Of the broadly defined antigenic regions59,60, region 0 is the most mutationally tolerant whereas regions III and IV are more constrained (Figure 2E).

Most F mutations observed in natural RSV sequences relative to the lab-adapted parental strain used in our deep mutational scanning are measured to have minimal impact on cell entry (Supplemental Figure 3), as expected since there is strong natural selection for F to retain its cell entry function. The main exception is that cell entry is impaired by two mutations (S99N and T101P) that revert sites near an F proteolytic cleavage motif from their identities in the lab-adapted strain to amino acids commonly observed in natural sequences (Supplemental Figure 3). This exception highlights the fact that there can be discrepancies between how mutations affect pseudovirus entry in cell culture versus real-world viral fitness: presumably the N99 and P101 identities in natural sequences are better for authentic viral infection of human airway cells even if S99 and T101 give better pseudovirus entry into a cell line in the lab.

Measurement of how all F mutations affect nirsevimab neutralization

We next measured how all functionally tolerated F mutations affect neutralization by the antibody nirsevimab, which was the first antibody widely approved for RSV prophylaxis for infants5,6,9,10. We made these measurements by incubating the pseudovirus libraries with a range of antibody concentrations and quantifying the ability of each variant to infect cells at each antibody concentration, converting sequencing counts to fraction pseudovirus infectivity at each concentration using a spike-in standard (Supplemental Figure 4A)54. We measured the effects of mutations on neutralization by both IgG and Fab forms of nirsevimab, since the biophysical model described above suggests that Fab measurements are more generalizable across genetic backgrounds due to the absence of affinity-dependent buffering of bivalent IgG neutralization. We made two replicate measurements for each of the two independent pseudovirus libraries; throughout we report the average across replicates.

The mutations that affect neutralization by nirsevimab are at a subset of sites from 64 to 73 and 201 to 216 (Figure 3A-B and interactive plots at https://dms-vep.org/RSV_Long_F_DMS/nirsevimab_neutralization.html). These sites are all in or near the structurally determined nirsevimab binding site (Figure 3C). Some mutations at these sites (eg, 64T, 65E, 68Q/N/E, 201S/T, 203I, 208S/D/Y) have been previously shown to affect nirsevimab neutralization25,2731,33,47 or fusion inhibition (eg, 64M/65R, 64V/65E, 68I, 204S, 205S, 208I/K/Y)32,34. However, our deep mutational scanning identified numerous mutations that reduce neutralization that have not previously been reported in the literature, including mutations to additional amino-acid identities at sites 64, 65, 68, 201, 204, 205, 208 and 209 and mutations at sites not previously reported to affect nirsevimab neutralization, including 67, 73, 206–207, 210–211, and 215–216 (Figure 3B).

Figure 3. Effects of mutations to RSV F on neutralization by nirsevimab IgG and Fab.

Figure 3.

(A) Total decrease in neutralization from all mutations at each site for nirsevimab IgG or Fab as measured by deep mutational scanning. See https://dms-vep.org/RSV_Long_F_DMS/nirsevimab_neutralization.html for interactive plots that show the effects of all mutations. (B) Heatmaps showing effects on neutralization of mutations within the epitope of nirsevimab. Each box represents the effect of a single mutation, with positive values indicating decreased neutralization. Dark gray indicates mutations that are too deleterious for cell entry to measure their effect on neutralization. The wildtype amino acid in the subtype A Long strain used for the deep mutational scanning at each site is indicated with an ‘x’. (C) Pre-fusion RSV F trimer (PDB 5UDC21) in complex with nirsevimab Fab (gray cartoon) colored by the total effect of mutations at each site on neutralization by nirsevimab Fab. (D) Neutralization curves for nirsevimab IgG or Fab versus pseudovirus expressing the indicated mutants of the subtype A Long strain F. Curves for K68Q and K201T are duplicated from Figure 1. (E) Correlation of mutation effects on neutralization by nirsevimab in the neutralization assays versus deep mutational scanning for IgG or Fab for mutants of the subtype A Long strain F. Black dashed line shows the correlation line. Horizontal dashed line indicates limit of detection. (F) Neutralization curves for nirsevimab IgG or Fab versus pseudovirus expressing the indicated mutants of F from the subtype B strain B1. Curves for K68Q and N201T are duplicated from Figure 1. (G) Comparison of fold change in IC50 between nirsevimab IgG and Fab for mutations in subtype A background (Long strain) and subtype B background (B1 strain). Dashed gray lines show 1:1. Horizontal and vertical dashed lines indicate the limit of detection.

To validate the deep mutational scanning, we generated pseudoviruses carrying key mutations in F from the subtype A Long strain and measured their impact in neutralization assays with both nirsevimab IgG and Fab (Figure 3D). The effects of mutations on neutralization IC50 were highly correlated with the deep mutational scanning (Figure 3E). Note that these assays validate the effect on nirsevimab neutralization of some of the resistance mutations newly identified by our deep mutational scanning (eg, 73N, 207E, 209D/Q, 210T, 211R, 215K).

To test if our deep mutational scanning of how mutations affect nirsevimab Fab neutralization of F from a subtype A strain could be extrapolated to a subtype B strain, we generated pseudoviruses carrying key mutations in the F of a subtype B strain (B1, a lab-adapted strain from the 1980s61). Most of the mutations that reduced Fab neutralization of the subtype A strain in the deep mutational scanning also reduced both Fab and IgG neutralization of the subtype B strain (Figure 3F and Supplemental Figure 4B-C). Consistent with the biophysical model in the first Results section, deep mutational scanning measurements of how subtype A mutations affect Fab neutralization correlate more strongly with both IgG and Fab neutralization of subtype B mutants than do deep mutational scanning measurements performed with IgG (Supplemental Figure 4C). The biophysical model also predicts that F mutations will cause a greater reduction in Fab than IgG neutralization for subtype A, but affect IgG and Fab neutralization similarly for subtype B since there is bivalent IgG buffering for the higher-affinity subtype A binding but not the lower-affinity subtype B binding; our measurements validate this prediction (Figure 3G). Note that S211R slightly increases subtype B neutralization despite decreasing subtype A neutralization for both Fab and IgG; for this mutation there must be additional background-specific differences between subtypes.

Our deep mutational scanning also identifies the F sequence differences responsible for the lower nirsevimab Fab potency to subtype B than subtype A. Most subtype A strains have N at site 67 and K at 209, while most subtype B strains have T at 67 and Q or R at 209. In the deep mutational scanning, N67T and K209Q reduce neutralization by nirsevimab Fab. We confirmed that mutating the subtype A F to the subtype B identities at these sites (N67T and K209Q) reduce neutralization by nirsevimab Fab, while the reverse mutations in subtype B (T67N and Q209K) increase neutralization (Supplemental Figure 4D). The effects of these swap mutations are much larger on Fab versus IgG neutralization, consistent with the biophysical model which posits that the nirsevimab affinity for F is sufficiently high that bivalent binding largely buffers mutation effects on IgG neutralization (Supplemental Figure 4D).

Measurement of how all F mutations affect clesrovimab neutralization

Clesrovimab, which targets a different region of F than nirsevimab, was recently approved as another option for RSV prevention for infants5,7,9,10,62. We measured the effects of F mutations on neutralization by clesrovimab IgG and Fab, performing two replicate deep mutational scanning experiments for each of the two independent pseudovirus libraries.

The mutations that most strongly affect clesrovimab neutralization occur at a subset of sites between 426–470 (Figure 4A-B). These sites are all within or near the structurally determined clesrovimab binding site (Figure 4C and interactive plots at https://dms-vep.org/RSV_Long_F_DMS/clesrovimab_neutralization.html). Some mutations identified by our deep mutational scanning have been previously reported to affect clesrovimab neutralization (e.g., 443P, 445N, and 446E/R/W22,62). But we also identified a number of new mutations affecting clesrovimab, including additional mutations at sites 443, 445, and 446, as well as mutations at sites not previously associated with clesrovimab resistance, including 426, 429, 433, and 470 (Figure 4B).

Figure 4. Effects of mutations to RSV F on neutralization by clesrovimab IgG and Fab.

Figure 4.

(A) Total decrease in neutralization from all mutations at each site for clesrovimab IgG or Fab as measured by deep mutational scanning. See https://dms-vep.org/RSV_Long_F_DMS/clesrovimab_neutralization.html for interactive plots that show the effects of all mutations. (B) Heatmaps showing effects on neutralization of mutations within the epitope of clesrovimab. Each box represents the effect of a single mutation, with positive values indicating decreased neutralization. Dark gray indicates mutations that are too deleterious for cell entry to measure their effect on neutralization. Light gray shading indicates mutations that were not measured. The wildtype amino acid in the subtype A Long strain used for the deep mutational scanning at each site is indicated with an ‘x’. (C) Pre-fusion RSV F trimer (PDB 6OUS22) in complex with clesrovimab Fab (gray cartoon) colored by the total effect of mutations at each site on neutralization by clesrovimab Fab. (D) Neutralization curves for clesrovimab IgG and Fab of pseudovirus expressing F with point mutations in subtype A (Long) or subtype B (B1) background. Individual mutations were selected to span a range of effects on neutralization. (E) Correlation of mutation effects on neutralization by clesrovimab IgG and Fab between deep mutational scanning and traditional pseudovirus neutralization assays with the indicated F mutants in subtype A (Long strain) or subtype B (B1 strain). Horizontal and vertical lines indicate limits of detection.

