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. 2014 Feb 13;3:86. doi: 10.1186/2193-1801-3-86

Table 2.

Comparison of linear and non-linear regression analysis of changes in swim time across years in the annual fastest and annual three fastest finishers to determine which model is the best

Swim time Kind of regression Sum of squares DOF AICC Best regression AIC-test Best regression F-test Delta Probability Likelihood
Annual fastest men Polynomial 3120.08 42 432.8 Linear Linear 7.5 0.02 97.8%
Linear 3237.72 46 425.2
Annual fastest women Polynomial 1863.47 35 357.0 Linear Polynomial 3.1 0.1 82.5%
Linear 2183.96 39 353.9
Annual three fastest men Polynomial 3254.07 44 419.8 Linear Linear 2.8 0.2 80.6%
Linear 3208.71 45 417.0
Annual three fastest women Polynomial 1482.07 26 262.0 Linear Linear 7.8 0.02 98.1%
Linear 1337.63 28 254.2

For all investigated regressions, linear was the best model. DOF = degrees of freedom, AIC = Akaike information criterion.