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Journal of Clinical Oncology logoLink to Journal of Clinical Oncology
. 2008 Sep 29;26(33):5393–5400. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2008.17.8228

Clinically Applicable Models to Characterize BRCA1 and BRCA2 Variants of Uncertain Significance

Andrew D Spearman 1, Kevin Sweet 1, Xiao-Ping Zhou 1, Jane McLennan 1, Fergus J Couch 1, Amanda Ewart Toland 1
PMCID: PMC2651073  PMID: 18824701

Abstract

Purpose

Twenty percent of individuals with a strong family and/or personal history of breast and ovarian cancer carry a deleterious mutation in BRCA1 or BRCA2. Identification of mutations in these genes is extremely beneficial for patients pursuing risk reduction strategies. Approximately 7% of individuals who have genetic testing of BRCA1 and BRCA2 carry a variant of uncertain significance (VUS), making clinical management less certain. The majority of identified VUS occur only in one to two individuals; these variants are not able to be classified using current classification models with segregation analysis components.

Methods

To develop a clinically applicable method that can predict the pathogenicity of VUS that does not require familial information or segregation analysis, we identified characteristics of breast or ovarian tumors that distinguished sporadic tumors from tumors with BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutations. Study participants included individuals with known deleterious mutations in BRCA1 or BRCA2 and individuals with classified or unclassified BRCA variants.

Results

We applied the models to 57 tumors with 43 different deleterious BRCA mutations and 57 tumors with 54 unique classified and unclassified BRCA variants. Of the 33 previously unclassified VUS studied, we found evidence of neutrality for 21.

Conclusion

Our models showed 98% sensitivity and 76% specificity for predicting classified DNA changes. We classified 64% of unknown variants as neutral. Classification of VUS as neutral will have immediate benefit for those individuals and their family members. These models are adaptable for the clinic and will be useful for individuals with limited available family history.

INTRODUCTION

Mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 confer a greatly increased lifetime risk for breast and ovarian cancer. The number of individuals who have had genetic testing of BRCA1 and BRCA2 in the United States now exceeds 70,000.1 Individuals who carry a mutation in BRCA1 or BRCA2 can increase the likelihood of detecting cancers at an earlier stage by more stringent surveillance and can decrease their chance of developing cancer through the use of prophylactic surgery and/or chemopreventive agents. Of the high-risk individuals who have had mutation analyses through Myriad Genetic Laboratories (Salt Lake City, UT), approximately 7% have a variant of uncertain significance (VUS) in BRCA1 or BRCA2.2-4 VUS are typically missense or potential splice site changes of uncertain biologic or clinical relevance. They are more frequent in the minority ethnic populations.3 More than 1,500 VUS have been identified; most have only been reported in one to two individuals.

Through prediction studies, some BRCA VUS have been classified as neutral polymorphisms, and a small number of BRCA VUS have been classified as likely deleterious. Many of the predicted deleterious VUS are located in highly conserved functional domains or affect transcript start or splice sites. Still, the majority of variants have yet to be classified.4-11 Several of the algorithms used to characterize VUS use familial segregation analysis or study variants in multiple unrelated individuals to provide evidence for or against causality. One difficulty with this approach is that the vast majority of reported VUS have been observed in only one or two individuals, which makes them ineligible for segregation analysis. Also, population-based studies in BRCA carriers have shown that more than 50% of BRCA-positive individuals may not have a close family member with a BRCA-related cancer who would be available for segregation analysis.12 Finally, some individuals with BRCA VUS have BRCA-related cancers segregating on both sides of the family. Thus, it is important to develop additional means to classify VUS that do not rely on segregation and can be applied in various clinical settings.

To address this need, we developed four BRCA VUS classification models that use clinical information typically available from pathology and mutation testing reports combined with protein prediction model data, cancer type, and tumor loss of heterozygosity (LOH) data. We applied these models to 57 tumors with deleterious BRCA mutations and 57 tumors with classified and/or unclassified variants.

METHODS

Human Samples

Studies were approved by local institutional review boards. All study participants signed informed consent for this research. Paired normal and tumor tissues were ascertained through one of the following three sources: The Ohio State University Comprehensive Cancer Center Clinical Cancer Genetics Program, the Mayo Clinic Familial Cancer Program, and the University of California, San Francisco Familial Risk Shared Resource. Eligibility criteria included a diagnosis of breast or ovarian cancer, available normal and tumor DNA, available pathology records, and a BRCA testing report showing a BRCA1 and/or BRCA2 deleterious mutation, VUS, or a reclassified variant. Hematoxylin and eosin slides from tumors were reviewed by a pathologist, and areas comprising greater then 70% tumor cells were microdissected from sections or were cored. Normal DNA was isolated from blood or histologically normal breast tissue. Lymphoblastoid cell lines were established on a subset of individuals.

Genomic DNA was isolated from fixed archival tissue by removal of paraffin using xylene and ethanol washes. Protein was removed by proteinase K treatment for 48 hours at 55°C in nucleic acid lysis buffer. Samples were phenol/chloroform extracted and ethanol precipitated.

Allele-Specific LOH

We used restriction fragment length polymorphism studies and sequence analysis to conduct allele-specific LOH analysis. When a mutation or variant altered a restriction enzyme site, polymerase chain reaction (PCR) products were digested with the appropriate enzyme, separated on an agarose gel, and stained with ethidium bromide. Bands were visualized on an Alphaimager (Alpha Innotech, San Leandro, CA). For mutations resulting in deletions of more than 20 base pairs, PCR products were run directly on a 1.5% agarose gel. LOH was assessed visually for restriction fragment length polymorphism analysis. When the results were visually ambiguous, ratios of cut to uncut band of normal and tumor DNA were taken using band intensity. Samples were scored as loss if the ratios were greater than 1.5 or less than 0.67 according to criteria used in other studies.13,14 To avoid undercalling LOH, we scored samples as uncertain if ratios fell between 0.67 and 0.76 or 1.35 and 1.50. For changes not resulting in an altered restriction site, PCR products were treated with ExoSap-It (USB, Cleveland, OH) and sequenced. Sequence traces in the forward and reverse direction were compared between control DNA and normal DNA and tumor DNA containing the sequence change using DNAstar 3.0 (DNASTAR, Inc, Madison, WI). Loss was determined visually by two reviewers and consisted of at least 30% difference between the two alleles compared with normal carrier ratios.

Evolutionary Conservation

We used align grantham variation deviation analysis (A-GVGD) to identify missense changes of potential functional significance (http://agvgd.iarc.fr/alignments.php).6,15 A-GVGD uses a combination of the physical properties of amino acids and protein sequence alignments from multiple species to predict if missense substitutions are more likely to be neutral or affect protein function. Because deleterious missense changes have not been reported outside of conserved BRCA domains,4 we applied A-GVGD only to missense changes occurring in the following three conserved domains: BRCA1 ring domain (amino acids 1 to 102), BRCA1 breast cancer C-terminal domain (amino acids 1641 to 1863), or BRCA2 DNA binding domain (amino acids 2401 to 3200). A-GVGD analysis assigns a probability class to each variant studied ranging from class (C) 0 variants, which are expected to be neutral, to C65 variants, which are expected to affect protein function. Using data from 1,400 VUS,4 prior probabilities of a change being deleterious for the A-GVGD classes of variants mapping to conserved regions were as follows: C65 = 0.81; C35, C45, and C55 = 0.66; C15 and C25 = 0.29; and C0 = 0.01.16 From these likelihood probabilities, we calculated odds of being deleterious for the A-GVGD classes falling into conserved domains as follows: C0 = 0.01; C15 and C25 = 0.41; C35, C45, and C55 = 1.5; and C65 = 4.26. All other missense changes were given a probability of being deleterious of 0.01.4

Splicing Studies

To determine whether any VUS affected normal splicing patterns and, therefore, could be functional changes, we used ESEfinder and SpliceSiteFinder to measure the theoretical effect on splicing.17,18 These programs are used to identify exonic splice enhancer motifs (ESEfinder) or putative splice sites (SpliceSiteFinder). We isolated RNA from lymphoblastoid cell lines from individuals carrying putative splice site mutations for use in splicing studies. We performed reverse transcriptase PCR using primer sets from the two flanking exons as well as primer sets between the flanking exon and the potentially aberrantly spliced exon using cDNA from patients and wild-type controls. We noted aberrant splicing in cases where bands of sizes other than those seen in 11 wild-type cDNA controls were present. To confirm abnormal splicing, we sequenced any extra bands.

