Skip to main content
UKPMC Funders Author Manuscripts logoLink to UKPMC Funders Author Manuscripts
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Occup Environ Med. 2012 Aug 3;70(1):29–34. doi: 10.1136/oemed-2012-100689

RISK FACTORS FOR NEW ONSET AND PERSISTENCE OF MULTI-SITE MUSCULOSKELETAL PAIN IN A LONGITUDINAL STUDY OF WORKERS IN CRETE

Eleni Solidaki 1, Leda Chatzi 1, Panos Bitsios 2, David Coggon 3, Keith T Palmer 3, Manolis Kogevinas 4,5,6,7
PMCID: PMC3526653  EMSID: EMS50168  PMID: 22864252

Abstract

Objectives

To explore occupational and psychological risk factors for the incidence and persistence of multi-site musculoskeletal pain.

Methods

We conducted a longitudinal investigation of three occupational groups in Crete, Greece. Baseline information was obtained at interview about pain in the past year at each of six anatomical sites, and about possible risk factors for subsequent symptoms. Twelve months later, subjects were re-interviewed about pain at the same anatomical sites in the past month. Pain at two or more sites was classed as multi-site. Associations with new development and persistence of multi-site pain at follow-up were assessed by logistic regression.

Results

Analysis was based on 518 subjects (87% of those originally selected for study). At follow-up, multi-site pain persisted in 217 (62%) of those who had experienced it in the year before baseline, and was newly developed in 27 (17%) of those who had not. Persistence of multi-site pain was significantly related to physical loading at work, somatising tendency and beliefs about work as a cause of musculoskeletal pain, with ORs (95%CIs) for the highest relative to the lowest exposure categories of 2.3 (1.0-5.6), 2.6 (1.5-4.6) and 1.9 (1.1-3.3) respectively. Development of new multi-site pain was most strongly associated with working for ≥ 40 hours per week (OR 5.0, 95%CI 1.1-24.0).

Conclusions

Our findings confirm the importance of both physical loading at work and somatising tendency as risk factors for multi-site pain, and suggest that persistence of pain is also influenced by adverse beliefs about work-causation.

Introduction

Widespread pain is common in the general population of western countries [1,2], and frequently persistent [3-5]. It impacts adversely on physical fitness and activities of daily living [6,7], is associated with poor general health status and psychological distress [8-10], predicts future mortality [11-13], and in working populations carries an increased risk of long-term sickness absence [14,15], and of poor self-reported work ability [16,17].

The overall economic impact of musculoskeletal disorders is substantial. In one Norwegian study from 2003, 45% of all lost working days in one year were attributed to musculoskeletal illness.[14] However, studies of occupational risk factors for musculoskeletal complaints have generally focused on pain at single anatomical sites, and only occasionally considered multi-site pain as a primary outcome. More often, pain at one site is treated as a risk factor when looking at associations with, or prognosis of, pain at another site. A few studies have suggested that physical exposures and psychosocial factors, such as low social support and work monotony, play a role in the occurrence of regional and/or widespread pain [12,18,19] (sometimes defined by the criteria of the American College of Rheumatology as a specific combination of multi-site pain [20]). And in a cross-sectional survey carried out in Crete, Greece, we found that disabling multi-site pain was strongly associated with physical load at work as well as with tendency to somatise [21]. However, it was unclear whether, and to what extent, experience of pain increased subjects’ awareness of occupational physical activities, causing them to report the activities more frequently, and also whether the observed association related to the incidence of multi-site pain or to its persistence once it had developed.

To address this uncertainty, we here present findings from a longitudinal analysis based on follow-up of the same study sample after an interval of one year. Our aim was to explore whether the previously reported cross-sectional association of multi-site pain with physical workload was causal, and whether risk factors influenced the incidence or persistence of multi-site pain.

Methods

This study was the Greek component of the CUPID (Cultural and Psychosocial Influences on Disability) study, which is a multinational investigation conducted in 18 countries [22] . The initial study sample enrolled in 2006 comprised: a random subset of nurses from Heraklion University Hospital (N=240); all office workers employed at Heraklion University who were registered as computer users (N=202); and all postal clerks who sorted mail by hand at the central mail-sorting postal offices of the four prefectures of Crete (N=154). The study size was defined by the protocol of the international CUPID study and was increased to reach adequate power for the evaluation of estimated prevalences of individual musculoskeletal pain in relation to specific risk factors. To be included, subjects had to be aged 21-60 years, and to have worked for at least one year in their current job.

