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. 2025 Aug 16;6(7):1227–1238. doi: 10.1016/j.jacasi.2025.07.004

Prognostic Value of Periprocedural Pulmonary Artery Pulsatility Index in Patients After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

Mikio Shigehara a, Hiroki Ikenaga a,∗, Atsushi Kuraishi a, Ayano Osawa a, Makoto Takeuchi a, Ayano Hamada a, Yohei Hyodo a, Atsuo Mogami a, Akane Tsuchiya a, Atsushi Takeda b, Takayuki Nakano a, Kosuke Takahari a, Yusuke Ueda a, Yuichi Morita a, Tasuku Higashihara a, Nanami Taketomi c, Yasushi Orihashi c, Noriaki Watanabe a, Yoshiharu Sada a, Hiroto Utsunomiya a, Taiichi Takasaki d, Shinya Takahashi d, Yukiko Nakano a
PMCID: PMC13350100  PMID: 40817905

Abstract

Background

The pulmonary artery pulsatility index (PAPi) is a hemodynamic index that reflects right ventricular function. However, the association between PAPi and prognosis in patients with severe aortic stenosis who underwent transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) remains unclear.

Objectives

This study aimed to determine how periprocedural changes in the PAPi are associated with patients’ prognosis after TAVR.

Methods

Of the 405 consecutive patients who underwent TAVR for severe aortic stenosis at Hiroshima University Hospital, those with available periprocedural right heart catheter data were included in this study. Patients were divided into 2 groups with a cutoff PAPi value of 3.11 post-TAVR determined by the receiver-operating characteristic curve for the primary endpoint. The primary endpoint was the composite of all-cause mortality and hospitalization caused by heart failure. The secondary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Additionally, factors in the nonimproved PAPi group were investigated.

Results

This study enrolled 238 patients. The median follow-up was 405.5 days (Q1-Q3: 353-861 days). A lower PAPi was associated with an increased risk of the primary endpoint (23.3% vs 9.9%; log-rank P < 0.001). After multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, post-TAVR PAPi >3.11 was still predictive factor for the primary endpoint (HR: 3.04; 95% CI: 1.30-7.13; P = 0.011). Furthermore, the secondary endpoint was significantly increased in lower PAPi group (log-rank P = 0.010). A nonimproved PAPi predictor was pre-TAVR aortic valve mean pressure gradient in multivariate analysis (OR: 1.02; 95% CI: 1.01-1.04; P = 0.003).

Conclusions

The post-TAVR PAPi was associated with all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalization.

Key Words: aortic stenosis, hemodynamic, right heart catheterization, right ventricular dysfunction, transcatheter aortic valve replacement

Central Illustration

graphic file with name ga1.jpg


Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is a treatment option for patients with aortic stenosis (AS) who are not amenable to aortic valve replacement surgery with a high surgical risk. In recent years, TAVR has been expanded to include patients with less than intermediate surgical risk.1,2 With the increase in TAVR for patients with low and intermediate risks,3 medium- to long-term prognoses after TAVR are increasingly being considered. Thus, classifying the risk of post-TAVR cardiac events is important.

In patients with severe AS, chronic left ventricular pressure overload may induce left atrial dilation, high pulmonary artery pressure, and ultimately right ventricular (RV) dysfunction.4 RV dysfunction is a risk factor for post-TAVR all-cause mortality or cardiovascular death.5,6 In addition, persistent post-TAVR RV dysfunction is associated with all-cause mortality and hospitalization for heart failure.7,8

The pulmonary artery pulsatility index (PAPi) is used to evaluate RV function and is easily calculated from right heart catheterization (RHC) parameters such as pulmonary artery pulse pressure and right atrial pressure (RAP). Lower PAPi is a predictor of severe RV infarction after acute myocardial infarction9 and is one of the risk factors for RV failure with left ventricular assist device implantation.10

However, the relationship between PAPi and prognosis in patients who underwent TAVR is not clearly known. Therefore, this study investigated the relationship between preoperative and postoperative PAPi and prognosis in patients who underwent TAVR.

Methods

Patient population and study design

This retrospective, observational single-center, study enrolled patients who underwent TAVR for severe AS between October 2015 and December 2022 at Hiroshima University Hospital. Severe AS was diagnosed according to the guidelines.11 Severe AS was defined as aortic valve area <1.0 cm2 (or aortic valve area <0.6 cm2/m2 indexed by the body surface area), peak aortic transit velocity at rest >4.0 m/m2, or mean pressure gradient >40 mm Hg.

The following cases were excluded from this study: 1) 3 patients who underwent other cardiac surgery (2 with coronary artery bypass graft and 1 with mitral valve plasty) simultaneously with TAVR; 2) 7 emergency cases; 3) 6 patients who underwent mitral valve transcatheter edge-to-edge repair after TAVR; 4) 1 patient who underwent percutaneous transvenous mitral commissurotomy; and 5) 150 patients without pre- or post-TAVR RHC data (Figure 1). Demographic, laboratory, and pre- and post-TAVR transthoracic echocardiographic data were collected as baseline characteristics.

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Patient Selection Flowchart

Patients were divided into 2 groups by post–transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) pulmonary artery pulsatility index.

This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Hiroshima University Hospital. Written informed consent from the participants was not required because of the retrospective observational design and the use of data collected previously as part of routine clinical care.

