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British Journal of Cancer logoLink to British Journal of Cancer
. 2007 Nov 6;97(11):1588–1594. doi: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6604080

Cancer mortality in 13 to 29-year-olds in England and Wales, 1981–2005

M Geraci 1,*, J M Birch 1, R D Alston 1, A Moran 2, T O B Eden 3
PMCID: PMC2360261  PMID: 17987032

Abstract

We examined cancer mortality at ages 13–29 years in England and Wales between 1981 and 2005, a total of 20 026 deaths over approximately 303 million person-years (mpy) at risk by sex, age group and time period. Overall, the mortality rate was 65.6 per mpy. Malignant neoplasms of the central nervous system showed the highest rate (8.5), followed by myeloid and monocytic leukaemia (6.6), lymphoid leukaemia (6.4), malignant bone tumours (5.4) and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (5.2). These groups together accounted for almost 50% of all cancer deaths. The mortality rate for males (72.4) was 23% higher than for females (58.6) (P-value <0.0001). Males showed significantly higher mortality rates than females in almost all diagnostic groups, in general, mortality increasing with age (P-value <0.0001). There were significant decreases in mortality over time, the annual percentage change between 1981 and 2005 being minus 1.86 (95% confidence interval −2.09 to −1.62). Cancer groups with the highest mortality differed from those with the highest incidence.

Keywords: teenage and young adult cancer, mortality trends, cancer services, central nervous system tumours, haematological malignancies, bone tumours


One in four of all deaths in the United Kingdom is caused by cancer (Coleman et al, 1999). Although the majority of these deaths occur in the elderly, cancer represents the most common cause of death at ages 13–29 years. Approximately 2500 teenagers and young adults (TYAs) died from cancer in England and Wales in the 4-year period 2002–2005. Little is known about the aetiology of cancers in such young people, though; it is likely that it differs from that in older adults (Birch, 2005, pp 13–31).

We carried out detailed analyses of mortality rates by cancer group, sex, age and time period in persons aged 13–29 years in England and Wales, to identify the highest mortalities and lowest reductions in mortality over time; these, it is hoped, will assist with targeting of clinical resources and service planning.

METHODS

Mortality data on neoplasms in England and Wales from 1981 to 2005 were provided by the Office for National Statistics, London (ONS); those covered malignant neoplasms, benign tumours and neoplasms of uncertain behaviour, in those aged 13–29 years. For each observation, age at death, sex, and diagnosis coded according to the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) were included. Data on cases registered from 1981 to 2001, a period that spans both the ICD Ninth Revision (ICD-9) (World Health Organization, 1977) and ICD Tenth Revision (ICD-10) (World Health Organization, 1992) coding epochs at the ONS, were released by the English Cancer Information System (Office for National Statistics, 2004) along with the tabulation for the conversion from the earlier ICD-9 to ICD-10. Direct translation between ICD-9 and ICD-10 at the 4-digit level for all codes was not possible. We, therefore, used the ICD-10 codes up to the third digit. For comparison purposes, we also considered incidence data on all registered neoplasms diagnosed in England from 1979 to 2003 inclusive, supplied by the National Cancer Intelligence Centre, ONS, London (Office for National Statistics, 2006b).

Mid-year estimates, by single year of age and sex, of the resident population in England and Wales for the time period 1981–2005 were obtained, based on the national censuses (Office for National Statistics, 2007). Number of deaths and population estimates were tabulated by age, sex and time period. The age groups were 13–14, 15–19, 20–24 and 25–29 years. The time span was divided into five quinquennia. Thirteen main diagnostic groups were defined as shown in Table 1, three of which were further subclassified giving 14 groups in all and for each, mortality rates were calculated. The European standard population was used for direct standardisation of the rates (Quinn et al, 2005). Throughout this report rates are given per million person-years (mpy).

Table 1. Diagnostic groups based on the ICD-10 codes used for the analysis of the mortality data of persons aged 13–29 years in England and Wales from 1981 to 2005.

