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The Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases & Medical Microbiology = Journal Canadien des Maladies Infectieuses et de la Microbiologie Médicale logoLink to The Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases & Medical Microbiology = Journal Canadien des Maladies Infectieuses et de la Microbiologie Médicale
. 2012 Spring;23(1):19–22. doi: 10.1155/2012/408561

Characterizing the HIV epidemic in the prairie provinces

Marissa L Becker 1,2,3,4,, Ken Kasper 1,4, Carla Pindera 4, Mary Cheang 3, Debbie Rodger 5, Stephen Sanche 6, Stuart Skinner 6, M John Gill 7,8
PMCID: PMC3374470  PMID: 23449046

Abstract

BACKGROUND:

The numbers and demographics of HIV-positive patients in care between 2003 and 2007 in the prairie provinces were examined.

METHODS:

Estimates of HIV-positive patients presenting to care between 2003 and 2007 were obtained from four clinic registries in Manitoba, Saskatchewan and southern Alberta. Detailed data were collected from clinical records of new patients in 2007.

RESULTS:

By the end of December 2007, 2263 HIV-positive persons were in care in Manitoba, Saskatchewan and southern Alberta. Males and females accounted for 1674 (74.0%) and 589 of the cases, respectively. Overall, there was a 12% increase per year in new HIV cases to care between 2003 and 2007 (P=0.026), with the rate of increase for males being 60% higher than for females over this time period (P=0.002). In 2007, there were 222 new HIV cases to care (37.4% female). Heterosexual contact was the most common HIV risk, but diversity was seen across sites with frequent injection drug use and men who have sex with men risk in Saskatchewan and southern Alberta, respectively. The Aboriginal population remains heavily over-represented, with approximately 36.0% of new cases being Aboriginal. Late presentation was common across all care sites, with 35.1% of cases presenting with CD4 counts of less than 200 cells/mm3.

DISCUSSION:

Heterosexual risk is the most common risk reported for HIV acquisition, but injection drug use risk remains significant in Saskatchewan. Aboriginals are over-represented at all sites, and in Saskatchewan accounted for the majority of new cases seen. In contrast to national trends, numbers of new and late diagnoses are increasing in the praire provinces, and this has significant treatment implications and potential public health consequences. Further efforts need to be made to facilitate earlier testing and linkage to care.

Keywords: Aboriginal, Care, Epidemiology, HIV, Prairie provinces


There is increasing recognition of the complexity and heterogeneity of the global HIV epidemic, and this remains true in Canada. By the end of 2007, the Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC) indicated that there had been an estimated 64,800 persons infected with HIV/AIDS (PHA) in Canada (1,2). Of these PHAs, certain populations, including Aboriginals and persons from endemic countries remain over-represented. Whereas the Aboriginal population constitutes approximately 3.75% of the total population, they represent approximately 7.5% of prevalent HIV infections nationally (2). In addition, according to the 2001 census, 2.1% of the Canadian population was born in HIV-endemic countries. However, 15.0% of infections reported in 2005 had heterosexual endemic exposure as their primary risk factor for infection (2).

While the largest numbers of HIV-positive tests come from Ontario, Quebec and British Columbia, areas in the prairie provinces are seeing the greatest increase in the number of HIV-positive persons diagnosed (1). Little is known about the epidemiology of HIV in the prairie provinces, and it is important to determine whether certain populations are over-represented within this region. The diversity of the Canadian population and the over-representation of some ethnic groups highlights the need for adaptable and culturally sensitive HIV prevention, testing and care programs. More than 43.0% of Canada’s Aboriginal population live in the three prairie provinces, comprising 15.5%, 14.9% and 5.8% of the populations of Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Alberta, respectively (3). Winnipeg (Manitoba) has the largest urban Aboriginal population in Canada, followed by Edmonton (Alberta). In addition, Manitoba and Alberta also have large immigrant populations, comprising 13.3% and 16.2%, respectively of the total population (4), with a high proportion from HIV-endemic countries.

In addition to appreciating the sociodemographic profile of the HIV-positive population in the prairie provinces, it is important to be aware of their care patterns and presentations. In Canada, an estimated 27.0% of HIV-positive persons were unaware of their HIV status (2). As well, in Manitoba, it was estimated that approximately one-third of patients present to care quite late, presenting by definition with AIDS (Personal commnuicaiton, Kasper K, Manitoba HIV Program, August 5, 2009). Further investigaton of these issues in the prairie region is critical, because it can provide the HIV prevention and care programming in these provinces with much needed information to support essential evidence-based approaches to earlier HIV diagnosis and linkage to care in the prairie region.

