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. 2026 May 27;21(5):e0349697. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0349697

Distribution of refractive errors and horizontal concomitant strabismus in Iraqi children

Hassan A Aljaberi 1,2,*, Saeed Rahmani 2, Humam H Alrikabi 2
Editor: Liat Gantz3
PMCID: PMC13215519  PMID: 42201861

Abstract

Horizontal concomitant strabismus is a common pediatric ocular disorder influenced by underlying refractive error patterns, yet evidence from Iraq remains limited. This study characterized refractive profiles in esotropia and exotropia and identified refractive predictors of each subtype. In this retrospective multicenter clinic-based case-comparison study, medical records of 2,256 children aged 4–15 years evaluated at three tertiary pediatric ophthalmology centers in Iraq were reviewed; 1,012 met the criteria for horizontal concomitant strabismus (642 esotropia and 370 exotropia), while 1,244 non-strabismic children served as controls. All participants underwent standardized cycloplegic refraction, visual acuity assessment, and ocular alignment testing. Group differences were examined using Chi-square tests, and logistic regression was used to identify refractive predictors. Children with esotropia were younger (mean age 8.24 ± 2.89 years) and exhibited a marked hyperopic profile, with 78% having spherical equivalent hyperopia ≥ +2.00 D; clinically significant anisometropia (≥2.50 D) was present in 33.8% of cases. Exotropia occurred at a slightly older age (8.75 ± 2.89 years) and was associated with higher proportions of myopia (53.5%) and astigmatism ≥1.00 D (55.7%). Across the full cohort, myopic refractive error (SE <−0.50 D) was present in 310 children (13.7%), hyperopic refractive error (SE ≥ +2.00 D) in 1,002 (44.4%), astigmatism ≥1.00 D in 555 (24.6%), and anisometropia ≥0.50 D in 1,489 (66.0%). In multivariable analysis, moderate-to-high hyperopia strongly predicted esotropia, whereas myopia and clinically significant astigmatism independently predicted exotropia. These findings show contrasting refractive profiles in Iraqi children with esotropia and exotropia and support the clinical value of early cycloplegic refraction in children with suspected ocular misalignment.

Introduction

Strabismus is one of the most common and clinically significant ocular disorders in childhood [1,2]. It is characterized by a misalignment of the visual axes that disrupts normal binocular vision development and may lead to amblyopia, reduced stereopsis, and long-term visual impairment when not detected early [1–3]. Horizontal concomitant deviations, especially esotropia and exotropia, account for most pediatric strabismus cases and represent an important public health concern due to their impact on visual development, psychosocial functioning, and academic performance [1,3,4]. Understanding the etiological factors contributing to these deviations is essential for improving early detection, guiding individualized management, and reducing the risk of amblyopia [3,4].

Refractive errors are among the most influential contributors to childhood strabismus. The relationship between refractive status and ocular alignment is mediated through accommodation, vergence responses, and the stability of fusional reserves [5]. Hyperopia increases accommodative effort, which may trigger excessive accommodative convergence and predispose children to esotropia [6,7]. Conversely, myopia and reduced accommodative demand have been associated with the development and instability of exotropia, particularly in older children [7,8]. Astigmatism and anisometropia also influence ocular alignment by inducing retinal blur, weakening sensory fusion, and increasing the likelihood of strabismus and amblyopia [9]. Globally, uncorrected refractive error remains a leading cause of visual impairment in children, and its prevalence varies substantially across different regions [10].

Large epidemiological studies from East Asia have provided valuable insights into refractive–strabismus associations. These studies consistently report distinct refractive error patterns and clear dose–response relationships between spherical equivalent refractive error and strabismus subtype [9,11,12]. Higher levels of hyperopia show strong associations with esotropia, whereas myopia and significant astigmatism are more frequently linked to exotropia [9,12]. These findings highlight both universal physiological mechanisms and marked regional differences in refractive development. The high prevalence of myopia in East Asian populations, for instance, shapes refractive profiles that differ noticeably from those observed in Western and Middle Eastern regions [1,9].

In contrast, research from the Middle East and Iraq in particular remains limited. Existing Iraqi studies have primarily focused on describing the prevalence of refractive errors among school-aged children and adolescents, showing substantial burdens of hyperopia, myopia, and astigmatism, as well as their effects on academic and functional performance [13,14]. Additional work has examined ocular biometric characteristics among young adult Iraqis, emphasizing the roles of axial length and corneal curvature in determining refractive status [15,16]. However, these studies have not systematically evaluated how refractive errors relate to specific strabismus subtypes in children, and current evidence is restricted to small, single-center preschool cohorts [17,18].