Description
Main group Subgroup ICD-10 codes
Lip, oral cavity and pharynx C00–C14
Digestive organs   C15–C26
  Colorectal C18, C19, C20
  Liver C22
  Other sites in GI tract C15–C17, C21, C23–C26
     
Respiratory and intra-thoracic organs C30–C39
Bone and articular cartilage C40–C41
Melanoma of skin C43
Mesothelial and soft tissue C45–C49
Breast C50
Genitourinary organs C51–C68
  Cervix C53
  Ovary C56
  Testis C62
  Other sites C51, C52, C54, C55, C57–C61, C63–C68
     
Eye, brain, and other parts of CNS C69–C72
Thyroid and other endocrine glands C73–C75
Malignant neoplasms of lymphoid, haematopoietic, and related tissue C81–C96
  Lymphoid leukaemia C91
  Myeloid and monocytic leukaemia C92, C93
  Hodgkin's lymphoma C81
  Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma C82, C83, C84, C85
  Other and unspecified lympho-haematopoietic C88, C90, C94, C95, C96
     
Other malignant neoplasms C44, C76–C80, C97
Benign neoplasms and neoplasms of uncertain behaviour D10-D48
  Eye, brain, and other parts of CNS D31, D32, D33, D42, D43
  Other sites D10-D30, D34-D41, D44-D48

Heterogeneity between sexes, age groups, and time periods was tested for by using a χ2 test statistic. Age and temporal trends was tested for, by using a single degree of freedom χ2 statistic (Armitage, 1955); the estimate of the percent change per year of age (PCYA) was obtained by using a linear regression of the natural logarithm of the rates; similarly, in the temporal analysis the annual percent change (APC) was estimated by using a weighted linear regression of the natural logarithm of the age-adjusted rates where the weights were given by the inverse of the estimated variance of the response variable (Kim et al, 2000). Significance level was set at 5%.

The results of the separate stratified analyses were successively assessed with Poisson additive models (Wood, 2006), including main effects, interaction terms, and non-linear temporal trends simultaneously. The statistical analyses were performed using Stata v. 9.2 (StataCorp, 2005) and the software R (R Development Core Team, 2006).

RESULTS

A total of 20 026 deaths were registered over 25-year period in people aged 13–29 years with ICD-10 codes C00-D48, of which 875 were from benign, uncertain or unknown behaviour tumours. There were approximately 303 million person-years at risk. Overall, the mortality rate was 65.6 per mpy (Table 2). Malignant tumours of the central nervous system (CNS) showed the highest mortality rate (8.5), followed by myeloid and monocytic leukaemia (MML) (6.6), lymphoid leukaemia (LL) (6.4), malignant bone tumours (bone) (5.4) and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) (5.2). These groups together accounted for almost 50% of all deaths under study.

Table 2. Number of deaths (N) and mortality rates (R) per million person–years at risk by sex and diagnostic group at ages 13–29 years in England and Wales, 1981–2005.

    Male
Female
Persons
P-value
Main group Subgroup N R N R N R Heter.
Lip, oral cavity and pharynx   194 1.3 98 0.6 292 1.0 <0.0001
Digestive organs   765 4.9 571 3.7 1336 4.3 <0.0001
  Colorectal 300 1.9 206 1.4 506 1.6 <0.0001
  Liver 164 1.1 148 1.0 312 1.0 0.4268
  Other sites in GI tract 301 1.9 217 1.4 518 1.7 0.0003
Respiratory and intrathoracic organs   257 1.7 162 1.1 419 1.4 <0.0001
Bone and articular cartilage   993 6.5 632 4.3 1625 5.4 <0.0001
Melanoma of skin   420 2.7 364 2.4 784 2.5 0.0526
Mesothelial and soft tissue   620 4.0 462 3.1 1082 3.5 <0.0001
Breast   1 0.0 719 4.6 720 2.3 <0.0001
Genitourinary organs   783 5.1 1376 8.9 2159 7.0 <0.0001
  Cervix 773 5.0 773 5.0
  Ovary 410 2.7 410 2.7
  Testis 621 4.0 621 4.0
  Other sites 162 1.0 193 1.3 355 1.2 0.0806
Malignant neoplasms of CNS   1531 10.0 1068 7.1 2599 8.5 <0.0001
Thyroid and other endocrine glands   150 1.0 139 0.9 289 1.0 0.6136
Malignant neoplasms of lymphoid, haematopoietic and related tissue   4410 28.7 2610 17.3 7020 23.1 <0.0001
  Lymphoid leukaemia 1308 8.6 620 4.2 1928 6.4 <0.0001
  Myeloid and monocytic leukaemia 1154 7.5 844 5.6 1998 6.6 <0.0001
  Hodgkin's lymphoma 762 4.9 516 3.4 1278 4.2 <0.0001
  Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma 1037 6.7 548 3.6 1585 5.2 <0.0001
  Other and unspecified lympho-haematopoietic 149 1.0 82 0.6 231 0.8 <0.0001
Other malignant neoplasms   522 3.4 304 2.0 826 2.7 <0.0001
Benign neoplasms and neoplasms of uncertain behaviour   489 3.2 386 2.6 875 2.9 0.0011
  Eye, brain, and other parts of CNS 204 1.3 184 1.2 388 1.3 0.3823
  Other sites 285 1.9 202 1.4 487 1.6 0.0003
All groups   11 135 72.4 8891 58.6 20 026 65.6 <0.0001

