Abstract
The times from infection with the human immuno-deficiency virus (HIV) to the onset of the first clinical symptom and the development of AIDS were studied prospectively in 98 haemophiliacs and 48 blood transfusion recipients infected with the virus. Patients were followed up for a median of 61 months after infection, the dates of infection being either known exactly or estimated from the interval between the last negative and first positive HIV antibody test result. The rate of progression to AIDS was significantly higher for the transfusion recipients than for the haemophiliacs. The difference in time to the occurrence of the first clinical symptom was less pronounced between the two groups, though pointing in the same direction. The results suggest that on average roughly half of all patients positive for HIV will develop some clinical sign or symptom within five to six years after infection.
Full text
PDF



Selected References
These references are in PubMed. This may not be the complete list of references from this article.
- Berntorp E., Hansson B. G., Böttiger B., Jarevi G., Wedbäck A., Nordenfelt E., Nilsson I. M. HIV seroconversion in Swedish haemophiliacs: relation to type and dosage of factor concentrate. Eur J Haematol. 1987 Mar;38(3):256–260. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0609.1987.tb01173.x. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Brookmeyer R., Gail M. H. Minimum size of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) epidemic in the United States. Lancet. 1986 Dec 6;2(8519):1320–1322. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(86)91444-3. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Eyster M. E., Gail M. H., Ballard J. O., Al-Mondhiry H., Goedert J. J. Natural history of human immunodeficiency virus infections in hemophiliacs: effects of T-cell subsets, platelet counts, and age. Ann Intern Med. 1987 Jul;107(1):1–6. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-107-1-1. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Iversen O. J., Engen S. Epidemiology of AIDS--statistical analyses. J Epidemiol Community Health. 1987 Mar;41(1):55–58. doi: 10.1136/jech.41.1.55. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Lui K. J., Lawrence D. N., Morgan W. M., Peterman T. A., Haverkos H. W., Bregman D. J. A model-based approach for estimating the mean incubation period of transfusion-associated acquired immunodeficiency syndrome. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1986 May;83(10):3051–3055. doi: 10.1073/pnas.83.10.3051. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Medley G. F., Anderson R. M., Cox D. R., Billard L. Incubation period of AIDS in patients infected via blood transfusion. Nature. 1987 Aug 20;328(6132):719–721. doi: 10.1038/328719a0. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Peterman T. A., Drotman D. P., Curran J. W. Epidemiology of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). Epidemiol Rev. 1985;7:1–21. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.epirev.a036277. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Rees M. The sombre view of AIDS. 1987 Mar 26-Apr 1Nature. 326(6111):343–345. doi: 10.1038/326343a0. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Schulman S., Biberfeld G., Blombäck M., Böttiger B., Egberg N., Johnsson H., Wiechel B. HIV infection in a defined population of Swedish haemophiliacs. Scand J Infect Dis. 1987;19(2):159–166. doi: 10.3109/00365548709032393. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Taylor J. M., Schwartz K., Detels R. The time from infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) to the onset of AIDS. J Infect Dis. 1986 Oct;154(4):694–697. doi: 10.1093/infdis/154.4.694. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Ward J. W., Deppe D. A., Samson S., Perkins H., Holland P., Fernando L., Feorino P. M., Thompson P., Kleinman S., Allen J. R. Risk of human immunodeficiency virus infection from blood donors who later developed the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome. Ann Intern Med. 1987 Jan;106(1):61–62. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-106-1-61. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- van Druten J. A., de Boo T., Jager J. C., Heisterkamp S. H., Coutinho R. A., Ruitenberg E. J. AIDS prediction and intervention. Lancet. 1986 Apr 12;1(8485):852–853. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(86)90957-8. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]