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HPB : The Official Journal of the International Hepato Pancreato Biliary Association logoLink to HPB : The Official Journal of the International Hepato Pancreato Biliary Association
. 2013 Jul 22;16(4):373–383. doi: 10.1111/hpb.12148

Predicting the risks of venous thromboembolism versus post-pancreatectomy haemorrhage: analysis of 13 771 NSQIP patients

Ching-Wei D Tzeng 1, Matthew H G Katz 1, Jeffrey E Lee 1, Jason B Fleming 1, Peter W T Pisters 1, Jean-Nicolas Vauthey 1, Thomas A Aloia 1,
PMCID: PMC3967890  PMID: 23869628

Abstract

Background

The fear of an early post-pancreatectomy haemorrhage (PPH) may prevent surgeons from prescribing post-operative venous thromboembolism (VTE) chemoprophylaxis. The primary hypothesis of this study was that the national post-pancreatectomy early PPH rate was lower than the rate of VTE. The secondary hypothesis was that patients at high risk for post-discharge VTE could be identified, potentially facilitating the selective use of extended chemoprophylaxis.

Patients and methods

All elective pancreatectomies were identified in the 2005 to 2010 American College of Surgeons-National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database. Factors associated with 30-day rates of (pre-versus post-discharge) VTE, early PPH (transfusions > 4 units within 72 h) and return to the operating room (ROR) with PPH were analysed.

Results

Pancreaticoduodenectomies (PD) and distal pancreatectomies (DP) numbered 9140 (66.4%) and 4631 (33.6%) out of 13 771 pancreatectomies, respectively. Event rates included: VTE (3.1%), PPH (1.1%) and ROR+PPH (0.7%). PD and DP had similar VTE rates (P > 0.05) with 31.9% of VTE occurring post-discharge. Independent risk factors for late VTE included obesity [odds ratio (OR), 1.5], age ≥ 75 years (OR, 1.8), DP (OR, 2.4) and organ space infection (OR, 2.1) (all P < 0.02).

Conclusions

Within current practice patterns, post-pancreatectomy VTE outnumber early haemorrhagic complications, which are rare. The fear of PPH should not prevent routine and timely post-pancreatectomy VTE chemoprophylaxis. Because one-third of VTE occur post-discharge, high-risk patients may benefit from post-discharge chemoprophylaxis.

Introduction

For most major abdominal operations, routine post-operative venous thromboembolism (VTE) chemoprophylaxis has been proven to be both safe and effective, and is now considered the international standard of care, especially for cancer surgery.17 Post-operative VTE chemoprophylaxis in the form of low-dose unfractionated heparin or low-molecular-weight heparin is a Grade 1B recommendation from the most recent American College of Chest Physicians (ACCP) guidelines, for all moderate-to high-VTE-risk patients undergoing major abdominal surgery, as long as there is no significant bleeding risk.1,2,8 In spite of this recommendation, hepatopancreatobiliary (HPB) surgeons have frequently withheld VTE chemoprophylaxis owing to the perceived risk of peri-operative haemorrhage in liver and pancreatic surgery. This traditional mentality has placed surgical HPB patients, most of whom have cancer, at risk for the significant morbidity and mortality associated with VTE.9,10

As with all major abdominal surgery, pancreatic surgeons must maintain a balance between the risk of intra-or post-operative bleeding and the risk of VTE. In addition, pancreatic cancer patients, who make up the majority of patients undergoing pancreatic surgery, have an intrinsically high risk of VTE.11,12 With regard to bleeding risk, the true incidence of an early post-pancreatectomy haemorrhage (PPH)13 has not been delineated except in institutional studies.14 Nor has it been compared with VTE event rates. In the absence of large-scale comparative data regarding the incidence of bleeding and thrombosis,14 pancreatic surgery patients have been treated based on the surgeon's discretion, with a variety of approaches to the initiation, timing and duration of post-operative VTE chemoprophylaxis. We recently reported that in liver surgery patients, the risk of VTE outweighed the risk of early post-hepatectomy bleeding events.15 In the present study, we sought to determine whether this paradigm held true for pancreatectomies as well.

A second set of issues to address is the timing of post-pancreatectomy VTE and the potential benefit of extended, post-discharge, chemoprophylaxis.16 Several previous studies of abdominal surgery patients have shown the value of extended chemoprophylaxis in high-risk patients.8,17,18 Thus, in high-VTE-risk cancer patients undergoing abdominal surgery, the ACCP currently recommends 4 weeks of extended duration chemoprophylaxis if the risk of bleeding is not high (Grade 1B recommendation).1 However, longer-term prescriptions of extended chemoprophylaxis are associated with problems related to patient quality of life, financial costs and potential bleeding risk. The most tailored strategy would, therefore, be to focus extended chemoprophylaxis on only patients who are truly high risk and thus would benefit most from the prescription. Before developing post-discharge VTE prophylaxis recommendations, there is a need to demonstrate that post-discharge VTE is a separate entity from pre-discharge VTE and that post-discharge VTE comprises a clinically relevant proportion of all post-operative VTE. Then there must be identifiable risk factors (and a large enough study cohort with sufficient events) to stratify patients into a high-risk group who would potentially benefit the most from extended chemoprophylaxis.

The primary hypothesis of the present study was that the national post-pancreatectomy VTE rate was greater than the rates of early PPH events. The secondary hypothesis was that a certain subset of pancreatectomy patients was at high risk for post-discharge VTE and that there were clinical factors that could be used to select patients for extended chemoprophylaxis. To test these hypotheses, this study was designed to evaluate the rates, timing and risk factors for pre-and post-discharge VTE after a pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) and a distal pancreatectomy (DP).