Overall, the mortality rate for males (72.4) was 23% higher than for females (58.6), and significantly higher in all the specified groups except breast and genitourinary (GU) organs, where females had higher rates; there was no significant heterogeneity by sex for liver cancer, melanoma, GU sites other than gonads and cervix, thyroid and non-malignant neoplasms of the CNS. There were large disproportions of rates between males and females for cancers of the lip, oral cavity and pharynx, respiratory organs, bone and lymphomas and leukaemias. In these groups, the ratio of rates in males compared to females was between 1.5 and 2.2.

The mortality differed between age groups for all specified diagnostic groups except thyroid and other endocrine glands (Table 3). The rates for breast and cervical cancer increased by 50% for each additional year of age. Marked increases across age groups were also observed for digestive organs (excluding liver), melanoma of skin and testicular cancer, whereas for bone cancer decreases on average by nearly 8% per year of age, the largest drop among the diagnostic groups. Lymphomas and MML rates increased rates with age, with the largest increases at ages 13–19 years. Mortality for LL peaked at age 15–19 years. For Hodgkin's lymphoma (HL), mortality for persons aged 25–29 years was 11 times higher than the rate for those aged 13–14 years.

Table 3. Number of deaths (N) and mortality rates (R) per million person–years at risk by age and diagnostic group at ages 13–29 years in England and Wales, 1981–2005.

    13–14
15–19
20–24
25–29
P-value PCYAa
Main group Subgroup N R N R N R N R Heter. Value (95% CI)
Lip, oral cavity and pharynx   19 0.6 68 0.8 88 1.0 117 1.3 0.0006 5.52* (2.82,8.30)
Digestive organs   26 0.8 147 1.7 358 4.0 805 8.7 <0.0001 18.71* (17.47,19.97)
  Colorectal 8 0.2 46 0.5 131 1.4 321 3.5 <0.0001 21.97* (18.19,25.88)
  Liver 14 0.4 66 0.8 99 1.1 133 1.4 <0.0001 8.03* (5.87,10.25)
  Other sites in GI tract 4 0.1 35 0.4 128 1.4 351 3.8 <0.0001 29.03* (24.33,33.90)
Respiratory and intrathoracic organs   10 0.3 48 0.6 111 1.2 250 2.7 <0.0001 17.66* (14.82,20.57)
Bone and articular cartilage   199 6.0 673 7.8 503 5.6 250 2.7 <0.0001 −7.63* (−10.43,−4.75)
Melanoma of skin   7 0.2 60 0.7 239 2.6 478 5.2 <0.0001 27.63* (21.44,34.13)
Mesothelial and soft tissue   71 2.1 282 3.3 361 4.0 368 4.0 <0.0001 3.75* (1.63,5.91)
Breast   0 0.0 9 0.1 72 0.8 639 6.9 <0.0001 49.81* (44.42,55.42)
Genitourinary organs   32 1.0 186 2.2 562 6.2 1379 14.9 <0.0001 22.21* (20.42,24.02)
  Cervix 0 0.0 6 0.1 123 2.7 644 13.9 <0.0001 54.12* (47.02,61.56)
  Ovary 11 0.7 58 1.4 124 2.8 217 4.7 <0.0001 14.67* (11.83,17.59)
  Testis 2 0.1 73 1.7 216 4.8 330 7.1 <0.0001 26.51* (17.88,35.77)
  Other sites 19 0.6 49 0.6 99 1.1 188 2.0 <0.0001 11.85* (8.72,15.07)
Malignant neoplasms of CNS   260 7.8 570 6.6 721 8.0 1048 11.3 <0.0001 3.85* (2.03,5.71)
Thyroid and other endocrine glands   29 0.9 82 0.9 83 0.9 95 1.0 0.8513 0.91 (−1.64,3.52)
Malignant neoplasms of lymphoid, haematopoietic and related tissue   543 16.2 1864 21.6 2129 23.5 2484 26.8 <0.0001 3.13* (2.05,4.23)
  Lymphoid leukaemia 261 7.8 768 8.9 536 5.9 363 3.9 <0.0001 −6.36* (−8.17,−4.52)
  Myeloid and monocytic leukaemia 147 4.4 478 5.5 616 6.8 757 8.2 <0.0001 4.50* (3.75,5.27)
  Hodgkin's lymphoma 20 0.6 207 2.4 451 5.0 600 6.5 <0.0001 15.88* (11.04,20.94)
  Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma 78 2.3 340 3.9 466 5.2 701 7.6 <0.0001 7.97* (6.52,9.43)
  Other and unspecified lympho-haematopoietic 37 1.1 71 0.8 60 0.7 63 0.7 0.0803 −2.12 (−6.45,2.41)
Other malignant neoplasms   27 0.8 135 1.6 218 2.4 446 4.8 <0.0001 13.80* (10.97,16.69)
Benign neoplasms and neoplasms of uncertain behaviour   89 2.7 199 2.3 250 2.8 337 3.6 <0.0001 3.36* (2.02,4.72)
  Eye, brain, and other parts of CNS 42 1.3 78 0.9 105 1.2 163 1.8 <0.0001 4.58* (1.19,8.08)
  Other sites 47 1.4 121 1.4 145 1.6 174 1.9 0.0526 2.41* (0.91,3.93)
All groups   1312 39.2 4323 50.0 5695 63.0 8696 93.8 <0.0001 6.53* (5.80,7.26)
a

