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. 2026 Feb 24;26:163. doi: 10.1186/s12876-026-04702-y

Prognostic value of the prognostic nutritional index in colorectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Yu-Biao Xu 1,2,#, Yi-Sheng Huang 3,#, Xiao-Xiang Huang 3, Shu-Fang Ning 4,, Fan Zhou 5,
PMCID: PMC12983913  PMID: 41731387

Abstract

Background

This meta-analysis evaluates the prognostic significance of the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients, focusing on overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), and progression-free survival (PFS).

Methods

We conducted a comprehensive literature search across PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and CNKI. Observational studies reporting hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for survival outcomes based on PNI were included. Pooled HRs were calculated using random-effects models. Heterogeneity, sensitivity, and publication bias were evaluated, and subgroup analyses were performed by region, follow-up duration, and tumor stage.

Results

A total of 43 studies comprising 19,214 CRC patients were included the meta-analysis. 36 studies with 18,231 patients reported the prognostic value of PNI on the OS of CRC, and the pooled HR was 1.89 (95% CI: 1.70–2.10, P < 0.001). This association remained robust across sensitivity analyses, suggesting PNI as a reliable biomarker for risk stratification. Moderate heterogeneity (I2 = 32.9%) was observed, which subgroup analyses attributed to study region, follow-up duration, and inclusion criteria for CRC stages. Non-Asian cohorts, studies with shorter follow-up or partial staging and high cut-off value of PNI exhibited reduced heterogeneity. Eleven studies with 5,181 patients reported the prognostic value for DFS, and the pooled HR was 1.31 (95% CI: 0.84–2.03). Nine studies with 2,856 patients were for PFS, and the pooled HR was 1.15 (95% CI: 0.78–1.72), neither reaching statistical significance. Significant heterogeneity was noted for both DFS and PFS across the studies.

Conclusions

This meta-analysis demonstrates that a low PNI is a robust predictor of poor overall survival in colorectal cancer, particularly in Asian populations and across diverse disease stages. While its prognostic value for DFS and PFS remains uncertain.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-026-04702-y.

Keywords: Colorectal cancer, Prognostic nutritional index, Overall survival, Disease-free survival, Progression-free survival, Meta-analysis

Introduction

Colorectal cancer (CRC) continues to be one of the leading causes of cancer-related deaths globally, highlighting the critical need for reliable prognostic markers that can inform therapeutic decisions and enhance patient outcomes. Traditionally, prognosis in CRC is determined by tumor stage and conventional survival predictors; however, it is increasingly evident that similarly staged patients often experience diverse outcomes. This variability underscores the necessity to identify additional biomarkers that reflect both tumor biology and host response mechanisms [1]. Among these emerging markers, the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), which evaluates the immune-nutritional status of patients, has attracted considerable attention due to its potential in predicting postoperative complications and long-term survival across various cancers [2]. Several studies have demonstrated that PNI correlates with permanent stoma rates following anterior resection, complications after surgery for locally recurrent rectal cancers, and postoperative complications in CRC [35]. However, its association with complete pathological responses and overall survival (OS) in advanced cancers following neoadjuvant chemoradiation remains uncertain [6, 7]. This inconsistency calls for further investigation to clarify the precise impact of PNI on OS in rectal cancer patients.

Recent evidence from multivariate Cox regression analyses indicates that PNI serves as an independent predictor of OS, showing a 1.2% increase in three-year survival for every unit increase in PNI, regardless of preoperative therapy or surgical approach [8]. These findings emphasize the clinical significance of PNI, even though its absolute value may appear modest, suggesting its potential as a modifiable factor through preoperative nutritional rehabilitation or immune-enriched diets [9]. Despite these promising results, several limitations must be acknowledged. The retrospective nature of most studies introduces inherent biases, and the lack of consideration for critical covariates such as extramural vascular invasion and tumor regression grade could influence outcome predictions [10]. Additionally, the generalizability of these findings to different demographic groups requires validation.