Observation With a Deleterious Mutation

Because homozygous BRCA1 mutations are expected to be lethal and homozygous BRCA2 mutations are expected to result in lethality or phenotypes such as Fanconi anemia, the presence of a deleterious mutation in trans with a variant suggests its neutrality.6 We used data from mutation reports and the literature to determine whether variants in our study had been observed in trans with a deleterious mutation. For our models, we used the published estimates of the probabilities of two deleterious mutations occurring in trans in BRCA1 and BRCA2 of P = .0001 and P = .001, respectively.5

Model Phenotypes

To identify tumor characteristics that would be useful in discriminating deleterious variants from nondeleterious variants, we searched the literature for studies comparing characteristics of breast and ovarian tumors from BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation-positive and mutation-negative individuals. We identified a number of characteristics available in most pathology reports that could be used in a prediction model (Table 1). 5,19-56 When a considerable range of frequency estimates was observed for a characteristic, we calculated an average frequency based on raw numbers from all of the studies. Not surprisingly, the features predictive of mutation status varied between both breast and ovarian cancer and between BRCA1 and BRCA2. As a result, we created likelihood odds for four predictive models, one for each gene and tumor type, that differ only between gene/cancer site and model-specific likelihood odds (Appendix Table A1, online only; see also Appendix, online only).

Table 1.

Frequency of Histopathologic Characteristics of BRCA1, BRCA2, and Sporadic Tumors

Characteristic Sporadic Frequency (%)
BRCA1 Frequency (%)
BRCA2 Frequency (%)
Range Reported in Literature Frequency Used for Weighting Range Reported in Literature Frequency Used for Weighting Range Reported in Literature Frequency Used for Weighting
Breast
    BRCA1 loss 20-40 30 68-100 80 NA
    BRCA2 loss 22-50 30 NA 38-100 70
    Medullary 1-3 1.5 11-13 12 ND
    Triple negative 10-25 16 80 80 ND
    ER negative 13-37 26 63-90 83 ND
    PR positive 58-68 65 16-21 20 ND
    HER-2 positive 12-35 20 0-3 3 0-3 3
    HER-2 negative 70-88 80 97-100 97 97-100 97
    ER positive/grade 1 27-42 30 0-2.4 2 5-17 7
    ER positive/grade 2 11-28 27 10-17 10 22-45 41
    ER positive/grade 3 9-17 13 12-28 13 28-30 28
    ER negative/grade 1 3-14 5 0-1 1 1-4 2
    ER negative/grade 2 12-13 13 9-13 13 2-17 5
    ER negative/grade 3 12-16 16 62-91 65 9-18 16
    Grade 1 18-56 22 0-9 2.5 11-22 17
    Grade 2 23-49 42 16-26 23 29-49 43
    Grade 3 21-49 36 66-100 71 38-64 47
Ovarian
    BRCA1 loss 40-66 40 72-100 90 NA
    BRCA2 loss 30-42 30 NA 80-100 80
    Serous 29-47 34 40-100 50 39-100 60
    Mucinous 11-36 17 0-3 2 0-2 1
    Endometrioid 5-33 26 NA 0-29 18
    Grade 1 10-19 13 1-3 2 0-3 3
    Grade 2 21-34 31 22-27 26 13-14 14
    Grade 3 50-55 54 72-75 72 81-87 87
    Stage I 24 3-17 17 0-6 6
    Stage II 17 10-16 10 0-6 6
    Stage III 40 69-70 69 82-100 82
    Stage IV 19 3-11 6 0-7 5

Abbreviations: NA, not applicable comparison; ND, not calculated because the literature suggests no differences from sporadic rates; ER, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone receptor; HER-2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2.

Statistical Methods

To derive odds of pathogenicity for each variant, we used a modified multifactorial approach that combines the odds of causation of independent variables.4,5,7,9 Odds for each independent variable were determined from frequencies reported in the literature or published odds, with the exception of truncating mutations and splice site alterations for which we calculated odds of being deleterious of 1,000:1 if splicing defects or truncating mutations were identified and odds of 0.01 if splicing defects were not observed. The product of the likelihoods of independent variables was obtained to provide an overall odds of pathogenicity for each sequence alteration (additional details are in Appendix). On the basis of previous studies, we used a cutoff of 1,000:1 in favor of being deleterious and a cutoff of 100:1 in favor of being neutral for final classification status.4,5 When two independent tumors with the same sequence alteration were identified, independent factors for both were combined and considered in the final data interpretation. We calculated odds both with and without LOH data because LOH data may not be typically available clinically and the frequency of LOH in neutral BRCA variants has not been well documented. If a prediction of variant status was only significant in the combined odds using LOH data, we scored the variant as suspected neutral or suspected deleterious accordingly.

RESULTS

Identification of Study Criteria for the Models

We collected tumor and normal tissue and histopathologic and clinical data from the medical records and mutation reports of 102 individuals with BRCA mutations or characterized or uncharacterized variants (Table 2). The study group consisted of 57 tumors with 43 unique deleterious mutations and 57 tumors with 54 unique variants (Tables 2, 3, and 4; Appendix Tables A2 and A3, online only).

Table 2.

Study Population

Factor No. of Mutations
No. of VUS
BRCA1 BRCA2 Total BRCA1 BRCA2 Total
Breast tumors 33 17 50 21 29 50
Ovarian tumors 3 4 7 1 6 7
Unique change 25 18 43 19 35 54
Previously classified NA NA NA 9 12 21
Previously unclassified NA NA NA 10 23 33
Patients* 33 17 50 21 34 55
    Patients with two or more changes 2 0 2 4
Bilateral cancer 3 0 3 1 1 2

Abbreviations: VUS, variant of uncertain significance; NA, not applicable.

*

Note that the No. of patients on study (n = 102) does not equal the total No. of tumors studied (n = 114) or the total No. of patients in this table (n = 105). Some individuals have bilateral cancers; other study participants have more than one change identified and are counted in more than one category.

Table 3.

Examples of Characteristics for Predictive Breast Models

Sequence Change LOH Conserved Domain A-GVGD Class Splice Defect In Trans Age at Diagnosis (years) Grade ER Status PR Status HER-2 Status Histology
BRCA1
    1294del40 WT NA NA ND NA 40 3 + IDC
    IVS13+1 G>A None NA NA Yes No 41 2 IDC
    C61G WT Yes C65 ND No 29 3 IDC
    Y856H None No C0 ND Yes 45 3 + + + DCIS
BRCA2
    2041delA None NA NA ND NA 34 3 + + IDC
    IVS8-12delTA None NA NA No No 44 1 + + IDC
    N517S None No C0 ND No 45 1 + + ND IDC
    L2106P None No C0 ND No 57 3 + + IDC

NOTE. Examples of phenotypes from eight individuals with different types of BRCA1 and BRCA2 sequence changes are shown. The full list of tumors and sequence alterations studied is provided in Appendix Table A2.

Abbreviations: LOH, loss of heterozygosity; A-GVGD, align grantham variation, grantham deviation; ER, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone receptor; HER-2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; WT, wild-type allele lost; NA, not applicable; ND, no data; −, negative; +, positive; IDC, invasive ductal carcinoma; DCIS, ductal carcinoma in situ.

Table 4.

Examples of Characteristics for Predictive Ovarian Models

Gene Mutation Type Change Conserved Domain LOH A-GVGD Class In Trans Stage Grade Age at Diagnosis (years) Histology
BRCA1 Truncating 1135insA NA WT NA No ND 3C 59 Papillary serous
BRCA1 Missense P334L No WT C0 Yes ND ND 39 Unspecified
BRCA2 Truncating 7297delCT NA None NA NA ND 3C 22 Serous
BRCA2 Missense M784V No V C0 No IIIC 3 45 Unspecified
BRCA2 Missense V1643A No WT C0 No IIIC ND 50 Serous

NOTE. Examples of phenotypes from different BRCA1 and BRCA2 sequence alterations seen in ovarian tumors are shown. The full list of phenotypes from all sequence alterations studied is provided in Appendix Table A3.

