Abstract
Allogeneic hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (allo-HCT), an early developed methodology for precision medicine, remains the only curative therapy for myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). However, allo-HCT carries significant risks of morbidity and mortality due to relapse and transplant-related complications. Recurrent mutations in mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) have been identified as significant prognostic indicators for MDS outcomes following allo-HCT. However, the biological mechanisms of mtDNA mutations remain unclear. Thus, here we performed deep variant phenotyping by integrating computational biophysics and structural genomics approaches to reveal the molecular mechanisms underlying mtDNA variant dysfunction. This emerging genomics discipline employs structural models, molecular mechanic calculations, and accelerated molecular dynamic simulations to analyze gene products, focusing on their structures and motions that determine their function. We applied this methodology on the variants in the mitochondria-encoded complex I genes that are associated with MDS pathobiology and prognosis after allo-HCT. Our results demonstrate that this approach significantly outperforms conventional analytical methods, providing enhanced and more accurate information to support the potential pathogenicity of these variants and better infer their dysfunctional mechanisms. We conclude that the adoption and further expansion of computational structural genomics approaches, as applied to the mitochondrial genome, have the potential to significantly increase our understanding of molecular mechanisms underlying the disease. Our study lays a foundation for translating mitochondrial biology into clinical applications, which will advance the integration of precision medicine with allo-HCT.
INTRODUCTION
Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) are a heterogeneous group of clonal hematopoietic cell disorders characterized by ineffective hematopoiesis, leading to blood cytopenias, and by a tendency to progress to acute myeloid leukemia (AML) in about 30% of patients.1 Despite advances in treatment, allogeneic hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (allo-HCT) remains the only curative therapy for MDS. However, mortality after HCT is high due to disease relapse and transplant-related complications. Less than 50% of patients with MDS survive for five years after transplantation.1 Identifying which MDS patients will most likely benefit from allo-HCT is challenging, given the clinical and biological heterogeneity of the disease.1 Prognostic tools defining MDS risk groups, such as the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) and the revised IPSS (IPSS-R), which have varying probabilities of survival and leukemic transformation are used to predict posttransplant outcomes for clinical decision-making. Such models rely on traditional clinical and hematologic parameters and, thus, cannot accurately predict outcomes. During the past decade, sequencing technologies have dramatically improved our understanding of the genetics underlying MDS, with more than 50 recurrently mutated genes being identified, most of which also associate with unfavorable outcomes after allo-HCT.2 Incorporating somatic mutations of 31 genes, Bernard et al. developed a clinical-molecular prognostic model [IPSS-Molecular (IPSS-M)], exhibiting improved prognostic discrimination across all clinical endpoints compared to the IPSS-R.3 Around the same time, the International Consensus Classification (ICC) published a revised framework for classifying myeloid neoplasms and acute leukemias, integrating genomic data.4 The shift to molecular markers may allow personalized medicine and has notably influenced clinical practice. Although it is now well recognized that genomic alterations play a central role in MDS, most studies have focused on characterizing mutations in the nuclear genome, overlooking the potential critical importance of the mitochondrial genome in achieving proper immunological competence and surveillance.
Mitochondria are critical dynamic organelles maintaining hematopoietic cell homeostasis and differentiation.5 They produce cellular energy and reactive oxygen species via oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS), trigger apoptosis, and control heme biosynthesis and iron metabolism.6 Dysfunction in any of these processes is pathogenic for MDS.6 In addition, allo-HCT exacts a high metabolic demand to restore normal hematopoiesis and immunologic functions. Mitochondria are not only the “powerhouse” of the cell, but also function in innate and adaptive immune response.7 Alterations in mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA), including genetic mutations and epigenomic modifications, could impair mitochondrial function and contribute to disease pathophysiology and survival outcomes.6,8 For instance, we conducted whole-genome sequencing (WGS) to characterize the prognostic landscape of mitochondrial genome in MDS patients receiving allo-HCT and in their matched donors, which yielded insights into prognosis.9 Our findings demonstrate that genetic variants in frequently mutated mtDNA genes, such as mitochondrial Complex I genes (e.g., MT-ND4L and MT-ND5), are highly prognostic for allo-HCT outcomes in MDS patients.9 However, large-scale experimental validation of these variants remains impractical. For this purpose, we developed a multi-parametric mechanistic-based assessment that integrates conventional two-dimensional (2D) sequence-based annotation with computational biophysics and structural genomics approaches to understand the molecular dysfunction of genetic variants at the atomic level.10–13 We have successfully validated our approach by revealing the molecular mechanisms of genetic variants in several nuclear genes (e.g., KRAS, KDM6A, KMT2C, and RAG).10–13 Here, we used our multi-parametric approaches to investigate the molecular mechanisms of mtDNA variants that were associated with posttransplant outcomes, with a specific focus on mitochondrial genes that form the OXPHOS Complex I, the largest component of the mitochondrial OXPHOS system.