Patients and methods

Data acquisition, patients, and definitions

From the American College of Surgeons-National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) participant use file for 2005 to 2010, all pancreatectomy procedures were selected. After excluding emergency cases, enucleations, necrosectomies, pancreatic biopsies, hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy cases, islet cell transplants and ampullectomies, all remaining pancreatectomies were included for analysis. For PD, this included current procedural terminology (CPT) codes 48150, 48152, 48153 and 48154. For the purposes of the analysis, total pancreatectomies (CPT 48155) were grouped with PD. A distal pancreatectomy included CPT codes 48140, 48145 and 48146. CPT codes were analysed from the primary CPT column as well as from any of the concurrent procedure columns. CPT coding did not differentiate between open and laparoscopic cases.

For thrombotic events within 30 days of a pancreatectomy, the analysis focused on three post-operative NSQIP variables: deep vein thrombosis (DVT), pulmonary embolism (PE) or a combination of the two. VTE was defined as a clinically detected DVT or PE. When both DVT and PE occurred, the first instance of either was considered the presenting VTE. The timing of VTE was compared with discharge date and labelled as ‘early’ (pre-discharge) versus ‘late’ (post-discharge).

For post-operative haemorrhagic events, the analysis focused on two post-operative variables: post-operative ‘bleeding transfusion’ which was defined by NSQIP as a transfusion of > 4 units packed red blood cells (PRBC) within 72 h of surgery (early PPH) and unplanned return to the operating room (ROR) combined with bleeding transfusion (ROR with PPH). Risk factors for pre-and post-discharge VTE were derived from analysis of all NSQIP-collected clinical factors.

The pre-operative NSQIP risk factors that were assessed included race, age, gender, performance status, weight/body mass index, haematocrit, platelets, blood urea nitrogen, creatinine, albumin, partial thrombin time, international normalized ratio, bilirubin, white blood cell count, alkaline phosphatase, aspartate aminotransferase, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) class, smoking, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), pneumonia, ascites, sepsis, disseminated cancer, diabetes, bleeding disorder, pre-operative radiation therapy, pre-operative chemotherapy, pre-operative transfusion, pre-operative hospitalization and a previous operation within 30 days.

Intra-operative variables included operative time, intra-operative transfusion, type of pancreatectomy and concurrent major operation. Concurrent major operations were defined as adrenalectomy, gastrectomy, oesophagectomy, intestinal resection, colorectal resection, retroperitoneal tumor resection, nephrectomy and/or hepatectomy. The definition of major concurrent operations did not include splenectomy, cholecystectomy, liver wedge resection/biopsy, radiofrequency ablation, feeding tube placement and abdominal wall hernia repair.

Thirty-day post-operative outcomes included a post-operative transfusion, bleeding transfusion (early PPH), ROR, renal insufficiency or failure, respiratory failure, myocardial infarction, cardiac arrest, surgical site infection, organ space infection (OSI, including abscess or pancreatic leak), fascial dehiscence, post-operative sepsis or septic shock, length of stay and mortality. As a result of the defined limitations of NSQIP data, post-pancreatectomy mortality was defined as death within 30 postoperative days or death at a later date if the patient had a continuous hospitalization from surgery to the death date.

Statistical analysis

The association of clinical factors with VTE, bleeding complications and mortality, was analysed using the chi-squared test or Fisher's exact test for non-parametric categorical data and the Mann–Whitney U-test for non-parametric continuous data. Significant univariate risk factors were entered into a multivariate logistic regression model to determine independent associations. Analyses were performed using SPSS Statistics 19 (IBM, Armonk, NY, USA). All tests were two-sided. Statistical significance was defined as P < 0.05.

Results

Patients and pancreatectomies analysed

From 2005 to 2010, 13 771 patients met the inclusion criteria with a median age 64 years (range 16–90), 51.7% female gender and 78.6% Caucasian race. Rates of common pre-operative risk factors included 66.5% with ASA class ≥3, 19.7% with age ≥ 75 years and 26.9% with obesity [body mass index (BMI) ≥ 30 kg/m2]. The case distribution included 9140 (66.4%) PD (including 306 (2.2%) total pancreatectomies) and 4631 (33.6%) DP. Indications for surgery included malignant diagnoses in 81.7% of patients with no difference in VTE rates between malignant and benign indications (3.2% versus 2.9%, P = 0.451). Other clinically relevant pre-, intra-and post-operative factors are described in Table 1.

Table 1.

Factors associated with early post-pancreatectomy haemorrhage (PPH, > 4 units blood in first 72 h after surgery)

