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American Journal of Epidemiology logoLink to American Journal of Epidemiology
. 2010 Aug 6;172(5):566–577. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwq148

Diet, Supplement Use, and Prostate Cancer Risk: Results From the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial

Alan R Kristal *, Kathryn B Arnold, Marian L Neuhouser, Phyllis Goodman, Elizabeth A Platz, Demetrius Albanes, Ian M Thompson
PMCID: PMC2950820  PMID: 20693267

Abstract

The authors examined nutritional risk factors for prostate cancer among 9,559 participants in the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial (United States and Canada, 1994–2003). The presence or absence of cancer was determined by prostate biopsy, which was recommended during the trial because of an elevated prostate-specific antigen level or an abnormal digital rectal examination and was offered to all men at the trial's end. Nutrient intake was assessed using a food frequency questionnaire and a structured supplement-use questionnaire. Cancer was detected in 1,703 men; 127 cancers were high-grade (Gleason score 8–10). There were no associations of any nutrient or supplement with prostate cancer risk overall. Risk of high-grade cancer was associated with high intake of polyunsaturated fats (quartile 4 vs. quartile 1: odds ratio = 2.41, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.33, 4.38). Dietary calcium was positively associated with low-grade cancer but inversely associated with high-grade cancer (for quartile 4 vs. quartile 1, odds ratios were 1.27 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.57) and 0.43 (95% CI: 0.21, 0.89), respectively). Neither dietary nor supplemental intakes of nutrients often suggested for prostate cancer prevention, including lycopene, long-chain n-3 fatty acids, vitamin D, vitamin E, and selenium, were significantly associated with cancer risk. High intake of n-6 fatty acids, through their effects on inflammation and oxidative stress, may increase prostate cancer risk.

Keywords: diet, dietary supplements, food, micronutrients, prostatic neoplasms


Sound biologic reasoning underlies the hypothesis that dietary patterns, through their effects on steroid hormone and xenobiotic metabolism, oxidative stress, and inflammation, can modify prostate cancer risk. However, the findings from observational and experimental studies examining diet and prostate cancer risk are inconsistent. For example, several cohort studies and secondary analyses from randomized clinical trials found inverse associations of selenium and vitamin E supplementation with prostate cancer risk (1, 2), often restricted to subsets of men such as smokers (3) or men with specific genotypes (4), but a large randomized clinical trial did not find reduced risks after supplementation with vitamin E, selenium, or both (5). Inverse associations found for dietary lycopene in some cohorts (6, 7) have not been consistently corroborated in studies using serum lycopene as a biomarker of intake (8, 9). Both dietary and supplemental calcium have been associated with increased risk in many observational studies (10, 11), but calcium supplementation was found to be protective in a randomized clinical trial (12).

Many factors could explain the discrepancies across these studies. Most important is the widespread adoption of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening, which has caused the preponderance of incident prostate cancer cases to be asymptomatic, local-stage, and of uncertain clinical importance (13). It is thus critical to accurately assess the phenotypes of local-stage disease, which currently is best characterized by Gleason grade (14). A related concern is detection bias. The strongest predictor of being diagnosed with prostate cancer is the receipt of PSA screening (15), yet substantial numbers of men with PSA levels below the standard 4.0-ng/mL cutpoint for diagnostic evaluation have prostate cancer that is undiagnosed (16). Thus, if investigators do not carefully control for screening in their analyses, factors associated with the use of screening or serum PSA level could obscure or confound etiologic associations.

Here we present results from a study examining the associations of nutrient intake from food and supplements with the 7-year period prevalence of prostate cancer in a large cohort of men participating in the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial (PCPT). Several aspects of the PCPT are unique, particularly the biopsy-determined absence or presence of cancer and the centralized and uniform pathologic grading used to define cancer endpoints. Thus, while almost all prostate cancer cases were local-stage, detection bias was minimized and pathologic grading of cases was rigorous and standardized. Analytical results given here are focused on the nutrients and phytochemicals that have been associated with prostate cancer risk in previous studies, including macronutrient density, lycopene, calcium, folate, vitamin D, and n-3 fatty acids.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Study design and study population

The PCPT (http://www.cancer.gov/pcpt) was a randomized, placebo-controlled trial that tested whether finasteride, a 5α-reductase inhibitor, could reduce the 7-year period prevalence of prostate cancer (16). Briefly, beginning in 1993, 18,880 US and Canadian men aged 55 years or older with normal digital rectal examination (DRE) results, PSA levels of 3 ng/mL or less, and no history of prostate cancer, severe lower urinary tract symptoms, or clinically significant coexisting conditions were randomized to receive finasteride (5 mg/day) or placebo. During the PCPT, men underwent DRE and PSA determination annually, and a prostate biopsy was recommended for participants with an abnormal DRE or a PSA level (adjusted for the effect of finasteride) of 4.0 ng/mL or greater. At the final study visit in year 7 (2000–2003), all men not previously diagnosed with prostate cancer were offered a biopsy, which consisted of a minimum of 6 core samples collected under transrectal ultrasonographic guidance. Biopsies were reviewed for adenocarcinoma by both the pathologist at the local study site and a central pathology laboratory, with full concordance. Clinical stage was assigned locally, and tumors were graded centrally using the Gleason scoring system (14).

