Abstract
OBJECTIVES: This study estimated the amount of weight change in a biracial cohort of young adults and the separate components attributable to time-related and aging-related changes, as well as identified possible determinants of weight change. METHODS: In this population-based prospective study of 18- to 30-year-old African-American and White men and women, body weight and prevalence of overweight were measured from 1985/86 to 1992/93. RESULTS: Average weight increased over the 7 years, increases ranging from 5.2 kg (SE = 0.2, n = 811) in White women to 8.5 kg (SE = 0.3, n = 882) in African-American women. Significant time-related increases in weight, ranging from 2.0 kg (SE = 1.0) in White women to 4.8 kg (SE = 1.0, n = 711) in African-American men, accounted for 40% to 60% of the average total weight gain. Aging-related increases were also significant, ranging from 2.6 kg (SE = 0.8, n = 944) in White men to 5.0 kg (SE = 1.1) in African-American women. The prevalence of overweight increased progressively in each group. Decreased physical fitness was most strongly associated with weight gain in both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: The observed dramatic time-related weight gains, most likely due to secular (period-related) trends, are a serious public health concern.
Full text
PDF![635](https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ed11/1380845/8e4b8040ba0a/amjph00503-0109.png)
![636](https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ed11/1380845/5d34f1a50073/amjph00503-0110.png)
![637](https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ed11/1380845/38245731517e/amjph00503-0111.png)
![638](https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ed11/1380845/c01fb4a1b147/amjph00503-0112.png)
![639](https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ed11/1380845/c2fa57eab3d6/amjph00503-0113.png)
![640](https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ed11/1380845/66391e6e1e26/amjph00503-0114.png)
![641](https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ed11/1380845/61e68f802783/amjph00503-0115.png)
![642](https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ed11/1380845/65096dccd8ed/amjph00503-0116.png)
Selected References
These references are in PubMed. This may not be the complete list of references from this article.
- Boyle C. A., Dobson A. J., Egger G., Magnus P. Can the increasing weight of Australians be explained by the decreasing prevalence of cigarette smoking? Int J Obes Relat Metab Disord. 1994 Jan;18(1):55–60. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Colditz G. A., Willett W. C., Stampfer M. J., London S. J., Segal M. R., Speizer F. E. Patterns of weight change and their relation to diet in a cohort of healthy women. Am J Clin Nutr. 1990 Jun;51(6):1100–1105. doi: 10.1093/ajcn/51.6.1100. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Cutter G. R., Burke G. L., Dyer A. R., Friedman G. D., Hilner J. E., Hughes G. H., Hulley S. B., Jacobs D. R., Jr, Liu K., Manolio T. A. Cardiovascular risk factors in young adults. The CARDIA baseline monograph. Control Clin Trials. 1991 Feb;12(1 Suppl):1S–77S. doi: 10.1016/0197-2456(91)90002-4. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Dyer A. R., Cutter G. R., Liu K. Q., Armstrong M. A., Friedman G. D., Hughes G. H., Dolce J. J., Raczynski J., Burke G., Manolio T. Alcohol intake and blood pressure in young adults: the CARDIA Study. J Clin Epidemiol. 1990;43(1):1–13. doi: 10.1016/0895-4356(90)90050-y. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Friedman G. D., Cutter G. R., Donahue R. P., Hughes G. H., Hulley S. B., Jacobs D. R., Jr, Liu K., Savage P. J. CARDIA: study design, recruitment, and some characteristics of the examined subjects. J Clin Epidemiol. 1988;41(11):1105–1116. doi: 10.1016/0895-4356(88)90080-7. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Graves K. L., McGovern P. G., Sprafka J. M., Folsom A. R., Burke G. L. Contribution of dietary lipid change to falling serum cholesterol levels between 1980 to 1982 and 1985 to 1987 in an urban population. The Minnesota Heart Survey. Ann Epidemiol. 1993 Nov;3(6):605–613. doi: 10.1016/1047-2797(93)90083-g. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Harlan W. R., Landis J. R., Flegal K. M., Davis C. S., Miller M. E. Secular trends in body mass in the United States, 1960-1980. Am J Epidemiol. 