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Journal of Clinical Oncology logoLink to Journal of Clinical Oncology
. 2013 Jun 3;31(20):2607–2618. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2012.48.2596

Type I and II Endometrial Cancers: Have They Different Risk Factors?

Veronica Wendy Setiawan 1,, Hannah P Yang 1, Malcolm C Pike 1, Susan E McCann 1, Herbert Yu 1, Yong-Bing Xiang 1, Alicja Wolk 1, Nicolas Wentzensen 1, Noel S Weiss 1, Penelope M Webb 1, Piet A van den Brandt 1, Koen van de Vijver 1, Pamela J Thompson 1; The Australian National Endometrial Cancer Study Group, Brian L Strom 1, Amanda B Spurdle 1, Robert A Soslow 1, Xiao-ou Shu 1, Catherine Schairer 1, Carlotta Sacerdote 1, Thomas E Rohan 1, Kim Robien 1, Harvey A Risch 1, Fulvio Ricceri 1, Timothy R Rebbeck 1, Radhai Rastogi 1, Jennifer Prescott 1, Silvia Polidoro 1, Yikyung Park 1, Sara H Olson 1, Kirsten B Moysich 1, Anthony B Miller 1, Marjorie L McCullough 1, Rayna K Matsuno 1, Anthony M Magliocco 1, Galina Lurie 1, Lingeng Lu 1, Jolanta Lissowska 1, Xiaolin Liang 1, James V Lacey Jr 1, Laurence N Kolonel 1, Brian E Henderson 1, Susan E Hankinson 1, Niclas Håkansson 1, Marc T Goodman 1, Mia M Gaudet 1, Montserrat Garcia-Closas 1, Christine M Friedenreich 1, Jo L Freudenheim 1, Jennifer Doherty 1, Immaculata De Vivo 1, Kerry S Courneya 1, Linda S Cook 1, Chu Chen 1, James R Cerhan 1, Hui Cai 1, Louise A Brinton 1, Leslie Bernstein 1, Kristin E Anderson 1, Hoda Anton-Culver 1, Leo J Schouten 1, Pamela L Horn-Ross 1
PMCID: PMC3699726  PMID: 23733771

Abstract

Purpose

Endometrial cancers have long been divided into estrogen-dependent type I and the less common clinically aggressive estrogen-independent type II. Little is known about risk factors for type II tumors because most studies lack sufficient cases to study these much less common tumors separately. We examined whether so-called classical endometrial cancer risk factors also influence the risk of type II tumors.

Patients and Methods

Individual-level data from 10 cohort and 14 case-control studies from the Epidemiology of Endometrial Cancer Consortium were pooled. A total of 14,069 endometrial cancer cases and 35,312 controls were included. We classified endometrioid (n = 7,246), adenocarcinoma not otherwise specified (n = 4,830), and adenocarcinoma with squamous differentiation (n = 777) as type I tumors and serous (n = 508) and mixed cell (n = 346) as type II tumors.

Results

Parity, oral contraceptive use, cigarette smoking, age at menarche, and diabetes were associated with type I and type II tumors to similar extents. Body mass index, however, had a greater effect on type I tumors than on type II tumors: odds ratio (OR) per 2 kg/m2 increase was 1.20 (95% CI, 1.19 to 1.21) for type I and 1.12 (95% CI, 1.09 to 1.14) for type II tumors (Pheterogeneity < .0001). Risk factor patterns for high-grade endometrioid tumors and type II tumors were similar.

Conclusion

The results of this pooled analysis suggest that the two endometrial cancer types share many common etiologic factors. The etiology of type II tumors may, therefore, not be completely estrogen independent, as previously believed.

INTRODUCTION

On the basis of differences in histology and clinical outcomes, endometrial cancers have long been divided into two types.14 Type I tumors comprise the large majority of endometrial cancers, are mostly endometrioid adenocarcinomas, are associated with unopposed estrogen stimulation, and are often preceded by endometrial hyperplasia. Type II tumors are predominantly serous carcinomas and are commonly described as estrogen independent, arising in atrophic endometrium and deriving from intraepithelial carcinoma, a precancerous lesion. Type II tumors generally are less well differentiated and have poorer prognoses than type I tumors, and they account for a disproportionate number of endometrial cancer deaths (40% of deaths, whereas they only account for 10% to 20% of cases).5 The disparate genetic alterations found in type I and type II tumors suggest that these subtypes may have distinct etiologies.1,3,6

Many established risk factors for type I endometrial cancers are related to an imbalance between estrogen and progesterone exposures, including obesity and the use of unopposed estrogen therapy. Use of combined oral contraceptives (OCs), which is associated with progesterone-dominant states, reduces the risk of endometrial cancer. Other risk factors include nulliparity, early menarche, and late menopause, whereas smoking is associated with reduced risk. Little is known about risk factors for type II tumors, mainly because most epidemiologic studies712 have lacked enough cases to study these less common tumors separately.

In this study, we combined individual-level data from 24 epidemiologic studies participating in the Epidemiology of Endometrial Cancer Consortium (E2C2)13 and performed a pooled analysis with 854 type II and 12,853 type I cases and 35,312 controls. The E2C2 is an international consortium established to pool data in an effort to identify endometrial cancer genetic and environmental risk factors that are not addressable in a single study. The large number of cases and controls in E2C2 allowed us to evaluate risk factors for type II tumors as well as the associations for specific histologic subtypes.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Participating Studies

Twenty-four studies (10 cohort and 14 case-control) in the E2C2 with available type II cases were included in the pooled analysis (Table 1). Cohort studies were analyzed as nested case-control studies, with up to four controls randomly selected from the risk set (women with intact uteri and without endometrial cancer before the index case diagnosis) for each case based on exact year of birth, date of cohort entry (± 6 months), and other criteria as appropriate for each individual study (eg, race/ethnicity, study area). The majority of participants were non-Hispanic white, and the populations were from the United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia. Three studies (Multiethnic Cohort [MEC], Hawaii Endometrial Cancer Study [HAW], and Shanghai Endometrial Cancer Study [SECS]) included mainly or exclusively nonwhite populations from the United States or China. Informed consent was obtained from all study participants as part of the original studies in accordance with the requirements of each study's institutional review board.

Table 1.