PAPi cutoff and patient grouping

The cutoff PAPi value was determined by the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve. ROC analysis predicting the composite endpoint showed that the area under curves for pre-TAVR PAPi of 0.54 and post-TAVR PAPi of 0.65. The ROC analysis of post-TAVR PAPi determined 3.11 (sensitivity 0.62, specificity 0.67) as the best cutoff PAPi. Using this cutoff value, patients were divided into 2 groups: 86 were included in the lower PAPi group and 152 in the higher PAPi group (Figure 1). With power of 80% and alpha error level of 0.05, 57 or more patients was required in the lower PAPi group and 64 or more patients was required in higher PAPi group.12 As a substudy analysis, patients were divided into 4 groups: those with pre- and post-TAVR PAPi >3.11 (group 1: unchanged higher PAPi, n = 75), those with pre-TAVR PAPi <3.11 but with post-TAVR PAPi >3.11 (group 2: increased to higher PAPi, n = 77), those with pre-TAVR PAPi >3.11 but with post-TAVR PAPi <3.11 post-TAVR (group 3: decreased to lower PAPi, n = 30), and those with both pre- and post-TAVR PAPi <3.11 (group 4: unchanged lower PAPi, n = 56) (Figure 1). Additionally, patients were divided into 2 groups: those whose post-TAVR PAPi improved and those whose post-TAVR PAPi did not improve or remained unchanged, and the factors contributing to nonimproved PAPi were investigated.

TAVR procedure

Treatment options for severe AS, including TAVR indications, were determined at a conference of our heart team consisting of cardiologists, cardiovascular surgeons, and anesthesiologists. Our heart team determined the type and size of the prosthetic valves and the access site for the TAVR. Patients received either balloon-expandable valve Sapien XT/Sapien 3 (Edwards Lifesciences) or self-expandable valve Evolut R/Evolut PRO+ (Medtronic). All patients underwent TAVR under general anesthesia. Pre- and post-TAVR peak and mean aortic valve pressure gradients were measured invasively.

RHC data collection

Invasive hemodynamic assessments by RHC were performed pre- and post-TAVR. Pre-TAVR RHC was performed at a median of 38 days (Q1-Q3: 17-67.5 days). All post-TAVR RHCs were routinely performed on the first postprocedural day using a catheter inserted during TAVR procedures. Usually, an 8-F Swan-Ganz catheter (Edwards Lifesciences) was used. RAP, systolic pulmonary artery pressure (PAP), diastolic PAP, and cardiac output were measured. Cardiac output was calculated by the Fick method. PAPi was calculated as follows: PAPi = (systolic PAP [mm Hg]−diastolic PAP [mm Hg])/RAP (mm Hg).13

Study endpoint

The primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause mortality and rehospitalization for worsening heart failure. The secondary endpoint was an all-cause mortality. Patients visited our hospital 6 and 12 months after TAVR and every 12 months thereafter. Death and rehospitalization data for heart failure were collected.

Statistical analysis

Continuous variables are presented as mean ± SD or median (Q1-Q3). Categorical variables are presented as numbers (percentages). Comparisons between 2 groups of continuous variables were performed using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test and that of 3 or more groups using the Kruskal-Wallis test. Categorical variables were compared using the chi-square or Fisher exact test. The ROC curve was applied to evaluate the usefulness of the PAPi in predicting the primary endpoint, and the cutoff value was determined. Using this cutoff value, the patients were divided into 2 groups. The Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to evaluate the association between the PAPi and the primary and secondary endpoint. The log-rank test was used for between-group comparisons. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to analyze the primary endpoint. The proportional hazards assumption was verified by the log-log survival curve for the primary endpoint. In addition to the PAPi, transfemoral approach and covariates that have been reported to be associated with post-TAVR prognosis were included in the multivariate analysis.14, 15, 16, 17, 18 In addition, we performed multivariate analysis using covariates that reached P value <0.05 in univariate analysis.

A paired-sample Student's t-test was used to compare pre- and post-TAVR PAPi. To examine the association between pre- and post-TAVR PAPi changes and the primary endpoint, patients were classified according to PAPi changes into 4 groups: unchanged higher PAPi (group 1), increased to higher PAPi (group 2), decreased to lower PAPi (group 3), and unchanged lower PAPi (group 4). The 4 groups were evaluated through Kaplan-Meier analysis and compared using a log-rank test. In addition, to examine the factors that change pre- and post-TAVR PAPi, patients were divided into 2 groups: one with improved post-TAVR PAPi and the other with no improvement or change. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to examine predictors of post-TAVR nonimproved or no changed PAPi. Analysis was adjusted using covariates previously reported to be associated with post-TAVR RV dysfunction.7,8 All statistical analyses were performed with JMP 17 (SAS Institute Inc), and a 2-sided P value <0.05 was considered significant.

Results

Baseline characteristics

From October 2015 to December 2022, 405 patients underwent TAVR for severe AS at Hiroshima University Hospital. After exclusion, a total of 238 patients were enrolled in this study. Baseline characteristics and pre-TAVR data are shown in Table 1. The median follow-up period was 406 days (Q1-Q3: 353-861 days).

Table 1.