At baseline, subjects who provided written informed consent were interviewed using a structured questionnaire. This was mainly a Greek translation of the questionnaire used in the international CUPID study, which had originally been developed in English. Among other things, it asked about demographic characteristics, musculoskeletal pain during the past year, physical activities at work, psychosocial aspects of work, mental health, distress from common somatic symptoms, and health beliefs.

Pain was assessed with the help of pictures illustrating the six body regions of interest (low back, neck, shoulder, elbow, wrist/hand and knee). For each site, the questionnaire asked about pain that had lasted for at least one day in the past year before baseline and in the past month before follow-up. Pain was classed as multi-site if it had occurred in two or more of the six anatomical sites.

The questions about occupational activities were used to classify subjects according to the number of strenuous physical activities (from 0 to 7) that were performed in an average working day . Specifically we inquired about: lifting weights of 25 Kg or more by hand ; working with the hands above shoulder height for >1 hour in total ; repeated bending and straightening of the elbow for >1 hour in total ; using a keyboard or typewriter for >4 hours in total , carrying out other repetitive tasks involving the wrist or fingers for >4 hours in total ; kneeling or squatting for >1 hour in total and climbing up and down >30 flights of stairs .

The questions on psychosocial aspects of work covered hours worked per week (classified as < or ≥ 40), job satisfaction (high if the subject was “satisfied” or “very satisfied” with their job), job demands (classed as high if the work entailed piecework, targets or time pressure), job control (classed as high if there was “sometimes” or “often” discretion over what work was done, how work was done or timetables and breaks); job support (high if the subject reported that support was available sometimes or often from colleagues, supervisor or manager), and job security (high if the subject felt their employment would be “very safe” or “safe” if they were off work sick for three months).

Mental health was assessed using elements from the SF-36 questionnaire [23], and classified to three levels (good, intermediate and poor) corresponding to approximate thirds of the observed distribution of scores in the study sample. Questions about somatising tendency were taken from the Brief Symptom Inventory (BSI) [24], and subjects were classified according to the number of symptoms out of a total of seven (faintness or dizziness, pains in the heart or chest, nausea or upset stomach, trouble getting breath, numbness or tingling, weakness and hot or cold spells) that had been at least moderately distressing during the past week.

Questions on health beliefs covered fear-avoidance (modified from the Fear Avoidance Beliefs Questionnaire [25], and classed as positive if the participant completely agreed both that people with upper limb or low back pain should avoid activity and that rest was needed for recovery) and work causation (strong if the subject completely agreed that pain, both in the upper limb and low back, was most commonly caused by work, weak when the perception was limited to only one of these anatomical sites, and otherwise classed as “none”.

In addition to questions from the CUPID study, the baseline questionnaire also included validated translations of the 20-item Toronto Alexithymia Scale (TAS-20) [26] and the Beck Depression Inventory-II (BDI-II) [27]. Standard cut-points were used to classify subjects with regard to alexithymia (difficulty identifying and expressing one’s feelings – classed as normal, “grey zone” or alexithymic) and depression (normal, mild or moderate/severe) [28,29].

One year after entry to the study, subjects were contacted by mail or phone and were asked to answer a further, shorter questionnaire at interview. This included questions about musculoskeletal pain similar to those asked at baseline, but focusing mainly on symptoms in the past month. Subjects were considered to have multisite pain at follow-up if they reported pain during the past month at more than one of the six anatomical sites covered in the questionnaire.

STATA/SE 10 software was used for the statistical analysis. We constructed logistic regression models to explore associations of multi-site pain at 12 months with risk factors assessed at baseline, and applied the Wald test [30] to assess the significance of differences between the associations of risk factors with new development of multi-site pain in people who did not have it in the year before baseline and their associations with persistence of multi-site pain in those who did. Each potential risk factor was examined in a separate regression model with adjustment for age, sex and main occupation. Risk factors that were significantly associated with the outcome of interest in these analyses were then entered into a single multivariable model, together with age, sex and main occupation. Statistical significance was set at P<0.05.

The study protocol was approved by the Scientific Board Committee of the University Hospital of Heraklion.