Clinical Characteristic All patients (n = 13771)
No early PPH > 4 units
Early PPH > 4 units
P
n or median % or range n or median % or range n or median % or range
N 13771 13623 148
Pre-operative factors
 BMI ≥ 40 kg/m2 537 3.9% 526 3.9% 11 7.4% 0.026
 Dyspnoea 1210 8.8% 1189 8.7% 21 14.2% 0.020
 Diabetes 3063 22.2% 3019 22.2% 44 29.7% 0.028
 Lack of independent function 380 2.8% 366 2.7% 14 9.5% <0.001
 Alcohol use 417 3.0% 417 3.1% 0 0% 0.031
 Haematocrit <39% 7189 53.6% 7098 53.5% 91 65.0% 0.007
 AST > 46 IU/l 3066 25.4% 3023 25.3% 43 34.1% 0.023
 Albumin < 3.5 g/dl 3129 26.5% 3082 26.4% 47 38.2% 0.003
 ASA class ≥ 3 9161 66.5% 9045 66.4% 116 78.4% 0.002
 Disseminated cancer 495 3.6% 479 3.5% 16 10.8% <0.001
 Bleeding disorder 382 2.8% 373 2.7% 9 6.1% 0.014
Intra-operative
 Operative time, min 314 12–1146 246 12–892 313 12–1146 0.004
 Operative time ≥ 360 min 5069 36.8% 5000 36.7% 69 46.6% 0.013
 Any intra-operative transfusion 3002 28.7% 2910 28.3% 92 62.6% <0.001
 RBC ≥4 718 6.9% 669 6.5% 49 33.3% <0.001
 Concurrent Major GI/GU 990 7.2% 969 7.1% 21 14.2% 0.001
 PD/total versus distal pancreatectomy 0.628
  PD/total 9140 66.4% 9039 66.4% 101 68.2%
  Distal 4631 33.6% 4584 33.6% 47 31.8%
Post-operative
 Return to OR 921 6.7% 832 6.1% 89 60.1% <0.001
 Sepsis/septic shock 1899 13.8% 1838 13.5% 61 41.2% <0.001
 Acute renal insufficiency/failure 238 1.7% 217 1.6% 21 14.2% <0.001
 Failure to wean ventilator 48 h 694 5.0% 633 4.6% 61 41.2% <0.001
 Post-operative pneumonia 706 5.1% 674 4.9% 32 21.6% <0.001
 Any SSI or organ space infection 2759 20.0% 2715 19.9% 44 29.7% 0.003
 Organ space infection 1451 10.5% 1421 10.4% 30 20.3% <0.001
 Cardiac arrest 151 1.1% 137 1.0% 14 9.5% <0.001
 Severe complications 3436 25.0% 3313 24.3% 123 83.1% <0.001
 Post-operative LOS 8 1–215 8 1–215 14 1–119 <0.001
 Death within 30 days 357 2.6% 323 2.4% 34 23.0% <0.001
ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BMI, body mass index; LOS, length of stay; OR, operating room; RBC, (units) red blood cells; SSI, surgical site infection.
  • Not significant: age, gender, race, platelets, sodium, blood urea nitrogen, creatinine, partial thrombin time, international normalized ratio, total bilirubin, alkaline phosphatase, white blood cells, steroid use; chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; previous coronary stent; previous cardiac surgery; medical hypertension; pre-operative sepsis; surgical peripheral vascular disease; smoking, pre-operative stroke, pre-operative radiation therapy, operation in the preceding 30 days; pre-operative chemotherapy within 30 days; pre-operative weight loss ≥ 10%; dehiscence; superficial SSI, deep SSI, venous thromboembolism.
  • Not evaluated with < 1%: pre-operative pneumonia; ascites; varices; congestive heart failure; recent myocardial infarction; angina; rest pain, pre-operative acute renal failure or dialysis; altered mental status; pre-operative open wound; pre-operative transfusion > 4 units; post-operative MI, post-operative coma, post-operative stroke.

Severe complications include: pneumonia, reintubation, ventilator >48 h, renal insufficiency/failure, cardiac arrest, myocardial infarction, coma, stroke, sepsis, septic shock, return to OR, wound dehiscence and organ space infection.

VTE, bleeding, and transfusions in relation to type of pancreatectomy

Overall complication rates included the following: DVT (2.2%), PE (1.2%), VTE (3.1%), PPH (1.1%) and ROR with PPH (0.6%). There were only 5 (0.04%) patients who experienced both VTE and PPH after a pancreatectomy. VTE event rates were more frequent than PPH rates and/or ROR with PPH rates for both PD (3.0%, 1.1%, 0.7%) and DP (3.3%, 1.0%, 0.5%, P < 0.001, Fig. 1). Analysis of the association between the type of pancreatectomy and complication rates showed no differences in bleeding or VTE events, P = 0.362, Fig. 1. Intra-operative transfusions ≥ 1 unit PRBC were common (28.7%), as were intra-operative transfusions ≥ 2 units PRBC (21.6%), with PD transfusion rates (31.5%, 23.4%) higher than for DP (23.5%, 18.2%, respectively, P < 0.001).

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) events outnumber post-operative bleeding transfusions (post-pancreatectomy haemorrhage > 4 units in first 72 h after surgery) and returns to the operating room (ROR) with bleeding transfusions. There is no difference in the rates of bleeding or thrombotic events between a pancreaticoduodenectomy and a distal pancreatectomy

Factors associated with early PPH

The univariate analysis of peri-operative factors associated with early PPH, or bleeding transfusion, is detailed in Table 1. On multivariate analysis, independent pre-and intra-operative factors associated with early PPH included the following: ASA class ≥ 3 [odds ratio (OR) 1.74, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.08–2.79, P = 0.023], a lack of independent functional status (OR 2.10, 95% CI, 1.11–3.95, P = 0.023) and an intra-operative transfusion ≥ 4 units PRBC (OR 6.16, 95% CI, 4.12–9.21, P < 0.001, Table 2).

Table 2.

Independent factors associated with venous thromboembolism (VTE) and bleeding events after a pancreatectomy

Risk factor VTE
Early PPH > 4 units
ROR with early PPH
OR 95% CI P OR 95% CI p OR 95% CI P
Pre-operative
 Haematocrit < 39% 1.46 1.13–1.88 0.003
 Age ≥ 70 years 1.47 1.15–1.88 0.002
 BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 1.47 1.14–1.90 0.003
 Bleeding disorder 1.93 1.17–3.18 0.010  2.77 1.23–6.25 0.014
 Pre-operative sepsis 1.98 1.19–3.29 0.008  2.83 1.25–6.44 0.013
 Disseminated cancer 2.12 1.36–3.32 0.001
 ASA class ≥ 3  1.74 1.08–2.79 0.023
 Lack independent function 2.10 1.11–3.95 0.023
Intra-operative
 Operative time ≥ 360 min 1.30 1.02–1.65 0.048
 Transfusion ≥ 4 units 6.16 4.12–9.21 <0.001 6.09 3.64–10.21 <0.001
Post-operative
 Organ space infection 1.72 1.26–2.34 0.001
 Ventilator > 48 h 3.55 2.57–4.91 <0.001

ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists; BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; PPH, post-pancreatectomy haemorrhage; ROR, return to operating room; VTE, venous thromboembolism.

