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Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine logoLink to Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine
. 2008 Apr 26;13(4):219–226. doi: 10.1007/s12199-008-0033-1

Decrease in the prevalence of smoking among Japanese adolescents and its possible causes: periodic nationwide cross-sectional surveys

Yoneatsu Osaki 1,, Takeo Tanihata 2, Takashi Ohida 3, Hideyuki Kanda 4, Yoshitaka Kaneita 3, Masumi Minowa 5, Kenji Suzuki 6, Kiyoshi Wada 7, Kenji Hayashi 8
PMCID: PMC2698236  PMID: 19568908

Abstract

Objectives

To assess trends in smoking prevalence among Japanese adolescents and to analyze possible causal factors for the decrease in smoking prevalence observed in a 2004 survey.

Methods

Nationwide cross-sectional surveys were conducted in 1996, 2000 and 2004. Survey schools, both junior and senior high schools, considered to be representative of the whole of Japan were sampled randomly. Enrolled students were asked to complete a self-reporting anonymous questionnaire on smoking behavior. The questionnaires were collected from 115,814 students in 1996, 106,297 in 2000, and 102,451 in 2004. School principals were asked about the policy of their respective school on smoking restrictions.

Results

Cigarette smoking prevalence (lifetime, current, and daily smoking) in 2004, based on the completed questionaires, had decreased relative to previous years in both sexes and in all school grades. The most important trends were: a decrease in smoking prevalence among the fathers and older brothers of the students; an increase in the proportion of students who did not have friends; a decrease in the proportion of current smokers who usually bought cigarettes in stores decreased in 2004, in particular for the oldest boys. An association was found between a lower smoking rate at a school and a smoke-free school policy.

Conclusions

Japan has experienced a decrease in the prevalence of smoking among adolescents. A decrease in smoking prevalence among the fathers and older brothers, limitations to minors’ access to tobacco, an increase in the proportion of students without friends, and a school policy restricting smoking may have contributed to this decreasing trend.

Keywords: Adolescence, Adolescent behavior, Cigarette use, Japan, Smoking behavior

Introduction

Cigarette smoking increases the risk of many diseases. Given the difficulty of escaping nicotine dependence, the prevention of smoking among adolescents has been identified as a major public health measure [1, 2]. The monitoring of smoking prevalence among adolescents is thus an important means of clarifying the characteristics of this problem, establishing countermeasures, and evaluating public health efforts to reduce smoking prevalence. In the case of Japan, nationwide surveys on cigarette smoking among high school students conducted in 1996 and 2000 [35] revealed that many students had started smoking despite the various restrictions to prevent this established by the Act to Prohibit Minors from Smoking, enacted in 1900. To better understand trends in smoking prevalence, we conducted a third nationwide survey in 2004 and found a dramatic decrease in smoking prevalence among Japanese adolescents.

Many articles describe associated factors or predictors of adolescent smoking. Parental or sibling smoking status and peer networks are two well-known factors contributing to smoking among adolescents [69]. Therefore, an analysis of the trends in parental or sibling smoking status and peer networks is important for studying factors contributing to the change in smoking prevalence among adolescents. Although it was expected that a school's policy on limiting smoking by teachers would play a positive role in discouraging students from smoking, review papers have summarized that the effect of such school-based smoking control measures is small in Western countries [10, 11].

Here, we describe the trends in adolescent smoking prevalence in Japan and analyze the possible factors contributing to a decrease in smoking prevalence among the adolescent population, including parental or sibling smoking status, peer networks, and school regulations on teachers’ smoking.

Methods

Subjects

The survey was a cross-sectional random sampling survey, which used the single-stage cluster sampling methodology [12]. The cluster unit of the sampling was schools. The survey targeted junior and senior high school students from schools selected throughout Japan using the National School Directory. All students enrolled in the sampled schools were subjects of the study.

