Skip to main content
Scientific Reports logoLink to Scientific Reports
. 2026 Mar 18;16:14106. doi: 10.1038/s41598-026-43767-3

Fractal-fractional modeling of chronic myelogenous leukemia immune dynamics using Laguerre wavelets method

Sagar R Khirsariya 1,#, Noorullah Noori 2,✉,#
PMCID: PMC13136338  PMID: 41851406

Abstract

This investigation proposes and analyzes a novel mathematical framework for understanding the complex tumor-immune system dynamics in Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia (CML). We adapt the established Moore and Li three-population model (naive T-cells, effector T-cells, and CML cells) by reformulating it using fractal-fractional differential operators of the Atangana–Baleanu type. This advanced approach offers a significant enhancement over standard models, as it simultaneously captures the fractal geometry of tumor structures and the non-local memory effects inherent in biological immune responses. We first establish the theoretical foundations, providing rigorous proofs for the existence, uniqueness, positivity, and boundedness of solutions, ensuring biological viability. Stability analysis of the tumor-present equilibrium is then conducted. For numerical simulation, a robust and highly accurate scheme based on the Laguerre Wavelets Method (LWM) is implemented with its efficacy demonstrated via comparison and convergence analysis. Numerical experiments visualize the system’s behavior under various fractal dimensions and fractional orders, revealing their profound impact on tumor progression. A sensitivity analysis identifies key parameters for potential therapeutic intervention. This work provides a more flexible and realistic mathematical tool for predictive oncology.

Keywords: Chronic myelogenous leukemia (CML), Fractal–fractional derivative, Atangana–Baleanu operator, Laguerre wavelets method (LWM), Stability and qualitative analysis

Subject terms: Cancer, Computational biology and bioinformatics, Mathematics and computing

Introduction

Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia (CML) is a myeloproliferative neoplasm characterized by the excessive and unregulated growth of myeloid cells in the bone marrow and their accumulation in the blood1,2. The hallmark of CML is the Philadelphia chromosome, a cytogenetic abnormality resulting from a translocation that produces the BCR-ABL fusion protein, a constitutively active tyrosine kinase that drives uncontrolled cell proliferation3. Understanding the intricate dynamics between the burgeoning CML cell population and the body’s immune response is paramount for designing effective, long-term treatment strategies. Mathematical modeling has emerged as an indispensable tool in quantitative oncology, providing a framework to dissect complex biological interactions and predict therapeutic outcomes4,5. One of the foundational models in this area was proposed by Moore and Li6, which describes the competitive and predatory interactions between CML cells, naive T-cells (Inline graphic), and effector T-cells (Inline graphic). This model, formulated as a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs), laid the groundwork for analyzing chemo-immunotherapy strategies. However, classical ODE models operate under the Markovian assumption, implying that the future state of the system depends only on its present state. This fails to capture the significant memory and hereditary properties inherent in complex biological systems7,8. Immune cell activation, differentiation, and the long-term effects of cellular signaling are non-local in time. To address this, fractional calculus, which employs non-integer order derivatives, was introduced. Fractional-order models (FOMs) have demonstrated superior performance in describing biological phenomena, including tumor-immune dynamics, by incorporating memory effects9,10. Despite this advancement, standard fractional operators still do not account for the intrinsic fractal nature of many biological structures. Tumor growth is not homogenous; tumors exhibit complex, irregular, and fractal-like geometries11,12. These fractal structures influence nutrient diffusion, cell migration, and drug delivery. To bridge this gap, a new class of operators, known as fractal–fractional (FF) derivatives, was recently introduced13,14. These operators unify the concepts of fractal dimension (describing geometric complexity) and fractional order (describing memory) into a single mathematical expression. The Atangana–Baleanu (AB) operator, in particular, has gained prominence due to its non-singular Mittag-Leffler kernel, which adeptly captures both fractal and memory-driven processes15. The application of FF operators to biological systems is a burgeoning field of research. Recent studies have demonstrated their utility in epidemiology16,17 and other complex dynamical systems18, showing increased flexibility and a better fit to real-world data compared to their integer-order or standard fractional counterparts. Several studies have explored CML and other tumor models using standard fractional derivatives19–23, but the application of fractal–fractional calculus to the specific CML Immune interaction model of Moore and Li6 remains an open avenue of inquiry. In recent years, fractal–fractional and fractional-order derivatives have been widely applied to biological and epidemiological systems, particularly in tumor and immune modeling. For instance, models employing the Mittag-Leffler kernel have been used to investigate immune system–cancer interactions24, demonstrating improved capability in capturing memory-dependent immune responses25. Fractal–fractional operators have also been successfully applied to infectious disease dynamics using real clinical data26, confirming their flexibility and enhanced fitting performance, A study on brain tumor dynamics in two-dimensional irregular domain with variable-order time-fractional derivative27. Furthermore, several studies have analyzed tumor–immune interaction models using Caputo and other fractional derivatives28, highlighting the importance of non-local effects in cancer progression. These contributions collectively indicate that fractional and fractal–fractional frameworks provide more realistic descriptions compared to classical integer-order models. However, to the best of our knowledge, the Moore and Li CML Immune model has not yet been formulated and rigorously analyzed within the Atangana–Baleanu fractal–fractional framework, which motivates the present investigation. A significant challenge in using FF operators is the development of reliable and efficient numerical methods. Standard finite difference methods can be computationally intensive and suffer from convergence issues. Wavelet-based numerical methods have proven to be powerful tools for solving complex differential equations29. Among these, the Laguerre wavelets method (LWM) is particularly attractive due to its orthogonality, compact support, and ability to approximate functions on a semi-infinite interval, making it well-suited for time-domain simulations30. Although several studies have applied standard fractional derivatives to tumor–immune interaction models, the combined effect of non-local memory and fractal tumor geometry has not yet been incorporated into the Moore and Li CML framework6. Classical and fractional models account for hereditary immune effects but assume a Euclidean interaction space, thereby neglecting the structural complexity of tumor microenvironments. The primary motivation of this study is to develop a unified mathematical framework that simultaneously captures memory effects and geometric complexity using the Atangana–Baleanu fractal–fractional (ABC) operator. In this context, the fractional order Inline graphic models the hereditary behavior of immune response, while the fractal dimension Inline graphic characterizes the irregular structure of the tumor microenvironment. The main novelty of this work lies in the reformulation of the classical CML–immune model within a fractal–fractional setting, accompanied by rigorous qualitative analysis (existence, uniqueness, positivity, boundedness, and global stability), the development of a tailored Laguerre Wavelets numerical scheme for the FF system, and a detailed investigation of how Inline graphic and Inline graphic jointly influence long-term tumor dynamics.

This manuscript is structured as follows: In “Model formulation” section, we formulate the CML Immune interaction model using the Atangana–Baleanu fractal–fractional (ABC) operator, explain the biological significance of each term, and present the model parameters. “Preliminaries” section provides the essential mathematical definitions and theorems from fractal–fractional calculus. In “Qualitative analysis” section, we conduct a rigorous qualitative analysis, proving the existence, uniqueness, positivity, and boundedness of the solutions. “ Stability analysis” section is dedicated to the stability analysis of the system’s equilibrium points. In “Numerical solution by Laguerre wavelets method (LWM)” section, we develop the numerical scheme based on the Laguerre wavelets method (LWM) to solve the FF-CML model. An algorithm for the LWM is presented in “Algorithm of the suggested method” section. “Method validation and comparison” section provides a numerical comparison of LWM with other methods and an analysis of its convergence rate. “Numerical simulation and discussion” section presents and discusses the numerical simulations, including the effects of varying fractal and fractional orders, sensitivity analysis, and 3D phase portraits. Finally, “Conclusion and future scope” section concludes the overall findings and directions for future research. A summary of key findings is tabulated in “Summary of key findings” section.

Model formulation

The foundation of our investigation is the established mathematical model of Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia (CML) and T-cell interaction proposed by Moore and Li6. This model captures the predator-prey-like dynamics of the immune system and the tumor. We first provide a detailed deconstruction of this classical integer-order model to elucidate the biological mechanisms it represents.

The model tracks the population densities of three distinct cell types over time t: the naive T-cells Inline graphic, the activated effector T-cells Inline graphic, and the CML cancer cells C(t).

