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Published in final edited form as: Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol. 2012 Apr;33(4):416–420. doi: 10.1086/664756

Constructing Unit-Specific Empiric Treatment Guidelines for Catheter-Related and Primary Bacteremia by Determining the Likelihood of Inadequate Therapy

Megan E Davis 1,2, Deverick J Anderson 3, Michelle Sharpe 1, Luke F Chen 3, Richard H Drew 3,4
PMCID: PMC3629694  NIHMSID: NIHMS455017  PMID: 22418641

Abstract

This study aimed to determine the feasibility of using likelihood of inadequate therapy (LIT), a parameter calculated by using pathogen frequency and in vitro susceptibility for determination of appropriate empiric antibiotic therapy for primary bloodstream infections. Our study demonstrates that LIT may reveal differences in traditional antibiograms.


Traditional antibiograms can assist in selecting empiric antibiotics based on in vitro drug activity.1,2 However, such antibiograms are not specific for infections by site or type and often require complex integration of susceptibility data when clinicians choose empiric antibiotics.

Likelihood of inadequate treatment (LIT) is a predictive measure previously described that accounts for pathogen frequency and in vitro susceptibility, translating antibiotic resistance rates into numbers of patients that would be inadequately treated with a given antibiotic based on microbiological data.3 Although used in a pilot study for ventilator-associated pneumonia, the usefulness of LIT has not been studied for determination of optimal empiric antibiotic therapy for other infections or in other healthcare settings.

The primary objective of this study was to determine the feasibility of using LIT for determination of appropriate empiric antibiotics for adult patients with primary bloodstream infections (BSIs) to aid the development of unit-specific guidelines.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of adult patients with primary BSI, as defined by National Healthcare Safety Network (NHSN), between July 1, 2007, and June 31, 2009, in the medical ICU (MICU) and the surgical ICU (SICU).4 We included primary polymicrobial and monomicrobial BSIs but excluded secondary BSIs and contaminants. The date of infection was defined as the date of the first positive blood culture. Duplicate blood cultures on the same day were excluded. The study was approved by our institutional review board.

Patients were identified and microbiology and susceptibility data were obtained through queries of hospital databases. Catheter-related BSIs were identified using our infection control database. We collected data on patient demographics, date of positive blood culture, and microbiology and antibiotic susceptibility as per Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute definitions.5

Three different LIT parameters (organism-specific, cumulative, and syndrome-specific) were calculated separately for gram-negative and gram-positive organisms and for each ICU. Organism-specific LIT served as the basic calculation for a given pathogen and antibiotic. It was derived by dividing 100 by the percentage of antibiotic resistance among a group of bacteria in any defined group of patients. For example, if 50% of Escherichia coli groups were resistant to cefepime, then the E. coli–specific LIT for cefepime is equal to 2 (100/50%). Similar to a “number needed to treat,” this value implies that 2 patients with E. coli infection would need to be treated with cefepime for 1 to be inadequately treated. If 100% drug resistance is found for a given antibiotic, the LIT equals 1 (100/100%). For those pathogens with 0% resistance, then a LIT of 100 is arbitrarily assigned and interpreted as 1 of 100 patients would be inappropriately treated with a given antibiotic.

The cumulative LIT was calculated as the sum of organism-specific LITs divided by the total number of pathogens isolated in the unit

[LIT(E.coli),LIT(K.pn),LIT(P.aer)]n(GNpathogens),

where “GN” is gram-negative, “K. pn” is K. pneumoniae, and “P. aer” is P. aeruginosa.

It reflects the percentage of organisms that would have been inadequately covered by a given antibiotic during the study period. Given the example above, the organism-specific LIT for E. coli (2) is added to the organism-specific LITs for each gram-negative organism isolated in the unit (ie, 100 for Klebsiella pneumoniae and 100 for Pseudomonas aeruginosa). The sum is then divided by the total number of gram-negative organisms (3), equaling a cumulative LIT of 67 ([2 + 100 + 100]/3). This implies that 1 of 67 patients with a gram-negative BSI would be treated inadequately with cefepime in the ICU during the study period.

