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. 2026 Aug 15;5(12):101092. doi: 10.1016/j.gastha.2026.101092

Comparative Risk of Cancer Recurrence During Treatment With Biologics: A Meta-Analysis

Daniel Isufi 1,2, Christopher Willy Schwarz 1,2,3, Mikkel Bak Jensen 3,4, Jakob Seidelin 3,5, Lone Skov 1,2,3, Nikolai Loft 1,2,∗
PMCID: PMC13625878  PMID: 42820042

Patients with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs) and a history of cancer pose a therapeutic challenge, as the safety of biologic therapies in this context remains uncertain. Indeed, the labels of biologics for IMID state caution in patients with malignancy, and patients with a recent malignancy were excluded in the pivotal trials of these drugs. Recently, we found no increased risk of cancer recurrence comparing biologics with conventional systemics.1 However, studies comparing biologics with conventional systemics are at risk of healthy initiator bias, why studies comparing biologics are urgently needed. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to compare the risk of new or recurrent cancer in patients with IMIDs and a history of malignancy treated with biologics, applying the same methodology as a recent study.1 In brief, risk estimates were calculated with random-effects meta-analysis with I2 statistics to estimate between-study heterogeneity.

In total, 16,838 records were identified (PubMed = 2,280, Web of Science = 3,635, Embase = 9,922, and Cochrane Library = 1001) with inception through September 28, 2025. Overall, 4 studies2, 3, 4, 5 were included encompassing 676 patients (tumor necrosis factor alpha inhibitor [TNFi] = 402, vedolizumab = 218, and ustekinumab = 56) who developed 121 cancers (TNFi = 86, vedolizumab = 28, ustekinumab = 7). All studies were conducted in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) (Supplementary Table 1).

Meta-analyses could be conducted for new and/or recurrence of any cancer for TNFi vs interleukin (IL)-12/23i, TNFi vs anti-α4β7-integrin, and IL-12/23i vs anti-α4β7-integrin.

For recurrence of any cancer for TNFi vs anti-α4β7-integrin, the risk ratio (RR) was 1.47 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.77-2.78; P = .12) based on 3 studies2, 3, 4 comparing 324 patients treated with TNFi with 38 recurrent cancers to 167 patients treated with anti-α4β7-integrin with 14 recurrent cancers. The corresponding incidence rate ratio (IRR) was 1.56 (95% CI, 0.77-3.19; P = .11) comparing 2703 patient-years (PYs) of TNFi and 38 recurrent cancers to 1396 PYs of anti-α4β7-integrin and 14 recurrent cancers (Figures 1 and 2, and Supplementary Table 2).

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Forest plot of incidence rate ratio of TNFi compared to anti-α4β7-integrin.

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Forest plot of risk ratio of TNFi compared to anti-α4β7-integrin.

For any new cancer for TNFi vs anti-α4β7-integrin, the RR was 2.18 (95% CI, 1.47-3.24; P = .013) based on 3 studies2, 3, 4 comparing 324 TNFi-treated patients developing 42 new cancers to 167 anti-α4β7-integrin-treated patients developing 11 new cancers. The IRR was 2.30 (95% CI, 1.39-3.81; P = .019) based on 2703 PYs and 42 new cancers in the TNFi group, and 1396 PYs and 11 cancers in the anti-α4β7-integrin group2, 3, 4 (Figures 1 and 2, and Supplementary Table 2).

For new or recurrent cancers for TNFi vs anti-α4β7-integrin, the RR was 1.75 (95% CI, 1.45-2.12; P = .0026) based on 4 studies2, 3, 4, 5 comparing 402 patients with previous cancers treated with TNFi, of whom 86 developed new or recurrent cancers to 218 patients with previous cancer treated with anti-α4β7-integrin developing 28 new or recurrent cancers. The IRR was 1.93 (95% CI, 1.85-2.01; P = .0002) based on 3 studies2, 3, 4 comparing 2703 PYs of TNFi and 80 new or recurrent cancers to 1396 PYs of anti-α4β7-integrin and 25 new or recurrent cancers (Figures 1 and 2, and Table).

Table.