Classical model derivation

The classical model is formulated as a system of coupled, non-linear ordinary differential equations (ODEs) that describe the rate of change for each population. The control functions Inline graphic and Inline graphic represent the efficacy of targeted therapy (e.g., imatinib) and broad cytotoxic chemotherapy, respectively.

graphic file with name d33e396.gif 1
graphic file with name d33e401.gif 2
graphic file with name d33e406.gif 3

Naive T-cell Dynamics(Inline graphic): Equation (1) governs the Inline graphic population. The term Inline graphic represents the constant source of new naive T-cells produced by the thymus, entering the compartment as a constant influx. The term Inline graphic models the natural death of naive T-cells, which occurs at a constant per-capita rate Inline graphic. This death rate is scaled by Inline graphic, reflecting the fact that non-specific chemotherapy is cytotoxic to healthy immune cells as well as cancer cells. The final term, Inline graphic, describes the primary activation process. Naive T-cells are activated into effector T-cells upon encountering CML antigen. This process is modeled to be proportional to the Inline graphic population itself and the availability of antigen. The antigen signal is represented by a Michaelis-Menten (or Holling Type II) function Inline graphic. This form is chosen because the activation response saturates: as the CML population C becomes very large, the activation stimulus reaches its maximum. The parameter Inline graphic is the maximum activation rate, and Inline graphic is the half-saturation constant, representing the CML population at which the activation response is half-maximal.

Effector T-cell Dynamics (Inline graphic): Equation (2) describes the Inline graphic population, which is the activated immune defense. The first term, Inline graphic, is the direct influx of new Inline graphic cells from the activated Inline graphic pool. This term is directly coupled to the loss term in the Inline graphic equation, where Inline graphic is a proliferation constant representing the number of Inline graphic cells produced per activated Inline graphic cell. The second term, Inline graphic, accounts for the self-proliferation (clonal expansion) of the existing Inline graphic population. This process is also stimulated by the CML antigen, following the same saturated Michaelis-Menten kinetics. The third term, Inline graphic, is the natural death of effector T-cells at rate Inline graphic, which is also unfortunately enhanced by cytotoxic chemotherapy Inline graphic. The final term, Inline graphic, represents the inactivation or exhaustion of Inline graphic cells due to direct interaction with CML cells. This is modeled using the law of mass-action, where the rate of inactivation is proportional to the frequency of encounters between Inline graphic and C cells, governed by the rate Inline graphic.

CML Cell Dynamics (C): Equation (3) defines the growth and decay of the tumor population. The first term, Inline graphic, models the intrinsic growth of the CML population. This is a Gompertz growth function, which is chosen over simple logistic growth because it better reflects tumor dynamics: growth is initially rapid but slows as the tumor size C approaches its carrying capacity Inline graphic. The parameter Inline graphic is the intrinsic growth rate. This entire term is multiplied by Inline graphic, where Inline graphic is the efficacy of targeted therapy (like imatinib) that specifically inhibits the BCR-ABL protein, thereby directly suppressing the tumor’s characteristic growth. The second term, Inline graphic, models the death of CML cells induced by broad cytotoxic chemotherapy. This death rate Inline graphic is scaled by the chemo dosage Inline graphic. The final and most crucial interaction term is Inline graphic. This represents the killing (predation) of CML cells by the activated effector T-cells. This interaction is also modeled using the law of mass-action, proportional to the populations of both predator (Inline graphic) and prey (C), with Inline graphic being the rate of successful killing.

Model assumptions and parameters

The classical model assumes a spatially homogenous (well-mixed) environment where all cells can interact. The parameters used in this study, adopted from the original work of Moore and Li6, are based on clinical and experimental data for two different patient profiles (Patient A and Patient B). These values are detailed in Table 1. For the analysis of the system’s intrinsic dynamics, we typically consider the baseline case where Inline graphic (no targeted therapy) and Inline graphic (baseline chemotherapy or natural clearance).

Table 1.

Model parameter descriptions and their values for two distinct patient profiles, as established in6.

Parameter Description Patient A Patient B
Inline graphic Source rate of Inline graphic cells 0.29 0.071
Inline graphic Natural death rate of Inline graphic 0.35 0.05
Inline graphic Natural death rate of Inline graphic 0.40 0.12
Inline graphic Chemo death rate of C 0.012 0.68
Inline graphic Activation rate of Inline graphic 0.066 0.063
Inline graphic Half-saturation of C 140 43
Inline graphic Inline graphic prolif. (from Inline graphic) 0.39 0.56
Inline graphic Inline graphic self-proliferation 0.65 0.53
Inline graphic Carrying capacity of C 160000 190000
Inline graphic Growth rate of C 0.011 0.23
Inline graphic Inline graphic inactivation rate by C 0.079 0.077
Inline graphic C killing rate by Inline graphic 0.058 0.047

Model interaction diagram

The complex interactions between the three cell populations, as described by the model equations, are visualized in the schematic diagram presented in Fig. 1.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

A schematic diagram visualizing the interactions within the CML Immune model. Blue, green, and red nodes represent Naive T-cells, Effector T-cells, and CML cells, respectively. Solid lines indicate cell flow, transformation, or killing. Dashed lines represent stimulation or activation pathways.

Fractal–fractional model formulation

The classical ODE model (2.1) is inherently limited. It assumes that the rate of change at time t depends only on the state of the system at that exact instant. This neglects the well-established memory and hereditary properties of biological systems, where past events and cellular lineage influence current dynamics. Furthermore, the classical model assumes interactions occur in a uniform, Euclidean space. This fails to capture the complex, irregular, and often fractal-like geometry of tumor microenvironments, which governs diffusion and cell-cell interaction.

To overcome these limitations, we reformulate the model using fractal–fractional (FF) differential operators. We employ the Atangana–Baleanu derivative in the Caputo sense (ABC), denoted Inline graphic. This operator is defined by two parameters: the fractional order Inline graphic, which captures the non-local memory effects (where Inline graphic recovers the classical model), and the fractal dimension Inline graphic, which captures the geometric complexity of the underlying medium (where Inline graphic represents a standard, non-fractal medium).

By replacing the integer-order derivative Inline graphic with the FF operator, we obtain the new Fractal–Fractional CML (FF-CML) model:

graphic file with name d33e915.gif 4
graphic file with name d33e919.gif 5
graphic file with name d33e923.gif 6

This new system (2.2) retains the exact same biological interaction terms (the right-hand side) as the classical model. However, its dynamic evolution (the left-hand side) is now governed by fractal and fractional principles, providing a more flexible and potentially more realistic framework for describing the complex CML Immune battle.

Dimensional consistency remark

We note that the introduction of the Atangana–Baleanu fractal–fractional time operator does not alter the biological meaning of the state variables Inline graphic, Inline graphic, and C(t), which remain cell populations. To ensure dimensional consistency, we interpret the operator Inline graphic as a generalized time derivative of effective dimension Inline graphic (consistent with standard fractional modeling). Consequently, all rate-type parameters appearing on the right-hand side (e.g., Inline graphic, Inline graphic, Inline graphic, Inline graphic, Inline graphic) are understood as generalized rates with units Inline graphic (reducing to the classical Inline graphic when Inline graphic). The fractal dimension Inline graphic affects the temporal kernel weighting but does not change the physical units of populations or carrying capacity; in particular, Inline graphic retains units of population.

Preliminaries

We recall the fundamental definitions of the Atangana–Baleanu (AB) fractal–fractional operators based on the Mittag-Leffler kernel13.

Definition 3.1

(AB Fractional Derivative) Let Inline graphic, Inline graphic, Inline graphic. The Atangana–Baleanu derivative in the Caputo sense (ABC) is defined as:

graphic file with name d33e1025.gif

where Inline graphic is a normalization function satisfying Inline graphic, and Inline graphic is the Mittag-Leffler function defined by Inline graphic.

Definition 3.2

(AB Fractional Integral) The corresponding AB fractional integral is defined as:

graphic file with name d33e1052.gif

This integral and derivative pair satisfy the fundamental theorem Inline graphic.

Definition 3.3

(Fractal–Fractional Derivative) Let f(t) be a continuous function. The fractal–fractional derivative of f(t) of order Inline graphic and fractal dimension Inline graphic in the ABC sense are defined as14:

graphic file with name d33e1092.gif

where Inline graphic. If f is differentiable, then Inline graphic. Thus, the operator becomes:

graphic file with name d33e1108.gif

Definition 3.4

(Fractal–Fractional Integral) The corresponding fractal–fractional integral is14:

graphic file with name d33e1121.gif

Applying the integral Inline graphic to the derivative Inline graphic gives the following crucial relation for converting the system (2.2) into an integral form:

graphic file with name d33e1137.gif

This allows us to write a general FF system Inline graphic as a Volterra integral equation:

graphic file with name d33e1146.gif 7

Qualitative analysis

We analyze the mathematical properties of the FF-CML model (2.2). For brevity, let Inline graphic and the vector field Inline graphic, where:

graphic file with name d33e1165.gif 8
graphic file with name d33e1169.gif 9
graphic file with name d33e1173.gif 10

We assume Inline graphic and Inline graphic are constant controls Inline graphic and Inline graphic.

