Table 4.
Pretreatment diastolic blood pressure (mm Hg) | Estimated reduction in diastolic blood pressure (mm Hg) | Relative risk of CHD events by age (years) | Relative risk of stroke by age (years) | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
40-49 | 50-59 | 60-69 | 70-79 | 80-89 | 40-49 | 50-59 | 60-69 | 70-79 | 80-89 | |||
One drug half standard dose: | ||||||||||||
110 | 5.5 | 0.66 | 0.70 | 0.73 | 0.77 | 0.82 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 0.61 | 0.67 | 0.78 | |
105 | 5 | 0.68 | 0.72 | 0.75 | 0.79 | 0.84 | 0.59 | 0.58 | 0.63 | 0.69 | 0.79 | |
100 | 4.6 | 0.71 | 0.74 | 0.77 | 0.80 | 0.85 | 0.62 | 0.61 | 0.66 | 0.71 | 0.81 | |
95 | 4.1 | 0.73 | 0.76 | 0.79 | 0.82 | 0.86 | 0.65 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.74 | 0.83 | |
90 | 3.7 | 0.76 | 0.79 | 0.81 | 0.84 | 0.88 | 0.68 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0.84 | |
85 | 3.3 | 0.78 | 0.81 | 0.83 | 0.86 | 0.89 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 0.74 | 0.79 | 0.86 | |
80 | 2.8 | 0.81 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.87 | 0.90 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.77 | 0.81 | 0.88 | |
75 | 2.4 | 0.84 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.92 | 0.78 | 0.77 | 0.80 | 0.84 | 0.90 | |
One drug standard dose: | ||||||||||||
110 | 6.9 | 0.59 | 0.64 | 0.67 | 0.72 | 0.78 | 0.48 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.73 | |
105 | 6.4 | 0.62 | 0.66 | 0.69 | 0.74 | 0.80 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.63 | 0.74 | |
100 | 5.8 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0.81 | 0.54 | 0.53 | 0.59 | 0.65 | 0.76 | |
95 | 5.3 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.74 | 0.78 | 0.83 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.68 | 0.78 | |
90 | 4.7 | 0.70 | 0.73 | 0.76 | 0.80 | 0.84 | 0.61 | 0.60 | 0.65 | 0.71 | 0.80 | |
85 | 4.2 | 0.73 | 0.76 | 0.78 | 0.82 | 0.86 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.74 | 0.82 | |
80 | 3.6 | 0.76 | 0.79 | 0.81 | 0.84 | 0.88 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.72 | 0.77 | 0.85 | |
75 | 3.1 | 0.79 | 0.82 | 0.84 | 0.86 | 0.90 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.75 | 0.80 | 0.87 | |
Two drugs half standard dose: | ||||||||||||
110 | 10.8 | 0.44 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.68 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.37 | 0.45 | 0.61 | |
105 | 9.9 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.56 | 0.62 | 0.70 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 0.48 | 0.63 | |
100 | 9.1 | 0.50 | 0.55 | 0.59 | 0.65 | 0.72 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.51 | 0.66 | |
95 | 8.2 | 0.54 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 0.68 | 0.75 | 0.42 | 0.41 | 0.47 | 0.55 | 0.69 | |
90 | 7.3 | 0.58 | 0.62 | 0.65 | 0.71 | 0.77 | 0.46 | 0.45 | 0.51 | 0.59 | 0.71 | |
85 | 6.4 | 0.62 | 0.66 | 0.69 | 0.74 | 0.80 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.62 | 0.74 | |
80 | 5.5 | 0.66 | 0.70 | 0.73 | 0.77 | 0.82 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 0.60 | 0.67 | 0.77 | |
75 | 4.7 | 0.70 | 0.74 | 0.76 | 0.80 | 0.85 | 0.61 | 0.60 | 0.65 | 0.71 | 0.81 | |
Two drugs standard dose: | ||||||||||||
110 | 13.1 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.63 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.38 | 0.55 | |
105 | 12.1 | 0.40 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.65 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.41 | 0.57 | |
100 | 11.0 | 0.44 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.59 | 0.67 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.36 | 0.45 | 0.60 | |
95 | 10.0 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.56 | 0.62 | 0.70 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 0.48 | 0.63 | |
90 | 8.9 | 0.51 | 0.56 | 0.60 | 0.65 | 0.73 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.52 | 0.66 | |
85 | 7.9 | 0.55 | 0.60 | 0.63 | 0.69 | 0.75 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 0.56 | 0.69 | |
80 | 6.9 | 0.60 | 0.64 | 0.67 | 0.72 | 0.78 | 0.49 | 0.48 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.73 | |
75 | 5.8 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 0.81 | 0.54 | 0.53 | 0.59 | 0.65 | 0.76 | |
Three drugs half standard dose: | ||||||||||||
110 | 16.0 | 0.30 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 0.57 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.48 | |
105 | 14.7 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 0.59 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.51 | |
100 | 13.3 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.46 | 0.53 | 0.62 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.38 | 0.54 | |
95 | 12.0 | 0.40 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.65 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.41 | 0.57 | |
90 | 10.7 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.54 | 0.60 | 0.68 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.38 | 0.46 | 0.61 | |
85 | 9.4 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.58 | 0.64 | 0.72 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 0.42 | 0.50 | 0.65 | |
80 | 8.1 | 0.54 | 0.59 | 0.63 | 0.68 | 0.75 | 0.43 | 0.42 | 0.48 | 0.55 | 0.69 | |
75 | 6.7 | 0.60 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.72 | 0.79 | 0.49 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 0.61 | 0.73 | |
Three drugs standard dose: | ||||||||||||
110 | 18.6 | 0.25 | 0.30 | 0.34 | 0.41 | 0.52 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 0.42 | |
105 | 17.1 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 0.44 | 0.54 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 0.45 | |
100 | 15.6 | 0.31 | 0.36 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 0.57 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.32 | 0.49 | |
95 | 14.2 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 0.51 | 0.60 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.35 | 0.52 | |
90 | 12.7 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.48 | 0.55 | 0.64 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.31 | 0.39 | 0.56 | |
85 | 11.2 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 0.59 | 0.67 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.36 | 0.44 | 0.60 | |
80 | 9.7 | 0.48 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 0.63 | 0.71 | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.41 | 0.49 | 0.64 | |
75 | 8.3 | 0.54 | 0.58 | 0.62 | 0.67 | 0.74 | 0.42 | 0.41 | 0.47 | 0.55 | 0.68 |
This table is a numerical expansion of figure 6 (diastolic blood pressure). Estimates calculated using a two stage procedure in which the effect of drug treatment in reducing diastolic blood pressure was first estimated,32 then the effect of this blood pressure reduction on disease risk.25
*See Methods (section headed “Predicting the trial results.”)