Abstract
We evaluated factors associated with improvement in neurocognitive performance in 258 HIV-infected adults with baseline CD4 lymphocyte counts above 350 cells/mm3 randomized to intermittent, CD4-guided antiretroviral therapy (ART) (128 participants) versus continuous therapy (130) in the Neurology substudy of the Strategies for Management of Antiretroviral Therapy trial. Participants were enrolled in Australia, North America, Brazil, and Thailand, and neurocognitive performance was assessed by a five-test battery at baseline and month 6. The primary outcome was change in the quantitative neurocognitive performance z score (QNPZ-5), the average of the z scores of the five tests. Associations of the 6-month change in test scores with ART use, CD4 cell counts, HIV RNA levels, and other factors were determined using multiple regression models. At baseline, median age was 40 years, median CD4 cell count was 513 cells/mm3, 88 % had plasma HIV RNA ≤400 copies/mL, and mean QNPZ-5 was −0.68. Neurocognitive performance improved in both treatment groups by 6 months; QNPZ-5 scores increased by 0.20 and 0.13 in the intermittent and continuous ART groups, respectively (both P<0.001 for increase and P=0.26 for difference). ART was used on average for 3.6 and 5.9 out of the 6 months in the intermittent and continuous ART groups, respectively, but the increase in neurocognitive test scores could not be explained by ART use, changes in CD4, or plasma HIV RNA, which suggests a practice effect. The impact of a practice effect after 6 months emphasizes the need for a control group in HIV studies that measure intervention effects using neurocognitive tests similar to ours.
Keywords: HIV, Test–retest, Practice effect, Learning effect, Neurocognitive performance, Neuropsychological tests
Introduction
Untreated HIV infection may impair neurocognitive function (McArthur et al. 2010; Price et al. 1988). With the introduction of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART), the incidence of HIV-associated dementia declined sharply (Bhaskaran et al. 2008; d’Arminio Monforte et al. 2004; Dore et al. 1999; Lescure et al. 2011; McArthur 2004; McArthur et al. 2010; Sacktor et al. 2001). Nevertheless, recent studies suggest that the prevalence of neurocognitive disorders remains substantial even among individuals with high CD4 lymphocyte cell counts and suppressed viral load (Cysique and Brew 2011; Heaton et al. 2010; McArthur et al. 2010) and that up to 52 % of HIV-infected individuals exhibit some form of neurocognitive impairment (NCI). The reasons for that are uncertain but may include confounding factors, a legacy effect of irreversible injury before therapy was initiated, ongoing indolent injury, and perhaps neurotoxic effects of antiretroviral therapy (ART) (Al-Khindi et al. 2011; Heaton et al. 2011; Robertson et al. 2010). While many longitudinal studies have reported improvements in neuropsychological test scores after starting cART (Al-Khindi et al. 2011), few HIV studies have investigated the test–retest practice effect as a possible explanation.
The Strategies for Management of Antiretroviral Therapy (SMART) study randomized HIV-infected adults with CD4 cell counts above 350 cells/mm3 to intermittent, CD4-guided ARTor continuous ART (El-Sadr et al. 2006). In a Neurology substudy, a neurocognitive test battery was administered (Wright et al. 2010), in order to compare intermittent to continuous ART for changes in neurocognitive performance. We hypothesized that neurocognitive performance would be superior in participants receiving continuous ART because of the sustained reduction in HIV replication. The intermittent ART arm in the parent SMART study was stopped early, however, due to a higher incidence of progression of disease and death, and continuous ART was recommended to all participants; at that time, only 292 of the planned 600 Neurology substudy participants were enrolled. Consequently, the substudy was underpowered for the planned primary comparison. Surprisingly, though, neurocognitive performance had increased significantly in both study arms. The main goal of the current analysis was to examine the basis of this finding, including whether the improvement in neurocognitive test scores could be explained as a benefit of ART.