Factors associated with ROR with early PPH

The univariate analysis of peri-operative factors associated with ROR with early PPH is detailed in Table 3. On multivariate analysis, independent pre-and intra-operative predictors of ROR with early PPH included the following: pre-operative sepsis (OR 2.77, 95% CI, 1.23–6.25, P = 0.014), a pre-operative bleeding disorder (OR 2.83, 95% CI, 1.25–6.44, P = 0.013) and an intra-operative transfusion ≥ 4 units PRBC (OR 6.09, 95% CI, 3.64–10.21, P < 0.001, Table 2).

Table 3.

Factors associated with return to the operating room (ROR) and a post-pancreatectomy haemorrhage (PPH) > 4 units blood in the first 72 h after surgery

Clinical characteristic All patients (n = 13771)
No ROR with PPH >4 units
ROR with PPH >4 units
P
n or median % or range n or median % or range n or median % or range
n 13771 13682 89
Pre-operative factors
 Lack of independent function 380 2.8% 373 2.7% 7 7.9% 0.003
 AST > 46 IU/l 3066 25.4% 3035 25.3% 31 39.7% 0.003
 Alkaline phosphatase ≥ 126 IU/l 4411 36.6% 4376 36.6% 35 48.6% 0.035
 Albumin < 3.5 g/dl 3129 26.5% 3097 26.4% 32 42.7% 0.002
 ASA class ≥ 3 9161 66.5% 9091 66.4% 70 78.7% 0.015
 Disseminated cancer 495 3.6% 487 3.6% 8 9.0% 0.006
 Pre-operative sepsis 467 3.4% 459 3.4% 8 9.0% 0.003
 Bleeding disorder 382 2.8% 375 2.7% 7 7.9% 0.003
Intra-operative
 Operative time, min 314 12–1146 313 12–1146 358 81–892 0.021
 Operative time ≥ 360 min 5069 36.8% 5026 36.7% 43 48.3% 0.024
 Any intra-operative transfusion 3002 28.7% 2949 28.5% 53 59.6% <0.001
 RBC ≥ 4 718 6.9% 689 6.7% 29 32.6% <0.001
 Concurrent major GI/GU 990 7.2% 376 7.1% 14 15.7% 0.002
 PD/total versus distal pancreatectomy 0.267
  PD/total 9140 66.4% 9076 66.3% 64 71.9%
  Distal 4631 33.6% 4606 33.7% 25 28.1%
Post-operative
 Sepsis/septic shock 1899 13.8% 1858 13.6% 41 46.1% <0.001
 Acute renal insufficiency/failure 238 1.7% 222 1.6% 16 18.0% <0.001
 Failure to wean ventilator 48 h 694 5.0% 649 4.7% 45 50.6% <0.001
 Post-operative pneumonia 706 5.1% 682 5.0% 24 27.0% <0.001
 Organ space infection 1451 10.5% 1431 10.5% 20 22.5% <0.001
 Cardiac arrest 151 1.1% 141 1.0% 10 11.2% <0.001
 Post-operative LOS 8 1–215 8 1–215 13 1–73 <0.001
 Death within 30 days 357 2.6% 334 2.4% 23 25.8% <0.001
ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; GI, gastrointestinal; GU, genitourinary; LOS, length of stay; PD, pancreaticoduodenectomy; RBC, (units) red blood cells.
  • Not significant: age, gender, race, body mass index, platelets, sodium, blood urea nitrogen, creatinine, partial thrombin time, international normalized ratio, total bilirubin, white blood cells, steroid use; lung disease, dyspnoea, diabetes, previous coronary stent; previous cardiac surgery; medical hypertension, alcohol use, smoking, pre-operative stroke, pre-operative radiation therapy, operation in preceding 30 days, pre-operative chemotherapy, pre-operative weight loss ≥ 10%, dehiscence; superficial or deep surgical site infection, venous thromboembolism.

Factors associated with 30-day mortality

The 30-day postoperative mortality rate was 2.6%. Comparisons of risk factors for 30-day mortality are provided in Table 4. Independent risk factors for 30-day mortality included age ≥ 80 years (OR 2.56, 95% CI 1.723–3.79), pre-operative dyspnoea (OR 1.57, 95% CI 1.03–2.40), a lack of independent function (OR 2.14, 95% CI 1.28–3.57), albumin <3.5 g/dl (OR 1.47, 95% CI 1.07–2.03), an intra-operative transfusion ≥ 4 units PRBC (OR 2.65, 95% CI 1.81–3.88), PD (vs. DP, OR 1.87, 95% CI 1.26–2.77), unplanned ROR (OR 4.35, 95% CI 3.00–6.29), post-operative acute renal insufficiency/failure (OR 6.33, 95% CI 3.86–10.40), post-operative pneumonia (OR 2.35, 95% CI 1.56–3.54), ventilator need/failure to wean >48 h (OR 2.13, 95% CI 1.38–3.28) and early PPH (OR 2.05, 95% CI 1.11–3.81). VTE was not an independent factor for death.

Table 4.

