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[Preprint]. 2026 Aug 6:2026.08.04.26359701. [Version 1] doi: 10.64898/2026.08.04.26359701

Service disruptions and stockouts: Ongoing impacts of U.S. funding freezes on HIV care across clinics in 38 low- and middle-income countries in late 2025

Ellen Brazier, Maabo Kludze, Fernanda Maruri, Annabelle Niyongabo, Philip Kreniske, Stephany N Duda, Denis Nash
PMCID: PMC13484787  PMID: 42620340

Abstract

Introduction

After U.S. foreign assistance was frozen in January 2025, empirical data on the status of the HIV response has been limited. To better understand the ongoing impacts of changes in U.S. foreign assistance, we launched an open survey to assess disruptions in HIV-related care among clinics and programs in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs).

Methods

Conducted from August to December 2025, the survey explored U.S. foreign assistance-related disruptions in HIV service delivery, medication availability, laboratory services and clinic operations; whether disruptions were fully resolved at the survey timepoint; and the introduction of clinic mitigation strategies. Data on other impacts of U.S. funding changes were explored through an open-ended question. A convergent mixed-methods design, involving parallel quantitative and qualitative analyses and merging of findings from each, was used to examine the impacts of U.S. funding freezes on HIV-related care.

Results

We received 158 responses from 38 LMICs, including 30 countries supported by the U.S. President’s Emergency Fund for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) at the beginning of 2025 (n=123 responses) and eight non-PEPFAR countries (n=35 responses). Respondents represented health centers (25%), hospitals (31%), dedicated HIV clinics and drop-in centers (39%), and multi-site programs (4%), with a majority (59%) in the non-governmental/private sector. Overall, 81% reported disruptions in at least one HIV-related service since January 2025 because of changes in U.S. foreign assistance, with most also reporting disruptions in medication availability, laboratory services, and clinic operations. The largest reported disruptions were in the areas of pre-exposure prophylaxis (67%) and HIV testing (63%), along with patient tracing (67%), adherence support (63%) and services to key populations (64%). Disruptions were more prevalent in PEPFAR-supported countries and were more likely to be “not fully resolved” by time of survey completion. Qualitative data highlighted the impact of U.S. foreign assistance disruptions on the erosion of client trust in the health system and strains on staff morale.

Conclusions

Substantial and sustained disruptions in HIV prevention and care reported by diverse clinics in LMICs reinforce concerns that recent funding shifts could reverse progress in ending the HIV epidemic, particularly for vulnerable and key populations.

Full Text Availability

The license terms selected by the author(s) for this preprint version do not permit archiving in PMC. The full text is available from the preprint server.


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