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. 2011 Sep 28;6(9):e25120. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0025120

Global Burden of Double Malnutrition: Has Anyone Seen It?

Daniel J Corsi 1, Jocelyn E Finlay 2, S V Subramanian 3,*
Editor: Andrea S Wiley4
PMCID: PMC3182195  PMID: 21980384

Abstract

Background

Low- to middle-income countries (LMICs) are believed to be characterized by the coexistence of underweight and overweight. It has also been posited that such coexistence is appearing among the low socioeconomic status (SES) groups.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of nationally representative samples of 451321 women aged 20–49 years drawn from 57 Demographic and Health Surveys conducted between 1994 and 2008. Body Mass Index (BMI in kg/m2), was used to define underweight and overweight following conventional cut-points. Covariates included age, household wealth, education, and residence. We estimated multinomial multilevel models to assess the extent to which underweight (BMI<18.5 kg/m2) and overweight (BMI≥25.0 kg/m2) correlate at the country-level, and at the neighborhood-level within each country.

Results

In age-adjusted models, there was a strong negative correlation between likelihood of being underweight and overweight at country- (r = −0.79, p<0.001), and at the neighborhood-level within countries (r = −0.51, P<0.001). Negative correlations ranging from −0.11 to −0.90 were observed in 46 of the 57 countries at the neighborhood-level and 29/57 were statistically significant (p≤0.05). Similar negative correlations were observed in analyses restricted to low SES groups. Finally, the negative correlations across countries, and within-countries, appeared to be stable over time in a sub-set of 36 countries.

Conclusion

The explicitly negative correlations between prevalence of underweight and overweight at the country-level and at neighborhood-level suggest that the hypothesized coexistence of underweight and overweight has not yet occurred in a substantial manner in a majority of LMICs.

Introduction

It is commonly asserted that low- to middle-income countries (LMICs) are characterized by the coexistence of underweight and overweight [1][4], referred to as the “double burden of malnutrition”. Furthermore, studies in LMICs have suggested that burdens of overweight and obesity has or will shift to lower socioeconomic status (SES) groups as countries develop economically, exposing these groups simultaneously to under- and overnutiriton [5][6]. Therefore, it is imperative that the patterning of underweight and overweight be examined in transitioning LMICs to inform health policies for the management of the nutrition-related burden of disease [7][8]. Although the double burden of malnutrition is plausible within the context of epidemiologic transition away from a predominance of nutritional deficiencies towards a greater burden of noncommunicable disease [8][9], the majority of studies that have thus far reported the coexistence of underweight and overweight within populations have been based on the prevalence of these conditions, making their interpretation problematic without an appropriate reference by which to determine the occurrence of a double burden [5], [10][19]. An overview of studies among men and women in transitional countries from Latin America, Asia, and Africa that have reported the coexistence of underweight and overweight using prevalence is presented in Table 1 . A determination of the coexistence of underweight and overweight in a population can alternatively be made through a formal, multilevel examination of the residual covariance as a measure of the correlation in the prevalence of underweight and overweight at a given geographic level [20]. A strong negative correlation, at a given geographic scale, would suggest the absence of coexistence of underweight and overweight, while a strong positive correlation would suggest the simultaneous presence of the twin burden of nutrition. To our knowledge, we are not aware of any formal empirical assessment of the coexistence of underweight and overweight that is comparable between countries and small areas within countries. Using the largest available, comparable, and most recent sample of adult women in the reproductive age group from 57 LMICs with objective measurements of height and weight, we assessed the extent to which underweight and overweight coexist in the general population and among low SES groups, at both the country-level and at the level of neighborhoods within countries. In a sub-set of countries, we also assessed whether the observed patterns of coexistence have changed over time.

Table 1. Studies reporting a double burden of nutrition among adults in low- to middle-income countries.

