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. 2026 Feb 18;26:991. doi: 10.1186/s12889-026-26576-1

Pattern and predictors of drug resistance and treatment outcome in tuberculosis patients at the centers of programmatic management of drug-resistant tuberculosis in Lahore, Pakistan

Hira Ashfaq 1,#, Ayesha Humayun 1,✉,#, Muhammad Ahmad Naseem 1, Sarmad Wahaj Siddiqui 2, Asifa Kamal 3, Saima Naz Mohsin 4, Muhammad Abdullah 5, Naheed Humayun Sheikh 6
PMCID: PMC13020006  PMID: 41709251

Abstract

Background

Globally, the prevalence of drug-resistant (DR-TB) tuberculosis is rising, and Pakistan is currently one of the nations with the highest burden. It is imperative to track changes in the prevalence of DR-TB, particularly the extensively drug-resistant (XDR-TB) tuberculosis, and identify the pattern of treatment outcome.

Objective

To identify the pattern and predictors of drug resistance and treatment outcome in tuberculosis patients at the Centers for Programmatic Management of Drug-resistant Tuberculosis (PMDT) in Lahore, Pakistan.

Method

A cross-sectional analytical study was done in three PMDT centers (Programmatic Management of Drug-resistant Tuberculosis) in District Lahore. Secondary data of 387 were accessed, including files of patients of all ages and both genders enrolled during 2021. Data was collected from April to July, 2023. SPSS version 24 was used to enter the data. Information on drug resistance categories, pattern, socio-demographic and disease-related factors, adverse events, and treatment outcomes were gathered.

Results

RR resistance was found in 32.8% (127/387), MDR in 45.0% (174/387), Pre-XDR-TB in 21.2% (82/387) and XDR-TB in the remaining 1.0% (4/387). Drug-resistant TB was Pulmonary in 373/387 (96.4%) patients, while 3.6% were extra-pulmonary. 54.3% (210/387) males were enrolled with Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis with pre-dominantly RR-TB 38.1% (80/387). The mean age of 387 drug-resistant TB patients was 38.43 with SD of 17.190. Age (p-value = 0.007) and gender (p-value = 0.047) have been found significantly associated with the DRTB groups. The highest proportion (44.6%) of all types of comorbidities were observed in the MDR-TB group and being lowest (18.5%) in Pre-XDR/XDR TB group. Prior TB history was present in 65.1% (252/387) patients with majority in MDR group (46.4%). DR-TB arthralgia was the most common adverse event at 21%. The highest number of adverse events (adverse event = 208) were observed in DRTB cases who were administered with Pyrazinamide drug and the least adverse events were observed among DRTB cases taking Amikacin (adverse event = 9) and MFX (adverse event = 2). In 53.6% patients the treatment was successful, while 15.3% died.

Conclusion

Drug resistant tuberculosis patients had a high death rate and multiple adverse events associated with the treatment. Multipronged strategies need to be designed to improve treatment success, minimize adverse events and increase awareness about DR-TB.

Keywords: Drug resistance, Tuberculosis, XDR, Adverse events, Treatment outcomes

Introduction

After decades of global neglect, tuberculosis remerged on the global public health agenda, and finally in 1993 WHO declared TB a global public health emergency [1]. Subsequently, in 1994–1995, the five-element DOTS strategy was introduced [2], followed by the inclusion of TB indicators in the MDGs [3]. Stop TB Strategy 2006–2015 [4] and the resolution WHA62.15 on the prevention and control of MDR TB (multidrug-resistant tuberculosis) and XDR TB (extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis) by the World Health Assembly [5] accelerated and expanded tuberculosis treatment and control. The evolution of strategies for TB control by the World Health Organization (WHO) showed global commitment toward ending TB [6].

An estimated global total of 10.6 million people were ill with TB in 2021 equivalent to 134 cases per 10,000 population. Geographically, most TB cases in 2021 were in the WHO regions of South-East Asia (45%), Africa (23%) and the Western Pacific (18%), with smaller shares in the Eastern Mediterranean (8.1%), the Americas (2.9%) and Europe (2.2%). In 2021, eight countries accounted for more than two-thirds of global TB cases, and Pakistan (5.8%) being the 5th. Globally, there were an estimated 450,000 incident cases of MDR/RR-TB in 2021. An estimated 191,000 deaths occurred due to MDR/RR-TB in 2021. The countries contributing the largest share of MDR/RR-TB incident cases in 2021 were 26% India, 8.5% the Russian Federation, and Pakistan with 7.9% of global cases [7].

The growing global concern for multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) was shifted to extensively drug-resistant TB in 2006, which was labeled as a big threat to all TB efforts so, to combat this, an XDR-TB Global Task Force was constituted in 2006. WHO updated its guidelines for the programmatic management of MDR-TB and incorporated treatment of XDR-TB and this was added to the Global Plan to Stop TB, 2006–2015 [8].

