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Canadian Journal of Veterinary Research logoLink to Canadian Journal of Veterinary Research
. 2006 Jan;70(1):11–19.

Persistence of genetic variants of the arctic fox strain of Rabies virus in southern Ontario

Susan A Nadin-Davis 1,, Frances Muldoon 1, Alexander I Wandeler 1
PMCID: PMC1325089  PMID: 16548327

Abstract

Genetic-variant analysis of rabies viruses provides the most sensitive epidemiologic tool for following the spread and persistence of these viruses in their wildlife hosts. Since its introduction by a southern epizootic movement that began in the far north, the arctic fox (AFX) strain of Rabies virus has been enzootic in Ontario for almost 50 y. Prior genetic studies identified 4 principal genetic variants (ONT.T1 to ONT.T4) that were localized to different regions of the province; furthermore, these viruses could be distinguished from the variant circulating in northern regions of Quebec, Newfoundland, and arctic zones, ARC.T5. Despite an intensive provincial control program undertaken over the last decade that involved aerial distribution of baits laden with rabies vaccine to combat fox rabies throughout the enzootic zone of Ontario, pockets of rabies activity persist. Re-evaluation of the genetic characteristics of the viral variants circulating in these areas of persistence has been undertaken. These data demonstrate that the recent outbreaks are, with 1 exception, due to persistence of the regional variant first identified in the area in the early 1990s. In contrast, the disease in the Georgian Bay area is a consequence of the incursion of a variant previously found further south. An outbreak that occurred in northern Ontario north and west of North Bay and in the neighboring border areas of Quebec in 2000–2001 was due to renewed incursion of the ARC.T5 variant from more northerly areas.

Introduction

Rabies virus causes an invariably fatal encephalitis in a wide range of mammalian species, the transmission of virus from animal to animal usually being via a bite that transfers virus-laden saliva into muscle tissue (1). The virus, the type member of the genus Lyssavirus, of the family Rhabdoviridae, contains a nonsegmented, negative-sense RNA genome of about 12 kb that is organized into 5 genes (2). The 3′ proximal N gene encodes the nucleoprotein that encapsidates the viral genome, which, together with the products of the L and P genes, form the ribonucleoprotein (RNP) core of the viral particle that provides transcription and replicative functions of the viral life cycle (2). The nucleoprotein is also a useful target for antigenic methods of strain discrimination (3). The G gene product, the glycoprotein, is the sole surface protein responsible for attachment of the virus particle to the host cell receptor and host cell penetration (2). An important property of the glycoprotein is its ability to induce neutralizing antibodies and hence its use as an immunogen in vaccination strategies (4).

Although the virus can infect many animal species, each strain is perpetuated within populations of a certain species that acts as a viral reservoir (5). In Ontario, apart from sporadic outbreaks in dogs in the early 20th century, the province was free of rabies until the incursion of the arctic fox (AFX) strain of Rabies virus from northern regions (then the Northwest Territories) in the mid-1950s, as described in detail by Tabel et al (6). For the next 40 y, southern and eastern Ontario reported large numbers of rabies cases in the red fox population, which was considered to be the primary viral reservoir; in addition, significant numbers of cases were recorded in both domestic and other wild animals, events that were considered to represent spillover from the fox reservoir (7).

To improve understanding of rabies epidemiology in Ontario, genetic characterization of rabies viruses recovered from a variety of species throughout the enzootic zone was undertaken and described (810). In these studies, as in others (11), small but consistent genetic differences between field strains from different areas were observed. The very limited differences observed between viruses from a specific area are thought to be a consequence of the high level of adaptation required by these viruses in order to persist in their host populations; highly selective pressures apparently operate to limit viral genetic variation. Consequently, these small but consistent genetic differences between field strains can be used to track the origins of isolates responsible for infections in certain areas (9,11).

In Ontario, 4 principal viral variants (N1 to N4) were identified according to N gene variation; as well, a small group of viruses was designated as N2/4 owing to their characterization as intermediate between types 2 and 4 (8). Additional variants were evident upon G gene characterization (10). All variants were regionally localized, apparently independently of the species of origin, and variant distribution patterns appeared to be consistent with the hypothesis that landscape topography, which influences patterns of animal movement, was largely influential in determining variant spread. These observations were interpreted as indicating that conclusions regarding the role of red foxes as the principal reservoir of Rabies virus within the region were essentially correct and thus supported control efforts that targeted this population. The more recent incursion into central Ontario of a 5th variant, N5, which is typical of the viruses circulating in northern areas, was also reported (9).

