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The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition logoLink to The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition
. 2012 Jan 25;95(3):713–725. doi: 10.3945/ajcn.111.014415

Carotenoid intakes and risk of breast cancer defined by estrogen receptor and progesterone receptor status: a pooled analysis of 18 prospective cohort studies123

Xuehong Zhang , Donna Spiegelman, Laura Baglietto, Leslie Bernstein, Deborah A Boggs, Piet A van den Brandt, Julie E Buring, Susan M Gapstur, Graham G Giles, Edward Giovannucci, Gary Goodman, Susan E Hankinson, Kathy J Helzlsouer, Pamela L Horn-Ross, Manami Inoue, Seungyoun Jung, Polyna Khudyakov, Susanna C Larsson, Marie Lof, Marjorie L McCullough, Anthony B Miller, Marian L Neuhouser, Julie R Palmer, Yikyung Park, Kim Robien, Thomas E Rohan, Julie A Ross, Leo J Schouten, James M Shikany, Shoichiro Tsugane, Kala Visvanathan, Elisabete Weiderpass, Alicja Wolk, Walter C Willett, Shumin M Zhang, Regina G Ziegler, Stephanie A Smith-Warner
PMCID: PMC3278246  PMID: 22277553

Abstract

Background: Epidemiologic studies examining associations between carotenoid intakes and risk of breast cancer by estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PR) status are limited.

Objective: We investigated these associations in a pooled analysis of 18 cohort studies.

Design: Of 1,028,438 participants followed for a maximum follow-up of 26 y across studies, 33,380 incident invasive breast cancers were identified. Study-specific RRs and 95% CIs were estimated by using Cox proportional hazards regression and then pooled by using a random-effects model.

Results: α-Carotene, β-carotene, and lutein/zeaxanthin intakes were inversely associated with the risk of ER-negative (ER−) breast cancer (pooled multivariable RRs of the comparison between the highest and lowest quintiles): α-carotene (0.87; 95% CI: 0.78, 0.97), β-carotene (0.84; 95% CI: 0.77, 0.93), and lutein/zeaxanthin (0.87; 95% CI: 0.79, 0.95). These variables were not inversely associated with the risk of ER-positive (ER+) breast cancer (pooled multivariable RRs for the same comparison): α-carotene (1.04; 95% CI: 0.99, 1.09), β-carotene (1.04; 95% CI: 0.98, 1.10), and lutein/zeaxanthin (1.00; 95% CI: 0.93, 1.07). Although the pooled RRs for quintile 5 for β-cryptoxanthin were not significant, inverse trends were observed for ER− and ER+ breast cancer (P-trend ≤ 0.05). Nonsignificant associations were observed for lycopene intake. The associations were largely not appreciably modified by several breast cancer risk factors. Nonsignificant associations were observed for PR-positive and PR-negative breast cancer.

Conclusions: Intakes of α-carotene, β-carotene, and lutein/zeaxanthin were inversely associated with risk of ER−, but not ER+, breast cancer. However, the results need to be interpreted with caution because it is unclear whether the observed association is real or due to other constituents in the same food sources.

INTRODUCTION

Carotenoids are fat-soluble pigments present in red, yellow, orange, and dark-green fruit and vegetables. More than 600 carotenoids occur in nature, with the most commonly studied carotenoids being α-carotene, β-carotene, β-cryptoxanthin, lutein, zeaxanthin, and lycopene because of their abundance in the diet and comparatively high concentrations in plasma (1). Carotenoids have been hypothesized to protect against carcinogenesis (2) by inhibiting the ability of reactive oxygen species to induce DNA damage—a crucial step in carcinogenesis and neoplastic transformation (35). In addition, provitamin A carotenoids (including α-carotene, β-carotene, and β-cryptoxanthin) can be metabolized to retinol, which is important for the control of cellular differentiation and proliferation and immunologic functions (6). Other specific mechanisms have been identified for some carotenoids. For example, lutein/zeaxanthin might reduce cell proliferation and β-carotene (7), and lycopene might inhibit estrogen receptor–mediated signaling of 17β-estradiol and attenuate its deleterious effect on breast cancer (7).

Epidemiologic evidence from ∼50 case-control studies and 15 cohort studies examining the associations between carotenoid intakes and overall breast cancer risk has been inconsistent (8). The mixed results may be due in part to the fact that most epidemiologic studies have viewed breast cancer as a single disease. Indeed, breast cancer defined by hormone receptor status appears to be etiologically and clinically heterogeneous (913). ER4 and PR status are commonly used to define breast cancer subtypes, and the majority of early studies focused on only ER status (10). Because mechanisms independent of steroid hormones might play a more important role in ER− breast cancer (913), we hypothesized that carotenoid intakes might reduce risk of ER− breast cancer but not ER+ breast cancer, which is mainly influenced by hormones. We tested this hypothesis by examining the associations between intakes of specific carotenoids and risk of ER− breast cancer in the Pooling Project of Prospective Studies of Diet and Cancer (14)—an international consortium including >1 million women. We conducted secondary analyses by PR status or jointly by ER and PR status because these associations have received little attention to date (1517).

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Study population

For these analyses, we included 18 prospective cohort studies (1835) that met the following inclusion criteria: ascertainment of ≥25 incident cases of invasive ER− breast cancer and ≥25 cases of invasive PR− breast cancer; publication of at least one diet and cancer analysis; assessment of long-term dietary intake, including intake of the 5 major dietary carotenoids; and evaluation of the validity of the dietary assessment method or a closely related instrument. Each included study was approved by the institutional review boards of the participating institutions.

Ascertainment of breast cancer cases

Incident invasive breast cancer cases were identified in each study through follow-up questionnaires and confirmed with subsequent medical record review (22, 31, 33), linkage with cancer registries (20, 21, 23, 24, 27, 28, 32, 3436), or both (19, 25, 26, 29, 30). Mortality registries were also used in some studies to ascertain additional cases (19, 20, 22, 25, 26, 29, 33, 35). Follow-up rates exceeded 90% for 16 of 18 current studies (14, 3742) included in this analysis and is ≥80% for all studies (3744). We used the receptor status data from each study to define breast cancer subtypes by ER/PR status. We classified the cases with borderline ER/PR status as being positive for that receptor. The overall proportion of missing of ER/PR status was ∼27% in this study.

Dietary and nondietary assessment

Each study assessed usual dietary intake by using a self-administered FFQ and calculated daily consumption of each of the major carotenoids (α-carotene, β-carotene, β-cryptoxanthin, lutein/zeaxanthin, and lycopene; food sources only). Lutein and zeaxanthin were analyzed together because most food-composition databases report only a combined value for them (1, 45, 46) because of laboratory difficulties in separating them. We calculated daily energy-adjusted carotenoid intakes by using the residual method (47). Total carotenoid intake was calculated by summing the intakes of the 5 specific carotenoids in each study. We also calculated a total carotenoid score. For the score, intake of each of the 5 carotenoids was categorized into quintiles (1 = lowest quintile, 5 = highest quintile) and then the quintile scores for the 5 carotenoids were summed for each participant. The total carotenoid score ranged from 5 to 25 across participants.

Although the food intake estimates from the FFQ used in each study or a closely related instrument were compared with intakes estimated from multiple 24-h recalls or days of diet records, only a few of the calibration studies assessed intakes of specific carotenoids (34, 4851). The correlation coefficients between β-carotene or carotene intakes estimated by the FFQ and comparison method ranged from 0.30 to 0.60 (34). The correlation coefficients between dietary intake estimated from the FFQ and plasma concentrations for the 5 major carotenoids ranged from 0.21 for lycopene to 0.48 for α-carotene among nonsmokers in the Nurses’ Health Study (48) and ranged from 0.28 for lycopene to 0.46 for β-cryptoxanthin in the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study (51).