BSI LIT estimates the probability of inappropriate antibiotic therapy for a given infection. It differs from cumulative BSI by taking into account the frequency of pathogens isolated during the study period. To calculate a syndrome-specific LIT, each organism-specific LIT is multiplied by its frequency as a causative pathogen during the study period. The product for each organism is then summed and divided by the cumulative percentage of all pathogens considered:

[LIT(E.coli)×%fr(E.coli)+LIT(K.pn)×%fr(K.pn)]n(%frGNpathogens),

where “% fr” is percentage of frequency, “GN” is gram-negative, and “K. pn” is K. pneumoniae.

For example, if E. coli accounts for 40% of the BSIs during the study period, then E. coli treated with cefepime (having had an LIT of 2) is multiplied by 40%, equaling 80. This is repeated for each gram-negative pathogen isolated in the ICU per antibiotic and summed (eg, total of 6,080). The product is then divided by the cumulative percentage of BSI pathogens that were gram-negative in the ICU during the study period (eg, 6,080/100% or BSI LIT of 61). This translates to 1 of 61 patients with a gram-negative BSI would be treated inadequately with cefepime.

RESULTS

Overall, 1,073 blood cultures were identified during the study period. A total of 218 unique pathogens were isolated from 205 subjects; 131 episodes in the MICU and 87 episodes in the SICU were analyzed. Patient demographics are listed in Table 1. Microorganisms and LIT parameters are shown in Table 2 for the MICU and Table 3 for the SICU.

TABLE 1.

Patient Demographics by Unit

Characteristic MICU SICU Total
Patients, no. 123 82 205
BSI pathogens, no. 131 87 218
Age, years, mean ± SD 63 ± 15 57 ± 17 59 ± 16
Male, no. (%) 66 (53.7) 52 (63.4) 118 (58)
Site of acquisition, no. (%)
 Community onset 76 (61.8) 10 (12.2) 86 (42)
 Healthcare-associated, hospital onset 47 (38.2) 72 (87.8) 119 (58)
 Catheter-related BSI, no. (%) 8 (6.1) 24 (27.6) 32 (15.6)
 Central line 8 (100) 21 (87.5) 29 (90.6)

NOTE. BSI, bloodstream infections; MICU, medical intensive care unit; SICU, surgical intensive care unit; SD, standard deviation.

TABLE 2.

Medical ICU Likelihood of Inadequate Therapy (LIT), Cumulative LIT, and Bloodstream Infection (BSI) LIT for Isolated Bacteria

Pathogen Frequencya LITb (% drug resistance)
BSI LIT
GEN TOB CIP PIP/T CAB CAZ CPM GEN TOB CIP PIP/T CAB CAZ CPM
GN
K. pneumoniae 9 (6.9) 100 (0) 9 (11.1) 9 (11.1) 9 (11.1) 100 (0) 5 (20) 5 (20) 690 62.1 62.1 62.1 690 34.5 34.5
E. coli 9 (6.9) 100 (0) 100 (0) 2.3 (44.4) 9 (11.1) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 690 690 15.9 62.1 690 690 690
P. aeruginosa 5 (3.8) 2.5 (40) 5 (20) 2.5 (40) 100 (0) 2.5 (40) 5 (20) 5 (20) 9.5 19 9.5 380 9.5 19 19
E. cloacae 4 (3) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 4 (25) 4 (25) 300 300 300 300 300 12 12
K. oxytoca 4 (3) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 2 (50) 100 (0) 4 (25) 4 (25) 300 300 300 6 300 12 12
S. marcescens 4 (3) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 300 300 300 300 300 300 300
S. maltophilia 2 (1.5) 1 (100) 1 (100) 2 (50) 1 (100) 1 (100) 100 (0) 1 (100) 1.5 1.5 3 1.5 1.5 150 1.5
M. morganii 1 (0.8) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 80 80 80 80 80 80 80
C. freundii 1 (0.8) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 1 (100) 100 (0) 1 (100) 1 (100) 80 80 80 0.8 80 0.8 0.8
Total 39 (29.7) 703.5 615 515.8 422 703.5 419 320 2,451 1,832.6 1,150.5 1,192.5 2,451 1,298.3 1,149.8
Cumulativec,d 78.2 68.3 57.3 46.9 78.2 46.6 35.6 82.5 61.7 38.7 40.2 82.5 43.7 38.7