Baseline Characteristics

All (N = 238) Post-PAPi >3.11 (n = 152) Post-PAPi <3.11 (n = 86) P Value
Age, y 84.0 ± 5.16 84.4 ± 4.88 83.3 ± 5.57 0.190
Male 69 (29.0) 47 (30.9) 22 (25.9) 0.458
Body mass index, kg/m2 22.7 ± 3.69 22.4 ± 3.41 23.3 ± 0.44 0.057
NYHA functional class ≥III 101 (42.4) 69 (45.4) 32 (37.2) 0.275
Clinical frailty scale score ≥4 172 (75.1) 112 (74.7) 60 (76.0) 0.873
STS score, % 6.3 (4.3-8.1) 6.2 (4.3-7.9) 6.7 (4.3-8.4) 0.476
Hypertension 210 (88.2) 136 (89.5) 74 (86.1) 0.530
Dyslipidemia 142 (59.7) 93 (61.2) 49 (57.0) 0.583
Diabetes mellitus 66 (27.7) 43 (28.3) 23 (26.7) 0.881
Chronic kidney disease 164 (68.9) 109 (71.7) 55 (64.0) 0.244
Atrial fibrillation 50 (21.0) 28 (18.4) 22 (25.6) 0.246
Coronary artery disease 65 (27.3) 42 (27.6) 23 (26.7) 1.000
Previous percutaneous coronary intervention 28 (11.8) 18 (11.8) 10 (11.6) 1.000
Previous coronary artery bypass grafting 8 (3.36) 6 (3.95) 2 (2.33) 0.714
Previous pacemaker implantation 12 (5.04) 7 (4.61) 5 (5.81) 0.761
History of stroke 41 (17.2) 27 (17.8) 14 (16.3) 0.859
Previous cardiac surgery 10 (4.20) 6 (3.95) 4 (4.65) 0.751
Echocardiography
 Left ventricular ejection fraction, % 61.9 ± 8.91 61.2 ± 9.10 63.1 ± 8.49 0.133
 AV peak velocity, m/s 4.64 ± 0.73 4.68 ± 0.691 4.57 ± 0.804 0.318
 AV peak pressure gradient, mm Hg 88.4 ± 28.1 89.7 ± 26.8 86.1 ± 30.3 0.324
 AV mean pressure gradient. Mm Hg 51.5 ± 18.3 52.1 ± 17.8 50.3 ± 19.3 0.431
 AV area, cm2 0.67 ± 0.20 0.66 ± 0.20 0.68 ± 0.19 0.318
 AV area index, cm2/m2 0.46 ± 0.14 0.46 ± 0.14 0.46 ± 0.13 0.474
 Aortic regurgitation moderate or greater 11 (4.6) 7 (4.6) 4 (4.7) 1.000
 Mitral regurgitation moderate or greater 20 (8.4) 11 (7.2) 9 (10.4) 0.467
 Tricuspid regurgitation moderate or greater 69 (29) 42 (27.8) 27 (31.8) 0.553
Laboratory data
 Hemoglobin, g/dL 12.0 ±1.65 12.2 ± 1.50 11.8 ± 1.86 0.050
 CRP, mg/dL 0.27 ± 0.61 0.23 ± 0.052 0.33 ± 0.068 0.001
 Creatinine, mg/dL 0.94 ± 0.34 0.95 ± 0.34 0.91 ± 0.35 0.300
 eGFR, mL/min/1.73 m2 52.9 ± 16.6 52.0 ± 16.1 54.4 ± 17.4 0.285
 NT-proBNP, pg/mL 1219 (412-2462) 1218 (481-2464) 1221 (285-2385) 0.587
Hemodynamic data
 AV peak pressure gradient, mm Hg 68.4 ± 32.3 68.8 ± 30.3 67.6 ± 36.0 0.543
 AV mean pressure gradient, mm Hg 58.5 ± 22.4 59.0 ± 21.3 57.6 ± 24.6 0.403
 Heart rate, beats/min 69.6 ± 11.5 68.6 ± 10.1 71.3 ± 13.6 0.267
 Cardiac index, L/min/m2 2.34 ± 9.13 2.30 ± 0.62 2.40 ± 0.67 0.190
 Systolic pulmonary artery pressure, mm Hg 29.7 ± 9.13 30.2 ± 9.62 28.7 ± 8.15 0.309
 Diastolic pulmonary artery pressure, mm Hg 13.3 ± 5.44 13.2 ± 5.38 13.4 ± 5.57 0.703
 Mean pulmonary artery pressure, mm Hg 19.9 ± 6.86 20.1 ± 6.98 19.6 ± 0.72 0.760
 Right atrial pressure, mm Hg 6.12 ± 3.28 5.87 ± 3.01 6.57 ± 3.69 0.216
 PAPi 3.91 ± 3.71 4.07 ± 3.81 3.63 ± 3.54 0.018

Values are mean ± SD, n (%), or median (Q1-Q3).

AV = aortic valve; NT-proBNP = N-terminal pro–B-type natriuretic peptide; PAPi = pulmonary artery pulsatility index; STS = Society of Thoracic Surgeons.

Prognosis prediction ability of PAPi

The patients were divided into 2 groups: the lower PAPi group (post-TAVR PAPi <3.11, n = 86) and the higher PAPi group (post-TAVR PAPi >3.11, n = 152). The baseline characteristics of the 2 groups are shown in Table 1, and procedural and postprocedural data are shown in Table 2. No differences in age, medical history, laboratory data, echocardiographic data, or type and size of the prosthetic valve were found between the 2 groups. The pre-TAVR PAPi was lower in the lower PAPi group (3.63 ± 3.54 vs 4.07 ± 3.81; P = 0.018), although no differences in other pre-TAVR RHC data were found. The composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalization was recorded in 35 (14.7%) patients. In the lower PAPi group, the primary endpoint occurred in 23.3% of the 86 patients, all-cause mortality in 11 of 86 (12.8%), and heart failure hospitalization in 12 of 86 (13.4%). In the higher PAPi group, the primary endpoint occurred in 9.9% of the 152 patients, all-cause mortality in 8 of 152 (5.3%), and heart failure hospitalization in 10 of 152 (6.6%). In the Kaplan-Meier analysis, lower post-TAVR PAPi was associated with an increased incidence of the primary endpoint (log-rank; P < 0.001) (Figure 2). Furthermore, the secondary endpoint of all-cause mortality was significantly increased in lower PAPi group (log-rank; P = 0.010) (Figure 3).