Abbreviations: LOH, loss of heterozygosity; A-GVGD, align grantham variation, grantham deviation; NA, not applicable; WT, wild-type allele lost; ND, no data; V, variant or mutant allele lost.

LOH

One characteristic of BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation tumors that has been used previously to assess pathogenicity of BRCA VUS is tumor LOH.5,11,25 LOH occurs more frequently in BRCA mutation–positive tumors than sporadic tumors and is thought to occur predominantly on the nonmutated chromosome (Table 1).5,11,25,26,28 LOH in tumors with a neutral BRCA1 or BRCA2 variant is predicted to be random for loss of variant or wild-type allele; however, LOH in this group has not been well studied. To determine whether our observed rates of LOH were comparable to published rates, we successfully conducted allele-specific LOH studies on 56 of 57 tumors from carriers of known deleterious mutations. We detected LOH of the wild-type BRCA1 allele in 85% of breast tumors (28 of 33 tumors) and 100% of ovarian tumors (three of three tumors; Tables 3 and 4; Appendix Tables A2 and A3). We observed LOH of the wild-type BRCA2 allele in 63% of breast tumors (10 of 16 tumors) and 25% of ovarian tumors (one of four tumors). We also observed loss of the mutant allele in one BRCA1 breast tumor and in one BRCA2 breast tumor (Appendix Table A2). The BRCA1 frequencies of LOH are similar to published rates. However, the BRCA2 frequencies of loss were slightly lower than expected and lower than the frequencies used in other studies.5 We were also surprised by the high observed frequency of LOH of the mutant allele in breast tumors (one of 33 tumors for BRCA1 and one of 16 tumors for BRCA2). On the basis of our data and previous published reports, we used a frequency of LOH to generate likelihood ratios of the wild-type allele of 79% and 69% for BRCA1- for BRCA2-positive breast tumors, respectively, and 89% and 79% for BRCA1- and BRCA2-positive ovarian tumors, respectively, in our prediction models (Appendix Table A1). For deleterious mutations, we assumed that 1% of the time there would be loss of the mutant allele, as has been suggested in the literature.5,11,25,26,28

We successfully assessed allele-specific LOH in 55 of 57 tumors with BRCA VUS (Tables 2 and 3; Appendix Tables A2 and A3). Twenty-nine percent of tumors (six of 21 tumors) with BRCA1 VUS showed LOH of the wild-type allele, 14% of tumors (three of 21 tumors) showed LOH of the variant allele, and 57% of tumors (12 of 21 tumors) showed no imbalance. For BRCA2, 26% of breast tumors (nine of 34 tumors) showed wild-type allele loss, 23% of tumors (eight of 34 tumors) showed variant allele loss, and 50% of tumors (17 of 34 tumors) showed no imbalance. Variants BRCA1 IVS2-14 C>T, S127N, and V1804D and BRCA2 A1170V, E2856A, H1966Y, I2285V, M784V, N1878K, and Y42C were lost in tumors providing evidence for neutrality.

Sequence-Based Methods to Determine Pathogenicity

On the basis of a study of more than 1,433 BRCA VUS, pathogenic VUS are most likely to occur in regions that are highly conserved across species, occur in specific BRCA protein domains, and/or affect splicing.4 Five BRCA1 and nine BRCA2 missense changes fell in or near highly conserved domains. For these variants, we used A-AVGD, a statistical algorithm validated and widely used for the study of BRCA VUS, to assign classes of C0 (neutral) to C65 (likely deleterious).5,6,9,15,16 A-AVGD classified 10 of these variants as C0 or neutral (Tables 2 and 3; Appendix Tables A2 and A3). Three VUS and one suspected mutation were assigned a higher class and given an increased likelihood of being deleterious (Tables 5 and 6; Appendix Tables A4 and A5, online only).

Table 5.

Examples of Breast Tumor Odds

Sequence Change Odds
Odds Odds, No LOH Interpretation
LOH A-GVGD/Mutation Splice In Trans Age at Diagnosis Triple Negative ER Status PR Status HER-2 Grade/ER Grade HP
BRCA1
    1294del40 5.26 1,000 1 1 3.4 1 1 2.29 0.15 4.1 1 1 2.5 × 104 4,788 D
    IVS13+1 G>A 0.285 1 1,000 1 3.4 5 1 1 1 1 0.55 1 2,665 9,350 D*
    C61G 5.26 4.26 1 1 15.3 5 1 1 1 1 1.97 1 3,377 642 DS*
    Y856H 0.285 0.01 1 0.0001 3.4 1 0.23 0.31 0.15 1 1.97 1 2 × 10−8 7 × 10−8 N
BRCA2
    2041delA 0.428 1,000 1 1 4.97 1 1 1 1.2 2.2 1 1 5,616 1.3 × 104 D
    IVS8-12delTA 0.428 1 0.01 1 2.89 1 1 1 1.2 0.23 1 1 0.003 0.008 N
    N517S 0.428 0.01 1 1 2.89 1 1 1 1 0.23 1 1 0.003 0.007 N
    L2106P 0.428 0.01 1 1 2.07 1 1 1 1.2 2.2 1 1 0.023 0.054 U

NOTE. Examples of odds generated from phenotypic data of Table 3 are shown. The final odds are calculated by combining odds for each of the independent variables. The full list of odds for each sequence variation and tumor studied is provided in Appendix Table A4.

Abbreviations: LOH, loss of heterozygosity; A-GVGD, align grantham variation, grantham deviation; ER, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone receptor; HER-2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; HP, histopathology; D, deleterious; DS, suspected deleterious; N, neutral; U, uncertain.

*

Reclassified as deleterious by other studies.

Table 6.

Examples of Ovarian Tumor Odds

Gene Change Odds
Combined Odds Odds, No LOH Interpretation
LOH A-GVGD/ Mutation In Trans Stage Grade Histology Age
BRCA1 1135insA* 4.45 1,000 1 1 1.33 1.47 11.8 102,662.3 23,070.2 D
BRCA1 P334L 4.45 0.01 0.0001 1 1 1 7.06 0.0000314 0.0000071 N
BRCA2 7297delCT 0.428 1,000 1 1 1.61 1.76 0.52 630.65 1,473.47 D
BRCA2 M784V 0.067 0.01 1 2.05 1.61 1 4.05 0.009 0.1337 SN
BRCA2 V1643A 4.6 0.01 1 2.05 1 1.76 7.92 1.3145 0.2858 U

NOTE. Examples of odds generated from phenotypes listed in Table 4 are shown. The final odds are calculated by combining odds for each of the independent variables. The full list of odds from all sequence alterations and ovarian tumors studied is provided in Appendix Table A5.

Abbreviations: LOH, loss of heterozygosity; A-GVGD, align grantham variation, grantham deviation; D, deleterious; N, neutral; SN, suspected neutral; U, uncertain.

*

Change was also seen in a different individual with breast cancer.

Reclassified as neutral by other studies.

Splicing Studies

Using ESEfinder and SpliceSiteFinder, none of the missense variants were predicted to affect splicing (Appendix Tables A4 and A5). To study splicing defects of intronic variants, we isolated RNA from lymphoblastoid cell lines for four individuals with unclassified intronic VUS and from one individual with an intronic variant classified as deleterious. cDNA from 11 individuals not carrying the variants and genomic DNA from the carriers were used as controls. None of the four VUS studied (BRCA1 IVS2-14 C>T and IVS20-14 C>G and BRCA2 IVS23+9 C>T and IVS8-12delTA) showed splicing defects in contrast to the intervening sequence variant previously classified as deleterious (BRCA1 IVS5-11 G>T; data not shown).

Prediction of Deleterious Status

To classify BRCA VUS, we developed four weighted models that incorporated allele-specific LOH, tumor histopathology, evolutionary prediction and splicing, and observation with a deleterious mutation (Tables 5 and 6; Appendix Tables A4 and A5). Because LOH may not be as readily available as some of the other parameters used in our models and the frequencies of LOH in tumors with neutral BRCA variants have not been well documented, we calculated combined odds with and without LOH status (Tables 5 and 6; Appendix Tables A4 and A5). The combined sensitivity of our four models was 98% for known deleterious mutations (42 of 43 deleterious mutations were predicted as deleterious or suspected deleterious), and the specificity was 76% for previously classified neutral changes (16 of 21 neutral VUS were predicted neutral or suspected neutral).4-6,8,9,57-62 The known sequence alterations not classified as deleterious or neutral were all classified as uncertain; none were incorrectly classified. Of previously unclassified variants, 64% (21 of 33 variants) were classified as neutral by our models.

