Abstract
Background
With remission in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) an increasingly attainable goal, there is no widely used definition of remission that is stringent but achievable and could be applied uniformly as an outcome in clinical trials.
Methods
A committee consisting of members of the American College of Rheumatology, the European League Against Rheumatism and the Outcome Measures in Rheumatology Initiative (OMERACT) met to guide the process and review prespecified analyses from clinical trials of patients with RA. The committee requested a stringent definition (little, if any, active disease) and decided to use core set measures to define remission including at least joint counts and an acute phase reactant. Members were surveyed to select the level of each core set measure consistent with remission. Candidate definitions of remission were tested including those that constituted a number of individual measures in remission (Boolean approach) as well as definitions using disease activity indexes. To select a definition of remission, trial data were analyzed to examine the added contribution of patient reported outcomes and the ability of candidate measures to predict later good x-ray and functional outcomes.
Results
Survey results for the definition of remission pointed to indexes at published thresholds and to a count of core set measures with each measure scored as 1 or less (e.g. tender and swollen joint counts, CRP and global assessments on 0-10 scale). Analyses suggested the need to include a patient reported measure. Examination of 2 year follow-up data suggested that many candidate definitions performed comparably in terms of predicting later good x-ray and functional outcomes, although DAS28 based measures of remission did not predict good radiographic outcomes as well as did the other candidate definitions. Given these and other considerations, we propose that a patient be defined as in remission based on one of two definitions : 1: When their scores on the following measures are all <1: tender joint count, swollen joint count, CRP (in mg/dL) and patient global assessment (0-10 scale), OR 2: when their score on the SDAI is < 3.3.
Conclusion
We propose two new definitions of remission both of which can be uniformly applied and widely used in RA clinical trials. We recommend that one of these be selected in each trial as an outcome and that the results on both be reported in each trial.
With the advent of new therapies and therapeutic strategies for rheumatoid arthritis (RA), remission has become a realistic goal (1-3) and has recently become a secondary or even primary endpoint for clinical studies and trials(4-8). Remission is also regarded as a major therapeutic target in clinical practice(9-12) and can be achieved in a significant proportion of patients followed in routine care(13-15). However, the formal definition of remission differs between studies.
The current American College of Rheumatology (ACR) definition of remission in RA(16) was developed in 1981 prior to the introduction of the core set measures(17). In this classic paper, Pinals et al. stated: ‘…”complete remission” implies the total absence of all articular and extraarticular inflammation and immunologic activity related to rheumatoid arthritis (RA).’ Recognizing that detecting such a state could entail documentation by ‘extraordinary measures’, they settled on the concept of ‘complete clinical remission’ aiming to achieve ‘uniformity in clinical application using generally acceptable and convenient measures.’ Even though this concept is of considerable value for trials and clinical practice as a therapeutic target, the 1981 ACR definition has not been widely used in clinical trials in RA because it contains some elements not in the core set (morning stiffness, swelling in tendon sheaths) and a time requirement. Also, this original version was so stringent that few patients met the criteria. Subsequently many modifications of the ACR criteria were developed, usually omitting one or more of the measures as well as the time requirement.
The development of composite indices of disease activity allowed the definition of cutpoint values representing remission(18-20), but their validation was often limited to comparisons with such modified ACR criteria. For instance, we now know that the widely used definition of remission based on the Disease Activity Score (DAS28) of less than 2.6(18) better represents minimal disease activity than remission as multiple joints can remain swollen or tender at that score(19;21-23). This is further exemplified by the fact that in many recent clinical trials the proportion of patients with ACR70 response is around, or even lower than, the proportion of patients attaining DAS28 remission(5;24-26). Thus, the 1981 statement by Pinals et al. remains relevant today: “Substantial variation appears to exist in the concept of remission within the group of participating rheumatologists”(16).
In the meantime, effective treatments for rheumatoid arthritis have led to more exacting criteria for improvement (e.g. ACR 50, 70 and even 90 percent improvement) and have led to recently proposed definitions of minimal disease activity(27). In light of the heterogeneity of definitions of remission , the time has come for consensus on a new definition, a uniform definition of remission. Therefore, the ACR and European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) together with the Outcome Measures in Rheumatology Initiative (OMERACT) jointly constituted a committee to redefine remission in rheumatoid arthritis. This committee subsequently published a systematic review of prognostic validity of current remission definitions(28) as well as an outline of the goals of redefining remission and the methods by which we would attain them (2).
In this outline of our goals already published, the committee decided by consensus to create a stringent definition for remission; and that any definition should include as a minimum tender and swollen joint counts and an acute phase reactant. Excluded were treatment, duration of remission (the committee felt that this should be specified in each trial), and measures of physical function and damage. The latter two were to be used to validate candidate remission definitions: the chosen definition should predict absence of X-ray damage progression and good functional outcomes in the future. Remission should also predict future remission and minimal disease activity, i.e. show stability. Finally, the requirement for full or 28-joint counts had to be studied.
