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Journal of Clinical Microbiology logoLink to Journal of Clinical Microbiology
. 2012 Aug;50(8):2767–2769. doi: 10.1128/JCM.01054-12

Prognostic Value of Indeterminate IFN-γ Release Assay Results in HIV-1 Infection

Maximilian C Aichelburg a,, Julia Tittes a, Florian Breitenecker a, Thomas Reiberger b, Norbert Kohrgruber a, Armin Rieger a
PMCID: PMC3421503  PMID: 22593598

Abstract

In this prospective, longitudinal study on 948 HIV-1-infected patients, subjects with an indeterminate IFN-γ (gamma interferon) release assay (IGRA) result at baseline were at significantly higher risk of developing AIDS-defining manifestations other than tuberculosis (TB) irrespective of CD4+ T cell count. Thus, in HIV-1-infected patients with advanced quantitative CD4+ T cell depletion, an indeterminate IGRA might indicate an additional loss of global T cell function, warranting detailed clinical evaluation and careful follow-up.

TEXT

Mycobacterium tuberculosis-specific IFN-γ (gamma interferon) release assays (IGRAs) are widely used screening tools for the detection of tuberculosis (TB) infection, and their implementation has been incorporated in several national TB guidelines (10).

Indeterminate results of the QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube assay (QFT-GIT) (Cellestis, Carnegie, Australia) (8), i.e., results neither positive nor negative, have been reported with a frequency of up to 14% in individuals infected with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) (1).

Among HIV-1-uninfected individuals, indeterminate QFT-GIT results have been associated with advanced age and underlying disease in patients receiving immunosuppressive treatment (6). In a study carried out among HIV-1-infected patients in Tanzania, both male patients and patients aged ≥33 years were more likely to have an indeterminate QFT-GIT result (1). However, the prognostic value of indeterminate QFT-GIT results in terms of the subsequent development of AIDS-defining manifestations and/or death is unknown.

This study is part of a project initiated in 2006 to evaluate the QFT-GIT assay for routine use in HIV-1-infected individuals in a low-incidence country (2).

(This work was presented in part at the 6th International AIDS Society Conference on HIV Pathogenesis, Treatment and Prevention, 17 to 20 July 2011, Rome, Italy [abstract TUPE158].)

Venous blood samples were drawn in three QFT-GIT evacuated tubes, precoated with either M. tuberculosis-specific antigens (ESAT-6, CFP-10, and TB7.7), phytohemagglutinin (PHA) for the positive control, or no antigen (nil) for the negative control. The QFT-GIT assay was performed as recommended by the manufacturers (3). The CD4+ T cell count and HIV-1 RNA viral load were measured at the time of blood draw for the QFT-GIT assay.

Statistical analyses were conducted with SPSS, version 16.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL). Median values were compared by the nonparametric Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney U rank-sum test. The χ2 or Fisher's exact test was used to compare proportions. Multivariate analyses were performed by general linear and Cox proportional hazard regression models. All P values were two-tailed, and P < 0.05 was considered to denote statistical significance.

Independent predictors for indeterminate QFT-GIT results.

Baseline characteristics of the study participants are shown in Table 1. The QFT-GIT assay yielded indeterminate results in 5.8% (55/948) of subjects. All indeterminate QFT-GIT results were caused by inadequate IFN-γ response in the positive control.

Table 1.

Baseline characteristics of HIV-1-infected subjects undergoing QFT-GIT testing

Characteristic n QFT-GIT determinate QFT-GIT indeterminate Pa
No. of subjects 948 893 55
Demographic category
    Sex, no. (%)
        Female 284 262 (29) 22 (40)
        Male 664 631 (71) 33 (60) 0.094
    Median age, yr (IQR) 39 (31–46) 39 (31–46) 35 (29–44) 0.066
    Age in yr by stratum, no. (%)
        <30 190 174 (19) 16 (29)
        30–40 333 313 (35) 20 (37)
        41–50 281 266 (30) 15 (27) 0.084
        >50 144 140 (16) 4 (7)
    Ethnicity, no. (%)
        White 829 784 (88) 45 (82) 0.194
        Black 92 86 (10) 6 (11) 0.756
        Asian 18 15 (1.5) 3 (5) 0.081
        Latino 9 8 (0.5) 1 (2) 0.417
HIV-1-related factors
    Mode of infection with HIV-1, no. (%)
        Heterosexual contact 376 356 (40) 20 (36) 0.606
        Homosexual contact 352 338 (38) 14 (25) 0.561
        Injection-drug use 187 169 (19) 18 (33) 0.013
        Other or unknown 33 30 (3) 3 (6) 0.433
    Median CD4+ T cell count, at enrollment (IQR) 385 (254.3–553.8) 393 (269.5–565.5) 188 (75–363) <0.001
    CD4+ T cell count/mm3 by stratum, no. (%)
        <100 71 56 (6) 15 (27) <0.001
        100–200 98 83 (9) 15 (27) <0.001
        201–350 234 223 (25) 11 (20) 0.407
        351–500 237 231 (26) 6 (11) 0.033
        >500 308 300 (34) 8 (15) 0.013
    Median CD4+ T cell nadir (IQR) 201 (89–314.8) 208 (94–316.5) 107 (18–249) 0.001
    Median log10 HIV RNA (IQR) 1.99 (1.7–4.5) 1.76 (1.7–4.5) 3.74 (1.7–5.2) 0.002
    HIV-1 RNA copies/ml by stratum, no. (%)
        <50 460 442 (50) 18 (33) 0.087
        >100,000 135 117 (13) 18 (33) <0.001
    On ART, at enrollment, no. (%) 526 500 (56) 26 (47) 0.657
    Prior AIDS manifestation, no. (%) 206 184 (21) 22 (40) <0.001
    Prior active TB, no. (%) 30 30 (3) 0 (0) 0.412
a