DISCUSSION

We developed four models for the prediction of BRCA VUS that do not require family history information or segregation analysis. To our knowledge, we describe the first models for the characterization of BRCA VUS that use ovarian tumor histopathology to characterize VUS. Using these models, we characterized 21 BRCA VUS as neutral. Of known deleterious mutations, none were incorrectly classified as neutral, and of predicted neutral variants, none were incorrectly classified as deleterious. For known or predicted deleterious mutations, our models showed 98% sensitivity. No VUS in this study were predicted to be deleterious.

In our study, one known deleterious truncating BRCA1 mutation was not classified as deleterious or suspected deleterious. The tumor sample was from a 75-year-old woman. It did not show LOH and had pathologic characteristics (estrogen receptor [ER] positive and progesterone receptor [PR] positive) more typical of a non-BRCA1, sporadic tumor observed in women of this age. It is possible that this tumor is a phenocopy and not a result of the patient's inherited BRCA1 mutation.

A few VUS, such as BRCA2 IVS13+5 G>C and BRCA1 L1764P, showed odds of greater than 20:1 in favor of being deleterious and warrant additional studies for characterization. L1764P has shown suggestive odds for being deleterious in other studies.4,58 A number of VUS were close to a cutoff of 100:1 in favor of a neutral classification. These are likely to be neutral; however, further studies are needed to clarify their status.

These models can be readily adapted for use in the clinical setting or for an online clinical prediction tool because all of the weighting factors, except for LOH, are available from mutation and pathology reports, online programs, and published resources. Thus, these models offer a significant advantage over other models currently used to predict VUS status. Recently, a study by the kConFab group proposed a similar model using tumor histopathology as one feature to classify BRCA VUS.63 The main differences between our models and the kConFab model are that the kConFab model included segregation analysis, a different protein prediction method, and immunohistochemical staining of basal cytokeratins. Their model also did not evaluate VUS found in ovarian tumors. One advantage of our model over other models is that it does not require segregation analysis or additional laboratory analysis. For example, basal cytokeratin staining is not yet commonly used in many pathology laboratories for breast cancer diagnosis purposes. However, ER, PR, and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 staining are part of routine practice for breast cancer pathology. In addition, a recent article suggests that, although basal cytokeratins can help to predict BRCA1 mutation–positive tumors, cytokeratin staining itself was not as good a predictor as age of onset and ER, PR, and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 status.42 Seventy-two percent of the 20 VUS in the kConFab study, including some previously characterized variants, and 64% of the 33 unclassified VUS in our study were classified. Together, these studies demonstrate that inclusion of histopathology can be powerful for the characterization of BRCA VUS.

Individuals and their at-risk family members who carry a BRCA VUS often delay making decisions about their cancer risk management or make management decisions based on uncertain information. These individuals are also not able to take full advantage of prevention and therapeutic strategies typically offered to deleterious mutation carriers. Classification of 21 previously unclassified VUS using the models described here has the potential to help the individuals who carry these variants. Our models should also be useful for the classification of additional BRCA VUS in individuals from whom limited family history is available.

AUTHORS’ DISCLOSURES OF POTENTIAL CONFLICTS OF INTEREST

The author(s) indicated no potential conflicts of interest.

AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS

Conception and design: Andrew D. Spearman, Fergus J. Couch, Amanda Ewart Toland

Financial support: Amanda Ewart Toland

Administrative support: Kevin Sweet

Provision of study materials or patients: Kevin Sweet, Xiao-Ping Zhou, Jane McLennan, Fergus J. Couch

Collection and assembly of data: Andrew D. Spearman, Amanda Ewart Toland

Data analysis and interpretation: Andrew D. Spearman, Amanda Ewart Toland

Manuscript writing: Andrew D. Spearman, Kevin Sweet, Amanda Ewart Toland

Final approval of manuscript: Andrew D. Spearman, Kevin Sweet, Xiao-Ping Zhou, Jane McLennan, Fergus J. Couch, Amanda Ewart Toland

Acknowledgments

We thank Drs. S. Barsky, R. Jimenez, M. Abdel-Rahman, and B.-M. Ljung for reviewing pathology. J. Ziegler, B. Crawford (University of California, San Francisco [UCSF] Familial Risk Shared Resource), C. Reeder (The Ohio State University [OSU] Comprehensive Cancer Center [CCC] Tissue Procurement Shared Resource), K. Chew (UCSF Tissue Shared Resource), K. Gault, M. Means, A. D’Souza, I. Comeras (OSU Clinical Cancer Genetics), and S. Nagy, (OSU Human Cancer Genetics Sample Bank) were instrumental in sample ascertainment and preparation. Finally, we thank the OSU CCC Nucleic Acids Shared Resource for sequencing support.

Appendix

Variants of Uncertain Significance Characterization Models

We created four models to characterize BRCA1 and BRCA2 variants of uncertain significance, one each for BRCA1 breast cancer, BRCA1 ovarian cancer, BRCA2 breast cancer, and BRCA2 ovarian cancer. The models differ only in the input variables and the weighted odds associated with each variable. The input characteristics and their weighted odds are listed for each model in Appendix Table A1. The overall likelihood odds of causality for each variant were calculated by obtaining the product of the combined independent variables. When nonindependent variables were present (eg, estrogen receptor status and estrogen receptor status/grade), the variable with the highest odds for being deleterious was used in the calculation. When data from multiple tumors with the same variant were combined, the odds for align grantham variation, grantham deviation/mutation, splice site, age at diagnosis, and in trans with mutation were used only once in the combined odds.

We developed models with and without loss of heterozygosity (LOH) data because LOH data may not readily be available clinically, and we wished to determine whether the models would perform well without these data. A sequence change was considered to be deleterious if the odds without LOH data were 1,000:1 or higher. A sequence change was considered to be suspected deleterious if the odds were 1,000:1 or higher for the odds including the LOH data but the odds not including the LOH data were lower than 1,000:1. A sequence change was considered to be neutral if the odds of deleterious without LOH data were 0.01:1 or lower. A sequence change was considered to be suspected neutral if the odds of deleterious with LOH data were 0.01 or lower but the odds of deleterious without LOH data were higher. Sequence changes falling between odds of deleterious of 1,000:1 and 0.01:1 were scored as uncertain. The concordance in calls between the odds with and without the LOH data was 79% for deleterious mutations (34 of 43 mutations) and 90% for previously predicted neutral variants (19 of 21 variants). These data suggest that these models will perform well with or without the LOH data.

Sensitivity and Specificity of Models

The sensitivity of our four models in predicting known deleterious mutations was calculated using the combined odds without LOH data. Forty-two (98%) of 43 known deleterious mutations were scored as deleterious or suspected deleterious using our models. If we used only mutations scored as deleterious on the odds no LOH, 88% of the mutations (38 of 43 mutations) were scored as deleterious. Our two ovarian models were 100% sensitive for predicting ovarian tumors with deleterious mutations (three of three BRCA1 mutations and four of four BRCA2 mutations) using the odds without LOH. The specificity of our four models was 76% for previously predicted neutral variants (16 of 21 variants).

Table A1.