Of the 18,880 participants, we excluded 7,615 (40.3%) who did not have an end-of-study biopsy, including 1,225 men who died, 6,381 who were medically unable to have a biopsy or refused, and 9 who underwent prostatectomy for reasons other than cancer; this left 2,401 cases and 8,864 noncases. We then excluded 173 cases diagnosed on or after the trial end date (June 24, 2003), 92 cases diagnosed 180 days or more after their planned end-of-study visit, and 140 cases who were missing Gleason scores. From the 10,860 men remaining for study, we further excluded 102 men who were missing data on body mass index, 770 men who were missing dietary data, and 429 men whose dietary information was judged to be unreliable because of a reported energy intake less than 800 kcal/day or greater than 5,000 kcal/day. Some men did not complete dietary questionnaires because practitioners at their clinical site chose not to participate in the dietary studies or because prostate cancer was diagnosed before the questionnaire was administered. This analysis was based on 1,703 cancer cases diagnosed in 9,559 men.

Data collection

Details regarding demographic and health-related characteristics were collected at baseline using self-administered questionnaires. Level of physical activity was assessed using a 6-item questionnaire (17). Height and weight were measured at the baseline clinic visit.

One year after randomization, the men filled in a 15-page booklet containing 2 questionnaires on diet and the use of nutritional supplements. Diet was assessed using a food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) developed specifically for this population of older men. The FFQ consisted of questions on 99 foods and 9 beverages, plus 18 questions on food preparation and 2 questions on consumption of fruits and vegetables. Algorithms for analysis of data from this questionnaire are available at http://www.fhcrc.org/science/shared_resources/nutrition/ffq/tech_doc.pdf. The nutritional supplement questionnaire has been described in detail previously (18). On the questionnaire, participants reported: the usual number of pills taken per day for multivitamins and antioxidant mixtures; both the number of pills taken per day and the dose for β-carotene, vitamin C, vitamin E, calcium, and zinc; and whether they used stress-type multivitamins, vitamin D, fish oil, or selenium at least 3 times per week. Multivitamin use and supplemental intakes of specific nutrients (the sum of single supplements plus multivitamins) were categorized as low (corresponding to no use or infrequent use of a supplement), moderate (corresponding to the amounts generally obtained from multivitamins), and high (corresponding to amounts that are generally only possible from using high-dose single supplements). Because data for fish oil, selenium, and vitamin D were available only on whether these supplements were used at least 3 times per week, fish oil was coded as 0 or 0.5 g of docosahexaenoic (DHA) plus eicosapentaenoic (EPA) fatty acids per day, selenium was coded as 0 or 200 μg/day, and vitamin D was coded as 0 or 10 μg/day. The vitamin D content of multivitamins is also 10 μg; thus, men who used both multivitamins and single vitamins were placed in the high-dose vitamin D category.

In an inter- and intramethod reliability study carried out among 150 randomly selected men, we compared nutrient intakes calculated from the initial FFQ, intakes from 6 24-hour recalls administered over the following year, and intakes from an additional FFQ completed after all 24-hour recalls had been administered. Based on the 128 men who completed the study, correlations between the first FFQ and the 24-hour recalls (adjusted for energy and deattenuated for measurement error (19)) were: total fat, 0.71; polyunsaturated fat, 0.66; monounsaturated fat, 0.66; saturated fat, 0.75; alcohol, 0.84; carbohydrate, 0.70; protein, 0.50; vitamin C, 0.62; lycopene, 0.58; β-carotene, 0.68; vitamin D, 0.57; EPA + DHA, 0.87; calcium, 0.62; and zinc, 0.51. Correlations between repeat FFQs were above 0.60 for all nutrients, with the exception of 0.54 for EPA + DHA.

Statistical analysis

We used logistic and polytomous logistic regression models to estimate associations of diet and supplement use with risks of total, low-grade (Gleason score 2–7), and high-grade (Gleason score 8–10) prostate cancer. Several alternative categorizations of grade (Gleason score 2–6 vs. 7–10; Gleason score 2–6 vs. 7 vs. 8–10; and Gleason score 2–6 (3 + 4) vs. (4 + 3) 8–10) were examined, but findings were limited to Gleason score 8–10, with no difference between Gleason scores categorized as 2–6 and 2–7. Results given were adjusted for age (continuous), race/ethnicity (white, African-American, other), family history of prostate cancer in first-degree relatives (yes, no), treatment arm (finasteride, placebo), and body mass index (weight (kg)/height (m)2; continuous). Further control for education, diabetes, current smoking, and physical activity did not affect the results, and these factors were not included in the final models. Tests for linear trend across categories were based on an ordinal variable, as described by Breslow and Day (20). Results are given for both study arms combined, because in preliminary analyses there were no discordant findings between arms. All analyses used SAS, version 9.1 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, North Carolina).

RESULTS

Table 1 shows the demographic and health-related characteristics of the study population. Older age, African-American race/ethnicity, and family history of prostate cancer were associated with increased prostate cancer risk; high body mass index was associated with lower risk of total cancer, but in previously published results, the associations were inverse for low-grade disease and positive for high-grade disease (21). The majority of prostate cancers were low-grade and in an early clinical stage.

Table 1.