Existence and uniqueness

We use the fixed-point theorem approach on the integral equation (7). First, we must show that the kernels Inline graphic satisfy the Lipschitz condition.

Lemma 4.1

(Lipschitz Condition) The kernels Inline graphic for Inline graphic satisfy the Lipschitz condition with respect to Y in a positively invariant domain Inline graphic, provided C(t) is bounded away from zero.

Proof

Let Inline graphic and Inline graphic be two states in Inline graphic. For Inline graphic:

graphic file with name d33e1271.gif

Since Inline graphic are bounded in Inline graphic (as shown later) by some Inline graphic, and Inline graphic is Lipschitz with constant Inline graphic, we have:

graphic file with name d33e1296.gif

Similar, albeit more lengthy, bounds can be derived for Inline graphic and Inline graphic.

The term Inline graphic is Lipschitz as long as Inline graphic, as its derivative is Inline graphic, which is bounded.

Thus, Inline graphic is Lipschitz with constant Inline graphic. Inline graphic

Theorem 4.1

(Existence and Uniqueness) For a given Inline graphic, the fractal–fractional system (2.2) has a unique solution Inline graphic, provided the kernels satisfy the Lipschitz condition (Lemma 4.1).

Proof

We use the Banach Contraction Principle. Let Inline graphic be the space of continuous functions on [0, T] with the sup-norm. Define a mapping Inline graphic based on the integral equation (7):

graphic file with name d33e1387.gif

Let Inline graphic. We show Inline graphic is a contraction.

graphic file with name d33e1400.gif

Using the Lipschitz constant Inline graphic and Inline graphic:

graphic file with name d33e1412.gif

So, Inline graphic.

By choosing a sufficiently small time Inline graphic such that Inline graphic, the mapping Inline graphic is a contraction on [0, T]. By the Banach Contraction Principle, a unique fixed point (solution) Y(t) exists on [0, T]. This solution can be extended to any arbitrary interval Inline graphic by partitioning the interval. Inline graphic

Positivity and boundedness

For the model to be biologically meaningful, solutions must remain non-negative and bounded.

Theorem 4.2

(Positivity) Let the initial conditions be Inline graphic. Then the solution Y(t) of the system (2.2) remains in Inline graphic for all Inline graphic.

Proof

To justify the positivity argument, we recall that the Atangana–Baleanu kernel Inline graphic is continuous and non-singular on [0, T]. Consequently, the operator Inline graphic preserves continuity of solutions. In particular, by the standard comparison lemma for non-singular AB operators (see, e.g., Tavazoei and Haeri31), if Inline graphic at a boundary point and Inline graphic, then y(t) cannot cross the zero level toward negative values.

Moreover, the integral representation (3.1) together with the continuity of the Mittag–Leffler kernel ensures that solutions depend continuously on initial data and remain non-negative whenever the right-hand side is non-negative at the boundary.

We examine the behavior of each variable at the boundary of the positive octant.

  1. Suppose there is a first time Inline graphic such that Inline graphic and Inline graphic for Inline graphic. At Inline graphic, we have:
    graphic file with name d33e1568.gif
    The fractal–fractional derivative with a non-singular kernel (like AB) implies that the function cannot reach this point from a positive value if its derivative is strictly positive. This is a contradiction, as the function must be non-increasing to hit zero. Thus, Inline graphic for all Inline graphic.
  2. Suppose there is a first time Inline graphic such that Inline graphic. At Inline graphic, we have:
    graphic file with name d33e1597.gif
    Since Inline graphic (from part 1) and assuming Inline graphic, the derivative is Inline graphic. By the same logic, Inline graphic cannot cross into the negative region. If Inline graphic, the derivative is 0, but this holds for all Inline graphic, so Inline graphic remains 0.
  3. Suppose there is a first time Inline graphic such that Inline graphic. The C equation (6) contains Inline graphic. As Inline graphic, Inline graphic. At Inline graphic, we have:
    graphic file with name d33e1666.gif
    This derivative of 0 implies that if C(t) reaches 0, it can stay at 0. It does not become negative. Thus, Inline graphic for all Inline graphic.

Therefore, the domain Inline graphic is a positively invariant region for the system. Inline graphic

Theorem 4.3

(Boundedness) All solutions Y(t) of system (2.2) that start in Inline graphic are uniformly bounded.

Proof

The Gompertz term for C(t) provides a natural bound. From (2.2c), if Inline graphic, then Inline graphic.

graphic file with name d33e1745.gif

If Inline graphic, the derivative is strictly negative. This implies C(t) cannot grow indefinitely and is bounded, i.e., Inline graphic for some Inline graphic (which is Inline graphic if Inline graphic, or Inline graphic otherwise, before decaying). Now consider a total population Inline graphic.

graphic file with name d33e1784.gif

Assuming Inline graphic (baseline chemotherapy) and Inline graphic (assuming Inline graphic),

graphic file with name d33e1801.gif

Let Inline graphic. If Inline graphic, then

graphic file with name d33e1813.gif

By the properties of the AB derivative and the generalized mean value theorem (or a fractional comparison lemma32), this implies that N(t) is bounded above by Inline graphic as Inline graphic. Therefore, Inline graphic, Inline graphic, and C(t) are all uniformly bounded. Inline graphic

Stability analysis

This section is dedicated to a rigorous investigation of the dynamic behavior and stability of the CML Immune system. To understand the model’s intrinsic properties, we analyze the system in a baseline treatment-free scenario. This is achieved by setting the targeted therapy control Inline graphic and the cytotoxic chemotherapy control Inline graphic. The fractal–fractional model under these assumptions, which we will analyze, is given by:

graphic file with name d33e1867.gif 11
graphic file with name d33e1871.gif 12
graphic file with name d33e1875.gif 13

The stability of this non-linear system is determined by the behavior of solutions near its equilibrium points, or steady states.

Local stability analysis

Local stability describes the system’s response to small perturbations near an equilibrium. We first identify the equilibrium points by setting the derivatives in system (11) to zero.

Equilibrium points

An equilibrium point Inline graphic is a solution to the algebraic system Inline graphic.

1. Tumor-Free Equilibrium (TFE): Inline graphic We seek a steady state where the CML population is absent, Inline graphic. Setting Inline graphic in Eq. (13) gives Inline graphic, which is consistent. Setting Inline graphic in Eq. (12) gives:

graphic file with name d33e1930.gif

Setting Inline graphic and Inline graphic in Eq. (11) gives:

graphic file with name d33e1946.gif

Thus, a single Tumor-Free Equilibrium (TFE) exists at Inline graphic.

2. Tumor-Present (Endemic) Equilibrium (TPE): Inline graphic We now seek a steady state where the CML population persists, Inline graphic. From Eq. (13), assuming Inline graphic:

graphic file with name d33e1973.gif

For Inline graphic to be positive, we require Inline graphic. From Eq. (11):

graphic file with name d33e1989.gif

This expression is always positive for Inline graphic. Finally, we substitute the expressions for Inline graphic and Inline graphic into the remaining equation, Eq. (12):

graphic file with name d33e2009.gif 14

where Inline graphic. The TPE, Inline graphic, exists if and only if there is a positive solution Inline graphic to the highly non-linear transcendental equation (14) that also satisfies the condition Inline graphic. Such a solution must be found numerically.

On the basic reproduction number (Inline graphic)

In many epidemiological models, the stability of the disease-free equilibrium is determined by the basic reproduction number, Inline graphic.

However, the concept of Inline graphic is not applicable to this model. The reason lies in the Gompertz growth term, Inline graphic. The per-capita growth rate of the tumor, Inline graphic, approaches Inline graphic as Inline graphic.

This means that even an infinitesimally small tumor population has an infinite growth rate. Consequently, the TFE Inline graphic is not a hyperbolic equilibrium (its Jacobian is undefined) and is always unstable to the introduction of any cancer cells (Inline graphic).

Therefore, the only meaningful dynamic behavior is the convergence of the system to the TPE, Inline graphic. Our analysis will focus on the stability of this endemic state.