METHODS
2D Sequence-based analyses using linear sequence predictors for pathogenicity
To predict the pathogenicity of mtDNA variants, we integrated information from different databases. Variants, regardless of their biotype, were classified as “pathogenic” if they (1) were listed as “confirmed” pathogenic in MITOMAP database,14 (2) had clinical significance of “pathogenic/likely pathogenic” based on the modified American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics and Association of Molecular Pathology (ACMG/AMP) guidelines for mtDNA variants (criteria provided in ClinVar),15 or (3) identified as loss of function (LoF) variants by the Ensembl Variant Effect Predictor (VEP).16 According to the mtDNA specifications of the ACMG/AMP guidelines, mtDNA variants with allele frequency in the population database < 0.00002 provide evidence of pathogenicity.17 Based on this criterion, variants with AF_hom < 0.00002 in the gnomAD v3.1 database were also considered as “pathogenic” if they were non-synonymous and predicted to be deleterious from 5 of 7 prediction tools (HmtVar, SIFT, PolyPhen-2, MutPred2, PANTHER, PhD-SNP and SNPs&GO),18–24 or had MToolBox disease score > 0.4311.25
3D Structure-Based calculations for evaluation of mechanisms of dysfunction
The Cryo-EM structure of mitochondrial respiratory supercomplex, composed of three membrane-bound members of the ETC (i.e., complex I, dimeric complex III, and complex IV), were retrieved from RCSB Protein Data Bank (PDB; entry code: 5xth)26 and used in the current analysis to give the most physiologically relevant context to our 3D assessment and structure-based calculations (Figure 1). We used well-established metrics from protein structural analysis (i.e., amino acid local packing density, solvation energy, hydrogen bonds, and salt bridges) and more advanced metrics (i.e., multi-body statistical contact potentials, energetic frustration, and thermodynamic cooperativity) and made images using PyMOL v2.5.4.27–32 We performed evolutionary coupling analysis with tools from the Marks lab,33 allosteric path analysis with tools from the Bahar lab.34,35 The stability of the mutated protein were assessed by variant-induced changes in folding energy (ΔΔGfold) using FoldX.36 The explicit environment was modified for each mtDNA variant using the FoldX-generated models. Frustratometer was used to calculate residual frustration in the wildtype and mutated structures and to quantify changes in local interactions caused by each mtDNA variant.32
Figure 1: Structure of the MT super-complex.

We label each selected variant with a red sphere marking its location.
RESULTS
Assembly and sequence-based evaluation of genomic variants in mitochondrial complex I that influence allo-HCT outcomes.
Our WGS data analyses of patients undergoing allo-HCT identified a total of 159 missense variants on mitochondrial Complex I genes (i.e., MT-ND1, MT-ND2, MT-ND3, MT-ND4, MT-ND4L, MT-ND5, and MT-ND6) as potentially pathogenic (Table 1).9 To test the gain of information that is generated by our deep variant phenotyping algorithms, we chose the variant that had the highest deleterious predicted score according to 2D annotation methods for each gene (i.e., MT-ND1 m.3470T>C, p.L55P; MT-ND2 m.5016T>C, p.S183P; MT-ND3 m.10176G>A, p.G40S; MT-ND4 m.11423G>A, p.E222K; MT-ND4L m.10726G>A, p.G86D; MT-ND5 m.12770A>G, p.E145G; and MT-ND6 m.14601G>A, p.P25S).
Table 1.