Body Mass Index (BMI, kg/m2) % Underweight % Overweight/Obese
Country Year Sample (n) Age group (years) Underweight Criterion Overweight/obese Criterion Males Females Males Females
Latin America
Brazil [10] 1989 7160 20–64 <18.5 ≥30.0 - 6.6 4.6 12.3
Brazil 1997 5137 20–64 <18.5 ≥30.0 - 6.0 6.9 12.7
Mexico [11] 1994 2125 20–69 <18.5 25–29.9 1.9 1.5 36.1 35.8
Mexico 2000 45249 20–75 <18.5 25–29.9 1.8 1.7 40.5 36.1
Asia
Bangladesh [12] 2004 242433 (Rural) 15–45 <18.5 ≥25.0 - 38.8 - 4.1
Bangladesh 2004 39749 (Urban poor) 15–45 <18.5 ≥25.0 - 29.7 - 9.1
China [13] 1989 4527 20–45 <18.5 ≥25.0 8.4 8.9 6.5 11.4
China 2000 4046 20–45 <18.5 ≥25.0 6.3 6.7 20.2 19.3
India [14] 1994 99598 (Urban) 35+ <18.5 ≥25.0 19.5 19.1 19.2 29.7
India [15] 2001 4032 15–49 <18.5 ≥25.0 - 37.0 - 12.0
Indonesia [16] * 2007 - ≥15 <18.5 ≥25.0 15.0 19.0
Vietnam [17] 2000 14452 25–64 <18.5 ≥25.0 22.0 27.9 2.8 5.5
Vietnam 2005 17213 25–64 <18.5 ≥25.0 19.9 21.9 5.3 8.0
Africa
Egypt [11] 2004 19201 ≥20 17.0–18.5 25.0–29.9 2.8 2.0 35.4 26.9
Gambia [18] * 1996–1997 5373 ≥15 <18.0 ≥30.0 18.0 2.3
South Africa [19] 1990 976 (Cape Peninsula) 15–64 <20.0 (male), <19.0 (female) ≥25.0 (male), ≥24.0 (female) 26.3 9.8 17.7 35.2
LMICs (Urban) [6] 1997 157844 (36 countries) 20–49 <18.5 ≥25.0 - 5.9 - 32.4
LMICs (Rural) - - - - - - 9.3 - 19.4

Notes:

*Male and Female populations combined.

Methods

Data

Data were obtained from single and repeated cross-sectional Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) conducted between 1992 and 2008 in 57 LMICs ( Table 2 ) [21]. The MEASURE DHS project has provided assistance in conducting standardized household sample surveys in LMICs since 1984 with a focus on health, socioeconomic, nutrition, and fertility-related information from all women in the reproductive age group (15–49 years) [22]. In some DHS surveys, the population was limited to ever-married women of reproductive age with children. Strengths of the DHS data for studying population health include very high response rates, national coverage, standard data collection procedures, and interviewer training [23][25]. The core DHS questionnaire has been standardized and pretested to ensure comparability across populations and over time. The DHS program has developed a rigorous area-based sampling design which employs multistage stratification and probabilistic sampling with each areal unit having a defined probability of selection [26]. In each included survey, sampling was stratified according to urban and rural areas and in some countries by additional geographic or administrative regions. The general DHS sampling framework was adapted to produce country-specific sample designs [26]. Table 2 describes each survey by country and year, sample sizes, number of neighborhoods, and the percentage prevalence of underweight and overweight for all women aged 20 to 49 years. For 36 countries with repeated surveys, 2 rows are provided indicating the first and most recent survey conducted in that country. Table S1 describes the sampling plans for each survey by country and year, including response rates and anthropometric (height and weight) measurement protocol.

Table 2. Survey year, sample size, number of neighborhoods, and distribution of nutritional status for women aged 20–49 in 57 low- to middle-income countries.