Factors associated with 30-day mortality after a pancreatectomy

Clinical characteristic All patients (n = 13771)
No death
Death
P
n or median % or range n or median % or range n or median % or range
N 13771 13414 357
Pre-operative factors
 Age ≥ 80 years 1120 8.1% 1058 7.9% 62 17.4% <0.001
 Male 6650 48.3% 6459 48.2% 191 53.5% 0.046
 Dyspnoea 1210 8.8% 1150 8.6% 60 16.8% <0.001
 Diabetes 3063 22.2% 2953 22.0% 110 30.8% <0.001
 COPD 598 4.3% 569 4.2% 29 8.1% <0.001
 Previous coronary stent 852 6.2% 809 6.0% 43 12.0% <0.001
 Medical hypertension 7145 51.9% 6888 51.3% 257 72.0% <0.001
 Lack of independent function 380 2.8% 342 2.5% 38 10.6% <0.001
 > 10% weight loss 2186 15.9% 2103 15.7% 83 23.2% <0.001
 Haematocrit <39% 7189 53.6% 6972 53.4% 217 62.7% 0.001
 Alkaline phosphatase ≥126 IU/l 4411 36.6% 4270 36.4% 141 43.9% 0.006
 AST > 46 IU/l 3066 25.4% 2952 25.1% 114 35.4% <0.001
 PTT > 27 s 6806 67.5% 6606 67.4% 200 73.5% 0.032
 BUN ≥ 20 mg/dl 2426 18.6% 2339 18.4% 87 25.1% 0.002
 Creatinine ≥ 1.3 mg/dl 1129 8.5% 1068 8.2% 61 17.7% <0.001
 Albumin < 3.5 g/dl 3129 26.5% 2982 26.0% 147 46.4% <0.001
 Bilirubin > 1.0 mg/dl 3490 29.4% 3377 29.2% 113 37.3% 0.002
 Steroid use 270 2.0% 257 1.9% 13 3.6% 0.020
 ASA class ≥ 3 9161 66.5% 8848 66.0% 313 87.7% <0.001
 INR ≥ 1.1 3920 34.0% 3776 33.7% 144 46.9% <0.001
 Platelets < 150 000/μl 804 6.0% 772 5.9% 32 9.2% 0.012
 Pre-operative sepsis 467 3.4% 436 3.3% 31 8.7% <0.001
 Disseminated cancer 495 3.6% 472 3.5% 23 6.4% 0.003
 Bleeding disorder 382 2.8% 366 2.7% 16 4.5% 0.046
 Pre-operative radiation therapy 304 2.2% 289 2.2% 15 4.2% 0.009
Intra-operative
 Operative time ≥ 360 min 5069 36.8% 4886 36.4% 183 51.3% <0.001
 Any intra-operative transfusion 3002 28.7% 2863 28.1% 139 55.6% <0.001
 RBC ≥ 4 718 6.9% 645 6.3% 73 29.2% <0.001
 Concurrent major GI/GU 990 7.2% 946 7.1% 44 12.3% <0.001
 PD/total versus distal pancreatectomy <0.001
  Distal 4632 33.6% 4566 34.0% 66 18.5%
Post-operative
 Early VTE 290 2.1% 264 2.0% 26 7.3% <0.001
 Late VTE 136 1.0% 132 1.0% 4 1.1% 0.782
 Any VTE 426 3.1% 396 3.0% 30 8.4% <0.001
 Bleeding transfusion 148 1.1% 114 0.8% 34 9.5% <0.001
 Any post-operative transfusion 916 6.7% 835 6.2% 81 22.7% <0.001
 Return to OR 921 6.7% 769 5.7% 152 42.6% <0.001
 Sepsis/septic shock 1899 13.8% 1714 12.8% 185 51.8% <0.001
 Acute renal insufficiency/failure 238 1.7% 158 1.2% 80 22.4% <0.001
 Failure to wean ventilator 48 h 694 5.0% 544 4.1% 150 42.0% <0.001
 Post-operative pneumonia 706 5.1% 616 4.6% 90 25.2% <0.001
 Dehiscence 224 1.6% 211 1.6% 13 3.6% 0.002
 Organ space infection 1451 10.5% 1376 10.3% 75 21.0% <0.001
 Cardiac arrest 151 1.1% 36 0.3% 115 32.2% <0.001
 Severe complications (not VTE) 3436 25.0% 3130 23.3% 306 85.7% <0.001
ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BUN, blood urea nitrogen; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; GI, gastrointestinal; GU, genitourinary; INR, international normalized ratio; OR, operating room; PD, pancreaticoduodenectomy; PTT, partial thrombin time; RBC, (units) red blood cells; VTE, venous thromboembolism.
  • Not significant: body mass index; race, alcohol use; white blood cells, smoking, pre-operative stroke, operation in preceding 30 days; pre-operative chemotherapy within 30 days; superficial and deep surgical site infections.

Risk factors and timing of post-pancreatectomy VTE

Comparisons of risk factors for VTE are provided in Table 5. Independent risk factors for any (either pre-or post-discharge) VTE within 30 days of surgery are listed in Table 2. Major post-operative complications associated with any VTE included OSI (OR 1.72, 95% CI, 1.26–2.34, P = 0.001) and post-operative ventilator requirement >48 h (OR 3.55, 95% CI 2.57–4.91). For PD, the median date of diagnosis of OSI was post-operative day (POD) 11, whereas for DP, it was POD 14. Relative to the median discharge dates of POD 9 for PD and POD 7 for DP, the median date of any VTE was POD 11, whereas it was POD13 for DP. Late thromboembolic events accounted for 33.7%, 35.7% and 31.9% of all observed DVT, PE, and VTE, respectively (Fig. 2). Among patients with early VTE, the median date of VTE was POD 8 with a median discharge date of POD 20. Among patients with late VTE, the median date of VTE was POD 19 with a median discharge date of POD 8.

Table 5.