The committee suggested that core set measures should be used to define remission and that any definition of remission in clinical trials should look toward and make possible a similar definition in clinical practice.
The selection of the optimal definition of remission was guided by the research agenda as put forward by the committee at the beginning of our deliberations. In general, the evidence-based consensus method adhered to was in line with similar activities previously performed by OMERACT and ACR and EULAR(29-31) with the intent of deriving a definition that would pass the OMERACT filter of Truth, Discrimination and Feasibility(32). In this paper we present the results of analyses addressing this research agenda, report on later meetings of the committee in which these results were evaluated and present a consensus definition of remission.
METHODS
General aspects
The initial committee was formed by inviting members of the ACR committee who had previously formulated the new ACR response criteria, principal investigators of recent clinical trials, methodologists and patient experts from the OMERACT community, and ACR, EULAR and OMERACT executives with a view to be inclusive and geographically representative. All members present at one of the committee meetings were asked to consider authorship of the present paper. A patient expert (or research partner) can be described as a patient involved in research based on personal experience of disease that is not available to most researchers, but that complements researchers' analytical skills and scientific perspective(33). During the development of the remission definition, 6 patient experts were involved, of whom 3 are co-authors. Following the specifications provided by the committee, a steering group (DTF, JS, GW, BZ, LvT, JF, MB) designed and performed the necessary investigations; this included a survey as well as analyses of clinical trial data. Clinical trial databanks with slightly different total patient numbers and data composition were created at different centers. Because these have been the largest RA trials carried out and data collected allowed us to test remission definitions hypothesized, we solicited industry funded RA clinical trials data with their approval. Industry had no role in data analysis, criteria development, testing or evaluating the process or final choices made by the committee. Nor were they consulted or involved in manuscript development. These data were analyzed by the steering group according to the committee's specifications and methodological discussions in the steering group.
Survey
Our first goal in selecting candidate criteria for remission was to define for the core set measures what cut points might constitute remission. In a survey we asked committee members (experienced RA clinical researchers and patient experts) what level of residual activity in individual core set measures would constitute remission. For all measures except joint counts, we used a 0-10 scale. For CRP we used a scale in milligrams per deciliter (mg/dL). For initial analyses of joint counts, we used a 28-joint count and then examined its validity for remission (see below). We asked for the highest level of each core set measure that would be compatible with remission if it were the only measure assessed and also asked for the highest level of a particular core set measure compatible with remission if all other measures pointed to remission.
Value of patient reported outcomes
The committee raised the question as to whether patient reported outcomes should be included in the definition of remission. We addressed this issue by asking whether patient reported outcomes at the level of remission discriminated between active versus control treatment in trials. In a subset of our databank which comprised core set data from four clinical trials(34-37) we performed two sets of analyses in each trial. In both analyses the dependent variable was treatment assignment. First, we carried out a logistic regression with each of the core set measures as predictors (recoded as remission level, e.g. swollen joint count ≤ 1, yes or no). Second we performed recursive partitioning by Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis on data from four clinical trials(34-37) in which we ranked core set measures at remission level based on the tree created from a series of binary splits. Recursive partitioning is a statistical method for multivariable analysis creating a tree with branches that strives to correctly classify members of the population based on a dichotomous dependent variable. If the patient reported outcomes helped differentiate active treatment from control (either by being a significant predictor in the regression analysis or having a high rank in the classification tree) then these outcomes would be said to contribute importantly to defining remission. Patient reported outcomes tested in this analysis were patient global assessment and patient pain. Functional status measurement was not included for reasons outlined earlier.
Assessment of predictive validity
Once we had decided that patient reported outcomes were to be included and had determined the cut points to be used to define remission, we embarked on the analysis of predictive validity. To this end we evaluated various two year datasets from randomized clinical trials (RCTs; 80-90% random patient level data) kindly provided by the sponsors of these studies(34;37-41) and obtained permission to use these data for the present analysis. The data are described in more detail in those publications. For the present analyses, only patients with all pertinent data over two years were evaluated.
