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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2009 Dec 1.
Published in final edited form as: Int J Cancer. 2008 Dec 1;123(11):2636–2643. doi: 10.1002/ijc.23838

Prognostic value of Her-2/neu and DNA Index for Progression, Metastasis and Prostate Cancer-specific Death in Men with Long-Term Follow-up after Radical Prostatectomy

Sumit Isharwal 1, M Craig Miller 2, Jonathan I Epstein 1, Leslie A Mangold 1, Elizabeth Humphreys 1, Alan W Partin 1, Robert W Veltri 1,
PMCID: PMC2652562  NIHMSID: NIHMS70895  PMID: 18767043

Abstract

Abnormal DNA content in tumor cells represents large scale chromosomal alterations and reflects later changes of genetic instability. Her-2/neu oncogene is amplified in 20% to 30% of breast and ovarian cancer patients and is associated with poor prognosis. Therefore, we evaluated prognostic value of Her-2/neu expression and DNA content measurements in 252 clinically localized PCa patients with long-term follow-up after radical prostatectomy for progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death. Her-2/neu expression was determined by immunohistochemistry and DNA content measurements employed Feulgen-stained cancer nuclei captured using static image cytometry system. Cox proportional hazard regression & Kaplan Meir plots were used to identify significant prognostic factors for progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death. The proportions of Her-2/neu positive and high %DNA index tumors significantly increased from non-progressor to progressors without metastasis to progressors with metastasis (p<0.0001; <0.0001). Further, the proportions of Her-2/neu positive and high %DNA index tumors significantly increased from patients who died from another cause without progression to those who died from another cause with progression to those died with PCa-specific death (p=0.027; <0.0001). Her-2/neu expression and %DNA index were significant prognosticators for progression (p≤0.001), metastasis (p≤0.01) PCa-specific death (p≤0.04) in univariate analyses. Multivariately, Her-2/neu expression and %DNA index were also significant for progression (p=0.001), metastasis (p=0.001), and PCa-specific death (p=0.02). When all other clinicopathologic information is available, the increment in concordance index by addition of either Her-2/neu or DNA index was ∼2% and of both biomarkers was ∼3% for progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death free survival models. Therefore, patients with Her-2/neu positive and high %DNA index are at a higher risk for disease progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death. Further, Her-2/neu expression and %DNA index may be used with clinicopathologic parameters for prediction of long-term prognosis in PCa.

INTRODUCTION

Prostate cancer (PCa) is the second leading cause of cancer death among men in the United States, with an anticipated with an anticipated 186,320 newly diagnosed cases and 28,660 deaths in 2008 1. The majority of men with clinically localized PCa are treated with radical prostatectomy which provides excellent cancer control and minimal surgical complications. In a series of 1,997 patients treated with radical prostatectomy at Johns Hopkins Hospital, Pound et al. 2 identified 304 men who developed PSA recurrence (15%) and were monitored without hormone therapy prior to demonstration of metastasis. Of the 304 men, 34% developed distant metastases over a median period of 8 years from the time of the first postoperative PSA elevation. An algorithm was developed by combining Gleason score, PSA doubling time and time to biochemical progression to predict actuarial metastasis-free survival. Subsequently, Han et al. 3updated this study cohort and reported 360 recurrences (17%) out of 2,091 men with PCa and they used three preoperative or post-operative parameters to create nomograms to assess biochemical recurrence free survival probabilities.

Another major dilemma for PCa management is over diagnosis and over treatment due to screen-detected PCa cases that are low stage, low grade and low volume tumors 4, 5. The current prognostic tools [e.g. Kattan nomogram 6 and Partin Tables7] rely exclusively on clinical and pathologic parameters. While these nomograms provide useful prediction tools of clinical states and outcome, the need for further refinement of risk stratification has been acknowledged 8.