Given the accumulating evidence supporting the prognostic value of PNI in CRC, there is a compelling rationale for conducting a comprehensive meta-analysis to evaluate the relationship between PNI and key oncological endpoints, including OS, disease-free survival (DFS), and progression-free survival (PFS). Such an analysis would provide a more definitive understanding of PNI’s role in predicting outcomes in CRC, potentially guiding personalized treatment strategies and improving patient care. By systematically reviewing and synthesizing available literature on the association between PNI and CRC outcomes, focusing specifically on OS, DFS, and PFS, this meta-analysis aims to establish the magnitude of PNI’s effect on these endpoints. Consequently, our findings will inform clinical practice and future research directions, ultimately contributing to enhanced management and improved outcomes for CRC patients.

Methods

Study design and search strategy

This meta-analysis was conducted in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines to ensure methodological rigor, transparency, and reproducibility [11]. A comprehensive literature search was performed across four major electronic databases: PubMed, the Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and the Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), to identify relevant studies published up to January 31, 2025. The search strategy combined the following key terms: (“Prognostic Nutritional Index” OR PNI) AND (“colorectal cancer” OR CRC) AND (prognosis OR survival). The details of search strategy were list in Supplement file 1. No language restrictions were applied, although only studies involving human participants were included. In addition to database searches, we used the “Related Articles” feature in PubMed and manually screened the reference lists of eligible studies and relevant reviews to identify any potentially missed publications.

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

Studies were eligible for inclusion if they met the following criteria: (1) investigated the prognostic value of PNI in CRC patients; (2) reported sufficient data to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), or progression -free survival (PFS), preferably derived from multivariable Cox regression analyses; and (3) were cohort studies (prospective or retrospective). We only included studies that had already obtained ethical approval from their respective institutional review board.

Data extraction and quality assessment

Two reviewers independently extracted data using a standardized form. Disagreements were resolved through discussion or by consulting a third reviewer when necessary. The following information was extracted from each study: first author, publication year, country, study design, sample size, patient demographics, CRC stage distribution, PNI calculation method, cut-off value, follow-up duration, and adjusted HRs with 95% CIs for OS, DFS, and PFS. The methodological quality of included cohort studies was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) [12], which evaluates studies based on three domains: selection of study groups (up to 4 points), comparability of groups (up to 2 points), and assessment of outcomes (p to 3 points). A maximum score of 9 indicates high quality, and studies scoring ≥ 7 was considered to be of high methodological quality. Scoring below 7 on the NOS scale were considered low quality and excluded from the analysis.

Statistical analysis

All statistical analyses were performed using the meta package in R software (version 4.3.0). Pooled HRs and their 95% CIs were calculated to evaluate the association between PNI (typically categorized as high vs. low) and survival outcomes (OS, DFS, PFS). An HR < 1 indicates a favorable prognosis associated with higher PNI. Heterogeneity across studies was assessed using the I² statistic, with values of 25%, 50%, and 75% representing low, moderate, and high heterogeneity, respectively. A fixed-effects model (Mantel-Haenszel method) was applied in the presence of low to moderate heterogeneity (I2 < 50%), while a random-effects model (DerSimonian and Laird method) was used when heterogeneity was substantial (I2 ≥ 50%). Sensitivity analysis was conducted by sequentially removing individual studies to assess the stability of the pooled results. Subgroup analyses were performed based on key variables such as geographic region (Asia vs. non-Asia), median follow-up duration (≥ 36 vs. <36 months), and tumor stage (all stages vs. stage-specific populations), to explore potential sources of heterogeneity. Publication bias was evaluated using Egger’s linear regression test. Funnel plots were visually inspected to supplement these tests. A p-value < 0.05 in either test was considered indicative of statistically significant publication bias.

Certainty of the evidence

The overall certainty of evidence for meta-analysis outcome was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) framework. Evidence was rated by considering risk of bias, inconsistency, indirectness, imprecision, and publication bias, and was classified into one of four categories: high, moderate, low, or very low.

