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CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association Journal logoLink to CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association Journal
letter
. 2010 Feb 9;182(2):176. doi: 10.1503/cmaj.110-2013

Prediction versus prognosis

Stephen R Workman 1
PMCID: PMC2817331  PMID: 20142392

Dr. Koch confuses a prediction with a prognostic assessment1. A physician can guess (predict) how long a patient will live. Experienced physicians know better than to offer a prediction with any degree of certainty. An accurate assessment of prognosis differs from a prediction in that it requires stating a range of survival based upon relevant data. It would be nice if physicians were clairvoyant, but as Yogi Bera noted: “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.”

Footnotes

For the full letter, go to: www.cmaj.ca/cgi/eletters/181/11/868#252316

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