Abstract
Purpose
To identify and describe the validity of algorithms used to detect heart failure (HF) using administrative and claims data sources.
Methods
Systematic review of PubMed and Iowa Drug Information Service (IDIS) searches of the English language were performed to identify studies published between 1990 and 2010 that evaluated the validity of algorithms for the identification of patients with HF using and claims data. Abstracts and articles were reviewed by two study investigators to determine their relevance based on predetermined criteria.
Results
The initial search strategy identified 887 abstracts. Of these, 499 full papers were reviewed and 35 studies included data to evaluate the validity of identifying patients with HF. Positive predictive values (PPVs) were in the acceptable to high range, with most being very high (>90%). Studies that included patients with a primary hospital discharge diagnosis of ICD-9 code 428.X had the highest PPV and specificity for HF. PPVs for this algorithm ranged from 84% - 100%. This algorithm, however, may compromise sensitivity since many HF patients are managed on an outpatient basis. The most common ‘gold standard’ for the validation of HF was the Framingham Heart Study criteria.
Conclusions
The algorithms and definitions employed to identify HF using administrative and claims data perform well, particularly when using a primary hospital discharge diagnosis. Attention should be paid to whether patients who are managed on an outpatient basis are included in the study sample. Including outpatient codes in the described algorithms would increase the sensitivity for identifying new cases of HF.
Keywords: congestive heart failure, validation, administrative data
Introduction
Large administrative and claims databases can identify individuals and hospitalizations for use in population-based research and surveillance. While the use of administrative and claims data may efficiently identify patients for inclusion in a study cohort, the validity of published algorithms for identifying patients with heart failure (HF) has not been well described.
Heart failure (HF) is a major public health problem and an emerging epidemic1. It is estimated that more than 700,000 new cases of HF occur annually2, 3 and that 1 in every 5 middle-aged man and woman will develop HF during their lifetime4. Administrative and claims databases have been used in the active surveillance of HF and to compare the effectiveness of different treatments for patients with this clinical syndrome.5-8 To perform such studies or evaluations, it is necessary to develop and understand the validity of algorithms used to identify patients with HF in administrative and claims data. The goal of this project was to identify algorithms used to detect HF using administrative and claims data sources and describe the performance characteristics of these algorithms as reported by the studies in which they were used.
This project was conducted as part of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s Mini-Sentinel pilot program. As part of this program, systematic reviews to identify validation studies of algorithms to identify health outcomes of interest in administrative and claims data were commissioned. This manuscript provides an overview of the HF algorithm. The full report can be found at http://mini-sentinel.org/foundational_activities/related_projects/default.aspx.
Methods
The methods and details for Mini-Sentinel systematic reviews have been described elsewhere. (Carnahan, 2011) The specific search strategy for the HF review can be found in the full report which can be found at http://mini-sentinel.org/foundational_activities/related_projects/default.aspx. Briefly, PubMed and Iowa Drug Information Service (IDIS) searches were performed to identify studies published between 1990 and June, 2010 that evaluated the validity of algorithms for identifying HF in administrative and claims data. Certain search terms related to administrative and claims data are described in detail by Carnahan (2011) and were included in all Mini-Sentinel systematic review searches. In addition to these key words, the following PubMed search terms were used for the HF report: “Heart Failure” [Mesh]. In addition, the IDIS search included specification of the following terms: 428. (NOTE: 428. includes: FAILURE, HEART NEC; FAILURE, HEART, CONGESTIVE; FAILURE, HEART, LEFT; FAILURE, HEART, SYSTOLIC; and FAILURE, HEART, DIASTOLIC). Mini-Sentinel collaborators were requested to identify any published or unpublished work that validated an algorithm to identify HF in administrative and claims data.
Two Mini-Sentinel investigators reviewed all abstracts identified through the initial PubMed and IDIS searches, identifying potentially relevant articles based on predefined criteria. Articles were excluded from full text review if they did not study heart failure, were not based on an administrative or claims dataset, or included a data source outside of the U.S. or Canada. Articles identified for full review by either investigator were retrieved and reviewed by two investigators. In the event of disagreement between reviewers, the full article was reviewed.
Selected articles were reviewed with the goal of identifying validated algorithms for identifying HF in administrative and claims data. Investigators also identified citations from the article’s reference sections if they were cited as studies validating an algorithm for HF or were otherwise deemed to be potentially relevant. Articles identified through reference sections were reviewed in a similar manner. A single investigator abstracted information for each study which included the following: database, coding system (e.g., ICD-9 codes), study population (including information on inpatient and outpatient composition of the sample), time period, incident or prevalent case, specific algorithm used to identify cases of HF, adjudication criteria (e.g., Framingham criteria), validation process (e.g., medical record review), and validation statistics. The second reviewer confirmed the accuracy of abstracted information.
Cohen’s kappa for agreement was calculated between reviewers for the inclusion versus exclusion of abstracts and full-text text articles.
Results
Identification and selection of articles
The initial PubMed and IDIS searches identified 887 unique abstracts for review. Of these, 499 were selected for full-text review. Cohen’s kappa for agreement between reviewers on whether or not to include the study in the full-text review was 0.65. One of the articles selected for full-text review could not be located. Of the 498 articles included in the full-text review, 25 were included in the final report and evidence table (Table 1). Reviewers identified 40 additional citations for review from full-text article references. Of these, 9 were included in the final report. Cohen’s kappa for agreement between reviewers on the inclusion vs. exclusion of full-text articles in the final report was 0.83. Lastly, Mini-Sentinel collaborators identified one additional report that had not been identified through other searches and was included in the final report. Thus, a total of 35 studies reporting validation of algorithms to identify cases of HF through administrative and claims data were included in the final report and evidence table (Table 1).
Table 1.