To date, no large multicenter studies have investigated the association between refractive error patterns and horizontal concomitant strabismus in Iraqi children. This gap in the literature presents significant challenges for clinical practice. In the absence of robust, population-specific data, clinicians may rely on international findings that do not fully reflect the refractive characteristics, environmental exposures, or developmental profiles of Iraqi children [14–21]. Consequently, opportunities for early detection, targeted screening programs, and informed risk-based counseling may be limited.

A multicenter investigation is therefore needed to address this gap. By assessing refractive error patterns in children diagnosed with esotropia and exotropia and comparing them with those of non-strabismic peers, it is possible to identify associations unique to this population. Such evidence is crucial for informing clinical decision-making, refining referral pathways, strengthening amblyopia prevention strategies, and supporting future research on visual development in Iraq.

This study characterizes the refractive error profiles of Iraqi children with horizontal concomitant strabismus and evaluates the associations between spherical equivalent refractive error, anisometropia, astigmatism, and strabismus subtype. By comparing children with esotropia, exotropia, and non-strabismic controls across multiple pediatric eye centers, this study provides the first large-scale multicenter Iraqi clinic-based assessment of refractive–strabismus relationships in children. It also offers a unified analysis of refractive profiles across clinically relevant subgroups in a setting where comparable pediatric data remain limited.

Materials and methods

Study design and clinical setting

This retrospective, multicenter, clinic-based case-comparison study was conducted at three major pediatric ophthalmology centers in Iraq: Ibn Al-Haitham Teaching Eye Hospital (Baghdad), Al-Hakeem Teaching Hospital (Najaf), and Al-Hussain Specialized Eye Complex (Karbala). These high-volume tertiary institutions follow standardized diagnostic protocols and collectively serve a broad urban and semi-urban population. Medical records from December 2023 to June 2025 were reviewed.

Children presenting with suspected ocular deviation or visual complaints were examined consecutively. Those diagnosed with horizontal concomitant strabismus were classified as cases, while non-strabismic children evaluated during the same period served as the comparison group. Accordingly, the proportion of strabismus cases in the analytic sample reflects the clinic-based case-comparison design and should not be interpreted as population prevalence.

Study population and eligibility criteria

Of the 2,256 children examined (aged 4–15 years), only those whose first documented visit included complete data on ocular alignment, cycloplegic refraction, visual acuity, and anterior- and posterior-segment examinations were eligible for inclusion.

Exclusion criteria included prior strabismus surgery, media opacities affecting alignment assessment, paralytic or restrictive strabismus, vertical deviations, and syndromic or congenital forms such as Down syndrome or Duane retraction syndrome.

After applying these criteria, 1,012 children met the definition of horizontal concomitant strabismus, comprising 642 cases of esotropia and 370 cases of exotropia. The final analytic sample included 647 females and 365 males.

Visual acuity and ocular examination

Distance visual acuity (VA) was assessed monocularly at 6 meters using Lea Symbols for pre-literate children and ETDRS charts for literate children. When subjective refraction was not feasible, BCVA was estimated from cycloplegic retinoscopy. VA was recorded in Snellen format and converted to logMAR for analysis. Poor visual acuity was defined as logMAR ≥ 0.3.

All children underwent comprehensive anterior-segment and dilated-fundus examinations to exclude structural abnormalities.

Assessment of strabismus and AC/A ratio

Ocular alignment was evaluated at distance (6 m) and near (33 cm) fixation using the cover–uncover and alternating cover tests. In less cooperative children, the Hirschberg test served as an initial screen. Prism alternate cover testing was used to quantify deviations. Ocular motility assessment in nine gaze positions ensured exclusion of paralytic or restrictive etiologies. Strabismus was classified as esotropia or exotropia and further categorized as constant or intermittent.

When available in the medical records, the AC/A ratio was documented; however, these data were not consistently recorded across centers and were therefore insufficiently complete for formal analysis.

Cycloplegic refraction and refractive error definitions

Cycloplegia was induced with two drops of 1% cyclopentolate administered five minutes apart, with a third dose given if dilation was inadequate. Cycloplegic retinoscopy or autorefraction was performed following standardized pediatric refraction protocols.

Spherical equivalent (SE) was calculated as sphere + ½ cylinder. Refractive errors were categorized as follows:

  • Emmetropia: −0.50 D ≤ SE < +0.50 D

  • Low myopia: −3.00 D ≤ SE <−0.50 D

  • Low hyperopia: + 0.50 D ≤ SE < +2.00 D

  • Moderate hyperopia: + 2.00 D ≤ SE < +4.00 D

  • High hyperopia: + 4.00 D ≤ SE < +6.00 D

Astigmatism was defined as cylindrical refractive error ≥1.00 D and was further classified into simple, compound, and mixed forms according to the relationship of the principal meridians’ focal lines to the retina [22,23]. Anisometropia was defined as the absolute interocular difference in spherical-equivalent refraction; for descriptive analyses, a threshold of ≥0.50 D was used, while larger interocular differences were interpreted as indicating greater refractive asymmetry [24,25].