Values in boldface are statistically significant.

A total of 55.5% (526/948) of the study population was on antiretroviral therapy (ART) at study enrollment. Although a greater proportion of patients with determinate than with indeterminate QFT-GIT results were receiving ART, this difference was not statistically significant (56.0% versus 47.3%, P = 0.657) (Table 1).

Patients with an indeterminate QFT-GIT result were more likely to have acquired HIV-1 infection by intravenous drug abuse than were subjects with determinate QFT-GIT results (odds ratio [OR], 2.1; P < 0.05; Table 2). Among patients with indeterminate QFT-GIT results, both median actual (188 versus 393 cells/mm3; P < 0.001) and nadir (107 versus 208 cells/mm3; P = 0.001) CD4+ T cell counts were significantly lower while median HIV-1 RNA levels were significantly higher (3.7 versus 1.8 log10 copies/ml, P = 0.002) than in subjects with interpretable results. Forty percent versus 20.6% of subjects with an indeterminate or determinate QFT-GIT result, respectively, had previously been diagnosed with an AIDS-defining disease according to the CDC classification (4) (OR, 2.0; P = 0.079). Male sex and age of >30 years were not associated with an indeterminate QFT-GIT result (Table 2).

Table 2.

Multivariate analysis of risk factors for indeterminate QFT-GIT results

Risk factor Total no. of subjects with QFT-GIT results (n = 948) Total no. of subjects with indeterminate QFT-GIT results (n = 55) OR (95% CI) Pa Adjusted OR (95% CI) Pa
Male sex 664 33 0.6 (0.4–1.1) 0.094 0.8 (0.5–1.8) 0.476
Age of >30 yr 719 39 0.6 (0.3–1.1) 0.084 0.5 (0.4–1.2) 0.384
Injection drug use 187 18 2.1 (1.2–3.8) 0.013 2.1 (1.4–3.4) 0.038
CD4+ T cell count of <100 cells/mm3 71 15 5.6 (2.9–10.8) <0.001 4.9 (2.5–7.9) <0.001
HIV-1 RNA level of >100,000 copies/ml 135 18 3.6 (2.0–6.6) <0.001 3.2 (2.0–4.8) 0.016
On ART, at enrollment 526 26 0.9 (0.5–1.5) 0.657
Prior AIDS manifestation 206 22 2.9 (1.7–5.1) <0.001 2.0 (1.2–3.5) 0.079
a

Values in boldface are statistically significant.

Development of AIDS-defining illnesses and/or death during follow-up.

The median follow-up time for the 948 subjects was 33 months (interquartile range [IQR], 27 to 39). Eighty-one percent (768/948) or 94.9% (900/948) of patients had a follow-up time of at least 24 or 12 months, respectively. During the observational period, 37 individuals (3.9%; 37/948) were newly diagnosed with an AIDS-defining manifestation with a median delay of 403.5 days (IQR, 313.25 to 439.75) from inclusion. The most frequently observed AIDS-defining illnesses were esophageal candidiasis, Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia, and wasting syndrome. Active TB was exclusively observed in subjects with determinate (positive) QFT-GIT results. At baseline, 14.4% (8/55) and 3.2% (29/893) of the 37 patients who progressed to AIDS had been tested as QFT-GIT indeterminate and determinate, respectively (OR, 5.1; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.2 to 11.7; P < 0.001). Provision of ART at enrollment and at follow-up as well as virological suppression was equally distributed between the two QFT-GIT groups.

Overall, 41 patients died during follow-up. The most frequent cause of death was bacterial and/or fungal infection followed by acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS).