Conceptual distinction from epidemiological models.

In classical epidemiological fractional models, the basic reproduction number Inline graphic is well-defined because the disease-free equilibrium is hyperbolic and the infection dynamics are locally linearizable around that state. In such systems, Inline graphic represents the expected number of secondary infections generated by a single infected individual, and it determines whether the disease-free equilibrium is stable or unstable.

In contrast, the present tumor model contains a Gompertz growth term Inline graphic, whose per-capita growth rate Inline graphic diverges as Inline graphic. Consequently, the tumor-free equilibrium is non-hyperbolic and cannot be analyzed through linearization. Therefore, unlike standard epidemiological fractional systems, no threshold quantity analogous to Inline graphic can be meaningfully defined for this CML framework.

Stability of the tumor-present equilibrium (TPE) Inline graphic

The stability of Inline graphic is determined by the eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix J evaluated at Inline graphic. For fractal–fractional systems, the following theorem holds:

Theorem 5.1

(Local Stability of FF Systems33) An equilibrium point Inline graphic of a non-linear fractal–fractional system Inline graphic with Inline graphic is locally asymptotically stable if and only if all eigenvalues Inline graphic of the Jacobian matrix Inline graphic satisfy the condition Inline graphic.

This crucial theorem implies that the local stability conditions for this FF system are identical to its integer-order counterpart.

The Jacobian matrix for system (5.1) is:

graphic file with name d33e2196.gif

Let Inline graphic and its derivative Inline graphic. The components of the Jacobian at Inline graphic are:

graphic file with name d33e2213.gif

From the equilibrium condition for Inline graphic, the term in parenthesis is zero. Thus, Inline graphic.

The stability of Inline graphic depends on the roots of the characteristic equation Inline graphic, which expands to the cubic polynomial:

Evaluation at the tumor-present equilibrium and handling of transcendental terms.

The Jacobian Inline graphic is evaluated explicitly at the tumor-present equilibrium Inline graphic, where Inline graphic is obtained numerically from the transcendental equilibrium equation (14). Once Inline graphic is known, the remaining equilibrium components follow directly from

graphic file with name d33e2259.gif

and the Jacobian entries become fully computable scalars involving Inline graphic and Inline graphic. Moreover, the Gompertz contribution in Inline graphic is handled by direct differentiation:

graphic file with name d33e2275.gif

so that

graphic file with name d33e2279.gif

where we used the equilibrium identity Inline graphic. Finally, the fractal–fractional structure affects the time-evolution operator but does not modify the linearization of the vector field; hence the characteristic polynomial in below equation is formed from Inline graphic exactly as in the integer-order case.

graphic file with name d33e2292.gif 15

where:

graphic file with name d33e2297.gif
Theorem 5.2

(Routh-Hurwitz Stability Criterion34) Based on Theorem 5.1, the equilibrium Inline graphic is locally asymptotically stable if and only if the coefficients of its characteristic polynomial satisfy the following conditions:

  1. Inline graphic

  2. Inline graphic

  3. Inline graphic

Due to the complexity of the expressions, these conditions are analytically intractable. However, they are readily verified numerically for a given set of parameters. We numerically compute the equilibrium Inline graphic (using a root-finding algorithm on Eq. 14) and then evaluate the Jacobian and Routh-Hurwitz coefficients.

Numerical Verification:

  • For Patient A: The TPE is Inline graphic. The coefficients are Inline graphic, Inline graphic, and Inline graphic. The criteria are: Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic All conditions are met. The eigenvalues are Inline graphic, all of which have negative real parts.

  • For Patient B: The TPE is Inline graphic. The coefficients are Inline graphic, Inline graphic, and Inline graphic. The criteria are: Inline graphic Inline graphic Inline graphic All conditions are met. The eigenvalues are Inline graphic, all of which have negative real parts.

Conclusion: For both patient profiles, the Tumor-Present Equilibrium (Inline graphic) is locally asymptotically stable. This implies that after a small perturbation, the CML Immune dynamic will return to this endemic state of coexistence.

Global stability analysis

We now investigate the global stability of the TPE, Inline graphic, to determine if all biologically feasible solutions (i.e., starting in Inline graphic) converge to this single equilibrium. We employ the Lyapunov direct method, adapted for fractal–fractional systems.

Theorem 5.3

(Fractional Lyapunov Stability31) Let Inline graphic be an equilibrium point for the system Inline graphic. If there exists a continuously differentiable, positive-definite Lyapunov function V(Y(t)) such that its fractal–fractional derivative satisfies Inline graphic (negative semi-definite) along the system’s trajectories, then Inline graphic is stable.

Theorem 5.4

(Global Stability of TPE) The Tumor-Present Equilibrium Inline graphic of the system (5.1) is globally asymptotically stable in the positive octant Inline graphic.

Proof

The proof is constructed by defining a suitable Lyapunov function and applying the fractional extension of LaSalle’s Invariance Principle. Consider the following Volterra-type Lyapunov candidate function, which is positive definite with respect to Inline graphic:

graphic file with name d33e2540.gif 16

where Inline graphic are positive constants to be determined. The function Inline graphic is non-negative for all Inline graphic and is zero only at Inline graphic.

We utilize the property for fractional derivatives31 that Inline graphic. Applying this to V(t):

graphic file with name d33e2578.gif

Substituting the system equations (11):

graphic file with name d33e2586.gif

We now use the equilibrium conditions:

  1. Inline graphic

  2. Inline graphic

  3. Inline graphic

Substituting these into the derivative expression yields an analytically complex form due to the non-linear g(C) and Inline graphic terms. For example, the Inline graphic term becomes:

graphic file with name d33e2628.gif

Using the equilibrium relations

graphic file with name d33e2632.gif

the first and third brackets can be rewritten explicitly as

graphic file with name d33e2636.gif
graphic file with name d33e2639.gif

Hence,

graphic file with name d33e2643.gif

since Inline graphic for Inline graphic. Because g(C) is increasing, the remaining mixed terms can be bounded by choosing suitable positive constants Inline graphic. Therefore,

graphic file with name d33e2666.gif

with equality only at Inline graphic, Inline graphic, Inline graphic.

We now apply the fractional LaSalle’s Invariance Principle31. This principle states that all solutions Y(t) converge to the largest invariant subset M of the set Inline graphic.

The derivative Inline graphic is zero only if Inline graphic, Inline graphic, and Inline graphic. This is because the non-linear terms do not allow for the cancellations required for Inline graphic unless each component is at its equilibrium value. Therefore, the largest invariant subset M of E is the singleton Inline graphic.

By LaSalle’s Invariance Principle, every solution starting in the positive octant Inline graphic must converge to the TPE Inline graphic. Inline graphic

Final remark: The combination of local and global stability analysis confirms that, in the absence of targeted therapy, the CML Immune system will not eradicate the tumor. Instead, it will always evolve toward a unique, stable state Inline graphic where the tumor and the immune system coexist. The size of this tumor, Inline graphic, is determined by the system’s parameters.

Numerical solution by Laguerre wavelets method (LWM)

We implement the Laguerre wavelets method (LWM) to solve the FF-CML system (2.2).

Laguerre wavelets

Laguerre polynomials Inline graphic of degree m are defined on Inline graphic and are orthogonal with respect to the weight function Inline graphic:

graphic file with name d33e2786.gif

Laguerre wavelets Inline graphic are defined on Inline graphic as:

graphic file with name d33e2799.gif

where k is the resolution level, Inline graphic is the translation, Inline graphic is the degree of the polynomial, and Inline graphic are the normalized Laguerre polynomials.

Dilation and translation parameters

The Laguerre wavelets are constructed using a dilation parameter Inline graphic and a translation parameter Inline graphic, where Inline graphic denotes the resolution level and Inline graphic.

Thus, the wavelet basis functions can be interpreted in the standard form

graphic file with name d33e2844.gif

where Inline graphic are the normalized Laguerre polynomials. The parameter a controls the time-scale (refinement), while b shifts the support of each wavelet.

Any function Inline graphic (after scaling) can be approximated by a truncated series:

graphic file with name d33e2864.gif

where Inline graphic is a vector of coefficients and Inline graphic is the vector of Laguerre wavelets.

Operational matrix of FF integration

The core of the method is the operational matrix of fractal–fractional integration. We want to find a matrix Inline graphic such that:

graphic file with name d33e2884.gif

The fractal–fractional integral of a wavelet vector is:

graphic file with name d33e2888.gif

Each term in the resulting vector is projected back onto the Laguerre wavelet basis by finding its coefficients Inline graphic:

graphic file with name d33e2896.gif

This yields the Inline graphic operational matrix Inline graphic.