Table 2.

Procedural and Postprocedural Data

All (N = 238) Post-PAPi >3.11 (n = 152) Post-PAPi <3.11 (n = 86) P Value
Procedural variables
 Approach
 Transfemoral 217 (91.2) 144 (94.7) 73 (84.9) 0.002
 Transapex 15 (6.3) 5 (3.3) 10 (11.6) —
 Trans-subclavian 1 (0.4) 1 (0.7) 0 (0) —
 Direct aorta 5 (2.1) 2 (1.3) 3 (3.5) —
 Valve type
 Sapien 189 (79.4) 121 (79.6) 68 (79.1) 1.000
 Evolut 49 (20.6) 31 (20.4) 18 (20.9) 1.000
 Valve diameter, mm 23 (23-26) 23 (23-26) 23 (23-26) 0.805
Echocardiography
 Left ventricular ejection fraction, % 62.4 ± 7.90 62.0 ± 8.01 63.3 ± 7.67 0.116
 AV peak velocity, mm Hg 2.51 ± 0.50 2.49 ± 0.48 2.56 ± 0.54 0.280
 AV peak pressure gradient, mm Hg 26.5 ± 10.7 25.7 ± 0.88 27.9 ± 11.7 0.180
 AV mean pressure gradient, mm Hg 14.1 ± 5.85 13.9 ± 5.64 14.5 ± 6.22 0.526
 AV area, cm2 1.36 ± 0.36 1.34 ± 1.34 1.38 ± 0.04 0.616
 AV area index, cm2/m2 0.94 ± 0.25 0.93 ± 0.23 0.94 ± 0.29 0.926
 Aortic regurgitation moderate or greater 7 (3.0) 6 (4.1) 1 (1.2) 0.427
 Mitral regurgitation moderate or greater 16 (7.0) 10 (6.8) 6 (7.2) 1.000
 Tricuspid regurgitation moderate or greater 7 (3.0) 5 (3.4) 2 (2.5) 1.000
Hemodynamic data
 AV peak pressure gradient, mm Hg 6.36 ± 7.91 5.44 ± 6.66 8.19 ± 9.72 0.078
 AV mean pressure gradient, mm Hg 12.2 ± 6.87 11.8 ± 6.82 12.8 ± 6.98 0.301
 Heart rate, beats/min 67.3 ± 9.55 69.2 ± 9.32 69.5 ± 9.99 0.883
 Cardiac index, L/min/m2 2.84 ± 0.96 2.90 ± 1.05 2.72 ± 0.76 0.513
 Systolic pulmonary artery pressure, mm Hg 26.5 ± 7.24 26.0 ± 7.17 27.4 ± 7.31 0.110
 Diastolic pulmonary artery pressure, mm Hg 10.8 ± 4.24 9.51 ± 3.83 13.1 ± 3.98 <0.001
 Mean pulmonary artery pressure, mm Hg 16.2 ± 4.99 15.2 ± 4.75 18.0 ± 4.90 <0.001
 Right atrium pressure, mm Hg 4.39 ± 2.87 2.93 ± 1.70 6.98 ± 2.69 <0.001
 PAPi 5.43 ± 4.56 7.30 ± 4.81 2.20 ± 0.61 <0.001
Postprocedural complication
 Major bleeding 5 (2.1) 1 (0.7) 4 (4.7) 0.059
 Pacemaker implantation in hospital 11 (4.6) 5 (4.6) 6 (7.0) 0.211
 Acute kidney injury 6 (2.5) 2 (1.3) 4 (4.7) 0.193
 Stroke in hospital 3 (1.3) 1 (0.7) 2 (2.3) 0.297
 Prosthesis-patient mismatch (iEOA <0.85) 89 (42.4) 55 (40.2) 34 (46.6) 0.383
 Conversion to cardiac surgery 1 (0.4) 0 (0) 1 (1.2) 0.360

Values are mean ± SD, n (%), or median (Q1-Q3). Acute kidney injury was defined as creatinine level >0.3 mg/dL within 48 h after the procedure.

iEOA = indexed effective orifice; other abbreviations as in Table 1.

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Primary Outcome According to the Level of Post–Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement PAPi

Kaplan-Meier analysis of all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalization with lower and higher post–transcatheter aortic valve replacement pulmonary artery pulsatility index (PAPi). Patients with PAPi <3.11 (lower PAPi) experienced more events than patients with PAPi >3.11 (higher PAPi).

Figure 3.

Figure 3

Secondary Outcome According to the Level of Post–Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement PAPi

Kaplan-Meier analysis of all-cause mortality with lower and higher post–transcatheter aortic valve replacement pulmonary artery pulsatility index (PAPi). All-cause mortality was significantly increased in lower PAPi group.

Cox proportional hazard analyses were performed to predict the primary endpoint (Table 3). In the univariate Cox proportional hazards analysis, atrial fibrillation (HR: 2.50; 95% CI: 1.24-5.06; P = 0.011), chronic kidney disease (HR: 2.96; 95% CI: 1.15-7.64; P = 0.025), pre-TAVR tricuspid regurgitation (TR) moderate or greater (HR: 2.08; 95% CI: 1.07-9.06; P = 0.030), new pacemaker implantation (HR: 2.64; 95% CI: 1.01-6.87; P = 0.005), acute kidney injury (HR: 14.8; 95% CI: 5.00-43.9; P < 0.001), and post-TAVR PAPi <3.11 (HR: 3.36; 95% CI: 1.66-6.81; P < 0.001) were associated with increased primary endpoint. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed with transfemoral approach, atrial fibrillation, post-TAVR aortic regurgitation moderate or greater, new pacemaker implantation, acute kidney injury, prosthesis–patient mismatch (ie, indexed effective orifice area <0.85 cm2/m2), and post-TAVR PAPi <3.11 as covariates that affected the post-TAVR prognosis.14, 15, 16, 17, 18 In the multivariate analysis, post-TAVR PAPi <3.11 was a predictive factor for the primary endpoint (HR: 3.04; 95% CI: 1.30-7.13; P = 0.011). Furthermore, in the multivariate analysis using covariates that were significant in the univariate analysis, post-TAVR PAPi <3.11 was still significantly predictive of the primary endpoint (HR: 2.80; 95% CI: 1.33-5.88; P = 0.007) (Supplemental Table 1).

