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. 2026 Jul 27;101(11):1259–1268. doi: 10.1097/QAI.0000000000003924

Adverse Birth Outcomes Associated With SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Pregnant Women With and Without HIV: A Longitudinal Cohort Study

Ibrahim Ahmed El-Imam a, Abra Rachida Koudjra b, Nginache Nampota-Nkomba a,c, Felix Mkandawire c, Osward Nyirenda c, Rhoda Masonga c, Cristiana Cairo a, Melissa Gladstone d, Miriam K Laufer b, Andrea G Buchwald b,e,✉
PMCID: PMC13686639  PMID: 42456022

Supplemental Digital Content is Available in the Text.

Key Words: SARS-CoV-2, HIV, pregnancy, pregnancy outcomes, low birth weight, small for gestational age

Abstract

Background:

COVID-19 and HIV infection are independently associated with increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes. However, there is limited evidence on the effect of SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy in sub-Saharan Africa, particularly among women living with HIV (WLWH).

Setting:

Two antenatal clinics in southern Malawi (2018–2022).

Methods:

We conducted a prospective cohort study of singleton pregnancies enrolled at 20–36 weeks gestation. SARS-CoV-2 infection was determined through serologic testing at enrollment and delivery. Participants were enrolled based on HIV status and viral suppression: (1) WLWH with detectable viral load (VL), (2) WLWH with undetectable VL, and (3) HIV-negative women. We used a multivariable logistic regression with adjustment for confounding to evaluate the effect of SARS-CoV-2 alone or in combination with HIV infection on the following adverse birth outcomes: low birth weight (LBW), preterm birth, small-for-gestational-age (SGA), and stillbirth or early neonatal death.

Results:

Among 905 pregnant women, 29% tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, 87% of infections were mild or asymptomatic. Overall, SARS-CoV-2 infection was significantly associated with SGA births (adjusted OR [aOR]: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.03 to 2.13) but not associated with other adverse outcomes. Among WLWH, SARS-CoV-2 was significantly associated with increased odds of LBW (aOR: 2.07, 1.10 to 3.91) and SGA births (aOR: 1.73, 1.01 to 2.91). The effect of SARS-CoV-2 infection among WLWH did not differ based on VL.

Conclusions:

SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy was associated with adverse birth outcomes, particularly among WLWH. These findings underscore the need for integrated antenatal care and targeted infection prevention strategies for pregnant women with HIV in high-burden settings.

INTRODUCTION

The COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), continues to pose a significant global public health challenge, especially among vulnerable groups. Although people of all ages are susceptible to infection, pregnant women and people living with human immune-deficiency virus (HIV) infection are at increased risk of severe illness and mortality due to COVID-19.1–4 Pregnant women are particularly at increased risk of complications from SARS-CoV-2 because of physiological changes which occur during pregnancy.5 SARS-CoV-2 infection in pregnancy has been associated with severe adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes such as increased maternal hospitalization, preterm births, small-for-gestational-age, and low birth weight.6–10 Similarly, HIV infection significantly increases the risk of adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes among pregnant women living with HIV (WLWH),11–14 particularly among individuals with high HIV viral load.15,16

Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) remains the epicenter of the global HIV/AIDS epidemic, with most infections found in women.17 In Malawi, HIV prevalence is estimated at 8.9% among adults aged 15–64 years, and 10.5% among women.18 Estimates of SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in Malawi throughout the pandemic ranged from 8% in late 2020,19 to 89% in rural areas, and 94% in urban settings by April 2022,20 with all studies reporting largely asymptomatic transmission. The high prevalence of HIV in Malawi, as in other SSA countries, may exacerbate the risk of morbidity and mortality related to SARS-CoV-2, particularly among pregnant women.6,21 WLWH may also experience an increased disease burden with SARS-CoV-2 compared with those without HIV infection. This is of particular concern among individuals with high viral loads and low CD4 counts, which show delayed antibody responses against SARS-CoV-2.10,21–26 This situation raises concerns about the combined effects of HIV and SARS-CoV-2 infections on pregnancy outcomes.