Potentially pathogenic missense variants on mitochodnrioal Complex I genes.
| Variant | Locus | Amino Acid | Variant | Locus | Amino Acid | Variant | Locus | Amino Acid |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3323TC | MT-ND1 | L6P | 10826AG | MT-ND4 | I23V | 12764GA | MT-ND5 | G143D |
| 3326TC | MT-ND1 | L7P | 10833TC | MT-ND4 | I25T | 12769GA | MT-ND5 | E145K |
| 3358GA | MT-ND1 | A18T | 10869TC | MT-ND4 | I37T | 12770AG | MT-ND5 | E145G |
| 3361TC | MT-ND1 | F19L | 11018GA | MT-ND4 | E87K | 12772GA | MT-ND5 | G146S |
| 3380GA | MT-ND1 | R25Q | 11064TC | MT-ND4 | L102P | 12782TC | MT-ND5 | I149T |
| 3394TC | MT-ND1 | Y30H | 11079TC | MT-ND4 | I107T | 12800TC | MT-ND5 | I155T |
| 3454GA | MT-ND1 | A50T | 11087TC | MT-ND4 | F110L | 12811TC | MT-ND5 | Y159H |
| 3470TC | MT-ND1 | L55P | 11126GA | MT-ND4 | E123K | 12830AG | MT-ND5 | N165S |
| 3517TC | MT-ND1 | Y71H | 11153AG | MT-ND4 | I132V | 12868GA | MT-ND5 | G178S |
| 3526GA | MT-ND1 | A74T | 11163GA | MT-ND4 | R135Q | 12871GA | MT-ND5 | D179N |
| 3550GC | MT-ND1 | A82P | 11210TC | MT-ND4 | F151L | 12875TC | MT-ND5 | I180T |
| 3572TC | MT-ND1 | L89P | 11225GA | MT-ND4 | G156S | 13018GA | MT-ND5 | G228S |
| 3578TA | MT-ND1 | M91K | 11273GA | MT-ND4 | G172S | 13063GA | MT-ND5 | V243I |
| 3578TC | MT-ND1 | M91T | 11276TC | MT-ND4 | S173P | 13069GA | MT-ND5 | A245T |
| 3590TA | MT-ND1 | L95Q | 11295TC | MT-ND4 | L179P | 13093GA | MT-ND5 | V253I |
| 3599TA | MT-ND1 | L98H | 11327TC | MT-ND4 | W190R | 13112TC | MT-ND5 | L259S |
| 3602AG | MT-ND1 | N99S | 11354TC | MT-ND4 | Y199H | 13129CT | MT-ND5 | P265S |
| 3605TA | MT-ND1 | L100Q | 11379TC | MT-ND4 | M207T | 13178GA | MT-ND5 | G281D |
| 3608GC | MT-ND1 | G101A | 11423GA | MT-ND4 | E222K | 13180GA | MT-ND5 | A282T |
| 3638TC | MT-ND1 | L111P | 11432AG | MT-ND4 | I225V | 13201GA | MT-ND5 | A289T |
| 3727TC | MT-ND1 | S141P | 11435GA | MT-ND4 | A226T | 13208GC | MT-ND5 | C291S |
| 3737TC | MT-ND1 | V144A | 11453GA | MT-ND4 | A232T | 13237AG | MT-ND5 | I301V |
| 3791TC | MT-ND1 | L162P | 11480TC | MT-ND4 | Y241H | 13238TC | MT-ND5 | I301T |
| 3918GC | MT-ND1 | E204D | 11490TC | MT-ND4 | M244T | 13240GA | MT-ND5 | V302M |
| 3929TC | MT-ND1 | V208A | 11493GA | MT-ND4 | R245H | 13246TC | MT-ND5 | F304L |
| 3935GA | MT-ND1 | G210D | 11535AG | MT-ND4 | Y259C | 13247TC | MT-ND5 | F304S |
