Abstract
Background
Youth aged 15–24 years are significantly impacted by tuberculosis globally. Their expanding social networks heighten exposure risks, potentially amplifying tuberculosis transmission, but their role in within-household transmission remains poorly understood.
Methods
A household contact cohort study in Lima, Peru (2009–2012) enrolled individuals (>15 years) with incident tuberculosis (index patients) and their household contacts (HHCs), following them for 12 months. We evaluated whether the age of index patients and HHCs modified the risk of tuberculosis infection among HHCs. Study outcomes included: (1) prevalent tuberculosis infection among child contacts (<15 years) at enrollment and (2) incident tuberculosis infection among HHCs. Whole-genome sequencing of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) isolates from index-HHC pairs assessed whether index patient age modified the likelihood of within-household transmission, defined as ≤12 single-nucleotide polymorphism differences.
Results
Child contacts of youth index patients had a lower risk of prevalent tuberculosis infection than those with adult index patients (aRR = 0.77; 95% CI: .67–.87). Among index-secondary patient pairs, 62% (26/42) of pairs with a youth index patient were genetically linked, compared to 72% (48/67) of pairs with an adult index patient (P = .3). Child and youth contacts had lower incident tuberculosis infection risk at 12-month follow-up compared to adult contacts (child vs adult: HR = 0.33; 95% CI: .28–.38; youth vs adult: HR = 0.61; 95% CI: .52–.71).
Conclusions
Youth play a limited role in household tuberculosis transmission. Compared to adults, youth transmitted less TB as index patients and were less likely to be infected as HHCs. Research should explore youth social interactions and community-based transmission to inform targeted prevention strategies.
Keywords: youth transmission, household transmission, youth index patients, Peru
Compared to adults, youth were less likely to transmit tuberculosis as index patients and be infected as household contacts. These findings suggest that youth play a smaller role in household-based TB transmission than other age groups.
Tuberculosis (TB) significantly impacts youth, with an estimated 1.6 million individuals aged 15–24 falling ill in 2023, representing 15% of global TB incidence [1]. Among them, 535 000 are older adolescents (15–19 years) and 1 049 000 are young adults (20–24 years) [2]. In 2019, the World Health Organization reported that TB claimed the lives of 150 000 youths, including 60 000 older adolescents and 90 000 young adults [3, 4]. The prevalence of TB infection rises throughout adolescence and into young adulthood [5], with a corresponding increase in the progression from TB infection to active disease [6].
Youth face unique challenges in accessing healthcare, which can delay diagnosis and treatment. Once diagnosed, youth, and particularly young adults, exhibit worse medication adherence and are more likely to be lost to follow-up compared to other age groups [7, 8]. Their larger social networks [9] and propensity to transmit TB to peers under age 25 years [10] further complicate transmission dynamics. Despite this, current TB services frequently fail to address the unique needs of youth, and few studies have evaluated interventions aimed at improving outcomes for this group [11, 12]. Understanding how TB risk differs among youths compared to other age groups is crucial for developing effective elimination strategies. Traditional contact investigations focus mainly on identifying and screening household contacts (HHCs) of individuals diagnosed with TB. Because age has not been the main exposure of interest in prior analyses, the majority of the extensive literature on TB transmission revolves around adults and younger children. Less is available for youth, though previous studies acknowledge the presence of highly transmissible forms of TB in this group [13], and no association between HHCs and risk of TB infection among youth 15–22 years old has previously been observed [14]. Little is known about how the age of the index patient affects TB infection risk among HHCs, particularly for youths. This gap hinders the development of targeted interventions.