The number of schools sampled in the 1996 survey was 122 of 11,274 junior high schools (selection rate: 1.1%) and 109 of 5501 senior high schools (2.0%). The proportion of private schools was 4.9% for junior high schools and 28.4% for senior high schools. The proportion of general, vocational and mixed senior high schools was 38.5, 23.9, and 37.5%, respectively. The survey period was December 1996 to the end of January 1997. Respective values for the 2000 and 2004 surveys were 132 of 11,200 junior (1.2%) and 102 of 5,315 senior high schools (1.9%) from December 2000 to the end of January 2001, and 131 of 11,060 junior (1.2%) and 109 of 4,627 senior high schools (1.9%) from December 2004 to the end of January 2005. The proportion of private schools was 7.6% for junior high schools and 33.3% for senior high schools in 2000 survey; in the 2004 survey, the proportions were 6.9% and 26.6%, respectively. The proportion of general, vocational and mixed senior high schools was 48.0, 13.7, and 38.3%, respectively in the 2000 survey and 45.0, 22.9, and 32.1%, respectively, in the 2004 survey.

Procedures

We requested the cooperation of the principals of these schools and sent these individuals questionnaires for their respective school's student population. The teachers were asked to inform the students of the voluntary nature of their participation and to urge them to answer honestly. Anonymous questionnaires and envelopes were handed to the students for completion during school time. Upon completion, the questionnaires were sealed in the envelopes by the students themselves, collected by their teachers, and returned to our institute unopened. School regulations on smoking by teachers was determined using a school questionnaire completed by the school principal. This survey was approved by the Ethics Committee of the National Institute of Public Health.

Measures

The questionnaire focused on smoking experience, smoking frequency, age (by school grade) when the respondent first tried smoking, number of cigarettes consumed daily by smokers, sources for cigarettes, and smoking status of the student’s family. Experimenting smokers, current smokers, and daily smokers were defined as those who had tried smoking at least once, those who had smoked at least once during the previous 30 days, and those who had smoked every day during the previous 30 days, respectively. Students were defined as having no friend who smoked if they responded that “I have no friend” in the question “Do you have a friend who is a smoker?”—yes/no/I have no friend.

School regulations on smoking by teachers was categorized into four groups, namely (1) completely smoke-free throughout the school site, including buildings and grounds; (2) smoke-free in all school buildings but not the grounds; (3) appropriate separation of smoking (smoking room); (4) insufficient separation of smoking. Appropriate separation was defined as a completely partitioned smoking room with air exhaust facilities to the exterior.

Response rate

For the 1996 survey, responses were obtained from 80 junior (response rate 65.6%) and 73 senior high schools (67.0%), with a total of 115,814 responses accounting for 64.1% of all junior and 62.5% of all senior students enrolled in the sampled schools. In 2000, the respective values were 99 (75.0%) and 77 schools (75.5%), with 106,297 responses accounting for 66.1 and 59.3% of enrolled students, and in 2004, these were 92 (70.2%) and 87 schools (79.8%), with 102,451 responses accounting for 60.7 and 67.7% of students. The defining properties of the responding schools, such as the proportion of private schools, vocational schools, or general schools were chosen to be representative of the study population.

Data analysis

The percentages and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) in the tables were calculated by a weighting method based on one-stage stratified cluster sampling [12]. Proportions in tables were compared using statistical testing for rate differences. Multiple logistic regression analyses were applied to calculate odds ratios and the population attributable risk percentage for a student's current smoking status with a family member’s (father, mother, older brother, and older sister) smoking, and for a student's current smoking status with the absence of a friend. Data were analyzed using the SPSS for Windows ver. 13.0 software (SPSS, Chicago, IL).

Results

Smoking prevalence

Lifetime smoking rate, current smoking rate, and daily smoking rate increased with age. Lifetime smoking rate in 2000 among junior high school boys fell compared with that in 1996, whereas the prevalence of regular smoking (current smoking and daily smoking) did not. In 2004, lifetime, current, and daily smoking rates had decreased—relative to 1996 and 2000—in both sexes and in every school grade (Table 1). The magnitude of the decrease was greater in boys than in girls.

Table 1.

Smoking prevalence by sex and school grade (1996, 2000, 2004)

