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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Oct 23.
Published in final edited form as: Arch Intern Med. 2012 Aug 13;172(15):1133–1142. doi: 10.1001/archinternmed.2012.2364

Factors Important to Patients’ Quality-of-Life at the End-of-Life

Baohui Zhang 1, Matthew E Nilsson 1, Holly G Prigerson 1,2,3
PMCID: PMC3806298  NIHMSID: NIHMS514871  PMID: 22777380

Abstract

Context

When curative treatments are no longer options for dying cancer patients, the focus of care often turns from prolonging life to promoting quality-of-life (QOL). Limited data exist on what predicts better QOL at the end-of-life (EOL) for advanced cancer patients.

Objective

To determine the factors that most influence QOL at the EOL, thereby, identifying promising targets for interventions to promote EOL QOL.

Design, Setting, Participants

Coping with Cancer (CwC1) is a US multi-site, prospective, longitudinal cohort study of advanced cancer patients (n=396 patients) and their informal caregivers, who were enrolled between September 2002 and February 2008. Patients were followed from enrollment to death a median of 4.1 months later.

Main Outcome Measure

Patient QOL in the last week of life was the primary outcome of both CwC1 and the present report.

Results

The following set of 9 factors, preceded by a sign indicating the direction of the effect and presented in rank-order of importance, explained the most variance in patients’ EOL QOL: #1=(−) ICU stays in the final week (explained 4.40% of the variance in EOL QOL), #2 = (−) hospital deaths (2.70%), #3 =(−) patient worry at baseline (2.70%), #4 = (+) religious prayer or meditation at baseline (2.50%), #5 = site of cancer care (1.80%), #6 = (−) feeding-tube use in the final week (1.10%), #7 = (+) pastoral care within the hospital/clinic (1.10%), #8 = (−) chemotherapy in the final week (0.90%), and #9 = (+) patient-physician therapeutic alliance (0.70%) at baseline. Most of the variance in EOL QOL, however, remained unexplained (82.3%).

Conclusions

Advanced cancer patients who avoid hospitalizations and intensive care, who are not worried, who pray or meditate, who are visited by a pastor in the hospital/clinic, and who feel a therapeutic alliance with their physicians have the highest QOL at the EOL.

Keywords: cancer, quality-of-life, end-of-life


When curative treatments are no longer options for dying cancer patients, the focus of care often turns from prolonging life to promoting quality-of-life (QOL).1 In 1997 the Institute of Medicine issued a report on improving care at the end-of-life (EOL).2 The report stated that in order to ensure better care at the EOL, researchers needed to fill gaps in knowledge about the EOL. One gap has been data on the strongest predictors of higher QOL at the EOL. Data exist on what factors are considered important at the EOL by clinicians, patients and family members3 and the factors that predict the quality of EOL care.4 Limited data exist on what predicts better QOL at the EOL for advanced cancer patients.59 There has not yet been a comprehensive model of the strongest predictors of QOL at the EOL for cancer patients.

Research has identified factors important to higher quality EOL care, including adequate pain and symptom management, effective patient-physician communication and a strong therapeutic alliance, physicians’ responsiveness to patients’ treatment preferences, and care that enables patients to attain a sense of life completion.3, 1020 Although these studies note factors that clinicians, patients and caregivers consider important to patient QOL and care, they have not been designed to determine prospectively the most influential set of factors that predict EOL QOL. By establishing empirically the strongest set of predictors of QOL at the EOL for terminally ill advanced cancer patients, we can guide clinicians, patients and family members in focusing on what matters most for ensuring a high QOL for dying cancer patients.

Coping with Cancer (CwC1) is a prospective, multi-institutional study of advanced cancer patients and their caregivers. CwC1 was designed to examine the impact of mental and physical health and health service use, patient-doctor relationships, patient and caregiver coping, social support, spirituality and other relevant psychosocial factors on 2 primary patient outcomes: 1) the care patients receive at the EOL and 2) their EOL QOL. Previous CwC1 reports have examined EOL QOL as it relates to the intensity of care provided and family dynamics. For example, we have shown that higher EOL QOL is associated with longer hospice stays, 6 and lower QOL at the EOL is associated with more life-prolonging care in the last week of life, 6 having a dependent child in the home, 7 and dying in a hospital, particularly in the ICU. 8 Patients’ peaceful awareness of their terminal illness 21, 22 and pastoral care visits in the hospital 23 have also been shown to relate positively to EOL QOL. Nevertheless, no study has simultaneously examined a wide variety of aspects of the advanced cancer patients’ experience, from medical care received to social and spiritual support, to determine the set of predictors that best accounts for EOL QOL.

The aim of this study is to derive parsimonious models of the set of factors that have the greatest influence on EOL QOL. Based on our conceptual model of determinants of EOL outcomes, 24 we posit that in addition to the negative effects of intensive life-prolonging care, modifiable psychosocial factors will be of paramount importance. Specifically, we hypothesize that the therapeutic alliance between patients and their physicians, patients’ and caregivers’ mental health, and support of patients’ spiritual needs will be the most significant modifiable contributors to higher EOL QOL.

METHODS

Study Sample

Patients were recruited between September 1st, 2002, and February 28th, 2008, as part of the federally-funded CwC1 study. Participating sites included Yale Cancer Center (New Haven, Connecticut), Veterans Affairs Connecticut Healthcare Systems Comprehensive Cancer Clinics (West Haven, Connecticut), the Parkland Hospital and Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center (Dallas, Texas), Massachusetts General Hospital and Dana-Farber Cancer Institute (Boston, Massachusetts), and New Hampshire Oncology-Hematology (Hooksett, New Hampshire). Trained interviewers assessed patients and caregivers at baseline and clinicians and caregivers completed the postmortem evaluations. All study protocol and contact documents were approved by the human subjects committee at each participating institution.