WHO’s international expert panel in 2019, reviewed the recent evidence on MDR-TB and RR-TB treatment and published new guidelines in 2020, recommending a (9 to 11 months) shorter regimen for MDR/RR-TB cases not resistant to fluoroquinolones including bedaquiline replacing injectables and all oral regimen [9]. In 2022, WHO updated consolidated guidelines to recommend a 6 month all-oral regimen including bedaquiline (B), pretomanid (Pa), linezolid (L), and moxifloxacin (M) called BPaLM, given to MDR/RR-TB including with additional fluoroquinolone resistance/pre-XDR [10].

A combination of multiple second-line drugs are used to treat MDR-TB over a long duration and these drugs are found to be associated with various adverse events resulting in severe morbidities like deafness, depression, gastrointestinal disturbances, neurotoxicity, nephrotoxicity, etc., and even death [11, 12].

There are different types of drug-resistant TB; rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (RR-TB), multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB), and extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (XDR-TB) [13]. Mycobacterium TB isolates showed variable heteroresistance (HR) in different populations [14]. Drugs used in DR-TB are known to cause side effects and adverse effects, but their rate of occurrence is found to be variable in different populations.

A study from China analyzed the trends and predictors of MDR/RR tuberculosis (TB) in culture-positive cases during 2012–2020 to scale up services and improve strategies [15]. A national-level 10-year retrospective cohort was conducted in Africa to identify predictors of treatment failure and death in MDR-TB cases concluding the need for continuous information for changing strategies in combating the TB burden [16].

The poor success and high mortality in DR-TB patients in Pakistan are drawing the attention of the program managers and clinicians [17]. In 2021, diagnosed case of drugs-resistant TB were 3,138 while 2,878 started the treatment [18]. In District Lahore, 3 PMDT centers register DR-TB patients. Improving coverage is an issue but identifying the patterns and predictors of DR in these centers can help map the situation and plan strategies to maximize enrollment for treatment initiation and adherence. Pakistan is facing a high burden of TB, poor success, and high mortality in DR-TB patients in Pakistan. Current research is planned to inform public health policies, plans, and interventions to combat drug-resistant tuberculosis in Pakistan. The objective is to identify the pattern and predictors of drug resistance and treatment outcome in tuberculosis patients at the Centers for Programmatic Management of Drug-resistant Tuberculosis (PMDT) in Lahore, enrolled during 2021.

Method

A Cross-sectional design was used, and a consecutive review of the DR-TB patients’ medical records was done. These patients enrolled for treatment in 2021 (Jan 01 to Dec 31st ) at 3 PMDT centers (Programmatic Management of Drug-resistant Tuberculosis) in District Lahore, Pakistan, namely the Jinnah Hospital, Mayo Hospital, and Gulab Devi Hospital. Patient files/records of all ages and both genders were included and files with diagnoses of HIV positive, AIDS, or any disabling lung diseases along with tuberculosis were separately categorized and not included because HIV cases are transferred to HIV and AIDS control program once diagnosed, and they get TB treatment there. All eligible patient files enrolled in that specified period at 3 centers were included in the study. IRB approval was obtained from the IRB of the parent institute of the principal investigator named Institutional Review and Research Advisory Board of Shaikh Zayed Postgraduate Medical Institute, Lahore, Pakistan. IRB waived the need for written informed consent from patients because the secondary data was used. Administrative consent was obtained from the program manager of the TB control program in Punjab, Pakistan.

Categories of drug-resistant tuberculosis

Rifampicin-resistant TB (RR-TB) is the TB strains with “resistance to rifampicin detected by genotypic or phenotypic methods, with or without resistance to other drugs”, while MDR includes patients with isolates that are resistant to at least isoniazid (H) and rifampicin (R) — the two most powerful first-line anti-TB drugs. MDR and RR-TB are often grouped together as MDR/RR-TB. There is a category of Isoniazid resistance only as HR-TB. Pre-XDR-TB strains fulfil the definition of MDR/RR-TB and are also resistant to any fluoroquinolone. XDR-TB strains that fulfil the definition of MDR/RR-TB and that are also resistant to any fluoroquinolone and at least one additional Group A drug (bedaquiline or linezolid) [19]. In this study these categories were confirmed by GeneXpert MTB/RIF assay for Rifampicin resistance and further characterization of DR, including isoniazid and other first-line drugs, was performed using the Genotype MTBDR plus (line probe assay), and for confirmation phenotypic drug-susceptibility testing (DST) was performed DST on 209/387 (54%) patients and LPA (Line Probe Assay) was done on 280/387 (50%) patients. The tests were performed at the National Reference Lab (NRL) Islamabad, under the National TB Control Program. In these centers no case of Isoniazid-resistance alone (HR-TB) was reported and documented in the data in these 3 centers of Lahore.