Results

Among the 596 subjects selected for study, 564 completed the baseline assessment, and 539 also answered the follow-up questionnaire. These included 518 (87% of the original sample) who provided complete information on pain history, and were included in our analysis. Participants were similar to non-participants in terms of age, sex and mean number of anatomical sites with pain in the past year at baseline.

Table 1 shows the prevalence of multi-site pain in the past month at follow-up, according to sex, age (at baseline), occupation, and whether or not pain had been present at multiple sites during the year before entry to the study. Multi-site pain at follow-up was reported by almost half of all participants, being more common in women (49%) than men (44%). It occurred in 217 (62%) of those who had pain at multiple sites in the year prior to baseline (“persistent multi-site pain”) and 27 (17%) of those who did not (“new-onset multi-site pain”).The mean number of painful sites at follow-up was 2.9 for those with persistent multi-site pain and 2.3 for the new-onset group. Among the participants with new-onset multi-site pain, approximately half reported no pain at baseline, and the remainder had experienced pain in the past year at a single site.

Table 1.

One-month prevalence of multi-site pain at follow-up according to sex, age, occupation and pain history at baseline

Baseline characteristics Number of
Subjects
Number (%) of subjects
with multi-site pain in past
month at follow-up
Sex
 Male 171 75 (44%)
 Female 347 169(49%)
Age (years)
 20-29 27 7 (26%)
 30-39 240 123 (51%)
 40-49 195 92 (47%)
 ≥50 53 22 (42%)
Occupation
 Nurse 212 112 (53%)
 Office worker 189 75 (40%)
 Postal clerk 117 57 (49%)
Multi-site pain in past year
 No 168 27 (16%)
 Yes 350 217 (62%)

Table 2 displays the associations of new-onset and multi-site pain with sex, age and occupational risk factors. Although age and sex were not significantly associated with either new-onset or persistent multi-site pain, the risk that multi-site pain was persistent varied by occupation, being higher in postal clerks and nurses than in office workers (ORs 2.0, 95%CI 1.0-4.1 and 1.9, 95%CI 1.1-3.1 respectively). A similar pattern was observed for new-onset multi-site pain although the differences between occupations were not significant at the 5% level. Among subjects who were initially free from multi-site pain, after allowance for sex, age and occupation, new-onset multi-site pain was significantly associated with working ≥40 hours per week (OR 5.0, 95%CI 1.1-24.0) ,whereas persistence of multi-site pain among those who had suffered from it in the year before baseline was unrelated to working hours. This difference in prediction of new-onset as compared with persistence of multi-site pain was statistically significant (p<0.05). Additionally, persistence was strongly predicted by exposure to physical loading at work (OR 3.2, 95%CI 1.4-7.4, for 4-7 vs. 0–1 strenuous activities). None of the other occupational risk factors examined was significantly associated with either onset or persistence of multi-site pain.

Table 2.

Associations of sex, age and occupational risk factors with new development and persistence of multi-site pain

Risk Factora New onset of
multi-site pain
Persistence of
multi-site pain
Wald testd
p-
value
No.
at
riskb
No.
of
cases
OR (95% CI) No.
at
riskc
No.
of
cases
OR (95% CI)
Age (yrs) 165 27 1.0 0.9-1.0 350 217 1.0 1.0-1.1 0.12
Sex 0.91
   Male 67 11 1 104 64 1
   Female 101 16 0.8 0.3-2.5 246 153 1.3 0.7-2.3
Main occupation 0.80
  Office worker 59 6 1 130 69 1
  Postal clerk 46 8 2.3 0.6-9.0 71 49 2.0 1.0-4.1
  Nurse 63 13 2.3 0.8-6.7 149 99 1.9 1.1-3.1
Hours worked per
week
   <40 45 2 1 83 49 1 0.04
   ≥40 123 25 5.0 (1.1-24.0) 266 167 1.0 (0.6-1.7)
Number of strenuous physical activities
   0-1 35 7 1 35 15 1 0.29
   2 35 4 0.5 (0.1-2.0) 67 34 1.2 (0.5-2.9)
   3 47 6 0.5 (0.2-1.8) 127 78 2.0 (0.9-4.3)
   4-7 51 10 0.9 (0.3-2.7) 121 90 3.2 (1.4-7.4)
Job satisfaction
   High 150 23 1 266 161 1 0.88
   Low 17 3 1 (0.3-4.0) 83 56 1.1 (0.6-1.9)
Job demands
   Low 36 4 1 64 33 1 0.98
   High 130 22 1.4 (0.4-4.8) 286 184 1.3 (0.8-2.5)
Job control
   High 69 11 1 148 84 1
   Low 99 16 0.7 (0.3-1.8) 202 133 1.2 (0.7-2.0) 0.54
Job support
   High 139 20 1 286 176 1
   Low 25 7 2.6 (0.8-8.3) 61 40 1 (0.5-1.8) 0.25
Job security
   High 135 20 1 281 174 1
   Low 31 7 1.4 (0.5-3.9) 69 43 1 (0.6-1.7) 0.49
a