Percentage change per year of age.

*Denotes significance at the 5% level.

When using the Poisson regression approach, few groups showed a significant interaction between sex and age. For bone, the relative risk in males compared to females increased with age, from 0.8 (95% confidence interval, CI, 0.6–1.1) at 13–14 years to 2.1 (95% CI 1.6–2.8) at 25–29 years. For NHL, the relative risk decreased by age, in males being three (95% CI 1.7–5.3) times higher at 13–14 years and 1.7 (95% CI 1.4–2) times higher at 25–29 years.

Mortality for all cancers combined decreased over time by 1.86% on average each year (Table 4). Numbers decreasing from about 1000 per year in 1981–1985 to a little over 600 per year in 2001–2005 period. Testicular cancer showed the largest APC (−6.31), followed by HL (−5.12), cancer of respiratory and intra-thoracic organs (−4.26), and cervical cancer (−4.07). Neither the total nor the sex-specific mortality rates for bone showed a significant trend over time. Further analyses revealed that the rates, after decreasing in the first three time periods, increased in the last 10 years at age 20–24 years (APC 1.43, CI 0.16–2.72); this was also supported by the Poisson regression.

Table 4. Number of deaths (N) and mortality rates (R) per million person–years at risk by time period and diagnostic group at ages 13–29 years in England and Wales, 1981–2005.