Country Survey Year Sample Size Nutritional status according to body mass index (BMI, kg/m2) classification
Neighborhoods Underweight (<18.5) Normal BMI (18.5–24.9) Overweight (≥25)
n n N % n % n %
Total (latest survey) 2005 (median) 451321 32814 53713 11.9 254549 56.4 143059 31.7
Albania 2008 5898 450 90 1.5 3143 53.3 2665 45.2
Armenia 2005 5058 308 178 3.5 2351 46.5 2529 50.0
2000 4891 259 131 2.7 2443 49.9 2317 47.4
Azerbaijan 2006 6461 318 212 3.3 2794 43.2 3455 53.5
Bangladesh 2007 9028 361 2504 27.7 5169 57.3 1355 15.0
1996 3375 313 1729 51.2 1535 45.5 111 3.3
Benin 2006 12280 750 1034 8.4 8757 71.3 2489 20.3
1996 2136 200 314 14.7 1627 76.2 195 9.1
Bolivia 2003 12300 999 140 1.1 5222 42.5 6938 56.4
1994 2127 555 46 2.2 1345 63.2 736 34.6
Brazil 1996 2883 759 174 6.0 1702 59.0 1007 34.9
Burkina Faso 2003 8478 400 1663 19.6 5986 70.6 829 9.8
1992 3189 230 426 13.4 2430 76.2 333 10.4
Cambodia 2005 6147 557 1093 17.8 4357 70.9 697 11.3
2000 5292 471 1011 19.1 3897 73.6 384 7.3
Cameroon 2005 3467 461 181 5.2 2154 62.1 1132 32.7
1998 1426 200 95 6.7 972 68.2 359 25.2
Central African Republic (CAR) 1995 1760 229 272 15.5 1367 77.7 121 6.9
Chad 2004 2618 196 541 20.7 1782 68.1 295 11.3
1996 3261 246 684 21.0 2332 71.5 245 7.5
Colombia 2005 27654 3792 1014 3.7 13353 48.3 13287 48.0
1995 3065 897 102 3.3 1683 54.9 1280 41.8
Comoros 1996 743 98 72 9.7 519 69.9 152 20.5
Congo, Dem. Rep. 2007 3308 300 502 15.2 2337 70.6 469 14.2
Congo, Rep. 2005 4874 225 550 11.3 2906 59.6 1418 29.1
Cote d'Ivoire 1998–9 2005 140 136 6.8 1316 65.6 553 27.6
1994 2682 246 226 8.4 2049 76.4 407 15.2
Dominican Republic 1996 5820 395 366 6.3 2906 49.9 2548 43.8
Egypt 2008 14411 1263 89 0.6 3223 22.4 11099 77.0
1995 6497 921 124 1.9 3125 48.1 3248 50.0
Ethiopia 2005 4644 534 1144 24.6 3165 68.2 335 7.2
2000 10523 539 3031 28.8 6850 65.1 642 6.1
Gabon 2000 2082 247 141 6.8 1373 65.9 568 27.3
Ghana 2008 3490 411 243 7.0 2112 60.5 1135 32.5
1993 1650 388 193 11.7 1236 74.9 221 13.4
Guatemala 1998–9 4547 405 149 3.3 2928 64.4 1470 32.3
Guinea 2005 2834 295 342 12.1 2061 72.7 431 15.2
1999 2983 292 345 11.6 2239 75.1 399 13.4
Haiti 2005–6 3632 339 453 12.5 2260 62.2 919 25.3
1994 1788 171 327 18.3 1241 69.4 220 12.3
Honduras 2005 13988 1046 366 2.6 6555 46.9 7067 50.5
India 2005 91243 3849 24281 26.6 50367 55.2 16595 18.2
1998 72469 3473 22860 31.5 40182 55.4 9427 13.0
Jordan 2007 4446 464 55 1.2 1265 28.5 3126 70.3
1997 3000 300 69 2.3 1070 35.7 1861 62.0
Kazakhstan 1999 1880 205 117 6.2 1086 57.8 677 36.0
1995 2900 176 180 6.2 1486 51.2 1234 42.6
Kenya 2003 6046 398 656 10.9 3605 59.6 1785 29.5
1998 3009 526 333 11.1 2205 73.3 471 15.7
Kyrgyz Republic 1997 2871 162 151 5.3 1840 64.1 880 30.7
Lesotho 2004 2401 403 103 4.3 1172 48.8 1126 46.9
Liberia 2007 4991 298 405 8.1 3373 67.6 1213 24.3
Madagascar 2003–4 5909 594 1453 24.6 3961 67.0 495 8.4
1997 2253 265 431 19.1 1710 75.9 112 5.0
Malawi 2004 7746 521 618 8.0 5969 77.1 1159 15.0
1992 2101 225 169 8.0 1684 80.2 248 11.8
Mali 2006 9774 406 1018 10.4 6631 67.8 2125 21.7
1995 3787 300 602 15.9 2823 74.5 362 9.6
Moldova 2005 5709 400 199 3.5 2715 47.6 2795 49.0
Morocco 2003–4 12713 480 668 5.3 6681 52.6 5364 42.2
1992 2795 211 109 3.9 1758 62.9 928 33.2
Mozambique 2003 8327 604 615 7.4 6260 75.2 1452 17.4
1997 2823 392 251 8.9 2253 79.8 319 11.3
Namibia 2006–7 6916 500 835 12.1 3733 54.0 2348 34.0
1992 2061 162 276 13.4 1364 66.2 421 20.4
Nepal 2006 7833 260 1808 23.1 5277 67.4 748 9.5
1996 3068 253 767 25.0 2238 72.9 63 2.1
Nicaragua 2001 9098 610 230 2.5 3990 43.9 4878 53.6
1997 9290 592 284 3.1 4600 49.5 4406 47.4
Niger 2006 3126 342 445 14.2 2005 64.1 676 21.6
1998 2958 267 556 18.8 2075 70.1 327 11.1
Nigeria 2008 23063 886 2519 10.9 14981 65.0 5563 24.1
2003 5029 362 598 11.9 3258 64.8 1173 23.3
Peru 2004 20943 1285 237 1.1 9234 44.1 11472 54.8
1991 4886 876 61 1.2 2917 59.7 1908 39.1
Rwanda 2005 3911 462 295 7.5 3119 79.7 497 12.7
2000 6628 441 451 6.8 5159 77.8 1018 15.4
Senegal 2005 3059 376 393 12.8 1893 61.9 773 25.3
Sierra Leone 2008 2692 353 273 10.1 1545 57.4 874 32.5
South Africa 1998 4263 935 241 5.7 1652 38.8 2370 55.6
Swaziland 2006 3412 274 60 1.8 1331 39.0 2021 59.2
Tanzania 2004–5 7064 475 698 9.9 4928 69.8 1438 20.4
1996 3502 354 331 9.5 2689 76.8 482 13.8
Togo 1998 3113 282 343 11.0 2435 78.2 335 10.8
Turkey 1998 2210 460 52 2.4 949 42.9 1209 54.7
1993 2294 463 49 2.1 1046 45.6 1199 52.3
Uganda 2006 1925 367 221 11.5 1376 71.5 328 17.0
1995 2827 293 254 9.0 2246 79.4 327 11.6
Uzbekistan 1996 3182 168 233 7.3 2039 64.1 910 28.6
Zambia 2007 4846 319 391 8.1 3393 70.0 1062 21.9
1996 3483 312 328 9.4 2715 78.0 440 12.6
Zimbabwe 2005–6 6199 398 451 7.3 3946 63.7 1802 29.1
1994 1774 230 95 5.4 1276 71.9 403 22.7