Eligibility criteria included: 1) presence of distant metastases, disease refractory to 1st-line chemotherapy, and oncologist estimate of life expectancy < 6 months; 2) age ≥20 years; 3) identified unpaid, informal caregiver; 4) clinic staff and interviewer assessment that the patient had adequate stamina. Patient-caregiver dyads in which either person met criteria for significant cognitive impairment 25 or did not speak either English or Spanish were excluded. Potentially eligible patients were identified from medical records and their eligibility confirmed by their clinicians. Trained research staff approached each identified patient to offer participation in the study. Once the patient’s written informed consent was obtained, medical records and clinicians were consulted to confirm eligibility.

Of the 1015 patients approached for participation and confirmed eligible, 289 (30%) declined participation. Reasons for non-participation included “not interested” (N=120), “caregiver refuses” (N=37), and “too upset” (N=20). Non-participants reported significantly more distress on a scale where ranged 1=“minimal/nonexistent” to 5=“distraught” (mean score of 2.72 vs. 2.34, p<0.0001) than participants. Latinos were more likely to participate than other ethnic groups (12.5% vs. 5.6%, p=0.002). Non-participants did not differ significantly from participants in gender, age, or education. Of the 726 patients who completed the baseline survey, 414 patients died at the time of data analysis and had postmortem assessments. This cohort did not differ significantly (p <0.05) by cancer type, psychological distress, or rates of psychiatric disorders to the study participants at large. However, the deceased cohort had worse baseline QOL, symptom burden, and performance status as would be expected in patients closer to death.

Protocol and Measures

Baseline interviews were conducted in English or Spanish and took approximately 45 minutes to complete. Patients and caregivers received $25 as compensation for completing the interview.

In the baseline interview, both patients and caregivers reported their socio-demographic characteristics, including age, gender, race/ethnicity, family structure, religious faith, education (years schooling), family income (≥$31,000 vs < $31,000), and health insurance coverage. Diagnostic information from the patient’s medical chart and clinic was recorded. Self-efficacy, 26 coping styles, 27, 28 religious coping,29, 30 religiousness/spirituality,31 and preferences regarding EOL care 32 were assessed in patients and caregivers. Patients were asked if they had completed a do-not-resuscitate order (DNR) and if they discussed their EOL care preferences with their physician. Patients were asked about pastoral care visits in the clinic or hospital 23 and their use of mental health services.33 Structured Clinical Interview for the DSM-IV (SCID) Axis I Modules 34 were administered by trained interviewers to diagnose current Major Depressive Disorder (MDD), Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD), Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) and Panic Disorder (PD) among patients and caregivers. The SCID has proven reliability and validity.35 Patients completed validated assessments of doctor-patient relationships.20 Therapeutic alliance was coded equal to 1 when patient reported that the doctor sees him/her as a whole person, being treated with respect, respecting and trusting the doctor and feeling comfortable asking the doctor questions about healthcare.6, 20 Caregivers completed established measures of social support.36 Patients’ performance status and co-morbid medical conditions were assessed with the Karnofsky scale37 and the Charlson Co-morbidity Index.38 The McGill Quality of Life Index’s physical and psychological functioning (e.g., how nervous or worried the patient felt in the last 2 days where 0=not at all and 10=extremely), symptom burden, and social support subscales were administered to the patient (coded so higher scores reflected better QOL).39 Patients’ peacefulness was assessed from an item from the NIA/Fetzer Multidimensional Measure of Religiousness/Spirituality.31 Patients were asked to describe their current health status; response options were “relatively healthy,” “relatively healthy but terminally ill”, “seriously but not terminally ill,” and “seriously and terminally ill.” Patients who described themselves as “terminally ill” were coded as acknowledging their terminal illness.

Healthcare received in the last week of life was obtained in the postmortem assessment completed by the patient’s formal (49.0%) or informal caregiver (51.0%) 2–3 weeks after the death. These retrospective assessments recorded the location of the patient’s death, the types of care received in the last week of life, the patient’s QOL at the EOL and whether the patient was enrolled in inpatient or outpatient hospice and the length of hospice enrollment. The postmortem assessment contained the following questions regarding QOL at the EOL, “Just prior to the death of the patient (his/her last week, or when you last saw the patient), how would you rate his/her level of psychological distress?” (0–10 with 0 = “none” and 10 = “extremely upset”), “Just prior to the death of the patient (his/her last week, or when you last saw the patient), how would you rate his/her level of physical distress?” (0–10 with 0 = “none” and 10 = “extremely distressed”), “How would you rate the patient’s overall quality of life in the last week of life/death?” (0–10 with 0 = “worst possible” and 10 = the “best possible”). The sum of the three questions was our primary outcome measure. At baseline, caregivers completed the McGill QOL measure for the patient; this score was significantly (p<.0007) associated with the patient’s self-reported McGill QOL scores, suggesting caregivers were capable of evaluating the QOL of the patient for whom they cared.

Statistical Methods

Random effects modeling 40 was used to examine the univariate and multivariate associations between the potential predictors and EOL QOL, treating recruitment site as a random effect. Univariate analyses determined if patients’ QOL in the last week differed significantly by patient and caregiver background characteristics and the hypothesized set of predictors. Variables significant at p-value <0.2 in the univariate analyses were entered into the multivariate random effects models.