Odds Used for VUS Classification

Characteristic Odds
BRCA1 BRCA2
Breast
    No LOH 0.285 0.428
    Loss of wild type 5.26 4.6
    Loss of variant 0.067 0.067
    Medullary 8.0 NA
    Triple negative 5.0 NA
    ER positive 0.23 NA
    ER negative 3.2 NA
    PR positive 0.31 NA
    PR negative 2.29 NA
    HER-2 positive 0.15 0.15
    HER-2 negative 1.2 1.2
    ER positive/grade 1 0.067 0.23
    ER positive/grade 2 0.37 1.5
    ER positive/grade 3 NA 2.2
    ER negative/grade 1 0.2 0.4
    ER negative/grade 2 NA 0.38
    ER negative/grade 3 4.1 NA
    Grade 1 0.11 0.77
    Grade 2 0.55 NA
    Grade 3 1.97 1.3
    Diagnosis at > 60 years* 1.25 1.55
    Diagnosis at 50-59 years* 1.67 2.07
    Diagnosis at 40-49 years* 3.40 2.89
    Diagnosis at 30-39 years* 9.65 4.97
    Diagnosis at < 30 years* 15.3 4.71
    Unconserved domain 0.01 0.01
    Conserved C0 0.01 0.01
    Conserved C15, C25 0.41 0.41
    Conserved C35, C45, C55 1.5 1.5
    Conserved C65 4.26 4.26
    Splice defect 1,000 1,000
    Not affecting splicing 0.01 0.01
    Truncating mutation 1,000 1,000
    In trans with mutation 0.0001 0.001
Ovarian
    No LOH 0.167 0.428
    Loss of wild type 4.45 4.6
    Loss of variant 0.05 0.067
    Serous 1.47 1.76
    Mucinous 0.11 0.06
    Endometrioid NA 0.69
    Grade 1 0.15 0.23
    Grade 2 NA 0.45
    Grade 3 1.33 1.61
    Stage I 0.71 0.25
    Stage II 0.59 0.35
    Stage III 1.73 2.05
    Stage IV 0.32 0.26
    Diagnosis at > 60 years* 4.6 4.52
    Diagnosis at 50-59 years* 11.8 7.92
    Diagnosis at 40-49 years* 18.0 4.05
    Diagnosis at < 40 years* 7.06 0.52
    Unconserved domain 0.01 0.01
    Conserved C0 0.01 0.01
    Conserved C15, C25 0.41 0.41
    Conserved C35, C45, C55 1.5 1.5
    Conserved C65 4.26 4.26
    Splice defect 1,000 1,000
    Not affecting splicing 0.01 0.01
    Truncating mutation 1,000 1,000
    In trans with mutation 0.0001 0.001

Abbreviations: VUS, variant of uncertain significance; LOH, loss of heterozygosity; NA, not applicable because no significant differences were identified; ER, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone receptor; HER-2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; C, align-grantham variation, grantham deviation class.

*

Odds for age of diagnosis as previously reported.

Table A2.

BRCA1 and BRCA2 Breast Tumor Characteristics

Sequence Change Sample Race Conserved Domain A-GVGD Class LOH Splice Defect In Trans Age at Diagnosis (years) Grade ER Status PR Status HER-2 Status Histology
BRCA1 truncating
    1135insA 1463 White NA NA WT ND NA 38 3 IDC
    1240delC 0409 White NA NA WT ND NA 38 2 DCIS
    1294del40 4439 White NA NA WT ND NA ND 4 ND IDC
    1294del40 127345 White NA NA WT ND NA 40 3 + IDC
    1294del40 78081 White NA NA WT ND NA 51 1 ND IDC
    1294del40 169184 White NA NA WT ND NA 32 ND ND
    1547del10 21538 White NA NA WT ND NA 33 3 + IDC
    1623del5 71759 White NA NA WT ND NA 39 2 + IDC
    1675delA 10950 White NA NA WT ND NA 36 3 ND IDC
    1793delA 12313 Hispanic NA NA WT ND NA 37 3 IDC
    187delAG 45251a* Ash J NA NA WT ND NA 35 3 + IDC
    187delAG 45251b* Ash J NA NA WT ND NA 36 3 IDC
    187delAG 5042 Ash J NA NA WT ND NA 35 3 IDC
    2530delAG 458 White NA NA WT ND NA 30 2 IDC
    2553delC 4724 Hispanic NA NA WT ND NA 27 3 ND ND IDC
    2576delC 61933 White NA NA WT ND NA 58 3 IDC
    2576delC 175158 White NA NA WT ND NA 47 ND + + IDC
    2800delAA 24042a* White NA NA WT ND NA 39 3 ND ND ND IDC
    2800delAA 24042b* White NA NA None ND NA 47 2 IDC
    3118delA 11984 Hispanic NA NA V ND NA 32 3 IDC
    3600del11 34406 White NA NA WT ND NA 37 2 Unspecified
    5382insC 20758 Ash J NA NA WT ND NA 61 2 ND IDC
    E143X 34642 White NA NA WT ND NA 32 3 IDC
    Q563X 61051 White NA NA WT ND NA 47 3 + IDC
    S868X 176811 White NA NA None ND NA 74 3 + + ILC
    Q1408X 34642 White NA NA None ND NA 29 ND Unspecified
BRCA1 splice defect
    IVS4-1 G>T 2364a* White NA NA WT Yes No 48 3 ND DCIS, LCIS
    IVS4-1 G>T 2364b* White NA NA WT Yes No 49 1 + + DCIS, LCIS
    IVS13+1 G>A 98453 White NA NA None Yes No 41 2 IDC
    IVS15+1 G>A 2-112-140 White NA NA WT Yes No ND 4 ND IDC
    IVS5-11 T>G 45949 White NA NA WT Yes No 59 2 Medullary
BRCA1 intronic
    IVS12+1 0G>C 78081 White NA NA None ND No 51 1 ND IDC
    IVS20-14 C>G 168788 White NA NA None No No 34 3 + + IDC
    IVS2-14 C>T 64703 White NA NA V No No 44 1 + + IDC
    IVS2-6 T>C 15007 White NA NA None ND No 38 ND + + DCIS
BRCA1 missense
    C61G 14068 White Yes C65 WT ND No 32 3 + IDC
    C61G 19882 White Yes C65 WT ND No 29 3 IDC
    E597K 98286 White No C0 None ND No 45 1 + + ND IDC
    E736A 15102 Asian No C0 None ND No 44 ND + + DCIS
    I1275V 4061 White No C0 WT ND No 37 3 IDC
    K1109N 0477a* White No C0 None ND No 35 ND ND ND ND DCIS
    K1109N 0477b* White No C0 None ND No 49 2 + + IDC
    L1764P 4744 White Yes C35 WT ND No 32 3 + IDC
    P1637L 175158 White Close C0 WT ND No 47 ND + + IDC
    P1776H 154045 White No C0 WT ND No 48 3 + + ND
    P1776H 133886 White No C0 WT ND No 55 ND ND ND ND Unspecified
    P334H 34402 White No C0 None ND No 38 2 + + IDC
    S127N 4060 Af Am/N Am No C0 V ND No 38 ND ND ND ND IDC
    V1247I 11092 Asian No C0 None ND No 40 3 + + IDC
    V1804D 16719 White Yes C0 V ND No 58 2 + + IDC
    V1804D 73481 White Yes C0 ND ND No 59 1 + + ND IDC
    V772A 78081 White No C0 WT ND Yes 47 1 ND IDC
    T1310K 176831 White No C0 None ND No 45 ND ND ND ND DCIS
    Y856H 1995 Asian No C0 None ND Yes 45 3 + + + DCIS
    Y856H 4294 Asian No C0 None ND Yes 47 ND ND ND ND DCIS
BRCA2 truncating
    2041delA 46662 White NA NA None ND NA 34 3 + + IDC
    3036del4 4208 White NA NA U ND NA ND 2 + + IDC
    3036del4 4310 Asian NA NA WT ND NA 36 3 + + + IDC
    3036del4 542 White NA NA WT ND NA 43 ND + + ND IDC
    3972del4 5-077 White NA NA WT ND NA ND ND + + ND IDC
    4206ins4 26949 White NA NA None ND NA 37 1 + + LCIS
    4361del4 2609 White NA NA WT ND NA ND ND + IDC
    5270delTG 169989 White NA NA None ND NA 46 2 + ND IDC
    6174delT 4317 Ash J NA NA WT ND NA 46 3 IDC
    6503delTT 35962 White NA NA WT ND NA 46 2 + + + IDC
    7990del3ins2 15494 White NA NA WT ND NA 41 3 + IDC
    8765delAG 5702 White NA NA ND ND NA 50 ND ND IDC
    8803delC 80659 White NA NA None ND NA 36 ND + + ND Unspecified
    9481insA 94467 White NA NA WT ND NA 64 2 + + + IDC
    Q321X 3-744 White NA NA V ND NA ND 4 + + IDC
    S1882X 3553 Asian NA NA WT ND NA 37 3 + + IDC
    Y1894X 11008 White NA NA WT ND NA 26 ND + + IDC
BRCA2 intronic
    IVS13+5 G>C 16004 White NA NA WT ND No 46 2 + + IDC
    IVS23+9 C>T 12673 White NA NA WT No No 40 2 + + + IDC
    IVS8-12delTA 64703 White NA NA None No No 44 1 + + IDC
BRCA2 missense
    A1170V 143226 White No C0 ND ND No 52 3 + + IDC
    A2351G 2664 Asian No C0 None ND No 61 3 IDC
    D1352Y 11193 White No C0 WT ND No 47 2 + + IDC
    E2856A 5047 White Yes C0 V ND No 45 2 + + IDC
    H1966Y 46345 White No C0 V ND No 44 3 IDC
    I2285V 4112 White No C25 V ND No ND 2 + + + IDC
    K1434I 34415 White No C15 None ND No 58 ND + ND DCIS
    L2106P 161491 White No C0 None ND No 57 3 + + IDC
    L929S 14388 Af Am No C0 None ND Yes 37 2 + + IDC
    M2676T 565 White Yes C0 None ND No 49 ND + ND ND IDC
    N1878K 14573a* White No C0 V ND No 63 1 + IDC
    N1878K 14573b* White No C0 V ND No 67 2 + + IDC
    N517S 11859 White No C0 None ND No 45 1 + + ND IDC
    N588D 0772 White No C0 WT ND No 56 2 + + + IDC
    N987I 14388 Af Am No C0 None ND Yes 37 2 + + IDC
    P1819S 4146 White No C0 None ND No 57 1 + + IDC
    P655R 11631 Ash J No C0 None ND No 38 3 + + IDC
    R2034C 2098 White No C0 None ND Yes 75 3 + IDC
    R2418G 26664 White Yes C0 None ND No 61 2 + + IDC
    R2502H 98245 White Yes C0 None ND No 58 3 + + IDC
    R2973C 2382 White Yes C25 WT ND No 52 2 + + IDC
    S1424C 155088 White No C0 None ND No 55 ND ND ND ND ND
    S2483N 25006 White Yes C0 None ND No 48 1 + + IDC
    S384F 6996 White No C0 WT ND Yes 49 2 + + + IDC
    T2681R 25705 White Yes C0 WT ND No 34 3 IDC
    T3211K 59457 White Yes C0 None ND No 52 3 ND
    Y42C 4620 White No C0 V ND No 40 ND IDC