Citation | Study Population and Time Period | Description of Outcome Studied | Algorithm | Validation/Adjudication Procedure, Operational Definition, and Statistics |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ahmed, et al.30 | secondary analysis of data from study by DeLong et al. 1998; Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 or older identified using the Alabama Quality Assurance Foundation (AQAF) database, 1994 | hospitalizations (prevalent and incident) | principal discharge diagnosis of heart failure identified with ICD-9-CM codes 428 and 402.91 | Medical record review was conducted (N=1091). Outcome was confirmed based upon history of heart failure symptoms, signs (, or radiographic evidence of heart failure, or treatment with both digoxin and diuretic. two or more criteria: PPV=99% three or more criteria: PPV=86% |
Alqaisi, et al.31 | members ≥ 18 years of age of a large HMO in southeast Michigan receiving care from a large, multi-specialty medical group, 2004 to 2005 | prevalent and incident | at least one encounter code for HF (excluding all emergency department encounters); various algorithms evaluated that included ICD9 codes: 428.xx, 398.91, 402.01, 402.11, or 402.91 plus laboratory data | Medical record review. Outcome was confirmed if Framingham criteria for heart failure met: two major criteria or one major and two minor criteria. PPV = 86% |
Ansari, et al.24 | members of northern California Kaiser Permanente, 1996 to 1997 | incident | outpatient encounter form with ICD-9 codes 428.0, 425.0, 402.1, 402.11, 402.91, 404.01, 404.3, 404.11-.15 (excluding patients with a prior outpatient visit or primary or secondary diagnosis of a HF-related diagnosis on a prior hospital discharge and patients admitted within 24 h of their diagnosis) | Medical record review. Outcome was confirmed using Framingham criteria. PPV=97% for confirmation of HF PPV=78% for confirmation of ’incident’ HF |
Austin, et al.9 | patients ≥ 20 years of age included from Fastrak II acute coronary syndromes registry and matched with Canadian Institute of Health Information (CIHI) hospital discharge data, prior to March 2000 | hospitalizations (incident and prevalent) | primary discharge diagnosis ICD-9 code 428; primary or secondary diagnosis ICD-9 code 428 | Linkage to Fastrak II registry was performed. 14% of patients with discharge diagnosis could be linked to the Fastrak II CCU registry. Outcome was confirmed if HF diagnosis present in Fastrak II registry. primary diagnosis: specificity=96.8%, sensitivity=58.5%, PPV=65.1%;primary or secondary diagnosis: specificity=84.3%, sensitivity=85.4%, PPV=35.8% |
Baker, et al.32 | patients > 18 years of age seen 2 or more times in the general internal medicine clinic of Northwestern Faculty Foundation, 2003 to 2004 | incident and prevalent | diagnosis of heart failure on problem list or medical history but no encounter diagnoses and patients who had only a single-encounter diagnosis of heart failure (ICD-9-CM codes: 398.91, 402.01, 402.11, 402.91, 404.91, 404.01, 404.03, 404.11, 404.13, 404.91, 404.93, 428.x) | Medical record review was conducted. Reviewed 28 charts for all patients who had a diagnosis of heart failure on problem list or medical history but not encounter diagnoses and reviewed charts for 66 patients who had only a single-encounter diagnosis of heart failure. Outcome was confirmed if there was documentation of heart failure in physician notes. PPV=57% |
Birman-Deych, et al.29 | Medicare beneficiaries who were hospitalized with atrial fibrillation identified using the National Registry of Atrial Fibrillation II dataset | hospitalizations (prevalent and incident) | inpatient ICD-9-CM codes 428.x, 398.91, 402.01, 402.11, 402.91, 404.01, 404.11, 404.91, 404.03, 404.13, 404.93 | Medical record review.Outcome was confirmed if there was documentation of a history of heart failure and/or current heart failure. Current or past heart failure: sensitivity=76%, specificity=97%, Primary diagnosis for baseline hospitalization: sensitivity=33% specificity=99% Any position for baseline hospitalization: sensitivity=83% specificity=86% |
Borzecki, et al.33 | Veterans Affairs patients with at least 1 hypertension diagnosis (ICD-9-CM code 401, 402, or 405) and additional sample without a hypertension diagnosis identified using the Out-Patient Clinic (OPC) and Patient Treatment (PTF) file, Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) databases, 1998 to 1999 | incident or prevalent | inpatient or outpatient ICD-9-CM codes: 398.91, 402.01, 402.11, 402.91, 404.01, 404.03, 404.11, 404.13, 404.91, 404.93, 414.8, 428.xx | Medical record review (981 patients with a hypertension diagnosis and 195 without a hypertension diagnosis). Outcome was confirmed based upon documentation of HF in medical notes. sensitivity=77%; specificity=99% |
Brar, et al.25 | Female members of Kaiser Permanente Southern California hospitalized with HF 6 months before or 9 months after delivery, 1996 to 2005 | hospitalizations/incident peripartum cardiomyopathy | hospitalization with HF identified through ICD-9-CM codes 428.0, 428.1, 428.4, 428.9, 425.4, 425.9 | Medical record review (N=240). Peripartum cardiomyopathy was confirmed if all following criteria met: ejection fraction < 0.50, met Framingham criteria for HF, new symptoms of HF or initial diagnosis of left ventricular dysfunction occurred in the month before or in the 5 months after delivery, and no other cause of HF could be identified PPV=25% |
Brophy, et al.10 | patients diagnosed with atrial fibrillation identified using the Veterans Affairs Boston Healthcare System database, 1998 to 2001 | incident and prevalent | inpatient or outpatient ICD-9-CM code 428.x | Medical record review. Criteria for confirmation of cases was unspecified. sensitivity=98% specificity=83% PPV=80% |