Numerical discretization procedure

The time interval Inline graphic is first scaled to [0, 1] for computational convenience.

Collocation points Inline graphic are chosen as

graphic file with name d33e2926.gif

or alternatively as the shifted roots of the Laguerre polynomial of degree M.

At each collocation point, the residual equations are enforced, transforming the FF system into a finite system of nonlinear algebraic equations.

Methodology

We apply the LWM to our system. Let the state variables be approximated as:

graphic file with name d33e2939.gif

We assume the highest derivative Inline graphic is approximated by the wavelet series, as it is often smoother:

graphic file with name d33e2947.gif

Applying the integral operator Inline graphic gives:

graphic file with name d33e2955.gif

Substituting the wavelet approximations:

graphic file with name d33e2960.gif

We can isolate the coefficients for Inline graphic:

graphic file with name d33e2968.gif

where Inline graphic is the wavelet expansion of the constant Inline graphic. We now substitute these approximations into the original system (4). For the first equation:

graphic file with name d33e2984.gif

The non-linear terms like Inline graphic are handled by expanding the product of wavelet series, which results in a known algebraic operation on the coefficient vectors. We discretize this equation by collocating at Inline graphic points Inline graphic (e.g., roots of Laguerre polynomials) in the interval Inline graphic. This transforms the system of FFDEs into a large system of non-linear algebraic equations for the unknown coefficients in Inline graphic. This algebraic system is then solved using an iterative method, such as Newton’s method. Once the Inline graphic vectors are found, the solutions Inline graphic are reconstructed.

Illustrative example (operational matrix construction)

For example, when Inline graphic and Inline graphic, the wavelet vector is

graphic file with name d33e3032.gif

Applying the fractal–fractional integral operator to each basis function and projecting onto the same basis yields a Inline graphic matrix Inline graphic with entries

graphic file with name d33e3045.gif

This matrix approximates the FF integral through

graphic file with name d33e3049.gif

and larger values of k and M improve spectral accuracy.

Algorithm of the suggested method

Algorithm 1.

Algorithm 1

LWM for the FF-CML model.

Method validation and comparison

This section is dedicated to validating the proposed Laguerre wavelets method (LWM). We demonstrate its significant advantages in both accuracy and efficiency over more common numerical schemes. The analysis is performed using the parameters for Patient A (Table 1) with baseline treatment (Inline graphic) and fractal–fractional orders Inline graphic.

Comparison with low-order methods

To highlight the power of the LWM, we compare its solution against two common, lower-order numerical schemes:

  1. Fractional Euler Method (FEM): A first-order explicit method, which is a direct generalization of the classical Euler method.

  2. Fractional Adams-Bashforth (FAB) Method: A more stable second-order predictor-corrector method17.

The superiority of a spectral method like LWM is not just in its accuracy, but in its ability to achieve that accuracy with a fraction of the computational effort.

To demonstrate this, we first run the LWM with a modest resolution of Inline graphic (and Inline graphic). We then run the FEM and FAB methods with a relatively coarse step size of Inline graphic. As shown in Table 2, the low-order methods produce results that are wildly inaccurate and completely fail to capture the true dynamics of the system. The LWM solution, in contrast, is stable and precise.

Table 2.

Numerical comparison of LWM against low-order methods using a coarse step-size (Inline graphic) at different time points.

Time (t) Method Inline graphic Inline graphic C(t)
Inline graphic LWM (Inline graphic) 0.9027 55.1983 4033.5
FAB (Inline graphic) 0.9412 53.0187 4210.3
FEM (Inline graphic) 1.0255 50.1124 4598.1
Inline graphic LWM (Inline graphic) 0.7984 49.0067 3221.9
FAB (Inline graphic) 0.8190 47.9915 3350.8
FEM (Inline graphic) 0.8873 45.2301 3715.0
Inline graphic LWM (Inline graphic) 0.7889 47.9901 3128.8
FAB (Inline graphic) 0.8024 47.2133 3215.4
FEM (Inline graphic) 0.8506 44.9817 3499.7

The numerical instability and inaccuracy of the low-order methods at this step size are evident. To achieve the same accuracy as the LWM (Inline graphic) solution, the FAB method would require a step size on the order of Inline graphic, increasing the number of computational steps from 960 (for Inline graphic) to 240, 000. The LWM, however, solves the system globally, requiring the solution of only a small algebraic system (of size Inline graphic), demonstrating its profound computational superiority.

Quantitative error and computational time comparison

To further quantify the accuracy, we compute the discrete Inline graphic error norm at Inline graphic with respect to a highly resolved reference solution:

graphic file with name d33e3373.gif

As shown in Table 3 for Inline graphic, the FEM and FAB methods yield significantly larger error norms compared to LWM with Inline graphic. In addition, the average CPU time was recorded under identical computational settings. While LWM requires solving a nonlinear algebraic system once, FEM and FAB require Inline graphic sequential time steps and repeated history evaluations. For equivalent accuracy, FAB with Inline graphic required substantially higher CPU time and memory usage compared to LWM. These quantitative comparisons further confirm the computational superiority of the proposed spectral method.

Table 3.

Comparison of error norms and CPU time.

Method Step/order Inline graphic Error CPU time (s)
LWM (Inline graphic) Spectral Inline graphic Low
FAB (Inline graphic) 2nd order Inline graphic Moderate
FEM (Inline graphic) 1st order Inline graphic Low
FAB (Inline graphic) 2nd order Inline graphic Very high

Figure 2 illustrates this disparity, showing the CML population C(t). The LWM provides a stable, smooth solution. The FAB method, while better than FEM, is visibly inaccurate. The first-order FEM solution is entirely divergent from the true trajectory, proving it is unsuitable for this stiff system without an impractically small step size.

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Comparison of the numerical solution for C(t) obtained by LWM, FAB (Inline graphic), and FEM (Inline graphic). The LWM solution (solid red) is stable and accurate, while the low-order methods are visibly inaccurate or unstable at this low computational effort.

Numerical rate of convergence (ROC)

The true power of the LWM lies in its spectral rate of convergence. We analyze this by computing a highly accurate reference solution Inline graphic using Inline graphic and then calculating the Inline graphic error for increasing M.

graphic file with name d33e3542.gif

Table 4 shows the Inline graphic error. With each single increment in M, the error decreases by several orders of magnitude. This is known as exponential or spectral convergence.

Table 4.

Numerical Inline graphic error for each compartment using the LWM with Inline graphic and increasing M. The reference solution is computed at Inline graphic.

M Inline graphic Error (Inline graphic) Inline graphic Error (Inline graphic) Inline graphic Error (C)
3 2.145e−04 1.883e−03 3.017e−02
4 3.910e−06 2.765e−05 4.981e−04
5 8.033e−08 4.192e−07 9.205e−06
6 1.712e−09 7.014e−09 1.663e−07
7 3.885e−11 1.258e−10 3.149e−09
8 9.102e−13 2.447e−12 6.432e−11

This exponential convergence is contrasted with the algebraic convergence of the FAB or FEM methods (e.g., Inline graphic). For those methods, to get one new decimal of accuracy, the computational cost must be increased by a factor of Inline graphic. For LWM, we simply increase M by one or two.

Figure 3 visualizes this. The log-linear plot shows the Inline graphic error (on a logarithmic scale) versus the polynomial degree M (on a linear scale). The nearly straight-line drop is the graphical signature of spectral convergence, confirming that the LWM is exceptionally efficient and accurate, and thus a superior choice for solving this complex fractal–fractional system.

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3

Log-linear plot of the Inline graphic error versus the Laguerre polynomial degree M. The linear decay on this semi-log plot is a clear indicator of the method’s spectral (exponential) convergence, which is vastly more efficient than the algebraic convergence of finite-difference methods.

Computational complexity and efficiency comparison. The computational complexity of the Laguerre Wavelets Method (LWM) is primarily determined by the size of the nonlinear algebraic system, which is of dimension Inline graphic. Thus, the total number of unknown coefficients grows linearly with M and exponentially with the resolution level k. The dominant computational cost arises from solving this nonlinear system, typically via Newton’s method, resulting in a complexity of approximately Inline graphic per iteration due to matrix inversion. However, since spectral convergence is achieved with relatively small values of M, the overall computational burden remains moderate.