β-Cryptoxanthin intake is positively correlated with dietary vitamin C intake (correlation coefficients ranged from 0.6 to 0.9 across studies) because both are concentrated in citrus fruit and fruit juices (45, 46). Correlations comparing vitamin C intake estimates from the FFQs with those from multiple 24-h recalls or diet records might serve as a reasonable surrogate of the validity of β-cryptoxanthin intake. The correlation coefficient between the FFQs used in these studies or closely related instruments and multiple days of dietary records or 24-h recalls ranged from 0.3 to 0.8 for vitamin C intake (18, 20, 35, 53, 54). Information on nondietary factors was also collected by each study by using self-administered questionnaires at baseline.

Statistical analyses

After applying the study-specific exclusion criteria, we further excluded participants with a history of cancer at baseline (except for nonmelanoma skin cancer) and who reported energy intakes >3 SDs from their study-specific loge-transformed mean energy intake. We analyzed the Netherlands Cohort Study as a case-cohort study, because dietary questionnaires were processed for only the cases and a random sample of the total cohort (55). We analyzed the Nurses’ Health Study as 2 different cohorts [1980–1986, Nurses’ Health Study (a); 1986–2006, Nurses’ Health Study (b)] to take advantage of the more detailed dietary assessment available in 1986. These 2 blocks of person time, obtained from the same participants, are asymptotically uncorrelated according to the underlying theory of survival analysis (56), given that each person contributed only one outcome event and was then censored (ie, a woman who developed breast cancer in the 1980–1986 period would not be included in the 1986–2000 period).

We used Cox proportional hazards regression (57) to estimate study-specific RRs and 95% CIs. We calculated person-years of follow-up from the date of questionnaire return to the date of diagnosis of incident invasive breast cancer, death, loss to follow-up (if applicable), or end of follow-up, whichever came first. We modeled age at baseline (in y) and year of questionnaire return as stratification variables to adjust simultaneously for age, calendar time, and time since entry into the study (14). In the multivariable analyses, we controlled for the following breast cancer risk factors: race-ethnicity, family history of breast cancer, personal history of benign breast disease, education, physical activity, BMI, height, age at menarche, age at first birth, parity, smoking habits, alcohol consumption, total energy intake, use of oral contraceptives, menopausal status at baseline, and postmenopausal hormone use among postmenopausal women. For each measured confounding variable in a study, we created a missing indicator variable for missing data because the proportion of missing data in the Pooling Project is generally low (14). We either adjusted for the abovementioned covariates directly in the model or we adjusted for confounders by using the propensity score method (5860) when the number of cases of the outcome evaluated within a study was <200.

We pooled the study-specific RRs weighted by the inverse of their variances by using a random-effects model (61, 62) and tested for between-studies heterogeneity using the Q statistic (62, 73). All statistical analyses were 2-sided with a P value of 0.05 indicating significance. We conducted all analyses by using the SAS software (version 9; SAS Institute Inc).

We conducted separate analyses for each carotenoid by using study-specific quintiles. The study-specific quintile cutoffs were based on the distributions in the subcohort in the case-cohort study and based on the baseline cohort distributions for the remaining studies. To calculate the P value for the test for trend across categories, we used the median value for each intake category and modeled that variable as a continuous term. We tested for nonlinearity in the breast cancer association for each carotenoid by using restricted cubic splines (64, 65). In these analyses, we combined all studies into one data set, stratified by study, age, and year of questionnaire return and adjusted for the abovementioned confounding variables. We used a likelihood ratio test to compare the model including the linear and cubic spline terms selected by a stepwise regression procedure with the model including only the linear term for the carotenoid of interest. If the assumption of linearity held for the association between intake of a specific carotenoid and breast cancer risk, we further analyzed that carotenoid as a continuous variable.

We evaluated whether the observed association between intake of each carotenoid and breast cancer risk was modified by menopausal status at diagnosis (66) (premenopausal, postmenopausal), family history of breast cancer (yes, no), BMI (in kg/m2; <25, ≥25), multivitamin use (yes, no), alcohol consumption (nondrinker, 1 to <15 g/d, ≥15 g/d), smoking status (never, past, current), approximate median age at diagnosis (<64 y, ≥64 y), and follow-up period (<5 y, ≥5 y) by using a mixed-effects meta-regression model (67). We used a contrast test (68) to examine whether the associations were differed significantly for subtypes of breast cancer defined by receptor status (ER− compared with ER+, PR− compared with PR+, and across the 4 subtypes jointly defined by ER/PR status).

We conducted further analyses to investigate the potential influence of measurement error on the associations between α-carotene, β-carotene, β-cryptoxanthin, and lutein/zeaxanthin intakes and risk of ER− breast cancer. The method of Hamling et al (69) was used to obtain the expected cell counts of the 2 × 2 tables for the extreme quintile contrast after controlling for confounding, which produced RRs and 95% CIs matching those of the original study-specific multivariate analyses. These 2 × 2 tables were then adjusted for estimates of measurement error in intake by the matrix method of Barron (70), and the 95% CIs were obtained to account for both the variance of the multivariate RRs obtained in the main study and the estimation of the misclassification probability in the study-specific validation study (71). Because few studies measured intake of the individual carotenoids in their validation studies, the misclassification matrix for total carotene intake was used as the best estimate of the expected misclassification in α-carotene, β-carotene, and lutein/zeaxanthin intakes; dietary vitamin C intake was used to approximate the measurement error in β-cryptoxanthin intake. When carotene or dietary vitamin C intake was not assessed in the validation study for a study, we used the misclassification matrix from a similar FFQ; when this was not possible, the pooled misclassification matrix from the other validation studies was used. In some studies, the misclassification matrix produced one or more negative cell counts; when this occurred, we adjusted the misclassification matrix by the power transformation closest to but less than 1 (72). One validation study required an additional adjustment before the power transformation was taken (73).

RESULTS

During 7–26 y of follow-up of 1,028,438 participants in the 18 prospective cohort studies, 33,380 incident invasive breast cancer cases were identified with 7–26 y of follow-up in these 18 prospective cohort studies. More hormone receptor–positive breast cancer cases than hormone receptor–negative breast cancer cases were identified (19,282 ER+ compared with 4643 ER− breast cancers; 15,696 PR+ compared with 7203 PR− breast cancers; Table 1). Grouping the cases by ER and PR status, 14,849 were ER+ PR+, 3311 were ER+ PR−, 640 were ER− PR+, and 3774 were ER− PR−.

TABLE 1.

