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PLOS One logoLink to PLOS One
. 2026 Jul 8;21(7):e0353257. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0353257

Predicting T790M mutation status in non-small cell lung cancer based on radiomics: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Hongyang Chen 1,2,#, Bingjie Fan 1,2,#, Mengqi Yuan 3,4, Dandan Wang 1, Chenxi Qiao 1,5, Na Qiu 1,2, Xiaomin Quan 6, Wei Hou 1,*
Editor: Bardia Rodd7
PMCID: PMC13345267  PMID: 42418457

Abstract

Background

Epidermal growth factor receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs) have revolutionized the prognosis for patients with EGFR-mutant lung cancer. The emergence of the T790M resistance mutation compromises the efficacy of EGFR-TKI therapy. Therefore, assessing EGFR T790M mutation status during non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treatment is crucial for improving NSCLC prognosis.

Method

PubMed, Embase, Web of Science databases, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and Wanfang as primary sources were systematically searched up to January 1, 2026. To assess the risk of bias and study quality, we employed the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS) tool and the Radiomics Quality Score version 2.0 (RQS). The diagnostic accuracy of radiomics for detecting T790M in NSCLC patients was evaluated by calculating the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for each study.

Results

This meta-analysis analyzed 13 studies with 2,654 patients. The pooled AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of internal validation models were 0.91, 0.73, and 0.95, respectively. The pooled AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of external validation models were 0.81, 0.73, and 0.87, respectively. Subgroup analysis revealed that imaging examinations derived from lung and mediastinal metastases achieved the highest sensitivity (0.76; 95% CI, 0.73–0.79), whereas those based on brain metastases exhibited the highest specificity (0.95; 95% CI, 0.95–0.96). The high specificity of the lung/mediastinal models was further confirmed in external validation (0.96; 95% CI, 0.95–0.98). Compared with CT, MRI-based models demonstrated a trade-off in internal validation: lower sensitivity (0.72 vs. 0.75) but significantly higher specificity (0.96 vs. 0.80). Notably, in external validation, CT achieved superior sensitivity (0.96, 95% CI 0.94–0.99). ITK-SNAP demonstrated higher sensitivity (internal: 0.76 [95% CI, 0.73–0.79]; external: 0.76 [95% CI, 0.67–0.84]) and lower specificity (internal: 0.80 [95% CI, 0.76–0.85]; external: 0.83 [95% CI, 0.70–0.95]). When stratified by a median RQS exceeding 20, higher-scoring studies were associated with higher pooled sensitivity (0.76 [95% CI, 0.70–0.82]) but a lower specificity (0.85 [95% CI, 0.79–0.90]). While in external validation, RQS ≤ 20 demonstrated higher sensitivity (0.75 [95% CI, 0.68–0.82], P < 0.001). Integrating clinical factors with radiomics improved sensitivity but reduced specificity compared with radiomics-only models (0.79 vs. 0.72 and 0.81 vs. 0.95, respectively). A similar sensitivity-specificity trade-off was observed with standardized data processing (sensitivity: 0.76 vs. 0.72; specificity: 0.80 vs 0.95).

Conclusion

Radiomics, as a non-invasive detection method, has demonstrated significant potential in predicting the T790M mutation status in NSCLC, showing promising clinical application prospects based on retrospective evidence. However, further standardization and validation are required in future studies.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/view/CRD420251130164 (CRD420251130164).

Introduction

Lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer-related deaths globally, with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) accounting for 85% of cases [1,2]. Recently, epidermal growth factor receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs) have transformed outcomes for patients with EGFR-mutated lung cancer [3]. In the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines, many first- or second-generation EGFR-TKIs, such as afatinib, gefitinib, and erlotinib, are recommended for first-line treatment [4]. However, patients treated with EGFR-TKIs eventually develop acquired resistance after approximately 9–14 months of therapy, which may lead to a worsening prognosis [5]. Notably, T790M is the primary cause of acquired resistance, with 60% of patients developing T790M after initial response to first-line EGFR-TKI therapy [6,7]. Osimertinib has demonstrated efficacy in patients with T790M-positive patients who have progressed from reversible EGFR-TKI treatments and is also effective in patients with primary T790M mutation [8,9]. Although osimertinib has been approved as a first-line treatment for patients with advanced EGFR mutation-positive NSCLC, due to its high cost, some patients still prioritize lower-cost first or second-generation EGFR-TKIs. Additionally, for adjuvant therapy after early-stage lung cancer surgery, osimertinib, icotinib (first-generation), and afatinib (second-generation) have all received corresponding indications. Drug selection requires comprehensive consideration of factors including the patient’s specific stage, mutation type, and physical condition. Therefore, evaluating EGFR T790M mutation status during the course of NSCLC and early identifying T790M resistance mutations, especially in patients with disease progression, can facilitate timely adjustment of targeted treatment strategies, which is crucial for improving the prognosis of NSCLC.

In clinical practice, assessment of T790M mutation status relies on plasma circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) detection and biopsy [10]. While tissue biopsy remains definitive, its invasiveness, patient discomfort, and risk of complications—including potential promotion of metastasis—limit its utility [11]. Moreover, it captures only a limited spatial profile of the disease and is susceptible to intratumoral heterogeneity [12]. Liquid biopsy via ctDNA has emerged as a promising alternative; however, its sensitivity remains constrained by low tumor DNA fraction in plasma and dilution by normal cell-free DNA [13]. Both approaches are costly, provide only a static genomic snapshot, and are typically employed post-treatment, thereby offering no guidance for initial therapeutic strategy. Consequently, there is an urgent unmet need for predictive tools that are cost-effective, minimally invasive, and longitudinally applicable to assess T790M status.

Radiomics is an emerging field that employs mathematical analysis and computer-aided detection to extract features from medical images. As a non-invasive technique, radiomics can derive quantitative characteristics from diverse imaging modalities, providing detailed descriptions of tumor heterogeneity, imaging features, and tumor-related risk factors such as size and malignancy [14,15]. Consequently, it enhances the accuracy of disease diagnosis, treatment planning, and monitoring [16,17]. Furthermore, the role of artificial intelligence and radiomics in building imaging biobanks is of critical importance, as such repositories are essential for enabling personalized care and advancing precision medicine [18]. Recent studies indicate that machine learning (ML) models constructed using features extracted from metastatic lesions via multi-sequence MRI can distinguish patients with T790M-resistant NSCLC [19]. Li et al. developed a nomogram using radiomic scores from non-contrast and contrast-enhanced CT, achieving an AUC of 0.853 in predicting T790M resistance within 14 months, highlighting its potential for early detection [20]. However, the lack of standardized radiomics workflows limits the robustness and reproducibility of these models.

Although radiomics-based predictive models for T790M gene expression levels show promise in NSCLC, they remain immature and may be constrained by methodological limitations, inter-study variability, and issues of generalizability and reproducibility. Only through systematic evaluation can they be incorporated into clinical practice. This study aims to systematically review and comprehensively summarize the application of radiomics in the early identification of T790M gene mutations in NSCLC, with a focus on diagnostic performance, sensitivity, and specificity, providing potential reference tools for clinicians to assess T790M status and improve the accuracy of early diagnosis.

Materials and methods

Study protocol and registration

The current study was prepared in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines [21], ensuring a structured and transparent methodology. The review protocol was registered and approved in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) database (Registration ID: CRD420251130164).

Literature search strategy

According to the PRISMA statement, two authors (HC and BF) independently conducted a comprehensive database search using PubMed, Embase, Web of Science databases, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and Wanfang as primary sources, covering the time period from each database’s inception to the publication of studies up to January 1, 2026. The search employed a combination of Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) and keywords associated with radiomics, NSCLC, T790M, and prediction. Target literature was additionally obtained by reviewing the references of included studies. The specific search strategy is detailed in Table S2.

Inclusion criteria and screening

In this study, we established inclusion and exclusion criteria based on the PICOS questions. The inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) Population (P): participants with NSCLC; (2) Intervention (I): intervention involving imaging examination in all participants; (3) Comparator (C): negative T790M gene test result; (4) Outcome (O): diagnostic results (T790M + /-) presented in a 2 × 2 test performance table; (5) Study design (S): ML studies evaluating the diagnostic value of imaging for NSCLC, published in peer-reviewed journals.

The exclusion criteria were as follows: (1) Insufficient outcome information for data analysis; (2) Conference papers, case reports, systematic reviews, etc.; (3) Unfinished studies or published research including unfinished studies, reviews, conference papers, abstracts, and case reports; (4) Duplicate reports; (5) Studies without full-text availability.