| 3958GA | MT-ND1 | G218S | 11538CT | MT-ND4 | P260L | 13277TC | MT-ND5 | M314T |
| 4028TC | MT-ND1 | I241T | 11556TC | MT-ND4 | L266P | 13367GA | MT-ND5 | G344E |
| 4136AG | MT-ND1 | Y277C | 11583TA | MT-ND4 | I275N | 13369TC | MT-ND5 | S345P |
| 4211TC | MT-ND1 | M302T | 11642GA | MT-ND4 | A295T | 13373TC | MT-ND5 | I346T |
| 4600TC | MT-ND2 | L44P | 11693GA | MT-ND4 | A312T | 13376TC | MT-ND5 | I347T |
| 4665GA | MT-ND2 | A66T | 11790TC | MT-ND4 | L344P | 13414GC | MT-ND5 | G360R |
| 4752TC | MT-ND2 | S95P | 11891GA | MT-ND4 | E378K | 13499GA | MT-ND5 | G388D |
| 4849GA | MT-ND2 | G127D | 11940TC | MT-ND4 | L394P | 13528AG | MT-ND5 | T398A |
| 4903TC | MT-ND2 | I145T | 11955AG | MT-ND4 | N399S | 13538TC | MT-ND5 | M401T |
| 4950TC | MT-ND2 | S161P | 11988TC | MT-ND4 | M410T | 13558GA | MT-ND5 | A408T |
| 4986AG | MT-ND2 | T173A | 10534AG | MT-ND4L | Y22C | 13664TC | MT-ND5 | I443T |
| 5016TC | MT-ND2 | S183P | 10554TC | MT-ND4L | S29P | 13691AG | MT-ND5 | N452S |
| 5032GC | MT-ND2 | G188A | 10663TC | MT-ND4L | V65A | 13718GA | MT-ND5 | S461N |
| 5050TC | MT-ND2 | L194P | 10675GA | MT-ND4L | C69Y | 13844AG | MT-ND5 | D503G |
| 5055TC | MT-ND2 | Y196H | 10726GA | MT-ND4L | G86D | 13931TA | MT-ND5 | I532N |
| 5136TC | MT-ND2 | S223P | 10731GA | MT-ND4L | D88N | 13952AG | MT-ND5 | Y539C |
| 5148AC | MT-ND2 | T227P | 12457GA | MT-ND5 | A41T | 14050TC | MT-ND5 | S572P |
| 5224GA | MT-ND2 | G252E | 12524TC | MT-ND5 | I63T | 14093TC | MT-ND5 | L586P |
| 5262GC | MT-ND2 | A265P | 12601TC | MT-ND5 | F89L | 14180TC | MT-ND6 | Y165C |
| 10138TC | MT-ND3 | L27P | 12613GA | MT-ND5 | A93T | 14231TC | MT-ND6 | Y148C |
| 10176GA | MT-ND3 | G40S | 12631TC | MT-ND5 | S99P | 14424AG | MT-ND6 | S84P |
| 10237TC | MT-ND3 | I60T | 12635TC | MT-ND5 | I100T | 14484TC | MT-ND6 | M64V |
| 10282TC | MT-ND3 | L75P | 12638TC | MT-ND5 | M101T | 14501AG | MT-ND6 | I58T |
| 10290GA | MT-ND3 | A78T | 12650TC | MT-ND5 | L105P | 14525TC | MT-ND6 | Y50C |
| 10353GC | MT-ND3 | A99P | 12673AG | MT-ND5 | N113D | 14601GA | MT-ND6 | P25S |
| 10360GA | MT-ND3 | S101N | 12704TC | MT-ND5 | I123T | 14606GA | MT-ND6 | P23L |
| 10805TC | MT-ND4 | W16R | 12731TC | MT-ND5 | V132A | 14619AG | MT-ND6 | F19L |
Deep variant phenotyping using computational structural genomics.