Social, demographic and disease factors associated with DR-TB

Gender, BMI, Age, Prior TB history, and Prior TB treatment outcome (complete, cured, not evaluated, incomplete). Prior TB disease site (Pulmonary or Extra-pulmonary site), Presence of treatment supporter in prior TB (yes, no), FLD and SLD (First line drugs and second-line drugs) used in prior TB, contact history with a DR-TB case in family or friends (Yes, No), DR-TB site (pulmonary, extra-pulmonary).

Treatment-related adverse events

These are the adverse events diagnosed by the physician on follow-up visits and recorded in files and electronic records. Gastrointestinal disturbance, Psychiatric disorder, Arthralgia, hepatitis, peripheral neuropathy, hypothyroidism, epileptic seizures, dermatological effects, ototoxicity, and nephrotoxicity.

Treatment outcome

As defined by the World Health Organization in 2013 in ‘Definitions and reporting framework for tuberculosis–2013 revision: updated December 2014 and January 2020’. Table 1.

Table 1.

Operational definitions of the outcome categories of DR-TB cases

Cured Treatment is completed as recommended in the national policy without any evidence of failure AND 3 or more consecutive cultures (taken at least 30 days apart) are negative after completion of the intensive phase
Treatment completed Treatment is completed as recommended in the national policy without any evidence of failure BUT there is no record that three or more consecutive cultures (taken at least 30 days apart) are negative after the intensive phase
Treatment failed

Treatment terminated or there was a need for permanent regimen change of at least 2 anti-TB drugs and the reason could be:

− lack of conversion (by the end of the intensive phase), or

− bacteriological reversion (in the continuation phase after conversion to negative), or

− evidence of acquired resistance (additional) to fluoroquinolones or second-line injectable drugs, or

− adverse drug reactions (ADRs).

Died A patient who dies for any reason during the course of treatment
Lost to follow-up A patient whose treatment was interrupted for 2 consecutive months or more.
Not evaluated A patient for whom no treatment outcome is assigned. (This includes cases “transferred out” to another treatment unit and whose treatment outcome is unknown)
Treatment success The sum of cured and treatment completed

In this study, DR-TB patients were managed by using standardized PMDT regimens. Including longer all-oral regimens (LTR1-LTR4), modified longer regimens adding bedaquiline (LTR2a/2b), injectable-based regimens (STR and STR-modified) and also both standard and modified shorter treatment regimens (STR and STR-modified). These treatment regimens were selected based on drug-susceptibility testing results, national PMDT guidelines and WHO recommendations.

Data analysis

Frequencies of MDR-TB, RR-TB, Pre-XDR-TB, XDR-TB categories were identified and their associations with socio-demographic and disease-related factors, treatment outcome and adverse drug events were determined. Regression was applied to determine the predictive nature of these factors for treatment outcome. Data was entered on SPSS version 24. The current study adhered to the principles of Declaration of Helsinki and anonymity of data was ensured.

Results

Categories of drug resistance

Upon confirmation, RR resistance was found in 32.8% (127/387), MDR in 45.0% (174/387), Pre-XDR-TB in 21.2% (82/387) and XDR-TB in the remaining 1.0% (4/387). Drug-resistant TB was Pulmonary in 373/387 (96.4%) patients, while 3.6% were extra-pulmonary. Among pulmonary DR-TB, 117/373 (31.4%) were RR, 171/373 (45.8%) were MDR, 81/373 (21.7%) and 4/373 (1.1%) XDR-TB cases. In extra-pulmonary, 10/14 (71.4%) cases were RR, 3 (21.4%) MDR, 1 (7.1%) pre-XDR, and none were XDR-TB.

Out of 387, DST (Drug Susceptibility testing) was done for confirmation of resistance on 209/387 (54%) patients and LPA (Line Probe Assay) was done on 280/387 (50%) patients. Culture positives DST samples were 174/209 (83.2%) while 35/209 (16.7%) were negative and they were treated after confirmed by LPA. DST results for FLD (First Line Drugs) show Rifampicin 131/172 (76.16%), Isoniazid 147/174 (84.48%), Ethambutol 40/173 (23.12%), Pyrazanimde 64/158 (40.50%) and Streptomycin 79/168 (47%). DST results for SLD (Second Line Drugs) show 2.3% resistance against Amikacin, 39.7% resistance against Levofloxacin, 9.2% resistance against Moxifloxacin, 100% against Ethionamide, 10.3% Bedaquiline, 3.1% Delamanid, 6.1% Linazolid and 0% against Cycloserine.

Distribution of mean age among DRTB groups

The mean age of 387 drug-resistant TB patients was 38.43 with an SD of 17.190. ANOVA was applied. Multiple comparisons were done using post-hoc Tukey’s test to find the difference between groups. The mean difference of age between RR-TB vs. MDR-TB and RR-TB vs. Pre XDR-TB groups was found to be significant with p = 0.007 and p = 0.002 respectively (Table 2).

Table 2.