In the early 1990s, with the intent of eventually eliminating rabies from southern and eastern Ontario (12), field distribution of baits containing the attenuated ERA strain of Rabies virus, which had been shown to be efficacious as an oral rabies vaccine in foxes (13), was begun in selected regions of the province (14). Since then, widespread distribution of baits has been ongoing in areas where the disease has persisted. Despite the long-term nature of these control activities and substantial reductions in numbers of rabies cases in some areas (15), the AFX strain persists in certain restricted areas of the province. Especially notable in certain counties is the high proportion of rabies-positive cases in skunks. To investigate the reasons behind the persistence of rabies in southern Ontario, despite the control strategies aimed at elimination, we have re-examined the nature of the viruses circulating in the control area. Using previously developed genetic methodologies (8), we have characterized representative viruses retrieved from the field over a 12-year period with the aim of discriminating between residual circulating viruses and new incursions of the AFX strain.

Materials and methods

Source of rabies viruses

All rabies viruses included in this study were obtained from diagnostic submissions to the Ottawa Laboratory of the Centre of Expertise for Rabies, Canadian Food Inspection Agency (CIFA). Diagnosis was performed on brain smears with use of the fluorescent antibody test (FAT) as described previously (16). In more recent years, rabies-positive specimens were subjected to antigenic typing analysis by an indirect FAT involving a panel of 16 anti-N monoclonal antibodies that exhibit differential reactivity with the various Rabies virus strains circulating in Canada (17). In this way, specimens infected with the AFX strain were identified. Representative specimens were selected for genetic analysis on the basis of location, as defined by the Universal Transverse Mercator Code (UTMC) accompanying each submission, and species of origin. Specimens collected from 1990 to 1993 have been described previously (8,9) but are included in this report to facilitate comparison with more recent isolates.

RNA extraction and N gene amplification

Total RNA was extracted from 0.1 g of brain tissue infected with Rabies virus with the use of TRIzol reagent, as described by the supplier (Invitrogen Canada, Burlington, Ontario). Final RNA pellets were dissolved in sterile ribonuclease-free water, and the RNA concentration was determined spectrophotometrically. For reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) targeting the N gene, we used 2 μg of RNA and the primers Nseq0 (5′-AACACCTCTACAATGGATGCCGAC-3′, positive sense, corresponding to bases 59 to 82 of the Pasteur virus [PV] reference strain) and RabN5 (5′-GGATTGAC[AG]AAGATCTTGCTCAT-3′, negative sense, corresponding to PV bases 1514 to 1536), as described previously (18). In a few instances, we undertook nested PCR using the conditions of the 1st-round PCR and the internal primers RabNfor and RabNrev (18) to generate a 762 base pair (bp) amplicon. The PCR products were purified with use of a Wizard PCR Preps DNA Purification System (Promega, Madison, Wisconsin, USA), according to the instructions from the manufacturer, prior to characterization.

Variant analysis

Viral variant discrimination was performed by 2 approaches: restriction endonuclease analysis (REA) and nucleotide sequencing. A panel of restriction endonucleases was used, as detailed previously (8,9), to score the presence or absence of selected sites within the PCR product of the N gene and thereby assign the isolate to 1 of 6 predefined groupings (N1 to 5 and N2/4). In some cases a reduced panel of 4 enzymes (AvaI, BamHI, BstBI, and EcoO109I) was found to be sufficient for reliable variant discrimination.

In some cases, for which either REA was not possible since the complete N gene could not be amplified or the results of REA were not definitive, direct consensus sequencing of 390 nucleotides of the N gene was undertaken by manual sequencing of the purified PCR product, as described previously (17). Phylogenetic analysis of the partial N gene sequences was thereby generated, together with reference sequences for each of the previously defined Canadian AFX strain variants, by using computer software (Clustal X Multiple Sequence Alignment Program version 1.8; National Center for Biotechnology Information, Bethesda, Maryland, USA [19]; PHYLIP [Phylogeny Inference Package], version 3.61 [20]; and TreeView [21]), as detailed previously (17). This analysis allowed the grouping of all isolates into a particular variant type.

Mapping of cases

The UTMC associated with each specimen was converted to latitude and longitude coordinates, which were used to place the specimens in maps created using computer software (ArcView 8, ArcGIS Desktop product; ESRI Canada, Toronto, Ontario).