Eye selection for statistical analysis

To avoid inter-eye correlation, only one eye per child was included in the main regression analyses. In unilateral strabismus, the deviating eye was selected; in alternating deviations, the less hyperopic eye was used. When both eyes were equivalent, the right eye was selected. By contrast, both eyes were used to calculate anisometropia, defined as the interocular difference in spherical equivalent refractive error.

Statistical analysis

Analyses were performed using IBM SPSS Statistics version 28. Categorical variables were reported as frequencies and percentages, whereas continuous variables were summarized as mean ± standard deviation. Group differences between esotropia and exotropia were evaluated using the Chi-square or Fisher’s exact test.

Univariate logistic regression was conducted to identify refractive predictors of strabismus subtype. Variables with p < 0.10 in univariate screening were entered into the multivariable model as candidate covariates to avoid premature exclusion of potentially important predictors, whereas final statistical significance in the adjusted as p < 0.05. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were reported.

Ethical approval

This study adhered to the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki and received approval from the institutional review boards of all participating centers. Ethical approvals were obtained from the Ibn Al-Haitham Teaching Eye Hospital (IRB/IAH/2025–112), Imam Hussain Specialized Eye Complex – Faculty of Medicine (IRB/IHC/2025–129), and Al-Hakeem Teaching Hospital (IRB/HTH/2025–099). Because the study involved a retrospective review of de-identified medical records, informed consent was waived by all approving committees.

Assessment of bias

Selection bias was minimized through consecutive case recruitment and consistent inclusion/exclusion criteria across centers. Information bias was mitigated by standardized examination and refraction protocols. However, limitations inherent to retrospective data collection are acknowledged.

Sensitivity analysis

Sensitivity analyses were conducted by excluding (1) children with borderline hyperopia (+0.50 to +1.00 D) and (2) cases missing AC/A measurements. The consistency of effect estimates across all models indicated robust findings.

Results

Study subjects

A total of 2,256 children aged 4–15 years were examined during the study period. After applying the eligibility criteria, 1,012 children were identified as having horizontal concomitant strabismus, while 1,244 children exhibited no manifest ocular deviation and were included as the comparison group.

Within the strabismic cohort, esotropia was more frequent than exotropia, accounting for 63.4% (642/1,012) and 36.6% (370/1,012), respectively. The mean age was 8.24 ± 2.89 years in the esotropia group and 8.75 ± 2.89 years in the exotropia group, whereas the non-strabismic group had a mean age of 8.44 ± 2.90 years. Female children comprised 64.0% (647/1,012) of the strabismic cohort, whereas males accounted for 36.0% (365/1,012).

Although AC/A ratio was documented when available, the retrospective data were incomplete and heterogeneous across centers, which limited data quality and precluded reliable statistical evaluation. For this reason, AC/A findings were not presented in the Results.

Demographic and refractive characteristics

Across the full analytic cohort (n = 2,256), myopic refractive error (SE <−0.50 D) was present in 310 children (13.7%), hyperopic refractive error (SE ≥ +2.00 D) in 1,002 children (44.4%), astigmatism ≥1.00 D in 555 children (24.6%), and anisometropia ≥0.50 D in 1,489 children (66.0%). Table 1 presents the distribution of demographic and refractive characteristics across children with esotropia, exotropia, and those without strabismus. Esotropia was most common among children aged 4–6 years, whereas exotropia was more prevalent among older children, particularly those aged 10–12 years. Fig 1 illustrates the age distribution across strabismus categories and reflects the same pattern, with esotropia concentrated in younger ages and exotropia increasing in frequency among older children.

Table 1. Distribution of demographic and refractive characteristics across esotropia, exotropia, and non-strabismus groups.