    1981–1985
1986–1990
1991–1995
1996–2000
2001–2005
P-value
APCa
Main group Subgroup N R N R N R N R N R Heter. Trend value (95% CI)
Lip, oral cavity and pharynx   63 1.0 69 1.0 53 0.9 57 1.0 50 0.9 0.7776 0.5251 −0.54 (−1.64,0.56)
Digestive organs   298 4.8 317 4.8 253 3.9 247 4.2 221 3.9 0.0226 0.0053 −0.92* (−1.82,0.00)
  Colorectal 116 1.9 120 1.8 82 1.2 104 1.8 84 1.5 0.0330 0.1086 −0.41 (−1.87,1.06)
  Liver 66 1.0 71 1.1 58 0.9 52 0.9 65 1.1 0.6814 0.9109 −0.13 (−1.86,1.63)
  Other sites in GI tract 116 1.9 126 1.9 113 1.7 91 1.5 72 1.3 0.0466 0.0028 −1.66* (−3.05,−0.25)
Respiratory and intrathoracic organs   139 2.3 90 1.4 74 1.1 63 1.1 53 0.9 <0.0001 <0.0001 −4.26* (−5.56,−2.94)
Bone and articular cartilage   414 6.2 331 5.2 280 4.8 280 5.1 320 5.6 0.0104 0.1444 −0.49 (−1.31,0.34)
Melanoma of skin   167 2.7 165 2.4 183 2.8 134 2.3 135 2.4 0.3428 0.2319 −0.64 (−1.69,0.43)
Mesothelial and soft tissue   231 3.6 258 3.9 232 3.8 190 3.4 171 3.0 0.0648 0.0339 −0.86 (−1.76,0.05)
Breast   176 3.0 174 2.6 151 2.2 127 2.0 92 1.6 <0.0001 <0.0001 −2.62* (−3.48,−1.75)
Genitourinary organs   623 10.1 560 8.4 412 6.2 311 5.2 253 4.5 <0.0001 <0.0001 −4.24* (−4.90,−3.56)
  Cervix 207 7.0 199 5.9 159 4.6 115 3.7 93 3.3 <0.0001 <0.0001 −4.07* (−5.20,−2.92)
  Ovary 116 3.7 87 2.6 85 2.6 70 2.4 52 1.8 0.0003 <0.0001 −2.80* (−4.02,−1.57)
  Testis 207 6.6 183 5.4 106 3.3 75 2.6 50 1.8 <0.0001 <0.0001 −6.31* (−7.48,−5.11)
  Other sites 93 1.5 91 1.4 62 1.0 51 0.9 58 1.0 0.0039 0.0009 −2.60* (−4.10,−1.07)
Eye, brain, and other parts of CNS   559 8.8 609 9.4 534 8.7 435 7.6 462 8.1 0.0170 0.0141 −0.74* (−1.47,−0.01)
Thyroid and other endocrine glands   62 1.0 64 1.0 70 1.2 50 0.9 43 0.8 0.2553 0.2294 −0.77 (−3.11,1.62)
Lymphoid, haematopoietic and related tissue   1858 28.8 1636 25.1 1461 23.8 1106 19.7 959 16.9 <0.0001 <0.0001 −2.57* (−2.93,−2.22)
  Lymphoid leukaemia 469 7.1 463 7.3 385 6.6 346 6.3 265 4.6 <0.0001 <0.0001 −1.81* (−2.62,−0.99)
  Myeloid and monocytic leukaemia 555 8.6 463 7.1 387 6.3 312 5.5 281 4.9 <0.0001 <0.0001 −2.70* (−3.42,−1.97)
  Hodgkin's lymphoma 397 6.3 335 5.0 270 4.2 139 2.4 137 2.4 <0.0001 <0.0001 −5.12* (−6.07,−4.15)
  Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma 362 5.6 331 5.0 382 6.0 271 4.8 239 4.2 <0.0001 0.0008 −1.20* (−2.11,−0.28)
  Other and unspecified 75 1.2 44 0.7 37 0.6 38 0.7 37 0.6 0.0029 0.0034 −3.31* (−5.26,−1.32)
Other malignant neoplasms   166 2.6 141 2.1 195 3.0 166 2.8 158 2.8 0.0189 0.1097 0.46 (−0.81,1.75)
Benign and uncertain behaviour   235 3.7 145 2.2 172 2.9 181 3.2 142 2.5 <0.0001 0.0435 −1.02 (−2.35,0.32)
  Eye, brain, and other parts of CNS 112 1.8 61 0.9 75 1.2 73 1.3 67 1.2 0.0012 0.0690 −1.61 (−3.50,0.32)
  Other sites 123 1.9 84 1.3 97 1.6 108 1.9 75 1.3 0.0075 0.2782 −0.38 (−1.82,1.09)
All groups   4991 78.4 4559 69.5 4070 65.2 3347 58.5 3059 53.9 <0.0001 <0.0001 −1.86* (−2.09,−1.62)
a

Annual percentage change.

*Denotes significance at the 5% level.

Groups with the highest mortality (CNS, MML, LL, bone, NHL) differed from those with the highest incidence (HL, testis, melanoma, CNS, cervix) (Table 5). CNS, MML, LL, bone and soft tissue were all in the top 10 for mortality and were between 3 and 8 rank places higher than for incidence. The ratio of incidence to mortality varied from 16 : 1 for testis and 11 : 1 for thyroid cancer to where the rates are similar, as for liver. The ratio for MML, LL, and bone was below 2 : 1. Testicular and cervical cancer, melanoma, and HL were among the top five groups with the highest incidence between 1979 and 2003 but below the 5th position for mortality between 1981 and 2005, with deaths numbering much below that of new cases.