Abbreviations: A-GVGD, align grantham variation deviation analysis; LOH, loss of heterozygosity; ER, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone receptor; HER-2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; NA, not applicable; WT, loss of wild-type allele; ND, no data; −, negative; IDC, invasive ductal carcinoma; DCIS, ductal carcinoma in situ; +, positive; Ash J, Ashkenazi Jewish; V, loss of variant allele; ILC, invasive lobular carcinoma; LCIS, lobular carcinoma in situ; Af Am, African American; N Am, Native American; U, uncertain loss.

*

Individual has bilateral breast cancer, and both tumors were included.

Change shown to affect splicing by others.

Change predicted to affect splicing by SpliceSiteFinder.

Table A3.

Ovarian Tumor Characteristics

Sequence Change Sample Race Conserved Domain LOH A-GVGD Class In Trans Stage Grade Age at Diagnosis (years) Histology
BRCA1 truncating
    1135insA 24127 White NA WT NA No ND 3C 59 Papillary serous
    262delT 0690 White NA WT NA No ND 3C 63 Endometrioid
    3600del11 10945 White NA WT NA No ND 3 41 Serous
BRCA1 missense
    P334L 6167 White No WT C0 Yes ND ND 39 Unspecified
BRCA2 truncating
    6307insA 4945 Af Am NA None NA NA ND ND ND Unspecified
    7297delCT 0947 White NA None NA NA ND 3C 22 Serous
    7990del3ins2 540 White NA None NA NA ND ND 46 Unspecified
    9481insA 23722 White NA WT NA NA ND 3C 59 Papillary serous
BRCA2 missense
    A1170V 97594 White No V C0 No ND ND 59 ND
    D1420Y 0690 White No None C15 Yes ND 3C 63 Endometrioid
    L2721H 6167 White Yes WT C25 No ND ND 39 Unspecified
    M784V 11073 Asian No V C0 No IIIC 3 45 Unspecified
    S1172L 5701 White No None C15 No IIIC ND 58 Serous
    S326R 5701 White No None C0 Yes IIIC ND 58 Serous
    V1643A 76,049 White No WT C0 No IIIC ND 50 Serous

Abbreviations: LOH, loss of heterozygosity; A-GVGD, align grantham variation, grantham deviation; NA, not applicable; WT, loss of wild-type allele; ND, no data; Af Am, African American; V, loss of variant or mutant allele.

Table A4.