Cross-Validation (CV) 41 provides a way to measure the predictive performance of a statistical model. One way to measure the predictive ability of a model is to test it on a set of data not used in the estimation. The data used to test for the model’s predictive ability are called the “test sets” and the data used for model estimation are called the “training sets”. The predictive accuracy of a model can be measured by a CV statistic (e.g. mean squared error (MSE)) for the test set. Minimizing the CV statistic is a recommended 41 method of model selection. Based upon the sample size (N=396), 9-fold CV model selection was used to determine the best model predicting EOL QOL. The study sample was randomly partitioned into 9 sub-samples, 8 of them used as the “training set” and the other one as the “test set”. The process was repeated 9 times and the 9 results were then averaged to produce a single estimate, the average MSE. The advantage of this method is that all observations are used for both training and validation, and each observation is used for validation exactly once.

In each “training set”, backward model selection was used to generate the best model fitting the training dataset and then the 9 best models were compared to select the final model with the lowest average MSE of the “test set”. SAS 9.2 was the statistical software used for the analyses.

RESULTS

Sample Characteristics

Unadjusted Analyses

Characteristics of the 396 patients who enrolled with no missing site information, died and had their postmortem data collected revealed that patients were predominately white (65.0%), Christian (71.3%), insured (60.8%), almost half were high school educated (52.4%). Their mean age was 58.7 years (SD=12.5). Patients survived a median of 125 days from baseline. Patients closer to death and younger patients had worse EOL QOL. Caregivers’ better overall health was associated with patients’ better EOL QOL. Informal caregivers (family) rated the QOL of patients marginally significantly worse than did formal (professional/clinical) caregivers (Table 1).

Table 1.

Correlation of Quality of Life with Patient and Caregiver Baseline Characteristics