There is extremely limited data on the effect of SARS-CoV-2 infections among pregnant women in SSA or among WLWH. One previous study in Botswana found that HIV and SARS-CoV-2 coinfections interacted to elevate the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes.21 However, there is a critical need for more research focused on understanding the combined effects of HIV and SARS-CoV-2 coinfection on pregnant women, particularly because no studies have examined how the effect of SARS-CoV-2 infection varies by HIV viral load or ART exposure. The burden of the COVID-19 pandemic is likely underestimated owing to lack of data in these high-risk groups, but understanding the effect of SARS-CoV-2 on pregnant WLWH can both help to inform current SARS-CoV-2 response and future pandemic preparedness. This study aims to evaluate the effect of SARS-CoV-2 exposure on adverse pregnancy outcomes by HIV status and will further investigate the role of HIV viral load in modifying the effect of SARS-CoV-2 infection on these outcomes. We hypothesize that SARS-CoV-2 infection will significantly worsen the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes, with more severe effects anticipated among pregnant WLWH, particularly in those with high viral loads, compared with their virally suppressed or HIV-negative counterparts. This research seeks to fill critical gaps in our understanding of the combined effects of HIV and SARS-CoV-2 infections on pregnancy outcomes in SSA.

METHODS

Study Design and Population

We conducted a prospective cohort study among pregnant women in 3 cohorts based on their HIV and viral load status in 2 research clinics near Blantyre, Malawi. Cohort recruitment has been described previously.27 The study enrolled pregnant women at antenatal care (ANC) clinics in their second trimester and followed them through delivery, with their newborn infants monitored postnatally. Pregnant women were recruited into 3 cohorts according to their HIV status and viral load: (1) Pregnant WLWH with high viral loads (>10,000 copies/mL), with no previous reported ART use; (2) Pregnant WLWH with undetectable viral loads (<400 copies/mL), reporting ongoing ART use; and (3) Pregnant women uninfected with HIV. Pregnant women were enrolled between 2018 and 2022, spanning both the prepandemic and COVID-19 pandemic period. Malawi reported its first confirmed COVID-19 case in April 2020 and subsequently experienced multiple epidemic waves associated with Beta, Delta, and Omicron variants despite limited testing and genomic surveillance capacity throughout Malawi.28,29

Study Setting and Eligibility

Participants were recruited from 2 ANC clinics—Ndirande and Bvumbwe. Ndirande Health Facility is located in the urban area of Ndirande, Blantyre, Malawi. It serves a densely populated community, providing a wide range of health services including maternal and child health, outpatient care, and HIV testing and treatment. Bvumbwe Health Facility is situated in the rural area of Bvumbwe, Thyolo District, Malawi. It serves a largely agrarian community, offering essential health services such as antenatal and postnatal care, HIV testing and treatment, immunizations, and treatment for common illnesses. SARS-CoV-2 vaccination and testing was not widely available in Malawi at the time of the study with only 4% of eligible adults vaccinated at the time recruitment ended,30 making it unlikely that any participants were vaccinated.

Eligible participants were any pregnant women aged 18 years and older, who attended their first ANC visit between 20 and 36 weeks gestation (confirmed by ultrasound) at either of the study clinics, intended to breastfeed, were willing to deliver at the clinic, and planning to remain in the study area for at least 1 year. HIV-negative women were required to test negative by rapid HIV test at both enrollment and delivery. We excluded women with multiple gestations. All WLWH were on ART and monitored for ART adherence for the duration of the study and no opportunistic infections were detected during the study. All women with samples at enrollment and delivery for retrospective SARS-CoV-2 antibody assessment were included in this analysis, so some women were enrolled and delivered before the pandemic began and did not have opportunity to become infected with SARS-CoV-2. There were decreased health services available from April to June 2020, and women who delivered during this time did not provide samples and could not be included in retrospective SARS-CoV-2 serological assessment or this analysis.

Data Collection

Eligible participants underwent initial screening including HIV testing, documentation of ART exposure, gestational age assessment by ultrasound, and baseline viral load measurements for participants with HIV. Serum samples were collected at enrollment and at delivery from all participants and assessed for anti–SARS-CoV-2 antibodies retrospectively. Samples were assessed for anti–SARS-CoV-2 IgM and IgG using the RayBiotech COVID-19 S1 RBD Protein Human IgG ELISA Kit, which provides quantitative measurements of IgG antibodies and the Inbios SCoV-2 Detect IgM ELISA Kit, a qualitative test which detects the presence or absence of IgM antibodies. The selection of the S1 RBD is based on its high specificity for SARS-CoV-2, as prepandemic studies show minimal cross-reactivity with this protein, thereby minimizing false positives and enhancing the accuracy of infection identification.31

Variables and Definitions

Exposure

Exposure in this study is SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy determined through serological testing for IgM and IgG antibodies. Participants were classified as infected during pregnancy if their serological testing met 1 of 3 criteria; (1) positive for anti–SARS-CoV-2 IgM antibodies at either the screening or delivery visit because IgM antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 typically appear within the first few weeks of infection and persist for several weeks31,32 or (2) if participants seroconverted by IgG from negative at screening to positive at delivery or (3) if the concentration of IgG antibodies at delivery was at least 3.5-fold higher than the concentration at screening. We did not consider IgG positive samples at screening as evidence of recent infection as IgG persists for up to 9 to 12 months after exposure.33 The precise timing of infection during pregnancy and whether it represented a first infection could not be determined.