Table 3.

Univariate and Multivariate Cox Regression Analyses of the Primary Endpoint

Univariate
Multivariate
HR 95% CI P Value HR 95% CI P Value
Post-TAVR PAPi <3.11 3.36 1.66-6.81 <0.001 3.04 1.30-7.13 0.011
Pre-TAVR PAPi <3.11 0.67 0.33-1.34 0.253
Age 0.96 0.33-1.34 0.195
Atrial fibrillation 2.50 1.24-5.06 0.011 3.45 1.52-7.82 0.003
Chronic kidney disease 2.96 1.15-7.64 0.025
Transfemoral approach 0.69 0.27-1.80 0.452 0.83 0.25-2.70 0.757
Pre-TAVR AR moderate or greater 2.99 0.90-9.90 0.074
Pre-TAVR MR moderate or greater 1.59 0.56-4.52 0.387
Pre-TAVR TR moderate or greater 2.08 1.07-9.06 0.032
Pre-TAVR AV peak pressure gradient 0.99 0.97-1.00 0.030
Pre-TAVR AV mean pressure gradient 0.98 1.00-1.02 0.080
Post-TAVR AR moderate or greater 1.23 0.30-5.46 0.736 2.19 0.48-10.1 0.313
Post-TAVR MR moderate or greater 3.12 1.08-9.06 0.036
Post-TAVR TR moderate or greater 2.63 0.62-11.14 0.188
Post-TAVR AV peak pressure gradient 1.01 0.97-1.05 0.432
Post-TAVR AV mean pressure gradient 0.99 0.94-1.03 0.542
Pacemaker implantation in hospital 2.64 1.01-6.87 0.005 5.32 1.63-17.4 0.006
Acute kidney injury 14.80 5.00-43.9 <0.001 12.2 2.45-60.8 0.002
Prosthesis-patient mismatch (iEOA <0.85) 1.92 0.91-4.05 0.085 1.99 0.91-4.36 0.084

Acute kidney injury was defined as creatinine level >0.3 mg/dL within 48 h post-TAVR.

AR = aortic regurgitation; TAVR = transcatheter aortic valve replacement; TR = tricuspid regurgitation; other abbreviations as in Tables 1 and 2.

Factors associated with nonimproved or unchanged pre- and post-TAVR PAPi

Comparing pre- and post-TAVR PAPi, the PAPi increased after TAVR (from 3.92 to 5.43; P < 0.001). To investigate whether pre- and post-TAVR PAPi changes could predict the endpoints, patients were divided into 4 groups based on perioperative PAPi changes (Supplemental Table 2). Compared with group 4, group 2 was associated with a reduction in the occurrence of the primary endpoint (group 2 vs group 4; HR: 3.76; 95% CI: 1.44-9.83; log-rank; P = 0.004) (Supplemental Figure 1). There were no statistically significant differences between group 1 patients and group 3 patients. (group 1 vs group 3; HR: 0.34; 95% CI: 0.11-1.08; log-rank P = 0.056).

The 160 patients had improved PAPi post-TAVR, whereas 78 patients did not. To investigate the factors that nonimproved or no changed pre- and post-TAVR PAPi, patients were divided into 2 groups: those whose post-TAVR PAPi improve and those whose did not improve or did not change (Table 4). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate factors predicting nonimproved PAPi (Table 5). In the univariate analysis, the predictors of nonimproved PAPi were pre-TAVR aortic valve pressure gradient (OR: 1.01; 95% CI: 1.01-1.02; P = 0.003), pre-TAVR aortic valve mean pressure gradient (OR: 1.02; 95% CI: 1.01-1.03; P = 0.007), pre-TAVR mitral regurgitation (MR) moderate or greater (OR: 2.76; 95% CI: 1.09-6.96; P = 0.032), and post-TAVR pulmonary hypertension (OR: 2.08; 95% CI: 1.13-3.84; P = 0.019). Multivariate analysis was performed with variables identified in univariate analysis, atrial fibrillation, post-TAVR MR moderate or greater, post-TAVR TR moderate or greater, and chronic kidney disease.7,8 In the multivariate analysis, pre-TAVR aortic valve mean pressure gradient was a predictor of nonimproved PAPi (OR: 1.02; 95% CI: 1.01-1.04; P = 0.003).

Table 4.

