DNA variants of uncertain significance are common outcomes of testing for susceptibility to cancer. A statistically rigorous model that provides a pathogenicity score for each variant has been developed to aid in the clinical management of patients undergoing genetic testing. The pathogenicity score that is generated by this model maps to the IARC system for clinical management, which will assist clinicians in the medical management of those patients who obtain a VAS result upon testing.
Keywords: BRCA1, BRCA2, Counseling, Likelihood, Management, Multifactorial
Abstract
Introduction.
DNA variants of uncertain significance (VUS) are common outcomes of clinical genetic testing for susceptibility to cancer. A statistically rigorous model that provides a pathogenicity score for each variant has been developed to aid in the clinical management of patients undergoing genetic testing.
Methods.
The information in this article is derived from multiple publications on VUS in BRCA genes, distilled for communicating with clinicians who may encounter VUS in their practice.
Results.
The posterior probability scores for BRCA1 or BRCA2 VUS, calculated from a multifactorial likelihood model, are explained, and links for looking up specific VUS are provided. The International Agency on Cancer Research (IARC) of the World Health Organization has proposed a simple five-tier system for clinical management that is not widely known to clinicians. Classes 1 and 2 in this system are managed as neutral variants, classes 4 and 5 are managed as pathogenic variants, and class 3 variants still have insufficient evidence to move to either end of this scale and, thus, cannot be used in medical management.
Conclusions.
Development of models that integrate multiple independent lines of evidence has allowed classification of a growing number of VUS in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes. The pathogenicity score that is generated by this model maps to the IARC system for clinical management, which will assist clinicians in the medical management of those patients who obtain a VUS result upon testing.
Implications for Practice:
DNA variants of uncertain clinical significance (VUS) are encountered for all types of genetic testing. No generally recognized standard exists for how to advise those who are found to have these variants. Using the BRCA genes as examples, this article explains what is involved in attempting to assign significance to a VUS and how to find and use new information on BRCA VUS specifically, aimed at assisting clinicians in handling these results in their practices.
Introduction
Variants of uncertain significance (VUS) are alterations in the DNA sequence of a gene that have unknown effects on the function of the gene product or disease risk. The genetic code for the BRCA1 gene contains around 6,000 base pairs of coding DNA and the BRCA2 gene is even larger, with over 10,000 base pairs of coding DNA. Because of the size of these genes, many alterations in the DNA sequence have been identified that may be unique to one or only a few patients and whose clinical relevance has never been determined. Despite the testing of hundreds of thousands of patients, laboratories analyzing the BRCA genes continue to encounter new or rare variants in genetic sequences. In individuals of European ancestry in the United States, VUS results account for approximately 5%–6% of alterations reported from clinical testing, and among individuals of African-American ancestry, up to 21% of tests will show a VUS in BRCA1 or BRCA2 [1]. Testing laboratories in Europe estimate that up to 15% of alterations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 are VUS.
“Pathogenic” refers to a mutation causing or contributing to disease. The term “deleterious” is often substituted in laboratory reports, though the terms are not technically interchangeable (see the glossary at the end of Lindor et al. [2]). Pathogenic/deleterious mutations are DNA variants that, by virtue of their position or type, can be confidently predicted to disrupt the function of the genes that have been associated with disease, even if never seen by the laboratory before. Alternatively, DNA sequence variants can be shown to be pathogenic using rigorous statistical analysis of relevant genetic data.
Neutral variants (also called “nonpathogenic,” “of no clinical significance,” or “benign”) are DNA alterations that are known or inferred not to significantly affect the function of the gene or to be associated with clinically important increased risk of disease. The term “polymorphism” usually refers to a neutral variant that occurs in at least 1% of the population. Some polymorphisms could have subtle effects on gene function but are still not considered pathogenic/deleterious mutations. It is generally accepted that clinical laboratories do not need to encumber their reports by detailing all the clearly neutral variants seen in any given patient because these details have no clinical importance.