Sex High school Year (grade) Lifetime smoking (%) Current smoking (%) Daily smoking (%) Sample size
1996 CI 2000 CI 2004 CI 1996 CI 2000 CI 2004 CI 1996 CI 2000 CI 2004 CI 1996 2000 2004
Male Junior 1st (7th) 29.9 ± 0.5 22.5 ± 0.4 13.3 ± 0.3 7.5 ± 0.3 5.9 ± 0.2 3.2 ± 0.1 0.7 ± 0.1 0.5 ± 0.0 0.4 ± 0.0 7,211 8,248 6,917
2nd (8th) 35.1 ± 0.5 28.0 ± 0.4 18.1 ± 0.3 10.8 ± 0.4 8.2 ± 0.3 4.8 ± 0.2 1.9 ± 0.1 1.9 ± 0.1 1.3 ± 0.1 7,152 8,541 6,845
3rd (9th) 38.7 ± 0.5 35.4 ± 0.5 23.1 ± 0.4 14.4 ± 0.5 14.0 ± 0.4 7.3 ± 0.2 4.6 ± 0.3 5.2 ± 0.2 2.2 ± 0.1 7,108 8,559 6,917
Subtotal 34.6 ± 0.4 28.7 ± 0.4 18.2 ± 0.3 10.9 ± 0.3 9.4 ± 0.2 5.1 ± 0.1 2.4 ± 0.1 2.6 ± 0.1 1.3 ± 0.1 21,471 25,348 20,679
Senior 1st (10th) 47.7 ± 0.8 45.0 ± 0.6 30.9 ± 0.6 24.7 ± 0.9 24.3 ± 0.7 11.3 ± 0.4 10.8 ± 0.6 12.4 ± 0.6 4.7 ± 0.2 12,079 10,590 12,235
2nd (11th) 52.6 ± 0.8 51.3 ± 0.5 35.9 ± 0.7 31.0 ± 1.0 29.5 ± 0.7 15.4 ± 0.5 18.3 ± 0.8 18.0 ± 0.6 8.2 ± 0.4 12,645 9,662 12,241
3rd (12th) 55.6 ± 0.8 55.7 ± 0.6 42.0 ± 0.7 36.9 ± 1.0 36.9 ± 0.8 21.7 ± 0.6 25.4 ± 0.9 25.9 ± 0.7 13.0 ± 0.5 10,921 8,976 10,843
Subtotal 51.9 ± 0.8 50.3 ± 0.6 36.0 ± 0.6 30.7 ± 1.0 29.9 ± 0.7 15.9 ± 0.5 18.0 ± 0.8 18.4 ± 0.6 8.5 ± 0.3 35,645 29,228 35,319
Female Junior 1st (7th) 16.7 ± 0.4 16.0 ± 0.3 10.4 ± 0.3 3.8 ± 0.2 4.2 ± 0.2 2.4 ± 0.1 0.4 ± 0.0 0.4 ± 0.0 0.2 ± 0.0 7,158 7,124 6,229
2nd (8th) 20.4 ± 0.4 20.5 ± 0.3 14.8 ± 0.3 5.4 ± 0.2 5.7 ± 0.2 3.7 ± 0.1 0.7 ± 0.1 1.0 ± 0.1 0.5 ± 0.0 6,966 7,375 6,234
3rd (9th) 22.7 ± 0.4 23.5 ± 0.4 16.6 ± 0.4 5.5 ± 0.2 6.9 ± 0.2 4.8 ± 0.2 1.0 ± 0.1 1.8 ± 0.1 1.2 ± 0.1 7,203 7,399 6,243
Subtotal 19.9 ± 0.3 20.0 ± 0.2 13.9 ± 0.3 4.9 ± 0.1 5.6 ± 0.1 3.6 ± 0.1 0.7 ± 0.0 1.0 ± 0.0 0.6 ± 0.0 21,327 21,898 18,706
Senior 1st (10th) 29.2 ± 0.6 30.6 ± 0.6 20.5 ± 0.5 9.2 ± 0.4 10.9 ± 0.4 6.5 ± 0.3 2.4 ± 0.1 3.0 ± 0.2 1.7 ± 0.1 12,617 10,552 9,580
2nd (11th) 33.6 ± 0.7 34.2 ± 0.6 24.6 ± 0.6 13.3 ± 0.5 13.0 ± 0.4 8.5 ± 0.4 4.5 ± 0.2 5.3 ± 0.2 3.3 ± 0.2 12,771 9,938 9,289
3rd (12th) 38.5 ± 0.7 36.7 ± 0.6 27.0 ± 0.7 15.6 ± 0.5 15.8 ± 0.5 9.7 ± 0.4 7.1 ± 0.3 8.2 ± 0.3 4.3 ± 0.2 11,983 9,333 8,878
Subtotal 33.5 ± 0.6 33.7 ± 0.5 24.0 ± 0.6 12.6 ± 0.4 13.1 ± 0.4 8.2 ± 0.3 4.6 ± 0.2 5.4 ± 0.2 3.1 ± 0.2 37,371 29,823 27,747