To address this, our study investigates how the age of individuals diagnosed with TB influences transmission risk to their household contacts. Because TB infection in children is more likely to represent recent transmission—given their limited lifetime exposure and higher test specificity in this age group—we focus primarily on TB infection risk among child household contacts (≤15 years). We first assess the prevalence of TB infection at enrollment as a proxy for baseline transmission. Next, we evaluate the incidence of infection over a 12-month follow-up period to capture ongoing transmission risk. Finally, we analyze the genetic linkage of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) strains between index patients and their household contacts to corroborate presumed transmission events. By integrating these approaches, our study aims to clarify how index patient age, particularly among youth (15–24 years), influences TB transmission within households. These findings can help inform targeted, age-specific screening and
METHODS
Setting and Study Population
The cohort study was conducted in Lima, Peru, between September 2009 and August 2012. The detailed study design and methods have been previously reported [15]. In brief, adults (age ≥15 years) suspected of incident pulmonary TB were identified from 106 health centers serving a population of approximately three million. Patients suspected of having TB underwent smear microscopy and culture; those positive on either test were classified as index patients. Within one month of diagnosing the index patient, a study nurse visited their household to invite exposed HHCs to participate in a 12-month follow-up study to monitor TB outcomes, including incident TB infection and disease. HHCs without a previous positive tuberculin skin test (TST) or TB diagnosis underwent a baseline TST; those with induration ≥10 mm were considered TB-infected at enrollment. Repeat TSTs were conducted at 6 and 12 months for initially TST-negative HHCs. HHCs who were not TB-infected at enrollment but later tested positive with the TST or developed TB during follow-up were classified as having incident TB infection. HHCs diagnosed with TB within 14 days of enrollment were classified as co-prevalent TB patients, while those diagnosed after 14 days were classified as secondary patients. Social-demographic data collected at baseline included age, gender, tobacco and alcohol use, socioeconomic status (SES), and incarceration history. Given that it was common for smokers in this setting to smoke only one cigaret per day, we categorized participants into three groups: nonsmokers (no cigarette use), light smokers (1 cigarette per day), and moderate to heavy smokers (>1 cigarette per day). Similarly, participants were classified as nondrinkers (no alcohol consumption), light drinkers (<40 g or <3 alcoholic drinks per day), and heavy drinkers (≥40 g, ≥3 alcoholic drinks per day). We developed a continuous variable to assess household SES by using data on housing quality, water supply, and sanitation in a principal component analysis. The resulting SES scores were then divided into tertiles, corresponding to “low,” “middle,” and “high” SES categories [16]. Among HHCs <20 years, nutrition status was classified as underweight if the body mass index (BMI) z-score < −2 or overweight if z-score >2 according to the World Health Organization age and gender-specific BMI z-score tables [17]. Among HHC ≥20 years, nutritional status was: underweight (BMI <18.5), normal (BMI 18.5 to <25), and overweight (BMI ≥25) [18].
Age Categorization of Index Patients and HHCs
Index patients were categorized into two age groups: Youth (15–24 years) and Adults (25–60 years). Household contacts (HHCs) were categorized into three groups: Children (0–14 years), Youth (15–24 years), and Adults (25–60 years). Participants older than 60 years were excluded due to potential generationally related mixing patterns within households [19].
TB Outcomes Among HHCs
We investigated whether TB outcomes among HHCs varied by the age of the index patient or the HHC. Outcomes comprised (1) the prevalence of TB infection at enrollment, (2) the incidence of TB infection during 12 months of follow-up, and (3) the likelihood of within-household transmission among index-HHC patient pairs using Whole-Genome Sequencing (WGS) data of Mtb.
Data Analysis
To account for prior infections or community-acquired TB among adult HHCs, risk analyses were restricted to child contacts. We employed a modified Poisson generalized estimating equation to assess TB infection risk in child HHCs at enrollment and a Cox frailty proportional hazards model to evaluate incident TB infection risk. Empirical standard error estimates were used for inference and to construct Wald 95% confidence intervals (CI).
We conducted univariate analyses for known TB infection risk factors among HHCs, followed by multivariate adjustments. These factors included index patient characteristics (eg, gender, smoking, alcohol use, sputum smear status, cavitary disease, duration of coughing symptoms prior to diagnosis) and HHC characteristics (eg, gender, BCG scars, socioeconomic status). We did not adjust for diabetes mellitus (DM) or HIV status, as the prevalence of DM is low in the youth population, and the prevalence of HIV is low in our study population.
To investigate the mechanisms underlying the differential TB risks among HHCs, we evaluated the associations between known risk factors and TB outcomes, restricting the analysis to HHCs exposed to youth index patients. This approach enabled us to assess whether well-established risk factors for TB transmission applied to youth index patients.
Because only approximately 10% of HHCs would be excluded due to missing data for each study setting, we conducted a complete case analysis approach.