Study selection and data extraction

Two authors (HC and BF) recorded data in standardized spreadsheets. Any discrepancies were resolved through consultation with a third author (WH). Extracted data included: (1) Study characteristics: first author, publication year, country, data source, study design; (2) Patient characteristics: sample size, training/validation set distribution, tumor stage; (3) Radiomics-related parameters (imaging modality, tumor lesion segmentation method, region of interest (ROI) size, feature extraction software, feature type); (4) Validation methods; (5) Model performance metrics: evaluation indicators for predictive models, including AUC values, sensitivity, specificity, along with their 95% confidence intervals (95%CI)s, and true positives (TP), false positives (FP), true negatives (TN), and false negatives (FN).

If sensitivity and specificity were not directly reported, we reconstructed the 2 × 2 contingency table by extracting true-positive and false-positive rates from available receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves using GetData Graph Digitizer 2.24 software [21]. To mitigate selection bias, AUC values were derived from all validation set data within prediction models based on radiomics features, with stratified reporting for internal and external validation [22].

Quality assessment

The included studies were assessed using the Radiomics Quality Score version 2.0 (RQS) checklist and QUADAS-2 [23–25]. Two authors (XQ and CQ) conducted independent assessments, resolving any discrepancies through consultation with the third author (DW). All radiomics methodologies employed the latest version of Radiomics Quality Score (RQS 2.0, accessed November 23, 2025, at https://www.radiomics.world/rqs2), a framework proposed by Lambin and colleagues in 2017 [26] to evaluate the quality of radiomics research reports. RQS 2.0 evaluates radiomics studies across 42 assessment dimensions within 9 key domains, rewarding or penalizing them to promote optimal scientific practice. The maximum achievable score is 56 points (100%) [25]. The QUADAS-2 tool is the standard for diagnostic accuracy meta-analyses, assessing bias and applicability in patient selection, indicator detection, reference standards, and study procedures. Responses were recorded as “yes,” “no,” or “unclear” in RevMan 5.4.

Data analysis

This meta-analysis employed STATA (version 14) and RevMan (5.4) for statistical analysis. A bivariate random-effects model was used to pool data across different validation datasets. We calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), and negative likelihood ratio (NLR) along with their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Additionally, we constructed summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curves and calculated the AUC using a random-effects model to assess the diagnostic performance of the pooled studies [27]. Based on AUC, a rough classification of accuracy is as follows: 0.90−1 (excellent), 0.80–0.90 (good), 0.70–0.80 (fair), 0.60–0.70 (poor), and 0.50–0.60 (very poor).

Heterogeneity was assessed using I2 and Q statistics, with I2 values categorized as low, moderate, or high (0–50%, 50–75%, and >75%). A random-effects model was used in all analyses to account for expected between-study heterogeneity. Forest plots displayed sensitivity and specificity across studies, with pooled estimates calculated.

Exploratory meta-regression analyses and subgroup analyses evaluated multiple covariates to identify sources of heterogeneity, including clinical characteristics, model calibration methods, study design, data source, imaging modality, tumor lesion segmentation method, ROI size, feature extraction software, model combination characteristics, reference standard, and model validation methods.

To assess the impact of individual studies on the overall estimate, sensitivity analysis employed a univariate diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) model to identify potential outliers affecting the pooled results. This was conducted by sequentially excluding one study at a time from the meta-analysis calculations. Any identified outliers were reanalyzed to validate the robustness of the results. Deeks’ funnel plot asymmetry tests assessed publication bias [28]. Statistical significance was defined as P < 0.05. A random-effects model was used to evaluate study pooling and effect size, accommodating the distribution characteristics of true effects in heterogeneous studies.

Results

Screening and selection of articles

A systematic literature search was conducted according to the predetermined strategy, identifying a total of 881 publications. After removing 15 duplicate records, 866 publications underwent title and abstract screening, resulting in the exclusion of 842 irrelevant studies. The full texts of the remaining 24 papers were assessed for eligibility. After comprehensive review, 11 articles were excluded for inconsistency with the study objectives. This selection process ultimately yielded 13 eligible articles [19,20,29–39] that conformed to the PICOS criteria for inclusion in the final meta-analysis. The screening process and PRISMA flow diagram are shown in Fig 1.

Fig 1. Flowchart demonstrating the process of selecting studies.

Fig 1

Study and patient characteristics

These 13 articles were published between 2022 and 2025, involving a total of 2,654 patients (Tables 1, 2 and S4). All included studies originated from China. One study [36], involving 5 datasets, utilized multicenter data sources, while twelve studies [19,20,29–35,37–39], comprising 160 datasets, employed single-center data sources.

Table 1. General characteristics information of Studies Included in the Systematic Review.

Training cohort Internal validation cohorts External validation cohorts Imaging equipment
study Country No. T790M

+/-
Age, (year) M/F T790M

+/-
Age, (year) M/F T790M

+/-
Age, (year) M/F Populations

TNM stage
Reference Standard
Fan China 100 24 58.17 ± 7.13 8/16 12 59.00 ± 10.56 4/8 8 63.25 ± 5.70 3/5 NSCLC with spinal metastasis blood samples MRI
2022 30 60.40 ± 9.76 15/15 16 60.94 ± 11.52 8/8 10 62.90 ± 11.46 4/6 IV
Fan1 China 160 21 58.57 ± 9.60 9/12 11 55.45 ± 7.75 3/8 13 58.62 ± 9.61 3/10 NSCLC with BM

IV
blood samples MRI
2023 32 57.72 ± 8.77 10/12 16 59.13 ± 8.64 5/11 17 55.24 ± 8.57 7/10
Fan2 China 110 21 59.95 ± 9.13 7/14 11 52.82 ± 6.91 5/6 13 58.62 ± 9.61 4/9 NSCLC with BM and

IV
blood samples MRI
2023 32 58.38 ± 8.52 11/21 16 54.75 ± 8.14 4/12 17 55.24 ± 8.57 7/10
Li1 China 162 55 NA NA NA NA NA 28 NA NA metastatic NSCLC

IV
genetic test reports NECT+CECT
2023 58 NA NA NA NA NA 21 NA NA
Li2 China 233 68 59.13 ± 7.78 28/40 NA NA NA 27 61.15 ± 7.88 4/23 NSCLC with BM

IV
pathological biopsy or blood samples MRI
2023 108 59.13 ± 7.78 47/61 NA NA NA 30 61.91 ± 5.79 7/23
Lv China 405 194 57.54 ± 9.24 31/64 NA NA NA 115 57.14 ± 8.91 23/32 NSCLC with BM

IV
pathological biopsy or blood samples MRI
2023 (lesion-level) 426 56.03 ± 10.30 75/124 NA NA NA 120 56.31 ± 10.21 20/36
Tang China 346 86 NA NA NA NA NA 89 NA NA advanced NSCLC

IV
pathological biopsy or blood samples NECT+CECT
2023 125 NA NA NA NA NA 46 NA NA
Cui China 80 21 56.10 ± 7.59 7/14 11 60.18 ± 11.14 5/6 NA NA NA NSCLC with BM

IV
genetic test reports MRI
2024 32 56.59 ± 8.27 11/21 16 58.31 ± 9.07 4/12 NA NA NA
Lu China 274 90 65.30 ± 9.90 52/38 38 65.26 ± 10.81 26/12 NA NA NA NSCLC

III/IV
pathological biopsy CT
2024 102 64.16 ± 10.72 43/59 44 66.11 ± 10.98 19/25 NA NA NA
Wu China 125 18 60.70 ± 10.80 7/11 NA NA NA NA NA NA NSCLC with BM

IV
genetic test reports MRI
2024 107 65.20 ± 11.30 43/64 NA NA NA NA NA NA
Xiong China 120 45 65.70 ± 10.60 20/25 19 65.40 ± 10.60 14/5 NA NA NA NSCLC

IIIB-IV
pathological biopsy CT
2024 39 65.40 ± 10.60 15/24 17 68.20 ± 9.00 4/13 NA NA NA
Xiong China 116 42 65.50 ± 10.40 22/20 18 65.10 ± 10.50 11/7 NA NA NA NSCLC

IIIB-IV
pathological biopsy CT
2025 39 65.10 ± 10.50 15/24 17 70.00 ± 9.40 4/13 NA NA NA
Zhang China and the USA 423 19 NA NA 0 NA NA 9 NA NA NSCLC

NA
genetic test reports CT
2025 166 NA NA NA NA NA 129 NA NA

Abbreviations: BM, brain metastases; F, female; M, male; NA, not available; No., number of patients; NSCLC, non-small cell lung cancer.

Table 2. Radiomics-related information of Studies Included in the Systematic Review.