In an effort to better understand the current demographic profiles of HIV-positive patients in care in the prairie provinces, a chart review was performed. The goal of the chart review was to describe the demographics and presentation of HIV-positive patients in care and to further examine the existing challenges in providing care in Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Alberta.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review was conducted on HIV-positive persons in care at outpatient clinics in Manitoba, Saskatchewan and southern Alberta. In Manitoba, data were gathered from the two outpatient clinics in the Manitoba HIV Program, the HIV outpatient clinic at the Health Sciences Centre and the Nine Circles Community Health Centre in Winnipeg. In Saskatchewan, data were collected from the Infectious Diseases Clinic in Regina and the Positive Living Program in Saskatoon. Data on HIV-positive persons in care in southern Alberta were captured from the Southern Alberta Clinic in Calgary. These clinics provide care to more than 95% of HIV-positive patients in care within their respective regions.

Data capture tools were used to identify the number of newly reported HIV cases and the number of persons who accessed HIV care from clinic records between 2003 and 2007. Cases were defined as an HIV-positive individual (adult or child) seen at least once in a clinic during the calendar year. In addition, detailed information was collected on new cases presenting to care from January 1 to December 31, 2007. New cases were defined as a new HIV-positive person seen in a clinic or in a hospital during the 2007 calendar year. Persons transferred from any other clinic or provinces were excluded. Variables collected included sex, age, transmission risk, ethnicity, CD4 count at presentation, clinical presentation and hepatitis C status. Ethnicity was captured as either self-reported Aboriginal or non-Aboriginal. Risk factors for transmission included heterosexual from a high-risk endemic region, injection drug use (IDU) and men who have sex with men (MSM).

Ethics approval was obtained from the research ethics boards at the University of Manitoba (Winnipeg), the University of Saskatchewan (Regina), the Regina Qu’Appelle Health, and the University of Calgary.

Statistical analysis

Data were entered into a Microsoft Access database (Microsoft Corporation, USA) and analyzed using SAS version 9.2 (SAS Inc, USA). Groups were compared and associations tested using χ2 analysis. Rates of new cases to care were calculated using Statistics Canada population data (5). Poisson regression analysis was used to compare the trends of rates of new cases between 2003 and 2007. Statistical significance was set at 0.05. Multiple logistic regression modelling was performed to provide independent risk factors for late presentation (combined opportunistic infection [OI] or CD4 <200 cells/mm3). Adjusted OR with 95% CI was estimated.

RESULTS

Trends in access to care

By the end of 2007, there were 2263 HIV-positive persons in care in Manitoba, Saskatchewan and southern Alberta (Table 1). Males accounted for 1674 of the cases (74.0%) and females for 589 (26.0%) cases. Alberta had the largest number of persons in care (49% of the total), followed by Manitoba (36%) and Saskatchewan (15%). Approximately one-third of cases in care in Manitoba and Saskatchewan were women, but with fewer in Alberta (18%).

TABLE 1.

Current HIV-positive cases in care according to province

Manitoba Saskatchewan Southern Alberta Total
Male 546 (67.9) 218 (62.5) 910 (82.0) 1674 (74.0)
Female 258 (32.1) 131 (37.5) 200 (18.0) 589 (26.0)
Total, n 804 349 1110 2263

Data presented as n (%), unless otherwise indicated

Rates of new cases to care across the prairie provinces are shown in Table 2, with results from Poisson regression analysis shown in Table 3. In the prairie region, overall there was a 12% increase per year in new HIV cases to care between 2003 and 2007 (P=0.026), with male rates being 60% higher than female rates over this time period (P=0.002). Compared with southern Alberta during this period, Manitoba and Saskatchewan had higher rates of HIV cases in care (RR 1.88 and 2.04, respectively). When stratified according to province, there were significant increases in new HIV cases to care in Saskatchewan (RR 1.14) and southern Alberta (RR 1.25), while a significant increase in Manitoba was not observed. In addition, southern Alberta (RR 3.05) and Manitoba (RR 2.25) showed significantly more new male cases to care, whereas in Saskatchewan there were no significant differences between the rates of males and females.

TABLE 2.

Rate of new HIV-positive cases to care according to province, between 2003 and 2007

Year
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Manitoba
  Male 9.5 7.8 12.7 10.6 10.5
  Female 4.2 5.1 3.3 5.9 4.1
Saskatchewan
  Male 4.4 6.2 6.8 10.8 9.6
  Female 8.7 7.3 6.5 7.8 11.6
Southern Alberta
  Male 3.3 4.9 5.7 5.8 9.7
  Female 1.5 1.9 1.3 1.8 3.2

Data presented as rate per 100,000 persons

TABLE 3.