Methods
Study design
The SMART study was an international randomized trial comparing continuous ARTwith CD4 cell count-guided, intermittent ART in HIV-infected adults with CD4 cell counts above 350 cells/mm3. The study design is described elsewhere (El-Sadr et al. 2006). Participants in the intermittent ART arm stopped or deferred ART until the CD4 cell count declined to below 250 cells/mm3 and, thereafter, used ART with the goal of viral suppression until the CD4 count had recovered to above 350 cells/mm3. The primary outcome of the neurocognitive component of the SMART Neurology substudy was a quantitative neurocognitive performance z score (QNPZ-5), based on a five-test neurocognitive test battery. The study was designed to enroll 600 participants, follow them up for 5 years, and administer the test battery at baseline, month 6, and annually thereafter. The Neurology substudy commenced enrollment in July 2005. In January 2006, enrollment and the intermittent CD4-guided ART strategy of the SMART study were stopped due to increased risk of AIDS and serious non-AIDS complications, and participants were recommended to restart ART (El-Sadr et al. 2006). At the time of this protocol change, only 292 of the 600 planned substudy participants were enrolled. Data collection in this substudy continued until July 2006, when all participants had been followed up for 6 months.
Participants were enrolled at 47 sites in Australia, North America, Brazil, and Thailand. At these sites, all eligible SMART participants were offered substudy co-enrollment. Substudy eligibility criteria included age ≥18 years and the ability to perform the study’s neurocognitive tests in the site clinician’s judgment.
Standard protocol approvals, registrations, and patient consents
Substudy approval was obtained by each site’s institutional review board; the study is in accordance with the Helsinki Declaration of 1975, as revised in 2000. All participants provided written informed consent. ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00432003.
Outcome measures
The five-test neurocognitive test battery comprised the Grooved Pegboard (GPB) (dominant hand) (Klove 1963), Color Trails 1 and 2 (CT1 and CT2) (D’Elia et al. 1996), Timed Gait (TG) (Robertson et al. 2006), and Finger Tapping (FT) (nondominant hand) (Reitan 1969) tests, described previously (Wright et al. 2010). The tests closely resemble the battery used in a large, randomized HIV treatment study (Price et al. 1999).
For the individual tests, the raw scores of each participant were standardized to z scores (Wright et al. 2010). A negative z score denotes below-average performance relative to an HIV-negative US reference population, and a z score of −1 corresponds to performance at 1 standard deviation below the average of the reference population. Reference distributions were provided by the licensors of the tests (GPB, CT, and FT) or obtained from published studies (TG), matched by education level for all five tests, and, where available, additionally by age (GPB, CT, and FT), sex, and race/ethnicity (GPB and FT) (Heaton et al. 2004; Morey 2006; Reitan 1969; Robertson et al. 2006).
The primary neurocognitive performance outcome measure, the QNPZ-5, was calculated as the average of the five z scores from the five individual tests in the battery. To further describe the study population, we defined NCI as z scores<−2 in at least two ability domains. Ability domains assessed were (1) speed/fine motor skills (GPB and FT), (2) attention/speed of processing (CT1), (3) executive function (CT2), and (4) gross motor skills (TG). The cutoff was chosen to reflect the Frascati criteria for abnormal neurocognitive performance, although the test battery was too small to meet the formal Frascati criteria; also, we did not assess whether individual low test scores might be explained by comorbidities (Antinori et al. 2007).
Neuropsychological tests were administered to participants by site staff, including medical practitioners, specialists, and nurses. Site staff underwent centralized training and certification in the USA and Australia, as previously described (Wright et al. 2010). Training was led by a neuropsychologist or neurologist and an infectious disease physician.
Demography, HIV history, general medical history, ART use, and laboratory values were collected within the parent SMART study. Adherence to ART was collected by patient self-report, using a 7-day recall questionnaire at baseline and month 4; participants who took at least 80 % of their medication were considered adherent for the current analysis. The central nervous system (CNS) penetration effectiveness (CPE) rank of patients’ ART regimens was calculated using the 2010 revision of the CPE score (Letendre et al. 2010).