Subsequently, we performed the 3D structure-based assessment, initially of variants by examining the environments around the mtDNA variants. We found that mutations of MT-ND4:E222 (Figure 2A) and MT-ND5:E145 (Figure 2B) were likely to change the dynamics of the complex because they are internally facing charges surrounded by a mixture of positive and negative charges. The residue E222 is in a solvent exposed helix and appears to have a crucial role in holding the adjacent solvent exposed helix by hydrogen bond. Additionally, the residue E145 is located at the interface stabilizing the interaction with MT-ND4. We anticipate that such an arrangement balances architectural stability with essential flexibility. Mutation to a different charge (e.g., E222K) or that form greater internal cavities (e.g., E145G) will have dynamic effects on the structure or the electron transport process. Interestingly, these candidate variants were selected without structural data, and there are proximal relationships among them like MT-ND6:P25 being across from MT-ND4L:G86 (Figure 2C). The role of G86 is probably to provide a steric free edge at the end of helix for a sharp turn of C-terminal peptide, which could otherwise not be stabilized if placed in other direction. We anticipate that any bulky mutation at this site could be deleterious. In addition, Evolutionary coupling analysis identified all seven variants as deleterious. Allosteric path analysis identified six out of seven variants as deleterious with one neutral call (MT-ND4:E222K) but within 1% of the threshold required for assignment to this category. Structural stability analysis, which is based on molecular mechanic calculations of folding energy identified one variant with neutral (MT-ND5:E145G), one stabilizing (MT-ND4:E222K) and the remaining five variants with highly destabilizing effect (Table 2). Thus, this data indicates that the prognostic effects of these mtDNA variants on MDS patients receiving allo-HCT likely involve their deleterious impacts on mitochondrial function. Thus, when using computational biophysics and structural genomics for their analyses, mtDNA variants are a powerful prognostic tool for predicting the outcome of allo-HCT and advances the field of precision medicine for MDS.
Figure 2: 3D structure-based assessment for mtDNA variants.

A) MT-ND4:E222 and B) MT-ND5:E145 are located within internal pockets that are lined with combinations of positive and negative charges, likely facilitating the flexible conformational changes that are required for electron transport. C) Selected mutations are nearby in space and typically at the ends of alpha helices where they likely modulate flexibility.
Table 2.
Structural stability analysis for mtDNA variants.
| Gene | Amino Acid | ΔΔGfold (kcal/mol) |
|---|---|---|
| MT-ND1 | L55P | 5.9 ± 0.2 |
| MT-ND2 | S183P | 5.4 ± 0.3 |
| MT-ND3 | G40S | 6.9 ± 0.0 |
| MT-ND4 | E222K | −1.5 ± 0.2 |
| MT-ND4L | G86D | 3.6 ± 0.2 |
| MT-ND5 | E145G | −0.2 ± 0.3 |
| MT-ND6 | P25S | 4.3 ± 0.0 |
DISCUSSION
Considering the novelty of the results reported in this study, it becomes important to briefly highlight additional applications. Computational biophysics and structural genomics increase our ability to better predict pathogenicity than conventional methods due to the precision of these methods over the ones popularized by guidelines. More importantly, this approach provides explanations for mechanisms of dysfunction underlying the impact of variants, in particular because of its used of advanced methods of molecular dynamic simulations. Lastly, since many drugs have been developed using similar methodologies, the conformations that results from molecular dynamics simulation build the trajectory toward the identification of mutant-specific cavities for development of organic probes or small drugs. Therefore, we anticipate that the continue application to the deep variant characterization of both nuclear and Mt-DNA-encoded mitochondria proteins will significantly advance not only the field of MDS but other genomic diseases of importance to our field. In conclusion, in the current molecular era, mtDNA variants are a powerful prognostic tool for both predicting the outcome of allo-HCT and represent an advancing the field of precision medicine for MDS. Studies such as we illustrated here increase our ability to better predict pathogenicity, provide explanations for their mechanism of dysfunction, and yield structural conformation to help build novel therapeutic tools. In this manner, we can better leverage mtDNA genomics into the functional interpretation and actionable potential. Thus, we are optimistic that this study will serve as a useful framework for characterizing the spectrum of translational research in the field of HCT, from bedside (e.g., measuring individual’s genomics) to bench (e.g., computational structural genomics) then back to bedside (e.g., improved risk stratification and clinical outcomes), necessary for our precision medicine practice and research. Such work requires a multidisciplinary team with high level of expertise in HCT clinical management, molecular epidemiology, systems biology, mitochondrial biochemistry, computational biophysics, computational chemistry, and stem cell biology. Should such a proposed translational cycle be successful, it will be a paradigm shift in allo-HCT, from donor selection, recipient risk stratification to mitochondrial targeted therapying in HCT, MDS, and most likely to other diseases caused by alterations in this organelle.
Acknowledgements
Jing Dong is supported by the NHLBI (K01 HL164972) and the Medical College of Wisconsin Cancer Center. This project was funded in part by the National Institutes of Health Grant R01 DK52913, and the Linda T. and John A. Mellowes Center for Genomic Sciences and Precision Medicine at the Medical College of Wisconsin.
Footnotes
Competing interests
None
References
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