Notes: Percent underweight represents the number of women with a BMI of less than 18.5 divided by the total number of women and then multiplied by 100; percent normal weight represent percent overweight represents the number of women with a BMI between 18.5 and 24.9 divided by the total number of and then multiplied by 100; percent overweight represents the number of women with a BMI of 25 and above divided by the total number of women and then multiplied by 100. Percentages are calculated as row percentages.

Study population and sample size

The study population included all non-pregnant women between the ages of 20–49 years either with or without children of any age (n = 567047) and was derived from the most recent survey in all countries participating in the DHS anthropometric measurement module. There were 109981 (19.4% of the sample) women for whom height and weight was intentionally not measured (see Table S1 for anthropometric measurement protocol by survey). Among those for whom height or weight should have been measured, 5682 women (1.2%) did not have a height or weight measure in the data, and 34 women (<1%) had a biologically implausible height (less than 100 cm or greater than 200 cm) or weight (less than 25 kg or greater than 200 kg) and were excluded. Twenty nine observations (<1%) were missing data on covariates.

The final sample for the primary analysis was 451321 adult women surveyed and measured between 1994 and 2008 in 57 countries. For the secondary analysis on a subset of 36 countries, a sample of 197822 women was available from the first survey conducted in these countries and a sample of 363264 women was available from the most recent survey conducted.

Outcome

Trained field investigators weighed each woman using a solar-powered electronic scale with a precision of ±100 g, and height was measured for each woman using an adjustable measuring board accurate to 1 millimeter [27]. Body Mass Index (BMI), calculated as weight in kilograms divided by the square of height in meters (kg/m2) was used to classify women as underweight (BMI<18.5), normal (BMI 18.5–24.5), and overweight (BMI≥25.0) according to WHO recommendations [28].

Independent Variables

The following covariates were considered in our analyses: age, education, household wealth (as a measure of SES), and place of residence (urban or rural). Age (20–49 y) was specified in 5-y groups. Women's education level was categorized as: no education, primary education, or having completed secondary or higher level education. Women's SES was based on a household wealth index derived from dwelling characteristics (e.g. source of drinking water) and ownership of material possessions (e.g., television, bicycle) with each woman assigned a wealth score based on the weighted combination of characteristics and assets in their household with the weights derived according to a principle component analysis (PCA) procedure [29]. We used the survey-specific household wealth index that was provided by the DHS. For each survey, PCA was conducted on the set of indicator variables representing each household characteristic or asset. Then, for each household, the values of the indicator variables were multiplied by the coefficient from the first principle component, summed, and standardized to produce the household wealth index value with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. For each survey, the sample was divided into fifths from richest to poorest along the resulting standardized index [30][32]. Place of residence indicated whether the household was located in an urban or rural area by census definition.

Defining Small Areas (“Neighborhood”) within Countries

DHS surveys make use of area-based sampling and cover the entire geographical territory of each country. The cluster is the smallest unit used in the DHS area sampling frames. Sampling frames were obtained from existing country master samples, or lists of enumeration areas from a recently completed census [26]. Selected clusters to be included in the survey were checked for completeness and lists of dwellings, households, and individuals were created by field teams in each country. Larger clusters were further segmented into the DHS standard size of about 500 individuals or 100–150 households during fieldwork. For the present study, clusters, typically villages or groups of villages in rural areas and municipal wards or divisions in urban areas were taken to represent a women's residential context. In addition to being of similar size, clusters were defined using meaningful geographic characteristics and natural boarders such as rivers or mountains or other identifiable boundaries such as roads, railways, or eclectic power lines [26]. Clusters in many countries follow administrative boundaries which provide practical relevance for defining residential context.