Results

Search results

The study selection process is summarized in Fig. 1 according to the PRISMA guidelines. An initial database search yielded 219 records. After removing 36 duplicates, 183 records were screened by title and abstract. Of these, 110 were excluded due to irrelevance, specifically, animal studies (n = 12), reviews (n = 57), conference abstracts (n = 21), or unrelated topics (n = 20). The remaining 73 full-text articles were assessed for eligibility. Among them, 29 were excluded: 15 lacked survival data, 11 did not report hazard ratios (HRs) or sufficient data for extraction, and 3 were deemed low quality based on the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Ultimately, 43 studies [36, 1352] encompassing 19,214 colorectal cancer patients, were included in the meta-analysis.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

The flow diagram of identifying eligible studies

Study characteristics and quality assessment

All 44 included studies employed a retrospective cohort design. The majority were conducted in Asian countries, particularly China, Japan, and South Korea. The cutoff values for defining high versus low PNI varied widely across studies, ranging from 38.25 to 50. Follow-up durations ranged from 3 months to 10 years, with median follow-up typically exceeding 36 months. While some studies included patients across all tumor stages (I–IV), others focused on specific subgroups. The methodological quality of the included studies was assessed using the NOS criteria. As shown in Table S1, the majority of studies scored 7 or higher (range: 7–9), indicating low risk of bias and high overall quality. Detailed characteristics of the included studies are presented in Table 1.

Table 1.

Main characteristics of the included studies

Study Year Country Cutoff Number Age Sex Stage Follow up (month)
Nozoe 2012 Japan 40 249 69.8 156/93 I-IV 60
Mohri 2013 Japan 45 365 65 223/142 I-IV 72
Shibutani 2015 Japan 47.9 218 69 120/98 I-IV NA
Tokunaga 2015 Japan 46.94 556 68 330/226 I-IV 31.8
Chen 2016 China 50.2 1318 57.5 774/544 I-IV 60
Cao 2017 China 44.55 228 69 134/94 I-III 60
Noh 2017 Korea 50 3569 61.1 2169/1400 I-IV 54
Peng 2017 China 49.22 274 58 156/118 III 46
Sasaki 2018 Japan 46.7 149 64 93/56 I-IV 59
Luvián-Morales 2019 Mexico 47 3301 58.7 1727/1574 I-IV 12
Maruyama 2020 Japan 44.8 197 71 113/84 I-IV 60
Sato 2020 Japan 35 72 71 41/31 I-IV 24
Tominaga 2020 Japan 49.8 896 65 404/492 I-III 57
Ucar 2020 Turkey 46 308 57.5 192/116 I-IV 21.8
Wang 2020 China 45.85 281 55.9 185/96 I-IV 12
Bardakci 2021 Turkey 38 126 61 75/51 I-III 60
Lin 2021 China 43.7 208 63 122/86 I-III 36
Tamai 2021 Japan 45.6 227 68 124/103 I-IV 52
Wang1 2021 China 45 211 61 140/71 II-III 45
Xu 2021 China 45 413 57.6 260/153 II-III 33.6
Zhu 2021 China 45.61 196 62 118/78 I-II NA
Kazi 2022 India 46.7 340 48.6 235/105 I-III 36
Mizutani 2022 Japan 50.7 32 68 9月23日 I-IV NA
Nagashima 2022 Japan 40 83 69 42/41 I-III 3
Qiu 2022 China 46.95 33 52.5 20/13 I-IV 60
Wei 2022 China 51.94 150 63 81/69 I-III 60
Xie 2022 China 43.4 1114 57.3 639/475 I-IV 60
Xu1 2022 China 49.72 142 65 87/55 I-III 39
Erdogan 2023 Turkey 45.7 42 57 20/22 IV 8.3
Kim 2023 Korea 50.9 1112 64 667/445 I-III 60
Kocak 2023 Turkey 39.01 199 65 132/67 I-IV 36
Li 2023 China 48.65 511 61 320/191 I-IV 64
Ni 2023 China 50.45 102 60 62/40 I-III 60
Portale 2023 Italy 36.5 182 69 127/55 I-IV 60
Qiao 2023 China 46.2 105 61 59/46 I-III 60
Taniai 2023 Japan 43 192 68 128/64 I-IV 120
Tuncel 2023 Turkey 55.25 138 62 83/55 III 40
Li1 2024 China 47.82 470 61 279/191 I-III 60
Niu 2024 China 46 67 61 41/26 II-III 36
Nguyen 2024 Vietnam 40.36 87 58.97 50/37 IV 24
Silva 2024 Brazil 41 298 65 172/126 I-III 60
Tatsuta 2024 Japan 40 475 68 266/209 II-III 60
Wang2 2024 China 45.8 106 57.93 70/36 I-IV 36
Yang 2024 China 47.58 90 64 58/32 II-III 36
Zhang 2024 China 2.25 414 66.7 191/223 I-IV 35.9
Zhang1 2024 China 48 120 63.9 72/48 I-III 60
Lee 2025 Korea 48.05 664 65 402/262 I-III 60
Zhu2 2025 China 44.48 201 66 119/82 I-IV 36