VUS are the focus of this paper. These DNA changes cannot be presently considered pathogenic or neutral. It is an inconvenient truth that most gene alterations are not interpretable by merely discovering a deviation from the published DNA sequence. VUS do not introduce a “stop” signal into the transcribed gene. Instead, there may be more subtle changes; for example, a single base change that results in a missense mutation (substitution of one amino acid for another) in the protein encoded by the gene. They may also be in positions in the gene that would have uncertain biologic effects, such as being close to but not immediately in an intron-exon splice site region. It is standard for clinical testing labs to report VUS, causing consternation and uncertainty for patients and providers alike. Unfortunately, VUS are not rare. At present, there are thousands of unique VUS recorded in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes with new variants being added every day.
The American College of Medical Genetics recommended standards for interpreting and reporting sequence variations for any gene, and proposed six descriptive categories [3]. However, these categories provide no guidance as to how to apply these categories in clinical decision making.
This manuscript aims to provide an overview of VUS-related issues and options for nongeneticists and to provide information on a classification system for BRCA1 or BRCA2 VUS that applies methods that integrate multiple independent lines of evidence [4–7] and links the new scores for specific VUS classifications to clinical utility [8].
A Primer on VUS for Health Care Providers
Case
A 54-year-old woman presents with newly diagnosed invasive breast cancer and a family history of breast cancer in her mother at age 56 years. Genetic testing for mutation in BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes was conducted and a VUS in BRCA2, shown in Table 1, was reported.
Table 1.
Example of a test report for BRCA gene testing
A VUS result means that the laboratory interpreted the DNA alteration based on standard evidence at the time of the test and found that there was insufficient evidence to classify the alteration as either pathogenic (deleterious) or neutral. A VUS should be considered not clinically useful, and it should not be factored into decision making. This should remain true until further evidence emerges from scientific studies to shift the interpretation toward either a neutral or pathogenic interpretation. It may be easiest to proceed as if the test had not been done at all and to base medical advice on the family history or a patient's own medical presentation alone. Figure 1 illustrates the concept of a continuum of interpretation of DNA variants.
Figure 1.
Outcomes of mutation testing. Table 2 defines classes.
Why Can't Certain DNA Variants Be Interpreted?
VUS are most often “missense” changes that alter the DNA sequence, making a different codon of three nucleotides, which results in a different amino acid in the final protein. VUS can also be DNA changes around the regions of the gene that demarcate coding from noncoding regions (splice sites between exons and introns), which affect proper assembly of the final protein product. By definition, for most cancer susceptibility genes that function similarly to BRCA1 and BRCA2 (i.e., as tumor suppressor genes), VUS do not appear to disrupt translation of the gene by introduction of a “stop” signal or clearly affecting the gene product production or assembly. There are an almost endless number of theoretical possibilities in which a gene, with a typical coding region of several thousand base pairs, could be altered. Thus, many VUS that are reported have never been seen before or have been seen only a handful of times. If a variant is found that does not truncate the protein and has not previously been classified, the DNA variant will be classified as a VUS. Note that as BRCA testing in the United States has been conducted predominantly on Caucasians, knowledge of the normal DNA variants in individuals of different ethnic backgrounds is deficient. Higher rates of VUS in BRCA genes have been reported consistently in non-Caucasian populations [9–11].
Would Repeating the Study in a Different Lab Give New Information?
Repeating this test is not recommended. A VUS is not veiled language for a questionable laboratory call. There clearly is a DNA alteration detected, but the clinical interpretation of that DNA alteration is unclear. Because different laboratories use different reporting categories, the terminology in the report may vary somewhat.
What Can Be Done to Help Figure out Whether a VUS Is Pathogenic or Neutral?
Multiple methods are now being applied to move interpretation of a VUS toward a conclusion. As explained below, individually, these methods are neither 100% reliable nor infallible, and often are not available even on a research basis. However, when combined, these methods may lead to a more certain clinical interpretation for many VUS. The different lines of evidence that can be brought to bear on VUS interpretation are presented below.
