Abstract
Objective: The critical illness of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus infection may be associated with relatively poor outcomes. The objective of this study is to describe clinical features and factors associated with the deaths of critical patients. Methods: Medical records of 26 critical patients with H1N1 infection admitted from Sept. 1 to Dec. 31, 2009, were retrospectively reviewed. Diagnosis was established by real-time reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assay. Results: The mean age of the patients was (40.4±18.4) years and 73.1% of them were male. Clinical manifestations included fever, cough, and sputum production. The laboratory findings included leukocytosis, lymphopenia, C-reaction protein, and lactic dehydrogenase elevation. In this series, 17 subjects survived and 9 died. The parameters between the deaths and survivors were compared, which included acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) scores (23.8±10.1 vs. 14.3±6.6, P<0.05), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores (13.3±3.0 vs. 6.6±3.3, P<0.05), and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) scores (7.4±2.5 vs. 3.3±1.7, P<0.05). The cases of deaths had higher incidences of cardiovascular failure (100% vs. 41.2%, P<0.05), renal failure (55.6% vs. 11.7%, P<0.05), encephalopathy (44.4% vs. 5.9%, P<0.05), hepatic failure (33.3% vs. 5.9%, P<0.05), and septic shock (33.3% vs. 17.6%, P<0.05). Conclusions: The critical patients with H1N1 infection have high APACHE II, SOFA, and MODS scores, which may be associated with an increased risk of death and complex clinical courses.
Keywords: Critical illness, H1N1, Infection, Influenza A virus, Mortality
1. Introduction
During the spring of 2009, a novel pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus emerged in North America (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009a; 2009c; 2009d). The virus then spread rapidly to other regions of the world (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009b; Naffakh and van der Werf, 2009), resulting in the first influenza pandemic since 1968. On May 7, 2009, a Chinese national network was organized to monitor the prevalence of H1N1 virus infection. On May 10, 2009 the first case of imported infection was identified in Chengdu, China. Since then, those who had a suspected viral infection, or a history of contact with those with suspected infection, were tested.
Although the surveillance showed that the majority of cases had mild symptoms at the initial stage (Cao et al., 2009a; Mu et al., 2010), those with H1N1 influenza usually had poor outcomes (Xi et al., 2010). On Dec. 7, 2009, a study showed that 4 328 cases had severe symptoms in mainland China and 326 of them died (Zheng et al., 2011). As of March 2010, more than 17 700 deaths among laboratory-confirmed cases had been reported to the World Health Organization (WHO). To identify the high-risk patients at the early stage may be of help for improving the prognosis of the disease.
In this retrospective study, we studied the clinical characteristics and factors associated with mortality.
2. Materials and methods
2.1. Study design
From Sept. 1 to Dec. 31, 2009, 26 critically ill patients with a confirmative diagnosis of H1N1 virus infection were admitted to the West China Hospital of Sichuan University and the Chengdu Infectious Disease Hospital. Subjects’ medical records were retrospectively reviewed. Data were collected by using a standard data collection instrument, which included demographic characteristics, coexisting medical conditions, clinical symptoms and signs, laboratory tests, and treatment course.
A confirmed case was defined by a positive result of virologic testing of samples from pharyngeal or nasopharyngeal swabs with the use of real-time reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assay (World Health Organization, 2009a).
After admission, serial pharyngeal or nasopharyngeal swabs were collected and analyzed daily for real-time RT-PCR testing. The tests were performed by the Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Sichuan Province, China. Severity of the illness was assessed within 24 h after admission using the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) scores (Knaus et al., 1985), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores (Vincent et al., 1996), and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) scores (Marshall et al., 1995). We reported the associated parameters with the worst values as appropriate. The diagnostic criteria for organ failure were adopted (Bone et al., 1992). The criteria for discharge were two readings of normal body temperature taken on two consecutive days and negative results on testing of the samples from two consecutive pharyngeal or nasopharyngeal swabs.