Genetically Linked Mycobacterium Tuberculosis Isolates of Index-secondary Patient Pairs
Mtb isolates from culture-positive index patients and HHC secondary patients underwent WGS using Illumina HiSeq in paired-end mode, with a read length of 100–150 base pairs and a coverage of at least 30-fold. We mapped the raw WGS reads to the Mtb H37Rv reference genome using the BWA-MEM algorithm [20, 21]. Subsequently, we identified single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), insertions, and deletions using an alignment-based approach [21, 22]. Mtb isolates with <95% genome mapping coverage were excluded from the analysis. A nucleotide call of an isolate was considered missing if the valid depth of coverage at that site was less than 10% of the mean coverage of the isolate, if the mean read mapping quality at that site did not reach 10, or if the alternative allele occupied less than 85% of the valid depth of coverage at the site. Given the high error rate of alignment quality for repetitive genes when using short-read sequencing, we excluded variants in the proline-glutamate (PE)/proline-proline-glutamate (PPE) family and in regions with a high error rate in previous reports from the analyses [23 , 24]. Additionally, we excluded Mtb isolates with evidence of mixed infection from the analyses [25].
For each index-HHC secondary patient pair, we used the SNP difference to determine the genetic distance between them. An index-HHC secondary patient pair was considered genetically linked if the genetic distance between their Mtb strains was less than or equal to 12 base pairs. We used a chi-squared test to examine whether the proportion of genetically-linked index-HHC secondary patient pairs varied by index patients’ age groups. All analyses were conducted using R 4.2.2.
Research Ethics
The Institutional Review Board of the Harvard School of Public Health (Boston, MA, USA) and the Research Ethics Committee of the National Institute of Health of Peru (Lima, Peru) approved the parent household contact cohort study. Study participants or their guardians provided voluntary, written informed consent prior to study enrollment. All procedures were performed in accordance with relevant local guidelines and regulations.
RESULTS
Among the 4500 index patients, 4044 (90%) had microbiologically confirmed TB disease, defined as having a positive sputum smear test, culture test, or both. Of these, 3109 index patients had at least one household contact (HHC), resulting in a total of 12 767 HHCs. After excluding participants >60 years old, 10 745 HHCs of 2771 index patients were used for the data analyses of this study.
Prevalence of TB Infection Among Child Household Contacts
Among the 10 745 HHCs, 3886 (36%) were younger than 15 years old. Of these, baseline TB infection status was available for 3711 (96%), and 1012 (27%) were found to have TB infection at baseline enrollment (Table 1). At enrollment, 22% (350/1557) of the child contacts with a youth index patient were TB-infected, compared to 31% (662/2154) of those with an adult index patient (univariate prevalence risk ratios [PRR] = 0.75; 95% CI: .66–.85). After multivariate adjustment, the results remained largely unchanged (aPRR = 0.77; (95% CI: .67–.87) (Table 2).
Table 1.
Baseline Characteristics of Child Contacts Stratified by TB Infection Status at Enrollment
| Total | Non-TB-infected | TB-Infected | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | % | N | % | N | % | |