Curtis, et al.26 | members of a large geographically diverse US health care organization ≥ 50 years of age with at least 2 ICD9-CM diagnosis codes for rheumatoid arthritis or Crohn’s disease plus TNF-a antagonist or immunosuppressive drug use, 1998 to 2002 | incident | inpatient or outpatient ICD-9-CM codes: 428.xx, 402.01, 402.11, 402.91, 404.01, 404.03, 404.11, 404.13, 404.91, 404.93, 425.4, 425.5, 425.7, 425.8, 425.9 excluded patients with a diagnosis of HF prior to the index date |
Medical record review (N=29). Confirmed cases satisfied at least 1 major and 2 minor modified Framingham criteria and clinical judgment of physician reviewers. PPV=31% |
Dauterman, et al.11 | Medicare patients >= 65 years identified using data from the Medicare Professional Review Organizaton project, California state hospital discharges, 1993 to 1994, 1996 | hospitalizations (prevalent and incident) | primary discharge diagnosis of ICD-9 428.0, 428.1, 428.9 | Medical record review (N=1720). Outcome was confirmed based upon history and physical examination and either an LVEF < 40% or a chest radiograph with pulmonary edema or cardiomegaly PPV=96% |
DeLong, et al.34 | Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 or older identified using the Alabama Quality Assurance Foundation (AQAF) database, 1994 (baseline) and 1995 to 1997 (follow-up) | hospitalizations (prevalent and incident) | hospitalization with DRG 127 | Medical record review (N=1251 at baseline and N=743 at follow-up). Outcome was confirmed if at least three of the following were documented: shortness of breath, dyspnea on exertion, orthopnea, paroxysmal nocturnal dyspnea, fatigue, tiredness, exhaustion, or lower extremity edema. PPV= 79.1% for patients identified at baseline;PPV=83.6% for patients identified at follow-up |
Ezekowitz, et al.19 | patients older than 18 years of age, Alberta, Canada, 2002 to 2003 (from Richter, et al. 2009) | incident and prevalent | emergency department most responsible diagnosis ICD-10 I50.X code | Medical record review (N=483).Outcome was confirmed based upon Framingham criteria or physician’s final diagnosis. PPV=93% |
Go, et al.35 | Kaiser Permanente of Northern California members ≥ 20 years of age, 1996 to 2004 | hospitalizations (prevalent and incident) | ≥ 1 hospitalization with a principal diagnosis of HF (ICD-9 codes: 398.91, 402.01, 402.11, 402.91, 428.0, 428.1, 428.9); 2 hospitalizations with a secondary diagnosis of HF with the principal diagnosis related to the disease (e.g. CHD); ≥3 hospitalizations with secondary diagnosis of HF; ≥ 2 outpatient diagnoses; ≥ 3 emergency department visit diagnoses; ≥2 more inpatient secondary diagnoses plus 1 outpatient diagnosis | Medical record review (N=9533). Outcome was confirmed if a physician-assigned heart failure diagnosis was documented. PPV=97% |
Goff, et al.12 | patient admitted to special care units at 7 hospitals in Nueces County, Texas with diagnoses possibly indicative of CHD and those who underwent bypass surgery or revascularization, aged 25 through 74 year, 1998 to 1994 | hospitalizations (incident and prevalent) | discharge diagnosis ICD-9 codes: 398.91, 402.x1, 404.x, 415.0, 416.9, 425.4, 428.x, 429.4, 514, 518.4, 786.0; 3 algorithms assessed: 1) presence of ICD-9 428; 2) presence of either ICD-9 code 428 or 402; presence of any of ICD codes listed above | Medical record review (N=5083). Outcome was confirmed if documentation in a progress note or in the discharge summary that the patient experienced an episode of acute HF or notation of pulmonary edema in a report of a chest radiograph. ICD-9 428:Sensitivity= 62.8%, Specificity= 95.4%, PPV=83.5%, NPV=87.4% ICD-9 code 428 or 402: Sensitivity=66.2%, Specificity=93.3%, PPV=78.5%, NPV= 88.2%; Any of ICD-9 codes listed : Sensitivity=67.1%, Specificity=92.6%, PPV=77.1%, NPV= 88.3% |
Grijalva, et al.13 | Tenncare enrollees ≥ 18 years diagnosed with rheumatoid arthritis, 1995 to 2004 | hospitalizations (new onset or exacerbation of HF) | principal discharge diagnosis of ICD9-CM code 428.X | PPV=100% |
Havranek, et al.36 | Medicare patients throughout the U.S. (National Heart Failure project), 1988 to 1999 | hospitalizations (incident and prevalent) | primary discharge diagnosis ICD-9 codes: 402.01, 402.11, 402.91, 404.01, 404.11, 404.91, 428.x | Medical record review (N=100). Outcome was confirmed based upon cardiologist review and judgment. PPV=99% |
Iribarren, et al.27 | Kaiser Permanente Northern California members ≥ 19 years of age with diabetes who were responders to a survey and who had no previous hospitalization with a primary or secondary diagnosis of HF during the 5 years before, 1995 to 1997 | hospitalizations (incident) | primary discharge diagnosis of ICD-9 428.x, 402.01, 402.11, 402.91 | Medical record review was conducted for a random sample of 200 patients. Outcome was confirmed based upon Framingham criteria. PPV=97% |
Jollis, et al.22 | discharges containing a procedure code for coronary arteriography identified using administrative or insurance claims of Duke University Medical Center, 1985 to 1990 | hospitalizations (incident and prevalent) | discharges with an ICD-9-CM code of 428.0, 428.1, 428.9, 398.91, 402.01, 402.11, 402.91 | Clinic database was compared to coding by medical record technicians (N=12937). Outcome was confirmed based upon documentation in the clinical data. sensitivity= 36% specificity= 96% |