Primary Outcome

The primary outcome of this study is any adverse birth outcome, which covers the occurrence of any of the following; maternal hospitalization, early neonatal death (ENND),34 stillbirth,35 low birth weight (LBW),36 small-for-gestational-age (SGA),37 and preterm birth.38 Additional other outcomes include: (1) LBW, (2) Preterm birth, (3) SGA birth, and (4) the combined outcome of ENND or stillbirth. According to the World Health organization (WHO) ENND is defined as a newborn death of a live-born baby within 7 days of life, and stillbirth as the death of a fetus before birth, which includes both antenatal and intrapartum deaths.34,35 Preterm birth is defined as birth that occurs before 37 weeks of gestation. LBW is defined as birth weight less than 2500 grams (up to and including 2499 grams), and SGA is defined as newborns with birth weight which is less than the 10th percentile for their gestational age.36–38 Outcomes are not mutually exclusive and pregnancies may have qualified for more than 1 adverse outcome, that is, LBW births are often either preterm or SGA. Adverse outcomes in this cohort have previously been described at length.27

Covariates

We selected covariates for final adjusted models using a Directed Acyclic Graph (Supplemental Figure 1, http://links.lww.com/QAI/C715). We categorized variables into (1) minimally sufficient confounders, identified a priori including: gravidity (primigravida/multigravida), maternal age (continuous variable in years), and residential location of each clinic (rural Bvumbwe/urban Ndirande); (2) Effect modifiers, assessed for interaction including: HIV status (positive/negative) and viral load status among WLWH (detectable/undetectable at screening and delivery), and CD4 count, (<350 cells/mL/≥350 cells/mL); and (3) Descriptive covariates, used in preliminary analysis to describe the study population but were not adjusted for in the final regression models including: Education level, ART regimen type (non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor-based [NNRTI-based]/Dolutegravir-based [DTG-based]), and marital status (married or unmarried). Preselected confounders were removed from final adjusted models if they did not improve the model fit or alter the estimate of the main effect.

Data Analysis

We used univariate analyses to compute frequencies and proportions of participant characteristics at baseline, describing continuous variables with means and standard deviations and categorical variables with proportions. Bivariate relationships between participants' sociodemographic and clinical characteristics at baseline and SARS-CoV-2 status were examined using χ2 tests for categorical variables and Student t tests for continuous variables, with a significance level set at α = 0.05 to determine differences in SARS-CoV-2 seroconversion. We also assessed the bivariate relationship between baseline demographic characteristics and each outcome variable to identify significant predictors.

We used logistic regression to explore the association between SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity and 4 pregnancy outcomes: low birthweight, preterm birth, small-for-gestational-age, and the composite “any adverse outcome.” Owing to small numbers of stillbirths and ENND included in this study, we were unable to assess them as an outcome in regression models. Crude odds ratios (OR) and 95% CIs were calculated to test these associations. To examine the combined risk of SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity and HIV on pregnancy outcomes, we evaluated an interaction term (SARS-CoV-2*HIV) in the models. In addition, we conducted stratified analyses for SARS-CoV-2 infection by HIV and viral load status to explore effect modification by viral load on each adverse pregnancy outcome. Although CD4 levels were initially considered as an effect modifier, low power in subanalysis (owing to small cell counts) prevented meaningful interpretation. In the final adjusted multivariable logistic regression model, we adjusted for facility location (site) and gravidity.

We conducted a sensitivity analysis, repeating all analysis in a restricted analytic cohort of women enrolled on or after April 1, 2020, to address differences in SARS-CoV-2 exposure opportunity because of differential recruitment timing between WLWH and HIV-negative women.

Sample Size and Power

With a sample size of 905 pregnant women, including 258 exposed to SARS-CoV-2, assuming 23% prevalence of adverse pregnancy outcomes, our study has an 86.2% power to detect a 10% difference in adverse birth outcomes between SARS-CoV-2–positive and SARS-CoV-2–negative groups, using a two-sided hypothesis with a 0.05 significance level.

RESULTS

Characteristics of the Study Population

The initial study recruited 1781 pregnant women in their second trimester of pregnancy, of whom 905 were followed through to delivery, had samples tested for SARS-CoV-2 and were included in this analysis (Fig. 1). Among these participants, 29% tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 (n = 258). The study participants were evenly distributed between the 2 sites with a mean maternal age of 28 years. Among women who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, 60% were HIV-negative and 40% were WLWH (P < 0.001; Table 1). A greater proportion of WLWH than those without HIV were recruited into the cohort before the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Among the 184 women enrolled before 2020 who were tested for SARS-CoV-2, 147 (80%) were WLWH. This differential timing of recruitment likely contributed to the observed difference in SARS-CoV-2 positivity between the 2 groups.