| Index age | ||||||
| Adult | 2154 | 58 | 1492 | 55 | 662 | 65 |
| Youth | 1557 | 42 | 1207 | 45 | 350 | 35 |
| Index sex | ||||||
| Female | 1727 | 47 | 1196 | 44 | 531 | 53 |
| Male | 1984 | 54 | 1503 | 56 | 481 | 48 |
| Index smoking status | ||||||
| Non-smoker | 3538 | 97 | 2584 | 97 | 954 | 96 |
| Light-smoker | 55 | 2 | 40 | 2 | 15 | 2 |
| Heavy-smoker | 56 | 2 | 33 | 1 | 23 | 2 |
| Index drinking status | ||||||
| Non-drinker | 2001 | 56 | 1457 | 56 | 544 | 56 |
| Light-drinker | 1184 | 33 | 880 | 34 | 304 | 32 |
| Heavy-drinker | 377 | 11 | 259 | 10 | 118 | 12 |
| Index smear status | ||||||
| Negative | 1042 | 28 | 822 | 31 | 220 | 22 |
| + | 1025 | 28 | 723 | 27 | 302 | 30 |
| ++ | 645 | 17 | 442 | 16 | 203 | 20 |
| +++ | 986 | 27 | 704 | 26 | 282 | 28 |
| Index coughing duration | ||||||
| 0–13 d | 717 | 20 | 581 | 22 | 136 | 14 |
| 14–28 d | 1233 | 34 | 907 | 34 | 326 | 33 |
| 29–55 d | 907 | 25 | 639 | 24 | 268 | 27 |
| ≥56 d | 802 | 22 | 534 | 20 | 268 | 27 |
| Index cavity | ||||||
| No | 2680 | 73 | 2025 | 76 | 655 | 66 |
| Yes | 981 | 27 | 640 | 24 | 341 | 34 |
| Child contact age | ||||||
| 0–5 | 1447 | 39 | 1159 | 43 | 288 | 29 |
| 6–10 | 1198 | 32 | 852 | 32 | 346 | 34 |
| 11–14 | 1066 | 29 | 688 | 26 | 378 | 37 |
| Child contact sex | ||||||
| Female | 1851 | 50 | 1336 | 50 | 515 | 51 |
| Male | 1860 | 50 | 1363 | 51 | 497 | 49 |
| Child contact number of BCG scars | ||||||
| 0 | 711 | 19% | 505 | 19 | 206 | 20 |
| 1 | 2922 | 79 | 2144 | 79 | 778 | 77 |
| >1 | 78 | 2 | 50 | 2 | 28 | 3 |
| Child contact nutritional status | ||||||
| Normal | 2937 | 80 | 2127 | 80 | 810 | 81 |
| Underweight | 103 | 3 | 83 | 3 | 20 | 2 |
| Overweight | 632 | 17 | 459 | 17 | 173 | 17 |
| Household SES | ||||||
| High | 1404 | 39 | 993 | 38 | 411 | 42 |
| Medium | 1601 | 44 | 1190 | 45 | 411 | 42 |
| Low | 607 | 17 | 456 | 17 | 151 | 16 |
Table 2.
Associations Between the Characteristics of Index Patients and Child Contacts and the Risk of TB Infection in Child Contacts at Enrollment
| Univariate (N = 3711) | Multivariate (N = 3277) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRR (95% CIs) | P-value | PRR (95% CIs) | P-value | |
| Index age | ||||
| Adult | Ref | Ref | ||
| Youth | 0.75 (.66–.85) | <.001 | 0.77 (.67–.87) | <.001 |
| Index sex | ||||
| Female | Ref | Ref | ||
| Male | 0.80 (.71–.89) | <.001 | 0.82 (.72–.93) | .003 |
| Index smoking status | ||||
| Non-smoker | Ref | Ref | ||
| Light-smoker | 0.99 (.55–1.76) | .965 | 0.95 (.48–1.88) | .885 |
| Heavy-smoker | 1.46 (1.01–2.11) | .044 | 1.59 (1.15–2.21) | .005 |
| Index drinking status | ||||
| Non-drinker | Ref | Ref | ||
| Light-drinker | 0.91 (.79–1.04) | .153 | 0.90 (.78–1.04) | .157 |
| Heavy-drinker | 1.16 (.97–1.39) | .110 | 1.11 (.91–1.36) | .300 |
| Index smear status | ||||
| Negative | Ref | Ref | ||
| + | 1.35 (1.15–1.60) | <.001 | 1.20 (1.01–1.42) | .039 |
| ++ | 1.43 (1.19–1.71) | <.001 | 1.34 (1.1–1.61) | .002 |
| +++ | 1.32 (1.12–1.56) | .001 | 1.17 (.98–1.39) | .078 |
| Index coughing duration | ||||
| 0–13 d | Ref | Ref | ||
| 14–28 d | 1.38 (1.14–1.67) | .001 | 1.22 (1.00–1.48) | .050 |
| 29–55 d | 1.57 (1.29–1.90) | <.001 | 1.39 (1.13–1.69) | .001 |
| ≥56 d | 1.71 (1.41–2.08) | <.001 | 1.38 (1.12–1.70) | .002 |
| Index cavity | ||||
| No | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 1.40 (1.24–1.57) | <.001 | 1.32 (1.16–1.49) | <.001 |
| Child contact age | ||||