To validate the deep mutational scanning, we generated pseudoviruses carrying key mutations in the context of F from both subtype A (Long strain) and subtype B (B1 strain) and measured their impact on neutralization by both clesrovimab IgG and Fab (Figure 4D-E). The effects of mutations on neutralization IC50 were highly correlated with the deep mutational scanning for both subtypes (Figure 4E).

Mutations that moderately reduce clesrovimab neutralization had a greater impact on Fab than IgG neutralization for both subtypes (Figure 4A,B,D; for example, R429M/S). This tendency for moderate-effect mutations to reduce Fab neutralization more than IgG neutralization is also observed for nirsevimab against subtype A but not subtype B (Figure 3G). These observations are consistent with the biophysical model of how bivalent IgG buffering reduces the impact of mutations on IgG neutralization when the Fab affinity is sufficiently high (which is true for clesrovimab against both subtypes A and B, but for nirsevimab only against subtype A). Indeed, unlike for nirsevimab, clesrovimab Fab has similarly high neutralization potencies against both subtypes (Supplemental Figure 5A), and the effects of mutations on clesrovimab neutralization are well correlated across subtypes (Supplemental Figure 5B).

Our deep mutational scanning found fewer sites where mutations strongly reduced clesrovimab neutralization compared to nirsevimab. Part of the reason may be differences in functional constraint: it is only possible to measure the impact on neutralization of F mutations that retain at least some cell entry function, and our deep mutational scanning shows that mutations in the clesrovimab epitope tend to be more deleterious to cell entry than mutations in the nirsevimab epitope (Figure 2C-D). Indeed, even among mutations that retain sufficient cell entry to measure their impact on neutralization, the ones that reduce clesrovimab neutralization tend to impair cell entry more than the ones that reduce nirsevimab neutralization (Supplemental Figure 5C). However, it should be noted that there are still some mutations that reduce clesrovimab neutralization without impairing cell entry.

Phenotypically-informed surveillance of natural RSV sequences for antibody resistance

Now that nirsevimab and clesrovimab are in widespread use, surveillance for natural RSV strains with resistance to these antibodies is a public-health priority29,32,34. However, although large numbers of human RSV infections are regularly being sequenced2830,32,34,3739,45,46,6366, interpretation of these sequences has been limited by incomplete knowledge of which mutations affect antibody resistance. Our deep mutational scanning can help solve this problem by enabling immediate assessment of all RSV sequences for potential antibody resistance. Specifically, we calculated two escape scores for each RSV sequence: the summed effect on neutralization of all its F mutations relative to the subtype A Long strain used in the deep mutational scanning, and the effect of the single mutation that caused the greatest reduction in neutralization. We integrated these scores into Nextstrain67 phylogenetic trees of RSV showing the latest sequence data from Pathoplexus68. Since Nextstrain subsamples the many available F sequences for effective visualization, we also created new builds that ensure that the subsampling includes sequences with high escape scores. Interactive phylogenetic trees that can be colored by the escape scores and are updated to include the latest available sequences are at https://nextstrain.org/rsv/b/F-antibody-escape/6y?c=Nirsevimab-Fab_total_escape. Static images based on further subsampled versions of these trees are shown in Figure 5A-B and Supplemental Figure 6A-B.

Figure 5. Sporadic natural RSV strains have reduced neutralization by nirsevimab or clesrovimab.

Figure 5.

(A) Phylogenetic trees of subtype B RSV F sequences colored by nirsevimab escape scores computed as the summed effects of all mutations as measured by the deep mutational scanning. Strains chosen for validation of nirsevimab neutralization are indicated by boxes and labeled with the Pathoplexus identifier and top resistance mutation. See https://nextstrain.org/rsv/b/F-antibody-escape/6y?c=Nirsevimab-Fab_total_escape for interactive Nextstrain trees that show more sequences and are updated in real time. (B) Tree of subtype A RSV F sequences colored by clesrovimab escape scores. (C) Neutralization curves showing nirsevimab IgG or Fab neutralization of pseudoviruses expressing F from the subtype B strains labeled on the tree. The strains with high escape scores all have reduced neutralization relative to a control strain with a low escape score55. (D) Neutralization curves showing clesrovimab IgG or Fab neutralization of pseudoviruses expressing F from the subtype A strains labeled on the tree. Strains with high escape scores all have reduced neutralization relative to a control strain, except a strain (PP_001WGC0) with only a moderate escape score that shows reduced Fab not but not IgG. See Supplemental Figure 6 for trees and validating neutralization assays for subtype A strains with nirsevimab resistance and subtype B strains with clesrovimab resistance.

Sequences with high nirsevimab or clesrovimab escape scores were rare (<1% of all sequences) and distributed across the phylogenetic trees, suggesting resistance mutations have arisen sporadically and not undergone sustained spread (Figure 5A-B, Supplemental Figure 6A-B, and https://nextstrain.org/rsv/b/F-antibody-escape/6y?c=Nirsevimab-Fab_total_escape). However, the fact that strains with resistance to nirsevimab or clesrovimab have emerged and transmitted in humans to a limited extent underscores the importance of continued surveillance.

To validate that natural sequences with high escape scores had reduced neutralization, we generated RSV pseudoviruses expressing the F proteins from strains with high escape scores for either nirsevimab or clesrovimab. Nearly all strains with high escape scores had reduced neutralization by nirsevimab or clesrovimab relative to control recent subtype A or B strains with low escape scores (Figure 5C-D and Supplemental Figure 6C-D). The natural strains with reduced neutralization include ones with resistance mutations newly identified by our deep mutational scanning (eg K68E, K201I and K201E for nirsevimab, and R429S for clesrovimab). An important caveat is that the escape scores assume resistance can be predicted from the additive effects of a strain’s mutations; our validation assays show that assumption usually holds, but we did identify one subtype A strain with a high nirsevimab escape score that did not have reduced neutralization, possibly due to an epistatic interaction of its S211R resistance mutation with a nearby R213S mutation (Supplemental Figure 6C).

Effect of mutations on neutralization by historical and candidate clinical antibodies

We next used deep mutational scanning to characterize mutations that affect neutralization by three additional antibodies of historical or potential future clinical relevance. Suptavumab failed a Phase 3 trial run from 2015 to 2017 due to a lack of efficacy against subtype B infections26. Our deep mutational scanning shows that the mutations that cause the greatest reduction in suptavumab neutralization are at sites 173 and 174 (Figure 6A-B). Starting in 2015, the L172Q and S173L mutations became prevalent in subtype B sequences (Figure 6C), and the reduced ability of suptavumab to neutralize strains with these two mutations was ultimately found to have led to the failed clinical trial26. Our deep mutational scanning shows that S173L reduces suptavumab neutralization (Figure 6B) while having minimal adverse impact on F’s cell entry function (Supplemental Figure 7A). Notably, S173L had already spread to roughly half of subtype B RSV sequences by the time the suptavumab Phase 3 clinical trial began in November of 201526, so its failure could have been anticipated if our deep mutational scanning had been available in advance.

Figure 6. Effects of mutations to RSV F on neutralization by suptavumab and RSM01.

Figure 6.

(A) Total decrease in neutralization from all mutations at each site for suptavumab IgG or Fab as measured by deep mutational scanning. See https://dms-vep.org/RSV_Long_F_DMS/suptavumab_neutralization.html for interactive plots that show the effects of all mutations. (B) Heatmaps showing effects on suptavumab neutralization of mutations at top escape sites. Each box represents the effect of a single mutation, with positive values indicating decreased neutralization. Dark gray indicates mutations that are too deleterious for cell entry to measure their effect on neutralization. Light gray shading indicates mutations that were not measured. The wildtype amino acid in the subtype A Long strain used for the deep mutational scanning at each site is indicated with an ‘x’. (C) Pre-fusion RSV F trimer (PDB 5UDC21) colored by the total effect of mutations at each site on neutralization by suptavumab Fab. (D) Phylogenetic trees of subtype B RSV F sequences colored by amino acid identities at sites 172 and 173. (E) Total decrease in neutralization from all mutations at each site for RSM01 IgG or Fab as measured by deep mutational scanning. See https://dms-vep.org/RSV_Long_F_DMS/RSM01_neutralization.html for interactive plots that show the effects of all mutations. (F) Heatmaps showing effects on RSM01 neutralization of mutations at top escape sites. (G) Pre-fusion RSV F trimer (PDB 5UDC21) colored by the total effect of mutations at each site on neutralization by RSM01 Fab or nirsevimab Fab.

We next profiled palivizumab, an older monoclonal antibody previously recommended only for high-risk (eg, pre-term) infants69 that has now largely been replaced by nirsevimab and clesrovimab since they have a longer half life and are more potent. Our deep mutational scanning showed palivizumab neutralization is strongly reduced by mutations at a subset of sites from 255 to 277 (Supplemental Figure 7A-D), consistent with prior work showing mutations at some of these sites cause palivizumab resistance24,7074.