Statistical methods
Mean baseline neuropsychological test scores (the QNPZ-5 and individual test z scores) were compared to 0 using two-sided t tests; values below 0 denote below-average test performance compared to an HIV-negative reference population. Treatment groups were compared for month 6 changes in test scores by intent-to-treat, using unadjusted t tests, as well as using ANCOVA adjusted for change in CD4 cell counts and HIV RNA levels. Mean changes in test scores, overall and in various subgroups, were compared to 0 using t tests. Homogeneity across the locations of enrollment was assessed using analysis of variance (ANOVA; baseline z scores, changes in z scores). For six participants, one out of the five individual test scores was missing, and change in QNPZ-5 was calculated as the average of change in the individual z scores for the four available tests.
In order to determine whether the increases in QNPZ-5 and individual test z scores could be explained by changes in CD4 cell counts, plasma HIV RNA, or ART use, the associations of these factors with changes in test scores were calculated using univariate and multiple linear regression and Spearman’s correlation coefficient. Subgroups by ART status at baseline and month 6 were compared for changes in QNPZ-5 by ANOVA and using t tests for contrasts with and without Scheffé’s adjustment for multiple comparisons (to adjust for post hoc analyses).
In multiple linear regression models for change in neurocognitive test z scores, we always included demographics (age, years of education, sex, and location of enrollment) to account for imperfect standardization of test scores using US reference populations, as well as the baseline test scores, because of a possible association of baseline with change in test scores due to regression to the mean. In a first model, we also included change in CD4 cell counts and log10 HIV RNA because the beneficial effects of ART would likely be mediated through these factors. We did not include race/ethnicity because it was strongly confounded with the location of enrollment. Coefficients were presented when the P value for association was at least 0.10. The analysis was repeated within each treatment group. In further models, all adjusted for demographics and baseline test scores, we investigated associations with single baseline factors, for example, duration and CPE rank of ART.
Analyses were performed using SAS version 9.2 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA) and R version 2.10 (R Development Core Team 2011). All tests were two-sided. P values≤0.05 were considered significant.
Results
Study population and baseline characteristics
The analysis includes all 258 participants in the Neurology substudy with both baseline and month 6 neurocognitive test data (Australia/USA, 98; Brazil, 17; Thailand, 143). Of these, 128 were randomized to intermittent ART and 130 to continuous ART (Fig. 1). Baseline characteristics and neurocognitive test scores are summarized in Tables 1 and 2; the treatment groups were well balanced for baseline characteristics. Median CD4 cell count was 513 cells/mm3, median nadir CD4 count was 216 cells/mm3, and 88 % had plasma HIV RNA≤400 copies/mL. Only 4 % of participants were ART-naïve; 93 % were using ART at baseline, with a median of 4 years of prior ART use. ART regimens had a median CPE rank of 7, on a scale of 1–4 for each drug (Table 1).
Table 1.