We initially defined a good outcome for x-ray damage and physical function separately. For x-ray it comprised stable x-ray scores over 1 year (defined as change ≤ 0 in Sharp or van der Heijde modified Sharp scores during the 2nd year of respective trials). For physical function, it comprised stable and low scores on the Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ change ≤ 0 and HAQ score consistently ≤ 0.5 during the 2nd year of respective trials). We then tested whether those who met a particular definition of remission at six months or twelve months were more likely to have a good outcome in the subsequent period, i.e. between one and two years after trial onset. Likelihood ratios compared the proportion of patients in remission having the good outcome to the proportion of patients not in remission having the good outcome. To rank candidate definitions of remission, we used the p value from the logistic regression chi square test. As has been reported, most patients in trials followed long term do not show radiographic progression(42). This limited our capacity to discriminate between candidate definitions of remission. Moreover, intensive therapy with TNF-inhibitors plus MTX dissociates clinical disease activity from progression of joint damage, since - unlike patients treated with MTX alone – those on aggressive treatments have no or minimal radiographic progression irrespective of their disease activity(43-45). Therefore, we primarily performed the analyses in patients treated with MTX monotherapy, but we also evaluated TNF inhibitor monotherapy and combination therapy in sensitivity analyses. To assess the robustness of the results, we also did the analyses in a subset of trial patients with an especially poor prognosis in terms of radiographic disease as follows: presence of rheumatoid factor AND presence of damage at baseline. Finally, we tested an additional definition of a good outcome, namely stability of both x-ray damage and HAQ.
Selection of Candidate Definitions
Candidate definitions of remission were selected from two general categories: first, indices that have been widely used including the DAS28, the Simplified Disease Activity Index (SDAI) and the Clinical Disease Actvitiy index (CDAI)(18;19;30;31;46-48); and second, definitions including one or more core set measures at cutpoints previously defined by the survey, but requiring all included measures to be at or below that cutpoint. For example, to meet remission defined as low scores on tender and swollen joint count and physician and patient global assessment, the patient must have had low scores on all four measures. We shall label these the Boolean measures based on their approach which is to define each core set measure as in remission or not (values of 0 and 1) and use possible combinations of the patient's core set measure remission status to determine the patient's overall remission status (also 0 or 1 )*.
Further Evaluations of Candidate Definitions including Face Validity
After completing the analysis of predictive validity, we tested our candidate definitions for face validity. Since we had decided that any definition of remission must be stringent with respect to not allowing much disease activity, we studied whether patients could meet a definition of remission yet still have moderate to high levels of disease activity in any core set measure. To do this, in the group of patients meeting a certain definition of remission, we studied the 90th percentile and maximum level of disease activity observed in each core set measure. Lastly, we looked at recent trial data to determine what proportion of patients met each remission definition. It was our goal not to have an undetectably low percentage of patients meet remission, or one so high as to be unreasonable given clinical experience with these treatments.
We also examined two related issues for our candidate definitions. First, we wished to select a definition(s) that was reliable and we defined this by analyzing in one trial with monthly visits whether a person in remission at one visit attained the same state at adjacent visits <=1 month from the first; if not in remission at the adjacent visit, we tested whether these patients in remission attained a state of minimal disease activity(27). Second, we were concerned that a 28-joint count might not capture active joints outside these 28; to this end, we reviewed literature and analyzed trial data to determine whether we should define remission differently when using 28 versus, for example, 66 joints. For the latter, we evaluated data from a set of trials that included tenderness and swelling counts of individual joints. In these we assessed residual disease activity in ankles and feet in patients with 28-joint counts of 1 or less and determined what proportion of such patients would satisfy the other requirements of our candidate definitions. These patients would represent real misclassification (‘false positive remissions’). In the same dataset we subsequently investigated whether such misclassification could materially affect the predictive validity of the remission definitions. For this purpose we compared the prevalence of good outcome (damage or function) in ‘true remission’ patients (i.e., based on full joint counts at 1 or less) with that of all patients with remission based on 28 joint counts (i.e. ‘true’ plus ‘false positive’ remissions).
RESULTS
Survey
Twenty seven committee members including two patients completed the survey on threshold levels for remission (see Table 1). In the scenario where only one variable was available, the responses clustered around core set disease activity levels of 1 such that, for example, the swollen or tender joint count ought to be 1 or less; CRP level ought to be 1 mg/dl, and patient and physician global assessments and pain ought to be 1 or less on a ten point scale. The question as to which was the highest level of a particular core set measure compatible with remission if all other measures pointed to remission yielded more varied answers, with thresholds ranging from 2 for swollen joint counts and CRP to 4 for tender joint counts. Since they did not provide us with a single threshold value that was uniform across core set measures, we focused on the more stringent cutpoints.
Table 1.