Demographic and Health-Related Characteristics of Prostate Cancer Cases and Controls, Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial, 1994–2003

Cases (n = 1,703)
Controls (n = 7,856)
P Valuea
No. % Mean (SD) No. % Mean (SD)
Age, years
    Mean 63.6 (5.6) 62.6 (5.4) <0.001
    <60 480 28.2 2,648 33.7 <0.001
    60–64 531 31.2 2,544 32.4
    65–69 418 24.5 1,715 21.8
    ≥70 274 16.1 949 12.1
Race/ethnicity
    White 1,587 93.2 7,372 93.8 <0.001
    African-American 75 4.4 210 2.7
    Asian/Pacific Islander 5 0.3 52 0.7
    Hispanic 32 1.9 185 2.4
    Other 4 0.2 37 0.5
Family history of prostate cancer 374 22.0 1,242 15.8 <0.001
Smoking
    Never smoker 612 35.9 2,701 34.4 0.473
    Former smoker 979 57.5 4,629 58.9
    Current smoker 112 6.6 526 6.7
Diabetes mellitus 72 4.2 550 7.0 <0.001
Finasteride study arm 696 40.9 3,961 50.4 <0.001
Body mass indexb
    Mean 27.4 (4.0) 27.6 (4.0) 0.023
    <25 482 28.3 2,014 25.6 <0.001
    25–29 868 51.0 4,063 51.7
    30–34 272 16.0 1,392 17.7
    ≥35 81 4.8 387 4.9
Histologic grade
    Low (GS 2–6) 1,225 71.9
    Moderate (GS 3 + 4) 266 15.6
    Moderate (GS 4 + 3) 85 5.0
    High (GS 8–10) 127 7.5
Clinical stage
    T1a 215 12.6
    T1b 118 6.9
    T1c 901 52.9
    T2a 234 13.7
    T2b 93 5.5
    T2c 73 4.3
    T3 27 1.6
    T4 0
    Unknown 42 2.5

Abbreviations: GS, Gleason score; SD, standard deviation.

a

t tests for mean values and chi-squared tests for categories.

b

Weight (kg)/height (m)2.

There were no significant associations of any nutrient or nutritional supplement with the risk of total prostate cancer; therefore, results are given by grade only. Table 2 shows adjusted odds ratios for low- and high-grade prostate cancer associated with energy and micronutrient intake.

Table 2.

Associations of Daily Energy and Macronutrient Intake With the Risk of Low- and High-Grade Prostate Cancer, Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial, 1994–2003