Characteristic | Percent or median (IQR) |
---|---|
Demographics | |
Age (years) | 40 (35, 45) |
Female (%) | 42.2 |
Race/ethnicity (%) | |
Asian | 56.6 |
Black | 18.6 |
White, other, or unknown | 24.8 |
Education (years) | 12 (10, 15) |
Location of enrollment (%) | |
Australia | 5.0 |
Brazil | 6.6 |
North America | 32.9 |
Thailand | 55.4 |
HIV transmission modes (%) | |
Male–male sexual | 32.2 |
Heterosexual | 66.7 |
Intravenous drug use | 3.1 |
Other or unknown | 8.9 |
HIV-related factors | |
Duration of HIV infection (years) | 5 (4, 8) |
Prior AIDS diagnosis (%) | 19.0 |
CD4 count (cells/mm3) | 513 (430, 667) |
Nadir CD4 count (cells/mm3) | 216 (161, 290) |
HIV RNA≤400 copies/mL (%) | 87.5 |
Preexisting conditions | |
Prior CVDa (%) | 3.9 |
Baseline ECG; major abnormalityb (%) | 11.3 |
Diabetes (%) | 3.5 |
Hepatitis B (%) | 2.3 |
Hepatitis C (%) | 7.0 |
ART use at baseline | |
ART naive (%) | 3.9 |
Duration of prior ART use (years) | 4 (3, 6) |
Current ART use (%) | |
NNRTIs | 28.3 |
PIs | 65.1 |
NRTIs | 92.6 |
CPE rankc | 7 (7, 8) |
ART antiretroviral therapy, CPE central nervous system penetration effectiveness of ART, CVD cardiovascular disease, PI protease inhibitor, NNRTI non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor, NRTI nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor
Previous myocardial infarction (four), stroke (zero), coronary heart disease (three), congestive heart failure (two), or peripheral vascular disease (five)
Major ischaemic abnormalities, atrioventricular blocks, bundle branch blocks, arrhythmias, or left ventricular hypertrophy
CNS penetration effectiveness rank of the ART regimen; each drug is scored as 1–4, with higher scores for higher CNS penetration (Letendre et al. 2010)
Table 2.
Baseline |
Change to month 6 |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | ±1 SD | Mean | SE | P value | |
QNPZ-5 | −0.68* | ±0.78 | 0.17 | 0.05 | <0.001 |
Test z scoresa | |||||
GPB | −0.26* | ±1.20 | 0.25 | 0.09 | <0.001 |
CT1 | −0.52* | ±1.24 | 0.28 | 0.10 | <0.001 |
CT2 | −0.00 | ±0.99 | 0.18 | 0.07 | <0.001 |
TG | −1.64* | ±1.75 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.15 |
FT | −0.98* | ±1.10 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.68 |
Raw tests scores | |||||
GPB (s) | 72.5 | ±26.3 | −3.8 | 1.5 | <0.001 |
CT1 (s) | 47.5 | ±19.0 | −3.8 | 1.3 | <0.001 |
CT2 (s) | 93.3 | ±32.6 | −5.1 | 2.0 | <0.001 |
TG (s) | 11.9 | ±2.1 | −0.1 | 0.1 | 0.19 |
FT (taps) | 39.3 | ±7.9 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.90 |
The QNPZ-5 score, individual test z scores, and raw test scores at baseline, and their change to month 6 are shown for 258 participants, pooled across the intermittent ART and continuous ART treatment groups. At baseline, the mean QNPZ-5 score and mean z scores for four of the five tests were below 0, denoting below-average performance compared with a healthy reference population. The QNPZ-5 score and individual test z scores increased from baseline to month 6; see also Fig. 1. There was no evidence for a treatment difference in mean change in QNPZ-5 or any of the z scores
CT Color Trails test, FT Finger Tapping test (nondominant hand), GPB Grooved Pegboard test (dominant hand), QNPZ-5 quantitative neurocognitive performance z score, TG Timed Gait test
P<0.001, mean z scores<0 (two-sided t test)
z scores were calculated with reference distributions (matched for education [all tests], age [GPB, CT, and FT], gender [GPB and FT], and race/ethnicity [GPB and FT]). Thirty-five participants (13.6 %) had NCI at baseline, defined as z scores<−2 in at least two cognitive ability domains, and the same number had NCI at month 6. Of those who were impaired at baseline, 16 participants (46 %) were not impaired at month 6, and vice versa
Overall, the mean QNPZ-5 score was −0.68 (P<0.001 for comparison to 0), denoting below-average performance compared to a healthy reference population. For four of the five individual tests, the average z score was negative (P<0.05 for each; Table 2). Fourteen percent of participants met the study definition of NCI (z scores<−2 in two or more ability domains); 52 % had z scores<−1 in two or more cognitive domains.