Risk factor Level Esotropia n (%) Exotropia n (%) No strabismus n (%) P value
Age group 4–6 y 217 (33.8) 101 (27.3) 395 (31.8) 0.211
7–9 y 192 (29.9) 103 (27.8) 374 (30.1)
10–12 y 176 (27.4) 125 (33.8) 355 (28.5)
13–15 y 57 (8.9) 41 (11.1) 120 (9.6)
Sex Male 219 (34.1) 146 (39.5) 600 (48.2) <0.001
Female 423 (65.9) 224 (60.5) 644 (51.8)
SE anisometropia (D) <0.50 D 38 (5.9) 65 (17.6) 664 (53.4) <0.001
0.50– < 1.00 D 48 (7.5) 96 (25.9) 389 (31.3)
1.00– < 2.50 D 339 (52.8) 200 (54.1) 160 (12.9)
≥2.50 D 217 (33.8) 9 (2.4) 31 (2.5)
SE refractive error (D) <−2.00 D 0 (0.0) 44 (11.9) 58 (4.7) <0.001
−2.00 to <0.00 D 6 (0.9) 154 (41.6) 105 (8.4)
0.00 to <+2.00 D 107 (16.7) 130 (35.1) 650 (52.3)
+2.00 to <+4.00 D 393 (61.2) 40 (10.8) 342 (27.5)
+4.00 to <+6.00 D 134 (20.9) 2 (0.5) 85 (6.8)
≥+6.00 D 2 (0.3) 0 (0.0) 4 (0.3)
Astigmatism (D) <0.50 D 228 (35.5) 80 (21.6) 676 (54.3) <0.001
0.50– < 1.00 D 260 (40.5) 84 (22.7) 373 (30.0)
≥1.00 D 154 (24.0) 206 (55.7) 195 (15.7)
BCVA (logMAR) ≤0.3 39 (6.1) 159 (43.0) 1102 (88.6) <0.001
>0.3 603 (93.9) 211 (57.0) 142 (11.4)

The reported p-values represent overall omnibus comparisons across the three study groups. For variables with statistically significant overall differences, Bonferroni-adjusted post hoc pairwise comparisons were conducted to identify specific between-group differences.

Fig 1. Age distribution across strabismus categories.

Fig 1

No statistically significant overall difference was observed among the groups (p = 0.211).

Refractive error patterns also varied substantially between groups. Esotropia demonstrated a pronounced hyperopic shift, with the highest proportions found in the + 2.00 to <+4.00 D and +4.00 to <+6.00 D categories. Exotropia, in contrast, was associated with a broader refractive spectrum extending into emmetropia and myopia. Astigmatism ≥1.00 D was most frequent in exotropia, whereas anisometropia ≥1.00 D was more common in esotropia. The severity distribution of astigmatism across esotropia, exotropia, and non-strabismic children is shown in Fig 2, highlighting the higher burden of significant astigmatism in exotropia.

Fig 2. Prevalence of astigmatism levels across strabismus subtypes.

Fig 2

Overall comparison across groups was statistically significant (p < 0.001).

Fig 3 illustrates the distribution of cycloplegic spherical-equivalent refractive error across the three groups. Children with esotropia demonstrate a clearly shifted hyperopic profile, with higher median and narrower interquartile ranges. In contrast, exotropia displays a wider refractive spread extending into emmetropic and myopic values. The non-strabismic group shows an intermediate distribution, predominantly mild hyperopia with a broader overall range.

Fig 3. Boxplot of spherical equivalent refractive error by strabismus type.

Fig 3

Overall omnibus comparison across the three groups was statistically significant (p < 0.001). The boxplots show the median, interquartile range, and range; circles indicate outliers.

Refractive error distributions across gender and age

Fig 4 displays the distribution of refractive error types by gender. Males and females showed differing refractive profiles, with females demonstrating higher hyperopic proportions and males showing relatively more emmetropia and low myopia.

Fig 4. Distribution of refractive error types by gender.

Fig 4

The overall association between sex and refractive status was statistically significant (p < 0.001). Values are presented as number of eyes.

Fig 5 presents the distribution of refractive error types across age groups, illustrating how hyperopia, myopia, and emmetropia vary through childhood.

Fig 5. Distribution of refractive error types across age groups.

Fig 5

Overall association between age group and refractive status was statistically significant (p < 0.001). Values represent the number of eyes.

Associations between refractive error and strabismus subtype

Associations between refractive parameters and esotropia are shown in Table 2, which includes univariate and multivariable logistic regression models. Hyperopia emerged as the strongest predictor of esotropia, displaying a clear dose–response relationship. Clinically significant anisometropia (≥1.00 D) also remained an independent risk factor following adjustment for demographic and refractive variables.

Table 2. Univariate and multivariate analyses for associations between refractive error and esotropia.