In the search of new biomarkers to predict prognosis of men with PCa, several potential serologic and histologic biomarkers have been evaluated 9-13. At the tissue level, Gleason grade and extent of disease (stage) are predictors of progression and metastasis in men with PCa 14, 15. Likewise, DNA ploidy measured using a semi-automated, computer-assisted imaging system can detect abnormal DNA content representing large scale chromosomal alterations (i.e., tetraploidy, aneuploidy, hyperploidy, etc.) and reflect later stage changes of genetic instability in tumor cells 16. The gene encoding the Her-2/neu oncoprotein is amplified in 20 % to 30% of breast and ovarian cancer patients and is associated with poor prognosis 17-19. Our group previously in a cohort of 124 patients with mean follow-up duration of 6.6 years reported that Her-2/neu expression is a predictor of PCa progression 20. However, prognostic value of Her-2/neu expression in PCa is controversial, and most studies have limited number of cases with short-term followup 21-27. The current study utilizing PCa tissue sections has assessed the prognostic value of Her-2/neu expression and DNA content for prediction of progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death after radical prostatectomy in 252 men with mean follow-up duration of 15.3 years.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Patients Sample

Five μm paraffin embedded tissue sections were cut sequentially from the archival radical prostatectomy blocks selected by a single pathologist (J.I.E.) of 252 clinically localized PCa patients treated by a single surgeon (P.C.W) at the Johns Hopkins Hospital during 1980-94. Sequential sections were stained with H & E, Feulgen and monoclonal antibody (Ab3) to Her-2/neu oncogene. Progression was defined as a rise in postoperative PSA of >0.2ng/ml and/or needle biopsy proved local or distant failure, and/or metastatic surveys by bone scan. A positive bone scan result or histologic evidence of distant failure was used for the diagnosis of distant metastasis. PCa-specific death was defined as death in patients with metastasis showing any progression following hormonal therapy. No patient received neoadjuvant therapy and adjuvant hormonal therapy prior to documented distant metastasis. All patients were followed-up every 3 months for the first year, semiannually for the second year and annually thereafter as described previously 2. Table 1 shows a summary of the information available in this patient cohort. The interpretation of the pathological specimen was done by a single pathologist (J.I.E.) at the Johns Hopkins Hospital. Of these 252 patients, 121, 110 and 21 patients presented with Gleason score < 7, 7 and > 7, respectively. As the number of cases with Gleason score > 7 were few, this category was combined with Gleason score 7 to form Gleason score ≥ 7 for analyses. The numbers of patients with clinical stage T1b, T1c, T2a, T2b and T2c were 2, 11, 95, 114 and 30, respectively. As the number of cases with T1b and T1c were few, these two categories were merged and considered as T1b/c.

Table 1.

Prostate Cancer Patients Demographic (N = 252)

Variable Progression Metastasis PCa specific Death
No (N = 115) Yes (N = 137) No (N = 192) Yes (N = 60) No (N = 216) Yes (N = 36)
Age 58.8 ± 6.5 60.4 ± 6.4 59.5 ± 6.5 60.3 ± 6.5 59.68 ± 6.4 59.58 ± 7.1
Gleason Score (%)
<7 76 (66.1) 45 (32.8) 107 (55.7) 14 (23.3) 114 (52.8) 7 (19.4)
≥7 39 (33.9) 92 (67.2) 85 (44.3) 46 (76.7) 102 (47.2) 29 (80.6)
TNM Stage (%)
T1b/c 10 (8.7) 3 (2.2) 12 (6.3) 1 (1.7) 13 (6.0)
T2a 32 (27.8) 63 (46.0) 69 (35.9) 26 (43.3) 81 (37.5) 14 (38.9)
T2b 56 (48.7) 58 (42.3) 87 (45.3) 27 (45.0) 96 (44.5) 18 (50.0)
T2c 17 (14.8) 13 (9.5) 24 (12.5) 6 (10.0) 26 (12.0) 4 (11.1)
Organ Confined (%)
Yes 41 (35.7) 19 (13.9) 51 (26.6) 9 (15.0) 54 (25.0) 6 (16.7)
No 74 (64.3) 118 (86.1) 141 (73.4) 51 (85.0) 162 (75.0) 30 (83.3)
Focal Extra-Prostatic Extension (%)
Absent 46 (40.0) 33 (24.1) 66 (34.4) 13 (21.7) 71 (32.9) 8 (22.2)
Present 69 (60.0) 104 (75.9) 126 (65.6) 47 (78.3) 145 (67.1) 28 (77.8)
Non-Focal Extra-Prostatic Extension (%)
Absent 70 (60.9) 45 (32.8) 100 (52.1) 15 (25.0) 106 (49.1) 9 (25.0)
Present 45 (39.1) 92 (67.2) 92 (47.9) 45 (75.0) 110 (50.9) 27 (75.0)
Surgical Margin (%)
Negative 100 (87.0) 75 (54.8) 140 (72.9) 35 (58.3) 158 (73.2) 17 (47.2)
Positive 15 (13.0) 62 (45.2) 52 (24.1) 25 (41.7) 58 (26.8) 19 (52.8)
Seminal Vesicle (%)
Negative 109 (94.8) 108 (78.8) 178 (92.7) 39 (65.0) 193 (89.3) 24 (66.7)
Positive 6 (5.2) 29 (21.2) 14 (7.3) 21 (35.0) 23 (10.7) 12 (33.3)
Lymph Node (%)
Negative 113 (98.3) 117 (85.4) 182 (94.8) 48 (80.0) 204 (94.4) 26 (72.2)
Positive 2 (1.7) 20 (14.6) 10 (5.2) 12 (20.0) 12 (5.6) 10 (27.8)