Distribution of mean age among DRTB groups

DRTB Patterns N Mean Std. Deviation F p-value
RR-TB 127 42.61 17.778 4.494 0.004
MDR-TB 173 37.23 17.076
Pre-XDR-TB 82 34.99 15.554
XDR-TB 4 28.00 10.424
Total 386 38.43 17.190
Multiple Comparison Mean Difference P-value
RR-TB vs. MDR-TB 5.383 0.007
RR-TB vs. Pre XDR-TB 7.626 0.002
RR-TB vs. XDR-TB 14.614 0.091

Distribution of socio-demographic factors

There were 54.2% males and 38.2% were in 26 to 50 age group and 31% are 25 yrs or less. It was observed that only age (p-value = 0.007) and gender (p-value = 0.047) have been found significantly associated with the DRTB groups (Table 3).

Table 3.

Socio-demographic factors associated with different types of drug resistance found in tuberculosis cases enrolled at all PMDT centers of district Lahore in 2021

Socio-demographic attributes/
Factors
Sub-categories Drug Resistance Total Chi-Square
(P-Value)
RR-TB
n (%)
MDR-TB
n (%)
Pre-XDR/XDR TB
n (%)

Age

(years)

0–25 32 (26.4) 56 (46.3) 33 (27.3) 121 (100)

14.193

(0.007 )

26 to 50 42 (28.4) 69 (46.6) 37 (25.0) 148 (100)
> 50 53 (45.3) 48 (41.0) 16 (13.7) 117 (100)
Total 127 (32.9) 173 (44.8) 86 (22.3) 386* (100)
Gender Male 80 (38.1) 84 (40.0) 46 (21.9) 210 (100)

6.433

(0.040)

Female 47 (26.6) 90 (50.8) 40 (22.6) 177 (100)
Total 127 (32.8) 174 (45.0) 86 (22.2) 387 (100)
BMI at the start of treatment Underweight 77 (31.6) 112 (45.9) 55 (21.7) 244 (100)

4.294

(0.637)

Normal 37 (37.4) 40 (40.4) 22 (22.2) 99 (100)
Overweight 4 (23.5) 11 (64.7) 2 (11.8) 17 (100)
Obese 1/Obese 2 9 (26.3) 11 (36.8) 7 (25.9) 27 (100)
Total 127 (32.8) 174 (45.0) 86 (22.2) 387 (100)
BMI at 3rd month of treatment Underweight 55 (28.8) 88 (46.1) 48 (25.1) 191 (100)

0.076

(0.923)

Normal 37 (35.9) 42 (40.8) 24 (23.3) 103 (100)
Overweight 6 (31.6) 9 (47.4) 4 (21.1) 19 (100)
Obese 1/Obese 2 9 (25.0) 14 (55.0) 6 (20.7) 29 (100)
Not Recorded 20 (44.4) 21 (46.7) 4 (8.9) 45 (100)

9.566

(0.144)

Total 127 (32.8) 174 (45.0) 86 (21.2) 387 (100)
BMI at the end of treatment Underweight 37 (25.0) 71 (48.0) 40 (27.0) 148 (100)
Normal 46 (40.4) 45 (39.5) 23 (28.3) 114 (100)
Overweight 11 (32.4) 16 (47.1) 7 (20.6) 34 (100)
Obese 1/Obese 2 10 (18.2) 18 (45.5) 14 (33.3) 42 (100)
Not Recorded 23 (46.9) 24 (49.0) 2 (4.1) 49 (100)
Total 127 (32.8) 174 (45.0) 86 (21.2) 387 (100)
Unemployed Housewife 28(25.7) 56 (51.4) 25 (22.0) 109 (100)
Others 7 (43.8) 6 (37.5) 3 (12.5) 16 (100)
Employed Laborer 33 (33.3) 45 (45.5) 21 (21.2) 99 (100)
Student 20 (31.7) 27 (42.9) 16 (23.8) 63 (100)
Worker 38 (40.4) 36 (38.3) 20 (20.2) 94 (100)
Others 1 (50.0) 4 (50.0) 1 (0.0) 6 (100)
Total 127 (32.8) 174 (45.0) 86 (21.2) 387 (100)

age of one transferred out patient is not available in record

Association of pertinent co-morbidities with DRTB groups

The highest proportion 41 (44.6%) of all types of comorbidities were observed in MDR-TB group. Only hypertension (p-value = 0.037) and smoking (p-value = 0.030) were found significantly associated with the DRTB groups. (Table 4).

Table 4.