Finally, we applied deep mutational scanning to RSM0116,47, a new highly potent antibody being developed for potential use in low and middle income countries where RSV is a leading cause of infant mortality. Mutations that reduce RSM01 neutralization occur at a subset of sites from 68–80 and 202–216 (Figure 6D-E). RSM01 targets a similar region of the RSV F trimer as nirsevimab16,47, but there is only partial overlap of their resistance mutations: for instance, mutations at sites 201, 204 and 208 cause a greater reduction in nirsevimab than RSM01 neutralization (Figure 6E-F, Figure 3A-B and Supplemental Figure 7A). A recent study that serially passaged replicative RSV in the presence of RSM01 selected an I206T/N262Y double mutant with partial antibody resistance47; our deep mutational scanning finds that I206T reduces RSM01 neutralization.

Discussion

We have used pseudovirus deep mutational scanning to measure how nearly all mutations to RSV F affect neutralization by clinically relevant antibodies. Prior work to identify resistance mutations, including for FDA-required resistance analyses33,62,75, has serially passaged authentic RSV in the presence of antibody22,30,47. Our strategy has two advantages over this classical approach: it characterizes all mutations rather than just identifying whichever ones stochastically arise during viral passage, and it does not generate mutants of actual replicative virus (pseudoviruses can only undergo a single round of cell entry). On the other hand, serial passaging can uncover resistance mediated by combinations of mutations, whereas deep mutational scanning only measures the effects of single mutations. However, in practice our deep mutational scanning identified all resistance mutations previously reported by serial-passage studies as well as a number of new mutations, some of which have already been observed in natural RSV sequences.

At first blush, the fact that we measured effects of mutations to F from only a single subtype A strain might seem a major limitation, especially given the perplexing prior observation that nirsevimab resistance is more prevalent in subtype B25,2734. But a key insight of our work is that subtype-dependent effects of mutations on nirsevimab neutralization are largely explained by biophysically modeling how bivalent IgG binding buffers mutations when Fab potency is sufficiently high. Because nirsevimab Fab has higher affinity for subtype A than subtype B RSV F33,50, mutations that moderately reduce Fab neutralization of both subtypes only reduce IgG neutralization of subtype B. Therefore, we measured how F mutations affected both IgG and Fab neutralization, and showed that the Fab measurements identified mutations that reduced IgG neutralization of subtype B despite having minimal impact on IgG neutralization of subtype A. This general biophysical principle extends beyond RSV and nirsevimab, and implies that mutations that modulate Fab potency without affecting IgG neutralization can nonetheless alter the impact of subsequent mutations on IgG neutralization. However, although bivalent IgG buffering explains much of the subtype-dependent effects of F mutations on nirsevimab neutralization, other more specific mechanisms can also shape how a mutation impacts different strains, and so the fact that our measurements were performed in a single genetic background remains a caveat.

An immediate benefit of our work is enabling real-time assessment of natural RSV sequences for antibody resistance. Because anti-RSV antibodies are of such public-health importance, genomic surveillance of RSV has become a major priority28,32,3443: there are now >60,000 sequences in public databases68 and the number is rapidly growing. However, interpretation of these sequences has been limited by the fact that prior experimental work only characterized how a small fraction of all F mutations affect antibody neutralization25,2734,47,62. We used our deep mutational scanning data to score all available sequences and identify sporadic nirsevimab or clesrovimab resistance, in some cases mediated by mutations not previously reported to impact those antibodies. We also implemented this resistance-scoring system into real-time Nextstrain phylogenetic trees (https://nextstrain.org/rsv/b/F-antibody-escape/6y?c=Nirsevimab-Fab_total_escape) and created a web interface with our experimental data (https://dms-vep.org/RSV_Long_F_DMS). These resources will enable continued assessment for resistance to current clinical antibodies as well as new ones under development like RSM0116,47. The tools developed here also can be applied to additional new candidate clinical antibodies76 or antibody cocktails77.

Fortunately, resistance to nirsevimab and clesrovimab is currently rare. Resistance could remain rare, or could eventually spread as happened with suptavumab resistance in RSV subtype B in 2015–201626 or oseltamivir (Tamiflu) resistance in H1N1 influenza in 200878. Resistance can spread incidentally if resistance mutations also enhance viral fitness by an unrelated mechanism like increasing transmissibility or reducing recognition by population immunity79,80; such incidental spread likely explains why suptavumub resistance emerged prior to Phase 3 clinical trials of that antibody. We have previously shown that some nirsevimab resistance mutations mildly reduce neutralization of RSV by polyclonal human sera55, raising the possibility that they could confer a small incidental benefit to the virus. Now that nirsevimab and clesrovimab are in clinical use, there is also direct evolutionary pressure for viral resistance that enables infection of treated individuals. However the infants receiving these antibodies are just a small fraction (<1%) of all people13,81. Resistance would therefore confer a real but small advantage, and so such a strain would spread only if the resistance mutations do not impair other aspects of transmissibility by even a small amount80. It is impossible to experimentally measure RSV transmissibility with such precision; although our deep mutational scanning measured how mutations affect F’s cell entry function, these experiments have a precision far worse than 1% and cell entry is only one of several F properties that contribute to transmissibility. Therefore, the best that can currently be done is to monitor for the real-world spread of resistance while continuing to develop new antibodies with distinct resistance profiles—both goals that our study helps advance.

Methods

Data availability

All data and interactive figures are publicly available:

Biosafety

We performed all experiments with pseudotyped lentiviral particles at biosafety level 283. These pseudoviruses do not encode any other viral proteins other than RSV F and therefore can only undergo a single round of cell entry and are not fully replicative infectious agents capable of causing disease. The other viral proteins needed for the formation of pseudotyped lentiviral particles (RSV G, and the lentiviral Gag/Pol, Tat, and Rev) were provided during pseudovirus production by transfection of four separate helper plasmids and are not encoded in the viral genome. Therefore, this study did not generate any mutants of actual replicative human pathogenic virus.

Antibodies

The RSV monoclonal antibodies nirsevimab21,33, clesrovimab22,62, palizumab69, suptavumab26 and RSM0116 were produced by Genscript as human IgG1 kappa isotypes and Fabs. Sequences were obtained from the referenced publications, structures in the Protein Data Bank or original patents. Palivizumab originated from patent US6955717B2. See Simonich et al. 2025 for antibody amino acid sequences55. The sequence of RSM01 was shared by the Gates Medical Research Institute.

Plasmids and primers

All plasmid and primer sequences used in this study can be found here (https://github.com/dms-vep/RSV_Long_F_DMS/tree/main/supplemental_data). All primers were ordered from Integrated DNA Technologies.

Cell line handling

All cell lines (293T, 293T-TIM155 and Takara Lenti-X 293T) were cultured in D10 media (Dulbecco’s Modified Eagle Medium supplemented with 10% heat-inactivated fetal bovine serum, 2 mM l-glutamine, 100 U/mL penicillin, and 100 mg/mL streptomycin) and cultured at 37°C with 5% CO2.

Design of deep mutational scanning libraries of RSV F

We created pseudovirus libraries containing nearly all possible single amino-acid mutations to the ectodomain of the RSV F protein. We used unmutated parental F from the Long strain of RSV, which is a subtype A, lab-adapted strain isolated in the 1950s56. We codon optimized this sequence using the GenSmart codon optimization tool offered by GenScript and removed four amino acids from the cytoplasmic tail to increase pseudovirus titers55. We used a lentiviral backbone that contains an extended Gag sequence to enhance packaging of lentiviral genomes as previously described84,85. The plasmid map for the lentiviral backbone with codon-optimized RSV F sequence is at: https://github.com/dms-vep/RSV_Long_F_DMS/blob/main/supplemental_data/plasmids/4821_v5lp_phru3_forind-extgag_RSV_Long_F_GS4Opt_4aaCTdel.gb.

We aimed to include all single amino acid mutations in the RSV F ectodomain (residues 26–529; 504 × 19 = 9576 mutations). We also included 30 stop codons located at alternating positions from the start of the ectodomain as a negative control for cell entry measurements. We ordered a site-saturation variant library with these criteria from Twist Biosciences. The final Twist quality control report for the library is at: https://github.com/dms-vep/RSV_Long_F_DMS/blob/main/supplemental_data/Final_QC_Report_Q-392996_VariantProportion.csv.