Quartile of Energy or Macronutrient Intakea
P for Trend
Quartile 1 Quartile 2 Quartile 3 Quartile 4
Energy, kcal <1,558 1,558–2,066 2,067–2,678 >2,678
    OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 0.97 (0.83, 1.13) 1.00 (0.85, 1.17) 1.07 (0.92, 1.25) 0.341
        No. of cases/total 375/2,227 390/2,405 397/2,398 414/2,402
    OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.98 (0.61, 1.58) 1.00 (0.62, 1.62) 0.69 (0.40, 1.17) 0.226
        No. of cases/total 35/1,887 35/2,050 34/2,035 23/2,011
Total fat
    Percent energy <27.4 27.4–32.7 32.8–37.9 >37.9
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 0.98 (0.84, 1.15) 0.99 (0.85, 1.16) 0.90 (0.77, 1.06) 0.242
            No. of cases/total 407/2,390 397/2,345 397/2,324 375/2,373
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.81 (1.08, 3.03) 1.51 (0.87, 2.59) 1.36 (0.78, 2.39) 0.490
            No. of cases/total 23/2,006 41/1,989 33/1,960 30/2,028
    Total energy, kcal <454 454–654 655–919 >919
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.05 (0.89, 1.23) 0.92 (0.77, 1.09) 1.07 (0.86, 1.33) 0.963
            No. of cases/total 386/2,305 402/2,319 371/2,411 417/2,397
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.30 (0.78, 2.16) 1.38 (0.78, 2.43) 1.23 (0.58, 2.60) 0.463
            No. of cases/total 31/1,950 36/1,953 35/2,075 25/2,005
Saturated fat
    Percent energy <8.5 8.5–10.4 10.5–12.4 >12.4
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 0.89 (0.76, 1.04) 0.95 (0.81, 1.10) 0.89 (0.76, 1.05) 0.282
            No. of cases/total 414/2,341 380/2,367 402/2,372 380/2,352
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.18 (0.74, 1.87) 0.79 (0.47, 1.33) 0.73 (0.43, 1.26) 0.125
            No. of cases/total 34/1,961 41/2,028 28/1,998 24/1,996
    Total energy, kcal <144 144–209 210–301 >301
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 0.99 (0.84, 1.17) 0.98 (0.80, 1.19) 1.01 (0.77, 1.34) 0.959
            No. of cases/total 385/2,280 391/2,334 392/2,399 408/2,419
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.93 (0.56, 1.55) 0.73 (0.39, 1.37) 0.37 (0.13, 1.00) 0.103
            No. of cases/total 35/1,930 37/1,980 33/2,040 22/2,033
Monounsaturated fat
    Percent energy <10.2 10.2–12.5 12.6–14.7 >14.7
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 0.95 (0.81, 1.10) 0.98 (0.84, 1.14) 0.90 (0.77, 1.06) 0.287
            No. of cases/total 407/2,355 387/2,355 400/2,330 382/2,392
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.68 (1.01, 2.78) 1.30 (0.76, 2.22) 1.14 (0.65, 1.98) 0.984
            No. of cases/total 25/1,973 42/2,010 32/1,962 28/2,038
    Total energy, kcal <170 170–249 250–352 >352
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 0.98 (0.82, 1.16) 0.89 (0.72, 1.10) 1.02 (0.73, 1.42) 0.532
            No. of cases/total 395/2,307 388/2,297 377/2,432 416/2,396
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.80 (1.04, 3.13) 1.22 (0.58, 2.59) 1.33 (0.41, 4.37) 0.656
            No. of cases/total 27/1,939 45/1,954 29/2,084 26/2,006
Polyunsaturated fat
    Percent energy <5.4 5.4–6.6 6.7–8.0 >8.0
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.04 (0.89, 1.21) 1.02 (0.88, 1.19) 0.95 (0.81, 1.11) 0.507
            No. of cases/total 396/2,394 409/2,372 394/2,334 377/2,332
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 2.41 (1.33, 4.34) 2.34 (1.29, 4.25) 2.41 (1.33, 4.38) 0.002
            No. of cases/total 16/2,014 38/2,001 36/1,976 37/1,992
    Total energy, kcal <93 93–134 135–191 >191
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 0.91 (0.77, 1.07) 0.95 (0.79, 1.15) 0.88 (0.68, 1.15) 0.474
            No. of cases/total 394/2,302 378/2,369 405/2,362 399/2,399
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.44 (0.85, 2.45) 1.77 (0.94, 3.32) 2.89 (1.24, 6.73) 0.019
            No. of cases/total 30/1,938 34/2,025 31/1,988 32/2,032
Carbohydrate
    Percent energy <43.1 43.1–48.6 48.7–54.7 >54.7
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 0.95 (0.81, 1.11) 0.93 (0.80, 1.09) 1.04 (0.89, 1.22) 0.684
            No. of cases/total 395/2,342 383/2,349 379/2,359 419/2,382
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.96 (0.58, 1.58) 1.05 (0.65, 1.72) 0.82 (0.48, 1.38) 0.557
            No. of cases/total 31/1,978 32/1,998 36/2,016 28/1,991
    Total energy, kcal <755 755–1,005 1,006–1,304 >1,304
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (0.85, 1.18) 1.04 (0.87, 1.25) 1.02 (0.82, 1.27) 0.766
            No. of cases/total 365/2,211 400/2,398 411/2,420 400/2,403
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.80 (0.49, 1.30) 0.67 (0.38, 1.19) 0.64 (0.31, 1.31) 0.171
            No. of cases/total 41/1,887 34/2,032 27/2,036 25/2,028
Protein
    Percent energy <15.0 15.0–16.9 17.0–18.9 >18.9
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (0.86, 1.17) 0.96 (0.82, 1.12) 0.93 (0.79, 1.08) 0.280
            No. of cases/total 407/2,338 408/2,376 389/2,373 372/2,345
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.82 (0.51, 1.34) 0.78 (0.47, 1.28) 0.82 (0.51, 1.34) 0.412
            No. of cases/total 37/1,968 30/1,998 28/2,012 32/2,005
    Total energy, kcal <258 258–349 350–460 >460
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 0.96 (0.81, 1.13) 0.95 (0.78, 1.14) 0.83 (0.64, 1.07) 0.214
            No. of cases/total 379/2,250 401/2,382 406/2,382 390/2,418
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.97 (0.58, 1.61) 0.98 (0.54, 1.79) 0.63 (0.26, 1.51) 0.474
            No. of cases/total 36/1,907 35/2,016 34/2,010 22/2,050
Alcohol consumption, drinks/week <1 1–6 7–13 ≥14
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7b 1.00 (referent) 1.02 (0.89, 1.17) 1.11 (0.94, 1.30) 1.10 (0.92, 1.30) 0.170
            No. of cases/total 677/4,179 426/2,577 258/1,447 215/1,229
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10b 1.00 (referent) 1.01 (0.64, 1.58) 1.20 (0.71, 2.03) 1.73 (1.03, 2.89) 0.055
            No. of cases/total 54/3,556 31/2,182 20/1,209 22/1,036
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7c 1.00 (referent) 1.02 (0.90, 1.17) 1.11 (0.95, 1.30) 1.11 (0.93, 1.31) 0.137
            No. of cases/total 677/4,179 426/2,577 258/1,447 215/1,229
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10c 1.00 (referent) 1.00 (0.64, 1.16) 1.18 (0.70, 2.00) 1.63 (0.98, 2.71) 0.080
            No. of cases/total 54/3,556 31/2,182 20/1,209 22/1,036

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; GS, Gleason score; OR, odds ratio.

a

Results were controlled for age, race/ethnicity, treatment arm, and body mass index.

b

Results were additionally controlled for total energy intake (substitution of nonalcohol energy for alcohol).

c

Results were additionally controlled for nonalcohol energy intake (adding energy from alcohol).

For each macronutrient, we present results from 2 statistical models, labeled “Percent energy” and “Total energy.” In the percent energy models, we examined the percentage of energy derived from each macronutrient (for alcohol, models used categorized numbers of drinks per week) and used a linear term for total energy as a covariate; results from this model are interpreted as the effect of substituting energy from each specific macronutrient for other macronutrients. The total energy models examined energy from each macronutrient, and those results can be interpreted as the effect of increasing energy from a specific macronutrient while keeping the energy from other macronutrients constant. In both the percent energy models and the total energy models, there were no associations of energy, carbohydrate, or protein with risk of either high- or low-grade cancer. In the percent energy models, men in the highest category of alcohol intake (≥14 drinks/week) had a 73% increased risk of high-grade cancer in comparison with nondrinkers (P < 0.04); in total energy models, this increase was 63% (P < 0.06). Intake of polyunsaturated fat was positively and significantly associated with risk of high-grade disease: In the percent energy models, there were significant risk increases of approximately 140% in quartiles 2–4 as compared with quartile 1 (all P’s < 0.005), with no dose-response; in the total energy model, there was a significant dose-response, with a nearly 190% increased risk of high-grade disease in quartile 4 as compared with quartile 1 (P < 0.015).