LITb (% drug resistance)
BSI LIT
VAN AMP NAF VAN AMP NAF
GP
S. aureus 30 (22.9) 100 (0) 1 (100) 1.9 (53.3) 2,290 22.9 43.5
E. faecium 13 (9.9) 1 (100) 1 (100) NT 9.9 9.9 NT
E. faecalis 10 (7.6) 100 (0) 100 (0) NT 760 760 NT
 CoNS 10 (7.6) 100 (0) NT 1.4 (70) 760 NT 10.6
S. pneumonia 2 (1.5) NT NT NT NT NT NT
S. viridans 1 (0.8) NT NT NT NT NT NT
C. striatum 1 (0.8) 100 (0) NT NT 80 NT NT
Total 67 (51.1) 401 102 3.3 3,899.9 792.8 54.1
Cumulativee,f 57.3 14.6 0.5 76.3 15.5 1.1

NOTE. Data are no. (%) of participants, unless otherwise indicated. AMP, ampicillin; CAB, carbapenems; CAZ, ceftazidime; CIP, ciprofloxacin; CoNS, coagulase negative staphylococci; CPM, cefepime; GEN, gentamicin; GN, gram-negative; GP, gram-positive; ICU, intensive care unit; NAF, nafcillin; NT, not tested; PIP/T, piperacillin-tazobactam; TOB, tobramycin; VAN, vancomycin.

a

131 total BSI pathogens (overall BSI percentage includes 16.2% fungal, 1.5% anaerobic, and 1.5% other).

b

LIT = 100/(% drug resistance); 0 drug resistance represents an LIT of 100.

c

Cumulative LIT: sum of LITs/no. of GN pathogens studied (n = 9).

d

BSI LIT: sum of LITs multiplied by percentage of frequency for each organism/cumulative percentage of GN pathogens (n = 29.7%).

e

Cumulative LIT: sum of LITs/no. of GP pathogens studied (n = 7).

f

BSI LIT: sum of LITs multiplied by percentage of frequency for each organism/cumulative percentage of GP pathogens (n = 51.1%).

TABLE 3.

Surgical ICU Likelihood of Inadequate Therapy (LIT), Cumulative LIT, and Bloodstream Infection (BSI) LIT for Isolated Bacteria

Pathogen LITb (% drug resistance)
BSI LIT
Frequencya GEN TOB CIP PIP/T CAB CAZ CPM GEN TOB CIP PIP/T CAB CAZ CPM
GN
K. pneumoniae 5 (5.7) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 570 570 570 570 570 570 570
Acinetobacter spp. 5 (5.7) 5 (20) 100 (0) 5 (20) 5 (20) 5 (20) 2.5 (40) 2.5 (40) 28.5 570 28.5 28.5 28.5 14.3 14.3
E. cloacae 4 (4.6) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 460 460 460 460 460 460 460
P. aeruginosa 4 (4.6) 100 (0) 100 (0) 4 (25) 100 (0) 100 (0) 4 (25) 4 (25) 460 460 18.4 460 460 18.4 18.4
C. freundii 3 (3.4) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 3 (33.3) 100 (0) 340 340 340 340 340 10.2 340
E. coli 2 (2.3) 2 (50) 2 (50) 1 (100) 2 (50) 100 (0) 2 (50) 2 (50) 4.6 4.6 2.3 4.6 230 4.6 4.6
S. maltophilia 2 (2.3) 1 (100) 1 (100) 1 (100) 1 (100) 1 (100) 2 (50) 1(100) 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 4.6 2.3
E. aerogenes 1 (1.2) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 120 120 120 120 120 120 120
K. oxytoca 1 (1.2) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 120 120 120 120 120 120 120
M. morganii 1 (1.2) 1 (100) 1 (100) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 1 (100) 100 (0) 1.2 1.2 120 120 120 1.2 120
S. marcescens 1 (1.2) 1 (100) 1 (100) 100 (0) 100 (0) 100 (0) 1 (100) 100 (0) 1.2 1.2 120 120 120 1.2 120
Total 29 (33.4) 610 705 711 808 906 415.5 709.5 21,078 2,649.3 1,901.5 2,345.4 2,570.8 1,324.5 1,889.6
Cumulativec,d 55.5 64.1 64.6 73.5 82.4 37.8 64.5 63.1 79.3 56.9 70.2 77 39.7 56.6