Baseline Characteristics of Post-TAVR PAPi Improved and Nonimproved Groups

Improved PAPi (n = 160) No Improvement/No Change PAPi (n = 78) P Value
Age, y 84.0 ± 5.10 84.2 ± 5.32 0.834
Male 50 (31.4) 19 (24.36) 0.291
Body mass index, kg/m2 23.0 ± 3.59 22.2 ± 3.85 0.124
NYHA functional class ≥III 66 (41.3) 35 (44.9) 0.675
Clinical frailty scale score ≥4 116 (74.8) 56 (75.7) 1.000
STS score, % 6.28 ± 2.88 6.47 ± 3.46 0.891
Hypertension 142 (88.8) 68 (87.2) 0.831
Dyslipidemia 99 (61.9) 43 (55.1) 0.328
Diabetes mellitus 54 (33.8) 12 (15.4) 0.003
Chronic kidney disease 114 (71.3) 50 (64.1) 0.297
Atrial fibrillation 35 (21.9) 15 (19.2) 0.736
Coronary artery disease 47 (29.4) 18 (23.1) 0.354
Previous percutaneous coronary intervention 21 (13.1) 7 (9.0) 0.399
Previous coronary artery bypass grafting 7 (4.4) 1 (1.3) 0.200
Peripheral artery disease 19 (11.9) 6 (7.7) 0.375
Previous pacemaker implantation 9 (5.6) 3 (3.9) 0.756
History of stroke 26 (16.3) 15 (19.2) 0.586
Previous cardiac surgery 8 (5.0) 2 (2.6) 0.505
Echocardiography
 Left ventricular ejection fraction, % 61.7 ± 0.71 62.2 ± 1.01 0.804
 AV peak velocity, m/s 4.61 ± 0.70 4.73 ± 0.81 0.221
 AV peak pressure gradient, mm Hg 86.8 ± 26.6 91.7 ± 30.9 0.248
 AV mean pressure gradient, mm Hg 50.2 ± 17.5 54.0 ± 19.8 0.134
 Aortic valve area, cm2 0.68 ± 0.20 0.64 ± 0.20 0.210
 Aortic valve area index, cm2/m2 0.46 ± 0.14 0.45 ± 0.15 0.407
 Aortic regurgitation moderate or greater 8 (5.0) 3 (3.9) 1.000
 Mitral regurgitation moderate or greater 9 (5.6) 11 (14.1) 0.044
 Tricuspid regurgitation moderate or greater 42 (26.2) 27 (35.1) 0.174
Laboratory data
 Hemoglobin, g/dL 12.2 ± 1.61 11.7 ± 1.70 0.203
 CRP, mg/dL 0.25 ± 0.62 0.31 ± 0.61 0.489
 Creatinine, mg/dL 0.95 ± 0.34 0.92 ± 0.35 0.282
 eGFR, mL/min/1.73 m2 52.6 ± 17.1 53.4 ± 15.6 0.517
 NT-proBNP, pg/mL 996 (389-2,409) 1,554 (547-2,724) 0.139
Hemodynamic data
 AV peak pressure gradient, mm Hg 63.9 ± 29.7 78.2 (35.6) 0.003
 AV mean pressure gradient, mm Hg 55.7 ± 20.7 64.7 ± 24.8 0.010
 Systolic arterial pressure, mm Hg 134.8 ± 24.3 130.0 ± 24.7 0.093
 Diastolic arterial pressure, mm Hg 63.2 ± 12.5 67.4 ± 14.0 0.048
 Mean arterial pressure, mm Hg 87.1 ± 13.9 88.4 ± 15.6 0.722
 Heart rate, beats/min 69.8 ± 11.2 69.0 ± 12.2 0.546
 Cardiac index, L/min/m2 2.33 ± 0.64 2.35 ± 0.64 0.789
 Systolic pulmonary artery pressure, mm Hg 30.2 ± 9.56 28.6 ± 8.13 0.309
 Diastolic pulmonary artery pressure, mm Hg 14.2 ± 5.38 11.4 ± 5.09 <0.001
 Mean pulmonary artery pressure, mm Hg 20.7 ± 6.94 18.2 ± 6.41 0.006
 Right atrium pressure, mm Hg 7.09 ± 3.28 4.14 ± 2.25 <0.001
 PAPi 2.83 ± 1.86 6.13 ± 5.29 <0.001

Values are mean ± SD, n (%), or median (Q1-Q3).

Abbreviations as in Table 1.

Table 5.

Univariate and Multivariate Logistic Regression Analyses of Nonimproved PAPi

Univariate
Multivariate
OR 95% CI P Value OR 95% CI P Value
Age 1.009 0.057-1.623 0.754
Atrial fibrillation 0.850 0.432-1.672 0.639 0.402 0.159-1.024 0.053
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease 0.928 0.311-2.769 0.893
Chronic kidney disease 0.720 0.405-1.281 0.264 0.691 0.361-1.322 0.265
Coronary artery disease 0.721 0.385-1.350 0.307
Pre-TAVR AR moderate or greater 0.760 0.196-2.948 0.692
Pre-TAVR MR moderate or greater 2.755 1.090-6.959 0.032 2.925 0.703-12.167 0.140
Pre-TAVR TR moderate or greater 0.828 0.157-4.370 0.824
Pre-TAVR AV peak pressure gradient 1.014 1.005-1.023 0.003
Pre-TAVR AV mean pressure gradient 1.018 1.005-1.031 0.007 1.022 1.008-1.036 0.003
Post-TAVR AR moderate or greater 0.990
Post-TAVR MR moderate or greater 2.194 0.790-6.095 0.132 0.668 0.134-3.34 0.624
Post-TAVR TR moderate or greater 0.828 0.157-4.370 0.824 1.668 0.224-12.408 0.618
Post-TAVR AV peak pressure gradient, mm Hg 0.999 0.963-1.036 1.001
Post-TAVR AV mean pressure gradient, mm Hg 1.023 0.982-1.067 0.977
Pacemaker implantation in hospital 0.442 0.093-2.094 0.303
Acute kidney injury 2.093 0.412-10.618 0.373
Prosthesis-patient mismatch (iEOA <0.85) 1.003 0.556-1.808 0.993
Pre-TAVR pulmonary hypertension 0.696 0.402-1.203 0.194
Post-TAVR pulmonary hypertension 2.081 1.128-3.839 0.019 1.840 0.828-4.087 0.134

Acute kidney injury is defined as creatinine level >0.3 mg/dL within 48 h post-TAVR.