Characteristics of the cohort studies included in the pooled analysis of dietary carotenoid intakes and risk of breast cancer characterized by ER and PR status in the Pooling Project of Prospective Studies of Diet and Cancer1

Mean follow-up time Number of cases
Median (10th, 90th percentile) dietary carotenoid intake
Study (abbreviation) Baseline cohort size2 Baseline age range Total ER+ ER− PR+ PR− α-Carotene β-Carotene β-Cryptoxanthin Lutein/zeaxanthin Lycopene
n y y μg/d
Beta-Carotene and Retinol Efficacy Trial (CARET) 6000 45–69 11.6 367 193 31 163 48 510 (155, 1513) 2649 (1187, 6138) 82 (30, 207) 1375 (714, 2974) 4608 (1918, 9661)
Black Women's Health Study (BWHS) 52,576 21–69 11.5 670 416 254 326 331 417 (92, 1555) 2772 (936, 7393) 120 (34, 289) 1711 (595, 5018) 2964 (1161, 7142)
Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project Follow-up Study (BCDDP) 42,061 40–93 8.4 1305 793 166 667 270 370 (96, 1125) 2621 (1110, 6377) 79 (10, 198) 1708 (607, 5610) 1134 (242, 3176)
California Teachers Study (CTS) 100,067 22–104 7.6 2696 1930 343 1544 625 369 (105, 1090) 1862 (869, 3971) 75 (19, 218) 1070 (451, 2432) 1883 (834, 3685)
Cancer Prevention Study II Nutrition Cohort (CPSII) 74,138 50–74 9.3 2999 1835 323 1483 561 287 (90, 799) 2202 (968, 4807) 67 (9, 152) 1359 (446, 3903) 3748 (1422, 8203)
Canadian National Breast Screening Study (CNBSS) 45,185 40–59 16.3 1240 367 125 309 140 769 (274, 1875) 4153 (2254, 8002) 69 (16, 153) 2246 (1007, 5630) 6433 (1776, 17,875)
CLUE II: Campaign Against Cancer and Heart Disease (CLUE II) 8867 18–93 14.9 306 208 56 176 86 209 (47, 639) 1733 (660, 3971) 39 (4, 138) 1114 (300, 3505) 879 (230, 2344)
Iowa Women's Health Study (IWHS) 34,584 55–69 15.9 1849 1329 238 1117 388 486 (225, 1611) 3828 (1793, 7972) 56 (11, 156) 2206 (909, 5024) 3324 (1168, 7850)
Japan Public Health Center–based Study Cohort I (JPHC1) 21,609 40–59 13.7 289 111 69 87 82 279 (122, 570) 2168 (1140, 3634) 502 (183, 892) 3 854 (370, 5557)
Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study (MCCS) 22,456 31–75 13.2 799 493 171 420 240 1012 (372, 1928) 4621 (2490, 7644) 293 (88, 660) 1478 (750, 2587) 5583 (2329, 11,055)
Netherlands Cohort Study (NLCS) 62,573 55–69 13.2 2013 700 183 361 199 543 (181, 1274) 2554 (1442, 4643) 169 (25, 460) 2229 (1327, 3749) 886 (185, 2312)
NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study (AARP) 200,758 50–71 7.1 5983 2321 465 1916 787 654 (226, 2259) 3584 (1518, 9230) 167 (52, 389) 2403 (1182, 6073) 5366 (2464, 11486)
Nurses’ Health Study (a) (NHSa) 88,618 34–59 6.3 1122 528 255 389 304 531 (236, 1697) 3579 (1542, 8951) 237 (80, 442) 3012 (1384, 11051) 1131 (234, 3101)
Nurses’ Health Study (b) (NHSb)4 68,394 40–69 18.2 4467 3075 757 2475 1276 586 (207, 1417) 3563 (1792, 6793) 165 (64, 317) 2548 (1167, 4961) 5775 (2900, 11,464)
Nurses’ Health Study II (NHSII) 93,778 27–44 11.7 1331 846 303 765 369 506 (135, 1294) 2863 (1250, 5896) 100 (40, 223) 2061 (856, 4397) 5435 (2930, 11<217)
Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (PLCO) 28,292 55–74 9.1 1090 858 137 758 227 1040 (455, 2201) 4293 (2266, 7999) 160 (63, 314) 2372 (1422, 4295) 7903 (4207, 14<243)
Swedish Mammography Cohort (SMC) 60,950 40–74 15.2 2605 1605 384 1308 673 542 (113, 1640) 2289 (937, 5292) 239 (21, 936) 1145 (561, 1960) 820 (136, 2258)
Women's Health Study (WHS) 38,385 45–89 9.7 1177 937 187 819 288 590 (183, 1577) 3557 (1682, 7065) 44 (9, 133) 2869 (1107, 6272) 7111 (3078, 15<485)
Women's Lifestyle and Health Study (WLHS) 47,514 30–49 14.9 1072 737 196 613 309 402 (98, 1494) 1676 (655, 4554) 108 (20, 344) 1042 (238, 2672) 706 (129, 1785)
Total 1,028,438 33,380 19,282 4643 15,696 7203
1

ER, estrogen receptor; ER+, estrogen receptor positive; ER−, estrogen receptor negative; PR, progesterone receptor; PR+, progesterone receptor positive; PR−, progesterone receptor negative.

2

Cohort size reflects the size after application of study-specific exclusion criteria and further exclusion of participants with energy intakes >3 SDs of their loge-transformed study-specific mean energy intake and history of cancer diagnosis at baseline (except for nonmelanoma skin cancer); the Netherlands Cohort Study was analyzed as a case-cohort study, and the above exclusions were not applied to its baseline cohort size.

3

Intake was not assessed, and the Japan Public Health Center–based Study was excluded from the analysis on lutein/zeaxanthin.

4

We analyzed the Nurses’ Health Study as 2 different cohorts [1980–1986, Nurses’ Health Study (a); 1986–2006, Nurses’ Health Study (b)]; The Nurses’ Health Study (b) was not included in the total cohort size because these participants were included in the Nurses’ Health Study (a).

Large variability in carotenoid intake was observed across studies, with the range in the median intakes of the carotenoids varying from ∼3-fold (β-carotene) to 13-fold (β-cryptoxanthin) across studies (Table 1). The Pearson correlation coefficients comparing intakes of the 5 major carotenoids with one another ranged from ∼0.2–0.8 across studies, with the highest correlations generally being observed between α-carotene and β-carotene intakes (r > 0.5) and relatively lower correlations generally being observed for intake of other carotenoids (r < 0.3).

Because the age-adjusted results were similar to the multivariable-adjusted results, we present only the multivariable results. Of the 5 carotenoids evaluated, a significant association with risk of overall breast cancer was observed for only β-cryptoxanthin intake, and that association was relatively weak (pooled multivariable RR comparing the highest with lowest quintile = 0.95; 95% CI: 0.92, 0.99; P-trend = 0.01). For the remaining carotenoids, the pooled multivariable RRs comparing the highest with lowest quintile ranged from 0.98 to 1.00 (Table 2). For each carotenoid, the test for between-studies heterogeneity for the extreme quintile contrast was not significant (between-studies heterogeneity test, P ≥ 0.05 for all; data not shown). We also conducted analyses in which we modeled intake of each carotenoid as a continuous variable, because no nonlinearity was evident in the associations between intakes of each carotenoid and risk of overall breast cancer (test for nonlinearity, P > 0.10). The results were largely not significant (Table 2).

TABLE 2.

Pooled multivariate RRs (95% CIs) of breast cancer for dietary carotenoid intakes by ER and PR status in the Pooling Project of Prospective Studies of Diet and Cancer1