Jong, et al.14 | patients ≥ 20 years of age, hospitalized in Ontario (14 acute care hospitals; Canadian Institute for Health Information), 1997 to 1999 | hospitalizations (incident) | primary diagnosis of ICD-9 code 428; excluded those cases in which it was not the first admission for HF and patients who had a diagnosis of HF coded during any hospital admission in the 5 years before this study | Medical record review (N=1346). Outcome was confirmed if 2 major or 1 major and 2 minor Framingham criteria were concurrently present, or if the Carlson heart failure score exceeded 4 points. Framingham criteria: PPV=96% Carlson criteria: PPV=90% |
Klatsky, et al15 | Kaiser Permanente members, San Francisco and Oakland, 1978 to 1985 (baseline) through 2000 | hospitalizations (incident and prevalent) | primary discharge diagnosis code 428 (and no separate primary discharge diagnosis of CAD-codes 411 to 414) | Medical record review (N=1907). Outcome was confirmed based upon Framingham criteria. PPV=95% |
Lee, et al.16 | Patients ≤ 105 years of age admitted to 14 hospitals in Ontario, 1997 to 1999 | hospitalizations (incident and prevalent) | primary most responsible diagnosis of heart failure ICD-9-CM code 428.x | Medical record review 836 women and 805 men). Outcome was confirmed based upon Framingham criteria and Carlson criteria. Framingham criteria: PPV=94.3% (PPV=94.6% in women and 93.9% in men) Carlson criteria: PPV=88.6% (PPV=89.4% in women and 87.8% in men) |
Lee, et al.37 | Kaiser Permanente of Northern California members ≥ 18 years of age, 1999 to 2000 | hospitalizations (incident and prevalent) | primary diagnosis ICD-9 codes: 402.01, 402.11, 402.91, 425.0 to 425.5, 425.7, 428.0, 428.1, 428.9 | Medical record review w (N=1700). Outcome was confirmed based upon Framingham clinical criteria. PPV=93.6% |
Lentine, et al.23 | kidney transplant patients at Washington University ages ≥18 years with Medicare as primary insurer, 1991 to 2002 | incident or prevalent | ICD-9-CM codes: 398.91, 422, 425, 428, 402.x1, 404.x1, 404.x3, V42.1; identified with Medicare Part A (institutional) claims and/or Medicare Part B (physician/suppliers) claims | Transplant center’s clinical database was used to confirm HF, including physician-reported diagnosis plus objective evidence of cardiac dysfunction: echocardiography or other forms of ventriculography, chest radiograph, and/or B-natruiretic peptide. Claims within 30 days from event date recorded in the database:Medicare Part A sensitivity = 75.0% (95% CI 63.7 - 86.3%) Part B sensitivity = 85% (95% CI 75.7% - 94.3%);Part A or B sensitivity = 92.5% (95%CI 85.6% - 99.4%); 1 Part A claim or 2 Part B claims submitted at least 1 day but no more than 365 days apart:sensitivity = 92.5% |
McCullough, et al.38 | Henry Ford Health System members, 1989 to 1999 | incident or prevalent | ≥ 2 outpatient or one hospitalization ICD-9 CM codes: 428.x, 398.91, 402.01, 402.11, 402.91, 404.00, 404.01, 404.03, 404.10, 404.11, 404.13, 404.90, 404.91, 404.93. Hospitalizations required DRG 127 OR one of the ICD-9-CM codes in the principal position OR DRG 124 and one of the above ICD-9 codes in the principal diagnosis position | Medical record review (1% sample; N=271). Outcome was confirmed based upon Framingham criteria, NHANES definition of HF, and confirmation by an internist and cardiologist by chart notes Framingham criteria: PPV=63.5%; NHANES definition (score >=3): PPV=55.7% physician assessment: PPV=82.9% |
Owan, et al.39 | patients admitted to Mayo Clinic hospitals, 1987 to 2001 | hospitalizations (incident and prevalent) | inpatient ICD-9-CM code 428 plus DRG code 127 | Medical record review(N=135). Outcome was confirmed based upon modified Framingham criteria or the clinical criterion (diagnosis of HF recorded on the chart by the attending physician). Framingham criteria: PPV=95%; Clinical or Framingham criteria: PPV=99% |
Park, et al.40 | Medicare beneficiaries ≥ 65 years, 1983 to 1984 | hospitalizations (incident and prevalent) | Primary diagnosis ICD-9 codes 398.91, 402.11, 402.91, 428.0, 428.1, 428.9, 785.51 | Medical record review (N=1600). Outcome was confirmed based upon review and determination by physician principal investigator that the primary diagnosis was accurately coded. PPV=84% |
Philbin, et al.41 | New York state hospital discharges (Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System (SPARCS) database--New York state), 1995 | hospitalizations (incident and prevalent) | Primary diagnosis ICD-9-CM codes 428.0, 402.91, 404.93, 428.1, 402.11, 398.91, 404.91, 404.13, 402.01, 404.03, 404.11, 404.01, 428.9 | Medical record review (3% sample). Outcome was confirmed based upon documentation of typical symptoms, physical findings, laboratory results, and response to appropriate therapy. PPV=96% |
Philbin, et al.42, | Patients from 10 acute care hospitals collaborating in a study of quality of care in HF, 1995 | hospitalizations (incident and prevalent) | DRG codes 127 and DRG code 124 with principal diagnosis was one of the ICD-9 codes required for DRG 127 | Medical record review. Outcome was confirmed based upon presence of appropriate medical history, physical findings, lab results and response to appropriate therapy. PPV=96% |
Quan, et al.43 | hospitalizations identified using Calgary Regional Health Authority data, 1996 to 1997 | hospitalizations (incident and prevalent) | ICD-9-CM codes 428, 428.9 | Medical record review N=1200). Outcome was confirmed based upon definitions described by Charlson et al. 1987 Sensitivity=77.3%, specificity=98.7%; PPV=87.6%; NPV=97.3% |
Rathore, et al44 | Medicare beneficiaries from CMS National Heart Failure Project, 1998 to 1999, 2000 to 2001 | hospitalizations (incident and prevalent) | ICD-9 codes 402.01, 402.11, 402.91, 404.01, 404.91, 428 | Medical record review w (N=66178). Outcome was confirmed based upon clinical evidence. PPV=92.4% |