Statistical analysis

Analysis of variance (ANOVA) was performed by using computer software (SigmaStat software, version 2.03; Systat Software, Point Richmond, California, USA).

Results

Case reporting for 1990 to 2004

Table I summarizes the numbers of rabies cases reported for eastern Canada by the Ottawa Laboratory of the CIFA Centre of Expertise for Rabies for the 15-year period of 1990 to 2004. These numbers reflect all diagnostic submissions from eastern Canada, almost to the western border of Ontario with Manitoba and including areas of the eastern arctic. However, most submissions originate within the area of Canada traditionally regarded as the enzootic region of Ontario and neighboring border areas of Quebec.

Table I.

Numbers of animal submissions from eastern Canada per year to the Ottawa Laboratory of the Centre of Expertise for Rabies, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, that were positive for rabies by the fluorescent antibody test from 1990 to 2004

Number of positive cases (and total number of submissions) per year
Species 1990 (10 096) 1991 (9881) 1992 (10 372) 1993 (10 183) 1994 (7654) 1995 (6434) 1996 (5965) 1997 (9418) 1998 (6376) 1999 (7725) 2000 (14 733) 2001 (12 610) 2002 (11 308) 2003 (11 992) 2004 (11 165)
Bat 26 49 28 24 18 22 25 31 31 19 45 67 92 88 63
Red fox 1148 926 1157 944 322 136 80 33 17 16 41 42 48 25 8
Striped skunk 356 388 286 227 145 101 74 40 34 47 63 62 46 22 25
Other domestic 539 451 463 409 220 90 54 33 12 17 24 26 18 17 21
Other wild 61 70 72 45 26 4 5 0 1 11 50 95 31 17 8
Total number (and %) positive 2130 (21.10) 1884 (19.07) 2006 (19.34) 1649 (16.19) 731 (9.55) 353 (5.49) 238 (3.99) 137 (1.45) 95 (1.49) 110 (1.42) 223 (1.51) 292 (2.32) 235 (2.08) 169 (1.41) 125 (1.12)

The yearly number of positive cases has dropped substantially, especially from 1994 onwards, reflecting the apparent success of the provincial oral vaccination program in reducing the incidence of rabies in foxes. Although viral typing regimens have been in routine use only in the later years of this period, the fox was considered the principal terrestrial host of the Rabies virus for most of this timeframe. Cases in bats are due to viral variants that are quite distinct from the viruses that circulate in terrestrial species (17), and these 2 reservoirs are generally considered to be quite independent, although spillover of bat strains into terrestrial animals is occasionally noted (22). The increase in numbers of cases in other wild species from 1999 to 2003 was due primarily to 2 outbreaks in raccoons that crossed into Canada from the United States, first into Ontario in July 1999 (23) and second into New Brunswick in 2000 (24). Also notable are the relative proportions of cases in red foxes and skunks. In the early 1990s, before the oral vaccination program was widely applied, cases in skunks generally made up 14% to 21% of all terrestrial reports. In 1990 to 1992, 3231 (67.9%) out of 4758 diagnostic submissions for foxes were positive, in contrast to 1030 (45.3%) out of 2275 for skunks. In 1997 to 1999, only 66 (1.6%) out of 4163 submissions for foxes were positive, whereas the skunk positivity rate had dropped only to 14.8% (121 out of 816 submissions). A 1-way ANOVA found these differences to be statistically significant (P < 0.05 for all pairwise comparisons). Thus, the ratio of positive cases in red foxes to those in skunks was 3.14 in 1990 to 1992 but only 0.545 in 1997 to 1999, despite the fact that red-fox submissions were similar in number over the 2 periods, whereas the number of skunk submissions dropped by two-thirds. These data indicate that a much higher proportion of cases in skunks were being reported in the late 1990s. This trend has continued up to the present. Although in 2002 to 2003, similar numbers of cases were reported in skunks and red foxes, in 2004 only 8 red foxes but 25 skunks were recorded as rabies-positive. Other species affected, owing to spillover events, include cats, dogs, cattle, sheep, pigs, goats, and horses (domestic) and wolves, coyotes, a bear, buffalo, and red deer (wild).

Variant analysis

To explore whether there was any change in the nature of the viral variants circulating in Ontario over the 12-year period of 1990 to 2001, we genetically characterized isolates, selecting rabies-positive specimens primarily on the basis of host species (to include red foxes, skunks, and other commonly reported wild and domestic animals) and spatial distribution. Table II summarizes data for the 279 AFX isolates characterized with respect to the genetic variant of AFX. Usually isolates were typed by a single method (either REA or nucleotide sequencing), but in all cases in which both methods were used there was complete concordance in the typing assignment.