RR (95% CI)
Continuous3
Carotenoids Quintile 1 Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5 P-trend2 RR (95% CI) P (test for between-studies heterogeneity)4 P (test for common effects by hormone receptor status)5
α-Carotene
 Overall 1 0.97 (0.94, 1.01) 0.99 (0.95, 1.02) 0.97 (0.93, 1.01) 0.98 (0.94, 1.01) 0.49 0.99 (0.98, 1.01) 0.98
 ER+ 1 1.00 (0.95, 1.05) 1.03 (0.98, 1.08) 1.01 (0.97, 1.06) 1.04 (0.99, 1.09) 0.06 1.01 (0.99, 1.03) 0.87
 ER− 1 0.92 (0.82, 1.02) 0.89 (0.78, 1.02) 0.90 (0.81, 0.99) 0.87 (0.78, 0.97) 0.02 0.95 (0.90, 1.01) 0.20 0.046
 PR+ 1 0.98 (0.93, 1.03) 1.03 (0.97, 1.09) 1.00 (0.95, 1.05) 1.00 (0.95, 1.05) 0.76 1.00 (0.98, 1.03) 0.62
 PR− 1 1.00 (0.93, 1.08) 0.98 (0.90, 1.06) 0.96 (0.89, 1.04) 0.97 (0.88, 1.07) 0.67 0.99 (0.94, 1.04) 0.06 0.547
β-Carotene
 Overall 1 1.01 (0.96, 1.06) 1.01 (0.96, 1.06) 1.01 (0.96, 1.05) 1.00 (0.97, 1.04) 0.88 1.00 (0.98, 1.02) 0.93
 ER+ 1 1.03 (0.98, 1.09) 1.04 (0.98, 1.09) 1.04 (0.97, 1.10) 1.04 (0.98, 1.10) 0.22 1.02 (0.99, 1.05) 0.75
 ER− 1 0.92 (0.84, 1.01) 0.92 (0.83, 1.03) 0.90 (0.80, 1.00) 0.84 (0.77, 0.93) 0.001 0.93 (0.88, 0.99) 0.45 0.016
 PR+ 1 1.02 (0.96, 1.10) 1.03 (0.96, 1.09) 1.01 (0.95, 1.08) 1.01 (0.96, 1.07) 0.91 1.00 (0.97, 1.04) 0.40
 PR− 1 0.98 (0.91, 1.06) 0.97 (0.90, 1.04) 0.99 (0.91, 1.07) 0.94 (0.87, 1.02) 0.22 0.97 (0.91, 1.03) 0.11 0.337
β-Cryptoxanthin
 Overall 1 0.97 (0.93, 1.01) 0.98 (0.94, 1.02) 1.00 (0.95, 1.04) 0.95 (0.91, 0.99) 0.01 0.99 (0.97, 1.00) 0.50
 ER+ 1 0.98 (0.93, 1.03) 0.99 (0.95, 1.05) 1.01 (0.96, 1.05) 0.96 (0.92, 1.00) 0.05 0.99 (0.97, 1.00) 0.66
 ER− 1 0.97 (0.88, 1.08) 0.94 (0.84, 1.05) 0.97 (0.87, 1.08) 0.90 (0.81, 1.00) 0.02 0.97 (0.93, 1.00) 0.84 0.316
 PR+ 1 0.98 (0.93, 1.03) 0.99 (0.93, 1.05) 0.99 (0.93, 1.04) 0.96 (0.91, 1.01) 0.14 1.00 (0.97, 1.03) 0.19
 PR− 1 0.95 (0.86, 1.05) 0.98 (0.91, 1.06) 0.99 (0.90, 1.10) 0.93 (0.83, 1.04) 0.09 0.96 (0.92, 1.00) 0.35 0.127
Lutein/zeaxanthin
 Overall 1 1.00 (0.95, 1.04) 1.01 (0.97, 1.04) 1.01 (0.97, 1.05) 0.98 (0.93, 1.02) 0.45 1.00 (0.99, 1.02) 0.49
 ER+ 1 1.01 (0.96, 1.07) 1.05 (1.00, 1.10) 1.04 (0.97, 1.11) 1.00 (0.93, 1.08) 0.80 1.01 (0.98, 1.04) 0.18
 ER− 1 0.95 (0.87, 1.04) 0.89 (0.81, 0.97) 0.89 (0.80, 1.00) 0.87 (0.79, 0.95) 0.03 0.95 (0.91, 1.00) 0.92 0.026
 PR+ 1 0.99 (0.92, 1.08) 1.04 (0.99, 1.10) 1.02 (0.95, 1.08) 0.97 (0.90, 1.05) 0.34 1.00 (0.97, 1.03) 0.26
 PR− 1 1.01 (0.93, 1.08) 0.95 (0.87, 1.02) 0.98 (0.89, 1.06) 0.97 (0.90, 1.06) 0.65 0.99 (0.96, 1.03) 0.66 0.677
Lycopene
 Overall 1 0.99 (0.95, 1.03) 0.99 (0.97, 1.03) 0.99 (0.95, 1.03) 0.99 (0.96, 1.03) 0.73 1.00 (0.99, 1.02) 0.90
 ER+ 1 0.99 (0.93, 1.04) 1.01 (0.96, 1.06) 1.00 (0.95, 1.05) 0.99 (0.94, 1.04) 0.64 1.01 (0.99, 1.03) 0.96
 ER− 1 0.95 (0.87, 1.04) 0.94 (0.84, 1.03) 0.92 (0.85, 1.02) 0.92 (0.83, 1.02) 0.23 0.98 (0.93, 1.03) 0.28 0.316
 PR+ 1 0.99 (0.93, 1.05) 1.01 (0.95, 1.07) 1.01 (0.95, 1.08) 0.99 (0.92, 1.07) 0.81 0.99 (0.97, 1.02) 0.86
 PR− 1 0.96 (0.88, 1.03) 0.94 (0.89, 1.03) 0.95 (0.87, 1.01) 0.96 (0.88, 1.05) 0.78 1.02 (0.98, 1.05) 0.50 0.387
1

Adjusted for ethnicity (white, African American, Hispanic, Asian, other), family history of breast cancer (yes, no), personal history of benign breast disease (yes, no), alcohol consumption (nondrinkers; >0 to <5, 5 to <15, 15 to <30, or ≥30 g/d), smoking status (never, past, current), education (<high school, high school, >high school), physical activity (low, medium, high), age at menarche (<11, 11–12, 13–14, ≥15 y), BMI (in kg/m2; <23, 23 to <25, 25 to <30, ≥30), height (<1.60, 1.60 to <1.65, 1.65 to <1.70, 1.70 to <1.75, ≥1.75 m), oral contraceptive use (never, ever), menopausal status (premenopausal, postmenopausal, never user of hormone replacement therapy, past user of hormone replacement therapy, current user of hormone replacement therapy), energy intake (kcal/d, continuous), combination between parity (0, 1–2, ≥3), and age of first birth (≤25, >25 y); age in years and year of questionnaire return were included as stratification variables. The study-specific intakes for each carotenoid for quintile 1 and quintile 5 are shown in Table 1 as 10th and 90th percentiles. ER, estrogen receptor; ER+, estrogen receptor positive; ER−, estrogen receptor negative; PR, progesterone receptor; PR+, progesterone receptor positive; PR−, progesterone receptor negative.

2

Calculated by using the Wald test statistic.

3

The incremental units were based on the median of the difference between the 90th and 10th percentile intakes of each carotenoid across studies. The increments are 1200 μg/d for α-carotene, 5000 μg/d for β-carotene, 200 μg/d for β-cryptoxanthin, 3500 μg/d for lutein/zeaxanthin, and 6000 μg/d for lycopene. There is ∼1200 μg α-carotene in two-fifths of a carrot, 5000 μg β-carotene in two-thirds of a carrot, 200 μg β-cryptoxanthin in 2 oranges, 3500 μg lutein/zeaxanthin in 1.5 cups (250 g) broccoli, and 6000 μg lycopene in 1.5 oz (43 g) tomato sauce.

4

Calculated by using the Q test statistic.

5

Calculated by using a contrast test.

6

P value for test for differences between ER− and ER+ subtypes.

7

P value for test for differences between PR− and PR+ subtypes.