Table 5. Ranking of selected diagnostic groups based on the number (N) of deaths from 1981 to 2005 and ranking based on the number of new cases registered in England from 1979 to 2003 in persons at 13–29 years.

  Mortality
Incidence
 
Group N % a Rank N % b Rank I:M ratio c
Eye, brain, and other parts of CNS 2473 13.9 1 6003 8.2 4 2.4
Myeloid and monocytic leukaemia 1899 10.7 2 3095 4.2 8 1.6
Lymphoid leukaemia 1843 10.4 3 2663 3.7 11 1.4
Bone and articular cartilage 1538 8.7 4 2760 3.8 10 1.8
Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma 1513 8.5 5 4873 6.7 6 3.2
Hodgkin's lymphoma 1209 6.8 6 9778 13.4 1 8.1
Mesothelial and soft tissue 1019 5.7 7 2539 3.5 13 2.5
Melanoma of skin 731 4.1 8 6744 9.3 3 9.2
Cervix 713 4.0 9 5520 7.6 5 7.7
Breast 683 3.9 10 3874 5.3 7 5.7
Testis 590 3.3 11 9757 13.4 2 16.5
Other sites in GI tract 487 2.7 12 819 1.1 19 1.7
Colorectal 485 2.7 13 1511 2.1 16 3.1
Respiratory and intrathoracic organs 402 2.3 14 1051 1.4 18 2.6
Ovary 376 2.1 15 2417 3.3 14 6.4
Benign and uncertain behaviour - CNS 373 2.1 16 2627 3.6 12 7.0
Other sites in GU organs 338 1.9 17 1762 2.4 15 5.2
Liver 295 1.7 18 389 0.5 20 1.3
Lip, oral cavity, and pharynx 276 1.6 19 1254 1.7 17 4.5
Thyroid and other endocrine glands 272 1.5 20 3063 4.2 9 11.3
Other and unspecified lympho-haematopoietic 222 1.3 21 381 0.5 21 1.7
All groups 17 737 100   72 880 100   4.1
a

Percentage of all deaths.

b

Percentage of all new cases.

c

Incidence to mortality ratio; number of new cases divided by number of deaths.

In 2002–2005, approximately 2500 TYAs in England died from neoplasms, of which 2341 were coded as malignant, making cancer the commonest disease-related cause of death at these ages, accounting for approximately 12% of all deaths and exceeded only by deaths from transport accidents, though at 13–14 years neoplasmic deaths outnumbered deaths from any other cause (Table 6). Deaths from all causes by sex and age group showed a heterogeneous distribution.

Table 6. Numbers (N) and sex ratios (M:F) by age group for the 10 leading causes of death and all deaths at ages 13–29 years in England and Wales, 2002–2005.

  13–14
15–19
20–24
25–29
13–29
Cause of death N M:F N M:F N M:F N M:F N M:F
Transport accidents 138 2.7 1441 3.7 1538 5.2 1011 5.2 4128 4.5
Neoplasms 187 1.4 595 1.2 722 1.3 964 1.0 2468 1.2
Intentional self-harm 15 0.9 331 3.1 864 4.3 1113 3.6 2323 3.7
Diseases of the circulatory system 52 1.4 277 1.6 392 1.5 643 2.0 1364 1.7
Mental and behavioural disorders 18 1.2 157 2.1 479 4.4 709 5.0 1363 4.1
Diseases of the nervous system 101 1.5 422 2.2 402 1.8 398 1.6 1323 1.8
Diseases of the respiratory system 55 1.4 133 1.3 192 1.1 222 1.6 602 1.3
Endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic diseases 36 1.8 134 0.8 208 1.3 193 1.1 571 1.1
Malformations, deformations, and abnormalities 54 1.2 157 1.5 165 1.4 168 1.0 544 1.3
Diseases of the digestive system 14 0.6 64 1.2 129 1.3 265 1.8 472 1.5
Other causes 227 1.5 1292 2.4 1965 2.9 2259 2.7 5743 2.6
All deaths 897 1.5 5003 2.2 7056 2.7 7945 2.4 20 901 2.4

Among the 875 deaths coded as being due to benign (275) or uncertain and unknown behaviour (600) neoplasms, 166 involved endocrine glands, 49 middle ear, respiratory and intrathoracic organs, 57 mesothelial and soft tissue, 31 haemopoietic and 23 of GU organs and 549 other sites.