Each risk factor was analysed in a separate logistic regression model, which also included sex, age (as a continuous variable) and occupation

b

Subjects who did not report pain at multiple sites in the year before baseline (information on some risk factors was missing for some participants)

c

Subjects who reported pain at multiple sites in the year before baseline (information on some risk factors was missing from some participants)

d

Wald test for significance of differences between associations with new onset and persistence of multi-site pain

Table 3 shows the relation of new-onset and persistent multi-site pain to psychological risk factors assessed at baseline. New-onset multi-site pain was less frequent in subjects who initially were depressed according the BDI-II (p for trend across levels of depression = 0.05). Paradoxically, however, it tended to be more common in those with worse mood as assessed by questions from SF-36. Persistence of multisite pain was significantly predicted by low mood (p for trend = 0.05), somatising tendency (p for trend < 0.001) and adverse beliefs about work as a cause of musculoskeletal complaints (p for trend = 0.03).

Table 3.

Associations of psychological risk factors with subsequent new development and persistence of multi-site pain

Risk Factora New onset of
multi-site pain
Persistence of
multi-site pain
Wald
testd
p-value
No.
at
riskb
No.
of
case
s
OR (95%
CI)
No.
at
riskc
No.
of
case
s
OR (95%
CI)
Mental Health
   Good 74 10 1 96 49 1 0.92
   Intermediate 62 11 1.5 (0.5-3.8) 122 79 1.9 (1.1-
3.3)
   Poor 32 6 1.5 (0.5-4.9) 132 89 1.8 (1.0-
3.2)
p-value for trend = 0.4 p-value for trend = 0.05
Number of somatic
symptoms at least
moderately distressing
   0 119 17 1 117 54 1 0.68
   1 25 5 1.4 (0.5-4.5) 54 32 1.6 (0.8-
3.2)
   2+ 24 5 1.8 (0.5-5.7) 178 131 3.3 (1.9-
5.5)
p-value for trend = 0.3 p-value for trend <0.001
Fear-avoidance
beliefs
   No 77 12 1 171 110 1 0.67
   Yes 91 15 0.9 (0.4-2.0) 179 107 0.7 (0.4-1.1)
Beliefs about work
causation
   None 57 11 1 95 47 1 0.05
   Weak 25 3 0.5 (0.1-1.9) 58 31 1.2 (0.6-
2.3)
   Strong 86 13 0.5 (0.2-1.4) 197 139 2.2 (1.3-
3.8)
p-value for trend = 0.2 p-value for trend = 0.03
Alexithymia
   Normal 117 21 1 255 161 1 0.63
   Grey zone 27 3 0.5 (0.1-2.0) 40 23 0.8 (0.4-
1.6)
   Alexithymic 14 1 0.4 (0.0-3.0) 33 20 0.8 (0.4-
1.8)
p-value for trend =0.2 p-value for trend =0.5
Depression
   Normal 114 22 1 228 136 1 0.19
   Mild 29 3 0.4 (0.1-1.6) 64 44 1.3 (0.7-
2.4)
   Moderate/seve
re
19 1 0.2 (0.0-1.6) 39 22 0.8 (0.4-
1.6)
p-value for trend = 0.05 p-value for trend = 0.9
a

Each risk factor was analysed in a separate logistic regression model, which also included sex, age (As a continuous variable) and occupation

b

Subjects who did not report pain at multiple sites in the year before baseline (information on some risk factors was missing for some participants)

c

Subjects who reported pain at multiple sites in the year before baseline (information on some risk factors was missing from some participants)

d

Wald test for significance of differences between associations with new onset and persistence of multi-site pain