When we examined ER+ and ER− breast cancers separately, for α-carotene, β-carotene, and lutein/zeaxanthin intakes, the risk of ER− breast cancer was 13–16% lower for comparisons of the highest compared with the lowest quintiles, whereas null associations were observed for ER+ breast cancer (Table 2). Although the pooled RRs for quintile 5 for β-cryptoxanthin were borderline significant, inverse trends were observed for both ER− and ER+ breast cancer (P-trend ≤ 0.05). Total carotenoid intake was inversely associated with the risk of ER− breast cancer (pooled multivariable RR comparing the highest with lowest quintile: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.78, 0.94) but not with the risk of ER+ breast cancer (pooled multivariable RR for the same comparison: 1.03; 95% CI: 0.99, 1.08). Results were similar for the total carotenoid score derived by summing the quintile scores for each carotenoid (data not shown). Comparison of the highest with the lowest decile showed that the associations for ER− and ER+ breast cancer were similar in magnitude to those presented in Table 2 for the quintile analyses.

Because the tests for nonlinearity of the associations between intakes of the specific carotenoids and risk of ER− and ER+ breast cancers were not significant (test for nonlinearity, P > 0.05 for all), we conducted additional analyses in which carotenoid intakes were modeled as continuous variables. The pooled multivariable RRs for the 5 major carotenoids ranged from 0.93 to 1.01 for an increment based on the approximate median difference between the study-specific 90th percentile and 10th percentile in intake (Table 2). As observed in the quintile analyses, there was a weak inverse association for β-carotene and lutein/zeaxanthin intakes with risk of ER− but not ER+ breast cancer (test for common effects by ER status, P < 0.05). Nonsignificant associations were observed for α-carotene, β-cryptoxanthin, and lycopene intakes for ER− and ER+ breast cancers. Further analysis restricted to whites yielded similar results (data not shown). Results were not significant for African Americans (304 ER− cases and 522 ER+ cases from 3 cohorts in our study). Despite the relatively smaller number of cases, associations of similar magnitude were observed for β-carotene and ER− breast cancer both in whites (pooled multivariable RR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.86, 1.00) and in African Americans (pooled multivariable RR: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.71, 1.11). The results for each carotenoid did not change materially after mutual adjustment of the 5 carotenoids (data not shown). In addition, results were essentially unchanged when we further adjusted for dietary folate and vitamin C intakes. Moreover, results on lycopene intake were similar when we restricted our analyses to studies in which consumption of tomato sauce or tomato products (for which the lycopene is more bioavailable) was assessed.

None of the carotenoids were significantly associated with the risk of PR+ breast cancer in either the quintile or continuous analyses. Only β-cryptoxanthin (when modeled as a continuous variable) was significantly associated with risk of PR− breast cancer. There was no significant between studies heterogeneity for these results.

Intakes of each carotenoid were not associated with the risk of ER+ PR+ or ER+ PR− breast cancer, with the pooled multivariable RRs comparing the highest with the lowest quintile ranging from 0.91 to 1.08 (Table 3). β-Carotene intake was modestly inversely associated with risk of ER− PR− breast cancer (pooled multivariable RR comparing the highest with the lowest quintile: 0.87; 95% CI: 0.78, 0.96; P-trend = 0.01). A similar inverse association was observed for lutein/zeaxanthin intake with the risk of ER− PR− breast cancer (pooled multivariable RR comparing the highest with the lowest quintile: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.81, 0.99; P-trend = 0.16). In general, the strongest inverse associations were observed for risk of ER− PR+ breast cancer, although the CI for each carotenoid was wide because of the relatively small number of cases (n = 645) compared with the other subtypes.

TABLE 3.

Pooled multivariate RRs (95% CIs) of breast cancer for dietary carotenoid intakes jointly by ER and PR status in the Pooling Project of Prospective Studies of Diet and Cancer1

RR (95% CI)
Continuous3
Carotenoids Quintile 1 Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5 P-trend2 RR (95% CI) P (test for between-studies heterogeneity)4 P (test for common effects by hormone receptor status)5
α-Carotene
 ER+ PR+ 1 0.99 (0.94, 1.04) 1.05 (0.99, 1.11) 1.02 (0.96, 1.07) 1.02 (0.97, 1.08) 0.28 1.01 (0.99, 1.04) 0.71
 ER+ PR− 1 1.09 (0.98, 1.22) 1.05 (0.94, 1.17) 1.04 (0.93, 1.16) 1.06 (0.91, 1.25) 0.53 1.03 (0.94, 1.12) 0.01
 ER− PR+6 1 0.69 (0.53, 0.89) 0.73 (0.55, 0.95) 0.75 (0.57, 0.98) 0.64 (0.47, 0.86) 0.04 0.86 (0.74, 1.00) 0.50 0.16
 ER− PR− 1 0.94 (0.84, 1.05) 0.91 (0.79, 1.03) 0.90 (0.80, 1.02) 0.90 (0.80, 1.01) 0.18 0.98 (0.92, 1.04) 0.22
β-Carotene
 ER+ PR+ 1 1.04 (0.97, 1.11) 1.04 (0.98, 1.10) 1.03 (0.97, 1.09) 1.03 (0.98, 1.09) 0.53 1.01 (0.98, 1.04) 0.49
 ER+ PR− 1 1.01 (0.90, 1.13) 1.06 (0.94, 1.18) 1.08 (0.97, 1.21) 1.05 (0.91, 1.22) 0.55 1.01 (0.92, 1.13) 0.02
 ER− PR+6 1 0.72 (0.53, 0.97) 0.90 (0.69, 1.16) 0.81 (0.62, 1.06) 0.70 (0.51, 0.96) 0.10 0.89 (0.75, 1.05) 0.64 0.12
 ER− PR− 1 0.96 (0.87, 1.06) 0.91 (0.82, 1.01) 0.89 (0.78, 1.02) 0.87 (0.78, 0.96) 0.01 0.94 (0.88, 1.01) 0.45
β-Cryptoxanthin
 ER+ PR+ 1 0.98 (0.93, 1.03) 1.00 (0.94, 1.06) 0.99 (0.95, 1.04) 0.96 (0.92, 1.01) 0.28 1.00 (0.97, 1.03) 0.17
 ER+ PR− 1 0.98 (0.85, 1.13) 1.00 (0.89, 1.13) 1.00 (0.88, 1.15) 0.91 (0.80, 1.05) 0.13 0.97 (0.93, 1.00) 0.54
 ER− PR+6 1 0.94 (0.72, 1.23) 0.94 (0.69, 1.27) 0.90 (0.63, 1.26) 0.78 (0.59, 1.03) 0.08 0.94 (0.86, 1.02) 0.65 0.24
 ER− PR− 1 0.97 (0.88, 1.08) 0.96 (0.86, 1.06) 0.99 (0.88, 1.10) 0.95 (0.84, 1.07) 0.13 0.97 (0.94, 1.01) 0.67
Lutein/zeaxanthin
 ER+ PR+ 1 1.00 (0.93, 1.08) 1.06 (1.01, 1.11) 1.04 (0.98, 1.10) 0.99 (0.93, 1.07) 0.63 1.01 (0.98, 1.04) 0.32
 ER+ PR− 1 1.08 (0.97, 1.21) 1.03 (0.92, 1.15) 1.05 (0.91, 1.22) 1.07 (0.93, 1.23) 0.69 1.04 (0.98, 1.10) 0.29
 ER− PR+6 1 0.82 (0.60, 1.13) 0.72 (0.55, 0.95) 0.76 (0.58, 0.99) 0.72 (0.51, 1.02) 0.09 0.94 (0.83, 1.07) 0.86 0.09
 ER− PR− 1 0.95 (0.86, 1.05) 0.89 (0.80, 0.99) 0.89 (0.79, 1.01) 0.89 (0.81, 0.99) 0.16 0.96 (0.91, 1.01) 0.91
Lycopene
 ER+ PR+ 1 0.99 (0.93, 1.06) 1.02 (0.95, 1.08) 1.02 (0.96, 1.09) 1.00 (0.93, 1.08) 0.63 1.00 (0.98, 1.02) 0.84
 ER+ PR− 1 0.91 (0.79, 1.05) 0.97 (0.86, 1.10) 0.96 (0.85, 1.08) 0.96 (0.84, 1.10) 0.99 1.04 (0.98, 1.10) 0.26
 ER− PR+6 1 0.76 (0.58, 1.00) 0.91 (0.59, 1.39) 0.94 (0.66, 1.36) 0.73 (0.55, 0.97) 0.15 0.90 (0.75, 1.07) 0.40 0.22
 ER− PR− 1 0.95 (0.86, 1.05) 0.92 (0.82, 1.03) 0.91 (0.82, 1.00) 0.95 (0.85, 1.07) 0.37 0.99 (0.95, 1.04) 0.57
1