NA Not available

Pooled analysis of prognostic value of PNI on the OS of CRC patients

A total of 36 studies [35, 1322, 2427, 29, 3138, 40, 41, 4447, 4952] (n = 18,231 patients) reported adjusted HRs for OS stratified by PNI status. The pooled analysis demonstrated that a low PNI was significantly associated with poorer OS (random-effects model: HR = 1.88, 95% CI: 1.69–2.09, p < 0.001; Fig. 2), indicating that patients with lower PNI had an 89% higher risk of death compared to those with higher PNI. Moderate heterogeneity was observed across these studies (I2 = 32.8%, p = 0.032). Sensitivity analysis, conducted by sequentially omitting each study, showed that no single study significantly influenced the overall effect estimate, confirming the robustness of the results (Figure S1). To explore potential sources of heterogeneity, subgroup analyses were performed based on geographic region (Asian vs. non-Asian), follow-up duration (> 36 vs. ≤36 months), tumor stage inclusion (all stages vs. stage-limited) and cut-off of PNI value (> 45 vs. ≤45 months). As shown in Table 2, heterogeneity was reduced in subgroups of non-Asian populations, shorter follow-up periods, studies including only specific stages and high PNI value, suggesting that these factors may contribute to inter-study variability. Notably, the association between low PNI and worse OS remained statistically significant in all major subgroups. No evidence of publication bias was detected based on Egger’s test (p = 0.306) among the studies, and the funnel plot was visually symmetrical (Figure S2).

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Forest plot of the prognostic value of PNI on the overall survival of CRC patients. HR: hazard ratio; CL: confidence interval; PNI: Prognostic Nutritional Index; OS: overall survival; CRC: colorectal cancer

Table 2.

Subgroup analysis for the prognostic value of PNI on the OS of CRC patients

Categories No. study HR (95%CI) P value I2 P heterogeneity
Country
 Asian country 29 1.94 (1.71–2.19) 0.038 36.7% 0.019
 Non-Asian 7 1.67 (1.43–1.94) < 0.001 18.4% 0.289
Follow-up duration
 > 36 months 19 2.02 (1.70–2.40) < 0.001 52.5% 0.003
 ≤ 36 months 14 1.73 (1.53–1.95) < 0.001 0% 0.733
Tumor stage
 All stage 19 1.85 (1.59–2.16) < 0.001 48.9% 0.007
 Part stage 17 1.91 (1.68–2.18) < 0.001 0% 0.603
Cut-off
 > 45 15 1.76 (1.59–1.95) < 0.001 21.2% 0.187
 ≤ 45 18 1.91 (1.61–2.27) < 0.001 47.7% 0.022

Pooled analysis of prognostic value of PNI on the DFS of CRC patients

Eleven studies [4, 5, 21, 2830, 32, 34, 40, 43, 48] (n = 5,181 patients) provided data on DFS. The pooled HR for DFS was 1.31 (95% CI: 0.84–2.03, p = 0.229) using a random-effects model (Fig. 3), indicating no statistically significant association between PNI and DFS. However, substantial heterogeneity was present (I2 = 89.6%, p < 0.001). Sensitivity analysis confirmed the stability of the pooled estimate, as exclusion of any single study did not alter the overall conclusion (Figure S3). Subgroup analyses by country, follow-up duration, and tumor stage and cut-off of PNI value (> 45 vs. ≤45 months) are detailed in Table 3. Heterogeneity was lower in non-Asian studies and those with shorter follow-up, suggesting these factors may underlie the observed variability. However, the lack of statistical significance persisted across subgroups. Egger’s test revealed no significant publication bias (p = 0.352; Figure S4).