| 0–5 | Ref | Ref | ||
| 6–10 | 1.46 (1.29–1.66) | <.001 | 1.49 (1.30–1.71) | <.001 |
| 11–14 | 1.72 (1.51–1.95) | <.001 | 1.78 (1.54–2.03) | <.001 |
| Child contact sex | ||||
| Female | Ref | Ref | ||
| Male | 0.97 (.88–1.07) | .585 | 0.96 (.87–1.07) | .492 |
| Child contact number of BCG scars | ||||
| 0 | Ref | Ref | ||
| 1 | 0.92 (.81–1.04) | .165 | 0.93 (.82–1.06) | .300 |
| >1 | 1.20 (.88–1.62) | .246 | 1.17 (.85–1.61) | .334 |
| Child contact nutritional status | ||||
| Normal | Ref | Ref | ||
| Underweight | 0.72 (.49–1.05) | .091 | 0.85 (.58–1.25) | .418 |
| Overweight | 1.02 (.90–1.15) | .810 | 0.99 (.87–1.14) | .939 |
| Household SES | ||||
| High | Ref | Ref | ||
| Medium | 0.87 (.76–.99) | .030 | 0.89 (.78–1.02) | .096 |
| Low | 0.84 (.71–1.00) | .053 | 0.83 (.69–.98) | .026 |
Incidence of TB Infection Among Household Contacts
Among the 10 745 HHCs, 5850 (54%) were uninfected at the time of enrollment. Of these, 4553 (78%) either underwent at least one repeat TST or developed incident TB infection during the 12-months of follow-up (Table 3). The age group of index patients was not associated with incident TB infection among HHCs (youth index patient vs adult index patient: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.00; 95% CI: .88–1.13; aHR = 0.94; 95% CI: .82–1.08). The incidence of TB infection was lower among both child contacts and youth contacts compared to adult contacts (child contacts vs adult contacts: HR = 0.29; 95% CI: .25–.33; youth contacts vs adult contacts: HR = 0.56; (95% CI: .49–.64). These associations remained after adjustment for potential confounders (child contacts vs adult contacts: aHR = 0.34; 95% CI: .29–.40; youth contacts vs adult contacts: aHR = 0.64; 95% CI:.54–.75) (Table 4).
Table 3.
Characteristics of Household Contacts Who Were not TB-infected at Enrollment Stratified by Incident TB Infection at 12-month Follow-up
| Total | Without Incident TB Infection | With Incident TB Infection | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | % | N | % | N | % | |
| Index age | ||||||
| Adult | 2327 | 51 | 1549 | 51 | 778 | 51 |
| Youth | 2226 | 49 | 1482 | 49 | 744 | 49 |
| Index sex | ||||||
| Female | 1907 | 42 | 1268 | 42 | 639 | 42 |
| Male | 2646 | 58 | 1763 | 58 | 883 | 58 |
| Index smoking status | ||||||
| Non-smoker | 4353 | 97 | 2889 | 97 | 1464 | 98 |
| Light-smoker | 53 | 1 | 37 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Heavy-smoker | 63 | 1 | 44 | 2% | 19 | 1 |
| Index drinking status | ||||||
| Non-drinker | 2476 | 56 | 1675 | 57 | 801 | 54 |
| Light-drinker | 1515 | 34 | 987 | 34 | 528 | 36 |
| Heavy-drinker | 414 | 9% | 262 | 9% | 152 | 10% |
| Index smear status | ||||||
| Negative | 1270 | 28% | 893 | 30% | 377 | 25% |
| + | 1282 | 28% | 830 | 28% | 452 | 30% |
| ++ | 783 | 17 | 508 | 17% | 275 | 18 |
| +++ | 1202 | 27 | 790 | 26% | 412 | 27 |
| Index coughing duration | ||||||
| 0–13 d | 946 | 21 | 649 | 22 | 297 | 20 |
| 14–28 d | 1490 | 33 | 1012 | 34 | 478 | 32 |
| 29–55 d | 1134 | 25 | 720 | 24 | 414 | 28 |
| ≥56 d | 912 | 20 | 604 | 20 | 308 | 21 |
| Index Cavity | ||||||
| No | 3344 | 74 | 2299 | 77 | 1045 | 69 |
| Yes | 1169 | 26 | 703 | 23 | 466 | 31 |
| Contact age | ||||||
| Adult (≥25) | 1423 | 31 | 680 | 22 | 743 | 49 |
| Youth (15–24) | 974 | 21 | 646 | 21 | 328 | 22 |
| Children (<15) | 2156 | 47 | 1705 | 56 | 451 | 30 |
| Contact sex (n = 4773) | ||||||
| Female | 2529 | 56% | 1671 | 55% | 858 | 56% |