Cloning of deep mutational scanning plasmid libraries of RSV F

The RSV F library was designed to have all mutations to the ectodomain of F. However, 268 mutations were missing from the library produced by Twist. We added the missing mutations and also over-represented mutations in the nirsevimab binding site (amino acid residues 62–29 and 196–212) because we wanted to ensure inclusion and measurement of effects of all possible mutations in the epitope. We aimed to clone a “spike-in” plasmid library that contains these missing mutations and over-representation of mutations in the nirsevimab binding site using a mutagenesis PCR protocol8688. We designed NNS primers for the nirsevimab-targeting sites with with https://github.com/jbloomlab/CodonTilingPrimers and primers for missing mutations with https://github.com/jbloomlab/TargetedTilingPrimers. Forward and reverse primer pools were created by combining either forward or reverse NNS and targeted mutation primers at an equal molar ratio per codon for a final concentration of 5μM. Linear template of RSV F was made by digesting the lentiviral backbone with codon-optimized RSV F sequence with NotI-HF and NdeI. PCR mutagenesis was then performed as described previously54 with the only difference being that 7 PCR cycles were used for the mutagenesis PCR to reduce the resulting number of multi-mutants. After the PCR, the product was digested using DpnI for 20 minutes at 37°C to remove any leftover template. The PCR mutagenesis to generate the “spike-in” was performed in duplicate, once for library A and once for library B.

We then barcoded the library pools made by Twist Biosciences independently in two separate reactions to make library A and B respectively. These two biological replicates were handled separately for all subsequent experimental steps. The barcoding was performed as in Dadonaite et al.54 using primers containing a random 16 nucleotide sequence downstream of the RSV F stop codon. The only difference from Dadonaite et al. is that only 5 ng of template was used. The two pools of mutagenized RSV F for the “spike-in” were also barcoded separately. In all there were four separate barcoding PCR reactions. The lentiviral backbone (4016_V5LP_pHrU3_ForInd-Extgag_mcherry)85 was digested with MluI-HF and XbaI at 37°C for 45 minutes then gel purified and purified using AMPure XP beads (Beckman Coulter Cat #A63881). The barcoded libraries were cloned into the lentiviral backbone at a 1:2 insert to vector ratio in a HiFi assembly for 1 hour at 50°C. The HiFi product was purified with AMPure XP beads and eluted in molecular grade water. The purified products were transformed into 10-beta electrocompetent cells (New England Biolabs Cat #C3020K) using a BioRad MicroPulser Electroporator, shocking at 2 kV for 5 milliseconds. 10 reactions of electroporation were performed per barcoded Twist library and 2 reactions per mutagenized spike-in library. Following the 1 hour recovery at 37°C, transformed cells were spun out of SOC and pooled and cultured in 150 mL LB medium for each Twist library and 100 mL LB medium for each spike-in library with ampicillin overnight at 37°C in a shaking incubator. Plasmids were extracted using the QIAGEN HiSpeed Plasmid Maxi Kit (QIAGEN Cat #12662).

Corresponding replicates of the Twist plasmid libraries and spike-in plasmid libraries were combined at a 1:1.25 Twist to spike-in molar ratio per codon because long-read PacBio sequencing of the plasmid libraries revealed this ratio results in the most even distribution of mutants in the combined libraries.

Production of cell-stored deep mutational scanning libraries

Cells storing the deep mutational scanning libraries as single integrated RSV F containing genomes per cell were produced as described in prior work54 with a few changes (Supplemental Figure 1B). VSV-G pseudotyped lentiviruses were produced by transfecting four 10 cm dishes of 293T cells with the lentiviral backbone containing the barcoded RSV F libraries per library (5 μg per dish), lentiviral Gag/Pol, Tat, and Rev helper plasmids (1.25 ug per dish, AddGene: HDM-tat1b product ID 204154, pRC-CMV-Rev1b product ID 20413, HDM-Hgpm2 product ID 204152)54 and a VSV-G expression plasmid (1.25 ug per dish, AddGene pMD2.G product ID 12259) using BioT (Bioland Scientific, Cat #B01–02).

While previous deep mutational scanning studies have integrated into a specific clone of 293T-rtTA cells that were previously found to yield good pseudovirus titers for other viral entry proteins54, we found that this clone was unable to generate high titer RSV pseudovirus. We tested multiple clones of 293T-rtTA cells but found that the highest titer RSV pseudovirus produced from singly integrated cells was produced from Takara’s Lenti-X 293T Cell Line (Cat #632180). This clonal 293T cell line does not overexpress rtTA. Our lentiviral backbone includes a dox-inducible promoter; in other deep mutational scanning studies which use 293T-rtTA cells and a similar backbone, dox is added to induce expression from the lentiviral backbone54. We found that for production from RSV F cell stored libraries, pseudovirus titers were sufficiently high when expression was induced only from Tat at transfection. We found no additional benefit with transfection of rtTA and addition of doxycycline when producing pseudovirus. Therefore, we used Takara’s Lenti-X 293T Cell Line for the cell stored library. To make the cell stored library, the VSV-G pseudotyped viruses were used to infect Takara’s Lenti-X 293T Cell Line at an infection rate of <1% so that most transduced cells would receive only a single integrated genome. Transduced cells were selected using puromycin so that the final population of cells contained an integrated genome encoding a single barcoded variant of RSV F. These cells were expanded and frozen with at least 2e7 cells per aliquot and stored in liquid nitrogen for later use.

Rescue of F and VSV-G expressing pseudovirus libraries

To rescue F expressing pseudoviruses from the integrated cells, 100 million cells were plated in 5-layer flasks. The following day, each flask was transfected with 118.75 ug of each helper plasmid (AddGene: HDM-tat1b product ID 204154, pRC-CMV-Rev1b product ID 20413, HDM-Hgpm2 product ID 204152) and 18.75 ug of RSV G expression plasmid (AddGene: HDM_RSV_Long_G_31AACTdel Product ID 237350). Xfect transfection reagent (Cat #631318) was used according to the manufacturer’s instructions (112.5uL Xfect transfection reagent and 7.5 mL buffer per 5-layer flask). At 48 hours post transfection, the supernatant was filtered through a 0.45um SFCA Nalgene 500 mL Rapid-Flow filter unit (Cat #09–740-44B). Filtered supernatant was then concentrated by ultracentrifugation with a 20% sucrose cushion in HBSS (Fisher Cat# 14025092) at 100,000 g for 1 h at >20°C. The pseudoviruses pelleted to the bottom of the cushion, after disposal of the supernatant, pellets were resuspended in D10. Aliquots of concentrated F-expressing pseudoviruses were flash frozen as previously described55 and stored at −80°C for use in downstream selection experiments.

To rescue VSV-G expressing pseudoviruses from integrated cells, 100 million cells were plated in 5-layer flasks. The following day, each flask was transfected with 37.5 ug each helper (AddGene: HDM-tat1b product ID 204154, pRC-CMV-Rev1b product ID 20413, HDM-Hgpm2 product ID 204152) and VSV-G expression plasmid (AddGene pMD2.G product ID 12259). BioT transfection reagent was used according to the manufacturer’s instructions. At 48 hours post-transfection, the supernatant was filtered through a 0.45um SFCA Nalgene 500 mL Rapid-Flow filter unit and concentrated using LentiX concentrator (Takara, Cat #631232) at a 1:3 virus to concentrator ratio, incubating at 4°C for 3 hours and spinning at 1500 × g and 4°C for 45 minutes. Following centrifugation, supernatant was discarded and viral pellets resuspended in D10. Aliquots of concentrated VSV-G expressing pseudoviruses were frozen at −80°C for later use.

Long-read PacBio sequencing for variant-barcode linkage

To link the barcode sequences with the mutations found in RSV F we used long-read PacBio sequencing of the lentiviral genomes in pseudoviruses made from the cell stored libraries. We performed PacBio barcode-mutation linking after generating the singly integrated cell libraries because template switching of the pseudodiploid lentiviral genome during reverse transcription can alter barcode-variant pairings relative to the original plasmid pool. Sequencing the integrated library ensures that barcode-variant linkages reflect those present in the actual integrated provirus. This process has been described previously54. For this library we made a few alterations. 1e6 293T-TIM1 cells were plated in each well of 6-well plates coated with poly-L-lysine. The next day, 30 million TU’s of VSV-G expressing library pseudoviruses were used to infect cells (6 wells for each library at 5 million TU/well). At 12 hours post-infection, the non-integrated reverse-transcribed lentiviral genomes were recovered by miniprepping the 293T-TIM1 cells as described in prior work54. Amplicons for long-read sequencing of the miniprepped genomes were prepared by following a previously described approach54,88. The PCR reactions for each library were combined and amplicon length was verified by TapeStation prior to sequencing. Libraries were each sequenced on a single SMRT cell with a movie length of 30 hours on a PacBio Sequel IIe sequencer. To maximize identification of all variants present, each library was sequenced a second time.

We used the dms-vep-pipeline-3 package (https://github.com/dms-vep/dms-vep-pipeline-3), to process sequencing data. To link specific mutations with each barcode, PacBio circular consensus sequences were aligned to the unmutated RSV F reference sequence using the Alignparse package89. Reads were filtered out if they aligned poorly, had a higher than expected number of mutations in the unmutated regions, did not contain a barcode or were the result of strand exchange. Consensus sequences for each barcode/variant sequence were constructed using alignparse, while requiring a minimum of three CCS reads and a max cutoff of 0.2 for any minor variants within the consensus. The final barcode/variant lookup tables were used as a reference for all downstream analyses of short-read Illumina sequencing of the barcodes only. The final barcode-variant table can be found here: https://github.com/dms-vep/RSV_Long_F_DMS/blob/main/results/variants/codon_variants.csv

For full details on the analysis, see these notebooks for:

The final libraries contained 57,888 and 64,078 unique barcoded variants for LibA and LibB, respectively that covered 99 and 99.4% of all amino-acid mutations (Supplemental Figure 1C). More than half of the variants contain a single amino-acid mutation, with the others having zero or multiple mutations (Supplemental Figure 1D).