DISCUSSION

This is the first study to present detailed analyses of cancer mortality in TYAs in England and Wales and makes use of recent national data over a 25-year period. The introduction of ICD-10 in 2001 had an impact on the analysis of trends in cancer mortality (Brock et al, 2004). Comparability ratios provide a measure of the effect of changes in coding practice that may vary by site and age. Approximated estimates of variations in rates of TYA mortality trends showed substantial robustness of the data to the introduction of the ICD-10 coding system. The results demonstrate that cancer mortality in TYAs has decreased over time. Yet, cancer is still the most common disease-related cause of death in this age group. Moreover, the sites of most lethal cancers differ from those at higher ages (Office for National Statistics, 2006a). Some of the deaths due to benign neoplasms or those of uncertain behaviour may have been miscoded or reported inaccurately. However, the small proportion of deaths so assigned to ill-defined sites supports the robustness of the data.

Major mortality reductions occurred for cancers of (i) respiratory and intrathoracic organs, mainly bronchus and lung, (ii) GU organs, cervical and testicular cancer in particular, and (iii) HL; whereas cancers of digestive organs, soft tissue, and CNS showed lower decreases in rates and less favourable incidence to mortality ratios. There were no corresponding incidence falls of these cancers in TYAs and in contrast some temporal increases have been noted (Birch, 2005). The marked reductions in mortality must therefore be due to well-documented improvements in survival, particularly from testis cancer and HL (Coleman et al, 1999). Given our study period, it is likely that cervical screening will have contributed to the reduction in cervix cancer mortality. That from melanoma remained relatively constant over time, in spite of an increase in incidence, and was higher in males. In contrast, incidence was higher in females indicating that survival for melanoma is higher in females and has increased over time. Increased public and physician awareness of melanoma in young people may have contributed to these changes.

Previous national studies of cancer mortality in England and Wales presented data up to 1997 (Swerdlow et al, 2001) and 2003 (Quinn et al, 2001; Rowan et al, 2005) and included figures for broad and variable age groups (e.g. 15–34, 20–44) depending on cancer site. Furthermore, not all relevant cancer sites were reported in detail for example bone, soft tissue, thyroid, HL, MML, LL and liver (Quinn et al, 2001); bone, soft tissue, MML, LL (Swerdlow et al, 2001), thereby preventing direct comparisons. Levi et al (2003) reported mortality trends at 15–24 years in Europe, including the United Kingdom but compared, 1965–1969 with 1995–1998, and only for selected diagnostic groups (bone, soft tissue, testis, NHL, HL, and all leukaemias combined), again, precluding direct comparison.

A recent study from the United States covering the period 1975–2000 included some mortality at ages 15–29 years (Bleyer et al, 2006), but was primarily on incidence and survival. In general, the trends were compatible with the present study though some differences were apparent. Thus, decreases in mortality at 15–29 years were reported for melanoma, colorectal carcinoma and testicular cancers; there were smaller reductions for CNS tumours and breast cancer. For liver cancer there was an overall decrease, but mortality increased in the more recent years, but time trends for other groups were not reported. In the present study, up to year 2000, no reduction in mortality from colorectal cancer was seen, but there was a steady decrease in breast cancer and mortality from liver cancer was stable. These differences may, at least in part, be due to differences in the ethnic mix in the United States, England, and Wales.

The recent guidance on improving outcomes in children and young people with cancer, published by the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (National Collaborating Centre for Cancer, 2005) noted the lack of available comprehensive data on cancers in TYAs. The present report provides this for mortality in England and Wales. The results highlight diagnostic groups, which present the greatest clinical challenges, including those in which the ratio of incidence to mortality is low, indicating poor survival and those groups with little or no reductions in mortality over time. The four leading causes of cancer death, CNS tumours, MML, LL, and bone cancers, all have low incidence to mortality ratios. Furthermore, over the 25-year study period, mortality in CNS and bone tumours has decreased by less than 1%. These observations may assist with resource allocation and the setting of clinical targets.

Acknowledgments

This research was funded by CLIC Sargent. Tim Eden is Teenage Cancer Trust Professor of Teenage and Young Adult Cancer, University of Manchester, Jillian Birch is Cancer Research UK Professorial Fellow, University of Manchester.

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