Highest level of the core set measure that would be compatible with remission: | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
If it were the only measure assessed | If all other measures pointed to remission | |||||||||
Core set measure† | mean (SD) | min | med | 80% | max | mean (SD) | min | med | 80% | max |
TJC28 | 1.1 (1.3) | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2.6 (2.0) | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
Full TJC (68 joints) | 1.6 (1.5) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2.6 (2.0) | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
SJC28 | 0.5 (0.9) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 (1.3) | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
Full SJC (66 joints) | 0.6 (0.9) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1.4 (1.2) | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
ESR (mm/h) | 21 (6) | 10 | 20 | 25 | 30 | 25 (6) | 20 | 25 | 30 | 40 |
CRP (mg/dL) | 0.9 (0.4) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.1 (0.6) | 0 | 1 | 1.5 | 2 |
Pain (0-10 scale) | 1.3 (0.7) | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2.4 (1.3) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
PhGA (0-10 scale) | 1.0 (0.9) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1.6 (1.0) | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
PtGA (0-10 scale) | 1.2 (0.8) | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2.2 (1.3) | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
HAQ (0-3 scale) | 0.7 (0.7) | 0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.9 (0.8) | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1 | 3 |
27 committee members responded to the survey: 25 experienced RA clinical researchers and two patients. The columns following the mean report minimum, median, 80th percentile and maximum.
TJC, tender joint count, SJC, swollen joint count (For example, TJC28 means tender joint count of 28 joints). ESR, Erythrocyte sedimentation rate. CRP, C-reactive protein. PhGA, physician/observer global assessment. PtGA, patient global assessment. HAQ, Health Assessment Questionnaire.
Patient reported outcomes
We then proceeded with an analysis of clinical trial data of active treatment versus control to help determine whether patient reported outcomes, namely patient global assessment or patient pain, should be incorporated into our definition of remission. In an analysis of 4 clinical trials, both logistic regression and CART analysis demonstrated that these measures added important information to physician-linked measures. In other words, in these trials, these measures were statistically significant predictors discriminating between treatments after controlling for physician reported measures (TJC and SJC) and a lab measure (CRP). For example in the CART analysis, among the 4 trials, patient global assessment was the best predictor of treatment assignment among all outcomes in one trial and 4th best of core set measures in another. Patient pain was the second best predictor (SJC was the best) in a 3rd trial. .
Based on these preliminary analyses, we came up with a list of candidate remission definitions to test for predictive validity. When presented with the more stringent definitions versus the more relaxed definitions, our committee selected those in the more stringent category and as a consequence, we present results only for these. In line with the charge by the committee and the assessment of the contribution of patient reported outcomes, we mainly focused on measures that comprised tender joint count (TJC), swollen joint count (SJC), C Reactive Protein (CRP) and patient global assessment (PtG). We tried combinations of these and and other core set measures to determine if any group of measures would have important advantages.
Predictive validity
We then tested whether patients in remission according to one of these definitions had a higher likelihood of a good outcome. We focused on patients with methotrexate monotherapy, although we obtained similar results when we analyzed data from all patients (not shown). We found that patients in a state of remission by several of the Boolean candidate definitions, as well as by traditional SDAI (≤3.3) and CDAI (≤2.8) definitions had an increased likelihood of x-ray stability during the subsequent year (see Table 2a) as well as an increased likelihood of both x-ray and HAQ stability (see Table 2b). Similar data were also obtained in an additional dataset from the COBRA study(40) (data not shown). However, reaching remission according to DAS28, both at the traditional (<2.6) and a more stringent cut point (<2.0), was associated only with the likelihood of HAQ stability but not x-ray stability. Candidate definitions of remission did not differ in their prediction of HAQ stability (data not shown). Additional definitions were tested including incorporating either remission level pain or patient global and other variations, and results were similar. Apart from the DAS28 result, the analyses did not help to distinguish between definitions. This was also true in the analysis with a more strict definition of good outcome, and when we studied only patients with a poor prognosis (data not shown).
Table 2A.
Prevalence of good outcome in patients: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate remission definition |
in remission |
not in remission |
Positive likelihood ratio (95% CI) |
P-value† |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP ≤ 1 | 69% (34/49) | 50% (154/306) | 2.0 (1.1, 3.6) | 0.01 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PhGA ≤1 | 76% (26/34) | 51% (162/320) | 2.9 (1.3, 6.2) | 0.004 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PtGA ≤1 | 77% (23/30) | 51% (165/325) | 2.9 (1.3, 6.6) | 0.006 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, Pain ≤1 | 74% (23/31) | 51% (165/324) | 2.6 (1.2, 5.6) | 0.01 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PhGA, PtGA ≤ | 77% (20/26) | 51% (168/328) | 2.9 (1.2, 7.2) | 0.01 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PhGA, Pain ≤1 | 77% (20/26) | 51% (168/328) | 2.9 (1.2, 7.2) | 0.01 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PtGA, Pain ≤1 | 76% (22/29) | 51% (166/326) | 2.8 (1.2, 6.4) | 0.001 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PhGA, PtGA, Pain ≤1 | 76% (19/25) | 51% (169/329) | 2.8 (1.1, 6.8) | 0.02 |
DAS28<2.6 | 60% (21/35) | 59% (93/157) | 1.0 (0.6, 1.9) | 0.93 |
DAS28<2.0 | 70% (7/10) | 59% (107/182) | 1.6 (0.4, 6.0) | 0.48 |
SDAI≤3.3§ | 77% (27/35) | 50% (161/319) | 3.0 (1.4, 6.4) | 0.003 |
| ||||
Definitions without CRP (for clinical practice) | ||||
| ||||
TJC28, SJC28, PhGA, PtGA ≤ 1 | 75% (24/32) | 51% (167/326) | 2.6 (1.2, 5.7) | 0.01 |
TJC28, SJC28, PtGA ≤ 1 | 75% (27/36) | 51% (164/323) | 2.6 (1.3, 5.4) | 0.007 |
CDAI≤2.8** | 75% (27/36) | 51% (164/322) | 2.6 (1.3, 5.4) | 0.006 |
Presence or absence of remission measured at 6 months after baseline.