Factor Level Univariate Multivariate
OR 95% CI p OR 95% CI p
Age group 4–6 y (Ref) 1.00 – – 1.00 – –
7–9 y 0.92 0.73–1.16 0.480 1.01 0.70–1.44 0.976
10–12 y 0.84 0.66–1.06 0.141 1.00 0.70–1.42 0.995
13–15 y 0.81 0.58–1.14 0.225 1.04 0.63–1.70 0.882
Sex Male (Ref) 1.00 – – 1.00 – –
Female 1.66 1.37–2.01 <0.001 1.57 1.18–2.09 0.002
SE anisometropia (D) <0.50 (Ref) 1.00 – – 1.00 – –
0.50 to <1.00 D 1.90 1.22–2.95 0.004 2.17 1.36–3.47 0.001
1.00 to <2.50 D 18.07 12.63–25.85 <0.001 26.43 17.65–39.56 <0.001
≥2.50 D 104.07 65.10–166.38 <0.001 114.78 67.04–196.51 <0.001
SE refractive error (D) 0.00 to <+2.00 D (Ref) 1.00 – – 1.00 – –
<0.00 D 0.12 0.05–0.28 <0.001 0.08 0.04–0.20 <0.001
+2.00 to <+4.00 D 7.50 5.86–9.59 <0.001 8.12 5.90–11.19 <0.001
≥+4.00 D 10.89 7.80–15.21 <0.001 14.63 9.22–23.21 <0.001
Astigmatism (D) 0.00– < 0.50 D (Ref) 1.00 – – 1.00 – –
0.50 to <1.00 D 1.89 1.53–2.33 <0.001 1.98 1.44–2.73 <0.001
≥1.00 D 1.27 1.00–1.61 0.046 1.48 1.03–2.12 0.032
BCVA (logMAR) ≤0.3 (Ref) 1.00 – – 1.00 – –
>0.3 55.23 39.13–77.96 <0.001 54.17 38.36–76.48 <0.001

Corresponding associations for exotropia are shown in Table 3. Myopic refractive error (SE <−0.50 D) was the most influential predictor of exotropia and remained strongly significant in adjusted models. Astigmatism ≥1.00 D also remained an independent risk factor, whereas increasing hyperopia showed a protective effect.

Table 3. Univariate and multivariate analyses for associations between refractive error and exotropia.

Factor Level Univariate Multivariate
OR 95% CI p OR 95% CI p
Age group 4–6 y (Ref) 1.00 – – 1.00 – –
7–9 y 1.10 0.82–1.48 0.519 1.17 0.80–1.70 0.414
10–12 y 1.43 1.07–1.90 0.015 1.48 1.03–2.13 0.034
13–15 y 1.40 0.94–2.09 0.096 1.46 0.87–2.42 0.149
Sex Male (Ref) 1.00 – – 1.00 – –
Female 1.18 0.94–1.48 0.159 1.48 1.11–1.98 0.008
SE anisometropia (D) <0.50 D (Ref) 1.00 – – 1.00 – –
0.50–<1.00 D 2.37 1.69–3.32 <0.001 2.64 1.78–3.91 <0.001
1.00–<2.50 D 4.33 3.20–5.86 <0.001 7.12 4.89–10.37 <0.001
≥2.50 D 0.39 0.19–0.80 0.010 0.74 0.33–1.65 0.457
SE refractive error (D) 0.00–<+2.00 D (Ref) 1.00 – – 1.00 – –
<0.00 D 6.82 5.17–9.00 <0.001 6.57 4.76–9.08 <0.001
+2.00–<+4.00 D 0.32 0.22–0.46 <0.001 0.22 0.14–0.33 <0.001
≥+4.00 D 0.05 0.01–0.21 <0.001 0.04 0.01–0.15 <0.001
Astigmatism (D) <0.50 D (Ref) 1.00 – – 1.00 – –
0.50–<1.00 D 1.50 1.09–2.07 0.014 1.54 1.06–2.22 0.023
≥1.00 D 6.67 5.01–8.88 <0.001 6.33 4.49–8.91 <0.001
BCVA (logMAR) ≤0.3 (Ref) 1.00 – – 1.00 – –
>0.3 2.03 1.62–2.55 <0.001 2.01 1.60–2.53 <0.001

Discussion

This multicenter clinic-based case-comparison study provides the first large-scale Iraqi analysis of refractive profiles associated with horizontal concomitant strabismus in children and adds region-specific evidence from a setting in which comparable pediatric data remain limited. Although the overall refractive–strabismus patterns observed in the present cohort are broadly consistent with the international literature, this study contributes clinically relevant local data by quantifying the relative distributions of hyperopia, myopia, astigmatism, anisometropia, age, sex, and visual acuity across esotropia, exotropia, and non-strabismic children within a single analytic framework. In this respect, the present findings extend earlier Iraqi reports, which were generally smaller, single-center, or primarily descriptive, and provide a more clinically applicable refractive risk profile for pediatric ophthalmic practice in Iraq [14,18,26,27].

A principal finding was the strong association between esotropia and moderate-to-high hyperopia. Most children with esotropia fell within the + 2.00 to <+4.00 D range, and a substantial proportion also had higher hyperopic levels. This pattern corresponds with the classical accommodative convergence mechanism, whereby increased accommodative effort in uncorrected or under-corrected hyperopic eyes may stimulate excessive convergence and precipitate esodeviation [28–30]. At the regional level, the same directional relationship has been described in Iraqi studies and in pediatric cohorts from Iran, Turkey, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia, although the extent of directly comparable evidence varies across countries and across specific refractive subtypes. Overall, these findings support the interpretation that hyperopia remains the dominant refractive correlate of childhood esotropia in this regional context [18,26,29–37].