Co-morbidities association with DR-TB groups

Co-morbidities DRTB Groups Total Chi-Square
(P-value)
RR-TB
n (%)
MDR-TB
n (%)
Pre-XDR/XDR TB
n (%)
Co-morbidities Yes 34 (37.0) 41 (44.6) 17 (18.5) 92 (100)

1.396

(0.498)

No 93 (31.5) 133 (45.1) 65 (22.0) 295 (100)
Total 127 (32.8) 174 (45.0) 86 (22.2) 387 (100)
Diabetes Yes 25 (34.2) 34 (46.6) 14 (19.2) 73 (100)

0.483

(0.785)

No 102 (32.5) 140 (44.6) 72 (22.9) 314 (100)
Total 127 (32.8) 174 (45.0) 82 (22.2) 387 (100)
Hypertension Yes 5 (71.4) 0 (0.0) 2 (28.6) 7 (100)

6.573

(0.037)

No 122 (32.1) 174 (45.8) 84 (22.1) 314 (100)
Total 127 (32.8) 174 (45.0) 86 (22.2) 387 (100)
Smoking Yes 20 (51.3) 14 (35.9) 5 (12.8) 7 (100)

7.024

(0.030)

No 107 (30.7) 160 (46.0) 81 (23.3) 314 (100)
Total 127 (32.8) 174 (45.0) 86 (22.2) 387 (100)

Distribution of disease-related factors

Prior TB history was present in 65.1% (252/387) patients, all were pulmonary except 1 that was extra pulmonary. Previous TB history was present in 31.3% (79/252) of current RR patients while 46.4% (117/252) in MDR, 22.2% (56/252) in Pre-XDR and XDR patients with no significant difference (P-value = 0.664). Out of 252 patients with prior TB history 96.4% (243/252) received FLD in prior TB treatment regimen while 3.6% (3/252) received SLD and 2.38% (6/252) received both FLD and SLD. Amongst 252 patients with prior TB history 116 (46%) received treatment at government hospitals, 50 (19.8%) received treatment at private hospitals while treatment centers of 86 (34.1%) patients were not reported in the patient record. Prior TB treatment outcomes mentioned in record showed that 1 (0.4%) was a treatment success, 33 (13%) were treatment failure, 186 (73.8%) were not evaluated, 9 (3.6%) were lost to follow-up and 23 (9.1%) had complete treatment but relapse occurred.

Duration of sickness prior to the diagnosis of DR-TB was self-reported by the patient and documented in the record as history of appearance of first symptoms. The duration was categorized as 0 to 6 months having 83.2% (322/387) patients, 7–18 months category with 12.1% (47/387), 19 to 24 months category with 3.1% (12/387), 25 to 36 months category with 1% (4/387) patients and more than 37 months category had only 0.5% (2/387) patients. Mean duration of sickness prior to the diagnosis of DRTB was 3.84 ± 5.755 (SD) months in RR group, 5.68 ± 10.623 months in MDR group and 6.20 ± 7.329 months in pre-XDR/XDR group.

Duration of intensive phase in DRTB groups

The mean duration of the intensive phase is highest at 7.7134 ± 4.10273 for pre-XDR/XDR TB and lowest at 6.181 ± 1.31787 for RR-TB and differs significantly (p-value < 0.001) across different types of DRTB group. The pairwise comparison shows that the mean duration of the intensive phase of RR-TB and MDR-TB differ significantly (p-value < 0.001). The mean duration of the intensive phase of MDR-TB and PRE-XDR/XDR also differ significantly (p-value < 0.001).

Duration of continuous phase in DR-TB groups

The mean duration of the continuous phase is highest at 10.710 ± 1.494 months for pre-XDR/XDR TB and lowest at 9.330 ± 3.756 months for RR-TB and differs significantly (F = 8.090, p-value < 0.001) across all DRTB. The pairwise comparison shows that the mean duration of the continuous phase of RR-TB and MDR-TB differ significantly (p-value < 0.001) and also the continuous phase of RR-TB and PRE-XDR/XDR differ significantly (p-value = 0.002).

Distribution of adverse events among DRTB groups

Overall, in all cases of DRTB arthralgia was the most common adverse event at 21%, followed by gastrointestinal disturbance at 14.5% and psychiatric disorder at 14.3%. However, presence of ototoxicity was significantly different among DRTB groups. Among all cases having ototoxicity, the highest proportion 6(75.0%) was observed among Pre-XDR-TB/XDR-TB. It was found that ototoxicity had a significant higher association with Pre-XDR-TB/XDR-TB (p = 0.005), (Table 5).

Table 5.

Major adverse drug events in different types of drug resistance found in tuberculosis cases enrolled at all PMDT centers of district Lahore in 2021