The demographic characteristics (age, sex distribution), symptoms and signs, underlying illness, severity index, laboratory findings, and treatment courses were summarized. The clinical data of the survivors and the deaths were compared.
2.2. Ethics
As the study was retrospective, no informed consent was attained. This study was carried out in accordance with the Helsinki Declaration. Patient confidentiality was maintained by recording only date of birth and sex on the data-collection form.
2.3. Statistical analysis
Data are expressed as mean±standard deviation (SD), median, percentage, or frequency. Continuous variables in normal and non-normal distributions were compared using unpaired Student’s t-test and rank-sum test, respectively; categorical variables were compared using chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test, as appropriate; the remaining were summarized with informal descriptive analysis. A two-sided P value less than 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance. All analyses were carried out with SPSS software for Windows (release 16.0).
3. Results
3.1. Clinical characteristics of patients
The mean age of the subjects was (40.4±18.4) years (range 5–70 years) and 73.1% of them were male (Table 1). All subjects developed fever with a mean temperature of (38.6±0.7) °C (range 37.4–40.2 °C). Other most common symptoms were cough (92.3%), sputum production (88.5%), and dyspnea (46.2%). The less common symptoms included fatigue, sore throat, bloody sputum, diarrhea, conscious disturbance, rhinorrhea, headache, myalgia or arthralgia, and nasal congestion. Physical examination at admission found that 73.1% and 65.4% of the subjects had the signs of congestion of throat and swelling of tonsils, respectively.
Table 1.
Variable | Value |
Age (year) | 40.4±18.4 (5‒70)a |
Age group | |
≤14 years | 1 (3.8%)b |
15‒30 years | 6 (23.1%) |
31‒50 years | 9 (34.6%) |
51‒65 years | 8 (30.8%) |
>65 years | 2 (7.7%) |
Sex distribution | |
Male | 19 (73.1%) |
Female | 7 (26.9%) |
Symptom | |
Fever | 26 (100%) |
Temperature (°C) | 38.6±0.7 (37.4‒40.2) |
Cough | 24 (92.3%) |
Sputum production | 23 (88.5%) |
Dyspnea | 12 (46.2%)* |
Fatigue | 12 (46.2%) |
Sore throat | 8 (30.8%) |
Bloody sputum | 7 (26.9%) |
Diarrhea | 6 (23.1%) |
Conscious disturbance | 5 (19.2%)# |
Rhinorrhea | 5 (19.2%) |
Headache | 5 (19.2%) |
Myalgia, arthralgia | 6 (23.1%) |
Nasal congestion | 4 (15.4%) |
Sign | |
Congestion of throat | 19 (73.1%) |
Swelling of tonsils | 17 (65.4%) |
Data are expressed as mean±SD (range)
Data are expressed as n (%)
Eight patients died and four survived
Four patients died and one survived
In this series, 15 subjects (57.7%) had at least one documented coexisting medical condition, six (23.1%) had two, and four (15.4%) had three. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and diabetes occurred in 26.9% and 23.1% of the subjects, respectively. Other conditions included hypertension, asthma, pregnancy, bronchiectasis, chronic hepatitis B complicated by liver cirrhosis, human immunodificiency virus (HIV) infection, chronic kidney disease, rheumatic heart disease, and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) (details shown in Table 2).
Table 2.