Characteristics* of the 24 Studies Participating in the Pooled Analysis

Study Location Recruitment Period Matching Factors Histology Source White Race, % Mean Age, Years No. of Cases
No. of Controls
Endometrioid Adenocarcinoma NOS Adenocarcinoma With Squamous Differentiation Serous Mixed Cell Clear Cell Mucinous
Cohort studies
    Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project (BCDDP) 29 US clinics 1979-1980 Birth year, cohort entry, race, clinic Path 92.6 65.2 48 276 27 10 1 4 1,858
    Cancer Prevention Study II (CPS-II) Nutrition Cohort 21 US states 1992 Birth year, cohort entry, race, area Path/registry 98.7 68.9 205 270 18 30 2 9 16 2,431
    Canadian National Breast Screening Study (NBSS) Canada 1980-1985 Birth year, cohort entry, race, area Registry 96.9 59.9 149 396 49 23 1 9 12 2,953
    California Teachers Study (CTS) California 1995-1996 Birth year, cohort entry, race, area Registry 91.9 64.7 367 173 27 19 23 6 16 2,539
    Iowa Women's Health Study (IWHS) Iowa 1986 Birth year, cohort entry, race, area Registry 98.7 71.6 99 316 26 26 2 6 3 2,120
    Multiethnic Cohort (MEC) Hawaii, California 1993-1996 Birth year, cohort entry, race, area Registry 28.1 65.6 235 187 26 29 10 13 6 2,341
    Nurses' Health Study (NHS) 11 US states 1976 Birth year, race Path 94.8 62.4 430§ 23 4 9 1,271
    NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study (NIH-AARP) 8 US areas 1995-1996 birth year, cohort entry, race, area Registry 93.9 67.5 809 495 39 71 23 19 29 6,831
    Netherlands Cohort Study (NLCS) Netherlands 1986 birth year, cohort entry Path/registry 100.0 69.6 98 182 43 5 14 3 766
    Swedish Mammography Cohort (SMC) Sweden 1987-1990 Birth year, cohort entry Registry 100.0 70.5 293 3 10 4 1 1,283
    All cohort studies 61.0 66.4 2,440 2,588 281 227 61 90 90 24,393
Case-control studies
    Alberta Canada 2002-2006 Age (± 5 years) Path/registry 94.8 58.3 424 15 8 18 15 10 4 1,026
    Australian National Endometrial Cancer Study (ANECS) Australia 2005-2007 Age (5-year group), state Path 88.6 61.2 861 1 164 49 132 21 3 703
    Bay Area Women's Health Study (BAWHS) California 1996-1999 Age (5-year group), ethnicity Registry 90.3 61.8 178 199 10 15 11 20 445
    Connecticut Endometrial Cancer Study (CECS) Connecticut 2004-2009 Age (5-year group) Path 93.2 61.5 502 22 5 35 23 9 9 627
    Estrogen, Diet, Genetics, and Endometrial Cancer (EDGE) New Jersey 2001-2005 Age (5-year group) Registry 90.1 62.8 292 96 9 26 6 4 3 464
    Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center (FHCRC) Washington 1994-2005 Age (5-year group) Registry 95.5 59.7 463 260 35 35 20 3 6 847
    Hawaii Endometrial Cancer Study (HAW) Hawaii 1988-1993 Age (± 2.5 years), ethnicity Path/registry 29.1 62.5 93 192 19 4 3 2 3 335
    Polish Endometrial Cancer Study (PECS) Poland 2000-2003 Age (± 5 years), site Path/slide 100.0 57.2 312 110 10 68 5 4 1,829
    Patient Epidemiologic Data System (PEDS) New York 1982-1998 Age (± 5 years) Registry 97.4 62.9 72 327 33 19 5 8 2 504
    Shanghai Endometrial Cancer Study (SECS) China 1997-2004 Age (± 5 years) Path/slide 0.0 54.6 997 60 7 15 3 8 2 1,205
    Turin Case Control Study (TURIN) Italy 1998-2008 Path 100.0 60.9 180 12 4 9 3 10 2 266
    US Endometrial Cancer Study (US) 5 US clinics 1987-1990 Age (± 5 years), race, telephone exchange Path 93.1 58.8 18 224 47 11 1 7 10 303
    USC LA case-control (USC) Los Angeles 1987-1993 Age (± 5 years) Path 100.0 63.1 38 666 45 7 1 8 791
    Women's Insight and Shared Experience (WISE) Philadelphia 1999-2002 Age (± 5 years), race Path 78.9 61.7 376 168 28 6 7 1,574
    All case-control studies 79.7 60.0 4,806 2,242 496 281 285 106 76 10,919
Pooled studies 85.4 63.9 7,246 4,830 777 508 346 196 166 35,312

Abbreviations: AARP, American Association of Retired Persons; NIH, National Institutes of Health; NOS, not otherwise specified.

*

Based on women included in the pooled analysis (ie, after excluding women with missing risk factor data).

Path = review of pathology report; slide = review of pathology slides; registry = histologic type/code as reported to a cancer registry.

Age at diagnosis for cases and age at interview/reference date for controls.

§

NHS grouped endometrioid, adenocarcinoma NOS, and mucinous tumors in one category.

Data Collection

Data, with personal identifiers removed, from individual studies were received at the E2C2 data coordinating center at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center. Each study provided information regarding tumor characteristics, demographic variables (age at diagnosis for cases and at interview or reference date for controls, and race/ethnicity), and risk factors (body weight, height, age at menarche, parity, menopausal hormone use, OC use, smoking history, and history of diabetes). These variables were defined and uniformly recoded in accordance with the E2C2 data dictionary. Risk factor data were obtained from the baseline questionnaire for all cohort studies except one (Nurses' Health Study [NHS]) that used information from follow-up cycles in which index cases were diagnosed. In case-control studies, risk factor data were based on a specific reference date (usually 6 to 12 months before date of diagnosis for cases and date of interview for controls). Body mass index (BMI, in kilograms per square meter) in cohort studies was calculated using self-reported weight and height at baseline, except for Canadian National Breast Screening Study (NBSS), which used direct measurement of weight and height during interview. Weight and height in case-control studies was either ascertained by direct measurement during interview (Alberta, HAW, SECS, Turin, and University of Southern California, Los Angeles, Case-Control [USC]) or was self-reported as of the reference date (Australian National Endometrial Cancer Study [ANECS], Bay Area Women's Health Study [BAWHS], Connecticut Endometrial Cancer Study [CECS], Estrogen, Diet, Genetics, and Endometrial Cancer [EDGE], Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center [FHCRC], Polish Endometrial Cancer Study [PECS], Patient Epidemiologic Data System [PEDS], US Endometrial Cancer Study [US], and Women's Insight and Shared Experience [WISE]).

Data Availability

Data on age, race/ethnicity, BMI, age at menarche, parity, menopausal hormone use (any type), and OC use were provided by all 24 studies. Data specifically on menopausal estrogen use were not available in five studies (Alberta, Iowa Women's Health Study [IWHS], NBSS, Swedish Mammography Cohort [SMC], and Turin), and data on menopausal estrogen-progestin use were not available in seven studies (Alberta, Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project [BCDDP], CECS, IWHS, NBBS, Netherlands Cohort Study [NCLS], and Turin). Duration and recency of estrogen or estrogen-progestin use were not provided by the majority of studies. Thus we were unable to quantify the association of specific types of menopausal hormone use with tumor subtypes. For purposes of analysis, we classified women age ≥ 55 years whose menopausal status was not available (FHCRC) as postmenopausal. Smoking history was not available in BAWHS, and information regarding pack-years of smoking was not available in six studies (Alberta, CECS, FHCRC, National Institutes of Health America Association of Retired Persons Diet and Health Study [NIH-AARP], Turin, and WISE). A history of diabetes was not available in five studies (ANECS, BAWHS, NBSS, PEDS, and SMC).