Prediction of Deleterious Status for BRCA1 and BRCA2 Breast Tumors

Sequence Change Sample Odds
Odds Odds, No LOH Interpretation
LOH A-GVGD/Mutation Splice In Trans Age at Diagnosis Triple Negative ER Status PR Status HER-2 Status Grade/ER Grade HP
BRCA1 truncating
    1135insA* 1463 5.26 1,000 1 1 9.65 5 1 1 1 1 1.97 1 4.9 × 105 9.5 × 104 D
    1240delC 0409 5.26 1,000 1 1 9.65 5 1 1 1 1 0.55 1 1.4 × 105 2.6 × 104 D
    1294del40 4439 5.26 1,000 1 1 1 1 1 2.29 1 4.1 1 1 4.9 × 104 9,389 D
    1294del40 127345 5.26 1,000 1 1 3.4 1 1 2.29 0.15 4.1 1 1 2.5 × 104 4,788 D
    1294del40 78081 5.26 1,000 1 1 1.67 1 1 2.29 1 0.2 1 1 4,023 765 DS
    1294del40 169184 5.26 1,000 1 1 9.65 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 2.5 × 105 4.8 × 104 D
    1294del40 combo 765.5 1,000 1 1 9.65 5 1 11.53 0.15 3.362 1 1 2.1 × 108 2.8 × 105 D
    1547del10 21538 5.26 1,000 1 1 9.65 1 1 2.29 0.15 4.1 1 1 7.1 × 104 1.4 × 104 D
    1623del5 71759 5.26 1,000 1 1 9.65 1 3.2 2.29 0.15 1 1 1 3.1 × 104 5,834 D
    1675delA 10950 5.26 1,000 1 1 9.65 1 1 2.29 1 4.1 1 1 4.8 × 105 9 × 104 D
    1793delA 12,313 5.26 1,000 1 1 9.65 5 1 1 1 1 1.97 1 4.9 × 105 9.5 × 104 D
    187delAG 45251a 5.26 1,000 1 1 9.65 1 1 2.29 0.15 4.1 1 1 7.1 × 104 1.4 × 104 D
    187delAG 45251b 5.26 1,000 1 1 9.65 5 1 1 1 1 1.97 1 4.9 × 105 9.5 × 104 D
    187delAG 5042 5.26 1,000 1 1 9.65 5 1 1 1 1 1.97 1 4.9 × 105 9.5 × 104 D
    187delAG combo 145.53 1,000 1 1 9.65 25 1 2.29 0.15 4.1 3.88 1 1.9 × 108 1.3 × 106 D
    2530delAG 458 5.26 1,000 1 1 9.65 5 1 1 1 1 0.55 1 1.4 × 105 2.7 × 104 D
    2553delC 4724 5.26 1,000 1 1 15.3 1 1 1 1 4.1 1 1 3.3 × 105 6.3 × 104 D
    2576delC 61933 5.26 1,000 1 1 1.67 5 1 1 1 1 1.97 1 8.7 × 104 1.6 × 104 D
    2576delC 175158 5.26 1,000 1 1 3.4 1 0.23 0.31 1.2 1 1 1 1,530 291 DS
    2576delC combo 27.66 1,000 1 1 3.4 5 0.23 0.31 1.2 1 1.97 1 7.9 × 104 2,865 D
    2800delAA 24042a 5.26 1,000 1 1 9.65 1 1 1 1 1 1.97 1 9.9 × 104 1.9 × 104 D
    2800delAA 24042b 0.285 1,000 1 1 3.4 5 1 1 1 1 0.55 1 2,665 9,350 D
    2800delAA combo 1.499 1,000 1 1 9.65 5 1 1 1 1 1.08 1 7.8 × 104 5.2 × 104 D
    3118delA 11984 0.0667 1,000 1 1 9.65 5 1 1 1 1 1.97 1 6,340 9.5 × 104 D
    3600del11* 34406 5.26 1,000 1 1 9.65 5 1 1 1 1 0.55 1 1.4 × 105 2.7 × 104 D
    5382insC 20758 5.26 1,000 1 1 1.25 1 1 2.29 1 4.1 1 1 6.2 × 104 1.2 × 104 D
    E143X 34642 5.26 1,000 1 1 9.65 5 1 1 1 1 1.97 1 4.9 × 105 9.5 × 104 D
    Q563X 61051 5.26 1,000 1 1 3.4 1 0.23 2.29 1.2 1 1.97 1 2.2 × 104 4,233 D
    S868X 176811 0.285 1,000 1 1 1.25 1 0.23 0.31 1.2 1 1.97 1 60 210 U
    Q1408X 34642 0.285 1,000 1 1 15.3 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 4.9 × 104 1.8 × 105 D
BRCA1 splicing
    IVS4-1 G>T 2364a 5.26 1 1,000 1 3.4 1 1 2.29 1 4.1 1 1 1.7 × 105 3.2 × 104 D
    IVS4-1 G>T 2364b 5.26 1 1,000 1 3.4 1 0.23 0.31 1.2 1 0.11 1 168 32 U
    IVS4-1 G>T combo 27.66 1 1,000 1 3.4 1 0.23 0.71 1.2 4.1 0.11 1 8,314 300 DS§
    IVS13+1 G>A 98453 0.285 1 1,000 1 3.4 5 1 1 1 1 0.55 1 2,665 9,350 D§
    IVS15+1 G>A 2-112-140 5.26 1 1,000 1 1 1 1 2.29 1 4.1 1 1 4.9 × 104 9,389 D§
    IVS5-11 T>G 45949 5.26 1 1,000 1 1.67 5 1 1 1 1 0.55 4.3 1 × 105 1.9 × 104 D§
BRCA1 intronic
    IVS12+10 G>C 78081* 0.285 1 1 1 1.67 1 1 2.29 1 0.2 1 1 0.218 0.765 U
    IVS20-14 C>G 168788 0.285 1 0.01 1 9.65 1 0.23 0.31 1.2 1 1.97 1 0.0045 0.0162 NS
    IVS2-14 C>T 64703 0.0667 1 0.01 1 3.4 1 1 0.31 1.2 1 0.11 1 0.0009 0.001 N
    IVS2-6 T>C 15007 0.285 1 1 1 9.65 1 0.23 0.31 1.2 1 1 1 0.235 0.826 U
BRCA1 missense
    C61G 14068 5.26 4.26 1 1 9.65 1 1 2.29 0.15 4.1 1 1 304 58 U
    C61G 19882 5.26 4.26 1 1 15.3 5 1 1 1 1 1.97 1 3,377 642 DS
    C61G combo 27.66 4.26 1 1 15.3 5 1 2.29 0.15 4.1 1.97 1 2.5 × 104 904 DS
    E597K 98286 0.285 0.01 1 1 3.4 1 0.23 0.31 1 1 0.11 1 7.6 × 10−5 0.00027 N§
    E736A 15102 0.285 0.01 1 1 3.4 1 0.23 0.31 1.2 1 1 1 0.00008 0.0029 N
    I1275V 4061 5.26 0.01 1 1 9.65 5 1 1 1 1 1.97 1 4.99 0.95 U§
    K1109N 0477a 0.285 0.01 1 1 9.65 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.028 0.097 U
    K1109N 0477b 1 0.01 1 1 3.4 1 1 2.29 1.2 0.37 1 1 0.092 0.035 U
    K1109N combo 0.285 0.01 1 1 9.65 1 1 2.29 1.2 0.37 1 1 0.074 0.098 U§
    L1764P 4744 5.26 1.5 1 1 9.65 1 1 2.29 0.15 4.1 1 1 107 20.4 U§
    P1637L 175158 5.26 0.01 1 1 3.4 1 0.23 0.31 1.2 1 1 1 0.015 0.0029 N
    P1776H 154045 5.26 0.01 1 1 3.4 1 0.23 0.31 1.2 1 1.97 1 0.030 0.057 U
    P1776H 133886 5.26 0.01 1 1 1.67 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.088 0.017 U
    P1776H combo 145.5 0.01 1 1 3.4 1 0.23 0.31 1.2 1 1.97 1 0.159 0.006 N
    P334H 34402 0.285 0.01 1 1 9.65 1 1 0.31 1.2 0.37 1 1 0.003 0.01 N
    S127N 4060 0.0667 0.01 1 1 9.65 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.0064 0.097 NS
    T1310K 176831 0.285 0.01 1 1 3.4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.0097 0.034 NS
    V1247I 11092 0.285 0.01 1 1 3.4 1 0.23 0.31 1.2 1 1.97 1 0.0016 0.0057 N§
    V1804D 16719 0.0667 0.01 1 1 1.67 1 1 2.29 0.15 0.37 1 1 0.00014 0.014 NS
    V1804D 73481 1 0.01 1 1 1.67 1 1 0.31 1 0.067 1 1 0.00034 0.00034 N
    V1804D combo 0.0667 0.01 1 1 1.67 1 1 0.71 0.15 0.025 1 1 2.9 × 10−6 4.4 × 10−5 N§
    V772A 78081 5.26 0.01 1 0.0001 3.4 1 1 2.29 1 0.2 1 1 8.2 × 10−6 1.6 × 10−6 N§
    Y856H 1995 0.285 0.01 1 0.0001 3.4 1 0.23 0.31 0.15 1 1.97 1 2 × 10−8 7 × 10−8 N
    Y856H 4294 0.285 0.01 1 0.0001 3.4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 × 10−7 3 × 10−6 N
    Y856H combo 0.08 0.01 1 0.0001 1 1 0.23 0.31 0.15 1 1.97 1 5.7 × 10−9 7 × 10−8 N§
BRCA2 truncating
    2041delA 46662 0.428 1,000 1 1 4.97 1 1 1 1.2 2.2 1 1 5,616 1.3 × 104 D
    3036del4 4208 1 1,000 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.2 1.5 1 1 1,800 1,800 D
    3036del4 4310 4.6 1,000 1 1 4.97 1 1 1 0.15 2.2 1 1 7,544 1,640 D
    3036del4 542 4.6 1,000 1 1 2.89 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.3 × 104 2,890 D
    3036del4 combo 21.16 1,000 1 1 2.89 1 1 1 0.18 3.3 1 1 3.6 × 104 1,717 D
    3972del4 5-077 4.6 1,000 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 4,600 1,000 D
    4206ins4 26949 0.428 1,000 1 1 4.97 1 1 1 1.2 0.23 1 1 587 1,371 D
    4361del4 2609 4.6 1,000 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.2 1 1 1 5,520 1,200 D
    5270delTG 169989 0.428 1,000 1 1 2.89 1 1 1 1 1.5 1 1 1,855 4,335 D
    6174delT 4317 4.6 1,000 1 1 2.89 1 1 1 1.2 1 1.3 1 2.1 × 104 4,508 D
    6503delTT 35962 4.6 1,000 1 1 2.89 1 1 1 0.15 1.5 1 1 2,991 650 DS
    7990del3ins2* 15494 4.6 1,000 1 1 2.89 1 1 1 1.2 2.2 1 1 3.5 × 104 7,630 D
    8765delAG 5702 0.428 1,000 1 1 2.07 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 886 2,070 D
    8803delC 80659 0.428 1,000 1 1 4.97 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2,127 4,970 D
    9481insA 94467 4.6 1,000 1 1 1.55 1 1 1 0.15 1.5 1 1 1,604 349 DS
    Q321X 3-744 0.0667 1,000 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.2 2.2 1 1 176 2,640 D
    S1882X 3553 4.6 1,000 1 1 4.97 1 1 1 1.2 2.2 1 1 6 × 104 1.3 × 104 D
    Y1894X 11008 4.6 1,000 1 1 4.97 1 1 1 1.2 1 1 1 2.6 × 104 5,652 D
BRCA2 intronic
    IVS13+5 G>C 16004 4.6 1 1 1 2.89 1 1 1 1.2 1.5 1 1 23.93 5.2 U
    IVS23+9 C>T 12673 4.6 1 0.01 1 2.89 1 1 1 0.15 1.5 1 1 0.03 0.0065 N
    IVS8-12delTA 64703 0.428 1 0.01 1 2.89 1 1 1 1.2 0.23 1 1 0.003 0.008 N
BRCA2 missense
    A1170V* 143226 1 0.01 1 1 2.07 1 1 1 0.15 1 1.3 1 0.027 0.027 N
    A2351G 2664 0.428 0.01 1 1 1.55 1 1 1 1.2 1 1.3 1 0.010 0.024 NS
    D1352Y 11193 4.6 0.01 1 1 2.89 1 1 1 1.2 1.5 1 1 0.239 0.05 U
    E2856A 5047 0.0667 0.01 1 1 2.89 1 1 1 1.2 1.5 1 1 0.0034 0.52 NS§
    H1966Y 46345 0.0667 0.01 1 1 2.89 1 1 1 1.2 1 1.3 1 0.003 0.045 NS
    I2285V 4112 0.0667 0.01 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.15 1.5 1 1 0.001 0.002 N§
    K1434I 34415 0.428 0.01 1 1 2.07 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.009 0.027 NS
    L2106P 161491 0.428 0.01 1 1 2.07 1 1 1 1.2 2.2 1 1 0.023 0.054 U
    L929S 14388 0.428 0.01 1 0.001 4.97 1 1 1 1.2 1.5 1 1 3.8 × 10−5 8.9 × 10−5 N§
    M2676T 565 0.428 0.01 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.012 0.029 U
    N1878K 14573a 0.0667 0.01 1 1 1.55 1 1 1 1.2 0.23 1 1 0.0003 0.004 N
    N1878K 14573b 0.0667 0.01 1 1 1.55 1 1 1 1.2 1.5 1 1 0.002 0.028 NS
    N1878K combo 0.0045 0.01 1 1 1.55 1 1 1 1.44 0.345 1 1 3.4 × 10−5 0.008 N
    N517S 11859 0.428 0.01 1 1 2.89 1 1 1 1 0.23 1 1 0.003 0.007 N
    N588D 0772 4.6 0.01 1 1 2.07 1 1 1 0.15 1.5 1 1 0.02 0.005 N
    N987I 14388 0.428 0.01 1 0.001 4.97 1 1 1 1.2 1.5 1 1 3.8 × 10−5 8.9 × 10−5 N§
    P1819S 4146 0.428 0.01 1 1 2.07 1 1 1 1.2 0.23 1 1 0.002 0.006 N§
    P655R 11631 0.428 0.01 1 1 4.97 1 1 1 1.2 2.2 1 1 0.056 0.131 U
    R2034C 2098 0.428 0.01 1 0.001 1.55 1 1 1 0.15 1 1.3 1 0.00001 2 × 10−6 N§
    R2418G 26664 0.428 0.01 1 1 1.55 1 1 1 1.2 1.5 1 1 0.011 0.028 U
    R2502H 98245 0.428 0.01 1 1 2.07 1 1 1 1.2 2.2 1 1 0.023 0.054 U
    R2973C 2382 4.6 0.41 1 1 2.07 1 1 1 1.2 1.5 1 1 7.03 1.53 U§
    S1424C 155088 0.428 0.01 1 1 2.07 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.009 0.008 N
    S2483N 25006 0.428 0.01 1 1 2.89 1 1 1 1.2 0.23 1 1 0.003 0.008 N
    S384F 6996 4.6 0.01 1 0.001 2.89 1 1 1 0.15 1.5 1 1 2.9 × 10−5 6.5 × 10−6 N§
    T2681R 25705 4.6 0.01 1 1 4.97 1 1 1 1.2 1 1 1 0.274 0.059 U
    T3211K 59457 0.428 0.01 1 1 2.07 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.009 0.021 NS
    Y42C 4620 0.0667 0.01 1 1 2.89 1 1 1 1.2 1 1 1 0.002 0.035 NS§