When the significant predictors of persistent multi-site pain from the analyses presented in Tables 2 and 3 (occupation, physical loading, mental health, somatizing tendency and beliefs about work causation) were incorporated into a single multivariate regression model, together with sex and age, only physical loading at work, somatising tendency and work causation beliefs remained statistically significant (Table 4). In particular, the OR for report of two or more as compared with no distressing somatic symptoms was 2.6 (95%CI 1.5-4.6), and the OR for loading of 4-7 anatomical sites as compared with 0-1 was 2.3 (95% CI 1.0-5.6). As only weekly working hours was significantly associated with new-onset multi-site pain, no multivariable model was constructed for this outcome.

Table 4.

Mutually adjusted associations of selected risk factors with persistence of multi-site pain

Risk factora No. at
riskb
No. of
cases
OR (95% CI)
Main occupation
  Office worker 129 69 1
  Postal clerk 71 49 1.0 0.4-2.3
  Nurse 149 99 1.2 0.7-2.0
Number of strenuous physical
activities
   0-1 34 15 1
   2 67 34 1.1 (0.4-2.6)
   3 127 78 1.5 (0.6-3,4)
   4-7 121 90 2.3 (1.0-5.6)
Mental Health
   Good 95 49 1
   Intermediate 122 79 1.7 (0.9-3.1)
   Poor 132 89 1.3 (0.7-2.4)
Number of somatic symptoms
at least moderately
distressing
   0 117 54 1
   1 54 32 1.5 (0.8-3.1)
   2+ 178 131 2.6 (1.5-4.6)
Beliefs about work causation
   None 94 47 1
   Weak 58 31 1.1 (0.6-2.3)
   Strong 197 139 1.9 (1.1-3.3)
a

Analysis was restricted to risk factors which showed statistically significant associations when examined individually. All risk factors were analysed in a single logistic regression model, which also included sex and age (as a continuous variable).

b

Analysis was restricted to subjects with complete information on all variables

Finally, to explore the potential for residual confounding arising from pain status at baseline, we carried out sensitivity analyses, including all participants (with and without multisite pain at baseline), taking multi-site pain at follow-up as the outcome , and adjusting for the number of sites that had been painful in the past year at baseline . This affected the results of the univariate analyses only slightly, whereas in multivariate analysis, the statistical significance of the findings became marginal, although the point estimates of risk were similar (data available on request).

Discussion

This extension to our earlier cross-sectional study confirmed the high prevalence and frequent persistence of multi-site pain in the working population studied. It suggests that physical loading at work is related more to the persistence of multi-site pain than its new development, and that pain persistence is also strongly related to somatising tendency and beliefs about work as a cause of musculoskeletal pain.

The method by which subjects were selected, and the high response rates achieved, ensured that participants were representative of the occupational groups studied. Moreover, the longitudinal design, with separate analyses for subjects with and without multi-site pain at baseline, meant that reporting of exposures was not influenced by the outcomes under investigation (development and persistence of multi-site pain), and that observed associations could not be a consequence of reverse causation.

It is possible that subjects’ recall of exposures at baseline was not always accurate, but if errors occurred, they would be expected to obscure rather than spuriously exaggerate associations with the subsequent occurrence of symptoms. Another concern is that exposure to physical loading at work could have increased subjects’ awareness of pain, leading to a higher reported prevalence of symptoms at follow-up. However, this would apply to reporting of pain at baseline as well as at follow-up, and might be expected to have less impact in analyses that were stratified according to report of multi-site pain at baseline. Moreover, it would not explain why physical loading was unrelated to new onset of multi-site pain.

It remains possible that the number of sites with pain at baseline could confound longitudinal associations with multi-site pain at follow-up. This might occur, for example, if a higher number of painful sites at baseline caused lower mood at or adversely affected other baseline psychosocial risk factors, and independently made it more likely that multi-site pain was present at follow-up. However, a baseline association between number of sites affected and psychosocial risk factors could also arise because the psychosocial factor made pain more likely to occur. In this circumstance, the number of sites affected at baseline would not be confounding, but instead an intermediary in the causal chain. In practice, a baseline association between psychosocial factors and number of sites affected could result from a combination of causation in both directions. To address the possibility of a confounding effect we performed alternative analyses, including the number of painful sites at baseline as a factor of adjustment. However, this left the associations with psychological risk factors largely unchanged.