Table II.

Variants of the arctic fox (AFX) strain of Rabies virus identifieda in 279 rabies-positive specimens over a 12-year period

Number of isolates per year
Rabies virus variant Species group 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Total numbers of isolates per year
N1 Fox 2 12 14 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 31
Skunk 2 5 3 1 0 0 1 0 4 0 2 2 20
Wild 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4
Domestic 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Subtotal 4 19 21 4 0 0 3 0 4 0 2 2 59
N2 Fox 7 6 2 2 0 4 2 0 3 0 2 2 30
Skunk 5 6 2 4 1 3 5 3 17 4 6 10 66
Wild 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Domestic 1 1 0 0 0 2 5 0 7 4 1 4 25
Subtotal 14 14 4 6 1 9 12 3 27 8 9 16 123
N3 Fox 2 5 0 17 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 27
Skunk 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 1 7 2 24
Wild 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Domestic 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 0 0 6
Subtotal 4 7 0 18 0 0 0 0 15 2 9 2 57
N4 Fox 4 4 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Skunk 4 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 7
Wild 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Domestic 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Subtotal 9 6 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
N2/4 Fox 1 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
Skunk 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Wild 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Domestic 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Subtotal 2 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
N5 Fox 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 4 12
Skunk 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Wild 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3
Domestic 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2
Subtotal 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 6 17
All variants 33 49 25 32 1 10 15 3 46 10 29 26 279
a

Identified as the AFX strain by a process now routinely undertaken with the use of a panel of monoclonal antibodies that discriminate the major Rabies virus strains circulating in Ontario. Genetic analysis, by either restriction endonuclease analysis or nucleotide sequencing, was used to assign each isolate to a specific AFX variant

To illustrate the phylogenetic relationships between the variants, nucleotide sequencing was performed on 50 AFX isolates, selected as representing the 279 isolates on the basis of the date of recovery over the 12-year period, region of origin, variant type, and species infected (Table III). A 390-bp sequence window (corresponding to bases 287 to 676 of PV [GenBank accession number NC_001542]) was determined for each isolate, and all sequences, including the PV strain as an outgroup, were aligned by means of Clustal X. Bootstrap resampling (1000 replicates) of the resulting output file was performed with use of the seqboot program (PHYLIP, version 3.61), followed by neighbor-joining (NJ) analysis of the resulting file with use of the dnadist, neighbor, and consense programs (PHYLIP). Distance values were reapplied to the final consensus tree by means of the fitch program (PHYLIP), and the final output was converted to a graphical tree by using computer software (TreeView). Six N gene variant reference sequences, ARC.T5 and ONT.T1 to ONT. T5, which were reported previously (9), were included for comparison; all additional isolates are described in Table III.

Table III.

Details of the 50 arctic fox (AFX) isolates examined by nucleotide sequencing and phylogenetic analysis