Tumor Histology

Only incident cases of endometrial cancer (primary site codes: C54 and C55.9) were included in this analysis. Histology data were obtained either from cancer registry information, pathology report/medical chart review, or slide review (Table 1). Nineteen studies (Alberta, ANECS, BAWHS, BCDDP, CECS, Cancer Prevention Study II [CPS-II], CTS, EDGE, FHCRC, HAW, IWHS, MEC, NBSS, NCLS, NIH-AARP, PEDS, SMC, US, and USC) provided the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology (ICD-O-3) histology codes for each case. Four studies (PECS, SECS, Turin, and WISE) provided summary histologic type. One study, NHS, collapsed endometrioid, adenocarcinoma not otherwise specified (NOS), and mucinous adenocarcinoma into one group. Fourteen studies (ANECS, BCDDP, FHCRC, HAW, IWHS, MEC, NLCS, NIH-AARP, SECS, PECS, PEDS, US, USC, and WISE) provided tumor grade. Seven major tumor subtypes were analyzed separately: endometrioid adenocarcinoma (ICD-O-3 code: 8380, 8381, 8382, 8383; n = 7,246), adenocarcinoma NOS (8140; n = 4,830), adenocarcinoma with squamous differentiation (8560, 8570; n = 777), serous/papillary serous (8441, 8460, 8461; n = 508), mixed cell adenocarcinoma (8323; n = 346), clear cell (8310; n = 196), and mucinous adenocarcinoma (8480, 8481, 8482; n = 166). Tumors of other histologies were excluded from the present analysis owing to small numbers of each specific type. We classified endometrioid carcinoma, adenocarcinoma NOS, and adenocarcinoma with squamous differentiation (n = 12,853) as type I tumors. We classified serous/papillary serous and mixed cell adenocarcinoma (n = 854) as type II tumors. We also incorporated tumor grade in the endometrioid cancer analysis for studies with available grade information because previous reports have shown that high-grade endometrioid tumors (grade 3+) behave similarly to type II cancers.14,15

Exclusion Criteria

Women were excluded from the analysis for extreme BMI values (≤ 15 or 50 kg/m2) because of concerns regarding the reliability of these data or for missing data on BMI, parity, age at menarche, OC use, or use of menopausal hormones (n = 3,987). With the exception of the BAWHS, which did not collect data on smoking, women in the other studies who had missing smoking data were excluded from the analyses (n = 797). After these exclusions, 854 type II and 12,853 type I cases and 35,312 controls remained for analysis.

Statistical Methods

We created categories for BMI (< 25, 25 to <30, 30 to < 35, 35 to < 40, ≥ 40 kg/m2), age at menarche (< 11, 11 to 12, 13 to 14, ≥ 15 years), parity (0, 1, 2, 3, ≥ 4), OC use (never, ever), menopausal status (pre-, postmenopausal), menopausal hormone use (never, ever), smoking status (never, past, current, missing [for BAWHS]), pack-years of smoking (never smokers, < 20, ≥ 20), and a history of diabetes mellitus (no, yes). The associations between risk factors and tumor subtypes were estimated by odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CIs using conditional logistic regression stratified jointly by study, age (< 50, 50 to < 55, 55 to < 60, 60 to < 65, 65 to < 70, ≥ 70 years), and race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic white, African American/black, Asian, Hawaiian/Pacific Islander, and other) and adjusted for BMI, age at menarche, parity, OC use, menopausal status, menopausal hormone use, and smoking status. Tests for trend were performed by entering the ordinal values representing categories of BMI, age at menarche, parity, and pack-years of smoking as continuous variables in the models. Differences in ORs between tumor types were tested using case-only logistic regression models. To minimize residual confounding owing to menopausal hormone use, we repeated analyses restricted to postmenopausal women who had never used menopausal hormones. We also evaluated the risk factor associations by selected elements of study design (ie, cohort v case-control study and source of histologic data [pathologic review v registry-based]). All P values were two-sided. Statistical analyses were performed using SAS version 9.2 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC).

RESULTS

Characteristics of endometrial cancer cases, by histologic type, and of controls are shown in Table 2. The majority of women were white (> 77% for each group) and postmenopausal (> 79% for each group). The mean age at diagnosis was highest among patients with serous tumors and lowest among those diagnosed with endometrioid cancer or adenocarcinoma with squamous differentiation. Cases with these seven histologic types all had higher average BMI than controls; among cases, the lowest BMI was observed among patients with serous disease. Compared with controls, cases were less likely to be parous or to have ever smoked.

Table 2.

Characteristics of Women in the Pooled Analysis by Case-Control Status and Histology

Variable Cases
Endometrioid* (n = 7,246)
Adenocarcinoma NOS (n = 4,830)
Adenocarcinoma With Squamous Differentiation (n = 777)
Serous (n = 508)
Mixed Cell (n = 346)
Clear Cell (n = 196)
Mucinous (n = 166)
Controls (n = 35,312)
No. % No. % No. % No. % No. % No. % No. % No. %
Age, years
    Mean 61.9 64.1 61.8 66.5 62.4 65.6 64.6 64.3
    SD 9.5 8.4 8.8 8.0 9.5 8.6 8.6 9.1
Race
    White 5,629 77.7 4,356 90.2 701 90.2 415 81.7 312 90.2 163 83.2 150 90.4 30,528 86.5
    Black 154 2.1 103 2.1 13 1.7 44 8.7 10 2.9 9 4.6 5 3.0 1,360 3.9
    Asian 1,165 16.1 256 5.3 28 3.6 25 4.9 9 2.6 11 5.6 9 5.4 2,270 6.4
    Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 21 0.3 39 0.8 5 0.6 1 0.5 257 0.7
    Other 277 3.8 76 1.6 30 3.9 24 4.7 15 4.3 12 6.1 2 1.2 897 2.5
Postmenopausal 5,768 79.6 4,246 87.9 648 83.4 471 92.7 177 90.3 294 85.0 135 81.3 29,513 83.6
BMI, kg/m2 28.9 6.7 28.1 6.7 29.0 6.9 27.6 6.1 28.5 6.3 27.7 5.8 28.1 6.6 25.7 4.9
    Mean
    SD
Parous 5,951 82.1 3,867 80.1 584 75.2 425 83.7 279 80.6 165 84.2 130 78.3 30,719 87.0
Ever used menopausal hormone 2,310 40.1 2,069 48.7 253 39.0 159 33.8 97 33.0 54 30.5 79 58.5 12,397 42.0
Ever smoked§ 2,583 36.5 1,877 40.5 314 40.9 191 38.7 116 33.5 75 40.5 65 44.5 16,052 46.0

Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; SD, standard deviation.

*

Includes endometrioid carcinoma, mucinous and adenocarcinoma not otherwise specified for one study (Nurses' Health Study).

Includes mixed, Hispanic, other, and unknown race/ethnicity.

Among postmenopausal women only.

§

Based on 23 studies with smoking data (Bay Area Women's Health Study did not have smoking data).

We examined the association of each risk factor with the seven histologic types (Table 3). All factors were associated with endometrioid tumors and adenocarcinoma NOS in the direction expected based on the results of previous research; that is, increasing BMI and diabetes were positively associated with risk, whereas increasing age at menarche, number of children, use of OCs, smoking, and pack-years of smoking were inversely associated with risk. The ORs for a 2 kg/m2 increase in BMI for serous, mixed cell, clear-cell, and mucinous adenocarcinomas (ORs ranged from 1.10 to 1.16) were smaller than those seen for endometrioid adenocarcinoma or the other type I tumors (ORs ranged from 1.20 to 1.21). The associations of age at menarche, parity, OC use, smoking, and diabetes with serous, mixed cell, and mucinous adenocarcinoma were generally similar to those for the endometrioid tumors. Clear-cell tumors, however, were similar only with regard to reduced risk associated with OC use. Unlike for other histologies, increasing age at menarche and number of children were not significantly associated with reduced risk of clear-cell tumors, although numbers were small.

Table 3.