CI, 95% Confidence interval

Lifetime smoking, Students who had tried smoking at least once; Current smoking, students who smoked ≥1 day of the 30 days preceding the survey; daily smoking, students who smoked every day of the 30 days preceding the survey

Factors accounting for the decrease in smoking prevalence

The data were analyzed to identify the factors for this decreasing trend in smoking prevalence among Japanese adolescents. Reported smoking status of family members showed some decrease in family smoking, especially that by fathers, but smoking by older brothers, older sisters and friends also showed a significant and persistent decrease (Table 2). In contrast, smoking by mothers of junior high school boys and senior high school girls increased. The odds ratios of a student's current smoking status with the smoking by a family member were higher when it was the mother who smoked than when it was the father who smoked. The increasing tendency was observed in the odds ratios when both the father and mother smoked. The odds ratios of father and senior brother among boys were higher than those among girls, whereas the odds ratios of the mother and senior sister among girls were higher than those among boys. The population attributable risks of family’s smoking were calculated at 7.7–18.1% in 1996, 8.4–21.7% in 2000, and 6.0–25.3% of the total current smoking rate in 2004; the estimated risk of the father was higher among boys and that of the mother was higher among girls (Table 2).

Table 2.

Smoking prevalence among family members and prevalence of students who have no friend, as reported by students, and the odds ratio and population attributable risk of a student's current smoking with smoking by a family member

Sex High school Family friend Smoking prevalence (%) P value Odds ratioa Population attributable risk (%)
1996 CI 2000 CI 2004 CI 2000 vs. 2004 1996 CI 2000 CI 2004 CI 1996 2000 2004
Male Junior Father 55.2 ± 0.3 52.6 ± 0.4 46.2 ± 0.4 ** 1.30 1.19–1.42 1.39 1.27–1.52 1.54 1.33–1.74 14.2 17.0 20.0
Mother 13.5 ± 0.3 16.1 ± 0.3 16.9 ± 0.3 ** 1.62 1.45–1.81 1.91 1.72–2.11 2.20 1.91–2.54 7.7 12.8 16.9
Older brother 11.6 ± 0.2 10.8 ± 0.2 7.9 ± 0.1 ** 2.72 2.45–3.02 2.80 2.52–3.11 2.90 2.47–3.40 16.6 16.3 13.1
Older sister 4.5 ± 0.1 4.5 ± 0.1 3.8 ± 0.1 ** 2.85 2.45–3.32 3.03 2.62–3.49 2.69 2.19–3.31 7.7 8.4 6.0
Proportion of students who have no friend
No friend 3.9 ± 0.1 4.1 ± 0.1 6.5 ± 0.1 ** 0.89 0.71–1.11 0.79 0.63–1.00 0.88 0.68–1.14 −0.4 −0.9 −0.8
Senior Father 54.7 ± 0.4 53.1 ± 0.4 43.8 ± 0.3 ** 1.33 1.27–1.40 1.38 1.31–1.46 1.70 1.60–1.80 15.3 16.8 23.5
Mother 14.6 ± 0.5 15.6 ± 0.4 14.5 ± 0.3 ** 1.77 1.67–1.89 1.76 1.64–1.88 2.01 1.87–2.17 10.1 10.6 12.8
Older Brother 19.0 ± 0.4 17.3 ± 0.3 13.9 ± 0.2 ** 2.16 2.05–2.28 2.11 1.98–2.25 2.36 2.20–2.53 18.1 16.1 15.9
Older sister 7.7 ± 0.2 8.0 ± 0.2 6.3 ± 0.2 ** 2.31 2.13–2.51 2.46 2.25–2.69 2.59 2.36–3.25 9.2 10.5 9.1
Proportion of students who have no friend
No friend 3.5 ± 0.1 3.5 ± 0.1 6.7 ± 0.1 ** 0.43 0.37–0.49 0.31 0.26–0.38 0.36 0.31–0.43 −2.0 −2.5 −4.5
Female Junior Father 56.1 ± 0.3 55.4 ± 0.2 48.9 ± 0.3 ** 1.17 1.02–1.34 1.30 1.14–1.47 1.17 0.99–1.80 8.7 14.3 7.7
Mother 14.6 ± 0.3 18.0 ± 0.3 15.4 ± 0.3 ** 2.18 1.88–2.52 2.54 2.24–2.89 3.20 1.87–2.17 14.7 21.7 25.3
Older brother 11.7 ± 0.2 11.9 ± 0.1 8.7 ± 0.1 ** 2.44 2.10–2.83 2.76 2.41–3.17 2.59 2.20–2.53 14.4 17.3 12.2
Older sister 5.1 ± 0.1 5.5 ± 0.1 4.7 ± 0.1 ** 3.56 2.98–4.25 3.43 2.91–4.04 3.31 2.36–2.86 11.5 11.8 9.8
Proportion of students who have no friend
No friend 2.6 ± 0.1 2.8 ± 0.0 4.0 ± 0.1 ** 1.81 1.33–2.44 0.70 0.47–1.05 0.85 0.56–1.28 2.1 −0.8 −0.6
Senior Father 54.5 ± 0.3 53.9 ± 0.3 45.7 ± 0.4 ** 1.23 1.15–1.31 1.38 1.28–1.48 1.49 1.36–1.63 11.1 17.0 18.3
Mother 14.0 ± 0.3 15.9 ± 0.3 16.3 ± 0.4 2.22 2.06–2.39 2.24 2.07–2.43 2.59 2.35–2.86 14.6 16.5 20.6
Older brother 18.6 ± 0.3 17.8 ± 0.2 14.4 ± 0.3 ** 1.75 1.63–1.88 1.76 1.62–1.91 1.88 1.70–2.09 12.2 11.9 11.2
Older sister 8.5 ± 0.2 8.8 ± 0.2 6.7 ± 0.2 ** 3.02 2.77–3.29 2.80 2.54–3.07 2.87 2.54–3.25 14.7 13.7 11.1
Proportion of students who have no friend
No friend 2.3 ± 0.0 2.5 ± 0.0 4.1 ± 0.1 ** 0.57 0.44–0.73 0.31 0.22–0.45 0.44 0.32–0.60 −1.0 −1.8 −2.3