Segregation Analysis Within the Family
Segregation analysis focuses on whether the VUS cosegregates (is inherited together) with the phenotype (breast or ovarian cancer) in a manner consistent with that expected for pathogenic mutations in the gene of interest (in this case, BRCA1 or BRCA2). Because first-degree relatives have a 50% chance of sharing any specific DNA change, this analysis requires large numbers of individuals with the VUS to build a circumstantial evidence case for causation. For some diseases, segregation analysis can be quite powerful. For example, if one was studying a distinctive phenotype such as albinism, then seeing albinism in a relative who did not carry the suspected DNA VUS being investigated in that family would be powerful evidence that the VUS was not the cause of albinism in that family. In reality, most genetic disorders do not have such a striking phenotype. Because breast cancer is so very common, and ovarian cancer is not uncommon either, the information derived from segregation analysis for BRCA VUS interpretation is seldom conclusive. Nevertheless, it can be of great value in selected families. Take the example of a woman with a VUS result whose father's side of the family has many individuals with breast/ovarian cancer but no cancer on her mother's side of the family. The finding that she inherited the VUS from her mother (the unaffected side) would provide strong evidence that this VUS is not the cause of the breast/ovarian predisposition in her father's family (the affected lineage). In general, evaluation of cosegregation requires complex statistical analysis under a specific model of the disease inheritance [12, 13].
More powerful than single family analysis, combining segregation analysis from several families can be done, if the identical VUS is observed in multiple families. Myriad Genetics (http://www.myriad.com/products/bracanalysis.php), the main testing laboratory in the United States, does offer limited testing of carefully chosen family members at no charge for BRCA VUS found in their laboratory to help amass this sort of data for the future.
Summary of Personal and Family History Analysis
Given a large dataset of individuals who had testing, including their personal cancer histories (age[s] at diagnosis and tumor type[s]) and family histories (number of affected first- and second-degree relatives, their age[s] at diagnosis and their tumor type[s]), the ensemble of these personal and family histories will naturally form a distribution from quite innocuous to severe. The subset of personal and family histories from individuals who were found to carry a pathogenic variant will show a distribution of histories shifted toward the severe end of the spectrum. In contrast, if we look at the subset of personal and family histories from individuals who were not found to carry either a pathogenic variant or a VUS, the distribution of their histories will be shifted toward the innocuous end of the spectrum. Given the histories from the group of subjects who carry a specific VUS and these two distributions (innocuous and pathogenic), it is possible to calculate the probability that the VUS of interest is pathogenic [4, 14]. Unfortunately, this sort of analysis requires access to very large datasets. ENIGMA (Evidence-Based Network for the Interpretation of Germline Mutant Alleles), an international consortium of over 100 scientists and clinicians from over 19 countries, is presently engaged in trying to piece together this sort of evidence for VUS in the BRCA genes [15].
Co-Occurrence in Trans
Like all autosomal genes, humans have two copies of each of the BRCA genes, one inherited from each parent. Both human and mouse laboratory data suggest that carrying the same BRCA1 pathogenic mutation on both chromosomes (being homozygous) is embryonic lethal. Homozygosity for BRCA2 mutations results in a rare genetic condition called Fanconi anemia associated with growth failure, multiple congenital anomalies, and often diagnosis of cancer in childhood. These observations have provided a powerful way to specifically reclassify VUS in BRCA1 and BRCA2 as neutral DNA changes, if perchance the VUS has been seen in the same patient who carries a definite pathogenic mutation in the same gene. It is not enough, however, to see a laboratory report of a pathogenic mutation plus a VUS to be able to make this interpretation, because one must also demonstrate that the mutation and the VUS occur on different copies of the gene (that they are in trans) rather than both being within the same copy of the gene (being in cis). If they are in cis, then that person still has a normal copy of the BRCA gene and the VUS still cannot be interpreted. Determining the phase (trans vs. cis) can be demonstrated most directly by conducting BRCA analyses of the proband's parents or other family members. Note that the use of co-occurrence data has been muddied by demonstration of DNA variants that have more subtle perturbations of gene function than the classical pathogenic mutations [16]. These “hypomorphic alleles” are only recently being studied and are not currently part of most discussions on VUS.