Association of Endometrial Cancer Risk Factors With Specific Endometrial Cancer Histology

Risk Factor No. of Controls Cases
Endometrioid
Adenocarcinoma NOS
Adenocarcinoma With Squamous Differentiation
Serous
Mixed Cell
Clear Cell
Mucinous
No. of Cases OR* 95% CI No. of Cases OR* 95% CI No. of Cases OR* 95% CI No. of Cases OR* 95% CI No. of Cases OR* 95% CI No. of Cases OR* 95% CI No. of Cases OR* 95% CI
Body mass index, kg/m2
    < 25 18,400 2,428 1.00 1,914 1.00 260 1.00 208 1.00 122 1.00 74 1.00 67 1.00
    25 to < 30 10,986 2,163 1.57 1.46 to 1.68 1,332 1.31 1.21 to 1.42 223 1.41 1.17 to 1.71 149 1.11 0.89 to 1.38 104 1.27 0.96 to 1.68 60 1.29 0.91 to 1.83 43 1.13 0.76 to 1.67
    30 to < 35 4,078 1,319 2.56 2.35 to 2.80 830 2.41 2.19 to 2.67 145 2.32 1.86 to 2.89 94 1.73 1.34 to 2.25 65 1.71 1.23 to 2.37 42 2.46 1.65 to 3.68 31 2.10 1.35 to 3.28
    35 to < 40 1,255 753 4.75 4.22 to 5.34 412 4.05 3.52 to 4.66 82 4.18 3.15 to 5.54 32 1.80 1.20 to 2.68 33 2.79 1.83 to 4.25 10 1.94 0.98 to 3.87 17 3.36 1.90 to 5.96
    ≥ 40 593 583 6.88 5.95 to 7.96 342 7.17 6.05 to 8.49 67 7.76 5.56 to 10.82 25 2.85 1.80 to 4.52 22 3.49 2.06 to 5.90 10 4.36 2.16 to 8.82 8 3.29 1.51 to 7.19
    P trend < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 < .0001
Body mass index, per 2 kg/m2 35,312 7,246 1.21 1.20 to 1.22 4,830 1.20 1.18 to 1.21 777 1.20 1.17 to 1.23 508 1.10 1.07 to 1.14 346 1.13 1.09 to 1.18 196 1.14 1.08 to 1.20 166 1.16 1.10 to 1.22
Age at menarche, years
    < 11 1,633 508 1.00 285 1.00 51 1.00 40 1.00 28 1.00 12 1.00 16 1.00
    11-12 7,332 1,740 0.87 0.76 to 0.99 926 0.94 0.80 to 1.10 166 0.74 0.53 to 1.05 134 0.74 0.51 to 1.08 86 0.57 0.36 to 0.91 41 0.76 0.39 to 1.47 34 0.53 0.28 to 0.97
    13-14 21,563 3,963 0.83 0.73 to 0.94 3,104 0.90 0.77 to 1.04 461 0.71 0.52 to 0.98 283 0.66 0.47 to 0.95 183 0.57 0.37 to 0.89 113 0.76 0.41 to 1.41 105 0.57 0.33 to 0.99
    ≥ 15 4,784 1,035 0.67 0.58 to 0.78 515 0.77 0.65 to 0.92 99 0.59 0.41 to 0.86 51 0.48 0.31 to 0.75 49 0.50 0.30 to 0.84 30 0.83 0.41 to 1.69 11 0.32 0.14 to 0.70
    P trend < .0001 .002 .01 .001 .04 .81 .03
Parity
    0 4,593 1,295 1.00 963 1.00 193 1.00 83 1.00 67 1.00 31 1.00 36 1.00
    1 4,528 1,271 0.73 0.65 to 0.81 621 0.81 0.71 to 0.91 107 0.54 0.41 to 0.70 74 1.00 0.72, 1.40 47 0.63 0.42 to 0.95 25 0.81 0.46 to 1.42 26 0.82 0.48 to 1.40
    2 10,147 2,159 0.68 0.62 to 0.75 1,347 0.71 0.64 to 0.78 222 0.48 0.38 to 0.59 142 0.75 0.57 to 1.00 108 0.55 0.39 to 0.77 48 0.70 0.44 to 1.13 46 0.63 0.40 to 0.99
    3 12,119 1,970 0.56 0.51 to 0.62 1,519 0.60 0.54 to 0.66 197 0.39 0.32 to 0.49 150 0.60 0.45 to 0.80 81 0.51 0.35 to 0.72 62 0.71 0.45 to 1.11 49 0.53 0.34 to 0.83
    ≥ 4 3,925 551 0.42 0.37 to 0.47 380 0.41 0.36 to 0.48 58 0.25 0.18 to 0.35 59 0.55 0.38 to 0.78 43 0.54 0.35 to 0.84 30 0.73 0.43 to 1.24 9 0.30 0.14 to 0.65
    P trend < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 .0007 .19 .0002
Oral contraceptive use
    Never 20,785 4,139 1.00 3,378 1.00 494 1.00 306 1.00 191 1.00 131 1.00 103 1.00
    Ever 14,527 3,107 0.78 0.73 to 0.84 1,452 0.67 0.62 to 0.73 283 0.64 0.53 to 0.78 202 0.87 0.70 to 1.07 155 0.54 0.40 to 0.72 65 0.66 0.46 to 0.94 63 0.65 0.44 to 0.95
Cigarette smoking
    Never 18,815 4,485 1.00 2,754 1.00 453 1.00 302 1.00 230 1.00 110 1.00 81 1.00
    Former 10,900 2,025 0.83 0.78 to 0.89 1,421 0.91 0.84 to 0.98 202 0.83 0.69 to 0.99 145 0.76 0.61, 0.94 82 0.62 0.47 to 0.81 47 0.78 0.54 to 1.11 57 1.14 0.80 to 1.62
    Current 5,152 558 0.61 0.55 to 0.68 456 0.64 0.57 to 0.71 112 0.88 0.70 to 1.10 46 0.66 0.48 to 0.91 34 0.53 0.36 to 0.78 28 1.13 0.73 to 1.73 8 0.41 0.19 to 0.85
Pack-years of smoking‡
    Never 13,693 2,988 1.00 2,246 1.00 412 1.00 190 1.00 177 1.00 76 1.00 58 1.00
    < 20 5,383 772 0.80 0.73 to 0.89 724 0.93 0.84 to 1.03 143 0.79 0.64 to 0.98 54 0.79 0.57 to 1.09 52 0.59 0.42 to 0.83 28 0.98 0.62 to 1.54 19 0.81 0.48 to 1.39
    ≥ 20 3,594 465 0.68 0.60 to 0.77 544 0.71 0.64 to 0.80 100 0.80 0.63 to 1.02 46 0.83 0.59 to 1.17 23 0.49 0.31 to 0.78 17 0.82 0.47 to 1.41 14 0.77 0.42 to 1.41
    P trend < .0001 < .0001 .02 .17 .0002 .50 .33
Diabetes§
    No 26,575 4,967 1.00 3,100 1.00 453 1.00 314 1.00 158 1.00 122 1.00 109 1.00
    Yes 2,077 929 1.28 1.16 to 1.42 417 1.25 1.10 to 1.43 56 1.04 0.76 to 1.41 63 1.33 0.98 to 1.81 41 1.93 1.30 to 2.85 19 1.23 0.73 to 2.09 13 1.37 0.73 to 2.55

Abbreviations: NOS, not otherwise specified; OR, odds ratio.

*

Stratified by age, study, and race/ethnicity and mutually adjusted for body mass index, age at menarche, parity, oral contraceptive use, menopausal status, menopausal hormone use, and smoking status.

Based on 23 studies with smoking data.

Based on 18 studies with pack-years of smoking data.

§

Based on 19 studies with diabetes data.