Rodeheffer, et al.45 | Olmstead County, MN residents ages 0 to 74 years (Rochester Epidemiology Project), 1981 to 1982 | incident and prevalent | ICD-8 code 427 | Medical record review (N=366).Outcome was confirmed based upon Framingham criteria. PPV=69.6% |
Roger, et al.18 | Olmstead County, MN residents (Rochester Epidemiology Project), 1997 to 2000 | incident | first diagnosis of HF based on ICD-9-CM codes: 428, 402.01, 402.11, 425, 429.3, 514 | Medical record review. Outcome was confirmed based upon Framingham criteria. ICD-9-CM 428: PPV=82% Other codes used in isolation without a code 428: PPV’s range from 14% - 30% |
Schellenbaum, et al.28 | Cardiovascular health Study: Medicare eligible residents (≥ 65 years) in Sacramento County, CA; Washington County, MD; Forsyth County, NC; Allegheny County, PA, 1989, 1990, 1992, 1993 | hospitalizations (incident) | discharge diagnosis ICD-9 428, 997.1, 425, 402.01, 402.11, 402.91, 398.91 | Medical record review (N=1209).Outcome was confirmed based upon decision by an Events Committee consisting of 5 physicians after review of documentation on medical history, physical examination, chest X-ray reports, and medication use. PPV=54% |
So, et al.17 | patients ≥ 20 years of age hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction at 4 teaching hospitals in Alberta, Canada, 2003 | hospitalizations (incident and prevalent) | inpatient ICD-9-CM codes: 428.x; ICD-10 codes: I09.9, I11.0, I13.0, I13.2, I25.5, I42.0, I42.5-I42.9, I43.x, I50.x, P29.0 | Medical record review. (N=193) Outcome was confirmed based upon evidence of HF in chart. ICD-9-CM: sensitivity = 81.8% (95% CI 69.1 - 92.0); specificity = 96.4% (91.8 - 98.8); PPV = 90.0% (78.2 - 96.7); NPV = 93.0% (87.5 - 96.6); ICD-10 codes: sensitivity = 80.0% (67.0 - 90.0); specificity = 97.8% (93.8 - 99.6); PPV = 93.6% (82.5 - 98.7); NPV = 92.5% (86.9 - 96.2) |
Algorithms and Validation
Validation Algorithms
All 35 publications listed in Table 1 used ICD-8, ICD-9, ICD-10 or DRG codes to identify patients with HF. The vast majority of included studies used ICD-9 codes to identify patients with outpatient encounters or hospitalizations for HF. All of the studies that used ICD-9 codes included code 428.x alone or in combination with other ICD-9 codes. Other common ICD-9 codes used in the algorithms of the included studies were: 398.91, 402.01, 402.11, 402.91, 404.01, 404.03, 404.11, 404.13, 404.91, 404.93, 425, and 429.3 (See Appendix 1 for definitions of these HF-related codes). In general, differences in the PPVs for the use of ICD-9 code 428.x alone as compared with its combined use with other ICD-9 codes were negligible. Nine studies reported validation statistics for ICD-9 code 428.x alone9-17. With one exception,9 these studies reported high PPVs (range = 84-100%). Two studies compared the validation of ICD-9 code 428.x with other ICD-9 codes. One study12 directly compared the validation of ICD-9 code 428.x with other algorithms using ICD-9 428 in combination with other ICD-9 codes and reported the highest PPV for ICD-9 code 428 alone (PPV=84%); the combination of ICD-9 428 or 402 yielded a PPV of 79% and the combination of ICD-9 428, or the presence of a number of ICD-9 codes for HF, yielded a PPV of 77%. A second large community-based study18 reported a PPV of 84% for ICD-9 code 428.x compared with PPVs of 14-30% for other algorithms (including ICD-9 codes 402.01, 402.11, 425, 429.3, 514) that did not include code 428.
Only 2 studies validated a diagnosis of HF against ICD-10 codes;17, 19 ICD-10 code I50 was always included in these algorithms. One study (So, 2006)17 also included the following additional ICD-10 codes: I09.9, I11.0, I13.0, I13.2, I25.5, I42.0, I42.5-I42.9, I43.x, P29.0. Since few studies reported validation of ICD-10 codes, it is difficult to comment on the validation statistics between ICD-9 and 10 coding algorithms. However, one study17 directly compared the validation of ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes for evidence of HF in medical charts. This study found the PPV of the ICD-10 codes (I09.9, I11.0, I13.0, I13.2, I25.5, I42.0, I42.5-I42.9, I43.x, I50.x, P29.0) to be slightly higher than the PPV of the ICD-9 code 428.x (94% vs 90%).
Several studies used DRG code 127; one study used DRG code 124 in combination with an ICD-9 code for HF. The PPV’s for DRG codes ranged widely from 55% to 96% with the majority being less than 70%.
Validation criteria and method
Nearly all studies included in the report validated administrative and claims coding data through the abstraction of medical charts. Documentation of HF in the medical records was generally based on physician notes. Several studies specified criteria from medical records (e.g., signs, symptoms or radiographic evidence of HF; treatment with both digoxin and a diuretic; ejection fraction <40%,). The most commonly used ‘standardized criteria’ utilized to validate algorithms was the Framingham criteria for HF (presence of 2 major or 1 major and 2 minor criteria),20 which were applied in 14 studies. The Carlson criteria (≥4)21 were also applied in 2 studies but these studies also applied the Framingham criteria. When both the Framingham and Carlson criteria were applied, the PPVs for validation using the Framingham criteria were higher (PPVs = 94-96%) than that of the Carlson criteria (PPVs = 88-90%). The NHANES criteria (≥3) were applied in one study as a comparison to the Framingham criteria. Similar to the Carlson criteria, the NHANES criteria had a lower PPV (56%) compared to the Framingham criteria.