1988 Nov;128(5):1065–1074. doi: 10.1093/aje/128.5.1065. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Haskell W. L., Leon A. S., Caspersen C. J., Froelicher V. F., Hagberg J. M., Harlan W., Holloszy J. O., Regensteiner J. G., Thompson P. D., Washburn R. A. Cardiovascular benefits and assessment of physical activity and physical fitness in adults. Med Sci Sports Exerc. 1992 Jun;24(6 Suppl):S201–S220. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Hilner J. E., McDonald A., Van Horn L., Bragg C., Caan B., Slattery M. L., Birch R., Smoak C. G., Wittes J. Quality control of dietary data collection in the CARDIA study. Control Clin Trials. 1992 Apr;13(2):156–169. doi: 10.1016/0197-2456(92)90021-q. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Kant A. K., Graubard B. I., Schatzkin A., Ballard-Barbash R. Proportion of energy intake from fat and subsequent weight change in the NHANES I Epidemiologic Follow-up Study. Am J Clin Nutr. 1995 Jan;61(1):11–17. doi: 10.1093/ajcn/61.1.11. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Kuczmarski R. J., Flegal K. M., Campbell S. M., Johnson C. L. Increasing prevalence of overweight among US adults. The National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys, 1960 to 1991. JAMA. 1994 Jul 20;272(3):205–211. doi: 10.1001/jama.272.3.205. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Liu K., Slattery M., Jacobs D., Jr, Cutter G., McDonald A., Van Horn L., Hilner J. E., Caan B., Bragg C., Dyer A. A study of the reliability and comparative validity of the cardia dietary history. Ethn Dis. 1994 Winter;4(1):15–27. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Manson J. E., Colditz G. A., Stampfer M. J., Willett W. C., Rosner B., Monson R. R., Speizer F. E., Hennekens C. H. A prospective study of obesity and risk of coronary heart disease in women. N Engl J Med. 1990 Mar 29;322(13):882–889. doi: 10.1056/NEJM199003293221303. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Manson J. E., Willett W. C., Stampfer M. J., Colditz G. A., Hunter D. J., Hankinson S. E., Hennekens C. H., Speizer F. E. Body weight and mortality among women. N Engl J Med. 1995 Sep 14;333(11):677–685. doi: 10.1056/NEJM199509143331101. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- McDonald A., Van Horn L., Slattery M., Hilner J., Bragg C., Caan B., Jacobs D., Jr, Liu K., Hubert H., Gernhofer N. The CARDIA dietary history: development, implementation, and evaluation. J Am Diet Assoc. 1991 Sep;91(9):1104–1112. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- McGinnis J. M. The public health burden of a sedentary lifestyle. Med Sci Sports Exerc. 1992 Jun;24(6 Suppl):S196–S200. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Owens J. F., Matthews K. A., Wing R. R., Kuller L. H. Can physical activity mitigate the effects of aging in middle-aged women? Circulation. 1992 Apr;85(4):1265–1270. doi: 10.1161/01.cir.85.4.1265. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Pi-Sunyer F. X. Medical hazards of obesity. Ann Intern Med. 1993 Oct 1;119(7 Pt 2):655–660. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-119-7_part_2-199310011-00006. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Poehlman E. T., Goran M. I., Gardner A. W., Ades P. A., Arciero P. J., Katzman-Rooks S. M., Montgomery S. M., Toth M. J., Sutherland P. T. Determinants of decline in resting metabolic rate in aging females. Am J Physiol. 1993 Mar;264(3 Pt 1):E450–E455. doi: 10.1152/ajpendo.1993.264.3.E450. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Pronk N. P., Wing R. R. Physical activity and long-term maintenance of weight loss. Obes Res. 1994 Nov;2(6):587–599. doi: 10.1002/j.1550-8528.1994.tb00110.x. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Romieu I., Willett W. C., Stampfer M. J., Colditz G. A., Sampson L., Rosner B., Hennekens C. H., Speizer F. E. Energy intake and other determinants of relative weight. Am J Clin Nutr. 1988 Mar;47(3):406–412. doi: 10.1093/ajcn/47.3.406. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Sempos C. T., Cleeman J. I., Carroll M. D., Johnson C. L., Bachorik P. S., Gordon D. J., Burt V. L., Briefel R. R., Brown C. D., Lippel K. Prevalence of high blood cholesterol among US adults. An update based on guidelines from the second report of the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel. JAMA. 1993 Jun 16;269(23):3009–3014. doi: 10.1001/jama.269.23.3009. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Shah M., Hannan P. J., Jeffery R. W. Secular trend in body mass index in the adult population of three communities from the upper mid-western part of the USA: the Minnesota Heart Health Program. Int J Obes. 1991 Aug;15(8):499–503. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Sidney S., Haskell W. L., Crow R., Sternfeld B., Oberman A., Armstrong M. A., Cutter G. R., Jacobs D. R., Savage P. J., Van Horn L. Symptom-limited graded treadmill exercise testing in young adults in the CARDIA study. Med Sci Sports Exerc. 1992 Feb;24(2):177–183. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Siegel P. Z., Brackbill R. M., Frazier E. L., Mariolis P., Sanderson L. M., Waller M. N. Behavioral risk factor surveillance, 1986-1990. MMWR CDC Surveill Summ. 1991 Dec;40(4):1–23. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Smith D. E., Lewis C. E., Caveny J. L., Perkins L. L., Burke G. L., Bild D. E. Longitudinal changes in adiposity associated with pregnancy. The CARDIA Study. Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study. JAMA. 1994 Jun 8;271(22):1747–1751. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Spiegelman D., Israel R. G., Bouchard C., Willett W. C. Absolute fat mass, percent body fat, and body-fat distribution: which is the real determinant of blood pressure and serum glucose? Am J Clin Nutr. 1992 Jun;55(6):1033–1044. doi: 10.1093/ajcn/55.6.1033. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Sprafka J. M., Burke G. L., Folsom A. R., Luepker R. V., Blackburn H. Continued decline in cardiovascular disease risk factors: results of the Minnesota Heart Survey, 1980-1982 and 1985-1987. Am J Epidemiol. 1990 Sep;132(3):489–500. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a115685. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Stamler J. Epidemic obesity in the United States. Arch Intern Med. 1993 May 10;153(9):1040–1044. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Stephens T., Jacobs D. R., Jr, White C. C. A descriptive epidemiology of leisure-time physical activity. Public Health Rep. 1985 Mar-Apr;100(2):147–158. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Sørensen T. I., Price R. A. Secular trends in body mass index among Danish young men. Int J Obes. 1990 May;14(5):411–419. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Tillotson J. L., Gorder D. D., DuChene A. G., Grambsch P. V., Wenz J. Quality control in the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial Nutrition Modality. Control Clin Trials. 1986 Sep;7(3 Suppl):66S–90S. doi: 10.1016/0197-2456(86)90160-1. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Van Itallie T. B. Health implications of overweight and obesity in the United States. Ann Intern Med. 1985 Dec;103(6 ):983–988. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-103-6-983. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Wacholder S., Schatzkin A., Freedman L. S., Kipnis V., Hartman A., Brown C. C. Can energy adjustment separate the effects of energy from those of specific macronutrients? Am J Epidemiol. 1994 Nov 1;140(9):848–855. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a117333. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Wagenknecht L. E., Perkins L. L., Cutter G. R., Sidney S., Burke G. L., Manolio T. A., Jacobs D. R., Jr, Liu K. A., Friedman G. D., Hughes G. H. Cigarette smoking behavior is strongly related to educational status: the CARDIA study. Prev Med. 1990 Mar;19(2):158–169. doi: 10.1016/0091-7435(90)90017-e. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Willett W. C., Manson J. E., Stampfer M. J., Colditz G. A., Rosner B., Speizer F. E., Hennekens C. H. Weight, weight change, and coronary heart disease in women. Risk within the 'normal' weight range. JAMA. 1995 Feb 8;273(6):461–465. doi: 10.1001/jama.1995.03520300035033. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Williamson D. F. Descriptive epidemiology of body weight and weight change in U.S. adults. Ann Intern Med. 1993 Oct 1;119(7 Pt 2):646–649. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-119-7_part_2-199310011-00004. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Williamson D. F., Kahn H. S., Remington P. L., Anda R. F. The 10-year incidence of overweight and major weight gain in US adults. Arch Intern Med. 1990 Mar;150(3):665–672. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]