Table 4shows the associations of endometrial cancer risk factors with risk of type I and type II tumors. Risk factors for both types were similar. The OR per 2 kg/m2 increase in BMI was 1.12 (95% CI, 1.09 to 1.14) for type II tumors, weaker than that for type I tumors (OR = 1.20; 95% CI, 1.19 to 1.21; Pheterogeneity < .0001). Increasing parity, age at menarche, and pack-years of smoking were associated with reduced risk of both type II and type I tumors to a similar degree and with significant trends (Ptrend ≤ .0006). Prior OC use and past and current smoking were inversely associated with both type II and type I tumors as well. A history of diabetes was positively associated with both tumor types (OR = 1.53; 95% CI, 1.19 to 1.95 for type II tumors and OR = 1.27; 95% CI, 1.17 to 1.38 for type I tumors). An analysis restricted to postmenopausal women who never used menopausal hormones yielded similar results (Appendix Table A1, online only).

Table 4.

Association of Endometrial Cancer Risk Factors With Type I and Type II Tumors

Risk Factor No. of Controls Cases
P heterogeneity
Type I*
Type II
No. of Cases OR 95% CI No. of Cases OR 95% CI
Mean age at diagnosis, years 12,853 62.7 854 64.8 < .0001
Body mass index, kg/m2
    < 25 18,400 4,602 1.00 330 1.00
    25 to < 30 10,986 3,718 1.45 1.37 to 1.53 253 1.16 0.98 to 1.38
    30 to < 35 4,078 2,294 2.52 2.35 to 2.69 159 1.73 1.40 to 2.12
    35 to < 40 1,255 1,247 4.45 4.05 to 4.89 65 2.15 1.60 to 2.88
    ≥ 40 593 992 7.14 6.33 to 8.06 47 3.11 2.19 to 4.44
    P trend < .0001 < .0001 < .0001
Body mass index, per 2 kg/m2 35,312 12,853 1.20 1.19 to 1.21 854 1.12 1.09 to 1.14 < .0001
Age at menarche, years
    < 11 1,633 844 1.00 68 1.00
    11-12 7,332 2,832 0.89 0.80 to 0.99 220 0.67 0.50 to 0.90
    13-14 21,563 7,528 0.85 0.77 to 0.94 466 0.62 0.47 to 0.82
    ≥ 15 4,784 1,649 0.71 0.63 to 0.80 100 0.50 0.35 to 0.70
    P trend < .0001 .0002 .11
Parity
    0 4,593 2,451 1.00 150 1.00
    1 4,528 1,999 0.74 0.68 to 0.81 121 0.84 0.65 to 1.09
    2 10,147 3,728 0.67 0.63 to 0.72 250 0.67 0.54 to 0.83
    3 12,119 3,686 0.56 0.52 to 0.60 231 0.56 0.45 to 0.70
    ≥ 4 3925 989 0.40 0.36 to 0.44 102 0.54 0.41 to 0.72
    P trend < .0001 < .0001 .31
Oral contraceptive use
    Never 20,785 8,011 1.00 497 1.00
    Ever 14,527 4,842 0.73 0.69 to 0.77 357 0.74 0.62 to 0.89 .17
Cigarette smoking§
    Never 18,815 7,692 1.00 532 1.00
    Former 10,900 3,648 0.87 0.82 to 0.91 227 0.70 0.59 to 0.83 .11
    Current 5,152 1,126 0.64 0.60 to 0.70 80 0.60 0.46 to 0.77 .79
Pack-years of smoking
    Never 13,693 5,646 1.00 367 1.00
    < 20 5,383 1,639 0.86 0.80 to 0.92 106 0.69 0.55 to 0.87
    ≥ 20 3,594 1,109 0.71 0.65 to 0.77 69 0.68 0.52 to 0.90
    P trend < .0001 .0006 .44
Diabetes
    No 26,575 8,520 1.00 472 1.00
    Yes 2,077 1,402 1.27 1.17 to 1.38 104 1.53 1.19 to 1.95 .14

Abbreviation: OR, odds ratio.

*

Type I included endometrioid adenocarcinoma, adenocarcinoma not otherwise specified, and adenocarcinoma with squamous differentiation.

Type II included serous and mixed cell adenocarcinoma.

Stratified by age, study and race/ethnicity and mutually adjusted for BMI, age at menarche, parity, oral contraceptive use, menopausal status, menopausal hormone use, and smoking status.

§

Based on 23 studies with smoking data.

Based on 18 studies with pack-years of smoking data.

Based on 19 studies with diabetes data.

We further examined risk factor associations for endometrioid tumors by tumor grade (Table 5). Compared with low-grade endometrioid tumors (grade ≤ 2, n = 3,630), risk factor associations for high-grade tumors (grade ≥ 3, n = 519) were different only with respect to BMI, with a stronger association for low-grade tumors (OR per 2 kg/m2 = 1.23; 95% CI, 1.21 to 1.25) than for high-grade tumors (OR = 1.16; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.20; Pheterogeneity < .0001). Risk factor associations for high-grade endometrioid and type II tumors were not different (Pheterogeneity ≥ 0.08).

Table 5.

Association of Endometrial Cancer Risk Factors With Endometrioid Tumors by Grade*

Risk Factor Endometrioid Grade 1 and 2
Endometrioid Grade≥ 3
P heterogeneity Type II
P heterogeneity
No. of Cases OR 95% CI No. of Cases OR 95% CI No. of Cases OR 95% CI
Body mass index, kg/m2
    < 25 1,241 1.00 196 1.00 330 1.00
    25 to < 30 1,101 1.73 1.57 to 1.91 177 1.69 1.36 to 2.09 253 1.16 0.98 to 1.38
    30 to < 35 673 3.09 2.73 to 3.49 74 2.02 1.51 to 2.69 159 1.73 1.40 to 2.12
    35 to < 40 362 5.51 4.67 to 6.51 44 4.17 2.89 to 6.03 65 2.15 1.60 to 2.88
    ≥ 40 253 7.77 6.30 to 9.58 28 4.51 2.81 to 7.26 47 3.11 2.19 to 4.44
    P trend < .0001 < .0001 .0001 < .0001 .34
Body mass index, per 2 kg/m2 3,630 1.23 1.21 to 1.25 519 1.16 1.12 to 1.20 < .0001 854 1.12 1.09 to 1.14 .89
Age at menarche, years
    < 11 219 1.00 40 1.00 68 1.00
    11-12 846 0.82 0.67 to 0.99 110 0.62 0.41 to 0.92 220 0.67 0.50 to 0.90
    13-14 1,853 0.77 0.64 to 0.93 276 0.67 0.46 to 0.97 466 0.62 0.47 to 0.82
    ≥ 15 712 0.66 0.53 to 0.81 93 0.61 0.40 to 0.94 100 0.50 0.35 to 0.70
    P trend < .0001 0.18 .75 .0002 .58
Parity
    0 624 1.00 87 1.00 150 1.00
    1 763 0.68 0.59 to 0.79 83 0.73 0.52 to 1.04 121 0.84 0.65 to 1.09
    2 1,026 0.65 0.57 to 0.74 136 0.69 0.52 to 0.93 250 0.67 0.54 to 0.83
    3 913 0.54 0.48 to 0.62 158 0.70 0.53 to 0.93 231 0.56 0.45 to 0.70
    ≥ 4 304 0.42 0.35 to 0.50 55 0.57 0.40 to 0.83 102 0.54 0.41 to 0.72
    P trend < .0001 .006 .06 < .0001 .39
Oral contraceptive use
    Never 2,247 1.00 329 1.00 497 1.00
    Ever 1,383 0.77 0.69 to 0.85 190 0.59 0.47 to 0.74 .11 357 0.74 0.62 to 0.89 .14
Cigarette smoking
    Never 2,494 1.00 322 1.00 532 1.00
    Former 886 0.82 0.74 to 0.91 146 0.93 0.75 to 1.16 227 0.70 0.59 to 0.83
    Current 250 0.55 0.47 to 0.64 51 0.84 0.61 to 1.15 .06 80 0.60 0.46 to 0.77 .08
Pack-years of smoking
    Never 1,822 1.00 196 1.00 367 1.00
    < 20 320 0.70 0.60 to 0.82 45 1.05 0.72 to 1.53 106 0.69 0.55 to 0.87
    ≥ 20 184 0.66 0.54 to 0.81 25 0.83 0.52 to 1.32 69 0.68 0.52 to 0.90
    P trend < .0001 0.56 .13 .0006 .47
Diabetes
    No 2,288 1.00 343 1.00 472 1.00
    Yes 465 1.46 1.28 to 1.67 72 1.26 0.94 to 1.69 .15 104 1.53 1.19 to 1.95 .30