LITb (% drug resistance)
BSI LIT
VAN AMP NAF VAN AMP NAF
GP
E. faecium 11 (12.6) 2.7 (36.4) 1.2 (81.8) NT 34 15.1 NT
 CoNS 11 (12.6) 100 (0) NT 2 (50) 1,260 NT 25.2
S. aureus 6 (6.9) 100 (0) NT 3 (33.3) 690 NT 20.7
E. faecalis 5 (5.7) 100 (0) 100 (0) NT 570 570 NT
E. durans 1 (1.2) 100 (0) 100 (0) NT 120 120 NT
S. pneumoniae 1 (1.2) NT NT NT NT NT NT
S. viridans 1 (1.2) NT NT NT NT NT NT
Total 36 (41.4) 402.7 201.2 5 2,674 705.1 45.9
Cumulativee,f 57.5 28.7 0.7 64.6 17 1.1

NOTE. Data are no. (%) of participants, unless otherwise indicated. AMP, ampicillin; CAB, carbapenems; CAZ, ceftazidime; CIP, ciprofloxacin; CoNS, coagulase negative staphylococci; CPM, cefepime; GEN, gentamicin; GN, gram-negative; GP, gram-positive; ICU, intensive care unit; NAF, nafcillin; NT, not tested; PIP/T, piperacillin-tazobactam; TOB, tobramycin; VAN, vancomycin.

a

87 total BSI pathogens (overall BSI percentage includes 13.8% fungal, 9.1% anaerobic, and 2.3% other).

b

LIT = 100/(% drug resistance); 0 drug resistance represents an LIT of 100.

c

Cumulative LIT: sum of LITs/no. of GN pathogens studied (n = 11).

d

BSI LIT: sum of LITs multiplied by percentage of frequency for each organism/cumulative percentage of GN pathogens (n = 33.4%).

e

Cumulative LIT: sum of LITs/no. of GP pathogens studied (n = 7).

f

BSI LIT: sum of LITs multiplied by percentage of frequency for each organism/cumulative percentage of GP pathogens (n = 41.4%).

For the MICU, 9 gram-negative pathogens were isolated; the most frequently identified were K. pneumoniae and E. coli. For K. pneumoniae, 0% resistance was found for carbapenems and gentamicin and thus represented by an organism-specific LIT of 100. For tobramycin, ciprofloxacin, and piperacillin-tazobactam, there was 11.1% resistance for each, corresponding to a LIT of 9. Ceftazidime and cefepime had the lowest (worst) organism-specific LIT of 5. Looking at cumulative LIT in the MICU, gentamicin and carbapenems were the best empiric antibiotics.

The BSI LIT was used to determine the rank order of antibiotics most likely to ensure effective empiric therapy against gram-negative pathogens in the MICU: gentamicin and carbapenems were the best, followed by tobramycin, ceftazdime, piperacillin-tazobactam, ciprofloxacin, and cefepime (Table 2).

For gram-positive organisms, Stapylococcus aureus was the most commonly isolated pathogen in the MICU (vancomycin LIT of 100). For Enterococcus faecium the organism specific LIT was 1 (meaning 100% resistance). Overall, the cumulative LIT for vancomycin was 57, and the BSI LIT was 76.

For the SICU (Table 3), tobramycin and carbapenems ranked best for empiric gram-negative coverage based on BSI LIT. Vancomycin ranked first for gram-positive coverage.

DISCUSSION

Determination of the LIT will help clinicians in selecting an appropriate empiric antibiotic based on type of infection. This study is the first to our knowledge to demonstrate the feasibility and ability of the LIT to determine the probability of inadequate antibiotic therapy for adult ICU patients with primary BSIs.