*P < 0.05, **P < 0.01; result of statistical testing between 2000 and 2004

CI, 95% Confidence interval

aOdds ratios were calculated using multiple logistic analysis to make adjustments with other family members and with school grade

In our search for factors contributing to the change in smoking prevalence among adolescents, we discovered an increase in the proportion of students who had no friend. In the 1996 and 2000 survey, the proportion of students who reported that they had no friends was quite low; however, this abruptly increased in 2004. Since the smoking prevalence among students who had no friend was lower than that among students who did have a friend, the odds ratios of having no friend were calculated for the values that were smaller than 1.0. The magnitude of the effect was smaller than that of family’s smoking but significant for senior high school students (Table 2).

The most common sources of cigarettes for current smokers are cigarette vending machines, stores (convenience store, supermarket, or gas station), and someone else. When the results for 2000 and 2004 were compared, the proportion students getting cigarettes from stores and someone else had decreased in 2004, especially for boys (Table 3).

Table 3.

Usual sources of cigarettes reported by current smokers

Sex High school Year Searching in house (%) CI Getting from someone CI Tobacconist shop CI Stores CI Vending machine CI Number of current smokers
Male Junior 1996 24.2 ± 0.3 33.4 ± 0.2 17.0 ± 0.2 17.8 ± 0.3 60.3 ± 0.4 2,453
2000 21.4 ± 0.2 37.1 ± 0.2 13.4 ± 0.2 21.3 ± 0.2 64.6 ± 0.2 2,389
2004 22.1 ± 0.5 30.6 ± 0.8 ** 12.0 ± 0.2 13.5 ± 0.2 ** 61.1 ± 0.4 1,049
Senior 1996 15.1 ± 0.1 30.9 ± 0.2 27.3 ± 0.3 42.6 ± 0.5 84.3 ± 0.1 11,869
2000 14.0 ± 0.1 33.1 ± 0.1 26.2 ± 0.3 49.4 ± 0.3 85.8 ± 0.1 8,818
2004 13.2 ± 0.4 29.2 ± 0.4 ** 20.8 ± 0.2 ** 41.5 ± 0.3 ** 82.5 ± 0.1 ** 5,625
Female Junior 1996 39.4 ± 0.4 41.6 ± 0.3 11.7 ± 0.2 16.1 ± 0.3 54.0 ± 0.4 1,048
2000 27.8 ± 0.3 47.5 ± 0.3 9.0 ± 0.1 17.9 ± 0.3 60.7 ± 0.3 1,206
2004 31.5 ± 1.3 40.8 ± 1.6 ** 8.9 ± 0.3 12.7 ± 0.3 * 59.4 ± 0.4 677
Senior 1996 18.5 ± 0.2 35.1 ± 0.2 13.2 ± 0.3 28.4 ± 0.5 76.6 ± 0.2 4,696
2000 15.4 ± 0.1 35.8 ± 0.2 10.2 ± 0.1 36.2 ± 0.3 80.3 ± 0.2 3,824
2004 17.0 ± 0.6 32.6 ± 0.8 ** 9.9 ± 0.2 34.2 ± 0.3 77.8 ± 0.2 2,263