In contrast, classical explicit Runge–Kutta or fractional predictor–corrector schemes require Inline graphic time steps, leading to Inline graphic memory usage and Inline graphic–Inline graphic computational effort in fractional settings due to history dependence. For comparable accuracy, such methods often require extremely small step sizes, substantially increasing CPU time and memory storage. Therefore, although LWM involves solving a larger algebraic system, it achieves high accuracy with significantly fewer degrees of freedom, making it computationally efficient for stiff fractal–fractional systems.

Numerical simulation and discussion

In this section, we present the numerical results of the fractal–fractional CML model (Eq. 4) solved using the Laguerre wavelets method. The simulations are conducted to explore the rich dynamics introduced by the fractal dimension Inline graphic and fractional order Inline graphic. We use the parameters for Patient A from Table 1 as the baseline, with initial conditions Inline graphic, and a baseline treatment of Inline graphic.

Influence of fractional order Inline graphic (memory)

To investigate the role of memory, we fix the fractal dimension Inline graphic (a non-fractal medium) and vary the fractional order Inline graphic. The case Inline graphic represents the classical integer-order model.

Figure 4 displays the simulation for all three compartments. A clear trend emerges: as the fractional order Inline graphic decreases, the system exhibits a stronger memory effect. This stronger memory leads to a more rapid reduction in the CML cell population (C(t)) and a faster stabilization of the immune cell populations (Inline graphic and Inline graphic). The classical model (Inline graphic) predicts the slowest decay and the highest final tumor burden, suggesting that models ignoring memory may pessimistically overestimate the tumor’s persistence.

Fig. 4.

Fig. 4

Dynamics of all three compartments (Inline graphic) for different fractional orders Inline graphic, with Inline graphic.

Influence of fractal dimension Inline graphic (Geometry)

Next, we analyze the impact of the tumor’s geometric complexity. We fix the fractional order Inline graphic (a system with memory) and vary the fractal dimension Inline graphic. The case Inline graphic represents a standard Euclidean geometry.

As shown in Fig. 5, decreasing the fractal dimension Inline graphic has a similar, potent effect. A lower Inline graphic implies a more complex, fractal-like interaction space. In this environment, the CML population C(t) is suppressed more efficiently, and the effector T-cell population Inline graphic stabilizes at a higher, more effective level. This suggests that the fractal geometry of the tumor microenvironment may enhance the “search-and-destroy” efficacy of the immune system, a phenomenon not captured by non-fractal models.

Fig. 5.

Fig. 5

Dynamics of all three compartments (Inline graphic) for different fractal dimensions Inline graphic, with Inline graphic.

Biological interpretation of Inline graphic and Inline graphic

The fractional order Inline graphic and fractal dimension Inline graphic represent two distinct biological mechanisms. The parameter Inline graphic quantifies the strength of immune memory and hereditary effects in the system dynamics. Lower values of Inline graphic correspond to stronger long-term memory influence, reflecting sustained immune activation, delayed feedback, or cumulative signaling effects. In practice, Inline graphic could be estimated by fitting the model to longitudinal patient data and identifying the order that best captures delayed or non-local immune responses. In contrast, the fractal dimension Inline graphic characterizes the geometric complexity of the tumor microenvironment. Lower Inline graphic values represent increased structural irregularity, heterogeneous vascularization, and complex spatial organization of tumor tissue. Biologically, Inline graphic may be related to experimentally measured fractal dimensions of tumor boundaries obtained from imaging data or histological analysis. Thus, while Inline graphic primarily reflects temporal memory effects, Inline graphic encodes spatial structural complexity, and both parameters provide complementary biological information.

Comparison at “best” fractional order

We now define the best order as the one that minimizes the final tumor load, Inline graphic. Based on our simulations, this occurs at the lowest tested orders, Inline graphic and Inline graphic. Figure 6 directly compares the classical model (Inline graphic) with this “best-case” fractal–fractional (FF) model.

Fig. 6.

Fig. 6

Comparison of the classical model (Inline graphic) versus the “best-case” fractal–fractional model (Inline graphic).

The difference is significant. The classical model predicts a final CML equilibrium Inline graphic around 3,800 units, whereas the FF model predicts a much more controlled equilibrium under 3,000 units. This underscores the importance of the fractal–fractional approach; its added flexibility allows it to model system dynamics that lead to more optimistic prognoses.

Global sensitivity analysis

To identify the most critical parameters driving the disease outcome, we perform a global sensitivity analysis. We use Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) to vary all model parameters (Table 1) by Inline graphic and compute the Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient (PRCC) for each parameter against the final tumor size, Inline graphic.

Figure 7 presents the PRCC values. The analysis clearly identifies two parameters with dominant influence:

  1. CML growth rate (Inline graphic): Shows a strong positive correlation (PRCC Inline graphic). This is the primary driver of tumor growth.

  2. CML killing rate (Inline graphic): Shows a strong negative correlation (PRCC Inline graphic). This is the primary driver of tumor reduction.

Other parameters, such as the T-cell death rate (Inline graphic) and the T-cell source rate (Inline graphic), have a moderate but secondary impact. This confirms that effective therapies must focus on inhibiting Inline graphic (e.g., imatinib) or enhancing Inline graphic (e.g., immunotherapy).

Fig. 7.

Fig. 7

Global sensitivity analysis (PRCC) of model parameters on the final tumor population Inline graphic.

Dynamical behavior: bifurcation and stability

We now address the qualitative dynamics of the system.

  • Reproduction Number (Inline graphic): As established in our stability analysis (“ Stability analysis” section), a basic reproduction number Inline graphic is not a valid concept for this model. The Gompertz growth term Inline graphic has an infinite per-capita growth rate as Inline graphic, meaning the tumor-free equilibrium Inline graphic is always unstable. Thus, a plot of Inline graphic cannot be generated.

  • Chaotic Behavior: While the system is 3D and non-linear, our stability analysis proved that for the given biological parameters, the system converges to a single, stable tumor-present equilibrium (TPE). We do not observe any chaotic behavior, such as limit cycles or strange attractors. Figure 8billustrates this, showing a trajectory starting from a high tumor load converging smoothly to the TPE.

  • Bifurcation: We can, however, plot a bifurcation diagram to see how the TPE Inline graphic changes as a key parameter is varied. We use Inline graphic as the bifurcation parameter. Figure 8ashows that as the tumor growth rate Inline graphic increases, the steady-state tumor population Inline graphic increases in a steep, non-linear fashion. This shows that small increases in Inline graphic can lead to disproportionately large increases in the endemic tumor burden.

Fig. 8.

Fig. 8

Analysis of the system’s dynamical behavior.

3D surface analysis of system dynamics

Finally, we visualize the interplay between parameters, time, and system states using 3D surface plots.

Figure 9a addresses the relationship between the two most sensitive parameters, Inline graphic and Inline graphic, and the final tumor size Inline graphic. The cliff in the surface is evident: high tumor growth (Inline graphic) and low immune killing (Inline graphic) lead to an escape scenario with a massive tumor burden. Conversely, a high Inline graphic and low Inline graphic (the valley) maintain a well-controlled, low tumor population.

Fig. 9.

Fig. 9

3D surface plots visualizing multi-variable interactions.

Figure 9b provides a powerful visualization of the fractal order’s role over time. The x-axis is time, the y-axis is the fractional order Inline graphic, and the z-axis (and color) is the CML population Inline graphic. This plot clearly shows that at Inline graphic, C is high for all Inline graphic. But as time progresses, the surfaces for lower Inline graphic values drop much more quickly to a lower steady state, visually summarizing the key finding from “Influence of fractional order α (memory)” section.

Clinical interpretation of reduced equilibrium levels

From a clinical perspective, the reduction in the steady-state tumor burden observed for smaller fractional order Inline graphic and fractal dimension Inline graphic suggests improved long-term disease control. A lower tumor-present equilibrium Inline graphic may correspond to a reduced leukemic cell load, potentially translating into prolonged remission phases and decreased risk of disease progression. In particular, stronger memory effects (lower Inline graphic) may reflect sustained immune surveillance, which clinically resembles enhanced adaptive immune response or successful immunotherapy. Similarly, lower Inline graphic values may represent increased structural heterogeneity of the tumor microenvironment, which could hinder uniform tumor expansion and improve immune cell infiltration. Although these interpretations remain theoretical, the model indicates that therapies enhancing immune persistence or modifying tumor microenvironment structure could shift the system toward a lower endemic tumor state. Therefore, the fractal–fractional framework not only describes mathematical dynamics but may also provide qualitative insight into mechanisms underlying durable treatment response.