Analysis

Given the multilevel structure of the data and with an explicit interest in modeling the multiple categories of BMI and their correlation at the geographic level of countries and neighborhoods within countries, a multilevel multinomial modeling approach was adopted [20], [33][34]. Formally, Inline graphic was the categorical outcome with Inline graphic categories, for woman Inline graphic in neighborhood Inline graphic and country Inline graphic. We denote the probability of being in BMI category Inline graphic by Inline graphic. In a multinomial logistic model, one of the outcome categories is taken as the reference categories, just as the category coded ‘0’ is normally taken as the ‘reference’ category in more the commonly used binary response models. Using the normal weight category of BMI (18.5–24.9 kg/m2) as the reference, we estimated a set of Inline graphic−1 logistic regressions for the underweight and overweight categories, contrasting each of the categories with the reference category as: Inline graphic where Inline graphic. Separate intercept and slope parameters were estimated for the underweight and overweight categories, indicated by the (s) superscripts. The notation Inline graphic represents the fixed part of the model, and Inline graphic, the intercept, gives the overall log odds of being underweight (or overweight) for an individual in the reference category and Inline graphic is the effect of a 1-unit increase in Inline graphic (the set of predictor variables) on the log odds of being underweight (or overweight) contrasted with the reference category (normal weight). The terms Inline graphic, and Inline graphic represent the random effects associated with neighborhoods and countries, assumed to be Normally distributed with mean 0 and variances, Inline graphic and Inline graphic. The random effects are specific to each of the contrasted category, as indicated by the Inline graphic superscript, because different unobserved factors, at each level, may affect each contrast. The covariance in the random effects for underweight (s) and overweight (r) can be estimated at each level, for example, Inline graphic for the country level, and is the key parameter of interest for our study. For ease of interpretation, covarainces are presented in terms of correlation coefficients (r), and vary between −1 and 1.

We additionally estimated country-specific 2-level models (women within neighborhoods) for each country and repeated all models separately for urban and rural samples. To assess the correlation in underweight and overweight among women of low socioeconomic status (SES), we also estimated global and country-specific models restricted to the poorest quarter of women, based on household wealth. Finally, we conducted sensitivity analyses by repeating the global and country-specific models on samples of men (aged 15–54 y) from seven countries in this study (Azerbaijan, Egypt, India, Swaziland, Uganda, Colombia, and South Africa) where anthropometric measurements were available for adult men in surveyed households. In all analyses, regression and variance parameters were estimated using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation and the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, available in the statistical software MLwiN (version 2.20) [33], [35][36].

Ethical Review

The DHS data collection procedures were approved by the ORC Macro (Calverton, Maryland) Institutional Review Board as well as by the relevant body in each country which approves research studies on human subjects. Oral informed consent for the interview/survey was obtained from respondents by interviewers. The study was reviewed by Harvard School of Public Health Institutional Review Board and was considered exempt from full review because the study was based on an anonymous public use data set with no identifiable information on the survey participants.

Results

In the pooled sample, the prevalence of underweight and overweight was 11.9% and 31.7%, respectively in the most recent survey ( Table 1 ). Within countries, underweight ranged from <1% (Egypt) to 27.7% (Bangladesh) and overweight ranged from 6.9% (Central African Republic) to 77.0% (Egypt). Figure 1 displays the patterning of underweight and overweight across the 57 countries studied. Several countries including Chad, India, Namibia, Senegal, Niger, and Sierra Leone appeared to have a sizeable prevalence of underweight and overweight in their populations (Table 1). Among the 36 countries where repeated surveys were available, the prevalence of overweight increased in 92% at an average rate of 6.9% per year over median period of 10 years. Among the same countries the levels of underweight decreased in 64% (23/36) but at a much slower rate (<1% per year) over the same interval.

Figure 1. Prevalence of underweight (BMI<18.5 kg/m2) (A) and overweight (BMI≥25.0 kg/m2) (B) among women aged 20–49 in 57 low- to middle-income countries.

Figure 1

Globally, the country-level correlation between the underweight and overweight was −0.79 (P<0.001) in the age-adjusted model. Further covariate adjustment did not alter the country-level correlation ( Figure 2A , underweight/overweight r = −0.78, P<0.001). These patterns were largely repeated among low SES groups ( Figure 2B ). In these figures, a zero on each axis represents the global average for underweight and overweight. Countries estimated to have above average prevalence of both underweight and overweight would appear in the upper right quadrant of these plots. South Africa, Sierra Leone, Namibia, and additionally Brazil and Dominican Republic in the low SES model, were found to simultaneously have above average underweight and overweight at the national level.

Figure 2. Scatter plots of country-level residuals for underweight and overweight among women aged 20–49 in 57 low- to middle-income countries overall (A), and in low-socioeconomic status groups (B).

Figure 2

Notes: Panel A adjusted for age, education, household wealth, and place of residence, Panel B adjusted for age and urban/rural place of residence. Country abbreviations: AL Albania, AM Armenia, AZ Azerbaijan, BD Bangladesh, BJ Benin, BO Bolivia, BR Brazil, BF Burkina Faso, KH Cambodia, CM Cameroon, CF Central African Republic, TD Chad, CO Colombia, KM Comoros, CD Congo, Dem. Rep., CG Congo, Rep., CI Cote d'Ivoire, DO Dominican Republic, EG Egypt, ET Ethiopia, GA Gabon, GH Ghana, GT Guatemala, GN Guinea, HT Haiti, HN Honduras, IN India, JO Jordan, KZ Kazakhstan, KE Kenya, KG Kyrgyz Republic, LS Lesotho, LR Liberia, MG Madagascar, MW Malawi, ML Mali, MD Moldova, MA Morocco, MZ Mozambique, NA Namibia, NP Nepal, NI Nicaragua, NE Niger, NG Nigeria, PE Peru, RW Rwanda, SN Senegal, SL Sierra Leone, SZ Swaziland, TZ Tanzania, TG Togo, TR Turkey, UG Uganda, UZ Uzbekistan, ZM Zambia, ZW Zimbabwe, ZA South Africa.