Poisson regression analysis of new HIV cases to care, according to province, between 2003 and 2007

Rate ratio 95% CI P
Overall
Year 1.12 1.01–1.24 0.026
Male 1.60 1.19–2.13 0.002
Southern Alberta Reference
Manitoba 1.88 1.28–2.78 0.001
Saskatchewan 2.04 1.39–2.98 <0.0001
Province
Manitoba
  Year 1.04 0.96–0.99 0.37
  Male 2.26 1.79–4.03 <0.0001
Saskatchewan
  Year 1.14 1.06–1.21 0.001
  Male 0.90 0.72–0.65 0.386
Southern Alberta
  Year 1.25 1.14–1.43 <0.0001
  Male 3.08 2.25–6.91 <0.0001

Demographic and risk factors among patients at first presentation to care

In 2007, there were 222 new HIV cases to care across the provinces, with significantly more men than women (P<0.0001). The majority of patients presenting to care in 2007 across the prairies were in the younger age group. The most common age category among cases newly accessing care was 18 to 39 years (51%).

Table 4 shows detailed data on HIV-positive cases who were new to care in 2007. Heterosexual transmission was the most commonly reported risk category for transmission across the sites among both men and women, followed by IDU, although variability was seen across the provinces and between sexes. Compared with Saskatchewan and Alberta, a larger proportion of HIV cases in Manitoba was reported to be from HIV-endemic countries (P<0.0001), but this was mainly among women. Saskatchewan had a relatively high rate of IDU as the primary risk factor for transmission (P<0.0001), and southern Alberta had the highest proportion of MSM (P<0.0001), compared with the other two provinces. Heterosexual sex remained the most commonly reported mode of transmission across the prairies.

TABLE 4.

Descriptive characteristics of the new HIV-positive cases for 2007 according to province

Characteristics Manitoba
Saskatchewan
Southern Alberta
Total
Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female
HIV risk factor
  Heterosexual 30 (65.2) 17 (85.0) 21 (58.3) 22 (48.9) 28 (50.0) 18 (100.0) 79 (57.2) 57 (68.7)
  Endemic 4 (8.7) 8 (40.0) 0 (0.00) 0 (0.00) 0 (0.00) 2 (11.1) 4 (2.9) 10 (12.0)
  MSM 15 (32.6) 0 (0.00) 8 (22.2) 0 (0.0) 30 (53.6) 0 (0.0) 53 (38.1) 0 (0.0)
  Injection drug use 7 (15.2) 3 (15.0) 22 (61.1) 39 (86.7) 2 (3.60) 2 (11.1) 31 (22.5) 44 (53.0)
Ethnicity
  Aboriginal 10 (21.3) 7 (35.0) 20 (57.1) 38 (84.4) 3 (5.30) 2 (11.1) 33 (23.7) 47 (56.6)
  Non-Aboriginal 37 (78.7) 13 (65.0) 15 (42.9) 7 (15.6) 54 (94.7) 16 (88.9) 106 (76.3) 36 (43.4)
CD4 count <200 cells/mm3 22 (46.8) 11 (55.0) 13 (36.1) 11 (24.4) 17 (29.8) 4 (22.2) 52 (37.1) 26 (31.3)
Total male/female 46 (70.0) 20 (30.3) 36 (44.4) 45 (55.5) 57 (77.0) 18 (24.3) 139 (62.6)* 83 (37.4)

Data presented as n (%).

*

Significantly more men than women, P<0.0001. MSM Men who have sex with men

The Aboriginal population remains over-represented with approximately 36% of new cases self-reporting as Aboriginal, with Saskatchewan having the largest number of new cases identifying as Aboriginal compared with the other provinces (P<0.0001).

The mean and median CD4 count at presentation overall were 326 cells/mm3 and 277 cells/mm3, respectively. There was a statistically significant difference in CD4 count at presentation among the provinces. The median CD4 count at presentation in Manitoba was 203 cells/mm3, while median CD4 counts in Saskatchewan and Alberta were 345 cells/mm3and 296 cells/mm3, respectively (P=0.005). Additional information on clinical status at time of presentation is shown in Table 4. Late presentation was common, with almost 35% of new cases presenting with CD4 counts of less than 200 cells/mm3. By province, fewer persons presented with CD4 counts of less than 200 cells/mm3 in Alberta and Saskatchewan (28.4% and 29.6%, respectively) compared with 50.0% in Manitoba (P=0.01). Approximately equal numbers of Aboriginals and non-Aboriginals presented with CD4 counts of less than 200 cells/mm3 (36.3% compared with 34.5%, P=0.79). After controlling for sex and ethnicity, with multivariate analysis, combining a CD4 counts of less than 200 cells/mm3 and the presence of an OI at presentation, persons from endemic countries and having MSM as a risk factor were less likely to present late compared with persons reporting heterosexual transmission as their risk factor for HIV transmission. Furthermore, persons from Manitoba remained more likely to present late to care (Table 5).