Evolutionary Conservation Across Species
A number of computer programs (in silico methods) exist to allow geneticists to look at whether specific functional domains, individual amino acids, or even nucleotide base pairs in a gene sequence are conserved through evolution (phylogenetic analysis). These programs are often available online and are used by many testing laboratories to help interpret variants. Examples of these programs include Sorting Intolerant from Tolerant (SIFT, http://sift.jcvi.org/), Polymorphism Phenotyping v2 (PolyPhen-2.1, http://genetics.bwh.harvard.edu/pph2), and Align-Grantham Variation Grantham Deviation (Align-GVGD, http://agvgd.iarc.fr) [7, 17, 18]. Tools for in silico analysis have been reviewed [19]. A high level of conservation of gene sequence through evolution indicates that a specific functional domain of the gene must be maintained with a specific DNA sequence to function adequately. Areas of a gene that have acquired substantial DNA sequence changes in the evolution to humans are thought to be less essential or noncritical to the function of that gene. Conservation is a reflection of evolutionary fitness. If the VUS is in a highly conserved portion of the gene, then logic would suggest that deviation of almost any type might be harmful; moreover, the more severe the change is, the more likely it is to be harmful. On the other hand, if the VUS was in an area that was not highly conserved, then perhaps this VUS was not clinically relevant. A comparison across these different computer programs is often conducted to determine whether they result in similar conclusions. Unfortunately, this is not always the case [20, 21], underscoring again that no single method is currently adequate for reinterpreting VUS.
Protein conformational modeling provides another method for attempting to understand whether a specific alteration in an amino acid might alter the function of a protein molecule; but interpretation for BRCA molecules is limited by the incomplete knowledge regarding all the functions of the BRCA proteins within the cell.
Functional Assays
For the BRCA genes, several different types of functional assays have been developed. These include assays for cellular survival and viability, DNA recombination repair, and genomic instability, all of which are modulated by the BRCA genes [22]. In addition, expression of RNA and protein, allelic imbalance (differential RNA expression of the two gene copies), transcriptional activation, intracellular localization, and centrosome amplification can be compared with wild-type and known deleterious standards [23]. There is no gold standard by which to compare these results, as pathogenic mutations do not affect all these functional endpoints in the same way, so multiple assays may be needed to identify a specific loss of functionality. Furthermore, validation work is necessary to be sure that an observed laboratory deviation actually correlates with other methods of distinguishing pathogenic from neutral variants. For example, Guidugli et al. recently used known neutral and pathogenic BRCA2 variants from the DNA binding region of BRCA2 to calibrate a BRCA2 homologous recombination DNA repair assay and to establish high sensitivity and specificity for pathogenic mutations [24]. Because a specific region with a known function was studied and because known neutral and pathogenic mutations were used for calibration, the suggestion is that this assay can be used to classify all VUS in this commonly mutated region of BRCA2, even in the absence of other types of information. Unfortunately, calibrated assays do not exist for most domains or functions of most genes at present.
Pathology Profile
The histopathologic characteristics of tumors from VUS carriers can be compared to published data that compared sporadic breast tumors with tumors from those with deleterious BRCA-gene mutations. For example, Spearman et al. estimated an odds ratio of 8 in favor of pathogenicity for BRCA1 if medullary histology was found in a breast cancer of a person with a VUS [25]. This histology is not associated with pathogenic BRCA2-related tumors. Conversely, HER2-positive tumors were associated with an odds ratio of 0.15 for both BRCA1 and BRCA2 (because mutation carriers are less likely to demonstrate HER2-positive tumors). Chenevix-Trench et al. used published norms to establish odds ratios favoring pathogenicity interpretations using estrogen receptors, progesterone receptors, and the status of several cytokeratins [26]. Similar odds were tabulated for each clinical pathology feature and combination of features that might help differentiate a BRCA-related tumor from a sporadic tumor. Groups of characteristics such as triple-negative status were treated as an independent variable, and because the data was based on empirical data, the likelihood ratios (LRs) can be combined to produce a net probability for pathogenicity versus neutrality. The fact that tumors from carriers of deleterious BRCA1 mutations are not uniform in their characteristics does limit the power of this approach. Furthermore, the assignment of the odds figure is inherently inexact, as publications vary considerably in their observations across histopathologic features. Therefore, this process alone cannot be expected to provide definitive data, but it can contribute to a combined analysis as described below.