FIGURE 1.

FIGURE 1.

Study flow diagram. HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; SARS-CoV-2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2.

TABLE 1.

Characteristics of Study participants by SARS-CoV-2 Exposure

Characteristic Overall1
N = 905
SARS-CoV-2 Negative*
N = 647
SARS-CoV-2 Positive*
N = 258
P †
Site
 Bvumbwe 412 (46%) 293 (45%) 119 (46%) 0.8
 Ndirande 493 (54%) 354 (55%) 139 (54%)
Maternal age
 Mean (SD) 28 (6) 28 (6) 28 (7) 0.1
Marital status
 Married 819 (91%) 587 (91%) 232 (90%) 0.8
 Not married 85 (9%) 60 (9%) 25 (10%)
Educational level
 Below secondary 461 (51%) 336 (52%) 125 (49%) 0.4
 Secondary and above 443 (49%) 311 (48%) 132 (51%)
Gravidity
 Multigravida 785 (87%) 564 (87%) 221 (86%) 0.5
 Primigravida 120 (13%) 83 (13%) 37 (14%)
Delivery method
 Others 61 (7%) 46 (7%) 15 (6%) 0.5
 Vaginal 844 (93%) 601 (93%) 243 (94%)
Infant sex
 Female 444 (49%) 318 (49%) 126 (49%) >0.9
 Male 461 (51%) 329 (51%) 132 (51%)
HIV status
 Negative 457 (50%) 303 (47%) 154 (60%) <0.001
 Positive 448 (50%) 344 (53%) 104 (40%)
CD4 counts
 Mean (SD) 589 (242) 577 (237) 630 (255) 0.07
Viral load
 Detectable 72 (16%) 55 (16%) 17 (16%) >0.9
 Undetectable 376 (84%) 289 (84%) 87 (84%)
*

n (%).

†

Pearson χ2 tests for categorical variables and Wilcoxon rank-sum test for continuous variables.

Bolded values indicate significant results

SARS-CoV-2 Symptoms and Severity

Among the 905 women tested for SARS-CoV-2, 401 (44%) sought treatment during follow-up for illness or injury. Among women with SARS-CoV-2 infections, only 34/258 (13%) sought treatment for respiratory symptoms during pregnancy. Those who sought treatment with respiratory symptoms additionally reported muscle aches (n = 11, 32%), headache (n = 10, 29%), and fever (n = 7, 20%), with 4 (12%) women reporting chest pain or shortness of breath. Two SARS-CoV-2–positive women were diagnosed with pneumonia.

Pregnancy Outcomes

Among 905 women, 297 (33%) experienced any adverse pregnancy outcome. The most frequent outcome was SGA birth (168 cases, 19%), followed by LBW (80 cases, 9.1%) and preterm birth (79 cases, 8.7%). Among LBW births, 95% were classified as either preterm or SGA as well. A total of 13 stillbirths and 3 early neonatal deaths were recorded, with only 2 stillbirths occurring among women with SARS-CoV-2–positive pregnancies. SARS-CoV-2 infection was significantly associated with SGA in preliminary analysis with 59 (24%) of SARS-CoV-2 infected women having SGA births, compared with 109 (17%) of women without SARS-CoV-2 infections. However, SARS-CoV-2 was not significantly associated with LBW, preterm birth, or early neonatal death in the total population (Table 2).

TABLE 2.

Pregnancy Outcomes by SARS-CoV-2 Exposure

Characteristic Overall, N = 905* SARS-CoV-2 Negative, N = 647* SARS-CoV-2 Positive, N = 258* P †
Any adverse outcome
 Present 297 (33%) 204 (32%) 93 (36%) 0.2
 Absent 608 (67%) 440 (68%) 164 (64%)
Low birth weight
 Present 80 (9%) 54 (8%) 26 (10%) 0.4
 Absent 798 (91%) 575 (91%) 223 (90%)
Small-for-gestational-age
 Absent 709 (81%) 519 (83%) 190 (76%) 0.03
 Present 168 (19%) 109 (17%) 59 (24%)
Hospitalization
 Present 75 (8%) 56 (9%) 19 (7%) 0.5
 Absent 829 (92%) 590 (91%) 239 (93%)
Preterm birth
 Present 79 (9%) 57 (9%) 22 (9%) 0.9
 Absent 826 (91%) 590 (91%) 236 (91%)
Early neonatal death/stillbirth
 Present 16 (2%) 14 (2%) 2 (1%) 0.4
 Absent 889 (98%) 633 (98%) 256 (99%)
*

n (%).