One study (Austin, 2002)9 used registry data to validate administrative claims data. Jollis et al.22 and Lentine et al.23 used clinical databases developed for specific patient populations (patients undergoing cardiac catheterization and kidney transplantation, respectively) to validate administrative codes. The reported estimates for sensitivity varied greatly with the different algorithms assessed in these studies. While the reported estimates for specificity in the studies by Jollis et al.22 and Austin et al.9 were generally quite high (96%), the reported PPVs were quite low in the study by Austin et al (65% or lower). However, in this study only 14% of patients with a discharge diagnosis for HF could be linked to the registry.9
Age and sex of study population
Most studies included only adult populations, with many studies including patients who were older (≥65 years). Studies that included younger patients were generally those that included entire member populations of health plans, who were over a certain age (most commonly 18 years of age and older). Since the prevalence of HF increases with advancing age, in studies that included wide age ranges it is likely that a large proportion of the patients were ≥65 years. No information was provided on the proportion of validated cases of HF by age group. In general, PPVs did not vary significantly according to whether the study populations included all ages or were restricted to older patients. Only one study (Lee et al.)16 reported the validity of ICD-9-code 428.x according to patient’s sex, and found similar PPVs in males and females (94% and 95%, respectively, based upon Framingham criteria for HF).
Time period of data collection
This report includes publications between 1990 and 2010; the majority of the studies included study populations identified between 1990 and 2005. Several studies examined earlier periods (e.g., Jollis, et al.22 reported on data from 1985-1990 and Klatsky et al.15 reported on baseline data from 1978-1985 with follow-up through 2000). The resulting validation statistics did not vary significantly in earlier study periods (i.e., prior to 2000) compared to later study periods (e.g., 2000 and later).
Incident vs prevalent outcome validation
A majority of the studies validated both incident and prevalent cases of HF. Seven studies reported only on incident outcomes.14, 18, 24-28 In general, the validation statistics for studies of incident cases of HF were adequate, ranging from 54-97%. With the exception of one study,28 all studies validating incident cases of HF used the Framingham criteria as the validation criteria. Schellenbaum and colleagues (2006)28 reported a significantly lower PPV for validation of incident HF events in the Cardiovascular Health Study (PPV=54%). In this study, events were confirmed by an events committee rather than by standardized clinical criteria (e.g., Framingham criteria),20 which may be a potential explanation for the lower percentage of cases validated.
Two studies examining incident episodes of HF systematically excluded patients with a prior diagnosis of HF (based on the ICD-9 codes used to identify the incident cases) in the 5 years before the years under study.14, 27 Both studies reported high PPVs (96% and 97%), suggesting that the systematic exclusion of prevalent cases using the algorithm for identifying incident cases may be an important consideration in studies ascertaining newly diagnosed cases of HF. Only one study reported data to calculate validation statistics for both incident and prevalent outcomes (Ansari, 2003),24 thus allowing for a comparison of the two. This study reported a high PPV (97%) for all cases (prevalent and incident) of HF and a significantly lower, although adequate, PPV (78%) for incident cases of HF. A PPV for prevalent cases alone was not reported.
Primary vs secondary diagnosis
The outcome for the majority of the studies included in this report was hospitalization for HF. Approximately half of the studies reporting on hospitalization for HF specified that HF was the primary or most responsible discharge diagnosis in their algorithm for the identification of cases of HF. In general, the validation of HF in the studies that used the primary discharge diagnosis was high, with all but one study (Austin, 2002)9 reporting PPVs >90%. Studies that identified cases of HF according to discharge diagnoses in any position had slightly lower validation statistics compared to the studies that used only the first or primary diagnosis, with PPVs ranging from 79% to 96%, with more than half <90%.
Two studies separately validated both a primary discharge diagnosis of HF and a discharge diagnosis of HF in other positions.9, 29 Birman-Deych et al.29 compared an algorithm using the primary discharge diagnosis with another algorithm using the discharge diagnosis in any other position. The sensitivities and specificities for the primary discharge diagnosis of HF were 33% and 99%, respectively, compared to 83% and 86% for a diagnosis in any position. Using data from a registry of patients with an acute coronary syndrome as validation criteria, Austin et al.9 reported a PPV of 65% for patients with a primary discharge diagnosis of HF and a PPV of 36% for patients with a primary or secondary discharge diagnosis.
Hospital discharge diagnosis vs outpatient encounter
A number of studies used outpatient encounters alone or in combination with hospital discharge diagnoses to identify patients with HF. In general, these studies had lower PPV’s than studies using hospital discharge diagnoses only, with PPVs ranging from 63% to 97%, a majority of which were <90%. Several studies employed algorithms that included both inpatient and outpatient diagnoses; however, they did not directly compare algorithms using one versus the other. For instance, the algorithm reported by Go and colleagues (2006) included ≥1 hospitalization with a primary diagnosis of HF, ≥2 outpatient diagnoses of HF, or ≥3 emergency department visit diagnoses for HF. This algorithm yielded a PPV of 97% for medical record review of physician assigned diagnosis of HF.
Discussion
The use of administrative and claims databases for efficiently identifying patients with specific conditions from large population-based samples is extremely valuable. Understanding the validity of coding systems and corresponding algorithms is paramount for outcomes research and surveillance using these populations. We examined the validity of algorithms used to detect HF using administrative and claims data sources.
