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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America logoLink to Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
. 1986 Feb;83(3):536–540. doi: 10.1073/pnas.83.3.536

Reconstruction of the dynamics of the climatic system from time-series data

C Nicolis *, G Nicolis
PMCID: PMC322898  PMID: 16593650

Abstract

The oxygen isotope record of the last million years, as provided by a deep sea core sediment, is analyzed by a method recently developed in the theory of dynamical systems. The analysis suggests that climatic variability is the manifestation of a chaotic dynamics described by an attractor of fractal dimensionality. A quantitative measure of the limited predictability of the climatic system is provided by the evaluation of the time-correlation function and the largest positive Lyapounov exponent of the system.

Keywords: climatic variability, quaternary glaciations, chaotic dynamics

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