Binary Predictors Full Sample (N=396) Frequency % (n/N) Quality of Death Mean±SD (N) Unadjusted Analyses
Predictors=Yes Predictors=No F Value p-value
Patient Characteristics
 Male 389 (98.2%) 55.5% (216/389) 18.52±7.92 (216, 55.5%) 19.49±7.88 (173, 44.5%) 1.4341 0.2318
 Income 228 (57.6%) 50.0% (114/228) 18.07±8.15 (114, 50.0%) 19.37±7.85 (114, 50.0%) 1.5156 0.2196
 Married 384 (97.0%) 61.7% (237/384) 18.59±8.08 (237, 61.7%) 19.39±7.51 (147, 38.3%) 0.9465 0.3312
 Insurance 380 (96.0%) 60.8% (231/380) 18.63±8.15 (231, 60.8%) 19.38±7.59 (149, 39.2%) 0.7993 0.3719
 Race
  White 389 (98.2%) 65.0% (253/389) 18.63±8.15 (253, 65.0%) 19.54±7.43 (136, 35.0%) 1.1833 0.2774
  Black 389 (98.2%) 18.0% (70/389) 19.66±7.68 (70, 18.0%) 18.80±7.96 (319, 82.0%) 0.6839 0.4088
 Hispanic 389 (98.2%) 15.2% (59/389) 19.64±7.22 (59, 15.2%) 18.83±8.02 (330, 84.8%) 0.5365 0.4643
   Asian 389 (98.2%) 1.0% (4/389) 16.00±8.12 (4, 1.0%) 18.98±7.91 (385, 99.0%) 0.5669 0.4520
 Religion
  Catholic 389 (98.2%) 37.3% (145/389) 18.17±7.98 (145, 37.3%) 19.41±7.84 (244, 62.7%) 2.2625 0.1334
  Protestant 389 (98.2%) 17.0% (66/389) 19.85±7.77 (66, 17.0%) 18.77±7.93 (323, 83.0%) 1.0927 0.2965
  Jewish 389 (98.2%) 4.6% (18/389) 18.39±9.00 (18, 4.6%) 18.98±7.86 (371, 95.4%) 0.0968 0.7559
  Muslim 389 (98.2%) 1.0% (4/389) 20.75±9.64 (4, 1.0%) 18.93±7.90 (385, 99.0%) 0.2093 0.6476
  No Religion 389 (98.2%) 4.9% (19/389) 17.00±6.95 (19, 4.9%) 19.05±7.95 (370, 95.1%) 1.2234 0.2694
  Pentecostal 389 (98.2%) 2.3% (9/389) 18.78±7.64 (9, 2.3%) 18.96±7.92 (380, 97.7%) 0.0057 0.9397
  Baptist 389 (98.2%) 14.7% (57/389) 19.89±7.75 (57, 14.7%) 18.79±7.93 (332, 85.3%) 0.9565 0.3287
Recruitment Site
 Yale Cancer Center 396 (100.0%) 20.7% (82/396) 19.55±8.66 (82, 20.7%) 18.83±7.70 (314, 79.3%) 0.5333 0.4657
 Veterans Affairs CCC 396 (100.0%) 4.8% (19/396) 19.63±7.08 (19, 4.8%) 18.95±7.95 (377, 95.2%) 0.1351 0.7134
 Simmons Center 396 (100.0%) 8.6% (34/396) 17.91±7.71 (34, 8.6%) 19.08±7.92 (362, 91.4%) 0.6853 0.4083
 Parkland Hospital 396 (100.0%) 0.0% (0/396) 19.43±7.62 (156, 39.4%) 18.69±8.09 (240, 60.6%) 0.8277 0.3635
 Dana Farber and 396 (100.0%) 39.4% (156/396) 20.13±5.51 (8, 2.0%) 18.96±7.95 (388, 98.0%) 0.1712 0.6793
Massachusetts General
 New Hampshire Oncology 396 (100.0%) 2.0% (8/396) 17.41±7.80 (70, 17.7%) 19.32±7.90 (326, 82.3%) 3.384 0.0666
Hematology
 Cancer Type
  Lung 382 (96.5%) 21.7% (83/382) 18.40±8.80 (83, 21.7%) 19.08±7.70 (299, 78.3%) 0.4816 0.4881
  Pancreatic 382 (96.5%) 9.4% (36/382) 18.81±8.37 (36, 9.4%) 18.95±7.91 (346, 90.6%) 0.0101 0.9201
  Gallbladder 382 (96.5%) 2.1% (8/382) 23.63±4.66 (8, 2.1%) 18.83±7.97 (374, 97.9%) 2.8808 0.0905
  Colon 382 (96.5%) 12.8% (49/382) 19.41±7.33 (49, 12.8%) 18.86±8.04 (333, 87.2%) 0.2026 0.6529
  Brain 382 (96.5%) 2.1% (8/382) 16.63±8.73 (8, 2.1%) 18.98±7.93 (374, 97.9%) 0.6922 0.4060
  Stomach 382 (96.5%) 3.4% (13/382) 19.85±8.81 (13, 3.4%) 18.90±7.92 (369, 96.6%) 0.1788 0.6727
  Esophageal 382 (96.5%) 2.6% (10/382) 21.60±7.93 (10, 2.6%) 18.86±7.94 (372, 97.4%) 1.1649 0.2811