Good X-ray outcome defined as change ≤ 0 in Sharp-van der Heijde scores between 12 and 24 months after baseline.
Based on combined data from methotrexate alone groups from 3 trials (34, 37, 38), limited to patients with complete data over 2 years.
Abbreviations as defined in Table 1.
P value from Chi-square from logistic regression analysis in which independent variable is remission (based on candidate tested) and dependent is x-ray stability.
SDAI, Simplified Disease Activity Index the simple sum of the tender joint count (28), swollen joint count (28), patient global assessment (on a 0-10 scale), physician global assessment (on a 0-10 scale) and CRP (mg/dL).
CDAI, Clinical Disease Activity Index, same as SDAI but without CRP.
Remission and not in remission were defined according to the candidate remission definition in that row.
Table 2B.
Prevalence of good outcome in patients: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate remission definition |
in remission |
not in remission |
Positive likelihood ratio (95% CI) |
P-value† |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP ≤ 1 | 46% (22/48) | 17% (51/301) | 3.2 (1.9, 5.3) | <.0001 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PhGA ≤1 | 55% (18/33) | 17% (55/315) | 4.5 (2.4, 8.5) | <.0001 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PtGA ≤1 | 66% (19/29) | 17% (54/320) | 7.2 (3.5, 14.8) | <.0001 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, Pain ≤1 | 60% (18/30) | 17% (55/319) | 5.7 (2.9, 11.2) | <.0001 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PhGA, PtGA ≤ | 68% (17/25) | 17% (56/323) | 8.0 (3.6, 17.8) | <.0001 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PhGA, Pain ≤1 | 64% (16/25) | 18% (57/323) | 6.7 (3.1, 14.5) | <.0001 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PtGA, Pain ≤1 | 64% (18/28) | 17% (55/321) | 6.8 (3.3, 14.1) | <.0001 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PhGA, PtGA, Pain ≤1 | 67% (16/24) | 18% (57/324) | 7.5 (3.4, 16.9) | <.0001 |
DAS28<2.6 | 38% (13/34) | 18% (28/154) | 2.2 (1.2, 4.0) | 0.01 |
DAS28<2.0 | 56% (5/9) | 20% (36/179) | 4.5 (1.3, 15.9) | 0.01 |
SDAI≤3.3 | 56% (19/34) | 17% (54/314) | 4.8 (2.6, 8.9) | <.0001 |
| ||||
Definitions without CRP (for clinical practice) | ||||
| ||||
TJC28, SJC28, PhGA, PtGA ≤ 1 | 68% (21/31) | 17% (53/321) | 7.9 (3.9,16.0) | <.0001 |
TJC28, SJC28, PtGA ≤ 1 | 66% (23/35) | 16% (51/318) | 7.2 (3.8,13.9) | <.0001 |
CDAI≤2.8 | 63% (22/35) | 16% (52/317) | 6.36 (3.4,12.0) | <.0001 |
Presence or absence of remission measured at 6 months after baseline.
- - X-ray: defined as change ≤ 0 in Sharp-van der Heijde scores between 12 and 24 months after baseline.
- - Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ): defined as change ≤ 0 and HAQ ≤ 0.5 at both the 12 and 24 month time points.
Based on combined data from methotrexate alone groups from 3 trials (34, 37, 38), limited to patients with complete data over 2 years.
P value from Chi-square from logistic regression analysis in which the independent variable is remission (based on candidate tested) and the dependent variable is x-ray stability.
Remission and not in remission were defined according to the candidate remission definition in that row.