We completed additional analyses to better characterize the findings specific to polyunsaturated fat and high-grade cancer. In a model examining the effect of substituting polyunsaturated fats for saturated fats, substitution of each percentage point of energy from polyunsaturated fat for saturated fat was associated with a 23% (95% confidence interval (CI): 9, 39) increased risk of high-grade disease. In a model examining the effects of adding energy from each type of fat while keeping energy from all other macronutrients and other types of fat constant, only the coefficient for polyunsaturated fat and high-grade disease was statistically significant (P < 0.005), yielding an estimate of a 132% (95% CI: 30, 314) increased risk of high-grade disease associated with each 100-kcal/day increase in energy from polyunsaturated fat.

Table 3 shows the associations of dietary supplement use with cancer risk. There were no significant associations of multivitamin or single supplement use with risk of either low- or high-grade prostate cancer.

Table 3.

Associations of Daily Dietary Supplement Intake With the Risks of Low- and High-Grade Prostate Cancer, Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial, 1994–2003

Category of Dietary Supplement Intake
P for Trend
Lowest Moderate Highest
Multivitamins, pills/week <1 1–6 >6
    OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.07 (0.86, 1.33) 1.09 (0.97, 1.22) 0.138
        No. of cases/total 858/5,296 112/654 606/3,482
    OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.96 (0.46, 2.01) 1.00 (0.69, 1.45) 0.989
        No. of cases/total 73/4,511 8/550 46/2,922
Vitamin C, mg <60 60–250 >250
    OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.09 (0.95, 1.26) 1.06 (0.94, 1.21) 0.298
        No. of cases/total 688/4,262 381/2,179 507/2,991
    OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.05 (0.66, 1.65) 1.09 (0.72, 1.64) 0.679
        No. of cases/total 57/3,631 29/1,827 41/2,525
Vitamin E, mg <8 8–30 >30
    OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.05 (0.91, 1.21) 1.08 (0.96, 1.23) 0.199
        No. of cases/total 718/4,423 336/1,996 522/3,013
    OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.82 (0.49, 1.35) 1.21 (0.82, 1.78) 0.390
        No. of cases/total 59/3,764 21/1,681 47/2,538
Calcium, mg <150 150–199 >199
    OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.08 (0.95, 1.23) 1.11 (0.96, 1.29) 0.117
        No. of cases/total 917/5,668 381/2,197 278/1,567
    OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.02 (0.66, 1.56) 0.77 (0.46, 1.32) 0.428
        No. of cases/total 80/4,831 30/1,846 17/1,306
Zinc, μg <15 15–22 >22
    OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.10 (0.97, 1.24) 0.95 (0.79, 1.15) 0.723
        No. of cases/total 894/5,467 526/2,974 156/991
    OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.99 (0.67, 1.47) 1.08 (0.62, 1.90) 0.847
        No. of cases/total 74/4,647 38/2,486 15/850
Fish oil, mg 0 0.5
    OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.15 (0.93, 1.42) 0.184
        No. of cases/total 1,459/8,805 117/627
    OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.31 (0.70, 2.45) 0.399
        No. of cases/total 116/7,462 11/521
Selenium, μg <10 10–30 >30
    OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.08 (0.96, 1.22) 1.06 (0.89, 1.25) 0.184
        No. of cases/total 870/5,351 514/2,947 192/1,134
    OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.80 (0.53, 1.21) 1.00 (0.58, 1.73) 0.315
        No. of cases/total 78/4,559 33/2,466 16/958
Vitamin D, μg <2.5 2.5–10 >10
    OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.06 (0.94, 1.19) 1.10 (0.88, 1.38) 0.250
        No. of cases/total 874/5,362 601/3,494 101/576
    OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.94 (0.64, 1.37) 1.01 (0.48, 2.10) 0.832
        No. of cases/total 75/4,563 44/2,937 8/483

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; GS, Gleason score; OR, odds ratio.

Table 4 shows associations for selected micronutrients and food components hypothesized to be associated with prostate cancer risk. Results are given for dietary intake alone and total intake (diet plus supplements) where appropriate. Results for dietary vitamin E and selenium are not reported because, based on very poor correlations between FFQ-based dietary intakes of these nutrients and serum concentrations (2227), we believe they cannot be assessed using an FFQ. There were significant associations of dietary calcium intake with prostate cancer risk which differed between low- and high-grade disease and showed no evidence of dose-response. For low-grade cancer, men in quartile 4 had a 27% higher risk (P < 0.04) than those in quartile 1. For high-grade cancer, men in quartiles 2, 3, and 4 all had significantly lower risks than those in quartile 1, and in a post-hoc analysis, the odds ratio comparing quartiles 2–4 with quartile 1 was 0.52 (95% CI: 0.33, 0.82). In analyses of total calcium intake, the association with low-grade disease was attenuated and no longer statistically significant, but the association with high-grade disease was unchanged. No antioxidant micronutrient or phytochemical, including vitamin C, nonlycopene carotenoids, lycopene, or EPA + DHA, was associated with prostate cancer risk. There was modest evidence that high dietary zinc intake was associated with reduced risk of high-grade disease; in a post-hoc analysis, there was a borderline statistically significant (P = 0.05) 39% (95% CI: 63, 0) reduced risk of high-grade cancer in quartiles 3–4 as compared with quartiles 1–2. However, there was no association when considering total zinc.