Measuring effects of F mutations on cell entry

To measure effects of F mutations on cell entry, we generally followed the approach described in Dadonaite et al.54 with the following modifications. We infected 293T-TIM1 cells with the pseudovirus libraries displaying the RSV F protein mutants alongside parallel infection of 293T-TIM1 cells with control pseudovirus displaying VSV-G to make their cell-entry independent of RSV F protein function (Supplemental Figure 2A). 2e6 293T-TIM1 cells were plated in each well of 6-well plates coated with poly-L-lysine. The next day, we infected cells with ~12e6 TU total (3e6 TU per well) of F pseudovirus library or ~30e6 TU total (5e6 TU per well) of VSV-G pseudovirus library. After addition of pseudovirus, cells infected with the F pseudovirus library were spun at 900g for 3 hours at 30C. For some selections, 20ug/mL DEAE-dextran was added to the media at the time of infection as this increases pseudovirus titers. However, poor cell health was found to contribute to reduced recovery of infecting barcodes, so DEAE was not used for follow-up selections. At 12 hours post infection, the non-integrated reverse-transcribed lentiviral genomes were recovered by miniprepping the cells. To prepare the amplicons for Illumina sequencing with dual indexing, PCR was performed as described in Yu et al88. Samples were pooled in equal DNA amounts and run on a 1% agarose gel. The correct size band was excised, purified with Ampure XP beads, diluted to a concentration of 5 nM, and sequenced on an Illumina NextSeq 2000 (with P3 reagent kit) or NovaSeq X Plus system.

We quantified the effects of mutations as the log2 cell entry of each mutant relative to the unmutated F, using global epistasis models57,58 to jointly analyze the single and multi-mutant data. Briefly, Illumina sequencing reads were aligned to the barcode variant table generated from the PacBio CCS described above. We next compared the frequency of barcodes between the VSV-G and Fmutant selections using the package dms_variants (https://github.com/jbloomlab/dms_variants) as previously described54. Cell entry scores for each variant were calculated using log enrichment ratio: log2 ([nvpost / nwtpost]/[nvpre / nwtpre]), where nvpost is the count of variant v in the F-pseudotyped infection (postselection condition), nvpre is the count of variant v in the VSV-G-pseudotyped infection (preselection condition), and nwtpost and nwtpre are the counts for wild-type variants. Positive cell entry scores indicate that a variant is better at entering the cells compared to the unmutated parental F, and negative scores indicate entry worse than the parental F. As expected, variants with only synonymous mutations had wildtype-like cell entry scores of zero, variants with stop codon mutations had highly negative scores, and variants with amino-acid mutations had scores ranging from wildtype-like to highly negative (Supplemental Figure 2B). To calculate the mutation-level cell entry effects, a sigmoid global-epistasis function was fitted to variant entry scores after truncating the values at a lower bound of the median functional score of all variants with stop codons, using the multi-dms software package. For the mutation effects, values of zero mean no effect on cell entry, negative values mean impaired cell entry, and positive values mean improved cell entry. To generate the final cell entry effect values for each mutation, we performed a total of three technical replicates for each library, for a total of six functional selections (three each from LibA and LibB). The effects for each mutation were then averaged from the six functional selections. To filter out low quality or noisy data, we required each mutation to occur with two unique barcodes and removed any mutation that had a high standard deviation between replicates. The measured cell entry effects were highly correlated both between replicates and libraries (Supplemental Figure 2C-D). The final cell entry effect values reported in the figures correspond to the average effect across libraries and replicates.

Measuring effects of F mutations on antibody neutralization

To measure effects of F mutations on antibody neutralization, we used a previously described method54 with a few modifications detailed here. 2e6 293T-TIM1 cells were plated in individual wells of poly-L-lysine coated 6-well plates. The next day, ~1.5–2e6 TU of F pseudovirus library were incubated with D10 media (no antibody control) or antibody for one hour prior to adding to cells. These incubations were performed in a total volume of 2 mL to reduce the possibility of ligand depletion given that these antibodies have very high potency. Antibody concentrations were selected that generally corresponded to a range at which 50% of variants were neutralized, up to 99.5%. During DNA template extraction, we spiked in DNA plasmid containing eight known barcodes that would correspond to ~1% of the reads in the no-antibody control. This DNA plasmid spike-in allowed us to estimate the amount of neutralization each antibody condition had relative to the no antibody control, as previously described (Supplemental Figure 4A)54,88.

Following Illumina sequencing of the barcodes, the data were analyzed as described previously. Briefly, the fraction infectivity retained at each antibody concentration was calculated from the barcode counts of the DNA standard. Then, the polyclonal (https://jbloomlab.github.io/polyclonal/)90 software was used to fit neutralization curves and estimates of mutation effects on neutralization. We filtered the effects of mutations on antibody neutralization to retain only mutations with at least two unique barcodes, excluded mutations with very low cell entry scores, and excluded mutations that had high standard deviations in their effect on neutralization across replicates. The reported effects of mutations on antibody neutralization are the average across all replicates (always at least two different experimental selections with each of the two independent libraries, LibA and LibB). For example notebooks showing these analyses, see https://dms-vep.org/RSV_Long_F_DMS/notebooks/fit_escape_antibody_escape_RSV-F-LibA-250402-Nir.html (for analysis of an individual selection experiment) and https://dms-vep.org/RSV_Long_F_DMS/notebooks/avg_escape_antibody_escape_Nirsevimab-IgG.html (for average effects across experiments for an antibody).

Validation of cell entry effects using individual pseudoviruses

To validate the effects of mutations on cell entry, we generated a set of plasmids expressing RSV F within a lentiviral backbone that each contained different single F mutations. The parental RSV F amino acid sequence is identical to the unmutated RSV F sequence used in the lentiviral vector described above for deep mutational scanning. We selected mutations spanning a range of entry effects, which included N67I, S215V, S215P, S398L, E87N, and D486N. We transfected them into 293T cells, along with helper plasmids (AddGene: HDM-tat1b product ID 204154, pRC-CMV-Rev1b product ID 20413, HDM-Hgpm2 product ID 204152)54 and RSV G in an expression plasmid (AddGene: HDM_RSV_Long_G_31AACTdel Product ID237350). 48 hours later, supernatants were filtered through 0.45uM filters to remove cell debris. The pseudoviruses were titrated on 293T-TIM1 cells using flow cytometry to measure TU/mL as previously described55. Average titers for two replicates of each pseudovirus were then compared to the average unmutated RSV F titer.

Analysis of cell entry effects of amino acid differences in natural RSV sequences relative to the strain used for deep mutational scanning

An alignment of RSV F protein sequences for subtype A and B were generated on October 27, 2025 from the RSV Nextstrain workflow67. We identified amino acid differences relative to the lab-adapted subtype A Long strain used in the deep mutational scanning - for more details see https://github.com/dms-vep/RSV_Long_F_DMS/tree/main/notebooks/sequence_variation. This was used to compare the distribution of cell entry effects for mutations observed in natural sequences to the distribution of cell entry effects for all mutations measured by deep mutational scanning and calculate the percentage of natural sequences with each mutation as shown in Supplemental Figure 3.

Measuring effects of single amino acid mutations on antibody neutralization

We chose previously known and newly identified resistance mutations that had a range of effects on antibody neutralization for nirsevimab and clesrovimab. These mutants were chosen to evaluate the impact of mutations in subtype A and B backgrounds on neutralization by antibody IgG and Fab and to validate the effects of mutations measured by deep mutational scanning on antibody neutralization. The single amino acid mutations were made in a subtype A background (Long strain, also used for deep mutational scanning) and a subtype B background (B1 strain) in an expression vector. The plasmids were generated by Twist Biosciences. Pseudoviruses were produced and neutralization was measured as previously described55. All F constructs included the full cytoplasmic tail and were paired with RSV G in an expression plasmid (AddGene: HDM_RSV_Long_G_31AACTdel Product ID 237350) for these transfections. All plasmid maps can be found here: https://github.com/dms-vep/RSV_Long_F_DMS/tree/main/supplemental_data/plasmids/.

Mutations impacting nirsevimab neutralization made in subtype A included (N67T, K68N, K68Q, D73N, K201S, K201T, P205S, V207E, K209D, K209Q, Q210T, S211R, S215K) and subtype B (K68N, K68Q, D73N, N201S, N201T, P205S, Q209D, Q210T, S211R, S215K). V207E did not produce usable pseudovirus titers in the B1 background. These are shown in Figure 3 and Supplemental Figure 4.

Mutations T67N and Q209K were also made in subtype B, which are mutations to the amino acid residue found in the subtype A Long strain. Data for these mutants along with the corresponding mutations in subtype A (N67T and K209Q) are shown in Supplemental Figure 4. Subtype A K68Q and K201S and subtype B K68Q and N201S are shown in Figures 1, 3 and Supplemental Figure 4.