Author

Year
Imaging loaction Segmentation method AI method Combined clinical parameters The best model Classification

model
Feature Extraction Software Feature selection method Segmentation Software Data source Region of Interest Standardization
Fan

2022
Spine manual ML Yes nomogram models incorporating radiomics and smoking LR Pyradiomics LASSO and 10-fold cross-validation ITK-SNAP multi-center ROI

2D and 3D
No
Fan1

2023
BTI and VPE manual ML No radiomics signature-combined with VPE. LR Pyradiomics LASSO and 10-fold cross-validation ITK-SNAP multi-center ROI

2D and 3D
Yes
Fan2

2023
Brain, POA, and TAA manual ML No radiomics signature-combined with POA and TAA LR Pyradiomics LASSO and 10-fold cross-validation ITK-SNAP single center ROI

3D
Yes
Li1

2023
Lung and mediastinum manual ML No nomogram combined the rad-score calculated by NECT and CECT model LR Pyradiomics LASSO,10-fold cross-validation, and MinMaxScaler 3D slicer single center ROI

NA
Yes
Li2

2023
Brain metastases manual ML No DWI model RF Pyradiomics MIC,10-fold cross-validation, Boruta, and SMOTE 3D Slicer multi-center ROI

2D and 3D
Yes
Lv

2023
Brain metastases manual ML No lesion-level model consisting of rad-scores RF Pyradiomics LASSO,10-fold cross-validation, MinMaxScaler, MIC, and SMOTE 3D Slicer multi-center ROI

NA
Yes
Tang

2023
Lung and mediastinum manual ML Yes nomogram combined the rad-score calculated by NECT and CECT model Artificial Neural Network, Adaptive Boosting, Fast Nearest Neighbor, XGB, DT, NB, SVM, RF and LR Pyradiomics LASSO and 5-fold cross-validation, Boruta, Minimum Redundancy Maximum Relevance, the Relief, InfGain, GainRatio, Gini, and DistEuclid 3D Slicer single center VOI

3D
Yes
Cui

2024
Brain metastases manual ML Yes T1C and T2W MRI and clinical feature fusion LR Pyradiomics LASSO and mRMR ITK-SNAP single center ROI

3D
No
Lu

2024
Lung and mediastinum manual ML Yes nomogram combined CT images and clinical features DT, KN; LR, NB, RF, SVM, and XGB Pyradiomics LASSO and 5-fold cross-validation ITK-SNAP single center ROI

3D
Yes
Wu

2024
Brain metastases manual ML No SVM-SMOTE oversampling method in combination with the XGBoost classifie LR, SVM, RF, and XGB Pyradiomics LASSO and 10-fold cross-validation 1.5T Signa™ HDxt scanner single center ROI

2D
No
Xiong

2024
Lung and mediastinum manual ML Yes SVM-radiomics model-clinical model LR, RF, and SVM GE AnalysisKit LASSO and 3,5- cross-validations ITKSNAP single center VOI

3D
No
Xiong

2025
Lung and mediastinum manual ML Yes Combined use of Radscore and clinical characteristics LR GE AnalysisKit LASSO,10-fold cross-validation ITK-SNAP single center ROI

3D
Yes
Zhang

2025
Lung and mediastinum manual ML Yes Radiomics-Clinical MLP, SVM, RF, LR, KNN, NB, and LDA Pyradiomics LASSO and 5-fold cross-validation 3D Slicer multi-center ROI

2D and 3D
Yes

Note: LR, logistic regression; LASSO, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator; DT, decision tree; KNN, knearest neighbors; NB, naïve Bayes; RF, random forest; SVM, support vector machines; XGBoost, XGB, and extreme gradient boosting; TAA, tumor active area; POA, peritumoral edema area; VPE, volume of peritumoral edema; BTI, brain-to-tumor interface, ML, machine learning; ROI, region of interest; LDA, linear discriminant analysis.

Within the radiomics workflow, six studies [19,29–31,34,38], involving 127 datasets, used device MRI to image brain metastases from NSCLC, while the remaining studies [31–33,35,36,39], with 30 datasets, utilized CT to image lung and mediastinal regions; only one study [37] used MRI to image spinal metastasis. Fan et al. [29,30] performed imaging of tumor active areas (TAA) and peritumoral edema (POA) in two separate studies. For tumor lesion segmentation, manual segmentation was commonly employed to delineate regions of interest within tumors.

Five studies [19,20,31,32,36], comprising 17 datasets, utilized 3D Slicer software for sampling, seven studies [29,30,33,35,37–39], involving 44 datasets, used ITK-SNAP software for sampling. Eleven studies utilized the open-source software PyRadiomics for feature extraction and representative texture features.

LASSO was the most common method for feature selection [19,29–39]. Classification methods mainly employed included LR [29–39], SVM [32–36], LDA [36], RF [19,20,32–36], XGB [32–34], DT [32,33], and NB [32,33,36]. Nine studies [19,20,29–33,36,39], comprising 41 datasets, standardized extracted imaging feature values during data processing. All studies employed ML algorithms for model building and validation. To enhance model robustness, seven studies [19,20,29–31,34,37,39] used 10-fold cross-validation, three studies [32,33,36] used 5-fold cross-validation, and one study [35] used both 3-fold and 5-fold cross-validation.

Additionally, six studies [33,35–39], involving 22 datasets, combined clinical factors with radiomics features for model construction. Seven studies [19,20,29–31,36,37], involving 25 datasets, employed external validation, while nine studies [29,30,32–35,37–39], with 140 datasets, used internal validation.

Quality assessment

We assessed the quality of the selected studies using the QUADAS-2 tool, as shown in Fig 2. Overall, the quality of all studies was acceptable. In the patient selection domain, the risk of bias was unclear for 11 studies because continuity was not mentioned during patient selection. In the index test domain, seven studies demonstrated low risk of bias, and all studies explicitly specified the reference standard domain. By flow and timing domain, six studies reported insufficient information regarding the interval between performing radiomics analysis and the reference standard; one study was identified as having a higher risk of bias, primarily because patients in two cohorts received two different gold standards. Regarding clinical applicability assessment, only one study had an unclear risk of bias concerning the applicability evaluation of the gold standard due to differing gold standards; the other studies showed a low risk of bias.

Fig 2. The summary of the quality assessment of the included studies following QUADAS-2.

Fig 2

We used the RQS 2.0 checklist shown in Table S3 to assesse the quality of all radiomics studies. Among the 9 domains, the median overall RQS was 20 (range 18–25), with an overall quality score of 36.26%. All studies were retrospective. Furthermore, no studies scored in the areas of prospective validity, applicability and sustainability, or clinical deployment.

Diagnostic test accuracy analysis

The overall radiomics model demonstrated good diagnostic performance for detecting T790M gene mutations in NSCLC. In internal validation, the model demonstrated a pooled AUC of 0.91 (95% CI: 0.88–0.93). Pooled sensitivity was 0.73 (95% CI: 0.70–0.75; I² = 50.21%). Pooled specificity was 0.95 (95% CI: 0.94–0.95; I² = 81.96%). The summary PLR was 13.40 (95% CI: 11.20–16.10), the NLR was 0.29 (95% CI: 0.26–0.32), and the DOR was 47 (95% CI: 37–60). Performance on external validation cohorts yielded a pooled AUC of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.77–0.84). The summary estimates for sensitivity and specificity were 0.73 (95% CI: 0.67–0.78; I² = 55.40%) and 0.87 (95% CI: 0.79–0.92; I² = 91.36%), respectively. The PLR was 5.8 (95% CI: 3.6–9.3), the NLR was 0.31 (95% CI: 0.26–0.37), and the DOR was 19 (95% CI: 11–31). The forest plot for pooled sensitivity and specificity is shown in Fig 3. The SROC curves for all studies are depicted in Fig 4.

Fig 3. Forest plots of sensitivity and specificity with corresponding 95% CIs of the radiomics model in predicting T790M mutation status for non-small cell lung cancer on (a) internal validation and (b) external validation.

Fig 3

The diamond at the bottom of each panel represents the pooled estimate. The size of each square is proportional to the study’s weight in the random-effects meta-analysis. The dashed vertical line indicates the pooled summary estimate.

Fig 4. SROC curve with corresponding 95% CIs of the radiomics model in predicting T790M mutation status for non-small cell lung cancer on (a) internal validation and (b) external validation.

Fig 4

Subgroup analysis

The I2 statistic revealed high heterogeneity both in pooled sensitivity (I² in= 50.21%, I ²ex = 55.40%) and specificity (I² in= 82.96%, I² ex = 91.36%), indicating greater variability in specificity outcomes and greater consistency in sensitivity and specificity outcomes. We conducted subgroup analyses to identify sources of heterogeneity, with groups adjusted as shown in Tables 3 and 4.

Table 3. Results of meta-regression and subgroup analyses of radiological and radiomics model in internal datasets.