Table 4.

Associations of Daily Dietary and Total Micronutrient Intake With the Risks of Low- and High-Grade Prostate Cancer, Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial, 1994–2003

Quartile of Dietary or Macronutrient Intakea
P for Trend
Quartile 1 Quartile 2 Quartile 3 Quartile 4
Vitamin C, mg
    Diet <78.7 78.7–122.6 122.7–179.1 >179.1
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.09 (0.93, 1.28) 1.05 (0.89, 1.23) 1.05 (0.89, 1.25) 0.701
            No. of cases/total 359/2,277 417/2,428 402/2,387 398/2,340
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.29 (0.79, 2.12) 0.97 (0.57, 1.67) 1.24 (0.71, 2.15) 0.717
            No. of cases/total 30/1,948 38/2,049 27/2,012 32/1,974
    Total <120.1 120.1–217.6 217.7–636.4 >636.4
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.02 (0.88, 1.19) 0.94 (0.80, 1.10) 1.03 (0.88, 1.21) 0.965
            No. of cases/total 399/2,414 418/2,442 385/2,383 374/2,193
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.29 (0.79, 2.09) 0.87 (0.51, 1.49) 1.24 (0.75, 2.06) 0.750
            No. of cases/total 32/2,047 38/2,062 25/2,023 32/1,851
Zinc, mg
    Diet <9.6 9.6–13.1 13.2–17.7 >17.7
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.05 (0.89, 1.24) 0.98 (0.81, 1.19) 1.13 (0.89, 1.44) 0.518
            No. of cases/total 368/2,230 404/2,386 384/2,426 420/2,390
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.90 (0.55, 1.48) 0.54 (0.29, 1.02) 0.62 (0.28, 1.38) 0.113
            No. of cases/total 41/1,903 37/2,019 23/2,065 26/1,996
    Total <13.1 13.1–21.7 21.8–31.2 >31.2
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.05 (0.89, 1.24) 0.99 (0.84, 1.16) 1.12 (0.94, 1.33) 0.323
            No. of cases/total 379/2,337 410/2,437 381/2,374 406/2,284
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.87 (0.52, 1.46) 0.92 (0.56, 1.52) 0.90 (0.52, 1.54) 0.772
            No. of cases/total 39/1,997 29/2,056 31/2,024 28/1,906
Carotenoids (excluding lycopene), μg
    Diet <5,342 5,342–8,340 8,341–12,799 >12,799
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.12 (0.96, 1.31) 0.95 (0.81, 1.12) 1.00 (0.84, 1.18) 0.504
            No. of cases/total 373/2,319 430/2,392 379/2,382 394/2,339
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.85 (0.52, 1.38) 0.70 (0.41, 1.17) 0.82 (0.49, 1.40) 0.353
            No. of cases/total 38/1,984 32/1,994 27/2,030 30/1,975
    Total <7,500 7,500–12,499 12,500–23,450 >23,450
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 0.88 (0.75, 1.04) 0.94 (0.80, 1.09) 0.98 (0.83, 1.15) 0.996
            No. of cases/total 383/2,236 341/2,182 453/2,700 399/2,314
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.22 (0.74, 2.04) 0.92 (0.54, 1.56) 1.28 (0.77, 2.13) 0.572
            No. of cases/total 29/1,882 33/1,874 30/2,277 35/1,950
Dietary lycopene, μg <3,999 3,999–6,646 6,647–10,918 >10,918
    OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.13 (0.97, 1.32) 1.00 (0.85, 1.18) 1.06 (0.89, 1.26) 0.897
        No. of cases/total 380/2,342 419/2,364 388/2,411 389/2,315
    OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.22 (0.73, 2.04) 1.50 (0.90, 2.51) 1.33 (0.76, 2.34) 0.221
        No. of cases/total 30/1,992 31/1,976 37/2,060 29/1,955
Calcium, mg <598 598–841 842–1,165 >1,165
    Diet
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.19 (1.01, 1.41) 1.01 (0.84, 1.21) 1.27 (1.02, 1.57) 0.165
            No. of cases/total 346/2,210 420/2,367 368/2,414 442/2,441
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.48 (0.29, 0.82) 0.57 (0.33, 1.00) 0.43 (0.21, 0.89) 0.034
            No. of cases/total 48/1,912 24/1,971 31/2,077 24/2,023
    Total <689 689–972 973–1,357 >1,357
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.06 (0.90, 1.25) 0.95 (0.80, 1.14) 1.17 (0.97, 1.42) 0.222
            No. of cases/total 366/2,250 403/2,389 366/2,384 441/2,409
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.51 (0.30, 0.86) 0.69 (0.41, 1.18) 0.46 (0.24, 0.89) 0.053
            No. of cases/total 47/1,931 24/2,010 34/2,052 22/1,990
Vitamin D, μg
    Diet <3.1 3.1–4.5 4.6–6.7 >6.7
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.02 (0.87, 1.20) 1.07 (0.91, 1.27) 1.10 (0.91, 1.33) 0.261
            No. of cases/total 360/2,258 390/2,388 409/2,399 417/2,387
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.84 (0.52, 1.36) 0.70 (0.41, 1.21) 0.82 (0.45, 1.49) 0.402
            No. of cases/total 39/1,937 33/2,031 26/2,016 29/1,999
    Total <4.2 4.2–8.1 8.2–14.6 >14.6
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.04 (0.88, 1.22) 1.02 (0.87, 1.19) 1.14 (0.97, 1.35) 0.142
            No. of cases/total 369/2,323 397/2,401 388/2,369 422/2,339
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.83 (0.49, 1.39) 1.06 (0.66, 1.72) 0.82 (0.48, 1.41) 0.757
            No. of cases/total 37/1,991 28/2,032 36/2,017 26/1,943
Docosahexaenoic acid + eicosapentaenoic acid, mg
    Diet <0.06 0.06–0.12 0.13–0.24 >0.24
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.09 (0.93, 1.27) 1.05 (0.90, 1.23) 1.08 (0.92, 1.28) 0.456
            No. of cases/total 378/2,372 404/2,348 399/2,408 395/2,304
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.25 (0.75, 2.09) 1.20 (0.71, 2.03) 1.52 (0.89, 2.58) 0.163
            No. of cases/total 28/2,022 33/1,977 31/2,040 35/1,944
    Total <0.07 0.07–0.14 0.15–0.28 >0.28
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.05 (0.90, 1.23) 1.05 (0.90, 1.24) 1.11 (0.94, 1.31) 0.230
            No. of cases/total 379/2,377 400/2,381 401/2,425 396/2,249
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.31 (0.78, 2.20) 1.30 (0.77, 2.20) 1.46 (0.86, 2.50) 0.193
            No. of cases/total 27/2,025 34/2,015 33/2,057 33/1,886
Folate, μg of α-tocopherol equivalents
    Diet <458 458–614 615–809 >809
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 1.07 (0.91, 1.27) 1.00 (0.83, 1.19) 0.94 (0.75, 1.16) 0.428
            No. of cases/total 367/2,260 409/2,341 408/2,423 392/2,408
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 0.96 (0.59, 1.59) 0.80 (0.45, 1.43) 0.82 (0.41, 1.66) 0.480
            No. of cases/total 38/1,931 34/1,966 28/2,043 27/2,043
    Total <582 582–1,023 1,024–5,291 >5,291
        OR (95% CI) for GS 2–7 1.00 (referent) 0.97 (0.82, 1.15) 1.11 (0.94, 1.30) 1.04 (0.88, 1.23) 0.306
            No. of cases/total 372/2,298 390/2,437 413/2,322 401/2,375
        OR (95% CI) for GS 8–10 1.00 (referent) 1.09 (0.64, 1.84) 1.07 (0.66, 1.76) 0.90 (0.51, 1.56) 0.714
            No. of cases/total 35/1,961 33/2,080 33/1,942 26/2,000