Adjusted for ethnicity (white, African American, Hispanic, Asian, other), family history of breast cancer (yes, no), personal history of benign breast disease (yes, no), alcohol consumption (nondrinkers; >0 to <5, 5 to <15, 15 to <30, or ≥30 g/d), smoking status (never, past, current), education (<high school, high school, >high school), physical activity (low, medium, high), age at menarche (<11, 11–12, 13–14, ≥15 y), BMI (in kg/m2; <23, 23 to <25, 25 to <30, ≥30), height (<1.60, 1.60 to <1.65, 1.65 to <1.70, 1.70 to <1.75, ≥1.75 m), oral contraceptive use (never, ever), menopausal status (premenopausal, postmenopausal, never user of hormone replacement therapy, past user of hormone replacement therapy, current user of hormone replacement therapy), energy intake (kcal/d, continuous), combination between parity (0, 1–2, ≥3), and age of first birth (≤25, >25 y); age in years and year of questionnaire return were included as stratification variables. The study-specific median intakes for each carotenoid for quintile 1 and quintile 5 are shown in Table 1 as 10th and 90th percentiles. ER, estrogen receptor; ER+, estrogen receptor positive; ER−, estrogen receptor negative; PR, progesterone receptor; PR+, progesterone receptor positive; PR−, progesterone receptor negative.

2

Calculated by using the Wald test statistic.

3

The incremental units were based on the median of the difference between the 90th and 10th percentile intakes of each carotenoid across studies. The increments are 1200 μg/d for α-carotene, 5000 μg/d for β-carotene, 200 μg/d for β-cryptoxanthin, 3500 μg/d for lutein/zeaxanthin, and 6000 μg/d for lycopene. There is ∼1200 μg α-carotene in two-fifths of a carrot, 5000 μg β-carotene in two-thirds of a carrot, 200 μg β-cryptoxanthin in 2 oranges, 3500 μg lutein/zeaxanthin in 1.5 cups (250 g) broccoli, and 6000 μg lycopene in 1.5 oz (43 g) tomato sauce.

4

Calculated by using the Q test statistic.

5

Calculated by using a contrast test.

6

The Beta-Carotene and Retinol Efficacy Trial; the Black Women's Health Study; CLUE II: Campaign Against Cancer and Heart Disease; the Canadian National Breast Screening Study; the Japan Public Health Center–based Study Cohort I; the Netherlands Cohort Study; the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial; and the Women's Health Study were excluded because the number of cases of ER− PR+ breast cancer in each of these studies was <25.

We conducted further analyses to examine whether the associations with ER− and ER+ breast cancer differed by several breast cancer risk factors or factors that may interact with carotenoids by acting through the oxidative stress pathway. The associations between carotenoid intakes and risk of ER+ and ER− breast cancer were generally not significantly modified by menopausal status at diagnosis (Table 4), alcohol consumption (Table 5), smoking status (Table 5), family history of breast cancer (data not shown), BMI (data not shown), or multivitamin use (data not shown). In addition, results generally did not vary by age at diagnosis and follow-up time (data not shown). Because a relatively large number of comparisons were made in the stratified analyses, the results need to be interpreted with caution.

TABLE 4.

Pooled multivariate RRs (95% CIs) of breast cancer for dietary carotenoid intakes by ER status and menopausal status in the Pooling Project of Prospective Studies of Diet and Cancer1

Premenopausal3
Postmenopausal
Carotenoids2 No. of cases RR (95% CI) P (test for between-studies heterogeneity)5 No. of cases RR (95% CI) P (test for between-studies heterogeneity)5 P-interaction4
α-Carotene
 ER+ 2247 1.01 (0.93, 1.09) 0.82 15,252 1.01 (0.99, 1.04) 0.65 0.63
 ER−6 987 0.91 (0.78, 1.06) 0.82 3162 0.94 (0.87, 1.02) 0.28 0.62
β-Carotene
 ER+ 2247 0.98 (0.89, 1.08) 0.74 15,252 1.03 (0.99, 1.06) 0.72 0.11
 ER−6 987 0.92 (0.78, 1.08) 0.84 3162 0.94 (0.87, 1.01) 0.87 0.81
β-Cryptoxanthin
 ER+ 2247 1.01 (0.94, 1.09) 0.17 15,252 0.99 (0.96, 1.02) 0.31 0.34
 ER−6 987 1.02 (0.93, 1.12) 0.57 3162 0.97 (0.93, 1.02) 0.93 0.38
Lutein/zeaxanthin
 ER+ 2220 1.00 (0.94, 1.07) 0.60 15,202 1.03 (1.00, 1.06) 0.34 0.07
 ER−6 962 0.99 (0.89, 1.10) 0.84 3131 0.95 (0.89, 1.01) >0.99 0.33
Lycopene
 ER+ 2247 1.01 (0.94, 1.08) 0.58 15,252 1.02 (0.99, 1.04) 0.83 0.52
 ER−6 987 0.92 (0.77, 1.10) 0.14 3162 1.00 (0.95, 1.06) 0.50 0.41
1

RRs were adjusted for the covariates listed in Table 2. The Japan Public Health Center–based Study Cohort I was excluded from the analysis of lutein/zeaxanthin because this variable was not measured in this study. ER, estrogen receptor; ER+, estrogen receptor positive; ER−, estrogen receptor negative.

2

The incremental units were based on the median of the difference between the 90th and 10th percentile intakes of each carotenoid across studies. The increments are 1200 μg/d for α-carotene, 5000 μg/d for β-carotene, 200 μg/d for β-cryptoxanthin, 3500 μg/d for lutein/zeaxanthin, and 6000 μg/d for lycopene. There is ∼1200 μg α-carotene in two-fifths of a carrot, 5000 μg β-carotene in two-thirds of a carrot, 200 μg β-cryptoxanthin in 2 oranges, 3500 μg lutein/zeaxanthin in 1.5 cups (250 g) broccoli, and 6000 μg lycopene in 1.5 oz (43 g) tomato sauce.

3

The Iowa Women's Health Study, the Netherlands Cohort Study, and the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial were excluded from the premenopausal analysis because all participants were postmenopausal. The Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project Follow-up Study, the Cancer Prevention Study II Nutrition Cohort, the NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study, and the Beta-Carotene and Retinol Efficacy Trial were excluded from the premenopausal analyses because of sparse stratum-specific case numbers.

4

Calculated by using a Wald test.

5

Calculated by using the Q test statistic.

6

The Nurses’ Health Study II and the Women's Lifestyle and Health Study were excluded from the postmenopausal analyses because of sparse stratum-specific case numbers.

TABLE 5.