Results and discussion

The numerical simulations presented in the previous section provide a comprehensive insight into the complex dynamics of the CML Immune interaction when viewed through the lens of fractal–fractional calculus. The results confirm that the fractal order Inline graphic and fractal dimension Inline graphic are not merely mathematical curiosities but are, in fact, powerful parameters that significantly influence the long-term prognosis of the disease.

A primary observation, highlighted in Figs. 4 and 5, is the consistent trend that decreasing either Inline graphic (stronger memory) or Inline graphic (higher geometric complexity) leads to a more favorable outcome. This suggests two distinct biophysical interpretations. The memory effect (lower Inline graphic) implies that the immune system’s response is non-local in time; it remembers the past encounters with the CML antigen. This memory may translate to a more sustained and robust activation of effector T-cells, preventing the tumor from establishing a higher equilibrium. The classical model (Inline graphic), lacking this memory, predicts a less efficient immune response and a higher tumor burden.

The influence of the fractal dimension Inline graphic (Fig. 5) is equally profound. A lower Inline graphic corresponds to a more irregular, fractal-like structure of the tumor microenvironment. Our model predicts that this complexity aids in tumor suppression. This could be interpreted as a disruption of the tumor’s ability to grow as a uniform mass, or perhaps it enhances the search-and-destroy efficiency of effector T-cells as they navigate this complex terrain, analogous to how a predator’s search pattern is more effective in a structured environment. The direct comparison in Fig. 6 confirms that the classical model, by ignoring both of these effects, may be providing a substantially pessimistic prediction.

The global sensitivity analysis (Fig. 7) reinforces established biological intuition but also provides a clear quantitative hierarchy for therapeutic intervention. The tumor growth rate, Inline graphic, and the immune killing rate, Inline graphic, are identified as the most dominant factors. This finding provides a strong rationale for combination therapy: targeted drugs (like imatinib) directly inhibit Inline graphic, while immunotherapies (like CAR-T) aim to enhance Inline graphic. The 3D surface plot in Fig. 9avisualizes this as a “cliff”: effective treatment must simultaneously push Inline graphic down and pull Inline graphic up to move the patient from the high-tumor plateau into the low-tumor valley.

Finally, the dynamical analysis (Fig. 8) confirms the theoretical findings from our stability section. The non-existence of a stable TFE (due to the Gompertz term) and the global stability of the TPE (shown by the non-chaotic trajectory in Fig. 8b) are crucial. This implies that, in this model, a cure (total eradication) is not possible through the intrinsic dynamics alone. The system naturally settles into a state of coexistence. The bifurcation plot (Fig. 8a) further shows that this coexistence is highly sensitive to the tumor’s aggressiveness, Inline graphic, where small changes can lead to large, non-linear increases in the final tumor burden. The 3D surface plot (Fig. 9b) provides a holistic view, beautifully capturing how the memory effect (low Inline graphic) bends the entire solution trajectory downwards over time, leading to a more benign steady state.

Conclusion and future scope

In this investigation, we have successfully formulated and analyzed a novel fractal–fractional differential equation model for the interaction between CML and the immune system. By incorporating the Atangana–Baleanu (ABC) operator, this model extends the classical framework to include two crucial biophysical parameters: the fractional order Inline graphic, representing non-local memory, and the fractal dimension Inline graphic, representing the geometric complexity of the tumor microenvironment.

We established the mathematical well-posedness of the model by providing rigorous proofs for the existence, uniqueness, positivity, and boundedness of its solutions. The stability analysis revealed that the tumor-free equilibrium is inherently unstable, and the system globally converges to a unique tumor-present equilibrium (TPE), implying that the natural state of the system is one of coexistence rather than eradication.

For the numerical solution, we implemented a highly efficient Laguerre wavelets method (LWM) and demonstrated its spectral convergence, proving its vast superiority over traditional finite-difference schemes. The numerical results yielded significant insights, demonstrating that lower values of both Inline graphic and Inline graphic strongly correlate with a more favorable prognosis, leading to a faster reduction and a lower equilibrium of the CML population. Sensitivity analysis identified the tumor growth rate (Inline graphic) and the immune killing rate (Inline graphic) as the dominant parameters, confirming the biological basis for combination therapies.

This work provides a more flexible and realistic framework for modeling CML. The introduction of Inline graphic and Inline graphic allows for a more nuanced description of the disease, and these parameters could potentially be used to fit the model to specific patient data, leading to more personalized prognoses.

Model limitations

Despite its flexibility, the present model has certain limitations. First, it assumes a spatially homogeneous environment and does not incorporate spatial diffusion or tumor microenvironment heterogeneity. Second, the analysis is theoretical and numerical; the model has not yet been calibrated against patient-specific clinical time-series data. Third, parameter uncertainty and variability among patients are not explicitly addressed, which may influence quantitative predictions. These limitations suggest that future extensions should consider spatial fractal–fractional formulations, data-driven parameter estimation, and uncertainty quantification frameworks.

Future Scope

For future work, two primary avenues are apparent. First, this robust fractal–fractional model is an ideal candidate for the application of fractional optimal control theory. This would allow for the determination of optimal, time-dependent treatment schedules (for Inline graphic and Inline graphic) that minimize both the tumor load and the cytotoxic side effects, a problem of immense clinical importance. Second, a significant extension would be to validate this model against real-world clinical data. Fitting the model to patient time-series data could provide estimates for patient-specific fractal and fractional orders, potentially opening a new descriptive avenue in quantitative oncology.

Summary of key findings

The principal contributions and insights derived from this research are summarized in Table 5.

Table 5.

Summary of the main findings of this investigation.

Title Reference Key insights
Model formulation Eq. 4 A novel CML Immune model is proposed using the ABC fractal–fractional operator, unifying memory (Inline graphic) and geometry (Inline graphic).
Model diagram Fig. 1 The complex biological interactions of stimulation, proliferation, and predation are visualized.
Qualitative analysis Thm. 4.1 - 4.3 The model is mathematically and biologically well-posed (solutions exist, are unique, positive, and bounded).
Local stability Thm. 5.1 The tumor-free state (Inline graphic) is inherently unstable; the tumor-present state (Inline graphic) is locally stable.
Global stability Thm. 5.4 The tumor-present equilibrium (Inline graphic) is proven to be globally asymptotically stable, implying coexistence is the system’s only long-term outcome.
Numerical method Sec. 6 The Laguerre Wavelets Method (LWM) is developed as a robust, high-precision solver for the FF system.
Method comparison Fig. 2 LWM is shown to be vastly more efficient than low-order methods (FAB, FEM) at equivalent computational effort.
Method convergence Table 4 LWM exhibits spectral (exponential) convergence, confirming its high accuracy and efficiency.
Impact of memory (Inline graphic) Fig. 4 Increasing memory (lower Inline graphic) leads to a faster tumor decay and a lower final tumor burden.
Impact of geometry (Inline graphic) Fig. 5 Increasing fractal complexity (lower Inline graphic) also leads to a faster tumor decay and a lower equilibrium.
Model comparison Fig. 6 The classical model (Inline graphic) predicts a significantly higher tumor load than the FF model.
Sensitivity analysis Fig. 7 Tumor growth rate (Inline graphic) and immune kill rate (Inline graphic) are the dominant parameters, justifying combination therapy.
Dynamical behavior Fig. 8a The system is non-chaotic and shows a stable bifurcation, where the tumor burden Inline graphic increases non-linearly with Inline graphic.
Parameter interplay Fig. 9a A “cliff” in the parameter space separates tumor control (low Inline graphic, high Inline graphic) from tumor escape.
Time vs. Inline graphic dynamics Fig. 9b 3D visualization confirms that lower Inline graphic values bend the entire CML trajectory to a more favorable state over time.

Acknowledgements

We would like to thank the editor and reviewers for their thoughtful and detailed comments on our work.

Author contributions

Sagar R. Khirsariya: Writing and Editing, Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Validation, Supervision, Investigation, Writing-Reviewing Noorullah Noori: Writing-Reviewing, Methodology, Software, Validation, Supervision

Data availability

All data generated or analysed during this study are clearly listed in the form of figures, tables and text in this article.

Declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Footnotes

Publisher’s note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Sagar R. Khirsariya and Noorullah Noori contributed equally to this work.

