A substantial proportion of anastomotic leakage after anterior resection for rectal cancer is diagnosed late in the postoperative period1. It is often assumed that, in reality, these leaks occur earlier; in particular, the use of a defunctioning stoma may reduce symptoms to such an extent that leaks escape clinical detection2. This study investigated this assumption by assessing elevations in C-reactive protein (CRP) levels.
This is a post hoc exploratory analysis. Data were used from a multicentre national retrospective cohort study including patients who underwent anterior resection for rectal cancer at 11 centres in Sweden between 2014 and 2018 with 1-year follow-up concerning anastomotic leakage3. The study was approved by the Regional Board of the Ethical Committee in Uppsala, Sweden (DNR: 2020-02285, 2020-03795, 2020-05126).
Anastomotic leakage was defined and classified according to the International Study Group of Rectal Cancer4. Exposure in the present study was the diagnosis of an early (≤ 14 days) or late (> 14 days) leak, whereas outcome was the maximum CRP level within the first 14 days after surgery. Linear regression with adjustment for confounding was performed, considering age, sex, body mass index, American Society of Anesthesiologists grade, clinical tumour stage, neoadjuvant therapy, total or partial mesorectal excision, splenic flexure mobilization, ligation level of the inferior mesenteric artery, minimally invasive surgery, intraoperative bleeding, operation time, and defunctioning stoma (Table S1).
After exclusion of eight patients with missing CRP values, 1118 patients were analysed. Of these patients, 109 (9.8%) had a leakage diagnosed within 14 days, whereas 122 (10.9%) were diagnosed later. Early and late leaks were detected on median postoperative day 7 (interquartile range (i.q.r.) 5–10) and postoperative day 39 (i.q.r. 21–95), respectively. There were 3 grade A (2.8%), 66 grade B (60.6%), and 40 grade C (36.7%) leaks in the early group, compared with 31 (25.4%), 64 (52.5%), and 27 (22.1%) grade A, B, and C leaks, respectively, in the late group (Table S2).
As shown in Fig. 1, the median maximum CRP was 108.5 (i.q.r. 61–169) mg/L in patients without leakage, compared with 270 (i.q.r. 200–370) and 167.5 (i.q.r. 120–237) mg/L in patients with early and late leakage, respectively (Kruskal–Wallis P < 0.001). Compared with patients without leakage, the adjusted increase in CRP was 132 (95% confidence interval (c.i.) 113–152) mg/L for early leaks and 42 (95% c.i. 24–60) mg/L for late leaks. Sensitivity analysis using 30 days as the cut-off for early versus late leakage confirmed the findings (Fig. S1), and restriction to the 789 patients with a defunctioning stoma yielded similar results (Fig. S2).
Figure 1.

Maximum postoperative CRP level (mg/L) within 14 days after surgery according to the timing of anastomotic leakage after anterior resection for rectal cancer (n = 1118)
Horizontal lines indicate median CRP levels; boxes indicate the interquartile range, whiskers indicate the range, and symbols indicate outliers. CRP, C-reactive protein.
Maximum CRP within the first 2 weeks after surgery was markedly higher in patients with an anastomotic leakage occurring later than in patients without any leakage. These findings support the hypothesis that some late-diagnosed leaks may have an early postoperative biological signal and may therefore represent leaks that were present, but not clinically detected, earlier in the postoperative course. This may alleviate concerns of inducing immortality bias when evaluating effects of anastomotic leakage on long-term outcomes5; if leaks actually occur close to the time of surgery, even when diagnosed later, there is no need to assume that the starting point (‘time zero’) differs from the day of the operation, which is typically used in such analyses. A more clinically oriented implication may be that systematic imaging, endoscopy, or other investigations are warranted with an unexplained increase in CRP even in otherwise well patients, enabling earlier detection and treatment.
Limitations of this study include the retrospective design with different diagnostic modalities and algorithms in each study centre, as well as the non-standardized CRP collection. To assess the true leakage incidence, real-time monitoring would likely be necessary, although this may never be realized. Despite extensive adjustment for covariates reflecting demographics, tumour extent, preoperative treatment, and operative complexity, the available data may not have adequately captured these, resulting in residual confounding, acting as an alternative explanation to the findings.
Collaborators
Members of the RectoLeak Study Group are: A. Gerdin, O. Sjöström (Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden); M. Staffan (Falun Hospital, Falun, Sweden); S. Jangmalm, H. Royson (Växjö Hospital, Växjö, Sweden); K. Tsimogiannis (Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden); K. Anderin, J. Nygren (Ersta Hospital and Karolinska Institutet (KIDS), Stockholm, Sweden); J. Hurtig (Sunderby Hospital, Luleå, Sweden); Parisa Golshani (Danderyd Hospital, Danderyd, Sweden)
Supplementary Material
Contributor Information
Martin Rutegård, Department of Surgery, SSORG—Scandinavian Surgical Outcomes Research Group, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden; Department of Surgery, Sahlgrenska University Hospital/Östra, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Josefin Segelman, Department of Molecular Medicine and Surgery, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Surgery, Ersta Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Peter Matthiessen, Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.
Marie-Louise Lydrup, Department of Surgery, Skåne University Hospital, Malmö, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
Jennifer Park, Department of Surgery, SSORG—Scandinavian Surgical Outcomes Research Group, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden; Department of Surgery, Sahlgrenska University Hospital/Östra, Gothenburg, Sweden.
the RectoLeak Study Group:
A Gerdin, O Sjöström, M Staffan, S Jangmalm, H Royson, K Tsimogiannis, K Anderin, J Nygren, J Hurtig, and Parisa Golshani
Funding
This study was supported by the Swedish Cancer Society (25 4063 IA SCIA).
Author contributions
Martin Rutegård (Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing—original draft, Writing—review & editing), Josefin Segelman (Data curation, Investigation, Methodology, Resources, Validation, Writing—review & editing), Peter Matthiessen (Data curation, Investigation, Methodology, Resources, Validation, Writing—review & editing), Marie-Louise Lydrup (Data curation, Investigation, Methodology, Resources, Validation, Writing—review & editing), and Jennifer Park (Conceptualization, Data curation, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Validation, Writing—review & editing)
Disclosure
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
Supplementary material
Supplementary material is available at BJS Open online.
Data availability
Data will be made available upon reasonable request to the corresponding author.
References
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Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
Data Availability Statement
Data will be made available upon reasonable request to the corresponding author.