Major Adverse drug events Drug Resistance Total Chi Square (P-value)
RR-TB
n (%)
MDR-TB
n (%)
Pre-XDR-TB/XDR-TB
n (%)
Anemia 6 (21.4%) 14 (50%) 8 (28.5%) 28 (5.0%) 1.911 (0.3853)
GI Irritation 31 (37.8%) 28 (34.1%) 23 (28.0%) 82 (14.6%) 5.085 (0.079)
Psychological Issues 21 (25.9%) 41 (50.6%) 19 (23.5%) 81 (14.4%) 2.281 (0.320)
Arthralgias 40 (33.6%) 55 (46.2%) 24 (20.2%) 119 (21.2%) 0.420 (0.811)
Drug Induced Hepatitis 16 (48.8%) 10 (30.3%) 7 (21.2%) 33 (5.8%) 4.439 (0.109)
Myelosuppression 27 (35.0%) 32 (41.5%) 18 (23.4%) 77 (13.7%) 0.453 (0.797)
Nephrotoxicity 11 (42.3%) 7 (26.9%) 8 (30.7%) 26 (4.6%) 3.698 (0.157)
Ototoxicity 1 (12.5%) 2 (12.5%) 6 (75.0%) 9 (1.6%) 10.573 (0.005)*
Peripheral Neuropathy 10 (22.7%) 23 (52.2%) 11 (25.0%) 44 (7.8%) 2.303 (0.316)
Dermatological Issues 9 (20.4%) 21 (47.7%) 14 (31.8%) 44 (7.8%) 4.453 (0.108)
QTC Prolongation 6 (35.2%) 9 (52.9%) 2 (11.7%) 17 (3.0%) 1.160 (0.560)
Total 178 (31.7%) 242 (43.2%) 140 (25.0%) 560 (100%)

*Fisher Exact test

Major adverse events with different drugs

A total of 208 adverse events were reported in all DRTB cases. The highest frequency of myelosuppression (n = 65) and PN (n = 42) was observed among cases taking Linezolid. The highest frequency of arthralgia (n = 113) was seen with Pyrazinamide. (Figures 1 and 2).

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Frequency of Major Adverse Drug Events with Different Drugs administered to tuberculosis cases enrolled at all PMDT centers of District Lahore in 2021

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Adverse effects of Pyrazinamide administered to tuberculosis cases enrolled at all PMDT centers of District Lahore in 2021

Treatment outcome as success (cured & completed), mortality, lost to follow up and not evaluated are mentioned in Table 6.

Table 6.

Treatment outcome in different types of drug resistance found in tuberculosis cases enrolled at all PMDT centers of district Lahore in 2021

Treatment outcome Drug Resistance Total
RR-TB
n (%)
MDR-TB
n (%)
Pre-XDR-TB
n (%)
XDR-TB
n (%)
Cured 87 (68.5%) 118 (68.2%) 71 (86.5%) 2 (66.6%) 278 (51.5%)
Completed 3 (2.3%) 5 (2.9%) 0 (0.0%) 0 (0.0%) 8 (2.1%)
Died 20 (15.7%) 32 (18.5%) 6 (7.3%) 1 (33.3%) 59 (15.3%)
Lost to Follow-up 12 (9.4%) 13 (7.5%) 3 (3.6%) 0 (0.0%) 28 (7.2%)
Not Evaluated 5 (3.9%) 3 (1.7%) 0 (0.0%) 0 (0.0%) 8 (2.1%)
Total 127 (100%) 173 (100%) 82 (100%) 3 (100)) 385 (100.0%)

A multivariable binary logistic regression model was applied to determine the association between selected independent variables and treatment outcome (coded as 1 = successful, 0 = unsuccessful). The independent variables used in the model were gender, prior TB history, presence of comorbidities, and age group. The analysis revealed that male gender was significantly associated with higher odds of treatment success (B = 0.600, OR = 1.823, p = 0.018). This indicates that, after adjusting for other variables in the model, male patients were 1.82 times more likely to achieve a successful treatment outcome compared to female patients. Patients with a prior history of TB had 1.62 times higher odds of treatment success (B = 0.483, OR = 1.621), although this association did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.066). The presence of comorbidities was associated with a 25.5% reduction in the odds of treatment success (B = -0.294, OR = 0.745), but this relationship was not statistically significant (p = 0.323). With respect to age, patients aged < 40 years had significantly lower odds of treatment success compared to those aged ≥ 40 years (B = -0.976, OR = 0.377, p < 0.001). This suggests that, in the study population, younger patients were less likely to achieve successful treatment outcomes.

Discussion

The objective of identifying patterns and predictors of drug resistance and treatment outcome was adequately fulfilled. This facility-based cohort of 385 DR-TB patients confirmed and enrolled for the treatment in 2021 showed interesting results. Global pooled MDR prevalence estimates in 2023 were approx. 11.6% (95% CI 9.1–14.5%) but with both facility-based and population studies mixed [20]. Estimated proportion of new cases with MDR/RR TB were 3.3% approx. in 2022 while approx. 17% were previously treated cases. The burden of DR-TB was 3% increased between 2020 and 2021 [21]. In Pakistan, wide variation is reported in facility and PMDT cohorts showing a range of MDR from 15% to 40% depending upon the sample size, selection criteria and other factors [22].