| Male | 2024 | 45% | 1360 | 45% | 664 | 44% |
| Contact number of BCG scars | ||||||
| 0 | 648 | 14% | 515 | 17% | 133 | 9% |
| 1 | 3158 | 69% | 2161 | 71% | 997 | 66% |
| >1 | 747 | 16% | 355 | 12% | 392 | 26% |
| Contact nutritional status | ||||||
| Normal | 3049 | 65 | 2155 | 69 | 894 | 56 |
| Underweight | 86 | 2 | 67 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| Overweight | 1587 | 34 | 891 | 29 | 696 | 43 |
| Household SES | ||||||
| High | 1619 | 36 | 1080 | 36 | 539 | 36 |
| Medium | 1986 | 45 | 1368 | 46 | 618 | 42 |
| Low | 859 | 19 | 526 | 18 | 333 | 22 |
Table 4.
Associations Between the Characteristics of Index Patients and HHCs and the Risk of Incident TB Infection Among HHCs During a 12-month Follow-up
| Univariate (N = 4553) | Multivariate (N = 4088) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CIs) | P-value | HR (95% CIs) | P-value | |
| Index age | ||||
| Adult | Ref | Ref | ||
| Youth | 1.00 (.88–1.13) | >.999 | 0.94 (.82–1.08) | .395 |
| Index sex | ||||
| Female | Ref | Ref | ||
| Male | 0.98 (.86–1.11) | .748 | 0.91 (.79–1.05) | .186 |
| Index smoking status | ||||
| Non-smoker | Ref | Ref | ||
| Light-smoker | 0.81 (.44–1.50) | .508 | 0.84 (.44–1.60) | .600 |
| Heavy-smoker | 0.80 (.46–1.40) | .44 | 0.80 (.44–1.48) | .482 |
| Index drinking status | ||||
| Non-drinker | Ref | Ref | ||
| Light-drinker | 1.07 (.94–1.23) | .301 | 1.12 (.96–1.30) | .146 |
| Heavy-drinker | 1.18 (.95–1.47) | .132 | 1.29 (1.02–1.63) | .036 |
| Index smear status | ||||
| Negative | Ref | Ref | ||
| + | 1.28 (1.08–1.52) | .004 | 1.24 (1.03–1.49) | .020 |
| ++ | 1.29 (1.07–1.56) | .009 | 1.40 (1.14–1.72) | .001 |
| +++ | 1.24 (1.04–1.47) | .015 | 1.23 (1.02–1.48) | .029 |
| Index Coughing duration | ||||
| 0–13 d | Ref | Ref | ||
| 14–28 d | 1.03 (.86–1.23) | .756 | 1.05 (.87–1.27) | .639 |
| 29–55 d | 1.25 (1.04–1.50) | .017 | 1.21 (.99–1.48) | .057 |
| ≥56 d | 1.10 (.91–1.34) | .334 | 1.03 (.83–1.27) | .777 |
| Index cavity | ||||
| No | Ref | Ref | ||
| Yes | 1.40 (1.22–1.60) | <.001 | 1.30 (1.13–1.51) | <.001 |
| Contact age | ||||
| Adult (≥25) | Ref | Ref | ||
| Youth (15–24) | 0.56 (.49–.64) | <.001 | 0.64 (.54–.75) | <.001 |
| Children (<15) | 0.29 (.25–.33) | <.001 | 0.34 (.29–.4) | <.001 |
| Contact sex | ||||
| Female | Ref | Ref | ||
| Male | 0.93 (.84–1.04) | .202 | 1.10 (.98–1.23) | .123 |
| Contact number of BCG scars | ||||
| 0 | Ref | Ref | ||
| 1 | 1.72 (1.42–2.08) | <.001 | 1.55 (1.27–1.9) | <.001 |
| >1 | 3.5 (2.84–4.31) | <.001 | 1.88 (1.48–2.38) | <.001 |
| Contact nutritional status | ||||
| Normal | Ref | Ref | ||
| Underweight | 0.69 (.43–2.08) | <.001 | 0.67 (.39–1.14) | .142 |
| Overweight | 1.76 (2.84–4.31) | <.001 | 1.08 (.95–1.24) | .246 |
| Household SES | ||||
| High | Ref | Ref | ||
| Medium | 0.94 (.82–1.09) | .412 | 0.93 (.80–1.09) | .357 |
| Low | 1.26 (1.07–1.49) | .006 | 1.14 (.96–1.37) | .136 |
In analyses restricted to HHCs exposed to youth index patients, most well-known risk factors for TB transmission remained strongly associated with both the risk of TB infection in child contacts and the risk of incident TB in HHCs, except for the duration of coughing prior to disease diagnosis (Supplementary Tables 1 and 2). Further, analyses did not identify associations among the youth age groups for either outcome when broken down into 15–19 and 20–24 years (Supplementary Tables 3 and 4).
Genetically-linked Mtb Isolates of Index-secondary Patient Pairs