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3

Forest plot of prognostic value of PNI on the DFS of CRC patients. HR: hazard ratio; CL: confidence interval. DFS: disease-free survival

Table 3.

Subgroup analysis for the prognostic value of PNI on the DFS of CRC patients

Categories No. study HR (95%CI) P value I2 P heterogeneity
Country
 Asian country 9 1.21 (0.71–2.05) 0.142 89.8% < 0.001
 Non-Asian 2 1.88 (1.36–2.58) < 0.001 0% 0.840
Follow-up duration
 > 36 months 7 1.46 (1.01–2.11) 0.002 91.0% < 0.001
 ≤ 36 months 4 0.99 (0.32–3.07) 0.238 88.9% < 0.001
Tumor stage
 All stage 3 1.86 (1.37–2.53) 0.003 36.6% 0.207
 Part stage 8 1.07(0.64–1.79) 0.229 90.5% < 0.001
Cut-off
 > 45 7 1.15 (0.62–2.11) 0.229 86.4% < 0.001
 ≤ 45 4 1.63 (0.85–3.13) 0.436 92.2% < 0.001

Pooled analysis of prognostic value of PNI on the PFS of CRC patients

Nine studies [4, 5, 21, 25, 29, 30, 32, 34, 40] (n = 2,856 patients) reported HRs for PFS. The combined analysis showed a non-significant trend toward worse PFS in patients with low PNI (HR = 1.15, 95% CI: 0.78–1.72, p = 0.483; Fig. 4), with high heterogeneity (I2 = 84.0%, p < 0.001). Sensitivity analysis indicated that the overall result was not driven by any single study (Figure S5). Subgroup analyses (Table 4) suggested that geographic region and follow-up duration contributed to heterogeneity, but tumor stage and cut-off value did not. Despite reduced heterogeneity in certain subgroups, the association remained non-significant. Publication bias was not detected across the studies (Egger’s test: p = 0.435; Figure S6).

Fig. 4.

Fig. 4

Forest plot of prognostic value of PNI on the PFS of CRC patients. HR: hazard ratio; CL: confidence interval; PFS: progression-free survival

Table 4.

Subgroup analysis for the prognostic value of PNI on the PFS of CRC patients

Categories No. study HR (95%CI) P value I2 P heterogeneity
Country
 China 7 1.80 (0.31–3.78) 0.256 85.7% < 0.001
 Non-China 2 1.23 (0.71–2.13) 0.374 88.2% < 0.001
Follow-up duration
 > 36 months 5 1.33 (0.71–2.50) 0.309 91.0% < 0.001
 ≤ 36 months 4 1.19 (0.75–1.89) 0.469 88.9% < 0.001
Cut-off
 > 45 5 1.50 (0.71–3.20) 0.367 85.5% < 0.001
 ≤ 45 4 0.97 (0.53–1.75) 0.439 89.4% < 0.001

Certainty of evidence

All the included studies were observed design, therefore were rated as having a serious risk of bias. Substantial heterogeneity (I2 > 50%) was present for the outcomes of DFS and PFS, leading to a rating of serious inconsistency for these measures. All outcomes were based on direct evidence, so indirectness was not a concern. Imprecision was rated as serious for DFS and PFS due to the small total sample sizes and wide confidence intervals. Publication bias was also judged to be unserious based on the Egger’s test results and funnel plot. Therefore, the certainty of evidence for OS outcome was rated as low, while DFS and PFS were rated as very low (Table S2).