At our institution, piperacillin-tazobactam is the most commonly prescribed antibiotic for empiric gram-negative coverage, partially due to favorable in vitro activity as reflected in both our hospital-wide and unit-specific antibiograms. However, determination of the LIT predicted that piperacillin-tazobactam would not have been the most appropriate empiric antibiotic for BSIs in both ICUs. This may be due to the higher rates of piperacillin-tazobactam resistance (as evidenced by lower LITs) in highly prevalent organisms (such as K. pneumonia and E. coli in the MICU and Acinetobacter spp. in the SICU). Thus, the LIT parameter combines microbiologic and epidemiologic data and is an additional decision-support tool for antibiotic selection.

Cumulative LIT and syndrome-specific LIT may differ from each other and between different patient care units. In our study, the rank order of antibiotics for gram-negative organisms differed when comparing the cumulative LIT and BSI LIT in each ICU. This led to a more favorable BSI LIT for tobramycin in the SICU. This observation underscores the importance of factoring in the incidence of pathogens when selecting empiric antibiotic coverage (captured with the syndrome-specific LIT). In contrast, traditional antibiograms do not account for pathogen incidence into syndrome-specific decisions.

For empiric gram-positive coverage, vancomycin had a LIT of 100 for S. aureus in both ICUs. In contrast, vancomycin had low LITs for enterococcal BSIs due to high prevalence of vancomycin-resistant enterococcus (VRE) in both units. Such high vancomycin resistance rates among E. faecium isolates were surprising. These results added to our current antibiogram data, implying that other agents with activity against VRE may be more appropriate empiric therapy compared to vancomycin for gram-positive infections in our ICUs.

Our study has limitations. First, we separated the LIT calculations by unit, resulting in small numbers of isolates, which can impact LIT calculations. Although extending the study period would have increased these numbers, we felt that a shorter time period would give us a better picture of current resistance rates of microorganism in our units. Our inclusion and exclusion criteria were based on microbiological data; thus, it is possible that some included BSIs represented secondary infections. This issue, however, may be more representative of a “real world” scenario, because the primary source of many BSIs often cannot be determined by culture data.

Our LIT calculations should not be generalized to other units or other hospitals, as the resistance patterns are specific to our institution and the respective ICUs. Finally, patient-specific, drug-specific, and disease-specific factors should be considered when identifying optimal therapy. Because LIT are based on microbiologic data and in vitro susceptibilities, it does not factor in patient-specific data (eg, comorbidities, prior antibiotic therapy, or appropriate antibiotic dose) or patient outcomes; therefore, LIT should be interpreted only in light of such limitations.

Our study demonstrates that determination of LIT can reveal differences in the rank order of appropriate antibiotics for empiric therapy when compared with traditional antibiograms. Additionally, the results of our study underscore the importance of collecting and analyzing unit-specific surveillance information and microbiological data. Such surveillance is essential for antimicrobial stewardship. Our study shows that syndrome-specific LIT (which takes into account prevalence of a pathogen) is important when designing empiric antibiotic regimens. Although LIT calculations are not routinely performed, they may provide a valuable aid to incorporating local microbiological data into the formation of unit-specific guidelines for empiric therapy of disease-specific infections.

Acknowledgments

D.J.A. reports having received grant support from Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, NIAID, Merck, and Pfizer. He is a member of the speakers’ bureaus for Merck and has received royalties from UpToDate Online. L.F.C. reports having received research support from Merck, is a member of the speakers’ bureaus for Cubist, and has received royalties from Medscape. R.H.D. reports having consulted for and having received research support from Merck/Schering-Plough, is a member of the speakers’ bureaus for Cubist and Merck, and received royalties from Up-ToDate Online. In addition, R.H.D. was on the development team of CustomID at Duke University Hospital and has been a speaker for Moses Cone Health System, Society of Critical Care Medicine, and the American Society of Microbiology.

Footnotes

Presented in part: American College of Clinical Pharmacists Fall 2010 Meeting; Austin, Texas; October 2010.

Potential conflicts of interest.

All other authors report no conflict of interest relevant to this article. All authors submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest, and the conflicts that the editors consider relevant to this article are disclosed here.

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