Face validity of the different candidate definitions, expressed as residual disease activity in the presence of remission, is shown in Table 3. For the Boolean definitions, the high values, as expected, tended to be for core set measures that were not pre-specified by the rule. For example, if we used the definition of tender joint count, swollen joint count, CRP and pain all ≤ 1, we found 10% of patients (90th percentile) had levels of physician and patient global assessment compatible with active disease. If we used tender joint count, swollen joint count and CRP all ≤ 1, then the patient reported outcomes often suggested high levels of symptoms. For the traditional DAS28 definition (<2.6) we found that many of the core set measures remained at levels that would be incompatible with remission. This was even true for DAS28 <2.0 which was a threshold few patients reached. This was not true for other index measures that defined remission such as SDAI or CDAI where results were closely aligned with the Boolean definitions and the results of our survey.
Table 3.
Candidate remission definition | TJC28 | SJC28 | CRP | PhGA | PtGA | Pain | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
90% | max* | 90% | max | 90% | max | 90% | max | 90% | max | 90% | max | |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP ≤1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PhGA ≤1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 8 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PtGA ≤1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, Pain ≤1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PhGA, PtGA ≤1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PhGA, Pain ≤1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PtGA, Pain ≤1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
TJC28, SJC28, CRP, PhGA, PtGA, Pain ≤1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
DAS28<2.6 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
DAS28<2.0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
SDAI≤3.3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
When we examined the proportion of patients in trials that met candidate definitions of remission (Table 4), we found that 18-26% of patients on combination therapy with TNF inhibitors and methotrexate met most of these definitions compared to only 6-10% of those on either monotherapy, percentages that we felt had face validity.
Table 4.
Remission definition | DMARD monotherapy (n=380) |
Biological monotherapy (n=520) |
Combination Therapy (n=330) |
Total (n=1230) |
---|---|---|---|---|
TJC,SJC,CRP,PtGA | 9 | 7 | 22 | 12 |
TJC,SJC,CRP,PtGA,pain | 8 | 6 | 20 | 12 |
TJC,SJC,CRP,PhGA,PtGA | 8 | 7 | 20 | 10 |
TJC,SJC,CRP,PhGA,pain | 8 | 6 | 20 | 10 |
TJC,SJC,CRP,PhGA,PtGA,pain | 7 | 6 | 18 | 9 |
DAS28 <2.6 | 19 | 17 | 35 | 21 |
DAS28<2.0 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
SDAI ≤ 3.3 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 14 |
Consensus activity
Our committee met prior to the ACR meeting in October 2009 to discuss the analyses described above. As noted earlier, the committee did not select in any case a more relaxed definition of remission, consistent with their earlier directive. During the committee meeting two subgroups were formed to discuss the tabular results presented, especially including results regarding predictive validity. Both groups voted that there ought to be both a Boolean approach and an index based definition. One group voted among individual definitions of remission, and in doing so, the highest vote was received by the Boolean definition which included tender joint count, swollen joint count, CRP and patient global assessment, all at levels less than or equal to 1. The index definition with the highest vote count was SDAI ≤ 3.3. In the other subgroup, after a discussion involving all study group members, the same conclusion was reached without a formal vote. Members of the subgroup noted that in the clinic an acute phase response measure was often not available at every visit and the subgroup suggested that a definition of remission be developed for clinic based practice that would not require an acute phase reactant, as long as it would capture remission as stringently as the measure employed for clinical trials. Indeed, a Boolean measure comprising tender joint count, swollen joint count and patient global assessment provided similar statistical results as the same measures encompassing CRP, and the CDAI, which does not contain CRP, did likewise (bottom of Table 2a). Thus, these definitions of remission may be used in clinical practice until better measures for that purpose become available.
In a trial with monthly visits we found that our selected definitions of remission showed good reliability. Specifically, of patients in remission at one time point, 66% remained in remission one month later and all the rest met criteria for minimal disease activity(27).
Joint counts
We consulted published literature and our own data analysis to determine if remission thresholds for 28-joint counts should be the same as threshold for counts with more joints counted (such as 66 or 68 joints). One study(49) examined whether adding ankles and metatarsophalangeal joints to the 28-joint count affected remission and found that less than 10% of patients with no tender or swollen joints using a 28-joint count had tender or swollen ankles or metatarsophalangeal joints and that the average patient global assessment score in these latter patients was significantly higher, suggesting they would not meet proposed definitions of remission. Landewé and colleagues(23) also noted that a 28-joint count in remission often concealed active joints elsewhere, especially in the feet and ankles. However, they also reported that global assessments for those with 28 joints in remission but active joints elsewhere resembled those of patients not in 28-joint count remission, suggesting that requiring a low patient global assessment will, to some extent, mitigate the limitation of using a 28-joint count.