Abbreviation: OR, odds ratio.

*

Based on 14 studies with tumor grade information.

Stratified by age, study and race/ethnicity and mutually adjusted for BMI, age at menarche, parity, oral contraceptive use, menopausal status, menopausal hormone use, and smoking status.

Comparing type II with endometrioid grade ≥ 3.

We also examined risk factor associations for type II and type I tumors by study type and source of histologic data (Appendix Table A2, online only). The associations were consistent between case-control and cohort studies and between registry-based studies and those with review of pathology reports (or for PECS and SECS, review of pathology slides).

DISCUSSION

In this large pooled analysis, we observed that most of the classical endometrial cancer risk factors (ie, obesity, age at menarche, parity, OC use, smoking, and diabetes) were associated with the less common and more clinically aggressive type II tumors (serous and mixed cell). In addition, we observed that the risk factor pattern of high-grade endometrioid tumors and type II tumors were similar and that the risk factors for clear-cell tumors seemed to differ from other histologic types of endometrial cancer.

The first epidemiologic study examining risk factors for specific endometrial cancer histologic subtypes was a case-control study with 26 serous and 328 endometrioid cancer cases.10 This study found that BMI, menopausal estrogen use, age at menarche, and parity were associated with endometrioid tumors but not with serous tumors. OC use and smoking were associated with a reduced risk of both tumor types. The study also found that the age- and BMI-adjusted serum levels of endogenous estrogen and sex-hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) were significantly different between patients with endometrioid tumors and patients with serous tumors. Although small in size, this study raised the possibility that risk factors for serous tumors might differ from those for endometrioid tumors. Data from this study coupled with other clinicopathologic and molecular data have led to the proposed dualistic model of endometrial carcinogenesis.1

Since the initial study, five epidemiologic studies examining risk factors for type II tumors have been reported,79,11,12 with two of these studies focusing on BMI.8,9 Similar to our findings, the largest study,8 with 992 type II cases (including papillary, serous, clear cell, and some poorly differentiated carcinomas), found that BMI was associated with type II tumors as well as with type I tumors (including endometrioid and mucinous adenocarcinomas) and that the magnitude of risk was somewhat stronger for type I than type II tumors. However, the lack of control for potential confounders (ie, parity, exogenous hormone use, and smoking) in that study left open the possibility of bias and thus weakened the validity of its finding. The other BMI study9 had limited statistical power with 70 type II cases, but they also found BMI to be associated with type II tumors.

The classical endometrial cancer risk factors have been generally thought to act via estrogenic mechanisms, either by increasing estrogen exposure or opposing the effects of estrogen.16 Obesity is associated with higher levels of circulating estrogens in postmenopausal women and with lower progesterone levels in premenopausal women. Obesity is also associated with lower levels of SHBG, a protein that binds and modulates the biologic activity of estrogens. OCs contain progestins, which directly oppose the effect of estrogen on the endometrium. Smoking reduces estrogen levels by lowering age at menopause and by altering estrogen metabolism.1720 Hyperinsulinemia, a common feature of type 2 diabetes, can increase levels of bioactive estrogens by decreasing SHBG levels.21,22

Type II tumors are commonly described as estrogen independent, and thus it might be anticipated that estrogenic and antiestrogenic exposures would not be related to their risk. However, our pooled analysis identified associations between both estrogenic and antiestrogenic factors and risk of type II tumors, suggesting either that risk factor–associated estrogen-driven proliferation is also important for type II tumors or that associated mechanisms other than those involving estrogens drive these associations. For example, mechanisms associated with BMI/obesity, such as hyperinsulinemia, chronic inflammation, or oxidative activity, may be important.2327 Hyperinsulinemia is also a hallmark of type 2 diabetes, which we found to be associated with type II tumors independent of BMI. Cigarette smoking has been shown to increase progesterone receptor (PGR) and homeobox A10 (HOXA10) expression in human endometrium and endometrial cells.28 The role of other possible mechanisms needs to be considered further in endometrial cancer etiology.

The strengths of this study include a large sample size that provides greater statistical power than most previous studies have with regard to examining effects for specific histologic types; minimal, if any, publication bias as inclusion of an individual study in our analysis was not dependent on whether results had been previously published; and comparability across studies, in that we used individual-level data to standardize definitions and modeling approaches for the exposures and potential confounders, which is not possible in meta-analyses based on published estimates. Nonetheless, variation in exposure assessment in each study is a limitation of pooled analyses. The unavailability of detailed menopausal hormone data (recency and duration of use of specific hormone type) did not allow us to examine this important association and is a limitation of our analysis.

The source of histologic information did not seem to influence our results, but a certain amount of misclassification of tumor types is likely to be present. A central pathologic review that includes staining with such critical markers as p53 was not possible, and inclusion of some type I tumors within the type II group might, partly, account for the associations observed for type II tumors. Almost all of the common associations for type I and type II tumors are, however, equally strong. For our findings to be a result of misclassification of tumor type, almost all type II tumors would have to be type I tumors, and the BMI results would have been the same for the two tumor types. The BMI associations, however, were clearly statistically different, clearly supporting distinct classifications. Pathologists generally agree that the primary concern for misclassification is diagnosing low-grade endometrioid tumors at the expense of high-grade tumors29 and that the misdiagnosis of tumors as serous is unlikely to be sufficiently common to have produced the necessary amount of misclassification to explain the results obtained here. However, it is clear that future studies need to use pathologic review and molecular diagnostics to accurately define tumor type.

In summary, this large pooled analysis provides epidemiologic evidence that in a number of respects, the risk factor profiles for type II and type I tumors are quite similar, suggesting that they share some common etiologic pathways. Thinking regarding aggressive histologic subtypes of endometrial cancer might be better served by moving away from the traditional type I versus type II distinction.

Acknowledgment

We thank the many individuals who participated in this study and the numerous institutions and their staff who have supported recruitment. We also like to thank Leah Mechanic, PhD, at the National Cancer Institute for her support of the E2C2 activities.

Appendix

Table A1.