DNA Content Analysis

A minimum of ∼125 intact, Feulgen-stained nuclei were captured from the cancer area for each patients. DNA content measurements were calculated after generating two reference points to define calibration curve using rat hepatocyte standard. Normal DNA ploidy and abnormal DNA ploidy status were defined by using our previously determined criteria 28, 29 on CAS-200 imaging system [Bacus Labs, Lombard, IL] with Cell Sheet v2.0 software generated histograms by a pathologist. Next, we used the variance of the DNA mass (pg) and DNA index of the Feulgen-stained nuclei captured from each case to generate continuous variables. DNA index was multiplied by 100 for each case and was labeled as %DNA index. These DNA content measurements i.e. DNA ploidy, DNA mass (pg DNA) and %DNA index were used for analysis and %DNA index was found to be the best among these. Hence all the data for %DNA index [range: 0.5-84%; median 8.7%] is presented as a computer-generated imaging variable in the results and discussion sections of this manuscript.

Measurement of Her-2/neu Expression

To determine Her-2/neu (c-erbB-2) expression in tissue sections, monoclonal antibody (Ab-3) provided by Oncogene Science, Inc. (Uniondale, NY) was used 20. The supersensitive MultiLinkTM kit (BioGenex Inc., San Ramon, CA), which employs the streptavidin-biotin complex alkaline phosphatase labeling method, was used for monoclonal antibody detection. All staining was performed with the MicroProbeTM manual staining system (Fisher Scientific, Pittsburgh, PA). Incubation temperature for monoclonal antibody was 40 C overnight and remaining staining methods followed the recommended procedure of the BioGenex MultiLinkTM kit. Scoring was performed in the pathologist-confirmed cancerous areas of each archival specimen in 1994-96 by two experts, with a third expert used if there was a >10% discrepancy between the results of the two experts. Interpretation of results utilized a scoring method developed by J.I.E. and categorized patients as Her-2/neu negative if there was staining in <5% of the marked tumor area, as focal Her-2/neu staining if 5-30% of the marked tumor area showed staining, and diffuse Her-2/neu staining if >30% of the marked tumor area showed staining.

Statistical Analysis

All data was analyzed using StataTM v10.0 statistical analyses software (Stata Corporation, College Station, TX). The nptrend test was used for trend across non-progressors, progressors without metastasis, and progressors with metastasis, and for trend across death due to another cause without progression, another cause with progression and PCa-specific death. We determined optimal cutoffs to dichotomize %DNA index data [≤7 vs. >7] using the classification and regression tree (CART) method. Univariate Cox proportional hazard regression was used to identify significant prognostic factors for prediction of progression free-survival, time to metastasis and time to PCa-specific death. Harrell's C concordance index (c index) was calculated for all significant variables. Ties were handled by the Breslow method. The proportional hazard assumption was verified by examination of residual plots. Univariately significant variables were further assessed using in multivariate Cox regression. Logrank and Logrank trend test were used to test equality of survivor functions across two groups and to test trend of the survivor function across three or more ordered groups respectively. Statistical significance in this study was set as p ≤ 0.050.

RESULTS

The demographic, clinical and pathologic information of cohort are shown in Table 1. Of the 137 patients with evidence of disease progression, 60 (43.8%) showed evidence of distant metastasis and 36 (26.3%) died due to PCa. Mean follow-up time after radical prostatectomy for all patients was 15.3 years (range: 1-25 years, median: 17 years), with approximately 83% (209/252) patients having ≥10 years of follow-up. Although the median time to progression was 12 years, 11 % (28 of 252) and 3.5% (9 of 252) patients developed PCa progression at ≥10 years and ≥15 years of follow-up, respectively..