Discussion

This meta-analysis evaluates the prognostic role of the PNI in CRC patients, synthesizing data from 44 studies involving 18,552 individuals. The pooled HR for OS was 1.89 (95% CI: 1.70–2.10,), indicating that low PNI is strongly associated with poorer OS. This association remained consistent across sensitivity analyses, confirming its robustness. Moderate heterogeneity was observed, which subgroup analyses attributed to geographic region, follow-up duration, and inclusion of all CRC stages versus selective stages. Non-Asian cohorts and studies with shorter follow-up or partial staging showed reduced heterogeneity, suggesting population-specific variations. In contrast, PNI’s prognostic utility for DFS and PFS was inconclusive. For DFS, the pooled HR was 1.31 (95% CI: 0.84–2.03), and for PFS, it was 1.15 (95% CI: 0.78–1.7), neither reaching statistical significance. Significant heterogeneity was noted, but subgroup analyses did not identify a single influential study. Geographic origin and follow-up duration were suggested as sources of heterogeneity. These findings confirm that PNI is a reliable predictor of OS in CRC, particularly in Asian populations and across diverse disease stages. Its simplicity, using serum albumin and lymphocyte count, makes it a practical tool for risk stratification. However, the lack of significant associations with DFS and PFS suggests that while PNI reflects host immunity and nutritional status critical for long-term survival, it may be less sensitive to early recurrence. Future research should explore how nutritional and immune interventions might modulate PNI to improve survival outcomes in CRC patients.

The present meta-analysis underscores the significant prognostic value of the PNI in CRC, particularly for OS. This finding aligns with previous studies demonstrating the importance of systemic inflammation and nutritional status as critical determinants of cancer prognosis [53]. The consistency observed across sensitivity analyses reinforces the robustness of this association, suggesting that PNI could serve as a reliable biomarker for risk stratification in CRC patients. However, the heterogeneity observed necessitates further exploration. Subgroup analyses revealed that geographic region, follow-up duration, and inclusion criteria for CRC stages contributed to this variability. Non-Asian cohorts and studies with shorter follow-up or partial staging exhibited reduced heterogeneity, implying potential differences in patient characteristics, treatment protocols, or nutritional profiles across populations [54]. These findings are consistent with earlier reports highlighting regional variations in PNI thresholds and their implications on clinical outcomes.

In contrast, the prognostic utility of PNI for DFS and PFS was less conclusive. Significant heterogeneity was noted for both endpoints. Despite the lack of significant associations, subgroup analyses suggested that geographic origin and follow-up duration might influence these results [55]. This discrepancy may reflect differences in tumor biology, adjuvant treatment efficacy, or surveillance practices affecting recurrence patterns more than overall mortality [56]. In addition, the non-significant pooled HRs for DFS and PFS may reflect insufficient statistical power due to the smaller sample sizes in these subgroups, rather than a true lack of association. Furthermore, the substantial heterogeneity observed in DFS/PFS analyses may be attributed to variations in adjuvant therapy regimens, tumor molecular subtypes (microsatellite instability), or differences in postoperative surveillance protocols, which were not uniformly reported in the included studies.

The absence of significant associations for DFS and PFS suggests that while PNI captures aspects of host immunity and nutritional status crucial for long-term survival, it may be less sensitive to early disease recurrence. This observation is supported by studies showing that PNI primarily reflects systemic resilience rather than early tumor behavior [57]. Additionally, the dynamic nature of PNI during treatment, such as chemotherapy, may play a role in its predictive capacity for different endpoints [58].

To be noted, while the pooled analysis did not demonstrate a statistically significant association between PNI and DFS, PFS, the point estimate (DFS: 1.31, PFS: 1.15) did not rule out a potential clinically meaningful effect. Given the moderate statistical power and substantial heterogeneity among included studies, this finding should be regarded as hypothesis-generating rather than conclusive. Future large-scale, prospective studies with standardized PNI measurement are needed to clarify this relationship.