†

Pearson χ2 test.

Bolded values indicate significant results

Association Between Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes and Covariates

In bivariate analysis (Supplemental Digital Content, Tables, http://links.lww.com/QAI/C715), we assessed the relationship between baseline sociodemographic characteristics and each of the 5 adverse pregnancy outcomes. We found that LBW was significantly associated with HIV status, site, gravidity, and parity, whereas other adverse pregnancy outcomes, including the composite outcome of any adverse events, preterm, SGA birth, and stillbirth/early neonatal death showed associations with sociodemographic factors such as gravidity, parity, maternal age, site, delivery method, and HIV status.

Regression Models for Effect of SARS-CoV-2 Infection on Pregnancy Outcomes

Among all women in the study, regardless of HIV status, we assessed the unadjusted association between SARS-CoV-2 and each of the adverse pregnancy outcomes. Only SGA showed a statistically significant association with SARS-CoV-2 positivity in the total population (OR: 1.48, 95% CI: 1.03 to 2.11, P = 0.03) (Table 3, Fig. 2). Stratified analysis by HIV status found no evidence of association between SARS-CoV-2 and adverse pregnancy outcomes among HIV-negative pregnant women (Fig. 2). However, among WLWH, SARS-CoV-2 positivity was significantly associated with an increased odds of LBW (aOR of 2.04 [95% CI: 1.09 to 3.82, P = 0.023]) and SGA birth (aOR = 1.73. 95% CI: 1.01 to 2.91, P = 0.04) (Fig. 2). SARS-CoV-2 positivity was not associated with preterm birth or stillbirth/early neonatal death in either group. There was significant interaction between HIV status and SARS-CoV-2 infection in models for LBW, but not for any of the other outcomes, and final adjusted models are presented in Table 3. Final multivariable regression models (Table 3) were adjusted for site and gravidity, because these were identified as key confounders from our directed acyclic graph and preliminary analysis.

TABLE 3.

Association Between SARS-CoV-2 Exposure and Pregnancy Outcomes From Logistic Regression Models

Outcomes Overall SARS-CoV-2 Unadjusted Adjusted
Negative Positive OR 95% CI P aOR 95% CI P
Total population
 Any adverse event
 Present 297 (33%) 204 (32%) 93 (36%) 1.22 0.90 to 1.66 0.2 1.23 0.91 to 1.67 0.2
 Absent 608 (67%) 440 (68%) 164 (64%)
Low birth weight
 Present 80 (9.1%) 54 (8.6%) 26 (10%) 1.24 0.75,2.01 0.4 1.24 0.75 to 2.02 0.4
 Absent 798 (91%) 575 (91%) 223 (90%)
Preterm birth
 Present 79 (8.7%) 57 (8.8%) 22 (8.5%) 0.96 0.57,1.59 0.9 0.97 0.57 to 1.60 0.9
 Absent 826 (91%) 590 (91%) 236 (91%)
Small-for-gestational-age
 Present 168 (19%) 109 (17%) 59 (24%) 1.48 1.03 to 2.11 0.03 1.49 1.03 to 2.13 0.03
 Absent 709 (81%) 519 (83%) 190 (76%)
Women without HIV
 Any adverse event
  Present 137 (30%) 87 (29%) 50 (32%) 1.27 0.94 to 1.73 0.12 1.2 0.78 to 1.82 0.4
  Absent 320 (70%) 216 (71%) 104 (68%)
 Low birth weight
  Present 29 (6.4%) 21 (7.0%) 8 (5.3%) 0.74 0.32 to 1.71 0.5 0.76 0.31 to 1,70 0.5
 Absent 423 (94%) 279 (93%) 144 (95%)
 Preterm birth
  Present 31 (6.8%) 21 (6.9%) 10 (6.5%) 0.93 0.43 to 2.03 0.86 0.94 0.41 to 2.00 0.9
  Absent 426 (93%) 282 (93%) 144 (94%)
 Small-for-gestational-age
  Present 81 (18%) 49 (16%) 32 (21%) 1.37 0.83 to 2.24 0.2 1.39 0.83 to 2.29 0.2
  Absent 371 (82%) 251 (84%) 120 (79%)
 Women living with HIV
Any adverse event
 Present 284 (63%) 224 (65%) 60 (58%) 1.37 0.87 to 2.15 0.2 1.37 0.87 to 2.15 0.2
 Absent 164 (37%) 120 (35%) 44 (42%)
Low birth weight
 Present 51 (12%) 33 (10%) 18 (19%) 2.04 1.09 to 3.82 0.03 2.07 1.10 to 3.91 0.03
 Absent 375 (88%) 296 (90%) 79 (81%)
Preterm birth
 Present 48 (11%) 36 (10%) 12 (12%) 1.13 0.56 to 2.23 5 1.13 0.54 to 2.21 0.7
 Absent 400 (89%) 308 (90%) 92 (88%)
Small-for-gestational-age
 Present 87 (20%) 60 (18%) 27 (28%) 1.72 1.02 to 2.91 0.04 1.73 1.01 to 2.91 0.04
 Absent 338 (80%) 268 (82%) 70 (72%)