The proportions of Her-2/neu positive tumors significantly increased from non-progressors (53%; 61 of 115) to progressors without metastasis (70%; 54 of 77) to progressor with metastasis (87%; 52 of 60) (p < 0.0001). The proportions of high %DNA index tumors also significantly increased from non-progressor (41%; 47 of 115) to progressor without metastasis (69%; 53 of 77) to progressor with metastasis (80%; 48 of 60) (p < 0.0001). Further, the proportions of Her-2/neu positive tumors significantly increased from patients who died from another cause without progression (62%; 18 of 29) to those who died from another cause with progression (72%; 16 of 22) to those who died a PCa-specific death (86%; 31 of 36) (p = 0.027). Similarly, the proportions of high %DNA index tumors significantly increased from patients who died from another cause without progression (38%; 11 of 29) to those who died from another cause with progression (64%; 14 of 22) to those who died due to a PCa-specific death (83%; 30 of 36) (p <0.0001).

In univariate Cox regression, all parameters evaluated except tumor stage i.e. Gleason score (c index = 0.67), organ confined status (c index = 0.58), focal extra-prostatic extension (c index = 0.55), non-focal extra-prostatic extension (c index = 0.62), surgical margin status (c index = 0.62), seminal vesicle involvement (c index = 0.57), lymph node involvement (c index = 0.56), Her-2/neu expression (c index = 0.59), and %DNA index (c index = 0.62) were statistically significant predictors of PCa progression-free survival (Table 2). For metastasis-free survival, Gleason score (c index = 0.71), organ confined status (c index = 0.57), focal extra-prostatic extension (c index = 0.57), non-focal extra-prostatic extension (c index = 0.65), surgical margin status (c index = 0.58), seminal vesicle involvement (c index = 0.63), lymph node involvement (c index = 0.60), Her-2/neu expression (c index = 0.62), and %DNA index (c index = 0.65) were statistically significant predictors in univariate analyses (Table 2). For time to PCa-specific death, Gleason score (c index = 0.70), non-focal extra-prostatic extension (c index = 0.63), surgical margin status (c index = 0.62), seminal vesicle involvement (c index = 0.62), lymph node involvement (c index = 0.63), Her-2/neu expression (c index = 0.62), and %DNA index (c index = 0.67) were statistically significant predictors in univariate analyses (Table 2). Please note, %DNA index when assessed as a continuous predictive marker for progression free survival [1.02 (1.01 - 1.04), p<0.0001], metastasis free survival [1.03 (1.02 - 1.05), p<0.0001] and PCa-specific death [1.04 (1.02 - 1.06), p<0.0001] was also significant. Kaplan-Meier survival curves for progression-free survival; metastasis-free survival and time to PCa-specific death are presented in Figures 1, 2 and 3 of Gleason score, %DNA index and Her-2/neu expression, respectively. As seen in Figures 3A, 3B, and 3C, the survival curves for focal and diffuse Her-2/neu expression were similar, so for the multivariate analyses, these two categories were combined and Her-2/neu was categorized as positive or negative.

Table 2.