The rate of progression to AIDS or death was 21.8% (12/55) among QFT-GIT-indeterminate subjects and 6.5% (58/893) among patients with positive or negative QFT-GIT results (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed the following independent risk factors for progression to AIDS and/or death: HIV-1 RNA level of >100,000 copies/ml (HR, 6.3; P = 0.001) and indeterminate QFT-GIT result (HR, 3.8; P < 0.05) (Table 3).

Table 3.

Risk factors for the development of AIDS-defining manifestations and/or death

Risk factor No. (%) of subjects with AIDS and/or death (n = 70) HRa (95% CI) Pb
Age of >30 yr 60 (86) 0.72 (0.31–1.68) 0.446
Male sex 48 (69) 1.10 (0.40–3.02) 0.851
CD4+ T cell count of <100 cells/mm3 24 (34) 2.76 (0.88–8.66) 0.083
HIV-1 RNA level of >100,000 copies/ml 25 (36) 6.33 (2.08–19.22) 0.001
On ART at baseline 36 (51) 0.87 (0.40–1.91) 0.089
QFT-GIT indeterminate result 12 (17) 3.75 (1.18–11.87) 0.025
a

HR, hazard ratio.

b

Values in boldface are statistically significant.

In this study, a total of 168 subjects (17.7%) had a CD4+ T cell count of <200 cells/mm3 at baseline. The QFT-GIT assay was determinate in 82.1% (138/168) and indeterminate in 17.9% (30/168) of subjects. There was no difference between QFT-GIT-determinate and -indeterminate subjects in terms of median CD4+ T cell count, HIV-1 RNA level, and ART provision as well as virological suppression at baseline and follow-up.

Within the follow-up period, however, AIDS-defining manifestations occurred in 7 QFT-GIT-indeterminate compared to 11 QFT-GIT-determinate individuals (23.3% versus 8.0%; OR, 3.5; P < 0.05). Of these 18 patients, 8 had been on ART at baseline and 10 were started on ART during follow-up, with three patients not being virologically suppressed at the time of AIDS.

In this prospective, longitudinal study on HIV-1-infected individuals followed for 3 years, the QFT-GIT assay yielded indeterminate results in 5.8% of the 948 subjects tested. In patients with indeterminate QFT-GIT results, median CD4+ T cell counts were significantly lower than those in subjects with a determinate QFT-GIT result, consistent with previously published data (2, 7). In terms of risk factors for indeterminate QFT-GIT results, we found that in addition to low actual and nadir CD4+ T cell counts, both injection-drug use and high HIV-1 RNA load were associated with indeterminate results.

So far, no longitudinal and prospective study on the value of new-generation IGRAs, focusing on TB-related and unrelated clinical outcomes of a larger cohort of HIV-1-infected subjects, has been published (9). To the best of our knowledge, this part of our single-center study is the first to assess the prognostic value of indeterminate and determinate QFT-GIT results in HIV-1 infection. None of the subjects tested as QFT-GIT indeterminate developed active TB disease within the follow-up period. Despite the fact that ART was provided to all subjects according to the European AIDS Clinical Society (EACS) guidelines (5) and that the majority of patients had been on ART at study inclusion, the rate of progression to AIDS-defining illnesses was significantly higher among individuals with an indeterminate QFT-GIT result than among patients with a determinate QFT-GIT result. Furthermore, in patients with a CD4+ T cell count of <200 cells/mm3, an indeterminate QFT-GIT result indicated a significantly increased risk for the development of AIDS-defining diseases.

The limitations of this study include its single-center nature and the fact that individuals with positive and/or indeterminate QFT-GIT results may have been monitored more closely than were those with negative test results. However, at least one chest X-ray and/or computed tomography of the chest and abdomen was performed in all subjects every year to mitigate this limitation.

Collectively, there is now growing evidence that IGRAs perform well both in immunocompetent individuals and in patients with moderate immunodeficiency. However, among patients with advanced immunodeficiency, those with an indeterminate QFT-GIT result are at increased risk of serious clinical events other than TB. Thus, in HIV-1-infected patients with advanced quantitative CD4+ T cell depletion, an indeterminate QFT-GIT might indicate an additional loss of global T cell function warranting detailed clinical evaluation and careful follow-up.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

We thank Regina Aichwalder, Silvia Reichholf, and Alexander Riegler for excellent technical assistance and the patients who participated in this study.

M.C.A., A.R., and N.K. designed the study and enrolled patients. M.C.A., J.T., F.B., and N.K. contributed to data collection. T.R. performed statistical analysis. M.C.A., J.T., F.B., T.R., A.R., and N.K. participated in data interpretation. M.C.A. wrote the article.

All authors have read and approved the final manuscript.

There were no conflicts of interest for any author and no financial support.

Footnotes

Published ahead of print 16 May 2012

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