By contrast, exotropia in the present cohort showed a broader refractive distribution extending toward emmetropia and myopia, with myopia emerging as the strongest refractive predictor in multivariable analysis. This finding is also biologically coherent. Reduced accommodative demand in myopic eyes may lessen accommodative convergence, thereby favoring exodeviation or reducing alignment stability in predisposed children [11,28,32]. The consistency of this pattern with reports from neighboring countries suggests that the myopia–exotropia relationship is not restricted to East Asian populations, even though the absolute burden of childhood myopia may differ across regions [31,33,34,37–40]. From a clinical perspective, these data indicate that exotropia in Iraqi children should not be viewed only through the lens of intermittent deviation or apparent emmetropia, but also in relation to measurable refractive risk, particularly myopic shift.

Astigmatism was another major distinguishing feature of exotropia in this cohort. Astigmatism of at least 1.00 D was substantially more frequent in exotropic than in esotropic and non-strabismic children, and it remained independently associated with exotropia after adjustment. This finding is compatible with the concept that persistent meridional blur may interfere with binocular sensory development and fusion, particularly when combined with other refractive or developmental vulnerabilities [41,42]. Regional studies likewise suggest that clinically meaningful astigmatism is commonly encountered in pediatric strabismus, even if not all reports distinguish exotropia from esotropia using identical methods [32–34,43]. Rather than treating astigmatism as a secondary refractive finding, the present data support its inclusion in risk-oriented refractive assessment in children presenting with exodeviation.

Anisometropia was particularly prominent in esotropia and showed a strong graded association with strabismus risk. This observation is clinically important because interocular refractive asymmetry may impair binocular sensory development, weaken fusion, and increase vulnerability to amblyopia and manifest deviation [22,43]. In the current cohort, anisometropia was markedly more common in esotropia than in non-strabismic children, and the adjusted models demonstrated a clear dose-response pattern. These findings are consistent with prior work linking anisometropia to accommodative esotropia and broader binocular dysfunction [44,45]. They also reinforce the practical importance of bilateral cycloplegic refraction, because anisometropia can only be adequately characterized through direct comparison of refractive error between fellow eyes [44].

Age-related patterns also warrant interpretation beyond simple description. Esotropia was relatively more concentrated in younger children, whereas exotropia was more frequent in later childhood, particularly around 10–12 years. This age gradient is compatible with the natural course of refractive development, in which younger children more commonly retain hyperopic refractive profiles, whereas later childhood is associated with progressive emmetropization and, in some populations, increasing myopia prevalence [33–35,38,40]. The observed age distribution therefore supports the view that refractive maturation contributes meaningfully to the changing balance between esotropic and exotropic phenotypes during childhood. From a service-delivery perspective, these findings suggest that early preschool surveillance may be particularly relevant for hyperopia-associated esotropia, whereas continued monitoring during school age may be important for myopia- and astigmatism-associated exotropia.

Sex-related differences in the present cohort merit more careful interpretation than a purely descriptive account would allow. Females were more frequent in the strabismic cohort and remained significantly associated with both esotropia and exotropia after multivariable adjustment. This finding should not be interpreted as evidence of a single sex-specific biological mechanism. Rather, it may reflect the combined influence of several factors, including possible sex-related differences in ocular growth patterns, variation in parental concern regarding visible ocular deviation, healthcare-seeking behavior, referral pathways to tertiary centers, and sampling characteristics inherent to clinic-based studies. The regional literature does not show entirely uniform sex-related patterns, which further suggests that the observed female predominance may be context-dependent rather than universally causal [35,38]. Accordingly, the female excess identified in the present cohort is best interpreted as an important epidemiologic feature of the sampled clinical population that warrants further prospective investigation, rather than as definitive evidence of sex-based susceptibility.

The present findings also have practical implications for pediatric ophthalmic care in Iraq. Because the non-strabismic comparison group was predominantly clustered within the mild hyperopic or near-emmetropic range, whereas esotropia was strongly associated with hyperopia of +2.00 D or greater and exotropia was more closely linked to myopia and clinically relevant astigmatism, the results underscore the clinical value of structured cycloplegic refraction as an early risk-stratification tool in children with suspected ocular misalignment. In particular, moderate-to-high hyperopia, meaningful anisometropia, and astigmatism of at least 1.00 D appear to justify closer assessment of ocular alignment and amblyopia-oriented follow-up. However, because this was a clinic-based case-comparison study rather than a population survey, the observed proportions should be interpreted as distributions within the analytic sample rather than as prevalence estimates for Iraqi children as a whole.