Univariate Cox Proportional Hazards Regression analysis

Variable N Progression Metastasis PCa specific Death
HR
(95% CI)
P value HR
(95% CI)
P value HR
(95% CI)
P value
Gleason Score
<7 121 1.00 <0.0001* 1.00 <0.0001* 1.00 <0.0001*
≥7 131 3.12
(2.17-4.49)
4.28
(2.34-7.85)
5.08
(2.21-11.66)
TNM Stage
T1b/c 13 1.00 1.00 *****
T2a 95 3.48
(1.10-11.1)
0.035 2.94
(0.40-21.7)
0.290
T2b 114 2.55
(0.8-8.14)
0.114 2.87
(0.39-21.17)
0.301
T2c 30 2.36
(0.67-8.31)
0.179 2.67
(0.32-22.24)
0.362
Organ Confined
Yes 60 1.00 <0.0001* 1.00 0.037* 1.00 0.178
No 192 2.59
(1.59-4.21)
2.13
(1.05-4.32)
1.83
(0.76-4.39)
Focal Extra-Prostatic Extension
No 79 1.00 0.008* 1.00 0.042* 1.00 0.155
Yes 173 1.70
(1.15-2.52)
1.89
(1.02-3.49)
1.77
(0.80-3.88)
Non-Focal Extra-Prostatic Extension
No 115 1.00 <0.0001* 1.00 <0.0001* 1.00 0.005*
Yes 137 2.35
(1.64-3.37)
3.19
(1.77-5.73)
2.96
(1.39-6.31)
Surgical Margin
Negative 175 1.00 <0.0001* 1.00 0.028* 1.00 0.003*
Positive 77 2.63
(1.87-3.69)
1.78
(1.06-2.97)
2.68
(1.39-5.15)
Seminal Vesicle
Negative 217 1.00 <0.0001* 1.00 <0.0001* 1.00 <0.0001*
Positive 35 2.82
(1.86-4.28)
5.03
(2.93-8.64)
3.79
(1.89-7.60)
Lymph Node
Negative 230 1.00 <0.0001* 1.00 <0.0001* 1.00 <0.0001*
Positive 22 3.59
(2.22-5.82)
4.75
(2.49-9.09)
6.90
(3.24-14.71)
Her-2/neu
Negative
(<5%)
85 1.00 1.00 1.00
Focal
(5%-30%)
81 2.17
(1.93-3.39)
0.001* 3.85
(1.74-8.50)
0.001* 3.30
(1.20-9.09)
0.021*
Diffuse
(>30%)
87 2.21
(1.42-3.45)
<0.0001* 3.41
(1.54-7.55)
0.002* 3.28
(1.20-8.96)
0.021*
%DNA Index
≤7 104 1.00 <0.0001* 1.00 <0.0001* 1.00 0.002*
>7 148 2.69
(1.83-3.94)
3.32
(1.76-6.26)
3.94
(1.64-9.47)
*

Significant

*****

No event in T1b/c

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Figure 1

Figure 1

A, B and C shows Kaplan-Meier curves of Gleason score [<7 and ≥7] for progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death.

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Figure 2

Figure 2

A, B and C shows Kaplan-Meier curves of %DNA Index [≤7 and >7] for progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death.

Figure 3.

Figure 3

Figure 3

Figure 3

A, B and C shows Kaplan-Meier curves of Her-2/neu expression [Negative staining (<5%), focal staining (5-30%) and diffuse staining (>30%)] for progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death. Focal and diffuse Her-2/neu expression have similar hazards ratio and Kaplan-Meier survival curves for progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death

When all univariately significant variables were evaluated using multivariate Cox regression, Gleason score, surgical margin status, %DNA index and Her-2/neu expression were multivariately significant predictors of progression-free survival (Table 3). For metastasis-free survival, Gleason score, %DNA index and Her-2/neu expression were multivariately significant (Table 3). Gleason score, lymph node involvement, %DNA index and Her-2/neu expression were multivariately significant for prediction of time to PCa-specific death (Table 3). Both %DNA index and Her-2/neu expression were multivariately significant parameters for progression, metastasis, PCa-specific death free survivals (Table 3).

Table 3.

Multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards analysis

Variable N Progression Metastasis PCa-specific Death
HR
(95% CI)
P value HR
(95% CI)
P value HR
(95% CI)
P value
Gleason Score
<7 121 1.00 <0.0001* 1.00 0.019* 1.00 0.022*
≥7 131 2.40
(1.60-3.57)
2.24
(1.14-4.40)
2.96
(1.17-7.49)
Organ Confined
Yes 60 1.00 0.192 1.00 0.156
No 192 1.73
(0.76-3.97)
0.34
(0.07-1.51)
Focal Extra-Prostatic Extension
No 79 1.00 0.409 1.00 0.238
Yes 173 0.79
(0.44-1.39)
1.88
(0.67-5.42)
Non-Focal Extra-Prostatic Extension
No 115 1.00 0.539 1.00 0.063 1.00 0.589
Yes 137 1.16
(0.72-1.86)
2.37
(0.95-5.87)
1.28
(0.53-3.10)
Surgical Margin
Negative 175 1.00 0.001* 1.00 0.501 1.00 0.057
Positive 77 1.91
(1.31-2.81)
1.21
(0.68-2.16)
1.98
(0.98-4.02)
Seminal Vesicle
Negative 217 1.00 0.849 1.00 0.056 1.00 0.994
Positive 35 1.05
(0.65-1.70)
1.87
(0.98-3.54)
1.00
(0.44-2.25)
Lymph Node
Negative 230 1.00 0.078 1.00 0.061 1.00 0.003*
Positive 22 1.62
(0.94-2.78)
1.96
(0.97-3.97)
3.57
(1.54-8.30)
Her-2/neu
Negative 85 1.00 0.001* 1.00 0.001* 1.00 0.012*
Positive 167 2.06
(1.36-3.10)
3.57
(1.68-7.59)
3.39
(1.30-8.83)
%DNA Index
≤7 104 1.00 <0.0001* 1.00 0.014* 1.00 0.039*
>7 148 2.23
(1.49-3.32)
2.29
(1.18-4.42)
2.60
(1.04-6.45)
*