In the pooled age-adjusted model that also accounted for between-country differences, neighborhoods with higher levels of underweight (overweight) were more likely to have lower levels of overweight (underweight) (r = −0.51, P<0.001). Additional adjustment for socioeconomic status and place of residence covariates reduced the magnitude of this correlation, but it remained statistically significant (r = −0.31, P<0.001).

Within-countries, age-adjusted models generally revealed an inverse correlation between underweight and overweight at the neighborhood-level, with statistically significant negative correlations observed that varied between −0.25 (P = 0.019) in Morocco to −0.90 (P<0.0001) in Bangladesh ( Figure 3A ). Overall, negative correlations between underweight and overweight were observed at the neighborhood-level in 46 of the 57 countries, and correlations were statistically significant (P<0.05) in 29 countries (see Table S2 for significance levels). Although positive correlations in age-adjusted models were observed in 8 countries (Albania, Guatemala, Honduras, Lesotho, Nicaragua, Swaziland, Tanzania, Turkey), none were found to be statistically significant.

Figure 3. Within country (neighborhood-level) correlation of underweight and overweight among women aged 20–49 in 57 low- to middle-income countries, overall (A), and in low-socioeconomic status groups (B).

Figure 3

Notes: Panel A adjusted for age, education, household wealth, and place of residence, Panel B adjusted for age and place of residence; *P<0.05.

Globally, the results of analyses restricted to low-SES were largely similar to the full analysis; negative correlations in underweight and overweight were observed at the country (r = −0.79, P<0.001, Figure 2B ) and neighborhood (r = −0.45, P<0.001) levels, with adjustment for age and place of residence ( Figure 3B ). Within countries, the inverse relationship was found to be statistically significant in 10/57 countries (see Table S2 for significance levels). No countries were found to have a statistically significant positive correlation.

In global age-adjusted analyses restricted to 36 countries with repeated surveys, correlations between underweight and overweight at the country- and neighborhood-levels were negative, statistically significant, nearly identical over time (median interval: 10 years), and to the full sample results (Table S3). The change over time within countries is represented in Figure 4 , which plots the underweight/overweight correlation from the first versus the most recent survey for countries with repeated surveys.

Figure 4. Within-country (neighborhood) and global (country and neighborhood level) age-adjusted correlation of underweight and overweight among women aged 20–49 at the first DHS survey (median year: 1996) vs. the most recent DHS survey (median year: 2005) in 36 low- to middle-income countries with repeated surveys.

Figure 4

Notes: Models adjusted for age; Country abbreviations: AM Armenia, BD Bangladesh, BJ Benin, BO Bolivia, BF Burkina Faso, KH Cambodia, CM Cameroon, TD Chad, CO Colombia, CI Cote d'Ivoire, EG Egypt, ET Ethiopia, GH Ghana, GN Guinea, HT Haiti, IN India, JO Jordan, KZ Kazakhstan, KE Kenya, MG Madagascar, MW Malawi, ML Mali, MA Morocco, MZ Mozambique, NA Namibia, NP Nepal, NI Nicaragua, NE Niger, NG Nigeria, PE Peru, RW Rwanda, TZ Tanzania, TR Turkey, UG Uganda, ZM Zambia, ZW Zimbabwe, GC Global (country-level), GE Global (neighborhood-level).

Within the subset of countries with repeated surveys, 18/36 were found to have a negative and statistically correlation at the neighborhood-level in the first available survey (median year: 1996) (Table S3). In the most recent survey (median year: 2005), 23/36 countries demonstrated a statistically significant negative correlation (P<0.05). Among 19/36 countries, the correlation was found to be negative and statistically significant at both time points (Table S3). Five countries with negative correlations at the first survey period (Jordan, Nicaragua, Peru, Tanzania, and Turkey) were found to have positive correlations in the most recent survey. The correlation between underweight and overweight among these countries did not reach statistical significance at either survey point and consecutive positive correlations were not observed for any countries over time.

We conducted several sensitivity analyses to explore the consistency of our findings. First, pooled and country-specific analyses were repeated on adult males (15–54 y) in a subset of 7 countries. The countries and sample sizes of males included in these analyses are presented in Table 3 . The results of the pooled analysis for males showed an inverse relationship between underweight and overweight at the country-level similar to the corresponding analysis on females ( Figure 5 ); although the finding for males was not statistically significant due to few countries. Within country analyses for males also demonstrated a similar pattern to the overall results, with negative and statistically significant correlations between underweight and overweight observed in 5/7 countries (P<0.05, Table 3 ) For Colombia and South Africa, data on all adult males (aged 15+) was analyzed.