Effect Estimates for New or Recurrent Cancer for Biologics vs Biologics Across all Diseases

Outcome characteristics
Biologic group 1
Biologic group 2
Fixed effects
Random effects
Heterogeneity
Previous cancer Effect size Studies, n. Biologic 1 Sample size/person-years, n. Cancer events, n. Biologic 2 Sample size/person-years, n. Cancer events, n. Effect size [95% CI] P value Effect size [95% CI] P value I2 [95% CI], % Egger's test
Mixed RR 3 TNFi 218 25 IL-12/23i 56 7 1.00 [0.46; 2.16] .9988 0.92 [0.16; 5.26] .8528 2.3% [0.0%; 89.8%] -
Mixed RR 4 TNFi 402 86 Anti-α4β7-integrin 218 28 1.75 [1.19; 2.58] .0043 1.75 [1.45; 2.12] .0026 0.0% [0.0%; 84.7%] -
Mixed IRR 3 TNFi 2703 80 Anti-α4β7-integrin 1396 25 1.93 [1.23; 3.04] .0044 1.93 [1.85; 2.01] .0002 0.0% [0.0%; 89.6%] -
Mixed RR 3 IL-12/23i 56 7 Anti-α4β7-integrin 122 10 1.68 [0.65; 4.38] .2854 1.64 [0.27; 9.97] .3601 0.0% [0.0%; 89.6%] -

P values <.05 marked bold.

For TNFi vs IL-12/23i, meta-analysis could only be conducted for the risk of any new or recurrent cancers. The RR was 0.92 (95% CI, 0.16-5.26; P = .85) based on 3 studies2,4,5 comparing 218 patients treated with TNFi developing 25 new or recurrent cancers to 56 patients treated with IL-12/23i developing 7 new or recurrent cancers (Table).

For IL-12/23i vs anti-α4β7-integrin, meta-analysis could only be conducted for the risk of any new or recurrent cancer. The RR was 1.64 (95% CI, 0.27-9.97; P = .36) based on 3 studies2,4,5 comparing 56 patients treated with IL-12/23i developing 7 new or recurrent cancers to 122 patients treated with anti-α4β7-integrin developing 10 new or recurrent cancers (Table).

These results extend previous findings by identifying potential differences in the risk of new or recurrent cancer associated with different biologics.6,7 We found anti-α4β7-integrin to be associated with the decreased risk of new or recurrent cancer when compared with TNFi and numerically but not statistically lower risk when compared with IL-12/23i, though this finding was based on few patients and does not support definitive conclusions regarding differential cancer risk between biologics. Also, a large retrospective study of patients with IBD and no prior cancer found no differences in incident cancers during treatment with either TNFi or vedolizumab.8 Moreover, none of the included studies provided adjusted risk estimates, thus emphasizing the necessity of future studies to adjust for cancer-associated risk factors. Interestingly, a recent Danish nationwide study published after the search date of the current study found no substantial differences in the risk of cancer of different biologics in patients with psoriasis.9 Notably, we only included patients with IBD, thus highlighting the lack of data regarding other IMIDs like psoriasis and rheumatoid arthritis. Future studies should address the comparative risk of cancer during treatment with biologics in a diverse range of IMIDs in larger cohorts. In conclusion, while potential differences in the risk of new or recurrent cancer between biologics may exist, the available evidence is limited and relies on few patients, and further studies are still needed.

Footnotes

Conflicts of Interest: These authors disclose the following: Nikolai Loft has been a paid speaker for Eli Lilly, Janssen Cilag, Galderma, and Sandoz, and received research funding from The LEO Foundation. Seidelin has received research grants from Takeda, Janssen, the Danish Research Council, and the Capital Region Denmark; and has served as the national coordinator of studies for AbbVie, Arena Pharmaceuticals, Eli Lilly, and Boehringer Ingelheim. Lone Skov has been a paid speaker for AbbVie, Eli Lilly, Novartis, Pfizer, and LEO Pharma, and has been a consultant or has served on Advisory Boards with AbbVie, Janssen Cilag, Novartis, Eli Lilly, Boehringer Ingelheim, LEO Pharma, Takeda, Stada, UCB, Almirall, Bristol Myers Squibb, and Sanofi and has received research and educational grants/funding from LEO Foundation, Kgl Hofbundtmager Aage Bang Foundation, Sanofi, Bristol Myers Squibb, Janssen Cilag, and Almirall. The remaining authors disclose no conflicts.

Funding: This study received funding from the LEO Foundation (LF-FE-24–700053).

Ethical Statement: As this was a systematic review and meta-analysis, no ethical approval was needed.

Data Transparency Statement: All data from the study are available in the manuscript.

Reporting Guidelines: The PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines were followed.

Material associated with this article can be found, in the online version, at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gastha.2026.101092.

Supplementary Materials

Supplementary Tables 1 and 2
mmc1.pdf (192.8KB, pdf)
Extended PDF
mmc2.pdf (2MB, pdf)

References

Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Supplementary Tables 1 and 2
mmc1.pdf (192.8KB, pdf)
Extended PDF
mmc2.pdf (2MB, pdf)

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