Significant

Next, a bootstrap resampling procedure employing 200 replications was used to perform backward stepwise Cox analyses. The goal was to identify important parameters for progression, metastasis, and PCa-specific death free survivals. Each variable in the replicated models were counted with significance level of Pe ≤0.01 for a variable that entered the model and Pr ≤0.05 (variable selection cut-off) to remain in the model. Table 4 shows inclusion frequencies of all evaluated parameters for progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death free survivals. Using a cut-off criterion of at least 50% inclusion frequency, Gleason score, surgical margin, lymph node involvement, Her-2/neu expression and %DNA index yielded a model with c index of 0.76 for progression free survival prediction. For metastasis free survival prediction, Gleason score, non-focal extra-prostatic extension, lymph node involvement, seminal vesicle involvement, Her-2/neu expression and %DNA index resulted a model with c index of 0.80. Gleason score, surgical margin, lymph node involvement, Her-2/neu expression and %DNA index yielded a model with c index of 0.81 for PCa-specific death free survival prediction. Of note, Gleason score, lymph node involvement, Her-2/neu expression and %DNA index had inclusion frequencies ≥50% for all three endpoint i.e. progression, metastasis, and PCa-specific death free survivals predictions. The increment in c-index for progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death free survival models by addition of either Her-2/neu or DNA index was ∼2% and of both biomarkers was ∼3%.

Table 4.

Inclusion Frequencies of Evaluated parameters

Variable Progression Metastasis PCa-specific Death
Gleason Score 100 78 69
TNM Stage 11 9.5 12.5
Organ Confined 37.5 18.5 15
Focal Extra-Prostatic Extension 16 17.5 8.5
Non-Focal Extra-Prostatic Extension 17.5 52.5 14
Surgical Margin 94.5 12 61.5
Seminal Vesicle 5 56 7.5
Lymph Node 50 59 82.5
Her-2/neu 95.5 94.5 76.5
%DNA Index 98 78.5 67

Preoperative PSA information was able for 150 cases only because of lack of availability of PSA assay during early 80s since the PSA was not FDA approved until 1987 and then became routine in the 1990s. In this subset of 150 cases, PSA (0-4, 4.1-10 and >10ng/ml) was not a significant predictor of progression-free survival (p = 0.671; 0.021), metastasis-free survival (p = 0.624; 0.072) or time to PCa-specific death (p = 0.693; 0.633) in univariate Cox regression analyses (data not shown).

DISCUSSION

Slamon et al. 17 were the first to show that Her-2/neu gene amplification and protein overexpression is associated with an increase risk of relapse and death in patients with breast cancer. Since then several investigators 21-27, 30-41 have explored the role of Her-2/neu oncogene in PCa progression and metastasis.

In the current study, we demonstrated that the proportions of Her-2/neu positive and high %DNA index tumors significantly increased from non-progressors to progressors without metastasis to progressors with metastasis. Further, the proportions of Her-2/neu positive and high %DNA index tumors were significantly increased from patients who died from another cause without progression to those who died from another cause with progression to those who died with PCa-specific death. Her-2/neu expression and %DNA index were significant predictors of progression-free survival, metastasis-free survival and time to PCa-specific death (Table 2, Figures 2and 3). Survival curves for patients with focal (5-30%) and diffuse (>30%) Her-2/neu protein expressions overlapped and were not significantly different (Figures 3A, 3B, and 3C). Both Her-2/neu expression and %DNA index were multivariately significant for the prediction of progression-free survival, metastasis-free survival and time to PCa-specific death (Table 3). Of note, Gleason score, lymph node involvement, Her-2/neu expression and %DNA index had inclusion frequencies ≥50% for all three endpoint i.e. progression, metastasis, and PCa-specific death free survivals predictions (Table 4). However, when all other clinicopathologic information is available, the increment in c-index by addition of either Her-2/neu or DNA index was only ∼2% and of both biomarkers was ∼3% for progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death free survival models. Clearly the importance of these two biomarkers in PCa pathogenesis have been demonstrated and the role they may be playing in the disease progression should not be minimized 12-13, 16, 20-25.