Factors associated with no venous thromboembolism (VTE) compared with VTE

Clinical characteristic All patients (n = 13771)
No VTE (DVT or PE)
VTE (DVT or PE)
P
n or median % or range n or median % or range n or median % or range
N 13771 13345 426
Preoperative factors
 Median age (range), years 64 16–90 64 16–90 66 20–90 0.004
 Age ≥70 years 4572 33.2% 4407 33.0% 165 38.7% 0.014
 BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 3703 26.9% 3566 26.7% 137 32.2% 0.013
 Dyspnoea 1210 8.8% 1156 8.7% 54 12.7% 0.004
 COPD 598 4.3% 567 4.2% 31 7.3% 0.003
 Steroid use 270 2.0% 256 1.9% 14 3.3% 0.045
 Medical hypertension 7145 51.9% 6892 51.6% 253 59.4% 0.002
 Lack of independent function 380 2.8% 349 2.6% 31 7.3% <0.001
 Pre-operative sepsis 467 3.4% 441 3.3% 26 6.1% 0.002
 INR > 1.0 5235 45.5% 5045 45.2 190 52.6% 0.005
 Haematocrit < 39% 7189 53.6% 6928 53.3% 261 62.7% <0.001
 WBC > 11 000/μl 1060 7.9% 1005 7.7% 55 13.2% <0.001
 Albumin < 3.5 g/dl 3129 26.5% 2989 26.2% 140 38.3% <0.001
 Disseminated cancer 495 3.6% 459 3.4% 36 8.5% <0.001
 Bleeding disorder 382 2.8% 354 2.7% 28 6.6% <0.001
 Neoplasm (versus benign) 8618 81.7% 8339 81.7% 279 83.3% 0.451
Intra-operative
 Operative time, min 314 12–1146 313 12–1146 346 72–981 <0.001
 Operative time ≥ 360 min 5069 36.8% 4872 36.5% 197 46.2% <0.001
 Any intra-operative transfusion 3002 28.7% 2864 28.3% 138 41.1% <0.001
 RBC ≥ 4 718 6.9% 671 6.6% 47 14.0% <0.001
 Concurrent major operation 990 7.2% 945 7.1% 45 10.6% 0.006
 PD/total versus distal pancreatectomy 0.362
 PD/total 9140 66.4% 8866 66.4% 274 64.3%
 Distal 4631 33.6% 4479 33.6% 152 35.7%
Post-operative
 Any post-operative transfusion (<72 h) 916 6.7% 873 6.5% 43 10.1% 0.004
 Return to OR (ROR) 921 6.7% 854 6.4% 67 15.7% <0.001
 Sepsis/septic shock 1899 13.8% 1747 13.1% 152 35.7% <0.001
 Acute renal insufficiency/failure 238 1.7% 223 1.7% 15 3.5% 0.004
 Failure to wean ventilator 48 h 694 5.0% 613 4.6% 81 19.0% <0.001
 Post-operative pneumonia 706 5.1% 644 4.8% 62 14.6% <0.001
Deep SSI 268 1.9% 253 1.9% 15 3.5% 0.017
 Any SSI or organ space infection 2759 20.0% 2606 19.5% 153 35.9% <0.001
 Organ space infection 1451 10.5% 1357 10.2% 94 22.1% <0.001
 Fascial dehiscence 224 1.6% 208 1.6% 16 3.8% <0.001
 Severe complications 3436 25.0% 3209 24.0% 227 53.3% <0.001
 Post-operative LOS 8 1–215 8 1–215 14 1–98 <0.001
 Death within 30 days 357 2.6% 327 2.5% 30 7.0% <0.001
BMI, body mass index; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; DVT, deep venous thrombosis; INR international normalized ratio; LOS, length of stay; OR, operating room; PD, pancreaticoduodenectomy; PE, pulmonary embolus; RBC, (units) red blood cells; SSI, surgical site infection; WBC, white blood cells.
  • Not significant: race, gender, American Society of Anesthesiologists score, platelets, sodium, blood urea nitrogen, creatinine, partial thrombin time, total bilirubin, aspartate aminotransferase, alkaline phosphatase, previous coronary stent, previous cardiac surgery, alcohol use, smoking, diabetes, pre-operative radiation therapy, operation in preceding 30 days, pre-operative chemotherapy; pre-operative weight loss ≥ 10%; post-operative bleeding transfusion; superficial SSI.

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Approximately 1 in 3 post-pancreatectomy VTE events are recognized post-discharge. (PE, pulmonary embolus; DVT, deep venous thrombosis; VTE, venous thromboembolism)

Post-pancreatectomy VTE pre-discharge risk factors

Univariate factors associated with early VTE are detailed in Table 6. Independent risk factors included a lack of independent functional status (OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.05–2.99, P = 0.031), pre-operative haematocrit < 39% (OR 1.69, 95% CI 1.17–2.43, P = 0.005), chronic obstructive lung disease (OR 1.74, 95% CI 1.01–2.99, P = 0.046), pre-operative leukocytosis (OR 2.12, 95% CI 1.43–3.16, P < 0.001), disseminated cancer (OR 2.50, 95% CI 1.02–3.32, P = 0.040), bleeding disorder (OR 2.56, 95% CI 1.47–4.44, P = 0.001), an intra-operative transfusion ≥ 2 units (OR 1.53, 95% CI 1.09–2.16, P = 0.014), operative time ≥300 min (OR 1.44, 95% CI 1.02–2.03, P = 0.039), ventilator need/failure to wean > 48 h (OR 3.74, 95% CI 2.42–5.77, P < 0.001) and OSI (OR1.64, 95% CI 1.10–2.45, P = 0.016). Patients with early VTE experienced a 30-day mortality rate of 9.0% (versus 2.6% overall baseline mortality rate, P < 0.001).

Table 6.

Factors associated with no venous thromboembolism (VTE), early VTE, and late VTE, after a pancreatectomy