In the 2 trials in our dataset that included tenderness and swelling counts of individual joints, remission prevalence using 66 or 68 joints was 4% and 9%, respectively. As in the studies quoted above, we found that patients with 28-joint counts at or below 1 often had residual tenderness or swelling in the ankles or feet. However, most of these patients did not satisfy the other requirements of our candidate definitions of remission. Nevertheless, the estimate of remission prevalence increased to 6% and 14% of the total population when 28-joint counts were used. In another data set of two trials with 2-year follow up data, we compared patients in remission according to full (66/68) joint counts vs. patients in remission only according to 28-joint counts (i.e., with residual disease activity in joints not assessed). In the patients with a ‘full joint count remission’, 80% had good X-ray damage outcomes (no change in Sharp score); this number decreased by 1% in the patients with only a ’28-joint count remission. Likewise, in the patients with a ‘full joint count remission’, 90% had good HAQ outcomes; this number decreased by 1 and 4% in the two trials in the patients with only a ‘28-joint count remission’. Based on these analyses we concluded that the overall impact on misclassification due to reduced joint counts is small.
The final definitions of remission recommended are described in Table 5 with specific suggestions on how to measure them.
Table 5.
Boolean Based Definition: |
At any time point, patient must satisfy all of the following: |
Index Based Definition |
At any time point, patient must have SDAI ≤3.3** |
For recommendations regarding remission in clinical practice settings, see Tables 2 A, B and text of the results and discussion sections.
For tender and swollen joint counts, a 28 joint count may miss active joints especially in the feet and ankles and it is preferable to include feet and ankles also when evaluating remission.
The following wording and response categories should be used for global assessment: Considering all of the ways your arthritis has affected you, how do you feel your arthritis is today? Verbal anchors for the response can range from ‘asymptomatic’ to ‘severe symptoms’.
SDAI, Simplified Disease Activity Index is defined as the simple sum of the tender joint count (28), swollen joint count (28), patient global assessment (on a 0-10 scale), physician global assessment (on a 0-10 scale) and CRP (mg/dL).
DISCUSSION
Based on considerations of face and predictive validity and the need to include both stringency and patient reported outcomes, the ACR/EULAR committee charged with defining remission in RA has produced two definitions for evaluating remission in clinical trials, one a Boolean based definition, more categorical in structure than the traditional definition from Pinals et al, and the other based on a composite index of RA activity, the SDAI(19;47).
Ideally, we would have liked to select a candidate definition which clearly differentiated those whose long-term course was without disease progression versus those whose disease continued to progress. Our analysis of long term data confirmed the findings of our systematic review(28) that most definitions of remission did well—i.e., that patients in remission at any point during a clinical trial, based on any of the definitions we used, were likely to have long term courses that were better than those who did not meet the definition of remission. One exception was the DAS28 which has been shown previously to allow for significant residual disease activity (19;21;22;50;51). Thus, except for DAS28 based definitions, differences in predictive validity between candidate definitions were small (see Tables 2a and 2b), and it was difficult to differentiate the course of patients meeting any of these definitions of remission. Among the many tested definitions, none importantly exceeded the ability of the ultimately selected criteria to predict favorable long-term effects on x-ray progression and physical function. Although we can confirm the predictive validity of remission, the goal of our work was to define remission, not to develop a predictive marker.
In our datasets we assessed definitions of remission by 28-joint counts. When we examined more comprehensive counts among those with 28 joint counts in remission, we found that residual disease activity was frequently present in ankles and feet. However, most of these patients failed to meet other criteria in the remission definition (e.g. their patient global assessments were often high). In other words, even when joints outside the 28 joints counted were active, other measures of disease activity often prevented misclassification of these patients as being in remission. In addition, the impact of misclassification on long-term outcome proved to be small. We should also bear in mind that the assessment of ankles and forefeet is particularly limited and poorly reproducible(52). In line with this, the discordance between tenderness and swelling has proved to be larger in the joints of the feet than other joints(53). Therefore we do not require inclusion of ankles and forefeet in the assessment of remission but recommend that these joints are also included in the examination. Investigators should always report which joints were examined.
In 2008 EULAR and ACR recommended that each RA trial should report the percentage of patients achieving a low disease activity state and remission(30;31). On the basis of the present analyses and consensus, we recommend that one of the definitions of remission recommended here be reported as a preselected outcome in trials and that results for both be reported in trials. Of the approaches to defining low disease activity, the OMERACT definitions of ‘minimal disease activity’ (MDA), designed to reflect the ‘next best’ option apart from remission, have been the best vetted and were consensually developed (27).