aOR, adjusted odds ratio, adjusted models adjusted for site and gravidity; OR, odds ratio.

Bolded values indicate significant results

FIGURE 2.

FIGURE 2.

Adjusted odds ratios from logistic regression for effect of SARS-CoV-2 infection compared with pregnant women without SARS-CoV-2 infections. Models adjusted for site and gravidity. LBW= low birth weight; SGA, small-for-gestational-age.

Effect of Viral Load on SARS-CoV-2 and Pregnancy Outcomes

To assess whether HIV viral load modifies the effect of SARS-CoV-2 on pregnancy outcomes, we conducted a stratified analysis among WLWH with detectable and undetectable viral load (Table 4). There was no statistically significant association between SARS-CoV-2 and any adverse outcome across viral load status because of lower power in the HIV subgroups. However, the magnitude and direction of effect for all outcomes was similar by viral load detection status.

TABLE 4.

Unadjusted Association Between SARS-CoV-2 Infection and Pregnancy Outcomes Among Women Living With HIV by Viral Load Status

All HIV Positive Overall* SARS-CoV-2 Negative* SARS-CoV-2 Positive* OR 95% CI P
Any adverse event
 Present 164 (37%) 120 (35%) 44 (42%) 1.37 0.87 to 2.14 0.2
 Absent 284 (63%) 224 (65%) 60 (58%)
Low birth weight
 Present 51 (12%) 33 (10%) 18 (19%) 2.04 1.08 to 3.78 0.02
 Absent 375 (88%) 296 (90%) 79 (81%)
Preterm birth
 Present 48 (11%) 36 (10%) 12 (12%) 1.12 0.54 to 2.18 0.8
 Absent 400 (89%) 308 (90%) 92 (88%)
SGA
 Present 87 (20%) 60 (18%) 27 (28%) 1.72 1.01 to 2.89 0.04
 Absent 338 (80%) 268 (82%) 70 (72%)
Detectable viral load
 Any adverse event
  Present 31 (36%) 24 (35%) 7 (41%) 1.5 0.90 to 2.49 0.6
  Absent 55 (64%) 45 (65%) 10 (59%)
 Low birth weight
  Present 7 (8.6%) 5 (7.5%) 2 (14%) 2.07 0.36 to 11.92 0.4
  Absent 74 (91%) 62 (93%) 12 (86%)
 Preterm birth
  Present 8 (9.3%) 6 (8.7%) 2 (12%) 1.3 0.55 to 2.84 0.7
  Absent 78 (91%) 63 (91%) 15 (88%)
 SGA
  Present 16 (20%) 12 (18%) 4 (29%) 1.6 0.87 to 2.86 0.5
  Absent 65 (80%) 55 (82%) 10 (71%)
Undetectable viral load
 Any adverse event
  Present 119 (34%) 85 (32%) 34 (41%) 1.23 0.40 to 3.62 0.1
  Absent 228 (66%) 180 (68%) 48 (59%)
 Low birth weight
  Present 40 (12%) 26 (10%) 14 (18%) 1.94 0.95 to 3.92 0.06
  Absent 294 (88%) 230 (90%) 64 (82%)
 Preterm birth
  Present 32 (9.2%) 23 (8.7%) 9 (11%) 1.4 0.19 to 6.81 0.5
  Absent 315 (91%) 242 (91%) 73 (89%)
 SGA
  SGA 69 (21%) 48 (19%) 21 (27%) 1.59 0.88 to 2.88 0.1
  Not SGA 265 (79%) 208 (81%) 57 (73%)

SGA, small-for-gestational-age. * n (%).

Bolded values indicate significant results

In a sensitivity analysis restricted to women enrolled on or after April 1, 2020 (N = 709), the direction and magnitude of effect estimates were consistent with the primary analysis across all outcomes and subgroups. The association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and SGA in the total population (aOR:1.38, 95% CI:0.93–2.05) and LBW among WLWH (aOR: 1.53, 95% CI: 0.73–3.13) were attenuated and no longer statistically significant. Full sensitivity analysis results are presented in Supplemental Digital Content, Tables, http://links.lww.com/QAI/C715.