This study has several strengths, including its relatively large sample size, multicenter recruitment, and standardized use of cycloplegic refraction. These features strengthen the clinical relevance and internal consistency of the findings. Nevertheless, several limitations should be acknowledged. The retrospective case-comparison design precludes causal inference and limits generalizability beyond similar tertiary clinical settings. Because the study was conducted in referral pediatric ophthalmology centers, the sample may have overrepresented children with strabismus and clinically significant refractive abnormalities relative to the general pediatric population; therefore, the observed distributions should be interpreted as clinic-based associations rather than population prevalence estimates. Biometric measurements such as axial length and keratometry were unavailable, limiting exploration of the structural determinants of the observed refractive–strabismus associations. Spectacle-correction status at presentation was also not consistently documented, which restricts interpretation of the extent to which prior optical correction may have influenced accommodative demand and ocular alignment. In addition, further subclassification of horizontal strabismus by convergence status and AC/A ratio would have provided clinically relevant phenotypic detail, but these variables were not recorded with sufficient completeness and consistency across centers to support reliable subgroup analysis; accordingly, they were not presented in the Results. Future prospective multicenter studies incorporating biometric parameters, systematically documented correction status, and complete AC/A assessment would allow more precise phenotypic characterization and deeper insight into the mechanisms linking refractive error to childhood horizontal concomitant strabismus.

Conclusion

This study demonstrates distinct and clinically meaningful differences in the refractive profiles of esotropia and exotropia among Iraqi children. Moderate to high hyperopia and anisometropia strongly characterized esotropia, whereas myopia and significant astigmatism were more commonly associated with exotropia. These patterns closely mirror regional and global evidence and highlight the central role of cycloplegic refraction in the early identification of children at risk for strabismus. The age-related shift from hyperopia in early childhood to increased myopia in later years further emphasizes the need for age-appropriate screening strategies. Strengthening nationwide pediatric vision screening programs, ensuring early optical correction, and raising awareness among parents and primary-care providers may substantially reduce the burden of strabismus and its sequelae, including amblyopia. The findings of this study provide an important epidemiologic foundation for future prospective research and may guide public health planning and clinical decision-making in Iraq and similar settings.

Supporting information

S1 Dataset. Anonymized dataset used for the statistical analyses in this study.

(XLSX)

pone.0349697.s001.xlsx (211.8KB, xlsx)

Acknowledgments

We would like to express our appreciation to the administrations of the participating pediatric ophthalmology centers for their support in facilitating access to clinical records. We also thank the clinical teams and medical record staff for their assistance with data retrieval, verification, and coordination throughout the study.

Data Availability

The minimal anonymized dataset underlying the findings of this study is fully available without restriction. All relevant data required to replicate the results are provided within the manuscript and its Supporting Information files.

Funding Statement

The author(s) received no specific funding for this work.

References

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Decision Letter 0

Liat Gantz

29 Mar 2026

-->PONE-D-25-63958-->-->Distribution of refractive errors and horizontal concomitant strabismus in Iraqi children-->-->PLOS One

Dear Dr. Aljaberi,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

The manuscript was reviewed by two independent reviewers who felt that the paper was well written. However, they requested more emphasis on the unique contribution of the paper. They pointed out that several methodological aspects should be clarified, some results should be presented that were lacking, and that more depth was necessary in the discussion, including the limitations section. I have also reviewed the paper and provided some aspects to incorporate in your revision.

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Additional Editor Comments:

The manuscript has been reviewed by two independent reviewers who felt that the paper was well written. They felt that the unique contribution of the paper should be better stressed, and that several methodological aspects should be clarified. Both felt that some results should be presented that were lacking, and that more depth was necessary in the discussion, including the limitations section.

Additional comments that should be addressed as well, can be seen below:

Uncorrected hyperopia increases accommodative effort

This study aims to characterize? Or characterizes?

A case-comparison design rather than a population based survey

Provide references for the definitions of astigmatism, anisometropia

What does this mean: Only the eyes were used to compute anisometropia? As opposed to the ears?

Statistical analysis: Group differences between esotropia and exotropia were compared instead of evaluated

Why were variables with p-values < 0.10 included in the logistic regression as opposed to p<0.05?

Results Study Subjects

Female/male ratio of only the strabismus group provided, please provide for the non strabismic group as well

Table 1- what do the p-values represent, specify in the legend. The legend and the table should be independently coherent without the full manuscript. Also- after obtaining a significant p-value, since the comparison is between three groups, there should be post-hoc tests with results specified in the table

Figures 1-5 should specify the significant differences using asterisk *

Myopic refractive error was defined as refractive error < 0.50 in the methods but in the results in the “Associations between refractive error and strabismus type”, and in Tables 2-3, it is defined as anything lower than plano. The definition should be consistent throughout.

