A cornerstone for the discussion of using acetylsalicylic acid (ASA) for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease is determining which patients are at high risk and then determining if low-dose ASA would reduce that risk. Stratification of cardiovascular disease risk is a strategy employed by many health care providers to determine if individual patients are at risk of experiencing a cardiovascular event, given known risk factors such as age, smoking, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes mellitus. Many risk stratification tools are available, the most commonly used in Canada being the Framingham cardiovascular disease risk estimation tool. This tool (www.framinghamheartstudy.org/risk/index.html), as well as many other risk calculators for various cardiovascular outcomes of interest, was developed by the Framingham Heart Study investigators. A high-risk population is generally defined as having a 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease of 20% or greater, with myocardial infarction being the most prevalent event within the spectrum of cardiovascular disease that would lead to high-risk status.1
Low-dose ASA (defined as less than 325 mg/day) has been shown in a meta-analysis to decrease the composite risk of myocardial infarction, stroke, or death from a vascular cause in both men and women when used for primary prevention.2 The authors of the meta-analysis reviewed the risks and benefits of ASA in various subgroups, including the baseline risk of coronary artery disease. Unfortunately, only 2% of patients in all of the studies included in the meta-analysis were in the high-risk category as defined above. There were no statistically significant differences between this group and patients receiving placebo in rates of serious vascular events, but the authors concluded that the statistical reliability of their analysis was compromised by the small sample size.2 It is therefore difficult to use data from meta-analyses to answer the question posed in this “Point Counterpoint” debate. Instead, the following argument is based on results from individual studies examining patient populations with various cardiovascular risk factors.
The Primary Prevention Project was one trial that examined the use of ASA 100 mg daily in a population with risk factors for coronary artery disease and no history of cardiovascular disease.3 Although the report did not specify how many of the patients were at high risk, the trial included 4495 participants aged 45–94 years, all of whom had at least 1 risk factor for coronary artery disease (with 39% of participants having 2 risk factors and 30% having 3 or more). The following risk factors were present: age at least 65 years (50%), hypertension (69%), smoker (15%), dyslipidemia (41%), diabetes (17%), and family history of premature myocardial infarction (11%).3 Two other trials enrolled higher-risk patients, but also included a small number of patients with coronary artery disease, which made it difficult to assess the data in terms of primary prevention.4,5
The Primary Prevention Project was stopped early (after 3.6 years) for ethical reasons,3 on the basis of newly published data demonstrating the benefit of ASA for primary prevention in individuals with cardiovascular risk factors.4,5 The Primary Prevention Project did not meet its primary end point of reducing the composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal stroke (odds ratio [OR] 0.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.48–1.04). Importantly, however, the predefined secondary end point of cardiovascular death was reduced (OR 0.56, 95% CI 0.31–0.99, p = 0.049), as was the composite end point of total cardiovascular events and diseases (encompassing the primary outcome plus angina, transient ischemic attack, peripheral arterial disease, and revascularization procedure) (OR 0.77, CI 95% 0.62–0.95, p = 0.014). In the Primary Prevention Project, the most clinically important outcome, death, was reduced in a high-risk population with the daily use of low-dose ASA.3
One risk of using low-dose ASA is major bleeding. The risk of upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the general population is about 1 in 1000 or 0.1% per year.6 On the basis of population data and clinical trials, this risk is known to increase 2- to 3-fold with daily use of low-dose ASA. However, this increase in risk is low compared with the event rates of cardiovascular death and total cardiovascular events in a high-risk population. In the Primary Prevention Project, major nonfatal bleeding occurred in 1.1% of ASA users but only 0.3% of those assigned to receive placebo (p = 0.0008, number needed to harm 125), much lower than the total rate of cardiovascular events (6.3% among ASA users and 8.2% among placebo users).3 If a patient has additional risk factors for bleeding, the risk of bleeding may increase to a much higher and unacceptable rate if low-dose daily ASA is added. Therefore, although ASA is beneficial in a high-risk patient population, it is important to assess each patient’s risk of bleeding (based on use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, history of peptic ulcer disease, and use of warfarin or corticosteroids) before recommending low-dose ASA, to ensure that the bleeding risk does not outweigh any potential benefit of ASA.
Other cardiovascular therapies, such as statins, have taken a more prominent role in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease, but they were not routinely used when the ASA trials described above were conducted. Accordingly, it is difficult to quantify the benefit of low-dose ASA in a high-risk patient today.2 Fortunately, ASA remains an affordable option for high-risk patients, costing about 10 cents per day. New trials are under way to further quantify the effect of ASA in primary prevention in 2 specific populations. The Aspirin to Reduce Risk of Initial Vascular Events (ARRIVE) trial is a large ongoing clinical trial to evaluate the use of low-dose ASA (100 mg daily) in the primary prevention of cardiovascular events in 12 000 patients at moderate risk (defined as 10%–19% over 10 years), but without a history of cardiovascular disease.7 The ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) trial is evaluating the use of low-dose ASA (100 mg daily) in 19 000 healthy patients over age 70 for overall benefit versus risk.8
As pharmacists, we need to make recommendations to patients and then allow them to ultimately decide if using daily low-dose ASA is right for them. ASA 81 mg is the most commonly available low-dose formulation available on the Canadian market and is indicated by Health Canada for reducing the risk of a first nonfatal myocardial infarction in individuals deemed to be at high risk of such an event. Previous studies have shown that high-risk patients (those with hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, and history of smoking) are at the highest risk of cardiovascular disease.1 Risk stratification is required to identify these patients, and conducting a bleeding assessment is also important when considering low-dose ASA therapy. The Canadian Cardiovascular Society endorses the use of ASA “in special circumstances in men and women without evidence of manifest vascular disease in whom vascular risk is considered high and bleeding risk is considered low.”9 This approach is appropriate, given the available evidence demonstrating reductions in both cardiovascular events and deaths with use of ASA.3
In conclusion, does an Aspirin a day keep the doctor away in the high-risk patient who requires primary prevention? The answer is yes, and this approach is appropriate for patients who are at low risk of bleeding.
References
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