Characteristic Category Number of datasets Sensitivity (95% CI) P1 Specificity (95% CI) P2 P3
Imaging location Brain 114 0.71 (0.69 - 0.73) 0.03 0.95 (0.95 - 0.96) <0.001 <0.001
Lung 22 0.76 (0.73 - 0.79) 0.81 (0.78 - 0.84)
Spine 4 0.73 (0.59 - 0.83) 0.86 (0.75 - 0.92)
Imaging equipment MRI 118 0.72 (0.69 - 0.75) <0.001 0.96 (0.95 - 0.96) <0.001 <0.001
CT 22 0.75 (0.69 - 0.80) 0.80 (0.75 - 0.85)
Segmentation Software ITK-SNAP 33 0.76 (0.73 - 0.79) <0.001 0.80 (0.76 - 0.85) <0.001 0.26
3D Slicer 3 0.75 (0.70 - 0.80) 0.89 (0.81 - 0.96)
Reference standard Blood samples 11 0.74 (0.65-0.81) 0.09 0.81(0.75-0.86) <0.001 <0.001
Pathological biopsy 19 0.76 (0.72-0.80) 0.79 (0.75-0.82)
Unspecified origin 110 0.71 (0.70-0.73) 0.95 (0.95-0.96)
RQS >20 18 0.76 (0.70 - 0.82) <0.001 0.85 (0.79 - 0.90) <0.001 <0.001
≤20 122 0.72 (0.69 - 0.75) 0.95 (0.95 - 0.96)
Combined clinical parameters Yes 19 0.79 (0.73 - 0.84) <0.001 0.81 (0.75 - 0.87) <0.001 <0.001
NO 121 0.72 (0.69 - 0.75) 0.95 (0.95 - 0.96)
Standardization Yes 19 0.76 (0.69 - 0.82) <0.001 0.80 (0.73 - 0.86) <0.001 <0.001
NO 121 0.72 (0.70 - 0.75) 0.95 (0.95 - 0.96)

Note: RQS, Radiomics Quality Score.

Table 4. Results of meta-regression and subgroup analyses of radiological and radiomics model in external datasets.

Characteristic Category Number of studies Sensitivity (95% CI) P1 Specificity (95% CI) P2 P3
Data source multi-center 5 0.74(0.59 - 0.88) 0.12 0.98 (0.97 - 1.00) 0.14 <0.001
single-center 20 0.74 (0.69 - 0.80) 0.77 (0.70 - 0.84)
Imaging location Brain 13 0.76 (0.71 - 0.80) 0.76 0.70 (0.66 - 0.74) <0.001 <0.001
Lung 8 0.73 (0.64 - 0.80) 0.96 (0.95 - 0.98)
Spine 4 0.78 (0.61 - 0.89) 0.80 (0.65 - 0.90)
Imaging equipment MRI 17 0.75 (0.69 - 0.80) 0.08 0.77 (0.68 - 0.86) <0.001 <0.001
CT 8 0.70 (0.59 - 0.80) 0.96 (0.94 - 0.99)
Segmentation Software ITK-SNAP 11 0.76 (0.67 - 0.84) 0.04 0.83 (0.70 - 0.95) 0.04 0.55
3D slicer 14 0.71 (0.65 - 0.78) 0.90 (0.83 - 0.97)
Reference standard Blood samples 11 0.76 (0.67-0.84) 0.04 0.83 (0.70-0.95) 0.04 0.55
Unspecified origin 14 0.71 (0.65-0.78) 0.90 (0.83-0.97)
RQS >20 16 0.73 (0.66 - 0.81) <0.001 0.92 (0.87 - 0.97) 0.80 0.06
≤20 9 0.75 (0.68 - 0.82) 0.76 (0.61 - 0.91)
Combined clinical parameters Yes 3 0.78 (0.60 - 0.95) 0.55 0.97 (0.91 - 1.00) 0.18 0.09
NO 22 0.73 (0.68 - 0.78) 0.85 (0.78 - 0.92)
Standardization Yes 20 0.73 (0.68 - 0.79) 0.11 0.85 (0.77 - 0.93) 0.05 0.34
NO 5 0.75 (0.60 - 0.89) 0.94 (0.86 - 1.00)

Note: RQS, Radiomics Quality Score.

In terms of data sources in internal validation, all data were derived from a single-center study. In external validation, single-center studies (n = 20) demonstrated similar sensitivity (0.74 [95% CI, 0.69–0.80] vs 0.74 [95% CI, 0.59–0.88], P = 0.12) and lower specificity (0.77 [95% CI, 0.70–0.84] vs 0.98 [95% CI, 0.97–1.00], P = 0.14) compared to multicenter studies (n = 5).

By imaging sites in internal validation, imaging examinations for NSCLC in the lungs and mediastinum (n = 22) demonstrated the highest sensitivity (0.76 [95% CI, 0.73–0.79], P = 0.03) compared to brain metastases and spinal metastases. However, imaging for brain metastases showed superior specificity (0.95 [95% CI, 0.95–0.96], P < 0.001). In external validation, imaging examinations for lung and mediastinal metastases (n = 8) showed superior specificity (0.96 [95% CI, 0.95–0.98], P < 0.001).

Regarding imaging modalities, predictive models utilizing MRI imaging (n = 118) demonstrated lower sensitivity (0.72 [95% CI, 0.69–0.75] vs 0.75 [95% CI, 0.69–0.80], P < 0.001) and higher specificity (0.96 [95% CI, 0.95–0.96] vs 0.80 [95% CI, 0.75–0.85], P < 0.001) compared to those employing CT imaging (n = 22) in internal validation. In external validation, the use of CT imaging (n=8) offered higher sensitivity for fixation (0.96 [95% CI, 0.94–0.99], P < 0.001).

In terms of image segmentation software, ITK-SNAP (n = 33) demonstrated higher sensitivity (internal validation, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.73–0.79], P < 0.001; external validation, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.67–0.84], P = 0.04) and lower specificity (internal: 0.80 [95% CI, 0.76–0.85], P < 0.001; external: 0.83 [95% CI, 0.70–0.95], P = 0.04).

Regarding the reference standard, in external validation sets, models referenced against blood sample (n=11) achieved higher sensitivity (0.76 [95% CI, 0.67–0.84], P = 0.04). Specificity was consistently highest for models employing standards of unspecified origin (internal: 0.95 [95% CI, 0.95–0.96], P < 0.001; external: 0.90 [95% CI, 0.83–0.97], P = 0.04).

By RQS scores, RQS > 20 (n = 18) demonstrated higher sensitivity (0.76 [95% CI, 0.70–0.82] vs 0.72 [95% CI, 0.69–0.75], P < 0.001) and lower specificity (0.85 [95% CI, 0.79–0.90] vs 0.95 [95% CI, 0.95–0.96], P < 0.001) compared to RQS ≤ 20 (n = 122) in internal validation. While in external validation, RQS ≤ 20 (n = 9) demonstrated higher sensitivity (0.75 [95% CI, 0.68–0.82], P < 0.001).

Studies combining radiomics and clinical factors in internal validation (n = 19) achieved higher sensitivity (0.79 [95% CI, 0.73–0.84], P < 0.001) and lower specificity (0.81 [95% CI, 0.75–0.87], P < 0.001) compared with studies using radiomics models alone (n = 121).

In internal validation, standardized data processing achieved higher sensitivity (0.76 [95% CI, 0.69–0.82] vs 0.72 [95% CI, 0.70–0.75], P < 0.001), but reduced specificity (0.80 [95% CI, 0.73–0.86] vs 0.95 [95% CI, 0.95–0.96], P < 0.001).

Sensitivity analyses

As shown in Fig 5, sensitivity analysis indicated no significant changes after each systematic exclusion of a study both in internal and external validation.

Fig 5. Leave-one-out sensitivity analysis for the diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) on (a) internal validation and (b) external validation.

Fig 5

Publication bias

The Deeks funnel plot asymmetry test (Fig 6) indicated no significant publication bias for internal validation studies (P = 0.08), whereas significant bias was present among external validation studies (P = 0.04).

Fig 6. Funnel plot based on the radiomics model in predicting T790M mutation status in non-small cell lung cancer on (a) internal validation and (b) external validation.

Fig 6

Predictive values

Based on Fagan’s nomogram analysis, in internal validation, applying a radiomics model with a pre-test probability of 19% (When performing diagnostic meta-analysis using the STATA midas command, the software automatically calculates the weighted pooled prevalence based on the raw data from the 2x2 contingency tables (true positives, false positives, etc.) of all included studies) and a PLR of 13.40 increases the post-test probability of T790M expression in NSCLC patients to approximately 76%. Conversely, using an NLR of 0.29 within the same model context reduces the post-test probability to 6%. In external validation, a model with a pre-test probability of 31% and a PLR of 6 elevated the predicted probability to 72%. Conversely, an NLR of 0.31 reduces the posterior positive probability to 12% (Fig 7).

Fig 7. The Fagan nomogram demonstrated the performance of the radiomics model in predicting T790M mutation status for non-small cell lung cancer on (a) internal validation and (b) external validation.