Variable | Value |
Documented coexisting medical conditions | |
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 7 (26.9%)a |
Diabetes | 6 (23.1%) |
Hypertension | 2 (7.7%) |
Asthma | 2 (7.7%) |
Chronic hepatitis B | 2 (7.7%) |
Others* | 6 (23.1%) |
Outcomes (d) | |
Duration of fever | 7 (2‒16)b |
Interval of negative conversion of viral nucleic acid | 6 (3‒15) |
Disease course | 12 (6‒20) |
Length of hospital stay | 7 (1‒16) |
Mortality | 9 (34.6%) |
Data are expressed as n (%)
Data are expressed as mean (range)
Other underlying illnesses included pregnancy, bronchiectasis, human immunodeficiency virus infection, chronic kidney disease, rheumatic heart disease, and systemic lupus erythematosus
Detailed laboratory values collected within 24 h after admission are demonstrated in Table 3. Leukocytosis and mild lymphopenia occurred in 42.3% and 50.0% of the subjects, respectively. The levels of creatine kinase (CK), creatine kinase MB fraction (CK-MB), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), C-reactive protein (CRP), and CD4 T-lymphocyte were recorded. Abnormal alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ((62.9±49.0) U/L, range 5.0‒195.0 U/L) and total bilirubin ((32.9±100.1) μmol/L, range 3.7‒511.0 μmol/L) levels occurred in 42.3% (11/26) and 30.8% (8/26) of the subjects, respectively.
Table 3.
Variable | Value |
Leukocyte count (×109 L−1) | 11.5±8.8 (4.4‒39.6)a |
>10.0×109 L−1 | 11 (42.3%)b |
Lymphocyte count (×109 L−1) | 2.6±0.4 (0.4‒3.1) |
<1.5×109 L−1 in adults | 13 (50%) |
CD4 T-lymphocyte count (×109 L−1) | 349.8±363.3 (4.0‒1278.0) |
Creatine kinase (U/L) | 423.4±518.8 (26.0‒2232.0) |
>200 U/L | 12 (46.2%) |
Creatine kinase MB fraction (U/L) | 43.7±67.8 (8.0‒347.0) |
>25 U/L | 15 (57.7%) |
Lactate dehydrogenase (U/L) | 567.7±441.9 (182.0‒2342.0) |
Alanine aminotransferase (U/L) | 62.9±49.0 (5.0‒195.0) |
Total bilirubin (μmol/L) | 32.9±100.1 (3.7‒511.0) |
C-reactive protein (mg/L) | 119.2±86.9 (6.0‒325.2) |
>10 mg/L | 23 (88.5%) |
Data are expressed as mean±SD (range)
Data are expressed as n (%)
3.2. Outcomes
In this series, 17 (65.4%) subjects survived and 9 (34.6%) subjects died within 5 to 16 d after onset of the symptoms (Table 2). The median duration for viral nucleic acid from the onset to obtaining a negative test result of real-time RT-PCR was 6 d (range 3‒15 d). The median durations of fever, total disease course, and hospital stay were 7 d (range 2‒16 d), 12 d (range 6‒20 d), and 7 d (range 1‒16 d), respectively.
3.3. Clinical characteristics of the deaths
There were no significant differences between the deaths and the survivors regarding gender distribution, age, documented coexisting medical conditions, and laboratory findings (Table 4). After admission, 12 (46.2%) subjects developed dyspnea. Among them, eight (66.7%) subjects died and four (33.3%) survived with a significant difference. Four of five (80%) subjects with consciousness disturbance died (Table 1).
Table 4.