Mean QNPZ-5 scores differed by location of enrollment (−0.77 in Australia/USA, −0.15 in Brazil, and −0.68 in Thailand; P=0.01 for comparison between locations). No one region performed consistently higher or lower across all tests. Baseline characteristics and test scores by location of enrollment are described elsewhere (Wright et al. 2010).
Change in neurocognitive performance
Changes in the QNPZ-5 and in individual test z scores from baseline to month 6 are summarized in Table 2 and, by treatment group, in Fig. 2a. QNPZ-5 scores increased by 0.20 in the intermittent ART group (95 % CI, 0.12 to 0.29; P<0.001 for increase) and by 0.13 in the continuous ART group (95 % CI, 0.03 to 0.23; P=0.009). The estimated mean change in z scores was positive for each of the five tests in both treatment groups, and the increase was significant for GPB, CT1, and CT2 (P<0.001 each; Table 2 and Fig. 2). The increases in QNPZ-5 and z scores were homogeneous across locations (all P>0.20).
There was no evidence for a difference between the intermittent and continuous ART groups in either mean change in QNPZ-5 (estimated difference, 0.07; 95 % CI, −0.06 to 0.20; P=0.26) or in any of the individual test z scores (all P>0.10). Moreover, the direction of the treatment difference was inconsistent across the tests (Fig. 2a).
ART use
Participants in the intermittent ART group stopped or deferred ART at randomization, but 108 (86 %) had restarted ART by 6 months. Of those, 86 (80 %) restarted ART after January 11, 2006, when participants were recommended to resume ART. ART use is summarized in Fig. 1. Participants in the intermittent ART group used ART for an average of 3.6 of the 6 months, compared with 5.9 months in the continuous ART group. Adherence was excellent; among those who were receiving ART at month 4, 100 % in the intermittent ART arm and 98 % in the continuous ART arm self-reported adhering to their regimen; at month 6, adherence was not assessed, but among those receiving ART, 90 and 93 %, respectively, had HIV RNA≤400 copies/mL.
Factors associated with change in neurocognitive performance
In order to investigate whether initiation of ART could explain the increase in QNPZ-5 scores, we evaluated the mean change in QNPZ-5 scores within subgroups by ART status at baseline and at month 6. The four groups are described in Fig. 1, and mean change in QNPZ-5 scores is shown in Fig. 2b. Differences between the four groups were not statistically significant by ANOVA (P=0.07). However, when comparing participants according to their ART status at month 6, those who continued or started ART (groups 1 and 3 pooled in Fig. 2b) improved less than those who stopped or never started ART (groups 2 and 4 pooled) (estimated mean difference, −0.36; P=0.01 unadjusted, P=0.11 after Scheffé’s adjustment for multiple comparisons). The duration of ART use during the 6 months was not associated with change in QNPZ-5 (Spearman’s r=−0.07, P=0.25). Similarly, the change in the CPE rank of ART was not associated with change in QNPZ-5 among the 224 participants who were using ART at both baseline and month 6 (mean change in CPE rank, −0.1; Spearman’s r=0.08, P=0.22); mean CPE ranks in each ART group are shown in Fig. 2b.
Table 3 summarizes the associations of baseline factors, change in CD4 cell counts, and change in plasma HIV RNA with changes in QNPZ-5 and individual test z scores, estimated in multiple regression models. Lower baseline QNPZ-5 was associated with steeper increases in QNPZ-5 from baseline to month 6 (0.23 units higher per 1 unit baseline QNPZ-5 lower); similar associations held for each individual test z score (all P<0.001; Table 3). Mean increases in QNPZ-5 were by 0.14 lower for women compared with men.
Table 3.
