Skip to main content
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine logoLink to Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine
. 2001 Jan;5(4):160–166. doi: 10.1007/BF02918293

Rate of mortality with hip fracture and its prognostic factors in an elderly Japanese population

Shigeko Takayama 1,, Masayuki Iki 2, Yukinori Kusaka 3, Haruki Takagi 4, Shigeyuki Tamaki 4
PMCID: PMC2723282  PMID: 21432406

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to clarify the survival rates and prognostic factors in elderly Japanese patients with hip fractures. This study investigated the outcome of 256 patients aged 60 years and older with surgically treated hip fractures. Information including age, gender, duration of hospitalization, place of residence before fracture and at discharge, and level of mobility before fracture and at discharge was obtained from patient records. The survival of the patients after discharge was determined by mail surveys supplemented with telephone inquiries.

The observed survival rates were significantly lower than the expected survival rates p<0.001, by Mantel Haenszel test). The short-term mortality rates were 6% for six months and 12.7% for one year, which were lower than previously reported rates in Western countries. Significantly higher hazard ratios (HR) for mortality adjusted for age and gender were observed in patients who had lived in places other than their own home before fracture (HR=2.67 (1.63–4.3)). were discharged to places other than their own home (Nursing home HR=2.25 (1.24–4.1) or to a non-orthopedic unit (HR=5.95 (3.12-11.34), those requiring full-time assistance for mobility at discharge (HR=5.71 (3.59-9.01)), and those who had stayed in a hospital for fewer than 40 days (HR=2.20 (1.38–3.51)). After adjusting for the effects of all the potential prognostic factors, discharge to places other than their own home and the lowest level of mobility at discharge remained significant factors causing adverse effects on survival. Therefore, to improve the prognosis, patients should be allowed to recover to a level at which they can ambulate with some assistance, enabling them return to their own homes.

Key words: Hip fracture, Mortality, Prognosis factor, Elderly, Japanese

References

  • 1).Nagura E, Igata A, Fujita H, et al. Characteristics of bedridden elderly people living at home and in a hospital, J. J Geriatric 1997;34:589–95. [DOI] [PubMed]
  • 2).Famworth MG, Kenny P, Shiell A. The costs and effects of early discharge in the management of fractured hip. Age-Aging 1994;23:190–4. [DOI] [PubMed]
  • 3).Orimo H, Hashimoto T, Shiraki M, et al. The epidemiology of osteoporosis in Japan. Jpn Med 1995;370:27–30.
  • 4).Nakamura T. Epidemiological study on hip fractures in Tottori prefecture. J Jpn Orthop Assoc 1993;67:189–200. [PubMed]
  • 5).Kyo T, Takaoka K, Oho K, Femoral neck fracture-factors related to ambulation and prognosis. Clin Orthop 1993;292215–22. [PubMed]
  • 6).Tashiro H, Matubayashi A, Kido M, et al. Post operative prognosis of femoral neck fractures in the elderly patient. Orthop Surg Trauma 1995;44:1498–502.
  • 7).DePlma L, Rizzi L, Lorini G, Greco F. Survival after trochanteric fracture. Acta Orthop Scand 1992;63:645–7. [DOI] [PubMed]
  • 8).Kreutzfeldt J, Haim M, Elsa B. Hip fracture among the elderly in a mixed urban and rural population. Age Ageing 1984;13:111–9. [DOI] [PubMed]
  • 9).Daul E. Mortality and life expectancy after hip fractures. Acta Orthop Scand 1980;51:163–70. [DOI] [PubMed]
  • 10).Jacobson SJ, Goldberg J, Miles TP, Brody JA, Stiers W, Rimm AA. Race and sex differences in mortality following fracture of the hip. Am J Pub Health 1992;82:1147–50. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
  • 11).Parker MJ, Anand JK. What is the true mortality of hip fracture? Pub Health 1991;105:443–6. [DOI] [PubMed]
  • 12).Browner WS, Pressman AR, Nevit MC, Cumming SR. Mortality following fractures in order women. Arch Intern Med 1996;156:1521–5. [DOI] [PubMed]
  • 13).Phillip DR, Norimathu H, James WD, et al. A comparison of Hip Fracture incidence among native Japanese, Japanese Americans, and American Causasians. Am J Epidemiology 1991;133:801–9. [DOI] [PubMed]
  • 14).Kishi S, Kawashima, S, Kataoka Y, Iwata H, Muramatu T, Watabe K. The study of general condition and function prognosis in the treatment of senile femoral neck fracture. Orth Surg 1986;37:1877–81.
  • 15).Japan society for cancer therapy. The rules for the reporting of cancer survival and end results. 4th ed. Tokyo, Kinbara, 1989.
  • 16).Japanese Ministry of Health and Welfare, 18th Life Table, 1991.
  • 17).Kenzora JE, McCarthy RE, Lowell JD, Sledge CB. Hip fracture mortality. Clin Orthop 1984;186:45–56. [PubMed]
  • 18).Fuyuki H. Considerations in post-operative exercise for patients with femoral and trochanteric fracture. Sogo rehabilitation 1998;26:635–40.
  • 19).Okomoto R. Pre- and postoperative rehabilitation of the lower extremity-hip ald knee. Sogo rehabilitation 1993;21: 573–8.
  • 20).Ohashi Y, Hamada C. Analysis of Survival Data-Biostatistics using SAS software. Tokyo: University of Tokyo Press.
  • 11).Hamajima N. Clinical studies by multivariate analysis-Introduction to proportional hazard model and Logistic model with application programs of SAS.2nd Ed. The University of Nagoya press, 1993.
  • 22).Cox DR. Regression models and life tables with discussion. J Royal Stat Soc Series B, 1972.
  • 23).Tamaru T, Sasaki K, Matumoto K, Matumoto N, Kishikawa Y, Matubara Y. Rate of mortality and functional prognosis after fracture of the hip. Orthop Surg and Trauma 1990;38: 1296–8.
  • 24).Jensen JS, Tondevold E, Sorencen PH: Mortality after hip fracture. Acta Orthop Scand 1979;50:161–7. [DOI] [PubMed]
  • 25).Fitts WT, Lehr HB, Schor S, Robert B. Life expectancy after fracture of the hip. Surg Gyneco Obstet 1959;108:7–12. [PubMed]
  • 26).Jensen JS, Bagger J. Long term social prognosis after hip fracture. Acta Orthop Scand 1982;53:97–101. [DOI] [PubMed]
  • 27).Kitamura S, Hasegawa Y, Suzuki S, et al. Functional outcome after hip Fracture in Japan. Clin Orthop 1998;348:29–36. [PubMed]
  • 28).Jensen JS. Determining factors for the mortality following hip fractures. Injury 1984;15:411–4. [DOI] [PubMed]
  • 29).Pages E. Factors associated with mortality and gait impairment in elderly patients with hip fractures. Med Clin 1998;23:687–9. [PubMed]
  • 30).Fitzgerald JF, Fagan LF, Tieney WM, diittus RS. Changing patterns of hip fracture care before and after implementation of prospective payment system. JAMA 1987;258:1218–21. [DOI] [PubMed]

Articles from Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine are provided here courtesy of The Japanese Society for Hygiene

RESOURCES