Fig 7

Discussion

Radiomics models predict T790M resistance in NSCLC

This study conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of 13 studies involving 2,654 patients to develop a radiomics-based predictive model for T790M resistance mutations in NSCLC. To our knowledge, this represents the first comprehensive evaluation of radiomics technology for predicting T790M mutations in NSCLC. Pooled results indicate the models demonstrated good performance in predicting T790M mutations (AUCin = 0.91 [0.88–0.93], AUCex = 0.81 [0.77–0.84]), indicating these models can distinguish most T790M mutation cases. The model also demonstrated high specificity (internal validation, 0.95 [95% CI: 0.94–0.95], external validation, 0.87 [95% CI: 0.79–0.92]) and slightly lower sensitivity (internal validation, 0.73 [95% CI: 0.70–0.75], external validation, 0.73 [95% CI: 0.67–0.78]), further highlighting its efficacy. Predicting T790M mutations in NSCLC using radiomics models provides valuable reference for clinical decision-making.

We observed heterogeneity in pooled sensitivity (I² in= 50.21%, I²ex = 55.40%) and specificity (I² in= 82.962%, I² ex = 91.36%). This variability can be attributed to multiple methodological factors, including but not limited to: [1] differences in imaging data types and sources; [2] heterogeneity in study populations and mutation status; [3] variations in model construction approaches and feature selection; and [4] discrepancies in study design and clinical context. Fundamentally, the observed heterogeneity reflects a lack of standardization in the technical workflow across studies.

MRI vs. CT specificity: Varies by body site and validation

MRI and CT, as two distinct imaging modalities, provide insights into different states of NSCLC. However, a critical and confounding factor in our analysis is that MRI and CT studies examined fundamentally different anatomical targets: MRI primarily for brain metastases and CT for thoracic (primary or metastatic) lesions. Therefore, the observed performance differences cannot be attributed to imaging modality alone but are inseparable from the distinct biological and radiological contexts of the anatomical sites. Nevertheless, our exploratory subgroup analysis within internal validation datasets suggests that models focusing on brain metastases (predominantly using MRI) demonstrated exceptionally high specificity (pooled estimate: 0.96) compared to models focusing on thoracic disease (predominantly using CT; pooled estimate: 0.80), albeit with slightly lower sensitivity and high heterogeneity (I² > 70%). Brain metastases reside within the unique microenvironment of the central nervous system, where their imaging phenotypes are more heavily modulated by factors such as the blood-brain barrier and local immune environment. This results in more distinctive and consistent imaging alterations produced by T790M-resistant clones, enabling highly specific detection by radiomics models [40,41]. Consequently, MRI models evaluating brain metastases exhibit higher specificity. As the most common primary and metastatic sites for NSCLC, lung and mediastinal lesions are more readily assessed in their entirety on CT. Comprehensive features extracted from these lesions—reflecting tumor texture, shape, and enhancement—can sensitively indicate the presence of T790M-resistant populations. However, the broader range of imaging feature alterations in lung/mediastinal lesions may also incorporate more non-specific changes, resulting in lower specificity compared to MRI models. This performance discrepancy likely reflects heterogeneity in biological behavior and imaging phenotype across anatomical sites [42,43]. Clinically, imaging from specific sites can be prioritized based on practical needs: pursuing high specificity to avoid false positives or prioritizing high sensitivity to reduce missed diagnoses.

Notably, subgroup analyses revealed divergent effects of the same covariates—including imaging modality, anatomical site, and segmentation software—on model sensitivity and specificity between internal and external validation sets. For example, while MRI showed markedly higher specificity than CT in internal validation, CT-based models occasionally achieved higher specificity in external validation, particularly for pulmonary lesions. This discrepancy suggests that performance estimates from internal validation may be inflated owing to cohort homogeneity and model tuning, whereas external validation more accurately reflects generalizability across heterogeneous populations and real-world operational variations. These observations provide a critical framework for interpreting the following technical discussions.

Models incorporating clinical factors require validation

Integrated models combining radiomics with clinical parameters showed higher pooled sensitivity (0.79 vs. 0.72) but lower specificity (0.81 vs. 0.95) than radiomics-only models. A study by Fan et al. in 2022 demonstrated improved predictive capability for detecting EGFR and T790M mutations by combining RS-Coms with smoking status in a developed line chart model [37]. The nomogram yielded higher AUC results, indicating that smoking status complements radiomics features derived from imaging. Lu et al. improved prediction of EGFR/T790M mutations by integrating a radiomics score with smoking status in a nomogram [33]. However, Tang et al. found that incorporating the Rad-score (which integrates initial EGFR mutation status, EGFR-TKI treatment duration, and CT morphological features-did not further enhance predictive capability [32]. Current research appears to favor including clinical characteristics in radiomics models. Unfortunately, some research indicates that factors such as age, gender, smoking history, and alcohol consumption showed no statistically significant correlation with the timing of T790M emergence [19,20,29,34]. Overall, although some studies suggest that combining clinical features may enhance predictive performance, our subgroup analyses—particularly the internal validation results—indicate that models integrating clinical parameters did not demonstrate numerically significant advantages in the current study. This seemingly contradictory finding may be attributed to differences in the selection of clinical factors across studies and the imaging modalities employed. For instance, we observed that 80% of studies successfully establishing combined clinical feature models utilized CT imaging. In practice, MRI should offer superior predictive value for EGFR mutation status due to its ability to provide richer textural features. Therefore, attempts to incorporate clinical parameters in CT-based studies to compensate for insufficient imaging information may explain the coexistence of the overall conclusion of “no clear advantage for combined models” with individual positive findings.

Selection of feature segmentation software

In radiomics research, ITK-SNAP and 3D Slicer are the two most commonly used feature segmentation software. Subgroup analysis revealed that ITK-SNAP demonstrated higher sensitivity compared to 3D Slicer (0.76 [95% CI, 0.73–0.79]), while 3D Slicer exhibited greater specificity (0.75 [95% CI, 0.67–0.84] vs.0.81 [95% CI, 0.75–0.88]). This likely stems from differences in image segmentation strategies, feature extraction algorithms, and subsequent processing between the two software packages. ITK-SNAP excels in its semi-automated segmentation capability, which initiates segmentation from seed points and includes surrounding voxels based on intensity. In cases of ambiguous grayscale transitions, this may result in over-segmentation and subsequent volume overestimation. This approach may offer advantages in capturing the overall tumor morphology and internal heterogeneity. Even when operators strive for precise boundaries, the algorithm’s characteristics may cause it to favor inclusion of peritumoral areas suspected of reaction or infiltration. This aids in capturing more potential imaging signals associated with EGFR mutations (including subtle or diffuse textural alterations), thereby enhancing the ability to detect true positives. However, it may also introduce non-specific features or noise, such as including small amounts of non-tumor tissue. These features may be misclassified as positive by the model, potentially reducing specificity. While 3D Slicer supports multiple segmentation methods, manual layer-by-layer delineation remains a common approach in many studies. When manually delineating, operators may adhere more strictly to clearly defined tumor boundaries in the images, favoring the acquisition of purer intratumoral features. This approach reduces the influence of peritumoral tissue or uncertain regions, potentially yielding more specific features that better represent characteristics unique to EGFR mutations. Consequently, it may help reduce false positives and improve specificity. Conversely, it may overlook some valid biological signals located at the tumor margin or peritumorally, leading to the omission of some true positive cases and potentially reducing sensitivity [44].

Impact of reference standard on performance estimates

Based on our subgroup analysis, the reference standard significantly influenced performance estimates, with a key methodological constraint: no studies in the external validation sets utilized a definitive tissue biopsy reference standard. Within this limited analytical context, models referenced against plasma ctDNA demonstrated notable sensitivity (0.76, 95% CI: 0.67–0.84). This finding may be exploratory, suggesting that in heterogeneous external cohorts, the systemic nature of liquid biopsy might align differently with radiomic phenotypes compared to other non-tissue standards. It does not imply superiority over a tissue-based benchmark, which was absent for direct comparison. Critically, models employing an unspecified reference standard consistently yielded the highest pooled specificity (internal: 0.95; external: 0.90), most plausibly reflecting a systematic overestimation bias. As tissue biopsy remains the clinical gold standard for spatial specificity and lower false-negative rates, the absence of tissue-validated models in external validation represents a major evidence gap. Therefore, the performance of plasma-based standards should be interpreted as preliminary. Future studies must prioritize external validation with histologically confirmed cohorts to establish unbiased, clinically relevant performance benchmarks.

Impact of radiomics workflow on performance

The exploratory subgroup analysis based on the RQS revealed an association between methodological quality and the generalizability of model performance. It is crucial to emphasize that the RQS evaluates methodological rigor, not absolute performance [45]. We observed that studies with higher RQS tended to report more conservative sensitivity in internal validation, while their models demonstrated more robust preservation of specificity in external validation. This pattern may be explained by a mitigation of overfitting through stringent methodology. Higher-quality studies typically employ more rigorous feature selection and validation strategies, resulting in internal performance estimates—particularly for sensitivity—that are less optimistically biased and closer to a model’s true generalizable capability [46]. Consequently, when applied to independent external data, these models exhibit less performance degradation, with specificity proving particularly resilient. This indicates that methodological rigor does not merely lower reported metrics but yields models with more reliable and reproducible performance profiles, especially regarding the sensitivity-specificity trade-off across different populations. This underscores the necessity of adhering to high methodological standards to develop radiomic models that can be trusted in broader clinical practice.