Several limitations must be acknowledged. First, although we retrospectively registered the protocol, the lack of prospective registration may introduce reporting bias. Second, despite performing subgroup analyses based on PNI cut-offs, the lack of standardized thresholds (ranging from 38.25 to 50) limits the clinical applicability. Future studies should utilize population-specific or ROC-derived cut-offs to harmonize risk stratification. Third, all included studies were retrospective, introducing risks of selection bias and unmeasured confounding (sch as socioeconomic status, detailed treatment variations, and comorbidities). Second, important pathological factors, including extramural vascular invasion, tumor regression grade, and molecular subtypes (e.g., MSI status), were rarely adjusted for, potentially affecting outcome interpretation. Third, PNI cutoff values varied widely across studies, reflecting the lack of standardized thresholds and limiting direct comparability. Although most studies used ROC-derived cutoffs, population-specific differences in baseline nutrition and immunity may influence optimal values. Despite these limitations, our analysis highlights the clinical utility of PNI as a simple, cost-effective, and readily available biomarker. Derived from serum albumin and absolute lymphocyte count—both routinely measured in clinical practice—PNI offers a practical tool for risk stratification at diagnosis or preoperatively. Its strong association with OS supports its integration into prognostic models, particularly in resource-limited settings where complex biomarkers are inaccessible. Importantly, the modifiable nature of PNI opens avenues for therapeutic intervention. Nutritional support, immunonutrition, and exercise programs may improve PNI and potentially enhance treatment tolerance and survival outcomes. Future research should explore whether targeted interventions to optimize PNI before and during treatment can translate into measurable clinical benefits.

Conclusions

In conclusion, this meta-analysis provides compelling evidence that PNI is a reliable predictor of OS in CRC, particularly in Asian populations and across various disease stages, while its prognostic utility for DFS and PFS remains uncertain and needs large sample size of study to validate. Future prospective studies are needed to standardize PNI thresholds, evaluate its dynamic changes during treatment, and investigate whether interventions aimed at improving PNI can lead to improved oncological outcomes.

Supplementary Information

12876_2026_4702_MOESM1_ESM.docx (870.7KB, docx)

Supplementary Material 1. Table S1: Quality score of included study assessed by NOS score. Table S2: Certainty of evidence. Figure S1: Sensitivity analysis for the prognostic value of PNI on the OS of CRC patients. Figure S2: Funnel plot of publication bias for the prognostic value of PNI on the OS of CRC patients. Figure S3: Sensitivity analysis for the prognostic value of PNI on the OS of CRC patients. Figure S4: Funnel plot of publication bias for the prognostic value of PNI on the OS of CRC patients. Figure S5: Sensitivity analysis for the prognostic value of PNI on the OS of CRC patients.

Acknowledgements

Not applicable.

Authors’ contributions

Study concept and design: XYB, and ZF; Collection and assembly of data: ZF, HYS and HXX; Performed the experiment: XYB, HXX, HYS, NSF and ZF; Data analysis and interpretation: ZF and XYB; Manuscript writing and review: All authors. All authors have read and approved the manuscript in its current state.

Funding

This study was supported by the Science and Technology Projects of Qinzhou (No. 201612).

Data availability

All data generated or analyzed during this study are included in this article.

Declarations

Ethics approval and consent to participate

This study was approval by the Ethics Committee of the Tenth Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University (No. KY-2025071). All the procedures were carried out in accordance with institutional guidelines. Since this is a meta-analysis based on aggregate data from published literature, it was determined that no additional informed consent or ethical review of individual patient records was required.

Consent for publication

Not applicable.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Footnotes

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Yu-Biao Xu and Yi-Sheng Huang contributed equally to this work.

Contributor Information

Shu-Fang Ning, Email: ningshufang@gxmu.edu.cn.

Fan Zhou, Email: qzzhoufan@163.com.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

12876_2026_4702_MOESM1_ESM.docx (870.7KB, docx)

Supplementary Material 1. Table S1: Quality score of included study assessed by NOS score. Table S2: Certainty of evidence. Figure S1: Sensitivity analysis for the prognostic value of PNI on the OS of CRC patients. Figure S2: Funnel plot of publication bias for the prognostic value of PNI on the OS of CRC patients. Figure S3: Sensitivity analysis for the prognostic value of PNI on the OS of CRC patients. Figure S4: Funnel plot of publication bias for the prognostic value of PNI on the OS of CRC patients. Figure S5: Sensitivity analysis for the prognostic value of PNI on the OS of CRC patients.

Data Availability Statement

All data generated or analyzed during this study are included in this article.


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