Isolate number Date received (y-mo-d) Host species County and province of origin GenBank accession #
6199.91 1991-08-13 Red fox Lambton ON DQ063227
0173.93 1993-01-12 Striped skunk Waterloo ON DQ063228
2244.93 1993-04-14 Red fox Perth ON DQ063229
3870.95 1995-08-10 Striped skunk Grey ON DQ063230
0507.96 1996-02-13 Striped skunk Victoria ON DQ063231
2790.96 1996-06-28 Striped skunk Peterborough ON DQ063232
5649.97 1997-04-29 Striped skunk Grey ON DQ063233
0337.98 1998-02-06 Bovine Huron ON DQ063234
0713.98 1998-03-17 Striped skunk Peterborough ON DQ063235
1784.98 1998-06-08 Striped skunk Peterborough ON DQ063236
3207.98 1998-07-24 Striped skunk Bruce ON DQ063237
0250.99 1999-01-28 Striped skunk Grey ON DQ063238
0251.99 1999-01-28 Bovine Grey ON DQ063239
0417.00 2000-02-08 Red fox Cochrane ON DQ063240
0466.00 2000-02-08 Striped skunk Grey ON DQ063241
0583.00 2000-02-22 Striped skunk Dufferin ON DQ063242
0934.00 2000-03-17 Red fox Wellington ON DQ063243
1035.00 2000-03-28 Red fox Territoire-du-Nouveau-Québec QC DQ063244
1246.00 2000-04-11 Equine Grey ON DQ063245
1278.00 2000-04-13 Striped skunk Bruce ON DQ063246
1512.00 2000-05-02 Red fox Cochrane ON DQ063247
1774.00 2000-05-19 Red fox Abitibi QC DQ063248
2365.00 2000-06-20 Red fox Nipissing ON DQ063249
2847.00 2000-07-11 Red fox Perth ON DQ063250
3420.00 2000-08-03 Dog Territoire-du-Nouveau-Québec QC DQ063251
4261.00 2000-09-06 Striped skunk Peterborough ON DQ063252
4337.00 2000-09-08 Red fox Territoire-du-Nouveau-Québec QC DQ063253
4456.00 2000-09-15 Red fox Cochrane ON DQ063254
4820.00 2000-10-04 Red fox Cochrane ON DQ063255
4947.00 2000-10-11 Striped skunk Waterloo ON DQ063256
5419.00 2000-10-31 Striped skunk Peterborough ON DQ063257
0053.01 2001-01-04 Striped skunk Waterloo ON DQ063258
0297.01 2001-01-25 Wolf Cochrane ON DQ063259
0522.01 2001-02-13 Coyote Cochrane ON DQ063260
0623.01 2001-02-20 Red fox Abitibi-Ouest QC DQ063261
0644.01 2001-02-21 Striped skunk Wellington ON DQ063262
0668.01 2001-02-22 Bovine Dufferin ON DQ063263
1954.01 2001-04-20 Red fox Sudbury ON DQ063264
3447.01 2001-04-25 Red fox Minganie–Basse-Côte-Nord QC DQ063265
5884.01 2001-06-05 Striped skunk Perth ON DQ063266
7043.01 2001-07-04 Striped skunk Grey ON DQ063267
10248.01 2001-09-12 Striped skunk Wellington ON DQ063268
10294.01 2001-09-13 Red fox Bruce ON DQ063269
10974.01 2001-10-18 Striped skunk Huron ON DQ063270
ARC.T5 1993-02-26 Dog Igloolika NWT U03769
ONT.T1 1991-03-12 Striped skunk Renfrew ON L20673
ONT.T2 1991-04-25 Striped skunk York ON L20674
ONT.T3 1991-02-06 Red fox Kent ON L20675
ONT.T4 1990-11-20 Red fox Grey ON L20676
ONT.T5 1991-11-05 Red fox La Reine QC U03768

ON — Ontario; QC — Quebec; NWT — Northwest Territories

a

Community of origin

Five distinct clades are evident in the resulting dendogram (Figure 1); 4 are supported with bootstrap values greater than 700 out of 1000 replicates, a level that is considered significant for analysis of RNA viruses. The most distinct clade is for the N5 variant, typical of the viruses circulating in northern regions of Canada (9), and it clearly is outlying the other AFX isolates in the analysis. The next most closely related variant is N1, which has been found exclusively in eastern Ontario. The other clades define variants N3 and another grouping that includes all N2 and N4 variants and 2 isolates designated as N2/4 because of their intermediate REA pattern. The close relationship of the N2, N4, and N2/4 variants in this analysis explains the difficulties encountered in their discrimination by means of REA. Despite the long period over which these samples were collected, there is no apparent trend showing that the more recent sequences have emerged from sequences representative of earlier isolates. The maximum nucleotide distance between any 2 AFX isolates was 0.042 over the targeted sequence window, and in most cases the value was much lower (data not shown). Thus, the difference between these isolates is very small, clearly a reflection of the high level of constraint that operates on this segment of the viral genome.

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Phylogenetic tree of 50 Canadian specimens of the arctic fox (AFX) strain of Rabies virus with 6 N gene variant reference sequences, ARC.T5 and ONT.T1 to ONT.T5, included for comparison. Bootstrap values for all main groupings are indicated above the branch immediately to the left of the group. The dotted line for the Pasteur virus (PV) reference strain has been shortened to allow better presentation of the AFX groupings. A genetic distance scale is at the bottom left.

Spatial and temporal distribution of Rabies virus variants

The data in Table II summarize, for each of the variants, the number of AFX isolates found in the 4 species groupings. The same data are depicted in the maps in Figure 2 to show the spatial distribution of these viral variants over 4 periods: 1990 to 1993 (a), 1994 to 1997 (b), 1998 to 1999 (c), and 2000 to 2001 (d). The data in Figure 2a are a compilation of the results presented previously (8,9) and are provided here for comparison with our later findings. From 1994 onwards, the reduced number of cases reported in many counties limited coverage of the entire study area. Review of the data provided in these maps and in Table II leads to the following observations.