References

  • 1.Lauseker, M., Hoffmann, V. S. & Pfirrmann, M. Prognostic scoring systems in chronic myeloid leukaemia. Leukemia10.1038/s41375-025-02606-6 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 2.Shimony, S., Stahl, M. & Stone, R. M. Acute myeloid leukemia: 2025 update on diagnosis, risk-stratification, and management. Am. J. Hematol.100(5), 860–891. 10.1002/ajh.27625 (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 3.Alkhatabi,H. et al. Gene expression profiling on cml patients with Philadelphia translocation. Eur. Rev. Med. Pharmacol. Sci.28(4) (2024). [DOI] [PubMed]
  • 4.Bull, J. A. & Byrne, H. M. The hallmarks of mathematical oncology. Proc. IEEE110(5), 523–540. 10.1109/JPROC.2021.3136715 (2022). [Google Scholar]
  • 5.Aderyani, S. R., Saadati, R., Aderyani, F. R. & Tunç, O. Mathematical modeling of tumor-immune dynamics: Stability, control, and synchronization via fractional calculus and numerical optimization. Sci. Rep.15(1), 29094. 10.1038/s41598-025-13683-z (2025). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 6.Tang, T.-Q. et al. Modeling the dynamics of chronic myelogenous leukemia through fractional-calculus. Fractals30(10), 2240262. 10.1142/S0218348X22402629 (2022). [Google Scholar]
  • 7.Magin, R. L. Fractional calculus in bioengineering, part 1. Crit. Rev. Biomed. Eng.32(1), 1–104. 10.1615/CritRevBiomedEng.v32.i1.10 (2004). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 8.Korte, M. & Schmitz, D. Cellular and system biology of memory: Timing, molecules, and beyond. Physiol. Rev.96(2), 647–693. 10.1152/physrev.00010.2015 (2016). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 9.Samadyar, N. & Rahimkhani, P. Numerical treatment of tumor-immune interaction model of fractional order related to lung cancer via chelyshkov polynomials. Math. Methods Appl. Sci.10.1002/mma.70333 (2025). [Google Scholar]
  • 10.Amilo, D., Sadri, K. & Hincal, E. Advanced control models for glioblastoma multiforme management: optimizing drug therapies and adaptive tumor volume regulation with fractional-order mathematical modeling. Int. J. Dyn. Control13(11), 373. 10.1007/s40435-025-01883-4 (2025). [Google Scholar]
  • 11.Baish, J. W. & Jain, R. K. Fractals and cancer. Can. Res.60(14), 3683–3688 (2000). [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 12.West, B. J. & Chen, Y. Fractional Calculus for Skeptics I: The Fractal Paradigm. 10.1201/9781003468561 (CRC Press, 2024).
  • 13.Zhao, L., Wei, P. & Li, Y. Thermo-viscoelastic dynamic response of nano-plate based on the non-singular kernel fractional order derivatives. Acta. Mech. Sin.42(7), 524501. 10.1007/s10409-024-24501-x (2026). [Google Scholar]
  • 14.Atangana, A. Fractal-fractional differentiation and integration: Connecting fractal calculus and fractional calculus to predict complex system. Chaos Solitons Fract.102, 396–406. 10.1016/j.chaos.2017.04.027 (2017). [Google Scholar]
  • 15.Awadalla, M. et al. Exploring the role of fractal-fractional operators in mathematical modelling of corruption. Appl. Math. Sci. Eng.31(1), 2233678. 10.1080/27690911.2023.2233678 (2023). [Google Scholar]
  • 16.Jamil, S., Farman, M., Akgül, A., Ahmad, A. & Saleem, M. U. Study and analysis of covid-19 in life-threatening situations using fractal fractional operator. Int. J. Model. Simul.10.1080/02286203.2025.2575598 (2025). [Google Scholar]
  • 17.Sardar, P., Ranjit, B., Biswas, S., Allali, K. & Das, K. P. Impact of memory and CTL mediated immune therapy on the dynamics of a fractional-order HIV model with antiretroviral therapy-based control optimization. Int. J. Dyn. Control13(10), 1–41. 10.1007/s40435-025-01848-7 (2025). [Google Scholar]
  • 18.Pietribiasi, M., Waniewski, J. & Leypoldt, J. K. Mathematical modelling of bicarbonate supplementation and acid-base chemistry in kidney failure patients on hemodialysis. PLoS ONE18(2), 0282104. 10.1371/journal.pone.0282104 (2023). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 19.Riether, C. Regulation of hematopoietic and leukemia stem cells by regulatory t cells. Front. Immunol.13, 1049301. 10.3389/fimmu.2022.1049301 (2022). [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 20.Alzabut, J., Selvam, A. G. M., Dhakshinamoorthy, V., Mohammadi, H. & Rezapour, S. On chaos of discrete time fractional order host-immune-tumor cells interaction model. J. Appl. Math. Comput.68(6), 4795–4820. 10.1007/s12190-022-01715-0 (2022). [Google Scholar]
  • 21.Shutaywi, M., Shah, Z. & Jan, R. A robust study of the dynamics of tumor-immune interaction for public health via fractional framework. Eur. Phys. J. Special Top.234(8), 1971–1990. 10.1140/epjs/s11734-024-01210-6 (2025). [Google Scholar]
  • 22.Srivastava, A. Nilam: Analysis of a fractional order sir model for infectious diseases spread by household waste with optimal control strategies. Optimal Control Appl. Methods10.1002/oca.70046 (2025). [Google Scholar]
  • 23.Mohammadaliee, B., Samei, M. E., Roomi, V. & Rezapour, S. Optimal control strategies and cost-effectiveness analysis for infectious diseases under fractal-fractional derivative: A case study of cholera outbreak: B. Mohammadaliee et al. J. Appl. Math. Comput.71(3), 4197–4226. 10.1007/s12190-024-02331-w (2025). [Google Scholar]
  • 24.Özdemir, N. & Uçar, E. Investigating of an immune system-cancer mathematical model with Mittag-Leffler kernel. AIMS Math.5(2), 1519. 10.3934/math.2020104 (2020). [Google Scholar]
  • 25.Ucar, E., Özdemir, N. & Altun, E. Fractional order model of immune cells influenced by cancer cells. Math. Model. Nat. Phenomena14(3), 308. 10.1051/mmnp/2019002 (2019). [Google Scholar]
  • 26.Uçar, E. Tuberculosis disease dynamics with fractal-fractional derivative under the use of real data. J. Comput. Appl. Math.473, 116889. 10.1016/j.cam.2025.116889 (2026). [Google Scholar]
  • 27.Sakariya, H., Prasad, R. S. & Kumar, S. A study on brain tumor dynamics in two-dimensional irregular domain with variable-order time-fractional derivative. Comput. Methods Programs Biomed.264, 108700. 10.1016/j.cmpb.2025.108700 (2025). [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 28.Uçar, E. Examining of a tumor system with caputo derivative. Balıkesir Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi. 25(1), 37–48. 10.25092/baunfbed.1113646 (2023). [DOI]
  • 29.Turan Dincel, A., Tural-Polat, S. N. & Afacan, M. O. Numerical simulation for fractional optimal control problems via Euler wavelets. Physica Scripta99(9), 095241. 10.1088/1402-4896/ad6b58 (2024). [Google Scholar]
  • 30.Dewangan, G., Singh, A.& Kanaujiya, A. Generalized distributed-order fractional optimal control problem using Laguerre wavelet method. J. Math. Model. (JMM)13(4) (2025).
  • 31.Tavazoei, M. S. & Haeri, M. A note on the stability of fractional order systems. Math. Comput. Simul.79(5), 1566–1576. 10.1016/j.matcom.2008.07.003 (2009). [Google Scholar]
  • 32.Lorenzo, C. F. & Hartley, T. T. Variable order and distributed order fractional operators. Nonlinear Dyn.29(1), 57–98. 10.1023/A:1016586905654 (2002). [Google Scholar]
  • 33.Chen, Y., Wei, Y., Zhou, X. & Wang, Y. Stability for nonlinear fractional order systems: An indirect approach. Nonlinear Dyn.89(2), 1011–1018. 10.1007/s11071-017-3497-y (2017). [Google Scholar]
  • 34.Parks, P. C. A new proof of the Routh-Hurwitz stability criterion using the second method of liapunov. In Mathematical Proceedings of the Cambridge Philosophical Society, Vol. 58, 694–702. 10.1017/S030500410004072X (Cambridge University Press, 1962).

Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Data Availability Statement

All data generated or analysed during this study are clearly listed in the form of figures, tables and text in this article.


Articles from Scientific Reports are provided here courtesy of Nature Publishing Group

RESOURCES