Pooled multivariate RRs (95% CIs) of breast cancer by ER status for dietary carotenoid intakes by alcohol consumption and smoking status in the Pooling Project of Prospective Studies of Diet and Cancer1

Alcohol consumption3
Smoking status4
Carotenoids2 Nondrinkers >0 to <15 g/d5 ≥15 g/d6 P-interaction7 Never Past Current P-interaction7
α-Carotene
 ER+ 1.02 (0.98, 1.07) 1.01 (0.98, 1.04) 0.98 (0.90, 1.06) 0.63 1.03 (1.00, 1.06) 1.01 (0.97, 1.05) 0.97 (0.90, 1.04) 0.26
 ER− 0.96 (0.86, 1.07) 0.99 (0.93, 1.05) 0.92 (0.75, 1.12) 0.99 1.00 (0.93, 1.07) 1.01 (0.93, 1.10) 0.96 (0.84, 1.10) 0.78
β-Carotene
 ER+ 1.03 (0.98, 1.08) 1.01 (0.97, 1.05) 0.97 (0.88, 1.06) 0.40 1.02 (0.98, 1.06) 1.03 (0.98, 1.08) 0.97 (0.90, 1.05) 0.47
 ER− 0.93 (0.82, 1.05) 0.96 (0.89, 1.04) 0.83 (0.67, 1.03) 0.45 0.97 (0.89, 1.05) 0.98 (0.88, 1.09) 0.84 (0.70, 1.00) 0.27
β-Cryptoxanthin
 ER+ 0.98 (0.95, 1.01) 0.99 (0.97, 1.02) 1.00 (0.93, 1.07) 0.85 0.99 (0.95, 1.02) 1.03 (0.96, 1.11) 1.00 (0.93, 1.06) 0.77
 ER− 0.93 (0.85, 1.00) 0.98 (0.93, 1.04) 0.94 (0.80, 1.10) 0.65 0.98 (0.92, 1.04) 0.95 (0.87, 1.04) 0.84 (0.70, 1.00) 0.15
Lutein/zeaxanthin
 ER+ 1.03 (1.00, 1.07) 1.01 (0.97, 1.04) 1.01 (0.94, 1.08) 0.58 1.02 (0.98, 1.05) 1.04 (1.00, 1.07) 1.00 (0.94, 1.06) 0.70
 ER− 0.90 (0.83, 0.98) 1.00 (0.94, 1.06) 0.85 (0.72, 1.01) 0.05 0.98 (0.92, 1.05) 0.96 (0.86, 1.07) 0.89 (0.78, 1.01) 0.38
Lycopene
 ER+ 1.01 (0.98, 1.04) 1.01 (0.98, 1.04) 1.02 (0.97, 1.07) 0.97 1.00 (0.97, 1.03) 1.03 (1.00, 1.07) 0.97 (0.92, 1.03) 0.17
 ER− 1.00 (0.91, 1.10) 0.97 (0.91, 1.04) 0.76 (0.61, 0.96) 0.02 0.96 (0.88, 1.05) 0.97 (0.89, 1.05) 0.99 (0.88, 1.12) 0.95
1

RRs were adjusted for the covariates listed in Table 2. For the analyses of ER+ breast cancer, the number of cases was 6200 in the nondrinker group, 9653 in the >0 to <15 g/d group, and 2289 in the ≥15 g/d group; 8614 in the never smoking group, 5739 in the past smoking group, and 2470 in the current smoking group. For the analyses of lutein/zeaxanthin intake, the number of ER+ breast cancer cases was 6100 in the nondrinker group and 8518 in the never smoking group; the number of ER+ breast cancer cases in the remaining groups did not change. For the analyses of ER− breast cancer, the number of cases was 1438 in the nondrinker group, 2310 in the >0 to <15 g/d group, and 454 in the ≥15 g/d group; 2166 in the never smoking group, 1225 in the past smoking group, and 616 in the current smoking group. For the analyses of lutein/zeaxanthin intake, the number of ER− breast cancer cases was 1373 in the nondrinker group and 2099 in the never smoking group; the number of ER− breast cancer cases in the remaining groups did not change. ER, estrogen receptor; ER+, estrogen receptor positive; ER−, estrogen receptor negative.

2

The incremental units were based on the median of the difference between the 90th and 10th percentile intakes of each carotenoid across studies. The increments are 1200 μg/d for α-carotene, 5000 μg/d for β-carotene, 200 μg/d for β-cryptoxanthin, 3500 μg/d for lutein/zeaxanthin, and 6000 μg/d for lycopene. There is ∼1200 μg α-carotene in two-fifths of a carrot, 5000 μg β-carotene in two-thirds of a carrot, 200 μg β-cryptoxanthin in 2 oranges, 3500 μg lutein/zeaxanthin in 1.5 cups (250 g) broccoli, and 6000 μg lycopene in 1.5 oz (43 g) tomato sauce.

3

The Black Women's Health Study was excluded from the analyses because information on alcohol consumption was not received from that study.

4

The Swedish Mammography Cohort was excluded from the analyses stratified by smoking status because smoking status was not measured at baseline in this study. The Japan Public Health Center–based Study Cohort I was also excluded from the past and current smoking groups because of sparse stratum-specific case numbers. For the analysis of ER− breast cancer, the Beta-Carotene and Retinol Efficacy Trial was excluded from the never and past smoking groups because of sparse stratum-specific case numbers.

5

The Japan Public Health Center–based Study Cohort I was excluded from the >0 to <15 g/d alcohol group because of sparse stratum-specific case numbers. For the analysis of ER− breast cancer, the Beta-Carotene and Retinol Efficacy Trial was excluded from the >0 to <15 g/d alcohol group because of sparse stratum-specific case numbers.

6

The Japan Public Health Center–based Study Cohort I and the Beta-Carotene and Retinol Efficacy Trial were excluded from the ≥15 g/d alcohol group because of sparse stratum-specific case numbers. In addition, for the analysis of ER− breast cancer, the CLUE II: Campaign Against Cancer and Heart Disease, the Swedish Mammography Cohort, and the Women's Lifestyle and Health Study were excluded from the ≥15 g/d alcohol group because of sparse stratum-specific case numbers.

7

Calculated by using a Wald test.

In analyses that corrected for misclassification in carotenoid intake estimates by using carotene or dietary vitamin C intake data in the validation studies to approximate the measurement error for the specific carotenoids, the risk estimates observed were substantially strengthened but less precise. The corrected pooled multivariable RRs (95% CIs) comparing the highest with the lowest quintile of intake in relation to ER− breast cancer were 0.57 (0.44, 0.73) for α-carotene, 0.70 (0.54, 0.90) for β-carotene, 0.81 (0.67, 0.99) for β-cryptoxanthin, and 0.75 (0.53, 1.07) for lutein/zeaxanthin. No significant between-studies heterogeneity was observed either before or after correction for misclassification in the intake estimates.

DISCUSSION

In general, no significant associations were observed between carotenoid intakes and risk of breast cancer overall and for ER+, PR+, and PR− breast cancers. However, higher intakes of specific carotenoids were associated with a modest reduction in the risk of ER− breast cancer. These associations were largely not significantly modified by menopausal status, family history of breast cancer, alcohol consumption, smoking status, BMI, multivitamin use, median age at diagnosis, or follow-up time.