Association of Endometrial Cancer Risk Factors With Type I and Type II Tumors Among Postmenopausal Women Who Never Used Menopausal Hormones

Risk Factor Type I*
Type II
P heterogeneity
No. of Cases OR 95% CI No. of Cases OR 95% CI
Body mass index, kg/m2
    < 25 1,050 1.00 125 1.00
    25 to < 30 1,256 1.93 1.74 to 2.14 123 1.41 1.08 to 1.85
    30 to < 35 1,000 4.08 3.63 to 4.60 91 2.40 1.77 to 3.26
    35 to < 40 577 7.57 6.45 to 8.87 37 3.38 2.23 to 5.14
    ≥ 40 460 10.64 8.80 to 12.87 26 3.93 2.37 to 6.49
    P trend < .0001 < .0001 < .0001
Body mass index, per 2 kg/m2 4,343 1.28 1.26 to 1.30 402 1.17 1.13 to 1.21 < .0001
Age at menarche, years
    < 11 323 1.00 29 1.00
    11-12 1,014 0.80 0.67 to 0.96 114 0.81 0.52 to 1.29
    13-14 2,342 0.79 0.66 to 0.94 205 0.69 0.45 to 1.07
    ≥ 15 664 0.63 0.51 to 0.77 54 0.56 0.33 to 0.93
    P trend < .0001 0.01 .30
Parity
    0 733 1.00 69 1.00
    1 596 0.74 0.63 to 0.86 51 0.77 0.51 to 1.15
    2 1,228 0.68 0.60 to 0.78 112 0.65 0.46 to 0.91
    3 1,334 0.57 0.50 to 0.64 110 0.53 0.38 to 0.75
    ≥ 4 452 0.40 0.34 to 0.47 60 0.50 0.33 to 0.75
    P trend < .0001 < .0001 .28
Oral contraceptive use
    Never 3,091 1.00 266 1.00
    Ever 1,252 0.70 0.63 to 0.78 136 0.69 0.52 to 0.92 .25
Cigarette smoking
    Never 2,751 1.00 267 1.00
    Former 1,144 0.82 0.75 to 0.91 89 0.58 0.45 to 0.76
    Current 342 0.60 0.52 to 0.69 39 0.55 0.38 to 0.80 .15
Pack-years of smoking
    Never 2,109 1.00 206 1.00
    < 20 499 0.81 0.70 to 0.93 45 0.55 0.38 to 0.79
    ≥ 20 386 0.71 0.61 to 0.83 35 0.62 0.42 to 0.92
    P trend < .0001 0.002 .33
Diabetes
    No 2,670 1.00 199 1.00
    Yes 637 1.44 1.27 to 1.64 56 1.63 1.16 to 2.30 .43

Abbreviation: OR, odds ratio.

*

Type I included endometrioid adenocarcinoma, adenocarcinoma not otherwise specified, and adenocarcinoma with squamous differentiation.

Type II included serous and mixed cell adenocarcinoma.

Stratified by age, study, and race/ethnicity and mutually adjusted for body mass index, age at menarche, parity, oral contraceptive use, and smoking status.

Table A2.

Association of Endometrial Cancer Risk Factors With Type I and Type II Tumors by Aspects of Study Design

Risk Factor Type I
Type II
Cohort
Case-Control
Path Review
Registry
Cohort
Case-Control
Path Review
Registry
OR* 95% CI OR* 95% CI OR* 95% CI OR* 95% CI OR* 95% CI OR* 95% CI OR* 95% CI OR* 95% CI
Body mass index, kg/m2
    < 25 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
    25 to < 30 1.32 1.23 to 1.43 1.60 1.48 to 1.73 1.53 1.40 to 1.66 1.40 1.31 to 1.50 1.14 0.86 to 1.52 1.19 0.95 to 1.48 1.08 0.84 to 1.40 1.24 0.98 to 1.57
    30 to < 35 2.44 2.23 to 2.67 2.61 2.36 to 2.88 2.45 2.19 to 2.74 2.56 2.35 to 2.78 1.76 1.25 to 2.47 1.72 1.32 to 2.23 1.55 1.13 to 2.12 1.90 1.44 to 2.50
    35 to < 40 4.15 3.65 to 4.72 4.84 4.20 to 5.58 4.45 3.76 to 5.26 4.46 3.98 to 5.00 2.22 1.37 to 3.61 2.15 1.48 to 3.11 2.21 1.42 to 3.45 2.12 1.43 to 3.16
    ≥ 40 6.66 5.66 to 7.83 7.86 6.54 to 9.44 8.45 6.69 to 10.67 6.73 5.83 to 7.75 3.08 1.69 to 5.61 3.29 2.11 to 5.12 4.20 2.44 to 7.23 2.64 1.63 to 4.30
    P trend < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 < .0001
Body mass index, per 2 kg/m2 1.20 1.18 to 1.21 1.22 1.20 to 1.23 1.21 1.19 to 1.23 1.20 1.19 to 1.22 1.12 1.08 to 1.17 1.12 1.08 to 1.15 1.13 1.08 to 1.17 1.11 1.08 to 1.15
Age at menarche, years
    < 11 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
    11-12 0.90 0.78 to 1.04 0.88 0.75 to 1.03 0.90 0.74 to 1.09 0.88 0.77 to 1.00 0.62 0.40 to 0.97 0.72 0.48 to 1.07 0.67 0.40 to 1.11 0.67 0.46 to 0.96
    13-14 0.87 0.75 to 0.99 0.83 0.71 to 0.96 0.82 0.68 to 0.97 0.86 0.76 to 0.97 0.52 0.34 to 0.79 0.71 0.49 to 1.03 0.68 0.42 to 1.10 0.58 0.41 to 0.81
    ≥ 15 0.72 0.61 to 0.86 0.69 0.59 to 0.82 0.68 0.56 to 0.83 0.73 0.63 to 0.84 0.52 0.31 to 0.90 0.52 0.33 to 0.81 0.45 0.26 to 0.78 0.58 0.37 to 0.90
    P trend .0002 < .0001 < .0001 .0001 0.01 .008 .008 .009
Parity
    0 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
    1 0.80 0.71 to 0.90 0.70 0.59 to 0.76 0.64 0.56 to 0.74 0.79 0.71 to 0.88 1.06 0.69 to 1.61 0.72 0.52 to 1.01 0.67 0.45 to 0.98 0.98 0.69 to 1.40
    2 0.77 0.70 to 0.85 0.57 0.51 to 0.63 0.56 0.49 to 0.63 0.73 0.67 to 0.80 0.84 0.59 to 1.21 0.57 0.43 to 0.76 0.51 0.37 to 0.72 0.80 0.60 to 1.07
    3 0.63 0.57 to 0.69 0.48 0.43 to 0.54 0.46 0.40 to 0.52 0.61 0.56 to 0.67 0.65 0.46 to 0.93 0.50 0.38 to 0.67 0.46 0.32 to 0.65 0.64 0.48 to 0.85
    ≥ 4 0.47 0.41 to 0.53 0.32 0.28 to 0.38 0.33 0.28 to 0.39 0.44 0.39 to 0.49 0.58 0.36 to 0.92 0.51 0.36 to 0.74 0.54 0.35 to 0.82 0.51 0.34 to 0.75
    P trend < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 < .0001 .001 < .0001 .0002 < .0001
Oral contraceptive use
    Never 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
    Ever 0.76 0.71 to 0.82 0.68 0.62 to 0.73 0.68 0.62 to 0.74 0.75 0.70 to 0.81 0.81 0.62 to 1.07 0.68 0.54 to 0.86 0.59 0.44 to 0.79 0.86 0.68 to 1.08
Cigarette smoking
    Never 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
    Former 0.88 0.83 to 0.95 0.84 0.78 to 0.91 0.84 0.77 to 0.92 0.88 0.82 to 0.94 0.87 0.67 to 1.12 0.62 0.49 to 0.77 0.60 0.47 to 0.79 0.79 0.63 to 0.98
    Current 0.68 0.61 to 0.76 0.61 0.54 to 0.68 0.60 0.52 to 0.68 0.68 0.61 to 0.75 0.73 0.49 to 1.11 0.52 0.38 to 0.72 0.52 0.36 to 0.75 0.66 0.46 to 0.93
Diabetes
    No 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
    Yes 1.21 1.06 to 1.38 1.31 1.18 to 1.47 1.34 1.18 to 1.52 1.24 1.10 to 1.39 1.15 0.73 to 1.82 1.76 1.31 to 2.37 1.53 1.05 to 2.24 1.55 1.13 to 2.14

Abbreviation: OR, odds ratio.