The Long and B1 wildtype neutralization curves shown in Figure 3D,F are representative - all replicates can be found here https://github.com/dms-vep/RSV_Long_F_DMS/tree/main/non-pipeline_analyses/validations. The correlation plots in Figures 3 and 4 show fold change IC50 from wildtype using a matched wildtype from the specific experimental date for the mutations and the wildtype point plotted in the correlation plots is a geometric mean IC50 of all wildtype replicates.

Mutations impacting clesrovimab made in subtype A and B included R429M, R429S, S443P and G446D and are shown in Figure 4 and Supplemental Figure 5. Pseudoviruses expressing F called “A2020” and “B2024” in Supplemental Figure 5A are F sequences from natural strains that are broadly representative of recent subtype A and B strains55, and have the GenBank accession numbers PP495954 and PP660445, respectively.

Interactive Nextstrain phylogenetic trees with antibody-escape scores

We integrated computer code into the Nextstrain67 RSV view to enable scoring of natural RSV sequences for antibody resistance and visualization of the results on phylogenetic trees. A GitHub repository with the computer code implementing this scoring is at http://github.com/nextstrain/rsv. Briefly, the pre-existing Nextstrain view downloaded all RSV sequences from Pathoplexus68 (currently >60,000), and built separate subtype A and B phylogenetic trees subsampled to roughly ~3,000 sequences designed to be representative across time and countries. We added computer code that assigns each of these sequences an “escape score” calculated from the deep mutational scanning data as either the sum of the effect of all of its constituent mutations or the max effect of any of its mutations on neutralization by the Fab or IgG form of nirsevimab or clesrovimab. The interactive phylogenetic trees can then be colored by these escape scores using the dropdown “Color By” option on the left toolbar (eg, see https://nextstrain.org/rsv/b/F-antibody-escape/6y?c=Nirsevimab-Fab_total_escape); there is also an option to label sequences by their top escape mutation. We integrated this scoring into the Nextstrain RSV builds for the F sequences and the full genome; note that there are also builds that emphasize different timeframes: all-time, the last 6 years, and the last 3 years. The builds are updated to include the latest available sequences, so going to views linked above will show the latest sequence data.

We also created new builds called “F-antibody-escape” in the Nextstrain RSV views that shows trees subsampled to include all sequences with high nirsevimab or clesrovimab escape scores. Unlike the “F” builds, these “F-antibody-escape” builds over-represent the frequency of resistant strains. The “F-antibody-escape” trees do not provide an accurate view of the prevalence of resistance mutations; however, when you want to identify all of the top resistant strains (which otherwise could be dropped during subsampling) then these builds should be preferred. Which build is displayed can be selected using the “change dataset” option on the left toolbar.

Validation of strains with predicted neutralization resistance

A subset of natural RSV F sequences with predicted resistance to nirsevimab or clesrovimab neutralization identified using the ‘Interactive Nextstrain phylogenetic trees with antibody-escape scores’ were codon optimized and subsequently cloned into an expression vector by Twist Biosciences. F sequences with predicted resistance to nirsevimab Fab or IgG included (PP_002XVQT, PP_002KSRJ, PP_002QMLP, PP_002WHEU, PP_002WWH8, PP_002SUFP, PP_001QYN9, PP_001Y2UB, PP_003W55P). Sequences with predicted resistance to clesrovimab Fab or IgG included (PP_002W1BG, PP_001WGC0, PP_001Y62S, PP_001ZQ7W). PP_001W26S and PP_002UDSB correspond to subtype A and B controls also referred to in our prior study as A2020 and B2024, respectively55. A complete list of these key sequences are available in Pathoplexus under SeqSet PP_SS_628.191, and all sequences displayed in the trees in Figure 5 and Supplemental Figure 7 are available in Pathoplexus under SeqSet PP_SS_661.192 for subtype A and SeqSet PP_SS_662.193 for subtype B. All plasmid maps can be found at: https://github.com/dms-vep/RSV_Long_F_DMS/tree/main/supplemental_data/plasmids/strain%20validations. These were used to generate RSV pseudoviruses expressing the F from the natural sequences paired with RSV G expression plasmid (AddGene: HDM_RSV_Long_G_31AACTdel Product ID237350) as previously described55. Producing RSV pseudoviruses with F from natural sequences paired with all the same G ensures we do not introduce any variability from G. These pseudoviruses were then used in neutralization assays with nirsevimab or clesrovimab IgG and Fab55. To ensure reliable neutralization curves, we established a cut-off of 400,000 RLU/well for the no antibody, virus-only control. For strains with titers near the cut-off, extra controls were included to ensure escape was specific to the monoclonal antibody and not attributable to experimental artifacts.

Structural analysis

UCSF ChimaX94 was used for structural visualizations. All Protein Data bank accession IDs used are included in figure legends.

Supplementary Material

Supplement 1

Acknowledgements

We thank Richard Neher and James Hadfield for assistance with the Nextstrain visualizations. This work was supported by the NIAID/NIH (R01AI141707 to JDB, U19AI181767 subcontract to JDB) and the Gates Foundation (INV-072143). CALS is a fellow in the Pediatric Scientist Development Program and was supported in part by K12-HD000850 from the NICHD/NIH and Eunice Kennedy Shriver NICHD/NIH T32HD007233. JDB is an Investigator of the Howard Hughes Medical Institute. We gratefully acknowledge the authors, and the originating and submitting laboratories, for generating and sharing viral genome sequences and associated metadata via Pathoplexus at https://doi.org/10.62599/PP_SS_628.1, https://doi.org/10.62599/PP_SS_661.1, and https://doi.org/10.62599/PP_SS_662.1.

Footnotes

Competing Interests

JDB consults for Apriori Bio, Invivyd, the Vaccine Company, GSK, and Pfizer. JDB is an inventor on Fred Hutch licensed patents related to deep mutational scanning of viral proteins. HYC has served on advisory boards for Vir and Roche. The Bloom lab receives funding from Third Rock Ventures NewCo under a sponsored research agreement related to antibodies distinct from the ones analyzed in the current study.