The relation between dietary carotenoid intakes and overall breast cancer risk has been investigated in ≥15 cohort studies and 50 case-control studies with mixed results (8). A modest inverse association has been reported by most case-control studies, but most cohort studies have reported null results (8). Most case-control studies conducted before the mid-1990s reported inverse associations with β-carotene intake and breast cancer risk (8). However, these studies most likely measured multiple provitamin A carotenoids expressed in β-carotene equivalents rather than β-carotene itself, because comprehensive food-composition databases for individual carotenoids were not available until the mid-1990s (46, 48). Studies that evaluated intakes of the 5 major carotenoids reported null or weak inverse associations between intakes of each carotenoid and breast cancer risk, although the observed inverse associations have not been specific to a particular carotenoid (8). We generally observed null associations between intakes of the 5 major carotenoids and risk of overall breast cancer. No consistent results for a single carotenoid measured in plasma (74, 75) or breast adipose tissue (76) have been reported. Taken together, the associations between each of the major carotenoids (assessed either via questionnaire, in blood, or in adipose tissue) and overall breast cancer risk generally have been inconsistent. Treating breast cancer as a single disease might have contributed to the inconsistent results observed across studies because breast cancer subtypes defined by ER and PR status may be etiologically, as well as clinically, heterogeneous (913).

To date, relatively few studies examined associations between intakes of the 5 major carotenoids and risk of breast cancer according to ER/PR status, and most of these studies have been limited by a small number of cases for the less common subtypes (1517). A relatively small population-based case-control study conducted in Australia in the early 1990s showed a stronger inverse association of β-carotene intake with risk of ER− breast cancer than with risk of ER+ breast cancer (15). Other studies reported only breast cancer subtypes defined by ER and PR status jointly. A population-based case-control study found no associations between intakes of the 5 major carotenoids and risk of any of the breast cancer subtypes defined jointly by ER/PR status (17). In contrast, the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study reported an ∼20% lower risk of ER+ PR+ breast cancer for α-carotene, β-carotene, and lycopene intakes comparing the highest with the lowest quintiles of intake, but null associations for intakes of these carotenoids and risk of ER+ PR− and ER− PR− breast cancers (16). In our study, weak inverse associations were observed for α-carotene, β-carotene, and lutein/zeaxanthin and risk of ER− breast cancer. We found null associations between intakes of each of the 5 major carotenoids and risk of ER+, PR+, and PR− breast cancers. Previous studies examining breast cancer subtypes defined by ER and PR status jointly have had limited power to examine ER− PR+ breast cancers because they have included <40 cases of ER− PR+ breast cancer (16, 17). Our study also showed null associations between intakes of each of the major carotenoids and risk of ER+ and PR+ and ER+ PR− breast cancers. However, intakes of α-carotene, β-carotene, and lutein/zeaxanthin were associated with a slightly lower risk of ER− PR− and ER− PR+ breast cancers.

Differences in clinical, pathological, and molecular features of breast cancer defined by ER and PR status suggest etiologic heterogeneity (913). The suggestive inverse associations observed for α-carotene, β-carotene, and lutein/zeaxanthin intakes and risk of ER− breast cancer in our study support the possibilities that the effect of dietary factors, if any, might be confined to the less hormone-dependent ER− breast cancer and that carotenoid intakes might not have an important influence on ER+ breast cancer. However, experimental studies have shown that β-carotene and lycopene inhibit the growth of both ER+ and ER− cell lines (77).

Our pooled analysis had several strengths. In contrast with small studies with homogeneous populations, the large sample size and wide variation in carotenoid intakes allowed for more powerful analyses of the main effects of each of the major carotenoids with risk of breast cancer subtypes defined by ER/PR status and for evaluation of whether these associations were modified by several breast cancer risk factors. In addition, the prospective cohort design with high follow-up rate minimized the potential for recall or selection bias. We adjusted for multiple established or potential breast cancer risk factors to minimize confounding, and the age-adjusted results were almost identical to the multivariable adjusted results, which suggests that these associations were minimally confounded by these factors.

Our study had several limitations. Measurement error occurred as a result of assessing intake of the specific carotenoids with the use of FFQs. Most studies did not collect information on cooking methods for the specific fruit and vegetables consumed, and how fruit and vegetables are prepared and consumed may influence the bioavailability of carotenoids (1, 46). However, correlations of plasma concentrations of specific carotenoids with carotenoid intakes assessed by the FFQ and also by 2 wk of weighed diet records were very similar in the Nurses’ Health Study and the Nurses’ Health Study II (78). In addition to differences in chronic intakes, plasma concentrations of carotenoids are also influenced by differences in metabolism, including the recently described genetic variation in the β-carotene monoxygenase gene (79). Therefore, although bioavailability and differences in metabolism do not contribute to errors in measuring intake, they will affect plasma concentrations of carotenoids and probably the biological effects of intake. Year-to-year variation in diet likely exists. The use of a single questionnaire will therefore also contribute to error in the estimation of longer term intake, which is likely to be important in the etiology of breast cancer. In addition, correction for misclassification in intake estimates resulted in stronger inverse associations between intakes of α-carotene, β-carotene, β-cryptoxanthin, and lutein/zeaxanthin and ER− breast cancer risk, which suggests that the true associations between dietary factors and disease risk might be underestimated substantially by using FFQs. In addition, because we measured carotenoid intake only at baseline, we cannot evaluate the possible effect of intakes during other life periods (eg, childhood) or changes in carotenoid intakes during follow-up.

An additional limitation of the study included the relatively high correlations between individual carotenoids, which made assessment of independent associations difficult. However, the observed results were essentially unchanged when we mutually adjusted intakes of the 5 carotenoids. Also, the observed associations with dietary carotenoids may have been due to their correlation with other bioactive constituents of fruit or vegetables. When we further adjusted for dietary folate and vitamin C intakes, the results were similar. However, the associations with specific carotenoids should be interpreted with caution because they may still be due to other unmeasured or unadjusted constituents of fruit and vegetables. Although an influence of the missing ER and PR status on the observed results is possible, no substantial differences were found between cases with and those without receptor status according to age, BMI, alcohol consumption, and some other reproductive factors. Our study populations are mainly of European origin, which limited our ability to examine the potential effect of carotenoid intakes on breast cancer risk in other ethnic groups, such as African American and Asian populations.

In summary, although intakes of specific carotenoids, except for β-cryptoxanthin, were not significantly associated with overall risk of breast cancer, α-carotene, β-carotene, and lutein/zeaxanthin intakes were associated with a modestly lower risk of ER−, but not ER+, breast cancer. However, these results need to be interpreted with caution because it is unclear whether the observed associations are due to specific carotenoids or to other constituents of the same foods although when we adjusted for dietary vitamin C and folate intakes, other nutrients present in fruit and vegetables, the associations remained. Additional research is needed to identify the potential mechanisms that may account for the observed findings. Additional studies of plasma carotenoids and genetic variants in the carotenoid-metabolizing pathway in relation to ER− breast cancer may be useful in elucidating further the role of carotenoid intakes on the risk of ER− breast cancer.

Acknowledgments

We thank Sherry Yuan, Ruifeng Li, and Tao Hou for data management and statistical support. We are grateful for all participants in each study that was included in the Pooling Project.

The authors’ responsibilities were as follows—XZ, SAS-W,WCW, and DS: designed research; XZ: analyzed the data and wrote the manuscript; DS, L Baglietto, L Bernstein, DAB, PAvdB, JEB, SMG, GGG, EG, GG, SEH, KJH, PLH-R, SY, MI, ML, PK, SCL, MLM, ABM, MLN, JRP, YP, KR, TER, JAR, LJS, JMS, ST, KV, EW, AW, WCW, SMZ, RGZ, and SAS-W: provided critical input in writing the manuscript; and SAS-W: had primary responsibility for final content. All authors read and approved the final manuscript. None of the authors declared a conflict of interest.

Footnotes

4

Abbreviations used: ER, estrogen receptor; ER+, estrogen receptor positive; ER–, estrogen receptor negative; FFQ, food-frequency questionnaire; PR, progesterone receptor; PR+, progesterone receptor positive; PR–, progesterone receptor negative.−

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