Factora | QNPZ-5 |
Regression coefficients for individual test z scores |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coefficient | (SE) | P value | GPB | CT1 | CT2 | FT | TG | |
Baseline z scoreb | −0.23*** | (0.04) | <0.001 | −0.36*** | −0.48*** | −0.32*** | −0.49*** | −0.26*** |
Age (years) | n.s. | n.s. | n.s. | −0.01* | n.s. | n.s. | ||
Sex (female) | −0.14* | (0.07) | 0.05 | −0.28* | −0.27* | n.s. | n.s. | n.s. |
Location | ||||||||
Australia/North America | Ref. | |||||||
Brazil | 0.25 | (0.13) | 0.06 | 0.55* | n.s. | n.s. | 0.66** | 0.59* |
Thailand | 0.15* | (0.07) | 0.03 | 0.39** | n.s. | n.s. | n.s. | 0.27 |
Change in CD4 (per 50 cells/mm3 higher) | n.s. | n.s. | n.s. | n.s. | 0.04* | n.s. | ||
Change in log HIV RNA (per 1 log10 copies/mL higher) | 0.15*** | (0.06) | 0.001 | 0.19* | n.s. | n.s. | n.s. | n.s. |
Coefficients were provided when P values for associations were 0.10 or less. Analyses by treatment group: Within the intermittent ART group, an increase in CD4 was associated with an increase in QNPZ-5 (by 0.03 per 50 cells/mm3 increase; P=0.05), but not with any of the individual tests, and there was no evidence for an association within the continuous ART group. Associations of an increase in log10 HIV RNAwith increased QNPZ-5 were similar across both treatment groups. Sensitivity analyses: (1) In a model that included baseline factors only, associations were similar. (2) Among the 202 participants with HIV RNA≤400 copies/mL at baseline and at month 6, change in CD4 was associated with FT only, with a similar coefficient
CT Color Trails test, FT Finger Tapping test (nondominant hand), GPB Grooved Pegboard test (dominant hand), QNPZ-5 quantitative neurocognitive performance z score, TG Timed Gait test
P≤0.05,
P≤0.01,
P≤0.001, association is significant in multiple regression (for individual tests)
Education (in years) was included as explanatory factor in all regression models, but associations were not significant
QNPZ-5 or individual test z score
Overall changes in plasma HIV RNA levels were small, as most participants were using ARTat baseline and continued or had restarted ART by month 6; mean log10 HIV RNA levels increased by 0.1 log10 copies/mL in the intermittent ART group and decreased by 0.1 log10 copies/mL in the continuous ART group. A tenfold increase in HIV RNA (1 log10 copies/mL) was independently associated with a 0.15 higher than average increase in QNPZ-5 (Table 3); this association was similar in both treatment groups (data not shown).
By month 6, mean CD4 cell counts had decreased by 21 cells/mm3 in the intermittent ART group and increased by 33 cells/mm3 in the continuous ART group. In the intermittent ART group, a 6-month increase in CD4 cell count was associated with a slightly steeper increase in QNPZ-5, by 0.03 per 50 cells/mm3 CD4 increase (P=0.05). There was no evidence for an association within the continuous ART group or in the pooled analysis of both treatment groups (Table 3).
After adjustment for change in CD4 cell counts and log10 HIV RNA, the estimated mean increase in QNPZ-5 scores remained significant within each group, almost unchanged at 0.20 for the intermittent ART group, and 0.15 for the continuous ART group (Fig. 2a).
There was no evidence that experiencing a grade 4 or AIDS event was associated with a change in QNPZ-5; seven participants had experienced such an event by month 6. We also investigated the associations of change in QNPZ-5 in a multiple regression model that contained only baseline factors. Coefficients and P values for baseline QNPZ-5, age, sex, and location of enrollment were similar to those shown in Table 3. Higher baseline CD4 was independently associated with less increase in QNPZ-5 (−0.04 less than the average increase per 100 cells/mm3 higher; P=0.02), but there was no independent association with ART use at study entry or the duration of prior ART use.