 Informal Caregiver 351 (88.6%) 51% (179/351) 18.13±8.45 (179, 51.0%) 19.76±7.28 (172, 49.0%) 3.7429 0.0539
Caregiver Characteristics
 Male 386 (97.5%) 24.6% (95/386) 18.51±8.41 (95, 24.6%) 19.09±7.77 (291, 75.4%) 0.3953 0.5299
 Race
  White 384 (97.0%) 63.3% (243/384) 18.58±8.07 (243, 63.3%) 19.61±7.69 (141, 36.7%) 1.5107 0.2198
  Black 384 (97.0%) 18.5% (71/384) 19.85±7.61 (71, 18.5%) 18.76±8.01 (313, 81.5%) 1.0926 0.2966
  Asian 384 (97.0%) 1.3% (5/384) 13.80±6.14 (5, 1.3%) 19.03±7.94 (379, 98.7%) 2.1562 0.1428
  Hispanic 384 (97.0%) 15.1% (58/384) 19.81±7.36 (58, 15.1%) 18.81±8.04 (326, 84.9%) 0.7905 0.3745
 Religion
  Catholic 386 (97.5%) 38.3% (148/386) 18.82±7.57 (148, 38.3%) 19.03±8.15 (238, 61.7%) 0.0654 0.7983
  Protestant 386 (97.5%) 16.1% (62/386) 19.52±8.42 (62, 16.1%) 18.84±7.83 (324, 83.9%) 0.3809 0.5375
Other Religion 386 (97.5%) 15.8% (61/386) 19.00±7.79 (61, 15.8%) 18.94±7.96 (325, 84.2%) 0.0031 0.9556
  No Religion 386 (97.5%) 6.5% (25/386) 17.80±8.12 (25, 6.5%) 19.03±7.91 (361, 93.5%) 0.5637 0.4532
  Baptist 386 (97.5%) 15.5% (60/386) 19.18±7.92 (60, 15.5%) 18.90±7.93 (326, 84.5%) 0.0628 0.8023
 Spirituality 350 (88.4%) 64.0% (224/350) 18.89±7.76 (224, 64.0%) 18.58±8.12 (126, 36.0%) 0.1281 0.7206
Continuous Predictors Full Sample (N=396) Mean±S.D. Quality of Death Mean±SD Unadjusted Analyses
F Value p-value
Patient Characteristics
 Age 389 (98.2%) 58.7±12.5 58.66±12.46 5.0788 0.0248
 Education 389 (98.2%) 12.5±4.1 12.53±4.09 0.0077 0.9299
 Karnofsky Score 376 (94.9%) 63.4±18.1 63.40±18.14 0.1564 0.6928
 Zubrod Scale 384 (97.0%) 1.7±0.9 1.70±0.91 0.108 0.7427
 Charlson Index 376 (94.9%) 8.3±2.7 8.34±2.68 0.0902 0.7641
 McGill Subscales
  McGill Physical Subscale 388 (98.0%) 5.8±2.6 5.76±2.63 1.4892 0.2231
  McGill Symptoms Subscale 388 (98.0%) 5.4±2.1 5.43±2.15 2.8818 0.0904
  McGill Psychological Subscale 388 (98.0%) 7.2±2.5 7.21±2.53 1.3686 0.2428
  McGill Support Subscale 388 (98.0%) 8.6±1.7 8.64±1.67 0.2099 0.6471
 McGill Sum Scale 388 (98.0%) 6.8±1.5 6.84±1.54 3.4817 0.0628
 Survival Time (Day); median [min, max] 348 (87.9%) 125 [1–1020] 191.2±192.5 4.1050 0.0435
Caregiver Characteristics
 Age 386 (97.5%) 51.6±13.9 51.60±13.92 0.0016 0.9959
 MOS Subscales
  Overall Health 385 (97.2%) 3.6±1.1 3.59±1.12 5.0093 0.0258
  Physical Function Subscale 384 (97.0%) 8.8±2.0 8.76±2.04 1.7447 0.1873
  Social Function Subscale 385 (97.2%) 1.5±0.5 1.54±0.55 0.1668 0.6832
  Role Limitation 383 (96.7%) 5.5±2.0 5.48±2.02 0.0004 0.9844
  Mental Health 381 (96.2%) 3.5±1.0 3.46±1.04 2.4853 0.1158
  Pain 385 (97.2%) 1.6±0.4 1.63±0.44 0.1207 0.7284
  Energy 384 (97.0%) 2.4±0.9 2.36±0.92 0.3571 0.5505
  Health Change from Last Year 385 (97.2%) 0.5±0.2 0.51±0.18 2.3412 0.1269
 MOS Sum Score 377 (95.2%) 27.4±6.3 27.36±6.32 1.8199 0.1781

Note: “Predictor=Yes’ and “Predictor=No” refers to whether the independent variable was endorsed and the mean and SD for the “Yes” versus the “No” in relation to the QOL dependent variable.