Our finding that physical loading was associated with persistence of multi-site pain accords with observations from cross-sectional studies linking prevalent pain with physical stresses [20,23]. However, other longitudinal studies have suggested that occupational activities such as heavy lifting [19], prolonged work with the hands above shoulder height [19], and working in bent positions [12], are also associated with new onset of widespread pain. It is possible that our failure to detect an effect on incidence of new pain was attributable in part to small numbers and lack of statistical power.

We found that new onset of multi-site pain was significantly predicted by prolonged working hours, but there was no corresponding association with persistence of multi-site pain. Several other studies have linked musculoskeletal disorders with long working hours, but findings have not been entirely consistent, and require further research [31].

The strong association that we observed between somatising tendency and persistence of multi-site pain is consistent with findings from cross-sectional studies [20,23,32], and from longitudinal studies of musculoskeletal pain, both at single [33,34] and multiple anatomical sites [3]. As in other studies [1], somatising tendency was also associated with new onset of multi-site pain, although the relation was not as strong as that with pain persistence.

Like somatising tendency, poor mental health has previously been found to predict both the incidence and persistence of widespread pain [8]. In our study associations were weaker than for somatising tendency, and after adjustment for other risk factors, were not statistically significant. Our finding that depression, as assessed by the BDI-II, was associated with a reduced incidence of multi-site pain was unexpected, and inconsistent with the findings for mental health assessed by questions from SF-36. Further analysis revealed that 19 of the 61 subjects classed as having moderate/severe depression by the BDI-II were assigned to the best third of the distribution of mental health scores, suggesting that there may have been problems with the way in which the BDI-II was understood or answered.

We found that persistence of multi-site pain was also predicted by strong beliefs that work is a cause of musculoskeletal pain. The relation of multi-site pain to health beliefs has been little studied previously, but earlier investigations have found that fear-avoidance beliefs were associated with poorer outcomes in patients with low back pain [35,36], and that arm pain was more likely to persist in people who attributed the symptom to work or stress [34]. One possibility is that pain is more likely to persist if a person is exposed to an activity at work which they believe causes the pain (a nocebo effect).

Our study confirms the importance of both physical loading at work and somatising tendency as risk factors for multi-site pain, and suggests that their main impact is on the persistence of pain rather than the onset of new symptoms. It also suggests that beliefs about work as a cause of musculoskeletal disorders have an important influence on the persistence of multi-site pain. This finding is novel and needs to be independently replicated in other populations. However, it suggests that interventions to reduce the persistence of multi-site pain should focus on modifying beliefs about the causal role of work on symptoms, with care not to over-emphasize the musculoskeletal risk from occupational activities.

What this paper adds

What is known

  • Studies of occupational risk factors for musculoskeletal complaints have focused on pain at single anatomical sites, and have rarely considered multi-site pain as a primary outcome.

  • It is unclear whether observed associations on occupational physical activities, psychosocial and other factors are related to the incidence of multi-site pain or to its persistence once it had developed

What this study adds

  • Findings from this study confirm the importance of both physical loading at work and somatising tendency as risk factors for multi-site pain

  • The main impact of physical loading at work and somatizing tendency is on the persistence of pain rather than the onset of new symptoms

Acknowledgements

We thank Irini Markatzi and Katerina Fanouraki for assisting in the interviews

Funding The study in Crete was partly supported by a research grant from the Colt foundation (a registered charity).

Footnotes

Competing Interests No

Contributor Statement ES designed and analysed the study, did interviews and drafted the paper. LC and MK participated in the design and analysis of the study and in drafting the paper. PB participated in the design of the part on psychological factors of the study and contributed in drafting the paper. DC and KTP are the PIs of the international CUPID study, participated in the design of the study in Greece and in drafting the paper.

Licence statement The Corresponding Author has the right to grant on behalf of all authors and does grant on behalf of all authors, an exclusive licence (or non-exclusive for government employees) on a worldwide basis to the BMJ Publishing Group Ltd and its Licensees to permit this article (if accepted) to be published in Occupational and Environmental Medicine and any other BMJPGL products to exploit all subsidiary rights, as set out in our licence (http://group.bmj.com/products/journals/instructions-for-authors/licence-forms) and the Corresponding Author accepts and understands that any supply made under these terms is made by BMJPGL to the Corresponding Author.