Variable | Value |
P | |
Survivor (n=17) | Death (n=9) | ||
Age (year) | 40.5±17.1a | 40.3±21.2 | NS |
Male | 14 (82.4%)b | 5 (55.6%) | NS |
No. of underlying diseases | 1.0±1.2 | 1.4±1.2 | NS |
APACHE II score | 14.3±6.6 | 23.8±10.1 | <0.05 |
MODS score | 3.3±1.7 | 7.4±2.5 | <0.05 |
SOFA score | 6.6±3.3 | 13.3±3.0 | <0.05 |
No. of organ failure | 2.3±1.4 | 3.9±1.4 | <0.05 |
Organ failure | |||
Pulmonary failure | 15 (88.2%) | 9 (100%) | NS |
Cardiovascular failure | 7 (41.2%) | 9 (100%) | <0.05 |
Renal failure | 2 (11.7%) | 5 (55.6%) | <0.05 |
Encephalopathy | 1 (5.9%) | 4 (44.4%) | <0.05 |
Hepatic failure | 1 (5.9%) | 3 (33.3%) | <0.05 |
Coagulopathy | 1 (5.9%) | 1 (11.1%) | NS |
Gastrointestinal failure | 3 (17.6%) | 2 (22.2%) | NS |
Secondary infection | 12 (70.6%) | 5 (55.6%) | NS |
Septic shock | 3 (17.6%) | 3 (33.3%) | <0.05 |
Invasive ventilation | 6 (35.3%) | 7 (77.8%) | <0.05 |
Corticosteroids | |||
Usage | 12 (70.6%) | 9 (100%) | <0.05 |
Dosage (mg/d) | 53.3±26.7 | 135.6±70.6 | <0.05 |
Course (d) | 4.0 (0‒6)c | 6.0 (1‒10) | <0.05 |
Data are expressed as mean±SD (range)
Data are expressed as n (%)
Data are expressed as median (range)
NS: no significance
We also compared the measurements between the deaths and survivors. We found that the former was higher than the latter regarding APACHE II scores (23.8±10.1 vs. 14.3±6.6, P<0.05), MODS scores (7.4±2.5 vs. 3.3±1.7, P<0.05), SOFA scores (13.3±3.0 vs. 6.6±3.3, P<0.05) (Table 4), with statistical significance. The former was also higher than the latter regarding incidence of respiratory failure (100% vs. 88.2%, P>0.05), gastrointestinal dysfunction (22.2% vs. 17.6%, P>0.05), and coagulopathy (11.1% vs. 5.9%, P>0.05), with no statistical significance. The former was higher than the latter regarding incidence of cardiovascular failure (100% vs. 41.2%, P<0.05), renal failure (55.6% vs. 11.7%, P<0.05), encephalopathy (44.4% vs. 5.9%, P<0.05), and hepatic failure (33.3% vs. 5.9%, P<0.05), with statistical significance. The use of invasive mechanic ventilation was significantly higher in the deaths than in the survivors (77.8% vs. 35.3%, P<0.05). The differences between the deaths and the survivors in use of corticosteroids (100% vs. 70.6%, P<0.05), their dosage (135.6±70.6 vs. 53.3±26.7, P<0.05), and duration of application (6.0 vs. 4.0, P<0.05) were statistically significant. Comparisons of other clinical features between the survivors and the deaths are summarized in Table 4.
4. Discussion
Since the spring of 2009, a novel influenza A (H1N1) virus emerged globally. On June 11, 2009, the WHO raised the pandemic alert level to phase VI, the highest level (Cao et al., 2009b; World Health Organization, 2009c). At least 3 205 of 277 607 documented patients died in the world (Dawood et al., 2009; World Health Organization, 2009b). It is necessary for clinicians to identify the high-risk patients at the early stage. In this case series, we report demographic features, and reveal the risk factors for critical illness.
In the previous studies, many hospitalized patients during the peak periods of the seasonal influenza were usually younger than 2 years of age or older than 65 years of age and associated with certain coexisting medical conditions (Thompson et al., 2004; Fiore et al., 2008). The epidemiological characteristics show that the mean age of our series is 40.4 years. Only one subject was 5 years of age and two were older than 65 years of age. The reported underlying medical conditions associated with the seasonal influenza included diabetes, cardiovascular, neurologic, and pulmonary diseases such as asthma (Schrag et al., 2006; Harper et al., 2009). In this study, 57.7% of the subjects had at least one or more documented coexisting medical conditions. The incidence of the conditions is higher than those reported previously (Tomizuka et al., 2010). The most common coexisting medical conditions were COPD, diabetes, hypertension, and asthma.
A wide clinical spectrum of symptoms in patients with H1N1 was indicated. Fever occurs in all patients and the temperature is usually at or above 38.6 °C. Cough (92.3%), sputum production (88.5%), and dyspnea (46.2%) were the most common symptoms. Additionally, some patients experienced fatigue, sore throat, bloody sputum, diarrhea, conscious disturbance, rhinorrhea, headache, myalgia or arthralgia, and nasal congestion. On admission, the patients were characterized by leukocytosis, mild lymphopenia (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009e), and elevated levels of CK, CK-MB, LDH, CRP, ALT, and total bilirubin (Mu et al., 2010; Xi et al., 2010). The median interval of a negative test result of real-time RT-PCR was 6 d, which is consistent with the data reported by Cao et al. (2009a).