In the analyses of our conceptual model’s potential predictors of EOL QOL using random effects models (Table 2), patients with MDD, PTSD, PD and being worried at baseline had significantly worse EOL QOL whereas those with a sense of inner peacefulness at baseline had much better EOL QOL. Caregiver’s PD was associated with worse patient’s EOL QOL.

Table 2.

Associations between Quality of Life and Potential Predictors

Binary Predictors Full Sample (N=396) Quality of Death Mean±SD (N) Unadjusted Analyses
Predictors=Yes Predictors=No F Value p-value
Patient and Caregiver Mental Health
 Patient Lifetime Major Depressive Disorder 378 (95.5%) 18.89±8.69 (37, 9.8%) 19.07±7.78 (341, 90.2%) 0.0172 0.8956
 Patient Major Depression Disorder 379 (95.7%) 15.92±8.80 (26, 6.9%) 19.19±7.74 (353, 93.1%) 4.2605 0.0397
 Patient Posttraumatic Stress Disorder 380 (96.0%) 14.33±8.11 (12, 3.2%) 19.18±7.81 (368, 96.8%) 4.4866 0.0348
 Patient Generalized Anxiety Disorder 380 (96.0%) 17.63±6.02 (8, 2.1%) 19.06±7.89 (372, 97.9%) 0.2609 0.6098
 Patient Panic Disorder 378 (95.5%) 13.70±8.76 (10, 2.6%) 19.18±7.75 (368, 97.4%) 4.8732 0.0279
 Patient Inner Peacefulness 358 (90.4%) 19.63±7.56 (253, 70.7%) 17.41±8.23 (105, 29.3%) 6.1225 0.0138
 Caregiver Lifetime Major Depressive Disorder 365 (92.2%) 18.85±8.44 (67, 18.4%) 18.94±7.84 (298, 81.6%) 0.0064 0.9365
 Caregiver Major Depressive Disorder 365 (92.2%) 17.00±8.04 (13, 3.6%) 18.99±7.94 (352, 96.4%) 0.7929 0.3738
 Caregiver Generalized Anxiety Disorder 361 (91.2%) 16.89±7.76 (18, 5.0%) 19.02±7.96 (343, 95.0%) 1.2371 0.2668
 Caregiver Panic Disorder 362 (91.4%) 13.15±8.90 (13, 3.6%) 19.16±7.85 (349, 96.4%) 7.3054 0.0072
 Caregiver Posttraumatic Stress Disorder 365 (92.2%) 16.27±8.73 (11, 3.0%) 19.00±7.91 (354, 97.0%) 1.2697 0.2606
Religious Coping and Spiritual Care
 Mentions religion as a coping method 349 (87.7%) 19.88±7.74 (138, 39.5%) 18.30±7.95 (211, 60.5%) 3.4132 0.0658
 Have you received pastoral care services within the clinic or hospital 343 (86.6%) 19.98±7.13 (156, 45.5%) 18.04±8.36 (187, 54.5%) 5.2463 0.0226
 Have you been visited by a member of the clergy from outside of the hospital system 344 (86.9%) 18.08±7.74 (154, 44.8%) 19.64±7.92 (190, 55.2%) 3.3825 0.0668
 Have you visited a member of the clergy in the last month 344 (86.9%) 18.02±8.13 (118, 34.3%) 19.42±7.70 (226, 65.7%) 2.4921 0.1154
Therapeutic Alliance/Trust/Whole Patient/Care by Doctors
 Terminal illness acknowledgement 354 (89.4%) 19.11±7.77 (136, 38.4%) 19.13±7.79 (218, 61.6%) 0.0007 0.9786
 Discussed EOL care wishes 395 (99.7%) 18.94±7.59 (168, 42.5%) 18.98±8.15 (227, 57.5%) 0.0027 0.9584
 Doctor sees as a whole person 358 (90.4%) 19.21±7.65 (326, 91.1%) 16.50±8.92 (32, 8.9%) 3.5764 0.0594
 Doctors treat you with respect 359 (90.7%) 18.94±7.85 (352, 98.1%) 19.86±7.95 (7, 1.9%) 0.0941 0.7592
 Respect your doctor 360 (90.9%) 18.97±7.83 (358, 99.4%) 19.50±12.02 (2, 0.6%) 0.0092 0.9238
 Trust your doctors 360 (90.9%) 19.00±7.80 (355, 98.6%) 13.20±9.63 (5, 1.4%) 2.7238 0.0998
 Feel very comfortable with your care 363 (91.7%) 19.34±7.68 (280, 77.1%) 17.69±6.91 (13, 3.6%) 1.3339 0.2489
 Therapeutic alliance a 363 (91.7%) 19.59±7.47 (249, 68.6%) 17.62±8.46 (114, 31.4%) 5.0327 0.0255
Aggressive Care and Location of Death
Ventilator use 395 (99.7%) 14.04±7.53 (27, 6.8%) 19.35±7.83 (368, 93.2%) 12.0131 0.0006
ICU 395 (99.7%) 13.50±7.55 (38, 9.6%) 19.55±7.73 (357, 90.4%) 21.2212 <.0001
Chemotherapy 396 (100.0%) 15.76±8.28 (25, 6.3%) 19.20±7.84 (371, 93.7%) 4.4973 0.0346
Feeding tube 393 (99.2%) 15.16±8.33 (32, 8.1%) 19.34±7.76 (361, 91.9%) 8.4914 0.0038
Any aggressive care 396 (100.0%) 14.52±8.00 (52, 13.1%) 19.66±7.68 (344, 86.9%) 20.3188 <.0001
In hospice death 394 (99.5%) 20.06±8.37 (62, 15.7%) 18.84±7.79 (332, 84.3%) 1.2661 0.2612
Out hospice death 395 (99.7%) 19.90±7.47 (254, 64.3%) 17.43±8.37 (141, 35.7%) 9.8833 0.0018
ICU death 395 (99.7%) 15.00±7.43 (27, 6.8%) 19.26±7.88 (368, 93.2%) 7.7875 0.0055
Hospital death 395 (99.7%) 16.13±7.85 (84, 21.3%) 19.74±7.76 (311, 78.7%) 14.6693 0.0001
Home death 395 (99.7%) 20.24±7.55 (219, 55.4%) 17.40±8.09 (176, 44.6%) 14.4841 0.0002
Nursing home death 395 (99.7%) 20.12±5.77 (17, 4.3%) 18.92±8.00 (378, 95.7%) 0.3738 0.5413
Continuous Predictors Full Sample (N=396) Quality of Death Mean±SD Unadjusted Analyses
F Value p-value
Patient and Caregiver Mental Health
 Patient feeling depressed 388 (98.0%) 2.62±2.94 0.8695 0.3517
 Patient nervous or worried 387 (97.7%) 3.09±3.19 4.26 0.0397
 Patient terrified 387 (97.7%) 2.79±3.09 0.9041 0.3423
 Patient sad 388 (98.0%) 2.66±3.00 0.0205 0.8863
 Patient sum score of peacefulness 117 (29.5%) 101.2±35.23 5.7936 0.0177
Therapeutic Alliance/Trust/Whole Patient/Care by Doctors
 To what extent oncologist sees you as a whole person 129 (32.6%) 3.16±1.25 0.8068 0.3708
 How much do you trust your oncologist 130 (32.8%) 3.29±1.24 1.2029 0.2749
 How much do you respect your doctor 130 (32.8%) 3.42±1.22 2.6043 0.1091
 How much do you feel your doctor cares about you 130 (32.8%) 3.17±1.23 1.1129 0.2935
 To what extent do you feel comfortable asking your doctor questions 129 (32.6%) 3.31±1.27 0.2865 0.5934
 How comfortable are you asking your doctor questions about your care 363 (91.7%) 4.59±0.93 1.3339 0.2489
Religious Coping and Being Spiritually Supported by the Medical Community
 Positive religious coping 341 (86.1%) 11.13±6.44 2.9147 0.0887
 Negative religious coping 339 (85.6%) 2.04±3.56 0.2828 0.5952
 Total religious coping 337 (85.1%) 13.20±8.31 1.3125 0.2528
 To what extent do your religious beliefs or activities help you cope with or handle your illness 344 (86.9%) 3.61±1.34 3.8823 0.0496
 How often did you attend church or other religious services before your cancer diagnosis 340 (85.9%) 3.42±1.73 1.4366 0.2315
 How often do you attend church or other religious services now 344 (86.9%) 2.60±1.74 1.1132 0.2921
 How often did you spend time in private religious activities before your cancer diagnosis 339 (85.6%) 3.60±1.74 9.6851 0.0020
 How often do you spend time in private religious activities now 345 (87.1%) 4.12±1.75 4.9224 0.0272
 How important is religion to you 345 (87.1%) 1.44±0.71 1.1656 0.2811
 To what extent are your religious/spiritual needs being supported by your religious community 344 (86.9%) 2.94±1.62 0.7223 0.3960
 To what extent are your religious/spiritual needs being supported by the medical system 344 (86.9%) 2.33±1.42 3.6181 0.0580
 If you did receive visits from the clergy, how much comfort would you say this provided for you 230 (58.1%) 4.32±0.89 1.6264 0.2035