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Locations of recovery of Rabies virus variants in 1990 to 1993 (a), 1994 to 1997 (b), 1998 to 1999 (c), and 2000 to 2001 (d). Viral variants N1 to N5 are represented by diamonds, triangles, circles, stars, and squares, respectively. Black indicates red fox, white indicates skunk, and grey indicates all other species.

  • The N4 variant, previously found south of Georgian Bay and down the eastern shore of Lake Huron, was found in only 1 sample in this area in 1995 and not at all thereafter. The N2 variant appears to have spread into the area, including Grey, Bruce, and Simcoe counties, that initially harbored variant N4.

  • The small numbers of cases in eastern Ontario still represent the N1 variant that has traditionally infected this area, but since 1998 all N1 isolates identified have been in skunks.

  • In more recent years, a substantial proportion of cases, especially in Perth, Wellington, Dufferin, Huron, and Grey counties, which harbor a mixture of N2 and N3 variants, have been in skunks and species other than red foxes.

  • The 1990 to 1993 outbreak in the northern part of the study area (north and west of North Bay) was due primarily to westward and northward movement of the N1 and N2 variants from eastern and southern Ontario, respectively. However, 2 isolates from that period were identified as N5 and were thus believed to represent a wave of disease spread from the north. The 2000 to 2001 outbreak in the same area was due exclusively to the N5 variant and again appears to be due to southward movement from more northerly regions. Most of the specimens infected with this variant were from red foxes or other wild species.

Discussion

This genetic-variant analysis of field isolates of the AFX strain of Rabies virus permits the following conclusions regarding the epidemiology of rabies in Ontario between 1990 and 2001. Essentially the variants that were identified in the early 1990s persist in Ontario, albeit over much reduced areas in most cases, despite the intensive, provincially funded oral vaccination program that has targeted the red fox population. The N1 variant, which was distributed throughout eastern Ontario at the start of the study period, now persists in a much smaller region, in the county of Peterborough. By 2000 the N2 and N3 variants still occupied several counties in southern Ontario, most notably Grey, Bruce, Wellington, and Dufferin, but a few reports came from counties further south. The N4 variant had not been found since 1995 and appears to have disappeared from the counties around the Georgian Bay area, where it was widely distributed in the early 1990s. The closely related N2 variant appears to have taken the place of N4 in much of this region. The enzootic area of Ontario has thus retained the virus strains that have been present since the early 1990s, and failure to eliminate rabies was due to failure to break the cycle of disease transmission rather than to any incursion from other areas. Indeed, the only area newly invaded, as indicated by the exclusive presence of the N5 variant, which is typical of northern isolates, was the northern portion of the study area, a region west and north of North Bay, in 2000 to 2001. This observation, together with earlier evidence of southwards movement of the AFX strain into this region (9), emphasizes the ongoing threat of reinfection of southern and eastern Ontario by this rabies strain if surveillance and control activities are not maintained over the long term.

With regard to continued maintenance of the AFX strain in southern Ontario, the observation that skunks played a more prominent role in case numbers in the late 1990s and early 2000s may be significant. In many regions of North America, Rabies virus strains having quite distinct evolutionary origins have adapted to the striped skunk (25,26), and this species is regarded as a significant reservoir for this virus. Furthermore, the relative ease with which new long-term virus:host associations can arise in the skunk was suggested by the persistence and sustained transmission of a bat rabies variant in a local US population of skunks in Flagstaff, Arizona in 2001 (27). The role of skunks in helping to maintain the AFX strain in Ontario had been considered previously, but there had been little solid evidence. The data presented here, which clearly indicate long-term persistence of rabies in Ontario during a period of intense efforts at control in the red fox, coupled with the observation that recent cases are occurring predominantly in skunks in the controlled area, strongly suggest that skunks play a significant role in maintaining the AFX strain in Ontario. Currently, local control of rabies in skunks is possible by trap–vaccinate–release (TVR) activity (28), although this approach is too labor-intensive and costly for application to large areas. Since the oral vaccine currently used in the fox rabies control program is not highly efficacious in skunks, as we (unpublished data) and others (29,30) have observed, elimination of rabies in Ontario may require development of novel vaccines more suitable for oral immunization of the skunk.

Acknowledgments

The authors thank Geoff Turner and Martine Sampath for excellent technical assistance and Andrea Bernhoff for generation of the maps.

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