DISCUSSION

In this cohort of Malawian pregnant women, serological evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection during pregnancy was significantly associated with an increased risk of SGA birth in all included pregnant women, regardless of HIV status. Notably, among WLWH, SARS-CoV-2 infection was significantly associated with an increased risk of both LBW and SGA. These associations did not differ significantly regardless of whether or not the woman had fully controlled HIV (undetectable viral load) throughout pregnancy, although power was limited for these subanalyses. These findings indicate that SARS-CoV-2 seropositivity during pregnancy, even in the absence of severe COVID-19 disease, is associated with increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes, and WLWH are particularly vulnerable to the adverse effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

This is 1 of the first reports of the effect of SARS-CoV-2 infection on adverse birth outcomes in SSA, and our findings are consistent with previous studies conducted in high-income settings.7,8,10,26,39 A systematic review of 42 studies found SARS-CoV-2 infection associated with increased risk of preterm birth (OR 1.82; 95% CI: 1.38 to 2.39), stillbirth (OR 2.11; 95% CI: 1.14 to 3.9), and low birth weight (OR 1.89; 95% CI: 1.14 to 3.12).6 Our study was designed before the COVID-19 pandemic began and did not include surveillance for clinical COVID-19 disease. Few participants sought care for respiratory symptoms during the study, and as such, many of the infections we identified were likely mild or asymptomatic. Previous studies have found increasing severity of COVID-19 symptoms in pregnant women is associated with higher risk of adverse outcomes.6 The mild nature of most infections in our study may have contributed to the less severe effect of SARS-CoV-2 in our overall study population, and particularly among healthy women without HIV, compared with previous studies. The absence of active disease surveillance limits our ability to fully characterize the potential effect of COVID-19 disease. However, our findings of increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes among a cohort with mostly mild infections are important, indicating that even mild or asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections may influence pregnancy outcomes, particularly among vulnerable populations, highlighting the importance of infection prevention among WLWH and other high-risk populations.

Previous studies from sub-Saharan African nations examining the effect of SARS-CoV-2 infection on adverse birth outcomes in the presence of other comorbidities are few6 and frequently do not include controls without COVID-19, making them difficult to interpret. Our findings are in agreement with 1 previous study examining the combined effect of HIV and SARS-CoV-2 coinfection in Botswana, which reported increased risk of preterm birth and stillbirth among pregnant women with SARS-CoV-2 infection, with the greatest burden observed among WLWH.21 By contrast, recent data from Botswana during the Omicron era reported no significant association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and adverse birth outcomes, including among WLWH,40 suggesting any effect of SARS-CoV-2 on adverse pregnancy outcomes may be variant specific. Continuous monitoring and further research measuring coronavirus cases and other respiratory infections in pregnant women in Sub-Saharan Africa are necessary to fully understand the risks of SARS-CoV-2 infections and future pandemic respiratory infections on pregnant women in Sub-Saharan Africa.26

Despite the low overall risk of adverse outcomes related to SARS-CoV-2 in our study population, among WLWH, there was a two-fold significantly higher risk for LBW and 73% higher odds of SGA birth as a result of SARS-CoV-2 exposure. This finding did not differ by HIV viral load status; however, the power of this subanalysis was low as there were few women with detectable viral load. Although CD4 count data were available for a subset of participants, substantial missingness precluded a reliable assessment of the effect of CD4-defined immunosuppression. These findings may be driven by HIV-related immune dysregulation and chronic inflammation, rather than viral load differences. Studies have shown that HIV infection induces persistent immune activation, systemic inflammation, and placental insufficiency, all of which can impair fetal growth increasing the odds of LBW and SGA births.15,41–43 Similarly, SARS-CoV-2 infection has been reported to cause vascular dysfunction and placental inflammation.44,45 Thus, coinfection with HIV and SARS-CoV-2 infections may have a synergistic effect, exacerbating placental dysfunction. Alrubayyi et al23 reported that even with undetectable viral load immune dysfunction persists, affecting adaptive response to SARS-CoV-2. Our findings further emphasize the consequences of this immune dysfunction and the importance of prioritizing vaccination and other preventive services for WLWH.