Note: “Predictor=Yes’ and “Predictor=No” refers to whether the independent variable was endorsed and the mean and SD for the “Yes” versus the “No” in relation to the QOL dependent variable.

a

Therapeutic alliance includes being treated as a whole person, being treated with respected, respecting your doctor, trusting your doctor and feeling comfortable asking your doctor questions about your care.

Patients who reported having received pastoral care services within the clinic or hospital had better QOL. Those whose religious beliefs or activities help them cope with their illness and who participate in private religious activities before their cancer diagnosis and at baseline had much better EOL QOL. Analyses of doctor-patient relationships revealed a significant positive effect for patients who had therapeutic alliance.

Receipt of any life-prolonging procedure in the last week and an ICU stay predicted significantly worse QOL. Deaths in the ICU and hospital were associated with significantly worse QOL whereas death at home was associated with significantly better QOL at the EOL.

Adjusted Analyses: Comprehensive Models using Cross Validation Model Selection

Table 3 includes the best models identified in each of the nine training sets and the average MSE values using all of the 9 training sets and the 9 test sets. The 2nd model had the lowest average MSE values for both training sets (average MSE=49.93) and test sets (average MSE=38.36) and, therefore, was selected as the final model.

Table 3.

Summary of 9-Fold Cross Validation Analyses

Fold No. Significant Predictors in the Best Model in Each Training Dataset Average MSE in the Nine Training Datasets Average MSE in the Nine Test Datasets
1 Patient gallbladder cancerb
Patient age b
Caregiver MOS subscale mental health b
Patient Panic Disorderb
ICU stay c
Hospital death
How often did you spend time in private religious activities before your cancer diagnosis b
50.57 40.90
2 Have you received pastoral care services within the clinic or hospital b
Therapeutic alliance b
ICU stay c
Hospital death
How often did you spend time in private religious activities before your cancer diagnosis b
Patient nervous or worried b
Chemotherapy c
Feeding tube c
49.93 38.36
3 Patient age b
Caregiver MOS subscale health change from last year b
Patient Panic Disorder b
Have you received pastoral care services within the clinic or hospital b
ICU stay c
Chemotherapy c
Hospital death
51.83 40.44
4 Doctor sees as a whole person b
ICU stay c
Hospital death
Patient nervous or worried b
How often did you spend time in private religious activities before your cancer diagnosis b
51.82 41.97
5 Caregiver MOS subscale overall health b
Patient Panic Disorder
Have you received pastoral care services within the clinic or hospital b
ICU stay c
Hospital death
51.82 46.66
6 Caregiver MOS subscale health change from last year b
ICU death
Feeding tubec
Hospital death
Patient nervous or worried b
How often did you spend time in private religious activities before your cancer diagnosisb
53.19 42.23
7 Have you received pastoral care services within the clinic or hospitalb
ICU death
Chemotherapyc
Hospital death
Patient nervous or worriedb
How often did you spend time in private religious activities before your cancer diagnosis b
51.07 41.06
8 Patient Major Depression Disorder b
Therapeutic allianceb
ICU death
Chemotherapyc
Feeding tubec
Outpatient hospice death
How often did you spend time in private religious activities before your cancer diagnosis b
51.99 39.57
9 ICU death
Chemotherapy c
Feeding tube c
Hospital death
How often did you spend time in private religious activities before your cancer diagnosis b
51.07 43.38

Notes:

a

Actual sample size varied depending on missing information of the analyzed variables, only 293 observations were used.

b

Assessed at baseline

c

Assessed in the final week of the patient’s life

Table 4a displays the estimation parameters in the best model identified in one training set (N=352). The model included patient’s receipt of pastoral care services within the clinic or hospital, therapeutic alliance, ICU stay, hospital death, patient’s participation in private religious activities before the cancer diagnosis, patient being worried and chemotherapy and feeding tube in the last week of life. Because of the significant amount of missing data associated with the variables of informal caregiver as the source of the postmortem assessment (N=311) and survival time (N=310), these 2 variables were not included in the adjusted analyses. However, sensitivity analyses were performed to examine the impact of controlling for these 2 variables. When these2 variables were included, all of the variables remained significant at p-value<0.05 except for therapeutic alliance (p-value=0.11), informal caregiver (p-value=0.32) and survival (p-value=0.26) as shown in Table 4b. Table 4c presented the results applying the final model to the full study sample where receiving pastoral care services and therapeutic alliance were borderline significant while other predictors remained significant at p-value<0.05.

Table 4a.

Best Model of Predictors of Quality-of-Life at the End-of-Life in the Training Set (N=352a)

Quality-of-Life (Mean±SD)

Predictor Parameter Estimate Standard Error df t-value p-value
Have you received pastoral care services within the clinic or hospital b 2.01 0.89 279 2.26 0.0246
Therapeutic alliance b 2.02 0.93 279 2.17 0.0310
ICU stay c −5.75 1.42 279 −4.05 <.0001
Hospital death c −2.74 1.10 279 −2.49 0.0133
How often did you spend time in private religious activities before your cancer diagnosis b 0.70 0.25 279 2.84 0.0048
Patient nervous or worried b −0.41 0.13 279 −3.18 0.0016
Chemotherapy c −4.09 1.77 279 −2.31 0.0216
Feeding tube c −3.39 1.66 279 −2.04 0.0423

Notes: “Predictor=Yes’ and “Predictor=No” refers to whether the independent variable was endorsed and the mean and SD for the “Yes” versus the “No” in relation to the QOL dependent variable.

a

Actual sample size varied depending on missing information of the analyzed variables, only 293 observations were used.

b

Assessed at baseline

c

Assessed in the final week of the patient’s life

Table 4b.

Sensitivity Analyses of the Best Model of Predictors of Quality-of-Life at the End-of-Life in the Training Set (N=352a)

Quality-of-Life (Mean±SD)

Predictor Parameter Estimate Standard Error df t-value p-value
Have you received pastoral care services within the clinic or hospital b 2.12 0.94 245 2.24 0.0257
Therapeutic alliance b 1.54 0.97 245 1.59 0.1137
ICU stay c −5.40 1.48 245 −3.65 0.0003
Hospital death c −2.39 1.19 245 −2.00 0.0463
How often did you spend time in private religious activities before your cancer diagnosis b 0.71 0.26 245 2.76 0.0063
Patient nervous or worried b −0.40 0.13 245 −2.94 0.0036
Chemotherapy c −4.00 1.81 245 −2.21 0.0279
Feeding tube c −3.51 1.74 245 −2.01 0.0451
Survival time 0.00 0.00 245 1.13 0.2580
Informal caregiver d −0.99 0.99 245 −0.99 0.3212

Notes: “Predictor=Yes’ and “Predictor=No” refers to whether the independent variable was endorsed and the mean and SD for the “Yes” versus the “No” in relation to the QOL dependent variable.

a

Actual sample size varied depending on missing information of the analyzed variables, only 261observations were used.

b

Assessed at baseline

c

Assessed in the final week of the patient’s life

d

Informal (vs formal) caregiver conducted the postmortem assessment

Table 4c.