Model validation methods include internal validation and external validation. Currently, for developed radiomics models, most evaluate predictive performance through internal validation. According to the literature, external validation is recommended for datasets exceeding 50 samples, while re-validation methods are recommended for smaller datasets [47]. The AUC values from external validation appeared lower than those from internal validation or the training cohort, consistent with characteristics observed in prior studies. It is worth noting that most of the studies we included were concentrated in China. This may be because cancer treatment in China often occurs at large regional medical centers specializing in oncology, which facilitates data retention and thus leads to a higher concentration of patients. This also suggests the need for more studies from other regions to reduce bias.

Our findings support the use of radiomics as a potential screening tool for determining the T790M mutation status in NSCLC and align with those of Fuster-Matanzo et al., who conducted a meta-analysis of 124 studies on the diagnostic performance of radiomics technology for predicting oncogene mutation status of NSCLC, reporting an AUC of 0.821 and a sensitivity of 0.806 (95% CI 0.776–0.833) in EGFR, respectively [48]. Imaging modalities should be selected based on the patient’s disease stage. CT is widely used in advanced NSCLC, while MRI is extensively employed for brain and bone metastases. Finally, future studies should prioritize additional validation and consider critical aspects, primarily ensuring minimum sample sizes to guarantee the reliability of results obtained using artificial intelligence (AI)-based models. In our systematic review and meta-analysis, over half (11/13) of the validation cohorts had sample sizes >30, with only two studies having a smaller sample size, which may limit the relevance of the conclusions. Although multicenter designs enhance the reliability of conclusions, only one study employed this approach. A small number of studies used validation data from different centers for internal and external validation, respectively. These findings complement our efforts to minimize bias in meta-analyses and underscore the importance of comprehensive and transparent reporting in future research.

Limitation

This study has several limitations that may affect the interpretation and generalizability of the results. First, the number and quality of studies available for meta-analysis were limited. Although AI algorithms have received extensive attention in predicting T790M gene mutations in NSCLC, related studies may still be relatively scarce. This may be because the application of AI algorithms is still in the developmental stage, and relevant research is underway. Additionally, differences among studies-including variations in study design, sample size, data collection, and evaluation methods-contributed to result heterogeneity. The generalizability of our findings is constrained by the exclusive inclusion of studies conducted in China. This geographic homogeneity limits the assessment of how variations in EGFR mutation epidemiology, imaging protocols, and clinical workflows across global populations and healthcare systems may affect model performance. The observed heterogeneity underscores this concern and highlights the critical need for external validation in multinational cohorts to confirm clinical utility. Retrospective studies carry recall bias, necessitating prospective studies that encompass broader geographic regions to validate our conclusions. Second, different data sources, acquisition methods, image quality, and feature extraction techniques may have been used across the studies identified through literature searches. Additionally, this study did not directly compare radiomics models with existing diagnostic strategies such as liquid biopsy, nor did it evaluate their net benefit in clinical decision-making through decision curve analysis. This represents a significant limitation of the research. Our exploratory subgroup analyses (not pre-specified) suggest differences across imaging modalities, anatomical sites, and software tools, but these may be confounded by non-randomized allocations, small sample sizes, and heterogeneity. Hence, they should be viewed as hypothesis-generating rather than definitive. In this light, radiomics is best positioned as a non-invasive, reproducible supplementary tool to guide decisions when biopsy is unsuitable; however, its true clinical utility—including effects on patient outcomes—requires prospective validation with head-to-head comparisons against standard strategies and formal health economic analyses.

Conclusion

In conclusion, radiomics demonstrates technical promise as a non-invasive screening tool for predicting T790M mutation status in NSCLC based on retrospective evidence. However, it is essential to recognize that these imaging-based models are intended to complement, rather than replace, confirmatory tissue biopsy, which remains the diagnostic gold standard. The universal absence of prospective and clinically validated studies precludes conclusions about immediate clinical utility. Further comprehensive and prospective multicenter investigations are needed to validate these findings and facilitate the clinical integration of AI-driven imaging in this field.

Supporting information

S1 Table. PRISMA checklist of this meta-analysis.

(DOCX)

pone.0353257.s001.docx (56KB, docx)
S2 Table. Search strategy.

(DOCX)

pone.0353257.s002.docx (10.8KB, docx)
S3 Table. The table of radiomics quality scores 2.0 for each study.

(DOCX)

pone.0353257.s003.docx (30.3KB, docx)
S4 Table. The fundamental characteristics incorporated into the validation model.

(DOCX)

pone.0353257.s004.docx (78.2KB, docx)
S1 File. The review protocol.

(DOCX)

pone.0353257.s005.docx (14.4KB, docx)

Data Availability

All relevant data are within the manuscript and its Supporting information files.

Funding Statement

This study was supported by: National Key Research and Development Program of China (NO. 2023YFC3503301) awarded to Wei Hou; High Level Chinese Medical Hospital Promotion Project (NO. HLCMHPP2023085) awarded to Wei Hou; Training Program for Outstanding Young Scientific and Technological Talents Funded by the Basic Research Business Expenses of the China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences (NO. ZZ18-YQ-019) awarded to Dandan Wang. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. There was no additional external funding received for this study.

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Decision Letter 0

Hamidreza Montazeri Aliabadi

28 Jan 2026

-->PONE-D-25-64207

Predicting T790M mutation status in non-small cell lung cancer based on radiomics: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PLOS One

Dear Dr. Chen,

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Reviewer #1: 1. All included studies were conducted in China, with no representation from other geographic regions or healthcare systems. This raises serious concerns regarding generalizability, given known differences in EGFR mutation epidemiology across ethnic populations, imaging acquisition protocols and scanner characteristics, and clinical workflows and reference-standard practices.

2. The meta-analysis pools studies predicting T790M mutation status using radiomics derived from primary lung tumors, brain metastases, and spinal metastases. These represent biologically and radiologically distinct disease contexts, with different tumor microenvironments, imaging contrasts, and mechanisms potentially related to T790M emergence. Pooling such heterogeneous targets under a single diagnostic estimate is problematic and undermines biological interpretability. At minimum, these entities should be analyzed separately, or the pooled results should be clearly framed as exploratory rather than definitive.

3. When multiple models were reported within a single study, the authors extracted only the model with the highest AUC for meta-analysis. This introduces a clear optimism bias and artificially inflates pooled performance estimates. A meta-analysis should reflect typical model performance, not selectively chosen best-case scenarios. This methodological choice significantly compromises the credibility of the reported pooled AUC, sensitivity, and specificity.

4. All included studies are retrospective, and many rely exclusively on internal validation or cross-validation strategies. External validation, when present, is limited and heterogeneous. Notably, none of the studies achieved RQS credit for prospective validation, clinical utility assessment, or deployment readiness. This directly contradicts the manuscript’s repeated references to “clinical application prospects.”

5. The subgroup analysis reports that studies with higher RQS scores (>20) demonstrate lower sensitivity and specificity. This observation is presented descriptively without adequate interpretation. RQS is designed to assess methodological rigor, not performance optimization. Lower performance in higher-RQS studies is more plausibly explained by reduced overfitting and more conservative validation. The manuscript fails to acknowledge this, risking misleading interpretation.

6. More references on lung cancer studies should be added to attract a broader readership i.e., PMID: 40339270, PMID: 39930275.

7. Specificity heterogeneity is high (I² >70%), yet the subgroup and meta-regression analyses are based on small numbers of studies per subgroup. Multiple subgroup comparisons are conducted without adjustment for multiple testing. Despite this, the manuscript draws strong conclusions regarding MRI superiority over CT, differences between segmentation software (ITK-SNAP vs 3D Slicer). These findings should be interpreted as hypothesis-generating only, not confirmatory.

8. The conclusion that MRI outperforms CT is confounded by the fact that MRI studies predominantly involve brain metastases, while CT studies focus on thoracic disease. The analysis does not adequately disentangle modality effects from anatomical site effects, rendering the modality comparison unreliable.

9. Reference standards for T790M mutation status vary widely, including tissue biopsy, plasma ctDNA, and genetic reports. These methods differ substantially in sensitivity and false-negative rates, yet are treated as equivalent gold standards. This heterogeneity is insufficiently addressed and likely biases pooled diagnostic accuracy estimates.

10. The Fagan nomogram analysis assumes a pre-test probability of 40%, which is not clearly justified and may not reflect real-world prevalence in many clinical scenarios. Moreover, no comparison is made with established diagnostic strategies (e.g., liquid biopsy), and no decision-curve analysis is provided. As such, claims of meaningful clinical utility are premature.

