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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2010 Feb 20.
Published in final edited form as: AIDS. 2009 Feb 20;23(4):511–518. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0b013e32832403d0

Figure 1. Ratio of observed to projected (excl. AIDS mortality) deaths by sex and age (Addis Ababa, 2001–2007).

Figure 1

Notes: The projected number of deaths comes from population projections with the 1994 census population as a baseline. The projections assume no HIV/AIDS effect. Other projection assumptions are described in the text. Observed number of deaths comes from the burial surveillance. The difference between men and women in the ratio of observed over expected number of deaths in adulthood is not due to the stochastic variation in the annual number of observed deaths in the burial surveillance (tested via a poisson model). This does not exclude, however, that the difference may be caused by systematic underreporting of male deaths in the burial surveillance or erroneous projection assumptions.