Table 3. Global (country and neighborhood level) and within-country (neighborhood) age-adjusted correlation of underweight and overweight among men aged 15–54 from DHS surveys in seven low- to middle-income countries.

Country r P-value
Global *
Country-level −0.72 0.28
Neighborhood-level −0.39 <0.0001
Country (n)
Azerbaijan (2,484) −0.23 0.36
Egypt (5,640) −0.40 0.019
India (71,289) −0.42 <0.0001
Swaziland (4,053) −0.49 0.09
Uganda (2,456) −0.65 0.002
Colombia (28,273)** −0.18 0.025
South Africa (5,591)** −0.56 <0.001

Notes:

*n = 7 countries; 10,746 neighborhoods; 119,786 individuals.

**(Age 15+ y).

Correlations are based on the neighborhood-level covariance in underweight and overweight from age-adjusted models.

Figure 5. Scatter plot of country-level residuals for underweight and overweight among men aged 15–54 in 7 low- to middle-income countries (r = −0.72, P = 0.28).

Figure 5

Second, we restricted the pooled country-level analyses to women with only preschool aged children, some preschool aged children, or no children, and to women of younger (15–24) and middle (25–49) ages. The results of these analyses are presented in Table 4 . In fully adjusted models for these subgroups, a consistently inverse and statistically significant association was observed between underweight and overweight was observed at the country level that varied between −0.70 and −0.78, compared to the correlation in the overall study sample of −0.78 (P<0.001). Finally, additional analyses were conducted on the South African (1998) and Colombian (2004) and surveys which included women older than 50 years of age. These results are presented in Table 5 . In both countries, the correlations for the different age strata were consistent with the overall findings; however the South African analysis had less statistical precision due to sample size limitations. Negative and statistically significant correlations of large magnitude (r<−0.8) were observed among the older age groups in both countries, which may be reflective of older cohorts preceding the nutrition transition in these countries.

Table 4. Global (country level) age and fully adjusted correlation of underweight and overweight among women with and without children, and among women of younger and middle age groups in 57 low- to middle-income countries.

Age adjusted Fully adjusted**
Case N Country-level r P-value Country-level r P-value
Study sample* 451322 −0.79 0.000 −0.78 0.000
Women with all children 5 and younger 66042 −0.73 0.000 −0.70 0.000
Women with at least 1 child 5 and younger 250683 −0.77 0.000 −0.75 0.000
Women without children 48189 −0.72 0.000 −0.70 0.000
Women aged 12–24 y 210056 −0.72 0.000 −0.71 0.000
Women aged 25–49 y 353351 −0.80 0.000 −0.78 0.000

*Notes: Study sample includes all non-pregnant women aged 20–49 and included women with and without children of any age.

**Adjusted for age, education, household wealth, and place of residence.

Table 5. Within country correlations between underweight and overweight among women of younger, middle, and older age groups in Colombia and South Africa.

Colombia South Africa
Case N r ** P-value N r ** P-value
Study sample* 27062 −0.55 0.000 4263 −0.54 0.010
Women aged 15–24 y 13063 −0.76 0.000 2038 −0.45 0.052
Women aged 25–49 y 23607 −0.71 0.000 3394 −0.46 0.086
Women aged 50+ years 7575 −0.80 0.018 2410 −0.88 0.002

Notes:

*Study sample includes all non-pregnant women aged 20–49 and included women with and without children of any age.

**Correlations adjusted for age, education, household wealth, and place of residence.

Discussion

Using large representative samples of adult women of reproductive ages from 57 LMICs, we observed a robust negative correlation between underweight and overweight globally across countries and for neighborhoods within a majority of countries. This finding was consistent in analyses stratified by urban/rural location. The inverse correlation was mirrored among low SES groups globally and within countries, suggesting that underweight and overweight are not happening simultaneously in this group. Among the subset of countries with multiple measurements, the negative correlations observed at the country and neighborhood levels did not appear to change substantially in direction or magnitude over time.