The distribution of resistance in our study was RR 32.8%, MDR 45.0%, Pre-XDR 21.2%, and XDR-TB 1.0%. The proportion of RR and MDR TB is consistently higher than the reported estimates of national surveillance and WHO global [23]. Erashri et al. showed quite different results with RR-TB in 56.4% and MDR TB 13.4%. The RR resistance was more common than multidrug resistance as compared to our study [24], reflecting variation across settings, regions and testing approaches. The difference in pattern is a good predictor of how our health system should approach the single and multidrug resistance in Pakistan. In Punjab province of Pakistan, MDR-TB data of 1250 cases in nine tertiary care hospitals (5 years) showed resistance to all first-line anti-tuberculosis medications was 41% [25]. This was the data from 2010 to 14 but we can still very well appreciate approximately same multi-drug resistance pattern in Punjab (Lahore) in 2021 as well. MDR/RR-TB is present in significantly higher proportion in Pakistan. The lower resistance rate (4.5%) in Bhatti et al. may be due to the reason that they included new cases only while our cohort included previously treated cases as well [26]. Age and gender distribution in our study was quite similar to a 5-years study in Punjab [25] where the mean age was 32 (± 13.5SD) years and 53% were males. Multiple studies also showed almost similar age and gender distribution with no difference between drug resistant groups but the mean age shows more patients in productive age group (35 to 40 years) while another evidence highlighted that males made up 71.6% of the DR-TB population and 78.4% of the population was under 45 years [24, 27–29]. A different age and gender pattern was seen in another study [30]. The difference in pattern seems to be due to variable cohort characteristics and diagnostic definitions/timing etc.

In our study, FLD resistance was shown to Rifampicin at 76.16% and isoniazid at 84.48% mainly, while DST results for SLD showed 100% against Ethionamide. A meta-analysis of 38 studies (highest from Asia) on Mycobacterium TB isolates showed variable hetero-resistance (HR) with a pooled prevalence of 5% to Isoniazid, 7% to Rifampicin, 10% to fluoroquinolone and 1% to ethambutol 10% [14]. Drugs used for DR-TB are known to be associated with adverse effects, but their rate of occurrence is variable in different populations. MDR-TB isolates were resistant to at least one second-line medication in 6.3% of cases including 5.7% Pre-XDR-TB and 0.6% XDR-TB [31]. In our study, 39.7% of subjects showed resistance to Levofloxacin (SLD) mainly. These differences are probably due to different immune responses, the genetic makeup of our population, their nutritional behavior, and drug behavior. An 8-years (2014-21) national study in Gabon regions broadly supports our findings like the male predominance, high RR/MDR burden in productive/ working-age population and rising incidence of RR but the second-line resistance pattern is different. Gabon regions showed much lower pre-XDR and XDR proportions (9% and 0.3%) than ours (21.2% & 1%) probably due to national level surveillance data and the denominator being the second-line-tested isolates only [32].

In our study, pulmonary TB was in 96.4% of patients, while 3.6% were with extra-pulmonary. A similar evidence suggesting about 85.1% of the DR patients with pulmonary TB, 11.7% extrapulmonary, and 3.2% with both PTB and EPTB [33].

In our study 65.1% had a prior history of TB and showed markedly unfavorable outcomes, like extremely low treatment success (0.4%), high treatment failure (13%), loss to follow-up and relapse and unusually large group of ‘not evaluated’ category (73.8%). These findings are consistent with global evidence depicting previously treated TB as a major predicting factor of poor outcomes in DR-TB mainly due to poor adherence and accumulated resistance. Studies from Ethiopia, South Africa and Pakistan reported similar lower success and higher failure or LTFU among retreatment cases [23, 31, 34]. Treatment compliance is a big determining factor for developing resistance. We found a range of cured or treatment completed (success) rate as 36.8%, 41.4% and 63.5% in few cohorts [35–37] as compared to our 53.6% success rate. These differences are might be due to delays in diagnosis, programmatic gaps in compliance and follow-up or incomplete treatment evaluation in the case of poor outcome. Our results when compared with the study by Atif et al. showed a higher proportion of XDR patients with successful treatment outcomes (66% vs. 28.8%). Furthermore, the mortality rate of XDR patients in our study was less (8.2%) as compared to the 45.1% reported by Atif et al. This difference is perhaps due to the geographical and immune response factors in these studies [17]. Second-line TB drugs are administered for a longer duration than first-line drugs, thus the side effect profile takes more importance here with an effect on the patient’s quality of life [38]. Among the TB drugs, pyrazinamide was associated with the most side effects, which is also consistent with other studies [39]. This emphasizes the importance of early recognition of side effects especially in patients on pyrazinamide to either discontinue or take measures to ensure effective compliance [38]. A noteworthy finding from our study is arthralgia as the most common adverse event (21%), followed by gastrointestinal disturbance (14.5%) and psychiatric disorder (14.3%), aligning with previous research observations [38]. In a meta-analysis (2020), the lowest incidence of adverse effects was found with fluoroquinolones, clofazimine, and bedaquiline, whereas amino-salicylic acid, and linezolid showed the highest incidence of adverse effects [11]. In a study on 751 MDR-TB patients 90.7% experienced at least one type of adverse event; 6.8% required the permanent discontinuation of the offending medicine as a result of adverse events; and 55.2% required a change in MDR-TB treatment [40]. Another study from Bahawalpur, Pakistan showed 63.7% of MDR-TB patients with at least one adverse effect, including arthralgia (27.4%), nausea and vomiting (27.4%), and depression (33%). The presence of comorbidity and employment status were associated with adverse outcomes [41].