Abbreviations as in Table 1, Table 2, Table 3.

Discussion

This study investigated whether pre- and post-TAVR PAPi predicts all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalization. This study mainly revealed the following:

  • 1.

    A lower PAPi defined as post-TAVR PAPi <3.11 was associated with a higher incidence of all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalization (Central Illustration). After multivariate analysis, a lower PAPi was still predictive of the primary endpoint.

  • 2.

    The pre- and post-TAVR PAPi change was associated with all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalization. The rate of event was higher in the group with pre-TAVR PAPi <3.11 but whose PAPi did not improve post-TAVR than in the group with improved post-TAVR PAPi.

  • 3.

    In the univariate analysis, pre-TAVR MR moderate or greater, pre-TAVR aortic valve mean pressure gradient and post-TAVR pulmonary hypertension were predictors of nonimproved PAPi. In the multivariate analysis, pre-TAVR aortic valve mean pressure gradient was a predictor of nonimproved PAPi. To the best of our knowledge, no studies have followed changes pre- and post-TAVR and evaluated the association between RV function using PAPi and prognosis.

Central Illustration.

Central Illustration

Prognostic Value of Post–Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement Pulmonary Artery Pulsatility Index

A lower pulmonary artery pulsatility index (PAPi) was associated with an increased risk of the primary endpoints, including all-cause mortality and hospitalization caused by heart failure and secondary endpoint of all-cause mortality. TAVR = transcatheter aortic valve replacement.

RV function as a prognosis predictor in patients with AS after TAVR

After they underwent TAVR, certain patients have symptoms that do not improve or have post-TAVR cardiac events.19,20 The number of patients undergoing TAVR is expected to increase3; thus, classifying the risk of post-TAVR cardiac events is important. Genereux et al12 reported a staging classification of cardiac damage assessed by echocardiography in patients with AS. Cardiac damage is classified as no cardiac damage (stage 0), left ventricular damage (stage 1), left atrial or mitral damage (stage 2), pulmonary vasculature or tricuspid valve damage (stage 3), or RV damage (stage 4). They reported that at 1-year post-TAVR or surgical aortic valve replacement, the rates of all-cause death and cardiac death significantly increased with each stage of worsening cardiac damage.12 Furthermore, Vollema et al4 reported that in patients treated with surgical or TAVR, stage 4 damage was significantly associated with both postoperative all-cause mortality and the combined outcome of all-cause mortality, stroke, and cardiac-related hospitalization. However, Koifman et al21 reported that preoperative RV dysfunction, defined by decreased tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion or change in RV fractional area, in patients with severe AS was not correlated with 1-year post-TAVR prognosis. In contrast, Galli et al22 reported that RV dysfunction, defined by decreased tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion, complicated by pre-TAVR left ventricular dysfunction was a predictor of post-TAVR mortality. Conflicting results have been reported on the association between RV dysfunction assessed by echocardiography and prognosis. The inconsistent results may be caused by the lack of the gold standard modality for accurate assessment of RV dysfunction. RV function is often assessed by echocardiography; however, accurate delineation of the right ventricle is difficult because of the complex anatomy of the RV.23 In this study, we focused on PAPi, an index that can be easily calculated from the results of RHC.

Association between PAPi and heart disease prognosis

PAPi is the ratio of the pulmonary artery pulse pressure divided by RAP and is often used in clinical practice to assess RV function in patients with cardiogenic shock.24 The physiological basis for PAPi as an index of RV function is that pulmonary artery pulse pressure is an indirect indicator of RV systolic function, and high RAP is a sign of RV failure.13 In patients with a more homogeneous pulmonary arterial and left heart status, the ratio of stroke volume to RAP becomes the dominant determinant of PAPi.13 Therefore, PAPi is a proxy for the Frank–Starling relationship in the RV.13 There are several reports of an association between PAPi and the prognosis of patients with heart disease. Korabathina et al9 reported that PAPi of ≤0.9 predicts in-hospital death or the necessity of a percutaneous RV support device in patients with acute myocardial infarction caused by proximal right coronary artery occlusion with RV infarction. Essandoh et al10 reported a systematic review of 32 studies that examined the association between PAPi and RV failure in patients who underwent left ventricular assist device implantation. They reported that patients who experienced RV failure had significantly lower preoperative PAPi than those who did not, with a mean preoperative PAPi of 2.17 in those with RV failure and 2.87 in those without RV failure. Kochav et al25 reported on the prognostic value of PAPi in patients with advanced acute heart failure using the Evaluation Study of Congestive Heart Failure and Pulmonary Artery Catheterization Effectiveness trial cohort. They reported that PAPi <3.65 was a predictor of mortality and readmission rates for 6 months.

All these studies have reported the prognostic utility of PAPi; however, the reported cutoff PAPi values were different. This may be because PAPi is composed of multiple factors. Pulmonary artery pulse pressure, a component of PAPi, is determined by pulmonary artery compliance and stroke volume, and pulmonary artery compliance is influenced by pulmonary artery wedge pressure.26 PAPi is determined by RAP, pulmonary artery wedge pressure, pulmonary artery compliance, and stroke volume. Given its multiple components, establishing a universal cutoff value is difficult. The cutoff PAPi value should be considered for each patient population.