References

  • 1.Li Y. et al. Global, regional, and national disease burden estimates of acute lower respiratory infections due to respiratory syncytial virus in children younger than 5 years in 2019: a systematic analysis. The Lancet 399, 2047–2064 (2022). [Google Scholar]
  • 2.Mazur N. I., Caballero M. T. & Nunes M. C. Severe respiratory syncytial virus infection in children: burden, management, and emerging therapies. The Lancet 404, 1143–1156 (2024). [Google Scholar]
  • 3.Suh M. et al. Respiratory Syncytial Virus Is the Leading Cause of United States Infant Hospitalizations, 2009–2019: A Study of the National (Nationwide) Inpatient Sample. J. Infect. Dis. 226, S154–S163 (2022). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 4.RSV vaccines offer vital protection for the most vulnerable, study confirms. https://www.gavi.org/vaccineswork/rsv-vaccines-offer-vital-protection-most-vulnerable-study-confirms. [Google Scholar]
  • 5.CDC. RSV Immunization Guidance for Infants and Young Children. Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection (RSV) https://www.cdc.gov/rsv/hcp/vaccine-clinical-guidance/infants-young-children.html (2025). [Google Scholar]
  • 6.Jones J. M. et al. Use of Nirsevimab for the Prevention of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Disease Among Infants and Young Children: Recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices — United States, 2023. MMWR Morb. Mortal. Wkly. Rep. 72, 920–925 (2023). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 7.Moulia D. L. et al. Use of Clesrovimab for Prevention of Severe Respiratory Syncytial Virus–Associated Lower Respiratory Tract Infections in Infants: Recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices — United States, 2025. MMWR Morb. Mortal. Wkly. Rep. 74, 508–514 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 8.Committee on Infectious Diseases et al. Recommendations for the Prevention of RSV Disease in Infants and Children: Policy Statement. Pediatrics 156, e2025073923 (2025). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 9.O’Leary S. T. & Committee on Infectious Diseases. Recommended Childhood and Adolescent Immunization Schedule: United States, 2026: Policy Statement. Pediatrics https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2025-075754 (2026) doi: 10.1542/peds.2025-075754. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 10.American Academy of Pediatrics. AAP Immunization Schedule. https://publications.aap.org/redbook/resources/15585/AAP-Immunization-Schedule (2026). [Google Scholar]
  • 11.Xu H. et al. Estimated Effectiveness of Nirsevimab Against Respiratory Syncytial Virus. JAMA Netw. Open 8, e250380 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 12.Payne A. B. et al. Effectiveness of nirsevimab among infants in their first RSV season in the United States, October 2023–March 2024: a test-negative design analysis. Lancet Reg. Health - Am. 49, 101196 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 13.Pelletier J. H. et al. Nirsevimab Administration and RSV Hospitalization in the 2024–2025 Season. JAMA Netw. Open 8, e2533535 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 14.Zambrano L. D. et al. Nirsevimab Effectiveness Against Intensive Care Unit Admission for Respiratory Syncytial Virus in Infants — 24 States, December 2024–April 2025. MMWR Morb. Mortal. Wkly. Rep. 74, 580–588 (2025). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 15.Patton M. E. et al. Interim Evaluation of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Hospitalization Rates Among Infants and Young Children After Introduction of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Prevention Products — United States, October 2024–February 2025. MMWR Morb. Mortal. Wkly. Rep. 74, 273–281 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 16.Bonavia A. et al. RSM01, a novel respiratory syncytial virus monoclonal antibody: preclinical characterization and results of a first-in-human, randomised clinical trial. BMC Infect. Dis. 24, 1378 (2024). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 17.RSV vaccine and mAb snapshot. https://www.path.org/our-impact/resources/rsv-vaccine-and-mab-snapshot/. [Google Scholar]
  • 18.Bizot E. et al. Prophylactic monoclonal antibodies against respiratory syncytial virus in early life: An in-depth review of mechanisms of action, failure factors, and future perspectives. Pediatr. Allergy Immunol. 36, e70257 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 19.Al Gharaibeh F., Deshmukh V. & Deshmukh H. Advances in RSV Immunoprophylaxis: Evolution, Efficacy, and Implementation Challenges. NeoReviews 26, e704–e711 (2025). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 20.McLellan J. S. et al. Structure of RSV Fusion Glycoprotein Trimer Bound to a Prefusion-Specific Neutralizing Antibody. Science 340, 1113–1117 (2013). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 21.Zhu Q. et al. A highly potent extended half-life antibody as a potential RSV vaccine surrogate for all infants. Sci. Transl. Med. 9, eaaj1928 (2017). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 22.Tang A. et al. A potent broadly neutralizing human RSV antibody targets conserved site IV of the fusion glycoprotein. Nat. Commun. 10, 4153 (2019). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 23.Kistler K. E. & Bedford T. An atlas of continuous adaptive evolution in endemic human viruses. Cell Host Microbe 31, 1898–1909.e3 (2023). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 24.Zhu Q. et al. Natural Polymorphisms and Resistance-Associated Mutations in the Fusion Protein of Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV): Effects on RSV Susceptibility to Palivizumab. J. Infect. Dis. 205, 635–638 (2012). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 25.Hause A. M. et al. Sequence variability of the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) fusion gene among contemporary and historical genotypes of RSV/A and RSV/B. PLOS ONE 12, e0175792 (2017). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 26.Simões E. A. F. et al. Suptavumab for the Prevention of Medically Attended Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection in Preterm Infants. Clin. Infect. Dis. 73, e4400–e4408 (2021). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 27.Nuttens C. et al. Differences Between RSV A and RSV B Subgroups and Implications for Pharmaceutical Preventive Measures. Infect. Dis. Ther. 13, 1725–1742 (2024). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 28.Wilkins D. et al. Nirsevimab binding-site conservation in respiratory syncytial virus fusion glycoprotein worldwide between 1956 and 2021: an analysis of observational study sequencing data. Lancet Infect. Dis. 23, 856–866 (2023). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 29.Ahani B. et al. Molecular and phenotypic characteristics of RSV infections in infants during two nirsevimab randomized clinical trials. Nat. Commun. 14, 4347 (2023). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 30.Zhu Q. et al. Prevalence and Significance of Substitutions in the Fusion Protein of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Resulting in Neutralization Escape From Antibody MEDI8897. J. Infect. Dis. 218, 572–580 (2018). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 31.Lin G.-L. et al. Distinct patterns of within-host virus populations between two subgroups of human respiratory syncytial virus. Nat. Commun. 12, 5125 (2021). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 32.Fourati S. et al. Genotypic and phenotypic characterisation of respiratory syncytial virus after nirsevimab breakthrough infections: a large, multicentre, observational, real-world study. Lancet Infect. Dis. S147330992400570X (2024) doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(24)00570-X. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 33.U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Beyfortus (Nirsevimab-Alip) Prescribing Informationl. https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/label/2023/761328s000lbl.pdf (2025). [Google Scholar]
  • 34.Fourati S. et al. Real-World Emergence of Nirsevimab Resistance in RSV-B Breakthrough Infections. Preprint at 10.2139/ssrn.5427106 (2025). [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 35.Piñana M. et al. Genomic evolution of human respiratory syncytial virus during a decade (2013–2023): bridging the path to monoclonal antibody surveillance. J. Infect. 88, 106153 (2024). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 36.LaVerriere E. et al. Genomic Epidemiology of Respiratory Syncytial Virus in a New England Hospital System, 2024. Open Forum Infect. Dis. 12, ofaf334 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 37.Holland L. A. et al. Genomic Sequencing Surveillance to Identify Respiratory Syncytial Virus Mutations, Arizona, USA. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 29, (2023). [Google Scholar]
  • 38.Evans D. et al. Genomic Epidemiology of Human Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Minnesota, USA, July 2023–February 2024. Emerg. Infect. Dis. 30, (2024). [Google Scholar]
  • 39.Rice A. et al. Human respiratory syncytial virus genetic diversity and lineage replacement in Ireland pre- and post-COVID-19 pandemic. Microb. Genomics 11, (2025). [Google Scholar]
  • 40.Köndgen S. et al. A robust, scalable, and cost-efficient approach to whole genome sequencing of RSV directly from clinical samples. J. Clin. Microbiol. 62, e01111–23 (2024). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 41.Stobbelaar K. et al. Functional implications of respiratory syncytial virus F sequence variability: a comparative analysis using contemporary RSV isolates. mSphere 10, e00860–24 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 42.Shishir T. A. et al. Genome-wide study of globally distributed respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) strains implicates diversification utilizing phylodynamics and mutational analysis. Sci. Rep. 13, 13531 (2023). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 43.Lamichhane B. et al. Respiratory Syncytial Virus Strain Evolution and Mutations in Western Australia in the Context of Nirsevimab Prophylaxis. Open Forum Infect. Dis. 12, ofaf429 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 44.Dong X. et al. An Improved Rapid and Sensitive Long Amplicon Method for Nanopore-Based RSV Whole-Genome Sequencing. Influenza Other Respir. Viruses 19, e70106 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 45.Maloney D. M. et al. ARTIC RSV amplicon sequencing reveals global RSV genotype dynamics. Wellcome Open Res. 10, 323 (2025). [Google Scholar]
  • 46.Nunley B. E. et al. Clinical Performance Evaluation of a Tiling Amplicon Panel for Whole-Genome Sequencing of Respiratory Syncytial Virus. J. Mol. Diagn. 27, 819–831 (2025). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 47.Terstappen J. et al. RSM01, an extended half-life RSV monoclonal antibody with a high barrier to resistance. Preprint at 10.64898/2026.02.04.703721 (2026). [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 48.Joyce M. G. et al. Crystal Structure and Immunogenicity of the DS-Cav1-Stabilized Fusion Glycoprotein From Respiratory Syncytial Virus Subtype B. Pathog. Immun. 4, 294 (2019). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 49.McLellan J. S., Ray W. C. & Peeples M. E. Structure and Function of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Surface Glycoproteins. in Challenges and Opportunities for Respiratory Syncytial Virus Vaccines (eds Anderson L. J. & Graham B. S.) vol. 372 83–104 (Springer Berlin Heidelberg, Berlin, Heidelberg, 2013). [Google Scholar]