Best Model of Predictors of Quality-of-Life at the End-of-Life in the Full Study Sample (N=396a)

Quality-of-Life (Mean±SD)

Predictor Parameter Estimate Standard Error df t-value p-value
Have you received pastoral care services within the clinic or hospitalb 1.60 0.82 316 1.95 0.0520
Therapeutic allianceb 1.45 0.86 316 1.69 0.0912
ICU stayc −5.61 1.34 316 −4.18 <.0001
Hospital deathc −3.03 1.00 316 −3.03 0.0027
How often did you spend time in private religious activities before your cancer diagnosisb 0.66 0.23 316 2.86 0.0045
Patient nervous or worriedb −0.39 0.12 316 −3.21 0.0015
Chemotherapyc −3.46 1.65 316 −2.09 0.0375
Feeding tubec −3.54 1.60 316 −2.22 0.0271

Notes:

a

Actual sample size varied depending on missing information of the analyzed variables, only 330 observations were used.

b

Assessed at baseline

c

Assessed in the final week of the patient’s life

The MSE for the best overall model was 51.40 with 17.7% of the variance explained by the predictors included in the final model estimated using the full study sample. Figure 1 illustrates the percentage of variance explained by each predictor. The residuals account for the majority of the total variance, followed by an ICU stay, hospital death, worried patients, random effects of site, pastoral care services reported at baseline, chemotherapy in the last week of life and therapeutic alliance (Table 5).

Table 5.

Percentage of Variance Explained in Patients’ Quality of Life at the End-of-Life

Independent Variable % Variance Explained in QOL at the EOL
1. Unexplained variance 82.30%
2. ICU stays b 4.40%
3. Hospital deaths b 2.70%
4. Worried patient a 2.70%
5. Religious activities a 2.50%
6. Random Effects of Site a 1.80%
7. Feeding tubes b 1.10%
8. Pastoral care a 1.10%
9. Chemotherapy b 0.90%
10. Therapeutic alliance a 0.70%

Notes:

a

Assessed at baseline;

b

Care in patient’s final week

COMMENT

The aim of this study was to identify the best set of predictors of QOL of patients in their final week of life. By doing so, we advance understanding of important determinants of patients’ EOL QOL and, thereby, identify promising targets for healthcare interventions to improve the QOL of dying patients.

The final model showed that providers with this aim should strive to reduce intensive life-prolonging care. Two of the most important determinants of poor patient EOL QOL were dying in a hospital and ICU stays in the last week of life. Therefore, attempts to avoid costly 9 hospital admissions and encouraging transfer of hospitalized patients to home or hospice might improve patient EOL QOL. Because chemotherapy and feeding tube use also appeared in the final model, results suggest that limiting these types of aggressive EOL care may be an effective strategy to enhance EOL QOL.

The best model also demonstrated that patient worry at baseline was one of the most influential predictors of worse EOL QOL. These results highlight the reduction of patient anxiety as a top priority for care aimed at enhancing EOL QOL. Patients who reported engaging in religious prayer or meditation had better EOL QOL. Pastoral care services within the clinic or hospital were significantly associated with better EOL QOL. These findings are consistent with other studies that have shown significant associations between spirituality and peacefulness and QOL in patients with life threatening diseases. 42, 43 Evidently, terminally ill patients who participate in religious/spiritual activities both privately and within the medical setting have better QOL near death than those who do not.

The best model in the training set found therapeutic alliance to be among the most important predictors of patient EOL QOL. Therapeutic alliance included measures of patients feeling treated with respect and as a “whole person” by their doctor, trusting and respecting their doctor and feeling comfortable asking their doctor questions about their care. When “survival” and “informal caregiver reporting of EOL QOL” were forced into the final model for conceptual reasons, the sample size dropped, and therapeutic alliance became marginally statistically significant. Although therapeutic alliance may be one of the weaker predictors it, nevertheless, was among the top 9 factors predicting EOL QOL. These results suggest that physicians able to remain engaged and “present” for their dying patients by inviting and answering questions and treating patients in a way that makes them feel that they matter as fellow human beings, have the capacity to improve a dying patient’s QOL.

As is always the case, this study is constrained by the data available. Even the best models explained less than 20% of the variance in EOL QOL leaving much to learn about other influences on this outcome. There are, undeniably, many unmeasured factors (e.g., provider and hospital characteristics) that contribute importantly to QOL. Future research with assessments of hospital (e.g., number of ICU beds, number of clinical trials) and provider (e.g., communication and treatment styles) characteristics and more comprehensive, prospective, repeated measures, particularly of therapeutic alliance and QOL, is needed.

Taken together, these results indicate that when medicine is no longer able to cure, physicians may still positively and significantly influence the lives of their patients. By reducing patient worry, encouraging contemplation, integrating pastoral care within medical care, fostering a therapeutic alliance between patient and physician that enables patients to feel dignified,44 and by preventing unnecessary hospitalizations and receipt of life-prolonging care, clinicians can enable their patients to live their last days with the highest possible level of comfort and care.

Acknowledgments

This research was supported in part by the following grants to Dr. Prigerson: MH63892 from the National Institute of Mental Health and CA 106370 and CA 156732 from the National Cancer Institute; and the Center for Psycho-Oncology and Palliative Care Research, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute.

Footnotes

Disclosure: None of the authors have relationships with any entities having financial interest in this topic.

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