While a number of algorithms resulted in high positive predictive values, the use of ICD-9 code 428.x appears most appropriate to yield cases of HF based on this review, with the caveat that it will have a high PPV and specificity, but may have a low sensitivity.
Several factors related to validation statistics are important to consider when choosing a diagnostic algorithm. The distinction between incident and prevalent cases of possible HF is important in deciding on which algorithm to use. It is important to specify at the outset of a study which cases are of interest; a study examining the association between a medical product exposure and the new occurrence of HF will require an algorithm that identifies incident cases with a high PPV. However, prevalent cases would be of interest when examining the prescribing of medications or medical products that are contraindicated in patients with HF, or in identifying a cohort of patients with an existing diagnosis who are followed prospectively for exacerbations leading to hospitalization. The mixing of incident with prevalent cases will impact then interpretation of validation statistics.
Validation statistics were higher, in general, for studies that reported on hospitalized patients only (most PPV’s >95%). Those that included both hospitalizations and outpatient encounters tended to have lower PPV’s (most <90%). Since the majority of care for patients with HF presently occurs in the outpatient setting, identifying algorithms that perform well and incorporate both inpatient and outpatient encounters deserves further study. Administrative and claims datasets may lack the clinical accuracy needed for surveillance of certain disease states, particularly chronic diseases managed largely on an outpatient basis.
Several clinical methods have been routinely used to confirm the presence of HF including the Framingham criteria and the criteria of Carlson et al. However, the inclusion of contemporary and widely employed diagnostic tests, including BNP (brain natriuretic peptide) levels into HF diagnostic criteria, may improve sensitivity and specificity.
Gaps in the current literature include specific comparisons of algorithms for hospitalized versus outpatient study populations with possible HF. Comparison of the validation of inpatient and outpatient algorithms against the Framingham Heart Study criteria for HF would be most useful in order to compare the findings from other studies, as would the validation of incident versus prior events. Algorithms also have not been validated in different age strata, particularly in elderly and very old patient populations with additional comorbidities, who comprise the majority of patients presenting with HF. In addition, very few validation studies have been conducted on ICD-10 codes or in patients of different race/ethnicities in whom the criteria published to date may have varying sensitivities and specificities. Lastly, current coding systems do not allow for algorithms that distinguish systolic and diastolic HF or that detail a patient’s disease severity.
Conclusion
Heart failure can be validly identified using administrative and claims databases. Studies that included a primary hospital discharge diagnosis of ICD-9 code 428.X had the highest PPV and specificity. This algorithm, however, may compromise sensitivity since many patients with HF are managed on an outpatient basis. Characteristics of the sample population and details related to the diagnosis of HF, including whether cases are incident or prevalent, should be considered when choosing a diagnostic algorithm.
Take home messages.
Specific algorithms to identify patients with heart failure (HF) had high positive predictive values (PPVs) (>90%)
PPVs differed according to whether cases were prevalent or incident and whether hospital or outpatient encounters were used.
Administrative data is appropriate to use to identify patients with HF.
Acknowledgments
This was supported by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) through Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) Contract Number HHSF22320091006I. The views expressed in this document for not necessarily reflect the official policies of the Department of Health and Human Serves, nor does mention of trade names, commercial practices, or organizations imply endorsement by the U.S. Government. Dr. Saczynski was supported in part by funding from the National Institute on Aging (K01 AG33643) and the National Heart Lung and Blood Institute (U01 HL105268). Dr. Cutrona was supported in part by Award Number KL2RR031981 from the National Center for Research Resources (NCRR). Dr. Harrold was funded by K23AR053856 from the National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases.
Appendix 1: List and Definitions of ICD or Procedural Codes Included in Algorithms
Type of Code | Code | Description |
---|---|---|
DRG | 124 | CIRCULATORY DISORDERS OTHER THAN ACUTE MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION WITH CARDIAC CATHETERIZATION AND COMPLEX DIAGNOSIS |
DRG | 127 | HEART FAILURE AND SHOCK |
ICD-8 | 427 | SYMPTOMATIC HEART DISEASE |
ICD-9 | 398.91 | RHEUMATIC HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 402.01 | MALIGNANT HYPERTENSIVE HEART DISEASE WITH HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 402.1 | BENIGN HYPERTENSIVE HEART DISEASE |
ICD-9 | 402.11 | BENIGN HYPERTENSIVE HEART DISEASE WITH HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 402.91 | HYPERTENSIVE HEART DISEASE UNSPECIFIED WITH HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 404.00 | MALIGNANT HEART AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE WITHOUT HEART FAILURE AND WITH CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE STAGE I – STAGE IV OR UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-9 | 404.01 | MALIGNANT HYPERTENSIVE HEART AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE WITH HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 404.03 | MALIGNANT HYPERTENSICE HEART AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE WITH HEART FAILURE AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE STAGE V OR END STAGE RENAL DISEASE |