  • 50.Sun Y. et al. A potent broad-spectrum neutralizing antibody targeting a conserved region of the prefusion RSV F protein. Nat. Commun. 15, 10085 (2024). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 51.Jarmoskaite I., AlSadhan I., Vaidyanathan P. P. & Herschlag D. How to measure and evaluate binding affinities. eLife 9, e57264 (2020). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 52.Einav T., Yazdi S., Coey A., Bjorkman P. J. & Phillips R. Harnessing Avidity: Quantifying the Entropic and Energetic Effects of Linker Length and Rigidity for Multivalent Binding of Antibodies to HIV-1. Cell Syst. 9, 466–474.e7 (2019). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 53.Klein J. S. & Bjorkman P. J. Few and Far Between: How HIV May Be Evading Antibody Avidity. PLoS Pathog. 6, e1000908 (2010). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 54.Dadonaite B. et al. A pseudovirus system enables deep mutational scanning of the full SARS-CoV-2 spike. Cell 186, 1263–1278.e20 (2023). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 55.Simonich C. A. L. et al. RSV F evolution escapes some monoclonal antibodies but does not strongly erode neutralization by human polyclonal sera. J. Virol. 99, e00531–25 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 56.Casadevall A., Roane P. R., Shenk T. & Roizman B. The Story behind the Science: On the discovery of respiratory syncytial virus. mBio 16, e03074–24 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 57.Otwinowski J., McCandlish D. M. & Plotkin J. B. Inferring the shape of global epistasis. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 115, (2018). [Google Scholar]
  • 58.Haddox H. K. et al. Jointly modeling deep mutational scans identifies shifted mutational effects among SARS-CoV-2 spike homologs. Preprint at 10.1101/2023.07.31.551037 (2023). [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 59.Rossey I., McLellan J. S., Saelens X. & Schepens B. Clinical Potential of Prefusion RSV F-specific Antibodies. Trends Microbiol. 26, 209–219 (2018). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 60.Gilman M. S. A. et al. Rapid profiling of RSV antibody repertoires from the memory B cells of naturally infected adult donors. Sci. Immunol. 1, eaaj1879 (2016). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 61.Karron R. A. et al. Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) SH and G proteins are not essential for viral replication in vitro : Clinical evaluation and molecular characterization of a cold-passaged, attenuated RSV subgroup B mutant. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 94, 13961–13966 (1997). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 62.U.S. Food and Drug Administration. ENFLONSIA (Clesrovimab-Cfor) Prescribing Information. https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/label/2025/761432s000lbl.pdf (2025). [Google Scholar]
  • 63.Tabor D. E. et al. Global Molecular Epidemiology of Respiratory Syncytial Virus from the 2017−2018 INFORM-RSV Study. J. Clin. Microbiol. 59, e01828–20 (2020). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 64.Lu Bin et al. Emergence of new antigenic epitopes in the glycoproteins of human respiratory syncytial virus collected from a US surveillance study, 2015–17. Sci. Rep. 9, 3898 (2019). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 65.Wetzke M. et al. Prevalence of Resistance-Associated Mutations in RSV F Protein Against Monoclonal Antibodies Prior to Widespread Implementation: Findings From a Prospective German Pediatric Cohort. Influenza Other Respir. Viruses 19, e70164 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 66.Iglesias-Caballero M. et al. Genomic Surveillance and Antigenic Characterization of Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) in Spain During the 2023–2024 Season of Nirsevimab Administration. J. Infect. Dis. jiaf530 (2025) doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiaf530. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 67.Hadfield J. et al. Nextstrain: real-time tracking of pathogen evolution. Bioinformatics 34, 4121–4123 (2018). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 68.Vecchia E. D. Pathoplexus: towards fair and transparent sequence sharing. Lancet Microbe 5, (2024). [Google Scholar]
  • 69.Palivizumab, a humanized respiratory syncytial virus monoclonal antibody, reduces hospitalization from respiratory syncytial virus infection in high-risk infants. The IMpact-RSV Study Group. Pediatrics 102, 531–537 (1998). [Google Scholar]
  • 70.Zhu Q. et al. Analysis of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Preclinical and Clinical Variants Resistant to Neutralization by Monoclonal Antibodies Palivizumab and/or Motavizumab. J. Infect. Dis. 203, 674–682 (2011). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 71.Zhao X., Chen F.-P. & Sullender W. M. Respiratory syncytial virus escape mutant derived in vitro resists palivizumab prophylaxis in cotton rats. Virology 318, 608–612 (2004). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 72.Zhao X. & Sullender W. M. In Vivo Selection of Respiratory Syncytial Viruses Resistant to Palivizumab. J. Virol. 79, 3962–3968 (2005). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 73.Bates J. T. et al. Escape from neutralization by the respiratory syncytial virus-specific neutralizing monoclonal antibody palivizumab is driven by changes in on-rate of binding to the fusion protein. Virology 454–455, 139–144 (2014). [Google Scholar]
  • 74.Adams O. et al. Palivizumab-Resistant Human Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection in Infancy. Clin. Infect. Dis. 51, 185–188 (2010). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 75.Antiviral Product Development — Conducting and Submitting Virology Studies to the Agency. (2006). [Google Scholar]
  • 76.Li Y. et al. 560. Efficacy and Safety of Retavibart, a Long-acting Monoclonal Antibody, for the Prevention of Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Induced Lower Respiratory Tract Infection: A Phase 2b Trial in Infants Entering Their First Epidemic Season. Open Forum Infect. Dis. 13, ofaf695.169 (2026). [Google Scholar]
  • 77.Sun Y. et al. An antibody cocktail targeting conserved, nonoverlapping epitopes prevents viral escape and confers protection against RSV in vivo. Sci. Transl. Med. 18, eady2450 (2026). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 78.Bloom J. D., Gong L. I. & Baltimore D. Permissive Secondary Mutations Enable the Evolution of Influenza Oseltamivir Resistance. Science 328, 1272–1275 (2010). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 79.Simonsen L. et al. The Genesis and Spread of Reassortment Human Influenza A/H3N2 Viruses Conferring Adamantane Resistance. Mol. Biol. Evol. 24, 1811–1820 (2007). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 80.Chao D. L., Bloom J. D., Kochin B. F., Antia R. & Longini I. M. The global spread of drug-resistant influenza. J. R. Soc. Interface 9, 648–656 (2012). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 81.Boundy E. O. et al. Respiratory Syncytial Virus Immunization Coverage Among Infants Through Receipt of Nirsevimab Monoclonal Antibody or Maternal Vaccination — United States, October 2023–March 2024. MMWR Morb. Mortal. Wkly. Rep. 74, 484–489 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 82.Schickli J. H., Kaur J., Ulbrandt N., Spaete R. R. & Tang R. S. An S101P Substitution in the Putative Cleavage Motif of the Human Metapneumovirus Fusion Protein Is a Major Determinant for Trypsin-Independent Growth in Vero Cells and Does Not Alter Tissue Tropism in Hamsters. J. Virol. 79, 10678–10689 (2005). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 83.Cantoni D. et al. Correlation between pseudotyped virus and authentic virus neutralisation assays, a systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature. Front. Immunol. 14, 1184362 (2023). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 84.Humes D., Rainwater S. & Overbaugh J. The TOP vector: a new high-titer lentiviral construct for delivery of sgRNAs and transgenes to primary T cells. Mol. Ther. - Methods Clin. Dev. 20, 30–38 (2021). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 85.Aditham A. K. et al. Deep mutational scanning of rabies glycoprotein defines mutational constraint and antibody-escape mutations. Cell Host Microbe 33, 988–1003.e10 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 86.Dadonaite B. et al. Deep mutational scanning of H5 hemagglutinin to inform influenza virus surveillance. Preprint at 10.1101/2024.05.23.595634 (2024). [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 87.Bloom J. D. An Experimentally Determined Evolutionary Model Dramatically Improves Phylogenetic Fit. Mol. Biol. Evol. 31, 1956–1978 (2014). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 88.Yu T. C. et al. Pleiotropic mutational effects on function and stability constrain the antigenic evolution of influenza haemagglutinin. Nat. Ecol. Evol. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-025-02895-1 (2025) doi: 10.1038/s41559-025-02895-1. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 89.Crawford K. & Bloom J. alignparse: A Python package for parsing complex features from high-throughput long-read sequencing. J. Open Source Softw. 4, 1915 (2019). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 90.Yu T. C. et al. A biophysical model of viral escape from polyclonal antibodies. Virus Evol. 8, veac110 (2022). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 91.Pathoplexus . SeqSet: RSV_F_DMS_Validations. 10.62599/PP_SS_628.1 (2026). [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 92.Pathoplexus . SeqSet: RSV_A_F_sequences_for_tree. 10.62599/PP_SS_661.1 (2026). [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 93.Pathoplexus . SeqSet: RSV_B_F_sequences_for_tree. 10.62599/PP_SS_662.1 (2026). [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 94.Meng E. C. et al. UCSF ChimeraX: Tools for structure building and analysis. Protein Sci. 32, e4792 (2023). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 95.Hlavacek W. S., Posner R. G. & Perelson A. S. Steric Effects on Multivalent Ligand-Receptor Binding: Exclusion of Ligand Sites by Bound Cell Surface Receptors. Biophys. J. 76, 3031–3043 (1999). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 96.Perelson A. S. & DeLisi C. Receptor clustering on a cell surface. I. theory of receptor cross-linking by ligands bearing two chemically identical functional groups. Math. Biosci. 48, 71–110 (1980). [Google Scholar]
  • 97.Mammen M., Choi S.-K. & Whitesides G. M. Polyvalent Interactions in Biological Systems: Implications for Design and Use of Multivalent Ligands and Inhibitors. Angew. Chem. Int. Ed. 37, 2754–2794 (1998). [Google Scholar]
  • 98.Fasting C. et al. Multivalency as a Chemical Organization and Action Principle. Angew. Chem. Int. Ed. 51, 10472–10498 (2012). [Google Scholar]
  • 99.Magnus C. Virus Neutralisation: New Insights from Kinetic Neutralisation Curves. PLoS Comput. Biol. 9, e1002900 (2013). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 100.Brandenberg O. F. et al. Predicting HIV-1 transmission and antibody neutralization efficacy in vivo from stoichiometric parameters. PLOS Pathog. 13, e1006313 (2017). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 101.Pierson T. C. et al. The Stoichiometry of Antibody-Mediated Neutralization and Enhancement of West Nile Virus Infection. Cell Host Microbe 1, 135–145 (2007). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 102.Klasse P. J. Neutralization of Virus Infectivity by Antibodies: Old Problems in New Perspectives. Adv. Biol. 2014, 1–24 (2014). [Google Scholar]
  • 103.Yang X., Kurteva S., Lee S. & Sodroski J. Stoichiometry of Antibody Neutralization of Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1. J. Virol. 79, 3500–3508 (2005). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Supplement 1

Data Availability Statement

All data and interactive figures are publicly available:


Articles from bioRxiv are provided here courtesy of Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Preprints

RESOURCES