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; GS, Gleason score; OR, odds ratio.

DISCUSSION

In this unique study of primarily local-stage prostate cancer, in which the presence or absence of prostate cancer was determined by prostate biopsy, there were no statistically significant associations of nutrient intake or dietary supplement use with prostate cancer overall. When results were stratified by disease grade (low- vs. high-grade disease (Gleason score 2–7 vs. 8–10)), there were several noteworthy associations. Polyunsaturated fat intake was positively associated with risk of high-grade cancer, and dietary calcium intake was positively associated with risk of low-grade cancer and inversely associated with risk of high-grade cancer. Based on a post-hoc analysis, there was evidence that dietary zinc intake beyond a relatively low threshold was associated with reduced risk of high-grade cancer. There was also some evidence that a high alcohol intake was associated with increased risk of high-grade disease; the associations of alcohol intake with cancer risk in the PCPT are complex and have been described previously (28). Neither use of dietary supplements nor intake of antioxidants, folate, vitamin D, or long-chain n-3 fatty acids was significantly associated with low- or high-grade prostate cancer risk.

Investigators in many large case-control and cohort studies have reported that calcium intake from foods and/or supplements was associated with increased cancer risk (2934). Our finding of no association with total prostate cancer risk (odds ratios contrasting quartile 4 with quartile 1 were 1.16 (95% CI: 0.95, 1.43) and 1.09 (95% CI: 0.91, 1.32) for dietary intake and total intake, respectively) was consistent with the null findings from several other large cohort studies (3538). Our finding that calcium intake was inversely associated with high-grade cancer but positively associated with low-grade cancer is inconsistent with several other studies that found associations to be stronger or exclusive for high-grade or advanced-stage disease (29, 31, 32); in particular, we found no evidence that very high dietary calcium intakes (>1,400 mg/day) were associated with increased risk of high-grade disease. Our findings are similar to those reported from the screening arm of the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (33). In both the PCPT and the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial, and in contrast to other studies, almost all prostate cancers were local-stage and screen-detected. It is possible that risk factors for screen-detected cancers are different from those diagnosed clinically. For example, if we assume that low-grade cancers develop into high-grade cancers, perhaps calcium decreases the rate at which low-grade cancers progress. However, lacking a strong biologic rationale, the calcium findings from both the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial and the PCPT should be considered provisional until they are replicated in studies that separate screen-detected cancers from clinically detected cancers.