References

  • 1.McBeth J, Jones K. Epidemiology of chronic musculoskeletal pain. Best Pract Res Clin Rheumatol. 2007;21:403–25. doi: 10.1016/j.berh.2007.03.003. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 2.Mourão AF, Blyth FM, Branco JC. Generalised musculoskeletal pain syndromes. Best Pract Res Clin Rheumarol. 2010;24:829–40. doi: 10.1016/j.berh.2010.10.005. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 3.McBeth J, MacFarlane GJ, Hunt IM, et al. Risk factors for persistent chronic widespread pain: a community-based study. Rheumatology. 2001;40:95–101. doi: 10.1093/rheumatology/40.1.95. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 4.Papageorgiou AC, Silman AJ, Macfarlane GJ. Chronic widespread pain in the population: a seven year follow up study. Ann Rheum Dis. 2002;61:1071–4. doi: 10.1136/ard.61.12.1071. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 5.Bergman S, Herrström P, Jacobsson LTH, et al. Chronic widespread pain: a three year followup of pain distribution and risk factors. J Rheumatol. 2002;29:818–25. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 6.Kamaleri Y, Natvig B, Ihlebaek CM, et al. Localised or widespread musculoskeletal pain: does it matter? Pain. 2008;138:41–6. doi: 10.1016/j.pain.2007.11.002. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 7.Staud R. Chronic widespread pain and fibromyalgia: two sides of the same coin? Curr Rhuematol Rep. 2009;11:433–6. doi: 10.1007/s11926-009-0063-8. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 8.Bergman S, Jacobsson LTH, Herrström P, et al. Health status as measured by SF-36 reflects changes and predicts outcome in chronic musculoskeletal pain: a 3-year follow up study in the general population. Pain. 2004;108:115–23. doi: 10.1016/j.pain.2003.12.013. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 9.Carnes D, Parsons S, Ashby D, et al. Chronic musculoskeletal pain rarely presents in a single body site: results from a UK population study. Rheumatol. 2007;46:1168–70. doi: 10.1093/rheumatology/kem118. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 10.Haukka E, Leino-Arjas P, Ojajärvi A, et al. Mental stress and psychological factors at work in relation to multiple-site musculoskeletal pain: a longitudinal study of kitchen workers. Eur J Pain. 2011;15:432–8. doi: 10.1016/j.ejpain.2010.09.005. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 11.Macfarlane GJ, McBeth J, Silman AJ. Widespread body pain and mortality: prospective population based study. Br Med J. 2001;323:1–5. doi: 10.1136/bmj.323.7314.662. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 12.Andersson HI. The course of non-malignant chronic pain: a 12-year follow-up of a cohort from the general population. Eur J Pain. 2004;8:47–53. doi: 10.1016/S1090-3801(03)00064-8. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 13.Andersson HI. Increased mortality among individuals with chronic widespread pain relates to lifestyle factors: a prospective population-based study. Disab Rehab. 2009;31:1980–7. doi: 10.3109/09638280902874154. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 14.Morken T, Riise T, Moen B, et al. Low back pain and widespread pain predict sickness absence among industrial workers. BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders. 2003;4:21. doi: 10.1186/1471-2474-4-21. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 15.Nyman T, Grooten WJA, Wiktorin C, et al. Sickness absence and concurrent low back and neck-shoulder pain: results from the MUSIC-Norrtälje study. Eur Spine J. 2007;16:631–8. doi: 10.1007/s00586-006-0152-6. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 16.Miranda H, Kaila-Kangas M, Heliovaara P, et al. Musculoskeletal pain at multiple sites and its effects on work ability in a general working population. Occup Environ Med. 2010;67(7):449–55. doi: 10.1136/oem.2009.048249. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 17.Neupane S, Miranda H, Virtanen P, et al. Multi-site pain and work ability among an industrial population. Occup Med (Lond) 2011;61(8):563–9. doi: 10.1093/occmed/kqr130. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 18.Matsudaira K, Palmer KT, Reading I, et al. Prevalence and correlates of regional pain and associated disability in Japanese workers. Occup Environ Med. 2011;68:191–6. doi: 10.1136/oem.2009.053645. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 19.Harkness EF, Macfarlane GJ, Nahit E, et al. Mechanical injury and psychosocial factors in the work place predict the onset of widespread body pain. Arthritis Rheum. 2004;50:1655–64. doi: 10.1002/art.20258. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 20.Wolfe F, Smythe HA, Yunus MB, et al. The American College of Rheumatology 1990 Criteria for the Classification of Fibromyalgia. Report of the multicenter criteria committee. Arthritis Rheum. 1990;33(2):160–72. doi: 10.1002/art.1780330203. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 21.Solidaki E, Chatzi L, Bitsios P, et al. Work-related and psychological determinants of multisite musculoskeletal pain. Scand J Work Environ Health. 2010;36(1):54–61. doi: 10.5271/sjweh.2884. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 22.Coggon D, Ntani G, Palmer KT, et al. The CUPID (Cultural and Psychosocial Influences on Disability) Study: Methods of Data Collection and Characteristics of Study Sample. PLoS ONE. 2012 doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0039820. Forthcoming. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 23.Ware JE, Sherbourne CD. The MOS 36-item short-form health survey (SF-36) Med Care. 1992;30:473–83. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 24.Derogatis LR, Melisaratos N. The Brief Symptom Inventory; and introductory report. Psychol Med. 1983;13:595–605. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 25.Waddell G, Newton M, Henderson I, et al. A Fear_Avoidance beliefs Questionnaire (FABQ) and the role of fear-avoidance beliefs in chronic low back pain and disability. Pain. 1993;52:157–68. doi: 10.1016/0304-3959(93)90127-B. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 26.Bagby M, Taylor G, Parker J. The revised Toronto Alexithymia Scale: some reliability, validity and normative data. Psychotherapy Psychosomatics. 1992;57:34–41. doi: 10.1159/000288571. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 27.Beck AT, Ward CH, Mendelson M, et al. An inventory for measuring depression. Arch Gen Psychiatry. 1961;4:561–71. doi: 10.1001/archpsyc.1961.01710120031004. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 28.Donias S, Demertzis I. Investigation of depression in a Greek random mixed psychiatric population with the Beck Depression Inventory. In: Thessaloniki Varfis G., editor. Proceedings of the 10th Hellenic Congress of Neurology and Psychiatry: 1983. University Studio Press; Greece: 1983. pp. 470–85. [Google Scholar]
  • 29.Donias S, Demertzis I. Greek validation of depressive symptomatology with the Beck Depression Inventory. In: Thessaloniki Varfis G., editor. Proceedings of the 10th Hellenic Congress of Neurology and Psychiatry: 1983. University Studio Press; Greece: 1983. pp. 486–92. [Google Scholar]
  • 30.Hills M, De Stavola BL. A short introduction to Stata for biostatistics. Timberlake Consultants Ltd; London: 2006. [Google Scholar]
  • 31.Caruso CC, Waters TR. A review of work schedule issues and musculoskeletal disorders with an emphasis on the healthcare sector. Industrial Health. 2008;46:523–34. doi: 10.2486/indhealth.46.523. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 32.Palmer K, Calnan M, Wainwright D, Poole, et al. Disabling musculoskeletal pain and its relation to somatization: A community-based postal survey. Occup Med. 2005;55:612–617. doi: 10.1093/occmed/kqi142. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 33.Macfarlane GJ, Hunt IM, Silman AJ. Role of mechanical and psychosocial factors in the onset of forearm pain: prospective population based study. Br Med J. 2000;321:676–9. doi: 10.1136/bmj.321.7262.676. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 34.Palmer KT, Reading I, Linaker C, et al. Population-based cohort study of incident and persistent arm pain: role of mental health, self-rated health and health beliefs. Pain. 2008;136:30–37. doi: 10.1016/j.pain.2007.06.011. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 35.Ramond A, Boulton C, Richard I, et al. Psychosocial risk factors for chronic low back pain in primary care – a systematic review. Fam Pract. 2011;28:12–21. doi: 10.1093/fampra/cmq072. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 36.Main CJ, Foster N, Buchbinder R. How important are back pain beliefs and expectations for satisfactory recovery from back pain? Best Pract Res Clin Rheumatol. 2010;24:205–17. doi: 10.1016/j.berh.2009.12.012. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

RESOURCES