For patient populations with severe AS, the association between pre-TAVR PAPi and prognosis has been reported. According to Oshima et al,27 patients with pre-TAVR PAPi <2.1 had a higher rate of heart failure hospitalization 2 years postoperatively. Huang et al28 reported that a pre-TAVR PAPi <1.8 in emergency TAVR is a predictor of increased in-hospital mortality. Previous studies have examined the association between pre-TAVR PAPi and prognosis but have not analyzed changes in post-TAVR PAPi. In this study, the ROC analysis of post-TAVR PAPi revealed 3.11 as the best PAPi cutoff. The PAPi value in this study was higher than those in previous reports. In this study, a lower PAPi after TAVR was associated with worse clinical outcomes.

RV function assessed by echocardiography is altered after TAVR, and changes in RV function are useful in predicting post-TAVR prognosis. Asami et al7 reported that 57.4% of patients with RV dysfunction at baseline recovered it after TAVR. Poch et al8 reported that 46% of patients with RV dysfunction at baseline had improved post-TAVR RV function, and the group with improved RV function had a better prognosis than the group without. All these studies have used echocardiography to assess RV function and reported that improved RV function post-TAVR was associated with a favorable prognosis. In this study, among the groups with pre-TAVR PAPi <3.11, no improvement in post-TAVR RV function assessed by PAPi was associated with poor prognosis, similar to previous studies assessed by echocardiographic.

In addition, pre-TAVR aortic valve pressure gradient, pre-TAVR MR moderate or greater, and post-TAVR pulmonary hypertension were predictors of nonimproved PAPi in univariate analysis. Miyamoto et al29 reported that post-TAVR residual pulmonary hypertension was a prognosis predictor of clinical outcome. They also reported that atrial fibrillation and pre-TAVR TR moderate or greater were predictors of residual pulmonary hypertension, and patients with residual pulmonary hypertension were at a more advanced stage of cardiac damage at the time of TAVR. This report indicates that improving RV function in patients with advanced cardiac damage is more challenging than those without advanced cardiac damage. In this study, after multivariate analysis, pre-TAVR aortic valve mean pressure gradient was found to be a predictor of nonimproved PAPi. A greater pressure gradient represents AS severity, which may contribute to the progression of cardiac damage, and pre-TAVR cardiac damage may contribute to lower post-TAVR PAPi. In addition, the presence of prosthesis–patient mismatch is a predictor of new-onset pulmonary hypertension after TAVR.29 Sinning et al30 reported that patients diagnosed with new-onset severe pulmonary hypertension after TAVR had moderate to severe paravalvular leak.30 Although no significant differences in prosthesis–patient mismatch and post-TAVR AR, including paravalvular leak, were observed between groups according to PAPi changes, prosthesis–patient mismatch and paravalvular leak may cause pulmonary hypertension, which may subsequently cause RV dysfunction or non-improvement.

In this study, post-TAVR PAPi <3.11 was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalization, and the group with an increased post-TAVR PAPi had a lower incidence of all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalization than the group with post-TAVR PAPi that remained low. These findings suggest that improvement of RV function after TAVR may lead to a better prognosis. The PAPi used in the present study can be calculated with a simple formula; thus, it was a useful parameter for predicting post-TAVR prognosis. Given that post-TAVR PAPi was identified as a prognostic predictor, more studies are needed to investigate the causes of lower post-TAVR PAPi for patient risk classification.

Study limitations

First, this study was a single-center, retrospective, observational study of Japanese patients. Second, only patients who underwent pre- and post-TAVR RHC were included. Because the decision to perform RHC pre-TAVR was at the discretion of each attending physician and several RHC data post-TAVR could not be measured caused by accidental removal, delirium, or catheter malfunction, RHC data pre- or post-TAVR in 150 patients were not available. Therefore, selection bias could not be excluded. Third, this study excluded patients who underwent planned mitral valve transcatheter edge-to-edge repair after TAVR. Therefore, it was difficult to examine the effect of MR on PAPi. Fourth, there is no universal reference value for PAPi, and the reference value may vary depending on the disease group and endpoint. Therefore, even among patients undergoing TAVR, the best cutoff for PAPi may vary depending on the proportion of patients with a history of myocardial infarction or other cardiac diseases. Fifth, the sample size was relatively small, especially in the subgroup analysis, because this study was a retrospective study. Therefore, the performance of the ROC analysis to determine the best cutoff value of PAPi was low. If a larger sample size were obtained, the performance of the ROC analysis would improve; however, the best cutoff value of PAPi may change. Sixth, data on changes in medications after discharge were not available. Therefore, we could not rule out a prognostic effect of changes in basic heart failure medications such as beta-blockers and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors. However, at least the discharge prescription medications did not differ between all groups. Finally, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion and RV fractional area change, measures of RV function assessed by echocardiography, were not evaluated, and the prognostic value of PAPi compared with echocardiography could not be determined.

Conclusions

Decreased post-TAVR RV function as indicated by PAPi <3.11 was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and heart failure hospitalization. The PAPi may be useful for risk stratification of patients with AS after TAVR.

Funding Support and Author Disclosures

The authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose.

Acknowledgments

The authors did not use an artificial intelligence program.

Footnotes

The authors attest they are in compliance with human studies committees and animal welfare regulations of the authors’ institutions and Food and Drug Administration guidelines, including patient consent where appropriate. For more information, visit the Author Center.

Appendix

For supplemental tables and a figure, please see the online version of this paper.

Appendix

Supplementary Tables 1 and 2 and Supplementary Figure 1
mmc1.docx (107.1KB, docx)

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Associated Data

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Supplementary Materials

Supplementary Tables 1 and 2 and Supplementary Figure 1
mmc1.docx (107.1KB, docx)

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