TABLE 5.

Determinants of late presentation to care by multivariate analysis (2007), n=221

Characteristic Late presentation adjusted OR (95% CI)
Heterosexual 1.00 (reference)
From HIV-endemic country* 0.27 (0.07–0.98)
MSM* 0.39 (0.18–0.84)
Injection drug use 0.66 (0.34–1.3)
Alberta/Saskatchewan 1.00 (reference)
Manitoba* 2.49 (1.30–4.80)
*

P<0.05. MSM Men who have sex with men

Overall, 38 persons (17%) presented to care for the first time with an OI. Pneumocystis pneumonia was the most common OI (14 cases), followed by tuberculosis (five cases). Just over 20% of all new cases to care were coinfected with hepatitis C (as identified by polymerase chain reaction), 76% of whom disclosed a history of IDU as a risk factor for transmission.

DISCUSSION

There were approximately 2300 HIV-positive persons in care in the prairie provinces in 2007, with increasing numbers of new diagnoses over the past five years. This is in contrast to national trends, where a stabilization in the number of new positive tests was reported in 2008 (1,6). Women account for greater than one-quarter of the current cases in care, also slightly higher than the national average (1,2). Of the new cases to care in 2007, women accounted for more than 37%.

Diversity is seen across the prairie provinces with Saskatchewan having the greatest proportion of HIV-positive women currently in care. As well, risk factors for transmission varied across the provinces. Overall, heterosexual transmission accounted for much of the transmission; however, Saskatchewan had the greatest number of new cases reporting IDU as their risk factor and Alberta saw a high proportion of MSM activity.

High rates of HIV infection are being seen among the Aboriginal population in the prairie provinces. Approximately 36% of new cases overall self-report as Aboriginal, which is significantly higher than the national average of 21.4% (1). Although American Indians and Alaska Natives only account for less than 1% of infections in the United States, when population size is taken in to account, they rank third behind African Americans and Hispanics (7). A study from British Columbia (8) reported that HIV-infected Aboriginal persons had an increased risk of mortality. In addition, other studies (9,10) have demonstrated lower uptake and longer time to access care among the Aboriginal population in Canada. The present study did not demonstrate significantly higher rates of Aboriginals presenting with CD4 counts of less than 200 cells/mm3, but there remains an over-representation of Aboriginal persons infected with HIV and further research is required to understand the factors influencing the outcomes of Aboriginal HIV-positive persons in care in this region.

Overall, significant numbers of HIV-infected persons presented late to care in the prairie provinces with serious OIs, which has also been demonstrated in other Canadian epidemiological reports (11). In Manitoba, one-half of the new cases to care presented with CD4 counts of less than 200 cells/mm3, which is by definition AIDS. Late diagnosis is associated with increased risk for morbidity and mortality (1214) and has an impact on the degree and extent of CD4 recovery (15). Furthermore, with delayed diagnosis, there is increased opportunity for onward transmission of HIV (13). Current guidelines recommend initiation of antiretroviral treatment when the CD4 count is equal to or below 350 cells/mm3, and two recent studies have suggested a benefit to starting antiretroviral treatment even earlier (1619). Clearly, more work needs to be undertaken to develop approaches to facilitate earlier HIV diagnosis, linkage and engagement in care. Expanded testing options, harm reduction programs and broader positive prevention messages need to be considered.

The present study was limited by its retrospective nature becasue it only provides a snapshot in time of trends in HIV transmission and clinical care in the prairie provinces. Furthermore, the present study only captured information on HIV-positive persons presenting to care. As well, we only captured limited data regarding ethnicity; however, data were gathered by self-report. To our knowledge, the present study is the first to describe the distribution or risk among HIV-positive patients in the prairie provinces. These clinics provide the majority of care to HIV-positive persons who are aware of their status in Manitoba, Saskatchewan and southern Alberta and, therefore, the present study provides a good overview and description of the individuals currently accessing HIV care in these provinces.

After more than two decades of increasing investment and response effort, the global HIV epidemic continues to expand. This is true in the prairie provinces, where we have observed increasing numbers of cases over the past five years with a substantial proportion of cases presenting late to care. In addition to an increase in testing campaigns, prevention efforts need to be scaled up and targeted to address at-risk populations, to ensure earlier diagnosis and clinical care.

Acknowledgments

This work was supported by Gilead Canada. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Gilead Canada.

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