Discussion
In this prospective study of 258 participants from Australia, North America, Brazil, and Thailand with CD4 cell counts>350 cells/mm3, we found that neurocognitive performance, measured by mean change in QNPZ-5 scores, increased by month 6 among participants receiving intermittent ART as well as among those receiving continuous ART. The increase in QNPZ-5 scores in both treatment groups suggests a practice effect. The presence of a practice effect emphasizes the importance of including a control group in studies that use test batteries like ours to evaluate the effect of an intervention.
We have investigated and excluded ART use as a possible explanation for the increase in QNPZ-5 in both arms:
The increase in QNPZ-5 scores could not be explained as a beneficial effect of ART use mediated through the suppression of plasma HIV RNA or increase in CD4 cell counts. On the contrary, an increase in viral load was associated with higher than average improvements in QNPZ-5 scores (Table 3), and change in CD4 was not independently associated with change in QNPZ-5.
In our cohort, there is no indication that starting or continuing ART contributed to the increase in QNPZ-5 in other ways. In fact, among the 16 participants who were not using ART at baseline and started ART, the average QNPZ-5 declined, compared with increases for all other participants (Fig. 2b). Duration of ART use during the 6-month follow-up in the study was not associated with changes in QNPZ-5 (Spearman’s r=−0.07, P=0.25), nor was prior ART use, or changes in the CPE rank of ART among those who were using ART at study entry and remained on ART throughout follow-up (r=0.08, P=0.22). Moreover, increases in mean QNPZ-5 scores were largest for participants who never started ART or had stopped ART by month 6 (groups 2 and 4 in Fig. 2b).
The presence of a practice effect when neuropsychological tests are repeated after 6–12 months is well documented in the general population (Heilbronner et al. 2010; McCaffrey et al. 2000). The American Academy of Clinical Neuropsychology advises that “the primary element requiring careful consideration in serial testing is the practice effect … A change in scores on repeat testing can lead to … attributing improved scores to recovery of function or efficacy of intervention when the results are more likely to reflect the effects of test practice” (Heilbronner et al. 2010). Nevertheless, in HIV research, the practice effect has often been neglected when evaluating interventions. For example, in a recent meta-analysis of 23 longitudinal studies investigating the effect of ART on neurocognitive function (Al-Khindi et al. 2011), 11 assessed the effect of ART by comparing test scores before and after cART initiation. All 11 studies reported improvement in test scores after 3–6 months (Brouwers et al. 1997; Carvalhal et al. 2006; Chang et al. 2003; Robertson et al. 2004; Sacktor et al. 2006, 2009; Tozzi et al. 1993, 1999, 2001, 2009; Winston et al. 2010). Of the 11 studies, only 6 even mentioned the possibility of a practice effect (Brouwers et al. 1997; Chang et al. 2003; Robertson et al. 2004; Sacktor et al. 2006, 2009; Tozzi et al. 1993). Only two of the studies formally adjusted for practice effect; in both studies, little evidence remained for a benefit of ART on neurocognitive performance after the adjustment (Chang et al. 2003; Sacktor et al. 2009).
In our cohort, increases in viral load were associated with higher-than-average increases in QNPZ-5 scores. This finding is contrary to the expectation that suppressing viral load is protecting the brain and, therefore, should lead to an improvement in neurocognitive performance (Marcotte et al. 2003; Wright 2011). It is contrary also to a small, single-arm prospective study of treatment interruption (n=11), where the global deficit score remained unchanged from baseline during the treatment interruption, but improved after restarting ART (Childers et al. 2008). Our finding is consistent, however, with results in a single-arm treatment interruption study of 167 participants with CD4 cell counts>350 cells/mm3 (Robertson et al. 2010), where mean neurocognitive performance improved after stopping ART for up to 1.5 years, but remained stable in the same patients following ART recommencement. The initial improvement after stopping ART in the single-arm study may have been due to a practice effect, but the absence of further improvement after starting ART does not support the hypothesis of a beneficial effect in this population; Robertson et al. (2010) raised the possibility that ART might be neurotoxic. Nevertheless, suppressing HIV RNA may benefit neurocognitive function in individuals with lower CD4 levels; our study participants spent 91 % of their total follow-up time at CD4 cell counts above 350 cells/mm3.