Reviewer #2: I have the following comments:

1) Article type. This manuscript is not an original research, but a meta-analysis paper. If allowed, it should be categorized as meta-analysis or review rather than original research.

2) Abstract. Generally ok.

3) Introduction. It is very long and should be shortened by about 25% for greater conciseness and readability. A lot of details are contained in the Results section, so here it is preferable to focus as much as possible on the knowledge gaps this study is aimed to fill and how. In this context, please consider the addition of few words (around lines 129-136) emphasizing the potential importance of AI and radiomics in developing imaging biobanks that could be used for fostering personalized patient care (see e.g. doi 10.1007/s00330-021-08431-6 as potential useful reference).

4) Results. At lines 366-368, please briefly recall some of the most relevant points from the literature taken into consideration where no significant changes were found. If necessary, the caption of Fig. 5 should be modified accordingly to avoid any redundancies with the revised text.

5) Discussion. It is quite long and should be shortened by about 25%. Moreover, it should focus not only on summarizing the key findings from the literature, but also discussing them to find a plausible explanation to the findings, e.g., why did MRI outperform CT? why was 3DSlicer better as segmentation software? Furthermore, at line 387 please replace the subtitle 'Key finding' with a brief summary of the actual key findings as described in the following text.

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Reviewer #2: No

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PLoS One. 2026 Jul 8;21(7):e0353257. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0353257.r003

Author response to Decision Letter 1


19 Feb 2026

Response to Reviewer Comments

Response to the review of the paper entitled: “Predicting T790M mutation status in non-small cell lung cancer based on radiomics: a systematic review and meta-analysis”

February 8, 2026

Hongyang Chen

We acknowledge and sincerely appreciate the review by the two reviewers. We have revised the manuscript accordingly. In this document, we provide our responses. All the changes are highlighted in red color in the revised manuscript.

Reviewer(s)’ Comments to Author:

Reviewer 1

1. All included studies were conducted in China, with no representation from other geographic regions or healthcare systems. This raises serious concerns regarding generalizability, given known differences in EGFR mutation epidemiology across ethnic populations, imaging acquisition protocols and scanner characteristics, and clinical workflows and reference-standard practices.

Response: Thank you for your valuable commentary. First, we wish to clarify that the concentration of the study's geographic focus did not stem from subjective selection or search bias. To maximize the collection of relevant global literature, we implemented a systematic and comprehensive search strategy. Second, we fully concur with your perspective and have therefore expanded the discussion on geographical limitations within the manuscript. Please see page 25, lines 508-521 for details, and all the changes are highlighted in red color.

2.The meta-analysis pools studies predicting T790M mutation status using radiomics derived from primary lung tumors, brain metastases, and spinal metastases. These represent biologically and radiologically distinct disease contexts, with different tumor microenvironments, imaging contrasts, and mechanisms potentially related to T790M emergence. Pooling such heterogeneous targets under a single diagnostic estimate is problematic and undermines biological interpretability. At minimum, these entities should be analyzed separately, or the pooled results should be clearly framed as exploratory rather than definitive.

Response: Thank you for your helpful feedback. We fully agree that primary tumors and different metastatic sites (such as brain and spine) exhibit fundamental biological and radiological differences. Combining them in analyses may obscure specific signals and weaken the interpretability of results. Therefore, we conducted separate subgroup meta-analyses by tumor location (primary tumor, brain metastases, other metastases). Additionally, we explicitly defined this as an “exploratory” estimation in the methodology section to emphasize its heterogeneity. Please see page 10, lines 219-221, and page 17, lines 329-334 for details, and all the changes are highlighted in red color.

3.When multiple models were reported within a single study, the authors extracted only the model with the highest AUC for meta-analysis. This introduces a clear optimism bias and artificially inflates pooled performance estimates. A meta-analysis should reflect typical model performance, not selectively chosen best-case scenarios. This methodological choice significantly compromises the credibility of the reported pooled AUC, sensitivity, and specificity.

Response: Thanks for your considerate suggestion. We re-added all datasets from internal and external validation studies, yielding a total of 165 datasets. After hierarchical pooling of the studies, the AUC for internal validation datasets was 0.91 (95% CI: 0.88-0.93), while the AUC for external validation datasets was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.77-0.84). The results demonstrate the robustness and strong diagnostic capability of the predictive model. Please see Page 16 lines 296-307.

4. All included studies are retrospective, and many rely exclusively on internal validation or cross-validation strategies. External validation, when present, is limited and heterogeneous. Notably, none of the studies achieved RQS credit for prospective validation, clinical utility assessment, or deployment readiness. This directly contradicts the manuscript’s repeated references to “clinical application prospects.”

Response: Thank you so much for your helpful comment. We have revised the wording regarding “clinical application prospects” in the text, emphasizing that the conclusions are based on retrospective data.Furthermore, we highlighted this limitation prominently at the end of the paper. Please see page 31, lines 597-604 for details, and all the changes are highlighted in red color.

5.The subgroup analysis reports that studies with higher RQS scores (>20) demonstrate lower sensitivity and specificity. This observation is presented descriptively without adequate interpretation. RQS is designed to assess methodological rigor, not performance optimization. Lower performance in higher-RQS studies is more plausibly explained by reduced overfitting and more conservative validation. The manuscript fails to acknowledge this, risking misleading interpretation.

Response: Thank you for your kind suggestions. We fully agree with the reviewers' perspective that the Radiomics Quality Score (RQS) evaluates methodological rigor rather than performance optimization, and that more conservative validation in studies with high RQS may explain the observed performance trends. We have incorporated a relevant description into the Discussion section as per your suggestion.Please see page 28, lines 526-532. All the changes are highlighted in red color.

6.More references on lung cancer studies should be added to attract a broader readership i.e., PMID: 40339270, PMID: 39930275.

Response: Thank you for your careful advice. We have added these two references to the introduction section. Please see page 5, lines 127-130 for details. All the changes are highlighted in red color.

7. Specificity heterogeneity is high (I² >70%), yet the subgroup and meta-regression analyses are based on small numbers of studies per subgroup. Multiple subgroup comparisons are conducted without adjustment for multiple testing. Despite this, the manuscript draws strong conclusions regarding MRI superiority over CT, differences between segmentation software (ITK-SNAP vs 3D Slicer). These findings should be interpreted as hypothesis-generating only, not confirmatory.

Response: Thanks for your detailed work. We have revised the sections involving subgroup comparisons to explicitly state that these analyses are based on exploratory comparisons of small samples or to emphasize the tentative nature of conclusions by incorporating terms such as “may.” Please see page 23, lines 413-433, Please see page 26, lines 489-499 for details, and all the changes are highlighted in red color.

8. The conclusion that MRI outperforms CT is confounded by the fact that MRI studies predominantly involve brain metastases, while CT studies focus on thoracic disease. The analysis does not adequately disentangle modality effects from anatomical site effects, rendering the modality comparison unreliable.

Response: Thanks for your detailed work. We will remove definitive conclusions such as “MRI is superior to CT” from the original text. In the ‘Results’ section, the relevant statement will be revised to read: “In this exploratory analysis, based on limited studies, numerical differences in specificity were reported between MRI models for brain metastases and CT models for thoracic disease. However, due to complete covariation between imaging modalities and anatomical sites, this discrepancy cannot be attributed to the modality itself.” Please see age 23, lines 413-433 for details and all the changes are highlighted in red color.

9. Reference standards for T790M mutation status vary widely, including tissue biopsy, plasma ctDNA, and genetic reports. These methods differ substantially in sensitivity and false-negative rates, yet are treated as equivalent gold standards. This heterogeneity is insufficiently addressed and likely biases pooled diagnostic accuracy estimates.

Response: Thanks for your thoughtful comments. Per your suggestion, we performed a subgroup analysis of different reference standards for the T790M mutation. The implications for diagnostic accuracy are discussed in the discussion section. Please see page 20, lines 346-350, and page 27, lines 506-521. All the changes are highlighted in red color.

10. The Fagan nomogram analysis assumes a pre-test probability of 40%, which is not clearly justified and may not reflect real-world prevalence in many clinical scenarios. Moreover, no comparison is made with established diagnostic strategies (e.g., liquid biopsy), and no decision-curve analysis is provided. As such, claims of meaningful clinical utility are premature.