The mortality of this series (34.6%) is lower than that of Mexico (41.4%) (Domínguez-Cherit et al., 2009), but higher than that of California (11.0%) (Louie et al., 2009). Thompson et al. (2003) reported that influenza-related deaths occur in the old patients, but the deaths in our subjects had a median age of 40 years. The median time from symptom onset to death was 13 d, indicating that the disease progresses rapidly. In the previous study, 13.9% of the deaths were healthy, and high prevalence of co-morbidities was also not found in this study. There was no statistical significance in the gender distribution or in the laboratory findings. We found that eight of twelve patients with dyspnea died and four of five patients with consciousness disturbance also died. We believe that dyspnea and consciousness disturbance indicate a critical status and are associated with death. In the deaths, the severity index (APACHE II, SOFA, and MODS scores) and incidence rate of organ (the heart, kidney, encephalopathy, and liver) failure were significantly higher, associated with a severe episode of the disease. The more severe degree of disease in the cases of death resulted in a more complex treatment course. The use rate, dosage, and duration of corticosteroids are significantly higher in the deaths than in the survivors. As application of corticosteroids is associated with a trend of higher hospital mortality, routinely systemic application is not encouraged in our study unless the application was indicated for the respiratory failure (World Health Organization, 2010; Xi et al., 2010). Tamiflu (oseltamivir phosphate, Roche) was given to all patients as soon as possible in this study. Although there are no adequate data from a randomized trial, controlled trials have been performed for comparison among the antiviral medicines against the influenza. Application of oseltamivir is strongly recommended by the WHO, as the drug is especially important for the patients with underlying risk factors and severe or progressive infection of pandemic H1N1 2009 (Bautista et al., 2010; Smith et al., 2010).
Pregnant women are at risk of both influenza and its complications, which can particularly increase the mortality (Rasmussen et al., 2008; Jamieson et al., 2009). In this study, there was a 24-year-old pregnant woman with the underlying disease of rheumatic heart disease. She developed MODS, severe pneumonia, and septic shock. She died 9 d after onset of the symptoms. Descriptions of California and the United States have showed a substantial mortality rate of 8% among the pregnant women with severe 2009 H1N1 infection (Louie et al., 2010). The maternal mortality rate was 11% in the intensive care units in Australia and New Zealand, which was higher than those of patients with any other obstetric conditions (The ANZIC Influenza Investigators and Australasian Maternity Outcomes Surveillance System, 2010).
In this series, a subject with HIV was H1N1 infected. The subject’s clinical course was complex due to having associated respiratory failure and pneumonia, severe leukopenia, and thrombocytopenia. These complications were relived after application of Tamiflu (150 mg twice daily), glucocorticoid (80 mg/d for 2 d), and non-invasive respirator. The similar case was previously reported by Iwata et al. (2010).
This study has potential limitations. First, as a retrospective study, collection of accurate data regarding the symptoms, signs, and patient’s history at follow-up was not readily available. Second, when a negative result of real-time RT-PCR testing was indicated, the patient could be transferred to the community hospital or discharged home. Thus, the patient could have had a short hospital stay. Third, the study included all patients hospitalized with critical illness, minimizing the effect of selective triaging of critically ill patients and minimizing the potential for overrepresentation of patients with certain characteristics or severity of illness. Larger samples of multicenter studies should be studied in the future.
Despite these limitations, data in this study could represent the typical features of the disease in this region, and could provide clinical experience in the treatment of H1N1 infection, as the majority of the confirmed cases with H1N1 infection in Chengdu were treated in the two hospitals. The strengths of this study include confirmation by standardized real-time RT-PCR criteria and relatively little missing data.
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