CI, 95% Confidence interval

P < 0.05, ** P < 0.01; result of statistical testing between 2000 and 2004

Percentages add up to more than 100% as some students mentioned more than one source of cigarettes

When the association between the prevalence of smoking among students and the respective school's regulations on smoking by teachers were analyzed, we found that smoking by students in smoke-free schools tended to be lower in both junior and senior high schools. The difference was statistically significant in junior high school girls and in senior high school boys for regular smoking (Table 4). However, smoking prevalence of junior high school students and senior high school girls in the schools of smoke-free buildings was rather higher than that in the schools who had an insufficient separation of smoking-free/smoking areas.

Table 4.

Association between variables of students’ smoking and school smoking regulation

Sex High school School policy Number of schools Lifetime smoking Current smoking Daily smoking Number of students
OR CI OR CI OR CI
Male Junior Insufficient separation of smoking 23 1.0 1.0 1.0 5,380
Separate smoking areas 23 1.04 0.94–1.14 1.05 0.88–1.26 1.09 0.77–1.55 4,992
Smoke-free in school buildings 19 0.99 0.89–1.09 1.23 1.03–1.47 1.44 1.02–2.02 4,275
Smoke-free throughout school site 27 0.94 0.85–1.03 1.01 0.85–1.20 0.98 0.69–1.38 6,032
Senior Insufficient separation of smoking 19 1.0 1.0 1.0 8,569
Separate smoking areas 28 0.91 0.86–0.96 0.89 0.82–0.96 0.88 0.80–0.97 10,649
Smoke-free in school buildings 13 0.80 0.74–0.86 0.70 0.63–0.77 0.64 0.56–0.73 4,590
Smoke-free throughout school site 27 0.87 0.79–0.89 0.76 0.70–0.82 0.69 0.63–0.77 11,511
Female Junior Insufficient separation of smoking 23 1.0 1.0 1.0 4,606
Separate smoking areas 23 1.15 1.02–1.29 1.06 1.02–1.29 1.69 1.02–2.81 4,558
Smoke-free in school buildings 19 1.16 1.03–1.31 1.31 1.03–1.31 1.33 0.76–2.32 3,882
Smoke-free throughout school site 27 0.87 0.78–0.98 0.75 0.78–0.98 0.84 0.48–1.48 5,660
Senior Insufficient separation of smoking 19 1.0 1.0 1.0 5,222
Separate smoking areas 28 0.81 0.75–0.88 0.92 0.81–1.04 0.83 0.68–1.00 10,139
Smoke-free in school buildings 13 1.12 1.01–1.23 1.30 1.12–1.50 1.05 0.84–1.32 3,782
Smoke-free throughout school site 27 0.87 0.81–0.95 0.93 0.82–1.06 0.85 0.69–1.03 8,604

OR, Odds ratio; CI, 95% confidence interval adjusted by school grade and school policy on teachers’ smoking in school

Discussion

This study provides the first evidence of a dramatic decrease in smoking prevalence among Japanese adolescents. The 2000 survey showed a decrease in lifetime smoking rate among junior high school boys only and no decrease in prevalence among girls or in regular smoking prevalence among boys. In recent years there has been a trend towards a decreased prevalence of smoking among adolescents in a number of western countries, including the USA [13], England [14], Australia [15], Canada [16], and in adolescent boys in Sweden and Finland [17], but not in a number of other European countries, such as Italy, Russia [18], Hungary, and Latvia [17]. The magnitude of decrease found in our 2004 survey was one of the largest reported to date and is the first decrease reported in an Asian country.