There are a few limitations to our approach and possibly of the definitions produced as a consequence. First, we used a HAQ ≤ 0.5 as evidence for stability of the remission criteria; while this is a disability score which is essentially above values obtained in the general population(54), many of the studies evaluated were of patients with longstanding disease who are known to accumulate significant irreversible disability(55). However, we accounted for this potential contrast to the normal situation by also requiring that HAQ scores did not deteriorate at all over a full one-year period (HAQ change ≤0 during the 2nd year of observation). Second, we have not yet validated the recommended definitions of remission in observational data sets. This is the next step in our work. In developing definitions, we anticipated clinic based evaluations, trying to choose definitions of remission which would be easy to apply in an observational context and take advantage of variables that are probably already being measured. In clinical practice, acute phase reactants are frequently not immediately available and, therefore, an additional set of a Boolean and an index based definition not requiring acute phase reactants are provided for that setting. Nevertheless, our preliminary suggestions for defining remission in practice are still incomplete, as we did not test them in a clinic based setting. While the remission definitions not requiring an acute phase reactant performed comparably to those requiring it, our committee felt that including an acute phase reactant for reporting remission in clinical trials was preferable because acute phase reactants are important predictors of later radiographic damage (56-58).
Another limitation of the proposed definition is that the patient experience of remission may not have been adequately captured with only one element, the patient's global assessment of their disease activity. Indeed an index based on patient measures alone may clinically discriminate active from control treatment as well as some of the indexes tested in this effort(59;60). However, the committee had stipulated that joint counts should be part of the remission criteria; moreover, joints are the “organ” involved in RA and in the context of assessing remission it was deemed advisable to assess that organ. Further, fatigue was not evaluated(61). However, fatigue was not assessed in most trials published over the last decade or used here for the derivation of the remission criteria; we were also unable to procure datasets that contained information on other non-core set measures. As these datasets are likely to become available only over the course of several years, we decided not to postpone the development of the new remission definition. Indeed, we felt it was important to spend more time developing the concept of patient-assessed ‘absence of disease’. This will require qualitative research involving focus groups, as well as quantitative research e.g. collection of patient related outcomes in clinical trials, a task that will be taken forward within the OMERACT framework. Once a working definition of this concept is available, it can be compared with the proposed definition of remission.
Yet another theoretical limitation is that we are not using imaging in our definition of remission. Our goal was to use clinical parameters that are widely used and convenient to assess, but we recognize that residual synovitis may exist in many patients whose disease appears inactive based on conventional clinical evaluation(51;62;63). Importantly, however, our definitions of remission were associated with a retardation of x-ray progression, suggesting that the clinical definition has biological meaning. Moreover, a recent sonographic analysis on patients in remission defined by different means was in line with the present results(51). Thus, while our definitions permit a tender or swollen joint to be present, we require multiple pieces of evidence of inactive disease (one or no tender and swollen joints and low acute phase reactant score and assessment by the patient that the disease is inactive) before a patient meets remission criteria. Since inactive disease may be accompanied by one residual swollen or tender joint and since the reliability of the exam diminishes with the number of active joints, this procedure enhances the sensitivity of our definition of remission.
We should note that our tested trial data sets included CRP more frequently than ESR, explaining why our definitions present thresholds for CRP. A similar ESR threshold for inactive disease might be <20mm/hour for men and <30mm/hour for women, or even lower, but this may require further testing(64). Our preference for CRP is, in part, because it can be standardized across centers, making it the preferred acute phase reactant measure in multicenter trials. Also, while CRP levels may have different upper limits of normal in different laboratories, this test is widely standardized today and a value of 1mg/dl covers all these upper limits; at 1mg/dl or less the progression of joint damage is minimized(56;57). Given these findings, the practicality of using the same value (1) for all measures was deemed more important than searching for potential minimal differences between cutpoints of 1mg/dl or slightly less.
A ‘treat to target’ approach may yield better outcomes than a conventional approach to treatment in RA, and remission can serve as that target for some patients. However, remission according to the stringent definition presented here may not yet be a realistic goal for most patients. (10)
In conclusion, we present new definitions of remission for use as outcome measures in clinical trials, either the compilation of 4 individual measures or an index based alternative.. We hope that these new definitions will be adopted widely and can provide a uniform approach to assessing this increasingly important outcome.
Acknowledgments
We are grateful to several colleagues who participated in the committee discussions but declined to be named as co-author on this paper; and to Abbott, Amgen and Wyeth for sharing clinical trial data.
This work was supported by ACR, EULAR and by NIH AR47785
Footnotes
The views presented in this manuscript do not necessarily reflect those of the Food and Drug Administration.
Boolean measures:
This is the logic that computers use to determine if a statement is true or false. There are 4 main Boolean operators: AND, NOT, OR, and XOR. Below is an example from defining remission of how one operator works:
Assume x and y are both core set variables for RA whose values are in the range of remission. x AND y returns True if both x and y are true, otherwise the expression returns False. False means that patient is NOT in remission.
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