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. 2003 Sep 13;327(7415):596–597. doi: 10.1136/bmj.327.7415.596

Table 1.

Cases of meningococcal disease* from the Oxford record linkage study database, number of deaths within 30 days and case fatality rate per 100 000, 1963-98

Cases admitted to hospital
All cases
Time period No of cases No of deaths Case fatality rate (95% CI) No of cases Incidence per 100 000 population (95% CI) No of deaths Case fatality rate (95% CI)
1963-8 41 5 12.2 (2.2 to 22.2) 42 1.23 (0.86 to 1.60) 6 14.3 (3.7 to 24.9)
1969-73 72 6 8.3 (1.9 to 14.7) 74 1.72 (1.33 to 2.11) 8 10.8 (3.7 to 17.9)
1974-8 108 12 11.1 (5.2 to 17.0) 111 1.24 (1.01 to 1.47) 15 13.5 (7.2 to 19.9)
1979-83 113 11 9.7 (4.3 to 15.2) 113 1.09 (0.89 to 1.29) 11 9.7 (4.3 to 15.2)
1984-8 147 16 10.9 (5.8 to 15.9) 152 1.33 (1.12 to 1.54) 21 13.8 (8.3 to 19.3)
1989-93 303 25 8.3 (5.2 to 11.3) 308 2.40 (2.13 to 2.67) 30 9.7 (6.4 to 13.1)
1994-8 464 41 8.8 (6.3 to 11.4) 473 3.55 (3.23 to 3.87) 50 10.6 (7.8 to 13.3)
1963-98 1248 116 9.3 (7.7 to 10.9) 1273 1.97 (1.86 to 2.07) 141 11.1 (9.4 to 12.8)
P value for trend 0.31 <0.001 0.28
*

International Classification of Diseases, 9th revision, code 036 and 10th revision code A39.

Includes 25 people who died outside hospital or who had no record of hospital admission.

P values refer to the change in annual rates 1963-98 from logistic regression modelling. Visual inspection of the annual incidence and further modelling showed little change in incidence during 1963-88 (P=0.10) and a significant increase during 1989-98 (P<0.001).