ICD-9 | 404.10 | BENIGN HYPERTENSIVE HEART AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE WITHOUT HEART FAILURE AND WITH CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE STAGE I – STAGE IV OR UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-9 | 404.11 | BENIGN HYPERTENSIVE HEART DISEASE AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE WITH HEART FAILURE AND WITH CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE STAGE I – STAGE IV OR UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-9 | 404.12 | BENIGN HYPERTENSIVE HEART DISEASE AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE WITHOUT HEART FAILURE AND WITH CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE STAGE V OR END STAGE RENAL DISEASE |
ICD-9 | 404.13 | BENIGN HYPERTENSIVE HEART DISEASE AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE WITH HEART FAILURE AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE STAGE V OR END STAGE RENAL DISEASE |
ICD-9 | 404.90 | HYPERTENSIVE HEART DISEASE AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE USPECIFIED WITHOUT HEART FAILURE AND WITH CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE STAGE I – STAGE IV OR UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-9 | 404.91 | HYPERTENSIVE HEART DISEASE AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE USPECIFIED WITHHEART FAILURE AND WITH CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE STAGE I – STAGE IV OR UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-9 | 404.93 | HYPERTENSIVE HEART DISEASE AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE USPECIFIED WITH HEART FAILURE AND WITH CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE STAGE V OR END STAGE RENAL DISEASE |
ICD-9 | 414.8 | OTHER CHRONIC ISCHEMIC HEART DISEASE |
ICD-9 | 415.0 | ACUTE COR PULMONALE |
ICD-9 | 416.9 | CHRONIC PULMONARY HEART DISEASE UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-9 | 422 | ACUTE MYOCARDITIS* |
ICD-9 | 425 | CARDIOMYOPATHY* |
ICD-9 | 425.0 | ENDOMYOCARDIAL FIBROSIS |
ICD-9 | 425.1 | HYPERTROPHIC OBSTRUCTIVE CARDIOMYOPATHY |
ICD-9 | 425.2 | OBSCURE CARDIOMYOPATHY OF AFRICA |
ICD-9 | 425.3 | ENDOCARDIAL FIBROELASTOSIS |
ICD-9 | 425.4 | OTHER PRIMARY CARDIOMYOPATHIES |
ICD-9 | 425.5 | ALCOHOLIC CARDIOMYOPATHY |
ICD-9 | 425.7 | METABOLIC CARDIOMYOPATHY |
ICD-9 | 425.8 | CARDIOMYOPATH IN OTHER DISEASES CLASSIFIED ELSEWHERE |
ICD-9 | 425.9 | SECONDARY CARDIOMYOPATHY UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-9 | 428 | HEART FAILURE* |
ICD-9 | 428.0 | CONGESTIVE HEART FAILURE UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-9 | 428.1 | LEFT HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 428.20 | SYSTOLIC HEART FAILURE UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-9 | 428.21 | ACUTE SYSTOLIC HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 428.22 | CHRONIC SYSTOLIC HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 428.23 | ACUTE ON CHRONIC SYSTOLIC HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 428.30 | DIASTOLIC HEART FAILURE UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-9 | 428.31 | ACUTE DIASTOLIC HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 428.32 | CHRONIC DIASTOLIC HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 428.33 | ACUTE ON CHRONIC DIASTOLIC HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 428.40 | COMBINED SYSTOLIC AND DIASTOLIC HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 428.40 | COMBINED SYSTOLIC AND DIASTOLIC HEART FAILURE UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-9 | 428.41 | ACUTE COMBINED SYSTOLIC AND DIASTOLIC HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 428.42 | CHRONIC COMBINED SYSTOLIC AND DIASTOLIC HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 428.43 | ACUTE ON CHRONIC COMBINED SYSTOLIC AND DIASTOLIC HEART FAILURE |
ICD-9 | 428.9 | HEART FAILURE UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-9 | 429.3 | CARDIOMEGALY |
ICD-9 | 429.4 | HEART DISEASE FOLLOWING CARDIAC SURGERY |
ICD-9 | 514 | PULMONARY CONGESTION AND HYPOSTASIS |
ICD-9 | 518.4 | ACUTE LUNG EDEMA UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-9 | 785.51 | CARDIOGENIC SHOCK |
ICD-9 | 786.0 | DYSPNEA/RESPIRATORY ABNORNALITY* |
ICD-9 | 997.1 | CARDIAC COMPLICATIONS DURING OR RESULTING FROM A PROCEDURE |
ICD-9 | V42.1 | HEART TRANSPLANT STATUS |
ICD-10 | I09.9 | RHEUMATIC HEART DISEASE UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-10 | I11.0 | HYPERTENSIVE HEART DISEASE WITH HEART FAILURE |
ICD-10 | I13.0 | HYPERTENSIVE HEART AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE WITH HEART FAILURE AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE STAGE I – STAGE IV OR UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-10 | I13.2 | HYPERTENSIVE HEART AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE WITH HEART FAILURE AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE STAGE V OR END STAGE RENAL DISEASE |
ICD-10 | I25.5 | ISCHEMIC CARDIOMYOPATHY |
ICD-10 | I42.0 | DILATED CARDIOMYOPATHY |
ICD-10 | I42.5 | OTHER RESTRICTIVE CARDIOMYOPATHY |
ICD-10 | I42.6 | ALCOHOLIC CARDIOMYOPATHY |
ICD-10 | I42.7 | CARDIOMYOPATH DUE TO DRUGS AND EXTERNAL CAUSES |
ICD-10 | I42.8 | OTHER CARDIOMYOPATHIES |
ICD-10 | I42.9 | CARDIOMYOPATHY, UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-10 | I43 | CARDIOMYOPATH IN DISEASES CLASSIFIED ELSEWHERE |
ICD-10 | I43.0 | CARDIOMYOPATHY IN INFECTIOUS AND PARASITIC DISEASES CLASSIFIED ELSEWHERE |
ICD-10 | I43.1 | CARDIOMYOPATHY IN METABOLIC DISEASES |
ICD-10 | I43.2 | CARDIOMYOPATHY IN NUTRITIONAL DISEASES |
ICD-10 | I43.8 | CARDIOMYOPATHY IN OTHER DISEASES CLASSIFIED ELSEWHERE |
ICD-10 | I50 | HEART FAILURE |
ICD-10 | I50.0 | CONGESTIVE HEART FAILURE |
ICD-10 | I50.1 | LEFT VENTRICULAR FAILURE |
ICD-10 | I50.9 | HEART FAILURE UNSPECIFIED |
ICD-10 | P29.0 | NEONATAL CARDIAC FAILURE |
Footnotes
The Authors have no conflicts of interest to report
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