Table 1.
Parameters used in individual based simulation of on-farm epidemiology of MDV. Personal communication refers to Nick Sparks (NS). is the quantity of virus in the atmosphere (VCN) on day k for an outbreak of virulence in a cohort with vaccination status j (Fig. 1).
Parameter | Symbol | Value/s | Reference |
---|---|---|---|
Daily dust production per bird (mg) | d(t, Tc) | 368 exp(− P(Tc)/t1.64) + 10.8 | Atkins et al. (2013) |
Daily transmission probability per bird per VCN/m3 | |||
Unvaccinated | αsham | 4.93 × 10−8 | From data in Atkins et al. (2011) |
HVT | αHVT | 8.26 × 10−10 | From data in Atkins et al. (2011) |
Total flock mortality (%) | μtotal | 3.6–6.8 | Sheppard (2004) |
Daily non-MDV death probability | μ | Atkins et al. (2013) | |
Age at introduction (days) | e | 2 | Sheppard (2004) |
Height of barn (m) | h | 2.5 | NS pers. comm |
Finishing weight (kg) | 2.5 | NS pers. comm | |
Maximum dust threshold (mg/m3) | E | 7.15 | Takai et al. (1998) |
Initial dust (mg) | D0 | 0–560 | Unknown |
Vaccination status | j | Sham, HVT | Bublot and Sharma (2004) |
Probability MDV infection on day k | p | Atkins et al. (2013) | |
Growth scaling constant | P(Tc) | Atkins et al. (2013) | |
Weibull shape parameter | r | 4.18 (3.38–4.99) | Atkins et al. (2011) |
Stocking density (kg/m2) | sd | 5, 20, 35 | NS pers. comm |
Initial cohort size (birds) | S0 | 500, 5000, 30000 | NS pers. comm |
Cohort duration (days) | Tc | 30, 60 | Sheppard (2004) |
Dust reduction at end of cohort (%) | ϵ | 0–100 | Unknown |
Virus virulence score (%) | 16.5, 36, 46 | Atkins et al. (2011) | |
Transformed virulence score | Atkins et al. (2011) | ||
Barn volume (m3) | V(S0, sd) | S0wh/sd | Atkins et al. (2013) |
Virus extinction threshold (VCN/m3) | ze | 10−9, 10−5 | Unknown |