Clinical characteristic All patients (n = 13 771)
No VTE (DVT or PE)
Early (pre-discharge) VTE
Late (post-discharge) VTE
Early versus none
Late versus none
Early versus late
n or median % or range n or median % or range n or median % or range n or median % or range P P P
n 13771 100% 13345 96.9% 290 2.1 136 1.0%
Pre-operative factors
 Median age (range), years 64 16–90 64 16–90 66 25–90 66 20–90 0.033 0.041 0.586
 Age ≥ 75 years 2715 19.7% 2618 19.6% 60 20.7% 37 27.2% 0.649 0.027 0.135
 BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 3703 26.9% 3566 26.7% 86 29.7% 51 37.5% 0.264 0.005 0.106
 Dyspnoea 1210 8.8% 1156 8.7% 34 11.7% 20 14.7% 0.068 0.013 0.389
 COPD 598 4.3% 567 4.2% 25 8.6% 6 4.4% <0.001 0.925 0.119
 Medical hypertension 7145 51.9% 6892 51.6% 169 58.3% 84 61.8% 0.025 0.019 0.494
 Lack of independent function 380 2.8% 349 2.6% 26 9.0% 5 3.7% <0.001 0.410 0.050
 Pre-operative sepsis 467 3.4% 441 3.3% 19 6.6% 7 5.1% 0.002 0.233 0.572
 INR > 1.0 5235 45.5% 5045 45.2% 133 52.0% 57 54.3% 0.032 0.063 0.687
 Haematocrit < 39% 7189 53.6% 6928 53.3% 193 68.7% 68 50.4% <0.001 0.494 <0.001
 WBC > 11 000/μl 1060 7.9% 1005 7.7% 46 16.4% 9 6.7% <0.001 0.641 0.006
 Albumin < 3.5 g/dl 3129 26.5% 2989 26.2% 117 46.8% 23 19.8% <0.001 0.122 <0.001
 ASA class ≥ 3 9161 66.5% 8859 66.4% 212 73.1% 90 66.2% 0.016 0.959 0.142
 Disseminated cancer 495 3.6% 459 3.4% 27 9.3% 9 6.6% <0.001 0.044 0.352
 Bleeding disorder 382 2.8% 354 2.7% 23 7.9% 5 3.7% <0.001 0.415 0.099
 Malignant (versus benign) 8618 81.7% 8339 81.7% 191 82.0% 88 86.3% 0.905 0.231 0.332
Intra-operative
 Operative time, min 314 12–1146 313 12–1146 362 81–981 291 72–872 <0.001 0.160 <0.001
 Operative time ≥ 300 min 7492 54.4% 7224 54.1% 206 71.0% 62 45.6% <0.001 0.047 <0.001
 Any intra-operative transfusion 3002 28.7% 2864 28.3% 115 48.9% 23 22.8% <0.001 0.217 <0.001
 RBC ≥ 2 2256 21.6% 2138 21.2% 101 43.0% 17 16.8% <0.001 0.290 <0.001
 RBC ≥ 4 718 6.9% 671 6.6% 41 17.4% 6 5.9% <0.001 0.779 0.005
 Concurrent major operation 990 7.2% 945 7.1% 30 10.3% 15 11.0% 0.033 0.075 0.830
 PD/total versus distal pancreatectomy 0.017 <0.001 <0.001
  PD/total 9140 66.4% 8866 66.4% 212 73.1% 62 45.6%
 Distal 4631 33.6% 4479 33.6% 78 26.9% 74 54.4%
Post-operative
 Any post-operative transfusion (72 h) 916 6.7% 873 6.5% 36 12.4% 7 5.1% <0.001 0.512 0.020
 Return to OR (ROR) 921 6.7% 854 6.4% 55 19.0% 12 8.8% <0.001 0.251 0.007
 Sepsis/septic shock 1899 13.8% 1747 13.1% 117 40.3% 35 25.7% <0.001 <0.001 0.003
 Acute renal insufficiency/failure 238 1.7% 223 1.7% 15 5.2% 0 0% <0.001 0.178 0.007
 Failure to wean ventilator 48 h 694 5.0% 613 4.6% 78 26.9% 3 2.2% <0.001 0.296 <0.001
 Post-operative pneumonia 706 5.1% 644 4.8% 52 17.9% 10 7.4% <0.001 0.172 0.004
 Superficial SSI 1141 8.3% 1095 8.2% 35 12.1% 11 8.1% 0.018 0.961 0.217
 Deep SSI 268 1.9% 253 1.9% 12 4.1% 3 2.2% 0.006 0.746 0.406
 Any SSI or OSI 2759 20.0% 2606 19.5% 111 38.3% 42 30.9% <0.001 0.001 0.138
 OSI 1451 10.5% 1357 10.2% 67 23.1% 27 19.9% <0.001 <0.001 0.451
 Fascial dehiscence 224 1.6% 208 1.6% 13 4.5% 3 2.2% <0.001 0.474 0.290
 Severe complications 3436 25.0% 3209 24.0% 174 60.0% 53 39.0% <0.001 <0.001 <0.001
 Post-operative LOS 8 1–215 8 1–215 20 7–98 8 3–24 0.001 0.017 <0.001
 Death within 30 days 357 2.6% 327 2.5% 26 9.0% 4 2.9% <0.001 0.579 0.025
ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists; BMI, body mass index; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; DVT, deep venous thrombosis; INR, international normalized ratio; LOS, length of stay; OR, operating room; OSI, organ space infection; PD, pancreaticoduodenectomy; PE, pulmonary embolus; RBC, (units) red blood cells; SSI, surgical site infection; WBC, white blood cells.
  • Not significant: race, gender, platelets, sodium, blood urea nitrogen, creatinine, partial thrombin time, total bilirubin, aspartate aminotransferase, alkaline phosphatase, previous coronary stent; previous cardiac surgery; surgical peripheral vascular disease; alcohol use, smoking, diabetes, steroid use, pre-operative radiation therapy, operation in preceding 30 days, pre-operative chemotherapy; pre-operative weight loss ≥ 10%; post-operative bleeding transfusion.

Bold type highlights univariate comparisons with P < 0.05.

Post-pancreatectomy post-discharge VTE risk factors

Univariate factors associated with late VTE are detailed in Table 6. Multivariate analysis identified the following independent risk factors associated with post-discharge VTE: obesity (OR 1.53, 95% CI, 1.08–2.19, P = 0.018) and age ≥ 75 years (OR 1.76, 95% CI 1.20–2.58, P = 0.004), distal pancreatectomy (OR 2.41, 95% CI 1.71–3.39) and OSI (OR 2.14, 95% CI 1.39–3.28, P < 0.001). Of the 136 patients with late VTE, 89 (65.4%) had at least one of these 4 risk factors. Patients with late VTE experienced a 30-day mortality rate of 2.9% (versus 2.6% overall baseline mortality rate, P = 0.579).

