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Journal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN logoLink to Journal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN
letter
. 2025 Nov 26;37(3):651–652. doi: 10.1681/ASN.0000000930

Critique of ICD Code Accuracy in Identifying Cardiovascular Events in CKD and Kidney Failure Populations

Yingyu Wang 1, Chenyu Lu 1,✉, Jiale Chen 1, Yabin Zhou 1,✉
PMCID: PMC12935344  PMID: 41563830

We commend Zemke et al.1 for their important work published in JASN evaluating the accuracy of International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes in identifying cardiovascular events compared with physician adjudication in CKD and kidney failure populations. Although the study provides valuable insights, we believe the low sensitivity (15%–48%) across all outcomes warrants further discussion, particularly for atrial fibrillation, which had a notably low sensitivity of 15%. This could be due to underreporting of chronic or stable cases in ICD codes. It would be beneficial to include additional diagnostic methods like regular electrocardiogram screenings to better capture these cases.2

In addition, the study found that ICD-Tenth Revision codes performed significantly worse than ICD-Ninth Revision codes, especially for myocardial infarction and heart failure, showing a decrease in positive predictive value and sensitivity. Given the importance of ICD-10 for contemporary clinical practice, further investigation into the potential reasons behind this discrepancy is crucial. It may reflect either coding practices or clinical challenges such as elevated troponin levels in patients with CKD, which complicate myocardial infarction diagnosis.1,3

Although the high negative predictive values and specificity are useful for excluding false positives, the low sensitivity raises concerns about using ICD codes for identifying true-positive events in clinical trials. ICD codes may be more useful in epidemiologic studies where excluding false positives is the goal but less so in clinical trials that require precise identification of events.4

Finally, the study's exclusive use of primary ICD codes may limit its applicability. The inclusion of secondary diagnosis codes could enhance the accuracy of event identification, as seen in the secondary analysis, where positive predictive value decreased when only primary codes were used. This finding underscores the complexity of cardiovascular event coding in patients with multimorbidities like CKD.4

In conclusion, although the study contributes significantly to understanding ICD code accuracy, future research should explore strategies to improve sensitivity, especially for atrial fibrillation,2 and examine ICD-10 performance in CKD populations. In addition, incorporating both primary and secondary ICD codes will be crucial for enhancing event identification in clinical research.

Supplementary Material

jasn-37-651-s001.pdf (1.4MB, pdf)

Footnotes

See related reply, “Authors’ Reply: Critique of ICD Code Accuracy in Identifying Cardiovascular Events in CKD and Kidney Failure Populations,” on page 653, and original article, “Accuracy of Identification of Cardiovascular Events with International Classification of Diseases Diagnosis Codes versus Physician Adjudication in CKD and Kidney Failure,” on pages 522–532.

Disclosures

Disclosure forms, as provided by each author, are available with the online version of the article at http://links.lww.com/JSN/F500.

Author Contributions

Investigation: Yingyu Wang.

Project administration: Yabin Zhou.

Writing – original draft: Chenyu Lu.

Writing – review & editing: Jiale Chen.

Funding

None.

References

  • 1.Zemke AM, Zelnick LR, de Boer IH, Kestenbaum B, Go AS, Bansal N. Accuracy of identification of cardiovascular events with International Classification of Diseases diagnosis codes versus physician adjudication in CKD and kidney failure. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2026;37(3):522–532. doi: 10.1681/ASN.0000000874 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 2.Twerenbold R Wildi K Jaeger C, et al. Optimal cutoff levels of more sensitive cardiac troponin assays for the early diagnosis of myocardial infarction in patients with renal dysfunction. Circulation. 2015;131(23):2041–2050. doi: 10.1161/circulationaha.114.014245 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 3.deFilippi CR de Lemos JA Christenson RH, et al. Association of serial measures of cardiac troponin T using a sensitive assay with incident heart failure and cardiovascular mortality in older adults. JAMA. 2010;304(22):2494–2502. doi: 10.1001/jama.2010.1708 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 4.Muntner P Anderson A Charleston J, et al.; Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study Investigators. Hypertension awareness, treatment, and control in adults with CKD: results from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study. Am J Kidney Dis. 2010;55(3):441–451. doi: 10.1053/j.ajkd.2009.09.014 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

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