The sentence in the discussion “The current findings align strongly with regional and global evidence” is missing references

Were the majority of the children uncorrected? If they were corrected then they would not be expected to increase accommodation in hyperopia as explained in the discussion…

In the discussion regarding hyperopia and esotropia you mention Iran, Turkey, and Jordan, without Saudi Arabia

In the discussion on exotropia and emmetropia/myopia you mention Iran, Turkey and Saudi Arabia, without Jordan.

In the discussion on astigatism and exotropia, only Turkey Iran and Jordan are mentioned.

In the discussion regarding females and hyoperopia only Iran and Saudi Arabia are mentioned.

The countries should be consistent in all instances with special attention to cases of mismatch including possible reasoning for mismatches.

“Delayed access to eye examinations, insufficient screening programs, low rates of early optical correction”- missing references. Also appears twice in two different paragraphs in the discussion, omit the redundancy

I would have liked to see the prevalence of the refractive errors in the cohort, this puts the issue of screening in context. For example, it is warranted in the sentence “Early cycloploegic refraction is essential for identifying children at risk of strabismus. Hyperopia > +2.00 D should prompt…”

The discussion limitations state the lack of AC/A although these were included in the methods and nothing was shown in the results. Please explain

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

-->5. Review Comments to the Author

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Reviewer #1: This multicenter study provides a valuable large-scale assessment of refractive profiles in Iraqi children with horizontal concomitant strabismus. The sample size of 2,256 children is commendable, and the overall methodology appears clinically sound. However, several issues should be addressed to strengthen the manuscript:

1.

Although the dataset is population-specific, the findings closely mirror those reported in international cohorts. The authors should clarify the unique contributions of this study and articulate how these results advance current understanding beyond confirming existing trends.

2.

The Discussion section is primarily descriptive, repeating the Results without offering a sufficiently critical interpretation. For instance, while a high proportion of females (64%) was noted in the strabismus cohort, the potential reasons for this gender distribution are only briefly mentioned and require deeper exploration.

3.

Horizontal strabismus is a complex entity that should be further categorized by convergence status and the AC/A ratio. Although the authors mention measuring the AC/A ratio "when available," it was excluded from the main analysis. Including these data would significantly enhance the clinical depth of the study and help identify specific refractive-strabismus phenotypes within this population.

4.

Please ensure all mathematical symbols and units are consistently formatted throughout the text.

Reviewer #2: Thank you for inviting me to review this manuscript. Overall, this is a well-written paper with adequate sample size. Please find some minor comments to be addressed:

In the study design and clinical setting, you used the word "accessed" instead of "assessed"

"The study followed a case-comparison design, not a population-based survey"...I think this statement isn't needed as you have already stated it's clinic-based. Hence, I suggest you put it in a form like "This retrospective multicenter clinic-based case-comparison study was conducted...".

The clinic-based design might have influenced the oversampling of strabismus cases, hence this should be addressed in the limitations as it's one of the key limitations in this study.

**********

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

**********

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PLoS One. 2026 May 27;21(5):e0349697. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0349697.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 1


6 Apr 2026

Please find attached our detailed responses to Reviewer 1 and Reviewer 2, as well as our response to the Editor. We have carefully considered all comments and revised the manuscript accordingly.

Attachment

Submitted filename: Response_to_Reviewers 2.docx

pone.0349697.s003.docx (27.7KB, docx)

Decision Letter 1

Liat Gantz

5 May 2026

Distribution of refractive errors and horizontal concomitant strabismus in Iraqi children

PONE-D-25-63958R1

Dear Dr. Aljaberi,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

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Kind regards,

Liat Gantz, PhD

Academic Editor

PLOS One

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

The authors have adequately addressed the reviewers' comments and both have recommended that the article be accepted for publication.

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

-->Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.-->

Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed

**********

-->2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented. -->

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

-->3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously? -->

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

-->4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.-->

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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-->5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

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Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

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-->6. Review Comments to the Author

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Reviewer #1: This multicenter study provides a valuable large-scale assessment of refractive profiles in Iraqi children with horizontal concomitant strabismus. The sample size of 2,256 children is commendable, and the overall methodology appears clinically sound. The authors have addressed the concerns.

Reviewer #2: (No Response)

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-->7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

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Acceptance letter

Liat Gantz

PONE-D-25-63958R1

PLOS One

Dear Dr. Aljaberi,

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Kind regards,

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on behalf of

Dr. Liat Gantz

Academic Editor

PLOS One

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Dataset. Anonymized dataset used for the statistical analyses in this study.

    (XLSX)

    pone.0349697.s001.xlsx (211.8KB, xlsx)
    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response_to_Reviewers 2.docx

    pone.0349697.s003.docx (27.7KB, docx)

    Data Availability Statement

    The minimal anonymized dataset underlying the findings of this study is fully available without restriction. All relevant data required to replicate the results are provided within the manuscript and its Supporting Information files.


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