Myers et al. 42 suggested that increased expression and changes in the subcellular distribution of Her-2/neu is an early event in the development and progression of PCa. Signoretti et al. 24 showed that PCa progression towards androgen independence is characterized by increased Her-2/neu expression by tumor cells. However, others have found no increase or decrease in Her-2/neu expression in androgen independent tumors 21, 22, 30. The difference in the results may be due to technical assay differences, including variability in tissue fixation protocols, antibodies to different Her-2/neu epitopes, antibody production species, lack of standard operating immunohistochemistry protocols, and different scoring methodologies. Studies on Her-2/neu amplification at the molecular level showed that amplification of this gene in PCa is a rare event 22-24. However, Her-2/neu protein overexpression in PCa tissue sections have been shown to be associated with significantly decreased survival for androgen independent tumors 30, 31.

The extracellular domain of Her-2/neu is frequently cleaved and released into the circulation, where they can be detected by enzyme linked immunosorbant assays (ELISA). Similar to tissue levels, circulating levels of Her-2/neu have been associated with disease progression and aggressive clinical outcome in PCa 32, 33. Also, circulating levels of Her-2/neu have been shown to correlate with gene amplification and tissue Her-2/neu protein overexpression 33, 34.

Her-2/neu overexpression promotes the activation of the androgen receptor (AR), enhances the binding of AR to the promoters of androgen-regulated genes and protects AR from proteasome-mediated degradation 35, 36. Her-2/neu induces mitogen activated protein kinase (MAPK) and phosphatidylinositol 3 kinase (PI3K)-AKT pathways and promotes androgen-independent PCa cell proliferation and survival 37, 38. Casimiro et al. 39 showed that cyclin D1 is a target of Her-2/neu in both androgens dependent and independent PCa which is critical for controlling progression through G1 to S phase of the cell cycle. Her-2/neu is also an important component of IL-6 signaling through MAPK pathways which regulate the growth of many tumors including PCa 43. Further, Her-2/neu induce nuclear factor-κB nuclear activity through PI3K-AKT pathway 40, which may represent prognostic indicator of tumor grade 41.

Notably, the Her-2/neu monoclonal antibody and small molecule kinase inhibitors have failed to show significant activity in PCa trials to date 44, 45. Insufficient target inhibition, not used in combination with the other agents, rare Her-2/neu gene amplification, and commonly occurring PTEN gene loss in PCa are among the reasons cited for failure of these therapeutic modalities 46.

Several investigators have assessed prognostic value of DNA content of tumors for PCa progression and metastasis 16, 20, 47-57. Tumors with normal DNA content are slow growing, less likely to disseminate, have better prognosis than non-diploid tumors and have independent prognostic value for PCa progression prediction 16, 20, 47-53. Tribukait et al. 53 in a prospective study evaluated 287 patients that were under active surveillance and 309 hormonally treated patients with minimum of 10 years of follow-up showed that nuclear DNA ploidy have independent prognostic value, particularly in low-grade, low-stage tumors in which other known variables did not provide any prognostic value. However, several investigators 54-57 have raised doubt about independent prognostic value of DNA ploidy in presence of routine clinicopathologic parameters. In our cohort, DNA ploidy assessed by histogram interpretation by a pathologist was significant univariately for progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death free survivals prediction. DNA ploidy became insignificant when it was considered with other clinicopathologic parameters in multivariate models for progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death free survival prediction, (data not shown). Although %DNA index was significant both univariately and multivariately for progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death free survival predictions, but the actual increment in c-index by its addition in multivariate models was only ∼2%. The importance of %DNA index in PCa pathogenesis can be realized by the fact that it maintained inclusion frequency ≥ 50% for all three end points i.e. progression, metastasis, and PCa-specific death free survival prediction.

In conclusion, clinically localized PCa patients with Her-2/neu positive and high %DNA index are at a higher risk for disease progression, metastasis and PCa-specific death. Further, Her-2/neu expression and %DNA index can be used with clinicopathologic parameters for prediction of long-term prognosis in PCa.

Acknowledgements

Funding for this project was provided by The Johns Hopkins University Prostate Cancer SPORE (Grant number: P50CA58236), Early Detection Research Network (EDRN) NCI/NIH (Grant number CA086323-06), Prostate Cancer Foundation, and the Patana Fund.

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