The single strongest predictor for change in QNPZ-5 as well as for each individual test was the baseline test score; participants with lower baseline scores improved more (Table 3). The same was observed in a previous study of 124 HIV-infected individuals and 172 HIV-negative controls (Cysique et al. 2011). Such “regression to the mean” effect is common when the response is change in an outcome that is also included as baseline factor. Women had, on average, lower increases in QNPZ-5 scores and GPB and CT1 z scores (Table 3).
Limitations of our study include that we could not compare the intermittent versus continuous ART strategies as originally planned because the intermittent ART arm in the parent SMART study was stopped by the DSMB and, consequently, most substudy participants had switched to continuous ART before the first follow-up assessment at month 6. Also, the study was not powered to investigate the effect of individual drugs or drug classes. Lastly, neurocognitive function was assessed with only five tests, and z scores were calculated using US norms; therefore, our estimation of the prevalence of NCI needs to be interpreted with caution. Our main results refer to changes in z scores, however, and thus are not affected by the use of US versus local norms.
In our study of HIV-infected individuals with high CD4 cell counts, neurocognitive test results had improved in both study arms by 6 months. The improvement could not be explained by ART use or changes in CD4 or plasma HIV RNA levels. This suggests the presence of a practice effect, consistent with findings from other studies (Cysique et al. 2011; Levine et al. 2004; McCaffrey et al. 2000). Our finding emphasizes the need for a control group in studies that measure an intervention effect using this type of performance test battery. Where a control group is not possible for ethical reasons, adjustments for a potential practice effect are needed.
Acknowledgments
The study was funded by NIH grants U01-AI4636 (National Institute of Mental Health [NIMH] and the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke [NINDS]), U01AI042170, and U01AI46362 (National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases [NIAID]). We gratefully acknowledge the contributions of participants, investigators, and staff who were crucial to the success of the study. Clinical sites and investigators participating in the SMART Neurology substudy were published (Wright et al. 2010).
The following authors received research support from the NIH: BG and MPR from NIH/NIAID (U01-AI068641, U01-AI042170, and U01-AI46362); EJW (NIMH/NINDS 1U01-AI068641); BJB (R01 NS43103); RWP (NIDA P01DA026134, NIMH R01-MH62701, NIMH R21-MH083520, NIMH U01-MH083545, NIMH R01MH081772, NIMH/NIAIDU01-AI068641, and NIMH/NIAID U01-AI38858); and KRR (NIAID, supplement to 1U01AI068636-01, NIMH MH067751, NIAID U01-AI068641, and NINDS R21NS0692).
Footnotes
Conflicts of interest MPB, JH, JCS, and MJV declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
Contributor Information
Birgit Grund, Coordinating Center for Biometric Research, University of Minnesota, 2221 University Avenue, Suite 200, Minneapolis, MN 55414, USA.
Edwina J. Wright, Department of Infectious Diseases, The Alfred Hospital and Monash University, Melbourne, Australia; The Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Australia
Bruce J. Brew, Department of Neurology, St Vincent’s Hospital, Sydney, Australia; Department of HIV Medicine and St Vincent’s Centre for Applied Medical Research, St Vincent’s Hospital and University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
Richard W. Price, Department of Neurology, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
Mollie P. Roediger, Coordinating Center for Biometric Research, University of Minnesota, 2221 University Avenue, Suite 200, Minneapolis, MN 55414, USA
Margaret P. Bain, Department of Neurology, St Vincent’s Hospital, Sydney, Australia
Jennifer F. Hoy, Department of Infectious Diseases, The Alfred Hospital and Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
Judith C. Shlay, Denver Public Health, Denver, CO, USA
Michael J. Vjecha, Institute for Clinical Research, Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Washington, DC, USA
Kevin R. Robertson, Department of Neurology, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC, USA
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