Among the 12 676 HHCs exposed to a microbiologically confirmed TB index patient, 692 (5%) HHCs were diagnosed with TB at either enrollment or during the follow-up. Among these, 246 (36%) had a positive culture, and 225 (91%) of their isolates were sequenced. Among the 190 index-HHC patient pairs in which both index and HHC patients had a positive culture, 15 (8%) pairs had at least one isolate with a mixed infection and were excluded, leaving 175 (92%) pairs with high-quality WGS data for both index and HHC patients. Of these, 109 (62%) pairs were index-HHC secondary patient pairs. The proportion of genetically linked pairs was lower for pairs with a youth index patient (26/42, 62%) compared to those with an adult index patient (48/67, 72%), although this difference did not reach statistical significance (P = .3, Fisher's exact test) (Supplementary Table 5).
DISCUSSION
Our study found that, within the household setting, youth were less likely to transmit TB as index patients and less likely to be infected as HHCs compared to adults. This was supported by a lower risk of TB infection in child contacts of youth index patients and a smaller proportion of genetically-linked index-HHC pairs. Likewise, youth HHCs were less likely to acquire TB from their index patients than adult HHCs. Overall, these findings suggest that—in comparison to adults—youth play a smaller role in TB transmission within their households.
Several potential mechanisms may explain our finding that youth index patients transmitted TB to household contacts less frequently than adult index patients. First, youth index patients might simply not transmit TB; however, this is not the case in our study, nor in others. Second, youth index patients may differ from adults in terms of factors that influence TB transmission—such as disease severity or symptom duration—but this is unlikely to explain our findings, as effect sizes remained nearly unchanged after adjusting for these known risk factors. Third, young adults tend to have highly assortative social contact patterns, primarily interacting with peers rather than household members of different ages. Also set in Western Europe, which may have limited extrapolation to this context, Mossong et al found that this pattern results in fewer interactions with older or younger household members and more frequent contact with similarly aged community members [26]. Similarly, a study in Peru by Grijalva et al, which surveyed 558 members from 114 households, reported that youth had the lowest proportion of within-household social interactions among all age groups [27]. Together, these findings suggest that young adults may have fewer household-associated contacts and spend more time in community settings. While our study did not collect data on within-household interaction patterns, we found that cough duration—a marker of the potential duration of contagiousness—did not appear to influence TB infection risk among child contacts of youth index patients. In contrast, other transmission-related factors such as smear positivity and cavitary disease primarily reflect disease severity and bacillary burden. The lack of association between cough duration and transmission in youth may suggest that even when symptoms persist, reduced time spent at home limits opportunities for transmission. In this context, total cough duration may overestimate actual exposure time within the household for younger individuals.