Many investigators have studied associations of dietary fat with prostate cancer risk, and their findings are inconsistent. In a 2004 meta-analysis, Dennis et al. (39) found a significantly increased risk associated with high fat consumption in case-control studies but no association in cohort studies; and in more recently published cohort studies, investigators have found either no associations (4042) or significant inverse associations for high-grade disease (43). Study results differ somewhat when risk is examined separately by stage and/or grade and when fats are separated into polyunsaturated, monounsaturated, and saturated fats, but overall there is little support for associations of fat with risk. We know of no studies which have found that a high intake of polyunsaturated fat—more specifically, the substitution of polyunsaturated fat for saturated fat—was associated with increased risk of high-grade cancer; however, this finding is biologically plausible. The n-6 fatty acids, which constitute the majority of dietary polyunsaturated fats, are proinflammatory (44), and inflammation may play an important role in prostate cancer pathogenesis (45). A single study of heavy smokers and/or asbestos-exposed men found a substantially increased risk associated with high polyunsaturated fat consumption, which was restricted to the small subset of men with a family history of prostate cancer (41). Nevertheless, our findings are generally inconsistent with those in the literature and require replication in studies of screen-detected cancer.

The most significant weakness in this study was the use of FFQs to measure nutrient intake. Recently, some investigators have questioned the validity of FFQs for dietary assessment (46, 47), and some scientists have challenged their continued use in epidemiologic research (48, 49), although this view is controversial. As demonstrated in studies of dietary fat and breast cancer risk (50, 51), there is a distinct possibility that moderate or weak associations of diet with cancer risk cannot be detected using FFQs but can be detected using multiple-day food records. We believe that strong associations will probably be detected across extreme intake categories, and our concern is that weak but meaningful associations may not be detected. We also chose not to follow several common practices used in nutritional epidemiology. First, we did not adjust model results for multiple dietary factors simultaneously, because most dietary covariates are highly correlated and poorly measured, and their use could therefore lead to unstable models with unpredictable results (52). Second, we did not conduct multiple subgroup analyses—for example, examining results stratified by age or nutrients stratified by type of dietary exposure (e.g., folate from food vs. folate from supplements)— because, lacking a strong biologic rationale, this increases the likelihood of chance findings. It is possible that true, subgroup-specific or nutrient-adjusted associations were missed in our analyses. Our plan is to examine these more complex hypotheses in future analyses based on biomarkers of diet and then attempt to confirm the results using dietary intake data.

There are unique aspects of this study that both increase its quality and limit its generalizability. The most significant are that study participants had PSA levels less than 3 ng/mL at study entry, there was annual screening (PSA plus DRE) during the 7 years of the trial, and determination of the presence or absence of disease was based on endpoint biopsies. Thus, almost all of the cancers that were detected were local-stage, and while the use of endpoint biopsies to identify cancer cases and noncases minimized detection bias, it also identified cancers that would never have been detected by means of either screening or clinical symptoms. A second unique aspect of this study is the use of uniformly graded Gleason scores of 8–10 to define high-grade disease, in contrast to other studies that have used a mix of stage (often surgical and clinical) and grade, as well as long-term clinical outcomes, to define “aggressive” disease. Taken together, the mix of cancer phenotypes in the PCPT may differ markedly from the phenotype mixes in studies that are based on cancers detected by screening alone or by locally defined standards of clinical practice. Thus, risk factors for cancers identified in the PCPT could be quite different from those for clinically detected or advanced-stage disease. Nevertheless, a major strength of this study is the mitigation of the detection biases present in most observational cohort studies in which PSA levels and DREs affect the decision to perform a prostate biopsy. Use of PSA screening is probably associated with dietary patterns (53), such that biases due to screening may have seriously confounded the results of previous studies.

In conclusion, in this unique sample of local-stage, biopsy-detected cancers, we found no evidence that dietary or supplemental intake of nutrients often proposed to prevent prostate cancer, including lycopene, n-3 fatty acids, vitamin D, vitamin E, and selenium, was associated with risk of low- or high-grade cancer. Our finding that polyunsaturated fat was associated with increased risk of high-grade prostate cancer suggests that further research into inflammation and other metabolic processes affected by these fats may be important in understanding prostate cancer etiology. Our finding of a positive association of calcium with low-grade disease and an inverse association with high-grade disease adds to the inconsistency of findings related to calcium, which may be important and may require further inquiry. The consistent and strong findings from ecologic studies that the adoption of a diet high in fat and animal products, characteristic of Western diets (5456), increases prostate cancer risk are perplexing. It is possible that these ecologic studies are yielding results that do not reflect individual-level cancer risk, that the specific aspects of diet affecting prostate cancer risk have not been adequately measured or identified, or that the association of a Western-style diet with prostate cancer risk cannot be reduced to studies of a single nutrient or set of nutrients.

Acknowledgments

Author affiliations: Division of Public Health Sciences, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, Washington (Alan R. Kristal, Kathryn B. Arnold, Marian L. Neuhouser, Phyllis Goodman); Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Community Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington (Alan R. Kristal); Department of Epidemiology, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Elizabeth A. Platz); National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland (Demetrius Albanes); and Department of Urology, University of Texas Health Sciences Center at San Antonio, San Antonio, Texas (Ian M. Thompson).

This work was supported by the following grants from the National Cancer Institute: R01 CA63164 (Prospective Cohort Study of Diet and Prostate Cancer), P01 CA37429 (Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial), and P01 CA108964 (Biology of the Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial).

Conflict of interest: none declared.

Glossary

Abbreviations

CI

confidence interval

DHA

docosahexaenoic acid

DRE

digital rectal examination

EPA

eicosapentaenoic acid

FFQ

food frequency questionnaire

PCPT

Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial

PSA

prostate-specific antigen

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