Discussion

The primary aims of this study were to compare the post-operative rates of thromboembolic and bleeding events after pancreatectomy and to identify risk factors for VTE, early PPH and ROR with PPH, in patients undergoing PD and DP. Based on standardized definitions and the presence of trained reviewers for data collection, the ACS-NSQIP database was well-suited to address each of these aims.15,19,20 This analysis determined that, within the context of current national practice patterns, the risk of VTE outweighs the risk of haemorrhagic events for both PD and DP. In addition, the study identified unique risk factors for both pre-and post-discharge VTE after pancreatic surgery. These data suggest that late VTE is a clinically relevant complication after a pancreatectomy with one-third of post-operative VTE occurring post-discharge. Finally, by isolating the risk factors for late VTE, including obesity, age ≥75 years, DP and/or OSI, the results of this study provide a basis for identifying high-risk patients for selective use of extended chemoprophylaxis.

There is general consensus that post-operative VTE chemoprophylaxis should be prescribed for all patients undergoing major abdominal surgery if the patient's acute bleeding risk is acceptably lower than the thrombotic risk.1,2 The transferability of these recommendations to complex HPB surgery, in which intra-operative bleeding and intra-operative transfusions are common, is less clear. To disprove or to corroborate historical fears of early PPH, an accurate comparison of VTE and bleeding event rates after a pancreatectomy is needed to determine the safety and practicality of recommending routine post-operative VTE chemoprophylaxis.

It is estimated that as many as 30% of pancreatic resections in the United States are currently being performed at NSQIP member institutions. By analysing a large national sampling of patients, this study showed that early post-operative haemorrhagic events, although traditionally feared, are quite rare (<1% event rate). Unlike early PPH which is likely related to intra-operative technical issues,14 ongoing surgical bleeding, or uncorrected coagulopathy (all of which are contraindications for immediately starting post-operative VTE chemoprophylaxis), late PPH is generally related to abdominal sepsis, undrained pancreatic leaks and vascular pseudoaneurysms. Therefore, these unpredictable late bleeding events may not represent a barrier to the routine use of chemoprophylaxis. The number of patients who experienced both VTE and PPH was extremely low (5 of 13 771), to the point that detailed analysis of risk factors for this difficult clinical scenario was not feasible.

The comparative rarity of early haemorrhagic events combined with the higher risk of post-operative VTE in both PD and DP make a very strong argument for routine and timely post-operative chemoprophylaxis in all pancreatectomy patients. Although early PPH is an independent risk factor for 30-day mortality, its very low event rate is associated with the defined risk factor of a major intra-operative transfusion (≥4 units pRBC). As the most significant independent risk factor for early PPH or ROR with PPH was an intra-operative transfusion ≥ 4 units PRBC, the main exception to the regimented delivery of immediate post-operative VTE chemoprophylaxis would be patients with ongoing signs of active bleeding in the immediate post-operative period. For these rare patients, haemostasis should be confirmed before initiating VTE chemoprophylaxis.

There is ample evidence that institutional protocols for post-operative (and even pre-induction dosing)21 have led to reduced rates of post-operative VTE. However, there remains no consensus on the length of post-operative therapy, even although extended chemoprophylaxis is recommended for high-VTE-risk cancer patients.1,2,8 Thus, many, if not most, surgeons subjectively discontinue VTE chemoprophylaxis when patients meet discharge criteria and leave the hospital. In order to comment on this practice, an additional aim of this study was to examine the rates of and risk factors for post-discharge VTE. The data from this analysis provide a rationale for recommending extended chemoprophylaxis at least to obese and elderly patients, and those who experience significant post-operative complications such as OSI. In addition, the analysis suggests that DP patients are more susceptible to post-discharge VTE. There are a number of explanations for this observation, but the most plausible is that pancreatic fistulae are often identified later in the post-operative period after DP compared with PD, and with the national trend of earlier discharge of DP patients, more of these patients may develop this important risk factor after leaving the hospital.22 Finally, malignant diagnoses are typically associated with more post-operative VTE compared with benign diseases, leading the ACCP to recommend extended chemoprophylaxis for 30 days after major abdominal cancer surgery in patients with a high VTE risk. However, our data showed no difference among surgical patients within 30 post-operative days, indicating that even patients undergoing a pancreatectomy for non-malignant diagnoses may benefit from extended VTE chemoprophylaxis.

A limitation of this study was that VTE chemoprophylaxis usage was not a recorded variable in NSQIP.15,23 An assumption can be made that many, but not all, patients received some amount of inpatient post-operative chemoprophylaxis. The timing of initiation would have been inconsistent. In contrast, it is likely that post-discharge chemoprophylaxis was uncommonly utilized, as it is not yet a current standard quality measure for hospitalized or surgical patients, in spite of the ACCP recommendations. NSQIP does not proactively screen asymptomatic patients for VTE, and thus only clinically apparent VTE are recorded. Another potential weakness is the limitation of the study period to 30 days after surgery, which does not capture the full post-operative risk of patients, especially cancer patients requiring adjuvant chemotherapy. This specific risk would argue for extended chemoprophylaxis for all cancer patients regardless of the aforementioned risk factors, as a VTE can derail planned adjuvant therapy. In spite of the weaknesses of NSQIP analyses, the size of the cohort provided an event rate that powered a multivariate analysis of VTE risk factors, which would be difficult to accomplish with a smaller institutional sample or dataset.19,20 As this is the first study to describe a subset of high-risk pancreatectomy patients who might benefit from chemoprophylaxis beyond discharge, further prospective studies are required to study the clinical effectiveness and cost effectiveness of extended chemoprophylaxis after a pancreatectomy.

In conclusion, within current national practice patterns, post-pancreatectomy VTE events outnumber major bleeding complications, which rarely occur. With the exception of patients with overt ongoing bleeding, the fear of early PPH should not prevent the timely administration of routine post-operative VTE for all pancreatectomy patients. One-third of post-pancreatectomy VTE occur post-discharge with clearly identifiable risk factors, potentially providing a rationale for selective use of post-discharge VTE chemoprophylaxis in high-risk patients.

Conflicts of interest

None declared.

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