Abbreviations: LOH, loss of heterozygosity; A-GVGD, align grantham variation, grantham deviation; ER, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone receptor; HER-2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; HP, histopathology; D, deleterious; DS, suspected deleterious; Combo, odds combined for all samples with variant; N, neutral; U, uncertain; NS, suspected neutral.

*

Mutation also seen in a different individual with ovarian cancer.

Individual has both BRCA1mutation and two BRCA1 variants.

Individual has bilateral breast cancer; both tumors were tested.

§

Reclassified as neutral or deleterious by other studies.4,5,6,8,9,57-62

Variant characterized as neutral when data are combined with individual 97594 with ovarian cancer.

Individual has both BRCA2L929S and N987I variants.

Table A5.

Prediction of Deleterious Status in BRCA1 and BRCA2 Ovarian Tumors

Sequence Change Sample LOH A-GVGD/Mutation Splice In Trans Stage Grade HP Age at Diagnosis Combined Odds Odds, No LOH Interpretation
BRCA1 truncating
    1135insA* 24127 4.45 1,000 1 1 1 1.33 1.47 11.8 102,662.3 23,070.2 Deleterious
    262delT 0690 4.45 1,000 1 1 1 1.33 1 4.6 27,225.1 6,118 Deleterious
    3600del11* 10945 4.45 1,000 1 1 1 1.33 1.47 18 156,603.51 35,192 Deleterious
BRCA1 missense
    P334L 6167 4.45 0.01 1 0.0001 1 1 1 7.06 0.0000314 0.0000071 Neutral§
BRCA2 truncating
    6307insA 4945 0.428 1,000 1 1 1 1 1 1 428 1,000 Deleterious
    7297delCT 0947 0.428 1,000 1 1 1 1.61 1.76 0.52 630.65 1,473.47 Deleterious
    7990del3ins2* 540 0.428 1,000 1 1 1 1 1 4.05 1,733.4 4,050 Deleterious
    9481insA 23722 4.6 1,000 1 1 1 1.61 1.76 7.92 103,233.72 22,442.11 Deleterious
BRCA2 missense
    A1170V* 97594 0.067 0.01 1 1 1 1 1 7.92 0.00528 0.0792 Neutral
    D1420Y 0690 0.428 0.01 1 0.001 1 1.61 0.69 4.52 0.0000215 0.00005 Neutral§
    L2721H 6167 4.6 0.41 1 1 1 1 1 0.52 0.9807 0.2132 Uncertain
    M784V 11073 0.067 0.01 1 1 2.05 1.61 1 4.05 0.009 0.1337 Neutral suspected
    S1172L 5701 0.428 0.01 1 1 2.05 1 1.76 7.92 0.1223 0.2857 Uncertain§
    S326R 5701 0.428 0.01 1 0.001 2.05 1 1.76 7.92 0.000122 0.00028 Neutral§
    V1643A 76049 4.6 0.01 1 1 2.05 1 1.76 7.92 1.3145 0.2858 Uncertain

Abbreviations: LOH, loss of heterozygosity; A-GVGD, align grantham variation, grantham deviation; HP, histopathology.

*

Change was also seen in a different individual with breast cancer.

Individual carries both BRCA1 262delT and BRCA2 variant D1420Y.

Individual carries both BRCA1 P334L and BRCA2 L2721H.

§

Reclassified as neutral by other studies.4,60,62

Variant characterized as neutral when data are combined with data from individual 143226 with breast cancer.

Individual carries both BRCA2S1172L and S326R.

published online ahead of print at www.jco.org on September 29, 2008

Supported by the National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute, Bay Area Breast Spore Career Development Award No. P50 CA582017 (A.E.T.), Mayers Summer fellowships (A.D.S.), and internal funds from the Ohio State University Comprehensive Cancer Center (A.E.T.).

Authors’ disclosures of potential conflicts of interest and author contributions are found at the end of this article.

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