Before we discuss these findings, we discuss the data limitations of the study. First, our analyses were restricted to women of reproductive age, due to our use of the Demographic and Health Surveys as the data source. Despite this limitation the DHS offers many advantages including comparable survey instruments, standardization of anthropometric measurements, sampling procedures and other methodology that facilitate pooling across surveys. Several studies investigating the coexistence of underweight and overweight have been based on reproductive-aged women, and this is largely due to the target population of the Demographic and Health Surveys (women aged 15–49) which provide an important source of nutrition-related data for LMICs [6], [37][40]. Whether the patterns observed in our study hold for women in other countries and of different ages and for adult men generally in comparable samples with objective measures of height and weight remains an open empirical question. The consistency of our findings among women of different age groups, with and without children, and among men (aged 15–54) in 7 countries during sensitivity analyses, however, suggests that our findings may be generalizable to other populations and settings. Second, the countries included in this study were not surveyed at the same time even though a majority of countries (45/57) were surveyed after 2000. Thirdly, it was beyond the scope of this study to investigate the double burden of disease more generally such as the coexistence of both infectious and noncommunicable diseases within a population [9]. The primary purpose of our study was to further previous research on the double burden of malnutrition, based largely on the prevalence of underweight and overweight, by advancing a methodology by which to objectively assess for the coexistence of underweight and overweight with a population. We focused specifically on the double burden of malnutrition within populations of adult women and, for a smaller group of countries, adult men in LMICs. Additionally, our focus on adults did not allow for the investigation of the coexistence underweight and overweight between parents and children or within the same household, although this has been highlighted as an issue of potential concern in some countries [41][42].

Our study findings, with objective height and weight measurements, suggest that the hypothesized double nutritional burden has yet to occur in a majority of LMICs. Among countries with repeated surveys, we observed that over time, the prevalence of overweight increased in nearly all countries, and while underweight decreased in two thirds of these countries, it was at a much slower rate. Such trends may have future implications especially for those countries were the prevalence of underweight remains substantial. Namibia, Sierra Leone, and South Africa appear to meet the criteria for a double nutritional burden with the coexistence of above average levels of underweight and overweight. However, for all three countries a statistically significant negative correlation between underweight and overweight was observed at the level of neighborhoods within the countries, suggesting that the prevalence of underweight and overweight within the population may be geographically patterned. Similar results have been reported in within-country studies from Bangladesh and India using the same methodology [43][44]. Further, to the extent that the prevalence of obesity is increasing in LMICs, it has been shown that within countries, overweight is concentrated primarily among the high socioeconomic groups [39][40], [45].

Our study highlighted several countries, notably Jordan, Peru, and Turkey, in which a shift from a negative to positive correlation in underweight and overweight was observed over median period of 10 years. Kazakhstan also demonstrated a large change in the magnitude of the correlation but remained negative in both surveys. These countries are among 14 countries in our sample considered upper-middle income with a per capita Gross Domestic Product (pcGDP) of ≥$3946 [46]. While plausible, the implication that a coexistence of underweight and overweight emerges at higher levels of economic development was not statistically supported in this study. The few upper-middle income countries that demonstrated increases in the underweight/overweight correlation appear to be exceptions to the trend and such findings may not be generalizable to the lower-middle and low-income countries. Among the remaining countries, no discernable relationship was found between change in neighborhood-level underweight/overweight correlation and pcGDP. Interestingly, other upper-middle income countries such as Colombia and Namibia demonstrated strong inverse and statistically significant correlations in underweight and overweight further suggesting that the double burden of malnutrition may be related to income-inequality within countries, rather than overall economic development [47].

Although many low and middle income countries face problems of underweight and overweight, the hypothesized “double burden” of malnutrition has not definitively occurred either among adult women of reproductive age in a majority of the LMICs studied or among adult males studied in a smaller group of countries. While the double burden of nutrition may indeed be forthcoming within the context of epidemiologic transition, such a characterization seems inappropriate at present for most LMICs in light of our findings of an explicitly inverse association between the prevalence of underweight and overweight at the level of countries and small geographic areas and, even more importantly, that underweight and overweight are unequivocally segregated into two separate socioeconomic groups [39], [44]. The scientific and policy narratives related to the double burden of malnutrition in LMICs need to be evidence-based in order to be focused and fair.

Supporting Information

Table S1

Year, sampling plan, and response rates for demographic and health (DHS) surveys conducted in 57 low- and middle-income countries.

(DOC)

Table S2

Within country (neighborhood-level) correlation and significance level of coexistence of underweight and overweight among women aged 20–49 in 57 low- to middle-income countries, by overall, urban, rural, and low-socioeconomic status samples.

(DOC)

Table S3

Global (country and neighborhood-level) and within-country (neighborhood) age-adjusted correlation of underweight and overweight among women aged 20–49 from 36 low- to middle-income countries with repeated surveys.

(DOC)

Acknowledgments

The authors acknowledge the support of Macro International Inc. (Washington, DC) for providing access to the various Demographic and Health Surveys.

Footnotes

Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Funding: These authors have no support or funding to report.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Table S1

Year, sampling plan, and response rates for demographic and health (DHS) surveys conducted in 57 low- and middle-income countries.

(DOC)

Table S2

Within country (neighborhood-level) correlation and significance level of coexistence of underweight and overweight among women aged 20–49 in 57 low- to middle-income countries, by overall, urban, rural, and low-socioeconomic status samples.

(DOC)

Table S3

Global (country and neighborhood-level) and within-country (neighborhood) age-adjusted correlation of underweight and overweight among women aged 20–49 from 36 low- to middle-income countries with repeated surveys.

(DOC)


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