*

Stratified by age, study, and race/ethnicity and mutually adjusted for body mass index, age at menarche, parity, oral contraceptive use, and smoking status.

Based on 23 studies with smoking data.

Based on 19 studies with diabetes data.

Footnotes

Supported by a grant from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) National Cancer Institute (NCI; Grant No. CA135632 to V.W.S). V.W.S. is supported in part by NCI K07 Career Development Award (Grant No. CA116543). The individual studies were funded by the following grants: ANECS (National Health and Medical Research Council [NHMRC, Grant No. 339435] of Australia and the Cancer Councils of Queensland and Tasmania; P.M.W. and A.B.S. are supported by Fellowships from the NHMRC); BAWHS (NIH Grant No. R01 CA74877; controls were collected under: NIH Grants No. R01 63446, DAMD 17-96-607, and California Breast Cancer Research Program 4JB-1106); BCDDP (Intramural Research Programs of the NCI, NIH, Department of Health and Human Services, United States); CECS (NIH Grant No. R01 CA098346); CPS-II (the American Cancer Society); CTS (NIH Grant No. R01CA77398 and the California Breast Cancer Research Fund; the collection of cancer incidence data was supported by the California Department of Public Health as part of the statewide cancer reporting program mandated by California Health and Safety Code Section 103885; the NCI's Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Program awarded to the Cancer Prevention Institute of California, University of Southern California, the Public Health Institute; and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Program of Cancer Registries); EDGE (NIH Grant No. R01 CA83918); FHCRC (NIH Grants No. R35 CA39779, R01 CA75977, N01 HD23166, K05 CA92002, R01 CA105212, R01 CA87538); HAW (NIH Grants No. P01 CA33619, R01 CA58598, N01 CN67001, N01 PC35137); IWHS (NIH Grant No. R01 CA39742); MEC (NIH Grant No. CA54281); NLCS (the Dutch Cancer Society); NHS (NIH Grants No. P01 CA87262 and R01 CA082838); PECS (Intramural Research Funds of the NCI, NIH, Department of Health and Human Services, United States); SECS (NIH Grant No. R01 CA092585); SMC (the Swedish Cancer Registry, the Swedish Research Council, and the Karolinska Institutet's Research Funds); US (Intramural Research Funds of the NCI, NIH, Department of Health and Human Services, USA); USC LA (NIH Grants No. R01 CA48774 and P30 CA14089); and WISE (NIH Grant No. P01 CA77596).

Authors' disclosures of potential conflicts of interest and author contributions are found at the end of this article.

AUTHORS' DISCLOSURES OF POTENTIAL CONFLICTS OF INTEREST

The author(s) indicated no potential conflicts of interest.

AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS

Conception and design: Veronica Wendy Setiawan, Malcolm C. Pike

Provision of study materials or patients: Yong-Bing Xiang, Penelope M. Webb, Piet A. van den Brandt, Brian L. Strom, Kim Robien, Timothy R. Rebbeck, Anthony B. Miller, Marjorie L. McCullough, Laurence N. Kolonel, Brian E. Henderson, Marc T. Goodman, Christine M. Friedenreich, Chu Chen, Louise A. Brinton, Leslie Bernstein, Hoda Anton-Culver, Leo J. Schouten, Pamela L. Horn-Ross

Collection and assembly of data: Veronica Wendy Setiawan, Malcolm C. Pike, Herbert Yu, Yong-Bing Xiang, Alicja Wolk, Nicolas Wentzensen, Penelope M. Webb, Piet A. van den Brandt, Pamela J. Thompson, Brian L. Strom, Amanda B. Spurdle, Xiao-ou Shu, Carlotta Sacerdote, Kim Robien, Harvey A. Risch, Fulvio Ricceri, Timothy R. Rebbeck, Radhai Rastogi, Jennifer Prescott, Silvia Polidoro, Yikyung Park, Sara H. Olson, Kirsten B. Moysich, Anthony B. Miller, Marjorie L. McCullough, Rayna K. Matsuno, Galina Lurie, Lingeng Lu, Jolanta Lissowska, Xiaolin Liang, Laurence N. Kolonel, Brian E. Henderson, Niclas Håkansson, Marc T. Goodman, Mia M. Gaudet, Montserrat Garcia-Closas, Christine M. Friedenreich, Jennifer Doherty, Immaculata De Vivo, Kerry S. Courneya, Linda S. Cook, Chu Chen, James R. Cerhan, Hui Cai, Leslie Bernstein, Kristin E. Anderson, Hoda Anton-Culver, Leo J. Schouten, Pamela L. Horn-Ross

Data analysis and interpretation: Veronica Wendy Setiawan, Hannah P. Yang, Malcolm C. Pike, Susan E. McCann, Herbert Yu, Alicja Wolk, Noel S. Weiss, Penelope M. Webb, Piet A. van den Brandt, Koen van de Vijver, Brian L. Strom, Amanda B. Spurdle, Robert A. Soslow, Xiao-ou Shu, Catherine Schairer, Thomas E. Rohan, Kim Robien, Sara H. Olson, Anthony M. Magliocco, Lingeng Lu, James V. Lacey Jr, Susan E. Hankinson, Marc T. Goodman, Mia M. Gaudet, Christine M. Friedenreich, Jo L. Freudenheim, Jennifer Doherty, Immaculata De Vivo, Linda S. Cook, Chu Chen, Louise Brinton, Leo J. Schouten, Pamela L. Horn-Ross

Manuscript writing: All authors

Final approval of manuscript: All authors

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Data Availability Statement

Data on age, race/ethnicity, BMI, age at menarche, parity, menopausal hormone use (any type), and OC use were provided by all 24 studies. Data specifically on menopausal estrogen use were not available in five studies (Alberta, Iowa Women's Health Study [IWHS], NBSS, Swedish Mammography Cohort [SMC], and Turin), and data on menopausal estrogen-progestin use were not available in seven studies (Alberta, Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project [BCDDP], CECS, IWHS, NBBS, Netherlands Cohort Study [NCLS], and Turin). Duration and recency of estrogen or estrogen-progestin use were not provided by the majority of studies. Thus we were unable to quantify the association of specific types of menopausal hormone use with tumor subtypes. For purposes of analysis, we classified women age ≥ 55 years whose menopausal status was not available (FHCRC) as postmenopausal. Smoking history was not available in BAWHS, and information regarding pack-years of smoking was not available in six studies (Alberta, CECS, FHCRC, National Institutes of Health America Association of Retired Persons Diet and Health Study [NIH-AARP], Turin, and WISE). A history of diabetes was not available in five studies (ANECS, BAWHS, NBSS, PEDS, and SMC).


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