In our analysis of the possible factors accounting for the decrease, we identified a decrease in smoking prevalence among family members and an increased proportion of students who had no friends. Parent and sibling smoking is one of the most important predictors of adolescent smoking [69, 19, 20]. We observed considerably high odds ratios and population attributable risk of a student's current smoking status with smoking by a family member: the reported decreases in the prevalence of smoking by a father and older brother probably contributed to the decrease among students. However, the prevalence of smoking by mothers of junior high school boys has increased significantly, and this influence on students’ smoking behavior should be monitored by periodic surveys. We also observed that having no friend was a protective factor on smoking behavior among senior high school students. Peer smoking is a well-known predictor of adolescent smoking [20]. The increased proportion of students who reported having no friends indicates a decrease in the human network of students. This may also have contributed to a decrease in peer pressure to start smoking [21].

A governmental measure, called the Act to Prohibit Minors from Smoking, was enacted in 1990 in Japan. According to this law, adults who sell a cigarette to a minor will be punished. However, the number of arrests made under this law has been extremely low, and the law has not had the intended effect. The proportion of current smokers who bought their cigarettes in a store decreased in the 2004 survey, especially for senior high school boys. This may be due to the governmental obligation for sellers to confirm a customers’ age (from December 2001, due to a revision of the Act to Prohibit Minors from smoking). However, a significant number of adolescent smokers still buy their cigarettes in stores, and most of the current smokers purchase their cigarettes using cigarette vending machines. The proportion of smokers who buy their cigarettes from vending machine is much higher than that in other countries [22]. Since the number of cigarette vending machines has not decreased [5], banning vending machine and enforcement of age confirmation in stores are important measures to prevent smoking by minors in Japan.

This study also identified the possible efficacy of school regulations on smoking by teachers. Based on the Health Promotion Law issued in 2002, there is a movement by local governments to encourage a smoke-free school site policy with the aim of preventing passive smoking in schools. We observed that a total ban on smoking at a school (entire school site) can be an effective measure in preventing adolescent smoking. Some researchers have emphasized the importance of school smoking restrictions [23, 24], whereas review papers have summarized that the effect of school-based smoking control measures is small [10, 11]. For cultural reasons, the magnitude of the effectiveness of school-based smoking control may be greater in Japan than in Western countries. The inappropriate influence of teachers who smoke outside the school buildings in the view of students may contribute to the relatively higher smoking prevalence in the schools with smoke-free buildings only.

One interesting observation was the contrasting relationship between sexes and school categories (junior or senior) in terms of the increase in smoking by mothers and the effectiveness of school policy. We speculate that smoking by the mother may offset the effect of a school policy on restricting smoking.

In the period 1996 through 2004, cigarette prices in Japan were raised on two occasions, in 1998 and 2003, each time by 20 yen (US $ 0.18 ) per pack (20 cigarettes). It is therefore difficult to explain that the decrease in prevalence after 2000 was the result of higher prices. Since adolescent smoking is also influenced by tobacco industry promotions, such as advertising [2527] and smoking in TV programs or movies [28], we plan to assess the role of cigarette advertizing and smoking scenes in TV programs or movies in Japan.

A limitation of this study is the possibility of misclassification of the smoking status among students. Although this study is an anonymous questionnaire survey, the respondents may have been reluctant to report their actual smoking status due to the more active anti-smoking policies in recent years. However, we considered that the influence of misclassification of reported smoking status was not large because the number of questionnaires with an invalid answer or a contradictory answer did not increase during this study period. Confirmation of the persistence of this decrease in prevalence will require periodic monitoring of adolescent smoking prevalence and related factors.

Conclusion

In recent years, a number of Western countries have experienced a decrease in the prevalence of smoking among adolescents. The results of the 2004 survey reported here showed a dramatic decrease in smoking prevalence among Japanese adolescents. The current findings demonstrate that possible factors contributing to this decrease is a decreased prevalence of smoking by a father and older brother, restriction in the access of minors to tobacco, an increase in the proportion of students without friends, and a school policy restricting smoking.

Acknowledgments

This study was supported by a grant for a Special Research Project in 1996 and a Public Health Special Research Project in 2000 and 2004 from the Ministry of Health and Welfare Health Science Research Fund in Japan. The sponsors of this study had no role in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or writing of the paper. We are grateful to Mr. Michita Nagatsuka, Ms. Sanae Numaguchi, Ms. Kyoko Kawamoto for assembling, inputting, and management of the data, and to Dr. Guy Harris for English editing of the manuscript.

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