No previous studies have specifically examined the relative within-household TB transmission risk between youth contacts and contacts of other age groups. However, two studies have highlighted age-related differences in community-acquired TB infection risk among HHCs. In the first study, using a modeling approach, McIntosh et al analyzed HHC data from Brazil and Uganda and found that the probability of community-acquired TB transmission among HHCs increased with age. However, this study did not further categorize individuals older than 15 years, making it unclear which specific age group contributed most to this trend [28]. In the second study, Middelkoop et al investigated TB infection risk among 628 children and 472 adolescents in a high-burden South African community. They found that exposure to a TB patient in the home doubled the odds of TB infection in children, while the increase was only 1.4-fold for adolescents [14].
Currently, contact investigation is a key component of TB control efforts [29]. Its effectiveness relies on the assumption that Mtb transmission to household contacts primarily occurs within the household rather than from the wider community. Previous studies have reported that adolescents and young adults may have an increased TB exposure in schools and public transit [13]. While household-based contact investigation is known to be highly effective for preventing TB disease among people who have been exposed at home to TB, it is not an intervention that is designed to address the particular role of youths in TB transmission, which may be relatively more important outside their homes. This is an area requiring new research.
Our study has several limitations. First, in a high TB-burden setting such as Lima, HHCs may have been infected outside the household. It is unclear how this might have affected the results, as the true risk of community-acquired infection likely varies by age group due to differences in social mixing patterns. Second, our study's location in urban Lima, Peru, may limit its generalizability to other settings, particularly those with different social mixing patterns influenced by factors such as age structure or cultural differences. Third, we did not collect data on within-household social interaction patterns, which limits our ability to further explore the mechanisms underlying our findings. Further, it is always possible that unmeasured confounders or effect modifiers may have impacted the results.
CONCLUSIONS
In conclusion, our findings suggest that youths contribute less to within-household TB transmission compared to adults, underscoring the importance of considering age-specific social contact patterns in transmission dynamics. These results highlight the need to complement household-focused TB strategies with community-based interventions that reflect the broader social behaviors of youth. Expanding TB screening and surveillance beyond the household setting may improve case detection and prevention in this age group. In parallel, novel tools—such as TB vaccines targeting youth—offer promising opportunities to prevent infection and disease. Future research should further explore youth social networks and community-based transmission pathways to inform the development of effective, age-tailored TB control strategies.
Supplementary Material
Notes
Acknowledgments. M. B. B., M. B. M., and C.-C. H. conceptualized the study and designed the methodology. J. J. and J. T. G. were responsible for project administration; C. C. C., X. T., and R. M. Y. led the study implementation and data collection, and L. W. L. provided supervision. R. I. C. oversaw the clinical laboratory input. Z. Z. oversaw the data management and data quality assurance. C.-C. H. performed the analysis; M. B. B, M. B. M., and C.-C. H. wrote the first draft of the manuscript. C.-C. H. and Z. Z. accessed and verified all the data. All authors revised critically for interpretation and content. All authors had final responsibility for the decision to submit for publication.
Financial support. The work reported in this publication was supported by the National Institutes of Health and the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases grants U01AI057786, U19AI076217, U19AI109755 (Center for Excellence in Translational Research to M. B. M.), U19AI111224 (Tuberculosis Research Unit to M. B. M.), U19AI142793 (Beat-TB to M. B. M.), and K01AI151083 (to M. B. B.). The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
Data availability. Reasonable data requests can be made to Megan Murray (megan_murray@hms.harvard.edu).
All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed.
Contributor Information
Meredith B Brooks, Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Leonid Lecca, Socios En Salud, Lima, Peru.
Mercedes C Becerra, Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Roger I Calderon, Advanced Research and Health, Lima, Peru.
Carmen C Contreras, Socios En Salud, Lima, Peru.
Judith Jimenez, Socios En Salud, Lima, Peru.
Rosa M Yataco, Socios En Salud, Lima, Peru.
Zibiao Zhang, Division of Global Health Equity, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Megan B Murray, Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Division of Global Health Equity, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Chuan-Chin Huang, Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Division of Global Health Equity, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Supplementary Data
Supplementary materials are available at Clinical Infectious Diseases online. Consisting of data provided by the authors to benefit the reader, the posted materials are not copyedited and are the sole responsibility of the authors, so questions or comments should be addressed to the corresponding author.
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