Putting It All Together: BRCA1 and BRCA2 VUS Interpretation Methods
Progress in computational methods in the last 10 years has moved away from simple binary classification of VUS as pathogenic or neutral, providing instead a numerical probability of pathogenicity. In 2000, the Breast Cancer Information Core working group (http://research.nhgri.nih.gov/bic/) laid plans to develop a system that could combine multiple independent sorts of analyses by combining LRs to predict pathogenicity of VUS results. An LR compares the probability of the observed data under a hypothesis of pathogenicity (comparing VUS data to cases with truncating mutations) versus a hypothesis that the VUS was neutral. LRs from all available sources were multiplied to obtain an “integrated LR.” To be conservative, the working group considered LR >1,000 to be pathogenic and LR <0.01 to be benign/neutral. DNA variants scoring between those numbers remained classified as VUS. A collection of papers by scientists and physicians who attended a workshop sponsored by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC, World Health Organization) explain all facets of this approach [5, 8, 19, 27].
Using a Bayesian model for those VUS that are missense changes (the largest group), a prior probability of pathogenicity can be determined for each VUS by evaluating biophysical characteristics of amino acids and evolutionary conservation of protein multiple sequence alignments to predict where missense substitutions fall in a spectrum from enriched deleterious to enriched neutral using the Align-GVGD program (http://agvgd.iarc.fr) [6]. All other independent lines of evidence, such as those described above (e.g., segregation in families or functional assays that can be expressed mathematically as LRs) can then be integrated with the prior probability to generate a posterior probability of pathogenicity for each variant. Thus, the original assignment of pathogenicity by Align-GVGD, based only on the specific amino acid change, can be refined.
On the basis of the numerical value of the posterior probability, the IARC group then introduced a clinical translation step, summarized in Table 2, in which a five-tier classification scheme for DNA findings is provided [8]. The authors have proposed how these levels of predicted pathogenicity might be used to counsel patients about cancer surveillance and when it is reasonable to use a DNA variant as a marker for predictive testing in at-risk relatives. Levels 1 and 2 are likely neutral; level 3 remains a true VUS; levels 4 and 5 are treated as pathogenic for clinical purposes.
Table 2.
Proposed classification for DNA sequence variants and correlation of clinical recommendation with probability that any given alteration is deleterious
Table adapted from Plon et al. 2008 [8]. Note that for most variants, a quantitative probability is not yet available, as insufficient lines of evidence exist to generate the probability.
Posterior Probabilities of Pathogenicity in BRCA VUS
On the basis of the methods described above, BRCA variants that were originally called uncertain can be assigned new posterior probabilities and can be assigned to one of the five classes. Tables that show the result of reclassification as either neutral or deleterious have been published [2, 28]; 113 BRCA1 variants analyzed in this fashion are posted on the IARC website for BRCA1 (http://brca.iarc.fr/LOVD/variants.php?action=view_unique&select_db=BRCA1), and 104 scored variants for BRCA2 are also posted (http://brca.iarc.fr/LOVD/variants.php?action=view_unique&select_db=BRCA2). The same information can be found in a more patient-friendly format at http://mayoresearch.mayo.edu/mayo/research/womens_cancer/projects.cfm.
Although this information represents the newest way to reclassify VUS, it is important to remember that these are probabilities and there remains a possibility that the interpretation is wrong, that nature has brought together a number of events coincidentally rather than causally, that some underlying assumptions in the models are wrong, that there are exceptions to rules, that some underlying biophysical property of the gene or proteins is unrecognized, etc. For example, a DNA change that appears to encode a change in protein sequence may have a larger impact on the change by impacting splicing. This is one reason that it is preferable to combine several different types of analyses to yield the final score. All providers using these tables need to bear in mind this possibility and integrate that into discussions with their patients who are trying to make medical decisions.