The World Health Organization’s recent recommendation to utilize a brief regimen showed a remarkable rate of effectiveness, especially among HIV-positive patients [42]. Patient-related demographic factors like male sex and older age were found to be associated with MDR-TB-Related mortality along with some clinical factors like undernutrition, co-morbidity, diabetes, HIV co-infection, clinical complications, history of TB, previous history of second-line anti-TB treatment, a smear-positive TB, and presence of XDR-TB [43]. Prior therapy, age 24 or less than 24, 25 to 44 years, and age of 45 to 64 years along with female gender and births other than Estonia were associated with MDR-TB in patients of this age group. Prior TB is a common risk factor for severe DR-TB and MDR-TB [44].

A bibliometric analysis of TB-related research production from 2011 to 2020 showed that Pakistan’s TB research output was low [45]. The emergence of drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) poses a challenge to the already heavily burdened and resource-poor health systems in developing countries. The rapidly evolving epidemiological pattern of drug-resistant TB further complicates this issue [46]. Moreover, the progress in DR-TB research on a global scale has been hindered by the widespread impact of the Coronavirus pandemic, further exacerbating the challenges [47]. This holds for Pakistan as well, where the fight against DR-TB has experienced a setback due to the disruptions caused by the ongoing pandemic.

This study provides valuable insights into the pattern and predictors of drug resistance tuberculosis in Pakistan. The sample included all patients under treatment at all PMDT centers in a metropolitan city/district. These findings are representative of a large population group because DR-TB treatment is only provided in government sector in only these 3 centers for this highly populated city. This study has the limitation that HIV positives with DR-TB are shifted to the HIV/AIDS program, so not included in this study. The study has policy, practice and social implications not only in Pakistani health system’s context but also for global context.

Conclusion

The current study reveals quite alarmingly poor treatment outcome among drug-resistant TB, particularly poor outcome in those with prior TB history. This study highlights the pattern and predictors of drug-resistant tuberculosis in the metropolitan city of Lahore, Pakistan, Productive age groups are mostly affected and both genders are equal. Pyrazinamide was the drug with the most adverse effects and arthralgia was the most common adverse effect of the treatment. This study highlights critical weaknesses in the care cascade for drug-resistant TB. Addressing these gaps through political will, evidence-informed policies, enhancing provider capacity, community engagement, social support and enhanced surveillance system’s capacity is essential to prevent further spread of drug resistance. This can be achieved by aligning national outcomes with global targets to ending tuberculosis.

Acknowledgements

We acknowledge the financial support by WHO for 2022 Joint EMRO/TDR Impact Grants for regional priorities focused on implementation research in infectious diseases of poverty reference # AP-22-00773.

Authors’ contributions

HA contributed to the conception of the research topic, literature review, proposal development, execution, data analysis, scientific writingAH contributed to the conception of the research topic, proposal development, execution, data analysis, scientific writingMAN contributed to the proposal development, literature review, and data collectionSWS contributed to the proposal development and analysisAK contributed to the analysis and results writeupSNM contributed to the analysis and results and discussion writeup MA contributed to the review of final draft and gave intellectual input in the discussion. NHS contributed to the review of final draft and gave intellectual input in the methods and discussion.

Funding

Financial support by WHO for 2022 Joint EMRO/TDR Impact Grants for regional priorities focused on implementation research in infectious diseases of poverty reference # AP-22-00773. This does not cover the publication cost (APC).

Data availability

Data on SPSS can be shared upon request. The request is to be sent through the email, drayeshah@gmail.com, to Dr. Ayesha Humayun, the corresponding author of this paper.

Declarations

Ethics approval and consent to participate

The study adhered to the principles of Helsinki’s declaration. Ethical approval was obtained from the IRB named Institutional Review and Research Advisory Board of Shaikh Zayed Postgraduate Medical Institute, Lahore, Pakistan. The secondary data were accessed so the need for consent was waived off by the IRB, so only permission and administrative consent were obtained from the program manager of the TB control program in Punjab, Pakistan.

Consent for publication

Not applicable.

Competing interests

Ex-manager TB control program, Punjab is one of the co-authors in this paper.

Footnotes

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Hira Ashfaq and Ayesha Humayun contributed equally to this work and held the joint first author position.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Data Availability Statement

Data on SPSS can be shared upon request. The request is to be sent through the email, drayeshah@gmail.com, to Dr. Ayesha Humayun, the corresponding author of this paper.


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