Response: Thanks for your detailed work.We sincerely apologize for the lack of clarity in the original text regarding the origin of the prior probability. In the revision, we have emphasized in the conclusion on prior probability that it represents the weighted pooled prevalence automatically calculated by the STATA midas command during our diagnostic meta-analysis. This calculation is based on the raw 2x2 contingency table data (true positives, false positives, etc.) from all included studies. This value objectively reflects the average population prevalence of the T790M mutation across the existing literature synthesized in this meta-analysis. Your correction regarding the lack of comparison with existing standards (e.g., liquid biopsy) and decision curve analysis is entirely correct. Our meta-analysis primarily assessed diagnostic accuracy (sensitivity/specificity) and explored its impact on diagnostic reasoning (via predictive values and Fagan diagrams), but did not directly evaluate effects on treatment decisions or patient outcomes—the core of “clinical utility.”We will replace the term “clinical utility” with more precise language, such as “has the potential to guide clinical probability.” Additionally, incorporating your previous review comment, we have strengthened the discussion of reference standard heterogeneity in the Results and Discussion sections. We specifically note that current estimates of model true specificity may be biased due to the lack of prospective, externally validated studies using tissue biopsy as the gold standard, further supporting the necessity for higher-level clinical validation. Furthermore, the Discussion section explicitly states: No head-to-head comparisons were conducted between the radiomics model and existing diagnostic strategies like liquid biopsy, nor were decision curve analyses performed to assess its net benefit in clinical decision-making. This represents a significant limitation of the study. The future clinical value of radiomics is more likely to lie in its role as a non-invasive, reproducible supplementary tool, providing decision-making references for patients unsuitable for standard biopsy. Its precise clinical utility—specifically, whether it can improve final decisions and patient outcomes—needs to be validated in future prospective studies through comparisons with standard strategies and formal health economic or decision impact analyses. Please see page 21, lines 375-388 for details. All the changes are highlighted in red color.

Independent Review Report, Reviewer 2

1.Article type. This manuscript is not an original research, but a meta-analysis paper. If allowed, it should be categorized as meta-analysis or review rather than original research.

Response: Thank you so much for your helpful suggestion. We sincerely apologize for the error caused by our oversight. We will immediately contact the journal editorial office to confirm and ensure the manuscript type is correctly marked as “Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis” in the system to avoid any misunderstanding.

2.Abstract. Generally ok.

Response: We appreciate the reviewers' overall approval of the abstract section.

We have simultaneously revised and streamlined the corresponding parts of the abstract based on your valuable comments and those of other reviewers—such as clarifying the study's geographical limitations and adjusting overly emphatic statements regarding clinical efficacy—to ensure it more clearly and rigorously reflects the core findings and positioning of the full text.

We sincerely thank you for your review and affirmation.

3.Introduction. It is very long and should be shortened by about 25% for greater conciseness and readability. A lot of details are contained in the Results section, so here it is preferable to focus as much as possible on the knowledge gaps this study is aimed to fill and how. In this context, please consider the addition of few words (around lines 129-136) emphasizing the potential importance of AI and radiomics in developing imaging biobanks that could be used for fostering personalized patient care (see e.g. doi 10.1007/s00330-021-08431-6 as potential useful reference).

Response: Thank you so much for your helpful advice. We have streamlined the content of the introduction. Additionally, we have added material on the potential significance of artificial intelligence and radiology in developing imaging biobanks that can promote personalized patient care.Please see page 5, lines 124-127 for details. All the changes are highlighted in red color.

4 Results. At lines 366-368, please briefly recall some of the most relevant points from the literature taken into consideration where no significant changes were found. If necessary, the caption of Fig. 5 should be modified accordingly to avoid any redundancies with the revised text.

Response: Thanks for your detailed work. We have revised the results section and figure captions of the manuscript according to your suggestions. Please see page 21, lines 364- 367 for details and all the changes are highlighted in red color.

5. Discussion. It is quite long and should be shortened by about 25%. Moreover, it should focus not only on summarizing the key findings from the literature, but also discussing them to find a plausible explanation to the findings, e.g., why did MRI outperform CT? why was 3DSlicer better as segmentation software? Furthermore, at line 387 please replace the subtitle 'Key finding' with a brief summary of the actual key findings as described in the following text.

Response: Thanks for your thoughtful comments. Per your suggestion, we have removed redundant descriptions and minor details, reducing the discussion section by approximately 20%. Although this falls short of the 25% reduction target, it represents the optimal outcome after balancing the article's overall coherence with the feedback from another reviewer. Secondly, the advantages of imaging equipment and segmentation software have been incorporated into the discussion. Additionally, the heading “key findings” has been replaced with the more precise term “key findings.” Once again, thank you for your meticulous and diligent work, which has significantly enhanced our manuscript. Please see page 22, lines 392-403, pages 23-24, lines 413-450, and page 26, lines 478-501, and all the changes are highlighted in red color.

Attachment

Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

pone.0353257.s008.docx (36.2KB, docx)

Decision Letter 1

Hamidreza Montazeri Aliabadi, Bardia Rodd

27 May 2026

-->-->PONE-D-25-64207R1-->

Predicting T790M mutation status in non-small cell lung cancer based on radiomics: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PLOS One

Dear Dr. Chen,

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There are very minor items left to revised.

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Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed

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Reviewer #3: Yes

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Reviewer #2: Thank you for your response. All comments have been addressed, resulting in a significantly improved revised manuscript.

Reviewer #3: The manuscript addresses an important and clinically relevant topic and has been substantially improved after revision. The study is generally well conducted and provides valuable findings in the field of radiomics and NSCLC.

Minor Comments:

Careful English language editing is recommended to correct remaining grammatical and typographical errors.

The subgroup findings should be interpreted more cautiously as exploratory observations.

Methodological explanations and figure legends could be slightly clearer for better readability.

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Attachment

Submitted filename: Reviewer comments.docx

pone.0353257.s007.docx (11.6KB, docx)
PLoS One. 2026 Jul 8;21(7):e0353257. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0353257.r005

Author response to Decision Letter 2


27 May 2026

Response to Reviewer Comments

Response to the review of the paper entitled: “Predicting T790M mutation status in non-small cell lung cancer based on radiomics: a systematic review and meta-analysis”

May 27, 2026

Hongyang Chen

We acknowledge and sincerely appreciate the review. We have revised the manuscript accordingly. In this document, we provide our responses. All the changes are highlighted in red color in the revised manuscript.

Reviewer(s)’ Comments to Author:

1. Careful English language editing is recommended to correct remaining grammatical and typographical errors.

Response: Thank you for your valuable commentary. The manuscript has undergone careful English language editing. All grammatical and typographical errors have been corrected, and the clarity of the text has been improved throughout. The changes are highlighted in red color.

2.The subgroup findings should be interpreted more cautiously as exploratory observations.

Response: Thank you for your helpful feedback. We have already emphasized the exploratory nature of subgroup analyses in the “Limitations” section. Please see page 31, lines 595-603, and all the changes are highlighted in red color.

3.Methodological explanations and figure legends could be slightly clearer for better readability.

Response: Thanks for your considerate suggestion. We have carefully revised the methodology and legends to improve readability. Please see Page 8, lines 183-185�Page 17, lines 312-315, and Page 21, line 371.

Attachment

Submitted filename: Response_to_Reviewers_auresp_2.docx

pone.0353257.s009.docx (26.2KB, docx)

Decision Letter 2

Hamidreza Montazeri Aliabadi, Bardia Rodd, Bardia Rodd

22 Jun 2026

Predicting T790M mutation status in non-small cell lung cancer based on radiomics: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PONE-D-25-64207R2

Dear Dr. Chen,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

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Kind regards,

Bardia Rodd, Ph.D.

Academic Editor

PLOS One

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

Authors modified their manuscript according to minor comments. Congratulations

Reviewers' comments:

Acceptance letter

Hamidreza Montazeri Aliabadi, Bardia Rodd, Bardia Rodd

PONE-D-25-64207R2

PLOS One

Dear Dr. Chen,

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS One. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now being handed over to our production team.

At this stage, our production department will prepare your paper for publication. This includes ensuring the following:

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Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

Kind regards,

PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff

on behalf of

Dr. Bardia Rodd

Academic Editor

PLOS One

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Table. PRISMA checklist of this meta-analysis.

    (DOCX)

    pone.0353257.s001.docx (56KB, docx)
    S2 Table. Search strategy.

    (DOCX)

    pone.0353257.s002.docx (10.8KB, docx)
    S3 Table. The table of radiomics quality scores 2.0 for each study.

    (DOCX)

    pone.0353257.s003.docx (30.3KB, docx)
    S4 Table. The fundamental characteristics incorporated into the validation model.

    (DOCX)

    pone.0353257.s004.docx (78.2KB, docx)
    S1 File. The review protocol.

    (DOCX)

    pone.0353257.s005.docx (14.4KB, docx)
    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Rebuttal letter.docx

    pone.0353257.s006.docx (31.5KB, docx)
    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

    pone.0353257.s008.docx (36.2KB, docx)
    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Reviewer comments.docx

    pone.0353257.s007.docx (11.6KB, docx)
    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response_to_Reviewers_auresp_2.docx

    pone.0353257.s009.docx (26.2KB, docx)

    Data Availability Statement

    All relevant data are within the manuscript and its Supporting information files.


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