Discussion
Professional societies certainly recognize the clinical dilemmas presented by discovery of VUS in genetic testing. The American College of Medical Genetics (2008) issued a statement on reporting of DNA sequence alterations in six categories, including two categories relevant to VUS. The six categories are (1) sequence variation is previously reported and is a recognized cause of the disorder; (2) sequence variation is previously unreported and is of the type that is expected to cause the disorder; (3) sequence variation is previously unreported and is of the type that may or may not be causative of the disorder; (4) sequence variation is previously unreported and is probably not causative of disease; (5) sequence variation is previously reported and is a recognized neutral variant; and (6) sequence variation is previously not known or expected to be causative of disease, but is found to be associated with a clinical presentation. This recommendation did not address how to move a VUS from category 3 to category 2 or 4 or how to apply these categories to clinical issues such as predictive testing of relatives.
The Clinical Molecular Genetics Society in the UK (2008; http://www.cmgs.org/) ratified a detailed practice guideline regarding use of each line of evidence to bring interpretation to VUS, including all the methods described previously. Like the IARC method, they state that overall conclusions on the clinical significance of a variant should be based on more than one line of evidence. This group recommended use of four classes to describe DNA sequence alteration: Class 1 is “certainly nonpathogenic,” class 2 is “unlikely to be pathogenic but cannot be formally proven,” class 3 is “likely to be pathogenic but cannot be formally proven,” and class 4 is “certainly pathogenic.” The guidelines do not attempt to define “formally proven.”
In contrast, the IARC Unclassified Genetic Variant Working Group was the first group to tie clinical recommendations with a numerical probability of a DNA alteration being pathogenic [8], as shown in Figure 2. If such odds ratios become more readily available, this system may prove to be a turning point in clinical practice. Research continues to refine the data on which the LRs are calculated. Table 2 reviews the studies that have contributed to the knowledge base on which scoring may be attained. Additional studies are underway, which will allow additional reclassification of today's VUS (IARC category 3) into tomorrow's IARC category 1, 2, 4, or 5.
Figure 2.
Overview of studies that have attempted reclassification of BRCA VUS and listing of which parameters were evaluated in each study.
Future Steps
As genetic testing becomes more common and as panels with multiple genes replace single gene testing, VUS will become increasingly common in clinical practice and those ordering the test will be responsible for explaining what the results mean for each patient and their relatives. In addition, direct-to-consumer genetic testing of single genes, gene panels, or sequencing of essentially the entire genome will lead to the unearthing of massive numbers of VUS in all kinds of genes. Physicians who had nothing to do with the ordering of these tests may be called upon to interpret and advise patients, so a general approach to these conversations will be invaluable. There may be a temptation to act on genetic information that is truly uninterpretable, which runs a significant risk of doing active harm. The information about methods to reclassify VUS presented in this overview is applicable to all genes, though the database links provided here are specific to BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes, for which reclassification efforts are more advanced than for most other genes. By understanding more about the issues and remedies for VUS interpretation, clinicians can help navigate medical decision-making using the best available information and become comfortable with accepting that many DNA results cannot be interpreted with the tools and data available today.
Acknowledgments
This study is supported by a Mayo Clinic Specialized Program of Research Excellence (SPORE) in breast cancer (P50 CA116201) and National Institutes of Health grant CA116167.
Author Contributions
Conception/design: Noralane M. Lindor, David E. Goldgar, Sean V. Tavtigian, Fergus J. Couch
Collection and/or assembly of data: Noralane M. Lindor, David E. Goldgar, Sean V. Tavtigian, Fergus J. Couch
Data analysis and interpretation: David E. Goldgar, Sean V. Tavtigian, Sharon E. Plon, Fergus J. Couch
Manuscript writing: Noralane M. Lindor, David E. Goldgar, Sean V. Tavtigian, Sharon E. Plon, Fergus J. Couch
Final approval of manuscript: Noralane M. Lindor, David E. Goldgar, Sean V. Tavtigian, Sharon E. Plon, Fergus J. Couch
Disclosures
David E. Goldgar: Royalties on BRCA testing (IP); Fergus J. Couch: Myriad Genetics Laboratories Inc. (IP). The other authors indicated no financial relationships.
(C/A) Consulting/advisory relationship; (RF) Research funding; (E) Employment; (H) Honoraria received; (OI) Ownership interests; (IP) Intellectual property rights/inventor/patent holder; (SAB) Scientific advisory board
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