Among the women included in our analysis, 29% tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, with 60% of these being HIV negative. The proportion of SARS-CoV-2 positivity was higher among HIV-negative pregnant women compared with WLWH (33.7% vs. 23.2%). This disparity likely reflects difference in timing of recruitment and biological response. Notably, 36% of the WLWH were recruited before Malawi's first confirmed COVID-19 case, compared with only 1% of HIV-negative women. As such, a larger proportion of the HIV-negative women were recruited during periods of high SARS-CoV-2 community transmission. To assess whether differential recruitment timing influenced our findings, we conducted a sensitivity analysis restricted to women enrolled after April 2020. The direction and magnitude of effects estimates were consistent across all outcomes and subgroups; however, power was limited to detect statistically significant differences in this restricted cohort. In addition, previous studies suggest that people living with HIV may mount a dampened serological response to SARS-CoV-223 potentially leading to misclassification of the exposure with a resultant underestimation of true effect among WLWH, biasing results toward the null. Furthermore, we did not perform PCR testing at the time of illness, which would have been necessary to confirm symptomatic COVID-19. As a result, many of the infections we detected in the cohort were likely asymptomatic or mild enough that participant did not seek care. Participant-level viral sequencing data were unavailable preventing assessment of differences by viral variants. Despite these limitations, we found a significant effect of SARS-CoV-2 infection on adverse pregnancy outcomes, indicating that the true effect of SARS-CoV-2 on pregnancy outcomes may be greater than estimated in this study, particularly among WLWH.

This study benefits from a prospective cohort study design, allowing for the observation of pregnancy outcomes over time and providing robust evidence for discerning the effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection on pregnancy outcomes. The design enabled subanalyses by HIV and viral load status, highlighting the differential effects of these factors within an underrepresented setting in current literature.

In conclusion, our study provides additional evidence of the increased risk pregnant women face as a result of SARS-CoV-2 infection, regardless of clinical symptoms, and in particular among WLWH. We additionally found evidence that viral suppression alone is insufficient to prevent the increased risk due to SARS-CoV-2 infection among WLWH. These findings may help inform public health policies and interventions aimed at improving maternal and child health outcomes, emphasizing the importance of integrated care models, ongoing surveillance, and tailored preventive services in the context of viral pandemics, particularly among WLWH. We recommend enhanced prenatal care including counseling on infection prevention measures and prioritized vaccination for pregnant WLWH.

Supplementary Material

qai-101-1259-s001.pdf (35.7KB, pdf)
qai-101-1259-s002.docx (438.2KB, docx)
qai-101-1259-s003.pdf (318.9KB, pdf)

Footnotes

Supported by National Institutes of Health R01HD100235 (to MKL, MG), R33HD103066 (to MKL, MG), and U01HD092308 (to MKL, CC), and K01MH134741 (PI Buchwald).

Preliminary analysis of this data was presented at the IAS Annual Meeting in Munich, Germany, in July 2024, abstract number: WEPEC324.

The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

The study protocol and informed consent were reviewed and approved by the University of Maryland IRB and the Kamuzu University of Health Sciences (formerly University of Malawi College of Medicine) IRB. Written informed consent was obtained before conducting any study-related activities. The research was conducted in accordance with the ethical principles of the Declaration of Helsinki and relevant national and institutional guidelines.

I.A.E.I.—manuscript drafting, statistical analysis, figure making; A.R.K.—data production, conception, manuscript review; N.N.N.—data collection, manuscript review; F.M.—data collection, manuscript review; O.N.—data collection, manuscript review; R.M.—data collection, manuscript review; C.C.—funding acquisition, study design, manuscript review; M.G.—funding acquisition, study design, manuscript review; M.K.L.—funding acquisition, study design, conception, manuscript review; A.G.B.—conception, data analysis, funding acquisition, study design, manuscript review.

Supplemental digital content is available for this article. Direct URL citations appear in the printed text and are provided in the HTML and PDF versions of this article on the journal's Web site (www.jaids.com).

Data is available on request from corresponding author.

Contributor Information

Ibrahim Ahmed El-Imam, Email: IAhmed@mgic.umaryland.edu.

Abra Rachida Koudjra, Email: akoudjra@som.umaryland.edu.

Nginache Nampota-Nkomba, Email: nnampota@som.umaryland.edu.

Felix Mkandawire, Email: fmkandawire@bmp.kuhes.ac.mw.

Osward Nyirenda, Email: onyirenda@bmp.kuhes.ac.mw.

Rhoda Masonga, Email: rmasonga@bmp.kuhes.ac.mw.

Cristiana Cairo, Email: ccairo@som.umaryland.edu.

Melissa Gladstone, Email: melglad@liverpool.ac.uk.

Miriam K. Laufer, Email: mlaufer@som.umaryland.edu.

Andrea G. Buchwald, Email: abuchwald@som.umaryland.edu.

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